2008 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont
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The 2008 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 4, 2008, and determined who represents the state of Vermont in the United States House of Representatives. Democratic Congressman Peter Welch decided to run for a second term in Congress. In an aberration for a freshman member of Congress, Welch encountered no major-party opposition and received the Republican nomination based on write-in votes in their primary.[1] Welch defeated a series of independent candidates with ease and represented Vermont in the 111th Congress.
November 4, 2008
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Welch: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
Candidates
- Peter Welch, incumbent United States Congressman
- Craig Hill, perennial candidate and advocate of Vermont secession
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Welch (incumbent) | 19,566 | 87.74 | |
| Democratic | Craig Hill | 2,635 | 11.82 | |
| Democratic | Write-ins | 98 | 0.44 | |
| Total votes | 22,299 | 100.00 | ||
Independent candidates
- Mike Bethel
- Cris Ericson, marijuana activist, perennial candidate
- Jerry Trudell, renewable energy activist, pilot, independent candidate for U.S. House in 2006[3]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Welch (incumbent) | 248,203 | 83.25% | |
| Independent | Mike Bethel | 14,349 | 4.81% | |
| Independent | Jerry Trudell | 10,818 | 3.63% | |
| Progressive | Thomas James Hermann | 9,081 | 3.05% | |
| Independent | Cris Ericson | 7,841 | 2.63% | |
| Liberty Union | Jane Newton | 5,307 | 1.78% | |
| Write-ins | 2,552 | 0.86% | ||
| Total votes | 298,151 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
| County[10] | Peter Welch Democratic/Republican |
Mike Bethel Independent |
Jerry Trudell Independent |
Thomas Hermann Progressive |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Addison | 15,249 | 85.4% | 637 | 3.6% | 583 | 3.3% | 448 | 2.5% | 940 | 5.3% | 14,612 | 81.8% | 17,857 |
| Bennington | 11,933 | 68.8% | 3,669 | 21.1% | 681 | 3.9% | 289 | 1.7% | 784 | 4.5% | 8,264 | 47.7% | 17,356 |
| Caledonia | 11,259 | 82.0% | 566 | 4.1% | 584 | 4.3% | 420 | 3.1% | 903 | 6.6% | 10,675 | 77.7%[a] | 13,732 |
| Chittenden | 64,252 | 85.2% | 2,712 | 3.6% | 2,584 | 3.4% | 2,527 | 3.4% | 3,307 | 4.4% | 61,540 | 81.8% | 75,382 |
| Essex | 2,262 | 80.4% | 155 | 5.5% | 192 | 6.8% | 66 | 2.3% | 137 | 4.9% | 2,070 | 73.6%[a] | 2,812 |
| Franklin | 17,239 | 86.2% | 698 | 3.5% | 684 | 3.4% | 414 | 2.1% | 956 | 4.8% | 16,541 | 82.7% | 19,991 |
| Grand Isle | 3,418 | 85.7% | 140 | 3.5% | 139 | 3.5% | 78 | 2.0% | 214 | 5.4% | 3,278 | 82.2% | 3,989 |
| Lamoille | 9,948 | 85.5% | 381 | 3.3% | 493 | 4.2% | 309 | 2.7% | 500 | 4.3% | 9,455 | 81.3%[a] | 11,631 |
| Orange | 11,836 | 84.2% | 516 | 3.7% | 467 | 3.3% | 569 | 4.0% | 662 | 4.7% | 11,267 | 80.5% | 14,050 |
| Orleans | 9,957 | 84.1% | 344 | 2.9% | 743 | 6.3% | 281 | 2.4% | 514 | 4.3% | 9,214 | 77.8%[a] | 11,839 |
| Rutland | 24,418 | 83.6% | 1,551 | 5.3% | 1,006 | 3.4% | 546 | 1.9% | 1,693 | 5.8% | 22,867 | 78.3% | 29,214 |
| Washington | 25,297 | 84.8% | 848 | 2.8% | 977 | 3.3% | 1,601 | 5.4% | 1,124 | 3.8% | 23,696 | 81.5%[a] | 29,847 |
| Windham | 16,615 | 77.2% | 1,179 | 5.5% | 810 | 3.8% | 954 | 4.4% | 1,967 | 9.1% | 15,436 | 71.7% | 21,525 |
| Windsor | 24,520 | 84.8% | 953 | 3.3% | 875 | 3.0% | 579 | 2.0% | 1,999 | 6.9% | 23,143 | 81.5% | 28,926 |
| Totals | 248,203 | 83.2% | 14,349 | 4.8% | 10,818 | 3.6% | 9,081 | 3.0% | 15,700 | 5.3% | 233,854 | 78.4% | 298,151 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Rutland (largest municipality: Rutland)
- Grand Isle (largest municipality: Alburgh)
- Caledonia (largest municipality: St. Johnsbury)
- Orleans (largest municipality: Derby)
- Essex (Largest city: Lunenburg)
- Franklin (Largest city: St. Albans)