2008 United States Senate election in Mississippi
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The 2008 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 4, 2008, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Republican incumbent Thad Cochran won re-election to a sixth term, defeating Democratic state representative Erik Fleming.
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November 4, 2008
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Cochran: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Fleming: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Thad Cochran, incumbent U.S. senator
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Erik R. Fleming, former HD-72, and nominee for U.S. senate in 2006
Eliminated in primary
- Shawn O'Hara
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[1] | Safe R | October 23, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[2] | Safe R | October 31, 2008 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[3] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[4] | Safe R | November 4, 2008 |
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2008 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Thad Cochran (R) | $2,723,398 | $2,832,197 | $495,925 |
| Erik Fleming (D) | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[5] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Thad Cochran (R) |
Erik Fleming (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[6] | June 24, 2008 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 59% | 32% | – | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports[7] | May 27, 2008 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | 35% | 1% | 5% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Thad Cochran (incumbent) | 766,111 | 61.44% | ||
| Democratic | Erik Fleming | 480,915 | 38.56% | ||
| Total votes | 1,247,026 | 100.00% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
| County[8] | Thad Cochran Republican |
Erik Fleming Democratic |
Margin | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 6,967 | 46.69% | 7,954 | 53.31% | -987 | -6.61% | 14,921 |
| Alcorn | 10,275 | 70.44% | 4,311 | 29.56% | 5,964 | 40.89% | 14,586 |
| Amite | 4,269 | 58.06% | 3,084 | 41.94% | 1,185 | 16.12% | 7,353 |
| Attala | 5,466 | 61.26% | 3,457 | 38.74% | 2,009 | 22.51% | 8,923 |
| Benton | 2,408 | 55.59% | 1,924 | 44.41% | 484 | 11.17% | 4,332 |
| Bolivar | 5,756 | 40.30% | 8,527 | 59.70% | -2,771 | -19.40% | 14,283 |
| Calhoun | 4,555 | 66.53% | 2,292 | 33.47% | 2,263 | 33.05% | 6,847 |
| Carroll | 3,991 | 68.80% | 1,810 | 31.20% | 2,181 | 37.60% | 5,801 |
| Chickasaw | 4,512 | 52.13% | 4,143 | 47.87% | 369 | 4.26% | 8,655 |
| Choctaw | 2,715 | 68.58% | 1,244 | 31.42% | 1,471 | 37.16% | 3,959 |
| Claiborne | 964 | 18.24% | 4,320 | 81.76% | -3,356 | -63.51% | 5,284 |
| Clarke | 5,242 | 64.02% | 2,946 | 35.98% | 2,296 | 28.04% | 8,188 |
| Clay | 4,772 | 44.63% | 5,921 | 55.37% | -1,149 | -10.75% | 10,693 |
| Coahoma | 3,559 | 36.35% | 6,233 | 63.65% | -2,674 | -27.31% | 9,792 |
| Copiah | 7,063 | 50.39% | 6,953 | 49.61% | 110 | 0.78% | 14,016 |
| Covington | 5,758 | 62.42% | 3,467 | 37.58% | 2,291 | 24.83% | 9,225 |
| DeSoto | 44,834 | 71.58% | 17,798 | 28.42% | 27,036 | 43.17% | 62,632 |
| Forrest | 16,926 | 64.45% | 9,335 | 35.55% | 7,591 | 28.91% | 26,261 |
| Franklin | 2,940 | 64.39% | 1,626 | 35.61% | 1,314 | 28.78% | 4,566 |
| George | 7,731 | 84.86% | 1,379 | 15.14% | 6,352 | 69.73% | 9,110 |
| Greene | 4,291 | 75.48% | 1,394 | 24.52% | 2,897 | 50.96% | 5,685 |
| Grenada | 6,431 | 59.08% | 4,454 | 40.92% | 1,977 | 18.16% | 10,885 |
| Hancock | 13,262 | 80.60% | 3,193 | 19.40% | 10,069 | 61.19% | 16,455 |
| Harrison | 43,275 | 71.06% | 17,625 | 28.94% | 25,650 | 42.12% | 60,900 |
| Hinds | 39,431 | 37.70% | 65,157 | 62.30% | -25,726 | -24.60% | 104,588 |
| Holmes | 2,145 | 23.72% | 6,898 | 76.28% | -4,753 | -52.56% | 9,043 |
| Humphreys | 1,690 | 34.77% | 3,170 | 65.23% | -1,480 | -30.45% | 4,860 |
| Issaquena | 397 | 44.41% | 497 | 55.59% | -100 | -11.19% | 894 |
| Itawamba | 7,602 | 78.40% | 2,095 | 21.60% | 5,507 | 56.79% | 9,697 |
| Jackson | 38,961 | 73.88% | 13,776 | 26.12% | 25,185 | 47.76% | 52,737 |
| Jasper | 4,281 | 47.58% | 4,716 | 52.42% | -435 | -4.83% | 8,997 |
| Jefferson | 753 | 17.35% | 3,588 | 82.65% | -2,835 | -65.31% | 4,341 |
| Jefferson Davis | 3,088 | 43.33% | 4,038 | 56.67% | -950 | -13.33% | 7,126 |
| Jones | 21,049 | 73.40% | 7,628 | 26.60% | 13,421 | 46.80% | 28,677 |
| Kemper | 2,171 | 43.10% | 2,866 | 56.90% | -695 | -13.80% | 5,037 |
| Lafayette | 11,826 | 65.86% | 6,130 | 34.14% | 5,696 | 31.72% | 17,956 |
| Lamar | 19,384 | 82.67% | 4,064 | 17.33% | 15,320 | 65.34% | 23,448 |
| Lauderdale | 20,679 | 64.82% | 11,225 | 35.18% | 9,454 | 29.63% | 31,904 |
| Lawrence | 4,428 | 64.77% | 2,408 | 35.23% | 2,020 | 29.55% | 6,836 |
| Leake | 5,466 | 60.27% | 3,603 | 39.73% | 1,863 | 20.54% | 9,069 |
| Lee | 23,736 | 69.71% | 10,316 | 30.29% | 13,420 | 39.41% | 34,052 |
| Leflore | 4,562 | 36.89% | 7,803 | 63.11% | -3,241 | -26.21% | 12,365 |
| Lincoln | 10,994 | 68.19% | 5,129 | 31.81% | 5,865 | 36.38% | 16,123 |
| Lowndes | 14,966 | 56.89% | 11,340 | 43.11% | 3,626 | 13.78% | 26,306 |
| Madison | 29,402 | 63.78% | 16,698 | 36.22% | 12,704 | 27.56% | 46,100 |
| Marion | 8,640 | 68.01% | 4,064 | 31.99% | 4,576 | 36.02% | 12,704 |
| Marshall | 7,032 | 45.46% | 8,435 | 54.54% | -1,403 | -9.07% | 15,467 |
| Monroe | 10,478 | 61.83% | 6,469 | 38.17% | 4,009 | 23.66% | 16,947 |
| Montgomery | 3,174 | 57.45% | 2,351 | 42.55% | 823 | 14.90% | 5,525 |
| Neshoba | 8,527 | 76.36% | 2,640 | 23.64% | 5,887 | 52.72% | 11,167 |
| Newton | 6,820 | 71.02% | 2,783 | 28.98% | 4,037 | 42.04% | 9,603 |
| Noxubee | 1,683 | 26.98% | 4,554 | 73.02% | -2,871 | -46.03% | 6,237 |
| Oktibbeha | 10,466 | 57.99% | 7,583 | 42.01% | 2,883 | 15.97% | 18,049 |
| Panola | 8,137 | 51.98% | 7,518 | 48.02% | 619 | 3.95% | 15,655 |
| Pearl River | 17,298 | 80.36% | 4,227 | 19.64% | 13,071 | 60.72% | 21,525 |
| Perry | 4,233 | 77.23% | 1,248 | 22.77% | 2,985 | 54.46% | 5,481 |
| Pike | 9,103 | 51.73% | 8,493 | 48.27% | 610 | 3.47% | 17,596 |
| Pontotoc | 9,862 | 78.67% | 2,674 | 21.33% | 7,188 | 57.34% | 12,536 |
| Prentiss | 7,504 | 71.30% | 3,020 | 28.70% | 4,484 | 42.61% | 10,524 |
| Quitman | 1,541 | 39.94% | 2,317 | 60.06% | -776 | -20.11% | 3,858 |
| Rankin | 49,993 | 80.76% | 11,908 | 19.24% | 38,085 | 61.53% | 61,901 |
| Scott | 6,748 | 59.68% | 4,559 | 40.32% | 2,189 | 19.36% | 11,307 |
| Sharkey | 962 | 36.65% | 1,663 | 63.35% | -701 | -26.70% | 2,625 |
| Simpson | 7,915 | 64.91% | 4,279 | 35.09% | 3,636 | 29.82% | 12,194 |
| Smith | 6,369 | 78.30% | 1,765 | 21.70% | 4,604 | 56.60% | 8,134 |
| Stone | 5,390 | 76.99% | 1,611 | 23.01% | 3,779 | 53.98% | 7,001 |
| Sunflower | 3,906 | 36.55% | 6,780 | 63.45% | -2,874 | -26.90% | 10,686 |
| Tallahatchie | 3,092 | 46.87% | 3,505 | 53.13% | -413 | -6.26% | 6,597 |
| Tate | 7,869 | 64.54% | 4,324 | 35.46% | 3,545 | 29.07% | 12,193 |
| Tippah | 6,963 | 73.62% | 2,495 | 26.38% | 4,468 | 47.24% | 9,458 |
| Tishomingo | 6,022 | 74.52% | 2,059 | 25.48% | 3,963 | 49.04% | 8,081 |
| Tunica | 1,225 | 30.97% | 2,731 | 69.03% | -1,506 | -38.07% | 3,956 |
| Union | 9,242 | 77.62% | 2,664 | 22.38% | 6,578 | 55.25% | 11,906 |
| Walthall | 4,348 | 58.07% | 3,140 | 41.93% | 1,208 | 16.13% | 7,488 |
| Warren | 12,183 | 57.68% | 8,939 | 42.32% | 3,244 | 15.36% | 21,122 |
| Washington | 7,187 | 38.55% | 11,457 | 61.45% | -4,270 | -22.90% | 18,644 |
| Wayne | 6,215 | 63.95% | 3,504 | 36.05% | 2,711 | 27.89% | 9,719 |
| Webster | 4,139 | 77.89% | 1,175 | 22.11% | 2,964 | 55.78% | 5,314 |
| Wilkinson | 1,735 | 36.34% | 3,039 | 63.66% | -1,304 | -27.31% | 4,774 |
| Winston | 5,740 | 57.60% | 4,225 | 42.40% | 1,515 | 15.20% | 9,965 |
| Yalobusha | 3,870 | 58.25% | 2,774 | 41.75% | 1,096 | 16.50% | 6,644 |
| Yazoo | 5,527 | 50.54% | 5,408 | 49.46% | 119 | 1.09% | 10,935 |
| Totals | 766,111 | 61.44% | 480,915 | 38.56% | 285,196 | 22.87% | 1,247,026 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Tunica (Largest city: Tunica)
- Coahoma (Largest city: Clarksdale)
- Tallahatchie (Largest city: Charleston)
- Quitman (Largest city: Lambert)
- Sharkey (Largest city: Rolling Fork)
- Issaquena (Largest city: Mayersville)
- Clay (Largest city: West Point)
- Marshall (Largest city: Holly Springs)
- Noxubee (Largest city: Macon)
- Kemper (Largest city: De Kalb)
- Jasper (Largest city: Bay Springs)
- Jefferson Davis (Largest city: Prentiss)
- Adams (Largest city: Natchez)
- Wilkinson (Largest city: Centreville)
- Hinds (largest municipality: Jackson)
- Jefferson (largest municipality: Fayette)
- Claiborne (largest municipality: Port Gibson)
- Washington (Largest city: Greenville)
- Humphreys (Largest city: Belzoni)
- Holmes (Largest city: Durant)
- Bolivar (Largest city: Cleveland)
- Sunflower (Largest city: Indianola)
- LeFlore (Largest city: Greenwood)
|
Democratic
Flip |
Republican
Hold
|
By congressional district
Cochran won three of four congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.[9]
| District | Cochran | Fleming | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 64% | 36% | Travis Childers |
| 2nd | 40% | 60% | Bennie Thompson |
| 3rd | 66% | 34% | Chip Pickering (110th Congress) |
| Gregg Harper (111th Congress) | |||
| 4th | 73% | 27% | Gene Taylor |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear