2010 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont
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The 2010 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 2, 2010, and determined who would represent the state of Vermont in the United States House of Representatives. Democratic Congressman Peter Welch decided to run for a third term in Congress, facing Republican Paul D. Beaudry and two independent candidates. Welch won over his three opponents by a healthy margin, which allowed him to represent Vermont in the 112th Congress.
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November 2, 2010
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  Welch: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Beaudry: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
Candidates
- Peter Welch, incumbent U.S. representative
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Welch (incumbent) | 65,920 | 98.63 | |
| Democratic | Write-ins | 913 | 1.37 | |
| Total votes | 66,833 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
- Paul D. Beaudry, radio talk show host
- John M. Mitchell, businessman
- Keith Stern, small businessman and 2006 independent Congressional candidate
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Paul D. Beaudry | 10,797 | 43.83 | |
| Republican | John M. Mitchell | 9,631 | 39.10 | |
| Republican | Keith Stern | 3,545 | 14.39 | |
| Republican | Write-ins | 659 | 2.68 | |
| Total votes | 24,632 | 100.00 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[3] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
| RCP[5] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Safe D | October 28, 2010 |
| New York Times[7] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
| FiveThirtyEight[7] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Welch (incumbent) | 154,006 | 64.57 | |
| Republican | Paul D. Beaudry | 76,403 | 32.03 | |
| Independent | Gus Jaccaci | 4,704 | 1.97 | |
| Socialist | Jane Newton | 3,222 | 1.35 | |
| Write-ins | 186 | 0.08 | ||
| Total votes | 238,521 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By county
| County | Peter Welch Democratic |
Paul Beaudry Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Addison | 10,170 | 67.4% | 4,535 | 30.1% | 381 | 2.5% | 5,635 | 37.3% | 15,086 |
| Bennington | 8,732 | 64.2% | 4,191 | 30.8% | 683 | 5.0% | 4,541 | 33.4% | 13,606 |
| Caledonia | 6,149 | 55.9% | 4,462 | 40.6% | 382 | 3.4% | 1,687 | 15.3% | 10,993 |
| Chittenden | 41,372 | 68.3% | 17,715 | 29.2% | 1,514 | 2.5% | 23,657 | 39.1% | 60,601 |
| Essex | 1,209 | 53.2% | 947 | 41.7% | 116 | 5.2% | 262 | 11.5% | 2,272 |
| Franklin | 9,325 | 57.9% | 6,402 | 39.8% | 371 | 2.3% | 2,923 | 18.1% | 16,098 |
| Grand Isle | 2,090 | 60.4% | 1,294 | 37.4% | 79 | 2.2% | 796 | 23.0% | 3,463 |
| Lamoille | 6,250 | 66.0% | 2,934 | 31.0% | 281 | 3.0% | 3,316 | 35.0% | 9,465 |
| Orange | 6,941 | 61.1% | 3,804 | 33.5% | 620 | 5.4% | 3,137 | 27.6% | 11,365 |
| Orleans | 5,464 | 58.7% | 3,560 | 38.2% | 291 | 3.2% | 1,904 | 20.5% | 9,315 |
| Rutland | 12,867 | 57.0% | 8,887 | 39.4% | 814 | 3.6% | 3,980 | 17.6% | 22,568 |
| Washington | 16,888 | 68.3% | 6,962 | 28.2% | 867 | 3.4% | 9,926 | 40.1% | 24,717 |
| Windham | 11,699 | 69.1% | 4,361 | 25.7% | 879 | 5.2% | 7,338 | 43.4% | 16,939 |
| Windsor | 14,850 | 67.4% | 6,349 | 28.8% | 834 | 3.7% | 8,501 | 38.6% | 22,033 |
| Totals | 154,006 | 64.6% | 76,403 | 32.0% | 8,112 | 3.4% | 77,603 | 32.6% | 238,521 |