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2014 Kansas gubernatorial election

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The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Kansas. It was held concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2014 Kansas gubernatorial election
← 2010
November 4, 2014
2018 →
 
Nominee Sam Brownback Paul Davis
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jeff Colyer Jill Docking
Popular vote 433,196 401,100
Percentage 49.82% 46.13%
Brownback:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Davis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Sam Brownback
Republican

 Elected Governor

Sam Brownback
Republican

Close

Incumbent Republican governor Sam Brownback ran for re-election to a second term.[1] He was opposed in the general election by Democrat Paul Davis, the minority leader of the Kansas House of Representatives, and Libertarian attorney Keen Umbehr.

The election was viewed as a referendum on Brownback's aggressive tax cutting initiatives and his conservative values.[2] The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Brownback won the election by a margin of 3.69%. Davis carried seven counties, all in eastern Kansas. This is the last gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won Jefferson County, as well as the last time that a candidate was elected governor of Kansas by winning a majority of counties.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Jennifer Winn, businesswoman[3]
  • Running mate: Robin Lais, advertising agency owner and natural healing shop owner[4]
  • Former running mate: Ethan McCord, Iraq War veteran[5]

Declined

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback		 Jennifer
Winn		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[10] July 17–22, 2014 691 ± 3.7% 60% 30% 9%
SurveyUSA[11] June 19–23, 2014 508 ± 4.4% 55% 37% 8%
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Results

Results by county:
  Brownback
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Winn
  •   50–60%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sam Brownback (incumbent) 166,687 63.2
Republican Jennifer Winn 96,907 36.7
Total votes 263,594 100
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Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paul Davis 66,357 100
Total votes 66,357 100
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Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Keen Umbehr, attorney[16]
  • Running mate: Josh Umbehr, physician and son of Keen Umbehr[17]

General election

Debates

Endorsements

Sam Brownback (R)

Republican politicians

Democratic politicians

Other individuals

Organizations

Paul Davis (D)

Democratic politicians

Republican politicians[25][26]

Organizations

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[27] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[29] Tossup November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[30] Tossup November 3, 2014
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Paul
Davis (D)		 Keen
Umbehr (L)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[31] November 1–3, 2014 963 ± 3.2% 45% 46% 4% — 4%
47% 48% — — 3%
Public Policy Polling[32] October 30–31, 2014 752 ± ? 44% 48% 5% — 3%
YouGov[33] October 25–31, 2014 1,137 ± 4.8% 39% 38% 2% 1% 21%
Fox News[34] October 28–30, 2014 907 ± 3% 42% 48% 4% <1% 5%
Survey USA[35] October 22–26, 2014 623 ± 4% 43% 46% 5% — 7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[36] October 16–23, 2014 1,973 ± 4% 43% 40% — 1% 16%
NBC News/Marist[37] October 18–22, 2014 757 LV ± 3.6% 44% 45% 5% 1% 6%
1,055 RV ± 3% 43% 43% 6% 1% 7%
Rasmussen Reports[38] October 20–21, 2014 960 ± 3% 45% 52% — 1% 2%
Gravis Marketing[39] October 20–21, 2014 1,124 ± 3% 44% 49% — — 7%
Monmouth University[40] October 16–19, 2014 429 ± 4.7% 45% 50% — 2% 5%
Remington Research[41] October 9–12, 2014 1,091 ± 2.97% 48% 45% 3% — 4%
Public Policy Polling[42] October 9–12, 2014 1,081 ± 3% 42% 42% 6% — 10%
44% 45% — — 12%
Fox News[43] October 4–7, 2014 702 ± 3.5% 46% 40% 2% 2% 11%
CNN/ORC[44] October 2–6, 2014 687 ± 3.5% 49% 49% — — 2%
SurveyUSA[45] October 2–5, 2014 549 ± 4.3% 42% 47% 4% — 7%
Gravis Marketing[46] September 30–October 1, 2014 850 ± 3% 40% 48% — — 12%
NBC News/Marist[47] September 27–October 1, 2014 636 LV ± 3.9% 43% 44% 4% 1% 7%
1,097 RV ± 3% 41% 43% 5% 1% 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[48] September 20–October 1, 2014 2,013 ± 3% 45% 42% — 0% 12%
Suffolk University[49] September 27–30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 42% 46% 6% — 7%
Fort Hays State University[50] September 10–27, 2014 685 ± 3.8% 37% 39% 9% — 16%
Remington Research[51] September 23, 2014 625 ± 3.91% 44% 46% 5% — 5%
Rasmussen Reports[38] September 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 43% 47% — 4% 6%
Fox News[52] September 14–16, 2014 604 ± 4% 41% 45% 4% — 8%
Public Policy Polling[53] September 11–14, 2014 1,328 ± 2.7% 38% 42% 7% — 14%
39% 45% — — 15%
KSN/SurveyUSA[54] September 4–7, 2014 555 ± 4.2% 40% 47% 5% — 7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[55] August 18–September 2, 2014 839 ± 5% 47% 40% — 2% 11%
SurveyUSA[56] August 20–23, 2014 560 ± 4.2% 40% 48% 5% — 6%
Public Policy Polling[57] August 14–17, 2014 903 ± 3.3% 37% 39% 9% — 15%
Rasmussen Reports[38] August 6–7, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 51% — 3% 5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[58] July 5–24, 2014 1,274 ± 6.1% 52% 40% — 3% 5%
SurveyUSA[10] July 17–22, 2014 1,208 ± 2.9% 40% 48% 5% — 7%
SurveyUSA[59] June 19–23, 2014 1,068 ± 3.1% 41% 47% — 5% 7%
Rasmussen Reports[60] April 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 47% 40% — 6% 7%
Public Policy Polling[61] April 1–2, 2014 886 ± 3.1% 41% 45% — — 14%
Public Policy Polling[62] February 18–20, 2014 693 ± 3.7% 40% 42% — — 18%
Wilson Perkins Allen[63] January 29, 2014 ? ± ? 42% 31% — — 27%
SurveyUSA[64] October 23–24, 2013 511 ± 4.4% 39% 43% — 12% 6%
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Carl
Brewer (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[65] February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 44% 40% — 15%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Tom
Holland (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[65] February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 45% 38% — 17%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Mark
Parkinson (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[65] February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 45% 39% — 16%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Joe
Reardon (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[65] February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 45% 36% — 19%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Kathleen
Sebelius (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[65] February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 48% 43% — 9%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Chad
Taylor (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[65] February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 44% 34% — 22%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2014 Kansas gubernatorial election[66]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Sam Brownback (incumbent) 433,196 49.82% −13.46%
Democratic Paul Davis 401,100 46.13% +13.92%
Libertarian Keen Umbehr 35,206 4.05% +1.37%
Total votes 869,502 100.00% N/A
Republican hold
Close

By county

More information County, San Brownback Republican ...
County[67] San Brownback
Republican		 Paul Davis
Democratic		 Keen Umbehr
Libertarian		 Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Allen 2,268 50.85% 1,981 44.42% 211 4.73% 287 6.43% 4,460
Anderson 1,484 57.72% 940 36.56% 147 5.72% 544 21.16% 2,571
Atchison 2,461 51.61% 2,129 44.65% 178 3.73% 332 6.96% 4,768
Barber 1,157 66.15% 520 29.73% 72 4.12% 637 36.42% 1,749
Barton 4,973 61.58% 2,769 34.29% 334 4.14% 2,204 27.29% 8,076
Bourbon 3,010 59.60% 1,844 36.51% 196 3.88% 1,166 23.09% 5,050
Brown 1,825 57.03% 1,236 38.63% 139 4.34% 589 18.41% 3,200
Butler 11,803 56.83% 8,006 38.55% 961 4.63% 3,797 18.28% 20,770
Chase 586 54.21% 440 40.70% 55 5.09% 146 13.51% 1,081
Chautauqua 758 68.17% 280 25.18% 74 6.65% 478 42.99% 1,112
Cherokee 3,552 58.82% 2,262 37.46% 225 3.73% 1,290 21.36% 6,039
Cheyenne 804 75.63% 219 20.60% 40 3.76% 585 55.03% 1,063
Clark 556 66.99% 240 28.92% 34 4.10% 316 38.07% 830
Clay 1,872 59.56% 1,125 35.79% 146 4.65% 747 23.77% 3,143
Cloud 1,889 58.98% 1,176 36.72% 138 4.31% 713 22.26% 3,203
Coffey 1,818 57.55% 1,167 36.94% 174 5.51% 651 20.61% 3,159
Comanche 462 67.94% 187 27.50% 31 4.56% 275 40.44% 680
Cowley 4,769 48.40% 4,618 46.87% 466 4.73% 151 1.53% 9,853
Crawford 4,652 43.31% 5,732 53.37% 356 3.31% -1,080 -10.06% 10,740
Decatur 904 73.32% 292 23.68% 37 3.00% 612 49.64% 1,233
Dickinson 3,824 59.31% 2,204 34.18% 420 6.51% 1,620 25.12% 6,448
Doniphan 1,491 65.80% 668 29.48% 107 4.72% 823 36.32% 2,266
Douglas 9,545 25.16% 27,424 72.28% 974 2.57% -17,879 -47.12% 37,943
Edwards 766 66.55% 347 30.15% 38 3.30% 419 36.40% 1,151
Elk 622 56.80% 401 36.62% 72 6.58% 221 20.18% 1,095
Ellis 5,072 53.25% 4,085 42.89% 368 3.86% 987 10.36% 9,525
Ellsworth 1,258 54.86% 925 40.34% 110 4.80% 333 14.52% 2,293
Finney 4,144 61.05% 2,406 35.44% 238 3.51% 1,738 25.60% 6,788
Ford 3,824 61.82% 2,088 33.75% 274 4.43% 1,736 28.06% 6,186
Franklin 4,166 52.93% 3,285 41.74% 420 5.34% 881 11.19% 7,871
Geary 2,574 51.19% 2,200 43.75% 254 5.05% 374 7.44% 5,028
Gove 810 71.49% 286 25.24% 37 3.27% 524 46.25% 1,133
Graham 743 63.78% 365 31.33% 57 4.89% 378 32.45% 1,165
Grant 1,157 65.11% 507 28.53% 113 6.36% 650 36.58% 1,777
Gray 1,113 67.91% 452 27.58% 74 4.51% 661 40.33% 1,639
Greeley 383 68.39% 154 27.50% 23 4.11% 229 40.89% 560
Greenwood 1,365 61.02% 745 33.30% 127 5.68% 620 27.72% 2,237
Hamilton 462 64.98% 226 31.79% 23 3.23% 236 33.19% 711
Harper 1,234 61.61% 671 33.50% 98 4.89% 563 28.11% 2,003
Harvey 5,840 50.03% 5,454 46.73% 378 3.24% 386 3.31% 11,672
Haskell 774 73.57% 242 23.00% 36 3.42% 532 50.57% 1,052
Hodgeman 636 74.56% 195 22.86% 22 2.58% 441 51.70% 853
Jackson 2,315 47.92% 2,296 47.53% 220 4.55% 19 0.39% 4,831
Jefferson 3,073 46.79% 3,246 49.43% 248 3.78% -173 -2.63% 6,567
Jewell 747 66.70% 296 26.43% 77 6.88% 451 40.27% 1,120
Johnson 94,787 49.18% 92,416 47.95% 5,549 2.88% 2,371 1.23% 192,752
Kearny 716 71.31% 262 26.10% 26 2.59% 454 45.22% 1,004
Kingman 1,724 60.07% 1,002 34.91% 144 5.02% 722 25.16% 2,870
Kiowa 608 67.41% 259 28.71% 35 3.88% 349 38.69% 902
Labette 3,017 52.57% 2,492 43.42% 230 4.01% 525 9.15% 5,739
Lane 509 66.80% 220 28.87% 33 4.33% 289 37.93% 762
Leavenworth 10,217 51.16% 8,872 44.42% 882 4.42% 1,345 6.73% 19,971
Lincoln 737 62.51% 400 33.93% 42 3.56% 337 28.58% 1,179
Linn 1,978 64.10% 977 31.66% 131 4.24% 1,001 32.44% 3,086
Logan 766 72.74% 236 22.41% 51 4.84% 530 50.33% 1,053
Lyon 3,520 39.15% 5,053 56.20% 418 4.65% -1,533 -17.05% 8,991
Marion 2,553 57.79% 1,634 36.99% 231 5.23% 919 20.80% 4,418
Marshall 1,990 53.48% 1,563 42.00% 168 4.51% 427 11.48% 3,721
McPherson 5,561 54.75% 4,183 41.18% 414 4.08% 1,378 13.57% 10,158
Meade 994 69.51% 381 26.64% 55 3.85% 613 42.87% 1,430
Miami 6,107 58.01% 4,021 38.20% 399 3.79% 2,086 19.82% 10,527
Mitchell 1,464 62.89% 765 32.86% 99 4.25% 699 30.03% 2,328
Montgomery 5,495 63.07% 2,853 32.74% 365 4.19% 2,642 30.32% 8,713
Morris 1,000 47.35% 912 43.18% 200 9.47% 88 4.17% 2,112
Morton 597 65.89% 268 29.58% 41 4.53% 329 36.31% 906
Nemaha 2,616 62.24% 1,444 34.36% 143 3.40% 1,172 27.88% 4,203
Neosho 2,644 54.35% 2,007 41.25% 214 4.40% 637 13.09% 4,865
Ness 880 74.58% 260 22.03% 40 3.39% 620 52.54% 1,180
Norton 1,216 66.67% 518 28.40% 90 4.93% 698 38.27% 1,824
Osage 2,871 49.47% 2,573 44.33% 360 6.20% 298 5.13% 5,804
Osborne 919 63.60% 440 30.45% 86 5.95% 479 33.15% 1,445
Ottawa 1,500 63.88% 677 28.83% 171 7.28% 823 35.05% 2,348
Pawnee 1,126 52.49% 938 43.73% 81 3.78% 188 8.76% 2,145
Phillips 1,753 69.45% 633 25.08% 138 5.47% 1,120 44.37% 2,524
Pottawatomie 4,989 61.65% 2,633 32.54% 470 5.81% 2,356 29.12% 8,092
Pratt 1,719 54.57% 1,298 41.21% 133 4.22% 421 13.37% 3,150
Rawlins 872 75.30% 242 20.90% 44 3.80% 630 54.40% 1,158
Reno 9,772 51.25% 8,478 44.46% 819 4.29% 1,294 6.79% 19,069
Republic 1,290 63.99% 615 30.51% 111 5.51% 675 33.48% 2,016
Rice 1,769 59.42% 1,064 35.74% 144 4.84% 705 23.68% 2,977
Riley 6,784 43.79% 8,035 51.87% 673 4.34% -1,251 -8.08% 15,492
Rooks 1,416 69.82% 506 24.95% 106 5.23% 910 44.87% 2,028
Rush 814 61.11% 452 33.93% 66 4.95% 362 27.18% 1,332
Russell 1,581 61.23% 867 33.58% 134 5.19% 714 27.65% 2,582
Saline 8,479 48.45% 7,830 44.74% 1,192 6.81% 649 3.71% 17,501
Scott 1,271 73.55% 385 22.28% 72 4.17% 886 51.27% 1,728
Sedgwick 69,868 48.94% 66,719 46.73% 6,187 4.33% 3,149 2.21% 142,774
Seward 2,225 67.53% 925 28.07% 145 4.40% 1,300 39.45% 3,295
Shawnee 23,621 38.14% 35,826 57.85% 2,482 4.01% -12,205 -19.71% 61,929
Sheridan 776 73.07% 254 23.92% 32 3.01% 522 49.15% 1,062
Sherman 1,453 72.22% 479 23.81% 80 3.98% 974 48.41% 2,012
Smith 1,135 65.68% 509 29.46% 84 4.86% 626 36.23% 1,728
Stafford 950 62.34% 513 33.66% 61 4.00% 437 28.67% 1,524
Stanton 521 73.48% 161 22.71% 27 3.81% 360 50.78% 709
Stevens 946 66.67% 419 29.53% 54 3.81% 527 37.14% 1,419
Sumner 3,814 51.89% 3,146 42.80% 390 5.31% 668 9.09% 7,350
Thomas 1,747 64.46% 844 31.14% 119 4.39% 903 33.32% 2,710
Trego 764 64.15% 376 31.57% 51 4.28% 388 32.58% 1,191
Wabaunsee 1,443 50.28% 912 31.78% 515 17.94% 531 18.50% 2,870
Wallace 510 80.95% 93 14.76% 27 4.29% 417 66.19% 630
Washington 1,547 67.53% 641 27.98% 103 4.50% 906 39.55% 2,291
Wichita 596 78.11% 136 17.82% 31 4.06% 460 60.29% 763
Wilson 1,703 65.12% 806 30.82% 106 4.05% 897 34.30% 2,615
Woodson 613 56.86% 418 38.78% 47 4.36% 195 18.09% 1,078
Wyandotte 8,802 30.59% 18,928 65.78% 1,043 3.62% -10,126 -35.19% 28,773
Totals433,19649.82%401,10046.13%35,2064.05%32,0963.69%869,502
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Brownback won two of four congressional districts, with the remaining two going to Davis, which both elected Republicans.[68]

More information District, Brownback ...
District Brownback Davis Representative
1st 57% 38% Tim Huelskamp
2nd 45% 51% Lynn Jenkins
3rd 47% 50% Kevin Yoder
4th 51% 45% Mike Pompeo
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