2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
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The 2014 congressional election in Montana was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. Between 1993 and 2023, Montana had one at-large seat in the House.
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November 4, 2014
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 County results Zinke: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Lewis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Congressman Steve Daines was first elected in 2012. Instead of running for re-election, he successfully ran for the U.S. Senate election in 2014.[1] Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the elected will serve in the 114th United States Congress from January 3, 2015, until January 3, 2017.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Elsie Arntzen, state representative[2]
- Matt Rosendale, state senator[3]
- Corey Stapleton, former state senator and candidate for governor in 2012[4]
- Drew Turiano, real estate investor and candidate for Secretary of State of Montana in 2012[5]
- Ryan Zinke, former state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2012[6]
Withdrew
- Brad Johnson, former Secretary of State of Montana (running for Montana Public Service Commission)[7]
Declined
- Steve Daines, incumbent U.S. Representative (running for the U.S. Senate)[8]
- Champ Edmunds, state representative (running for the U.S. Senate)[9]
- Denny Rehberg, former U.S. Representative, former lieutenant governor and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996 and 2012[10]
- Scott Reichner, state representative[11]
- Jon Sonju, state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2012[11]
Polling
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ryan Zinke | 43,766 | 33.25 | |
| Republican | Corey Stapleton | 38,591 | 29.32 | |
| Republican | Matt Rosendale | 37,965 | 28.84 | |
| Republican | Elsie Arntzen | 9,011 | 6.85 | |
| Republican | Drew Turiano | 2,290 | 1.74 | |
| Total votes | 131,623 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- John Driscoll, former Public Service Commissioner, former Speaker of the Montana House of Representatives and nominee for the seat in 2008[14]
- John Lewis, former state director for U.S. Senator Max Baucus[15]
Withdrew
Declined
- Pam Bucy, Montana Commissioner of Labor and Industry and nominee for Attorney General of Montana in 2012[17]
- Shane Colton, attorney and former commissioner of the Montana Department of Fish, Wildlife and Parks[17]
- Amanda Curtis, state representative[18]
- John Engen, Mayor of Missoula[19]
- Kim Gillan, state senator and nominee for the seat in 2012[20][21]
- Denise Juneau, Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction[22]
- Jesse Laslovich, former state senator, Chief Legal Counsel to Montana State Auditor Monica Lindeen and candidate for Attorney General of Montana in 2012[17]
- Monica Lindeen, Montana State Auditor[23]
- Kendall Van Dyk, state senator[24]
- John Walsh, United States Senator former Lieutenant Governor of Montana and former Adjutant General of the Montana National Guard (running for the U.S. Senate)[25]
- Carol Williams, former Majority Leader of the Montana State Senate[26]
- John Patrick Williams, former U.S. Representative[26]
- Whitney Williams, former director of operations for Hillary Clinton[26]
- Franke Wilmer, state representative[27]
Endorsements
John Lewis
- Max Baucus, former U.S. Senator (D-MT)[28]
- Steve Bullock, Governor of Montana[28]
- Jon Tester, U.S. Senator (D-MT)[28]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Lewis | 42,588 | 59.84 | |
| Democratic | John Driscoll | 28,580 | 40.16 | |
| Total votes | 71,168 | 100 | ||
Libertarian nomination
Candidates
Declared
- Mike Fellows, businessman and chair of the Libertarian Party of Montana[29]
Independents
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Shawn White Wolf, counselor for the Montana United Indian Association and candidate for the Montana House of Representatives in 2010[30]
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ryan Zinke (R) |
John Lewis (D) |
Mike Fellows (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[31] | October 23–24, 2014 | 604 | ± 4% | 53% | 41% | — | 6% |
| The MSU-Billings Poll[32] | October 6–11, 2014 | 410 | ± 5% | 40% | 33% | 2% | 25% |
| Gravis Marketing[33] | September 29–30, 2014 | 535 | ± 4% | 51% | 41% | — | 8% |
| Vox Populi Polling[34] | August 3–4, 2014 | 798 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 37% | — | 19% |
| Gravis Marketing[35] | July 20–22, 2014 | 741 | ± 4% | 47% | 35% | 6% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling[36] | November 15–17, 2013 | 952 | ± 3.2% | 37% | 32% | — | 30% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brad Johnson (R) |
John Lewis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[36] | November 15–17, 2013 | 952 | ± 3.2% | 43% | 32% | — | 26% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matthew Rosendale (R) |
John Lewis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[36] | November 15–17, 2013 | 952 | ± 3.2% | 37% | 32% | — | 31% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Corey Stapleton (R) |
John Lewis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[36] | November 15–17, 2013 | 952 | ± 3.2% | 44% | 31% | — | 25% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[37] | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg[38] | Safe R | October 24, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] | Likely R | October 30, 2014 |
| RCP | Likely R | November 2, 2014 |
| Daily Kos Elections[40] | Safe R | November 4, 2014 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ryan Zinke | 203,871 | 55.41% | +2.16% | |
| Democratic | John Lewis | 148,690 | 40.41% | −2.13% | |
| Libertarian | Mike Fellows | 15,402 | 4.18% | +0.15% | |
| Total votes | 367,963 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||