2015 Kentucky gubernatorial election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2015 Kentucky gubernatorial election took place on November 3, 2015.[1] Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Beshear was ineligible to run for a third term due to term limits.[2] Primary elections were held on May 19, 2015.[1]
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November 3, 2015
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| Turnout | 30.6% ( 2.0%) | |||||||||||||||||||
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    Bevin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Conway: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Despite trailing in most pre-election polls, Republican nominee Matt Bevin defeated Democratic nominee Jack Conway by a margin of 52.5% to 43.8% in the general election. Statewide turnout in this election was 30%. With a margin of 8.7%, this election was the closest race of the 2015 gubernatorial election cycle. This was the first time since 2003 that a Republican was elected governor of Kentucky, and the most recent time that this has occurred.
This is the only instance in history in which Knott County has backed a Republican candidate for governor. This was the only Democratic-held governorship up for election in 2015.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Jack Conway, attorney general of Kentucky (2008–2016) and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010[3]
- Running mate: Sannie Overly, state representative[3]
- Geoff Young, retired engineer and candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2014[4]
Declined
- Jerry Abramson, White House Director of Intergovernmental Affairs, former lieutenant governor of Kentucky and former mayor of Louisville[6]
- Rocky Adkins, majority leader of the Kentucky House of Representatives[7][8]
- Ben Chandler, former U.S. representative, former attorney general of Kentucky and nominee for governor in 2003[9][10][11][12]
- Luther Deaton, banker[13][14]
- Adam Edelen, state auditor of Kentucky (ran for re-election)[15][16][17]
- Greg Fischer, mayor of Louisville[18]
- Alison Lundergan Grimes, secretary of state of Kentucky and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (ran for re-election)[19]
- Crit Luallen, lieutenant governor of Kentucky and former state auditor of Kentucky[20][21]
- Daniel Mongiardo, former lieutenant governor of Kentucky and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004[15]
- Greg Stumbo, speaker of the Kentucky House of Representatives, former attorney general of Kentucky and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2007[8][22][23][24][25]
- John Yarmuth, U.S. representative[26]
Endorsements
Jack Conway/Sannie Overly
Statewide elected officials
- Wendell H. Ford, former U.S. senator and former governor[27]
- Crit Luallen, lieutenant governor of Kentucky and former state auditor of Kentucky[27]
- Alison Lundergan Grimes, secretary of state of Kentucky[27]
- John Yarmuth, U.S. representative[27]
Individuals
- Dan Boaz, McCracken County commonwealth's attorney[28]
- Les Burgett, Perry County sheriff[29]
- Bobby Carpenter, Greenup County judge/executive[30]
- John Estill, Mason County attorney[31]
- John Gardner, Barren and Metcalfe counties commonwealth's attorney[32]
- Steve Gold, Henderson County attorney[33]
- Elisabeth Jensen, education advocate and nominee for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2014[34]
- Jim King, Louisville Metro Council president[35]
- David O'Neill, Fayette County property valuation administrator[36]
- G.L. Ovey, Lyon County commonwealth's attorney[37]
- Mike Pryor, Nicholas County judge/executive[38]
- Tommy Turner, LaRue County judge/executive[39]
- Jim Ward, Letcher County Judge/Executive[40]
- G. Davis Wilson, Bourbon County attorney[41]
- David Yates, Louisville Metro councilman[42]
- Shane Young, Hardin County commonwealth's attorney[43]
Members of the Kentucky legislature
- Denver Butler, former state representative[44]
- Larry Clark, state representative and former speaker pro tem of the Kentucky House of Representatives[45]
- Leslie Combs, state representative[46]
- Mike Denham, state representative[47]
- Jeff Donohue, state representative[48]
- Kelly Flood, state representative[49]
- Ray Jones II, state senator[50]
- Morgan McGarvey, state senator[51]
- Gerald Neal, state senator[52]
- Jerry Rhoads, former state senator[53]
- Dorsey Ridley, state senator[54]
- Rita Smart, state representative[55]
- Doc Watkins, state representative[56]
- Ed Worley, former minority leader of the Kentucky Senate and former state senator[57]
Organizations
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 369[58]
- Jefferson County Teachers Association[59]
- Teamsters Joint Council 94[60]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jack Conway |
Geoff Young |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA[61] | May 5–10, 2015 | 707 | ± 3.5% | 68% | 13% | 19% |
| Survey USA[62] | March 3–8, 2015 | 640 | ± 3.9% | 61% | 12% | 27% |
| Harper Polling[63] | January 28–31, 2015 | 255 | ± 6.14% | 59% | 13% | 28% |
Results
Conway
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 140,627 | 78.8% | ||
| Democratic |
|
37,887 | 21.2% | |
| Total votes | 178,514 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Matt Bevin, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[65][66]
- Running mate: Jenean Hampton, former chairwoman of the Bowling Green/Southern Kentucky Tea Party and nominee for the 20th Kentucky House district in 2014[67][68]
- James Comer, agriculture commissioner of Kentucky, 2012–2016; and former state representative, 2001-2012[69]
- Running mate: Christian McDaniel, state senator, 2013–present[70]
- Hal Heiner, former member of the Louisville Metro Council, 2003–2010; and nominee for mayor of Louisville in 2010[71]
- Running mate: K.C. Crosbie, former Lexington-Fayette Urban County councilwoman, 2006–2014; former finance chairwoman and national chairwoman for the Republican Party of Kentucky, and nominee for Kentucky state treasurer in 2011[72]
- Will T. Scott, former associate justice of the Kentucky Supreme Court, 2005–2015; nominee for attorney general of Kentucky in 1995 and for KY-07 in 1988 and 1990[73][74]
- Running mate: Rodney Coffey, former Menifee County sheriff, 1999–2014; Kentucky Sheriffs Association president, 2014-2015[75]
Withdrew
- Robert Lee Rosier, U.S. Army veteran[76]
- Running mate: John Yuen, candidate for the State Senate in 2012[76]
Declined
- Cathy Bailey, businesswoman and former United States Ambassador to Latvia[77]
- Andy Barr, U.S. representative[78][79]
- Jess Correll, banker[80]
- Richie Farmer, former agriculture commissioner of Kentucky[81][82][83]
- Ernie Fletcher, former governor and former U.S. representative[84]
- Trey Grayson, former secretary of state of Kentucky and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[85]
- Brett Guthrie, U.S. representative[80][86][87]
- Thomas Massie, U.S. representative[88]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. senator and Senate majority leader[89]
- Phil Moffett, businessman, Tea Party activist and candidate for governor in 2011[90][91]
- Rand Paul, U.S. senator and 2016 presidential candidate[92]
- David L. Williams, judge on the Kentucky Circuit Courts, former president of the Kentucky Senate and nominee for governor in 2011[93]
Endorsements
James Comer/Chris McDaniel
Individuals
- Jim Bunning, former U.S. senator[94]
- Julie Denton, state senator[95]
- Ron Lewis, former U.S. representative[96]
- Thomas Massie, U.S. representative for Kentucky's 4th congressional district[97]
- Anne Northup, former U.S. representative and candidate for governor in 2007[95]
- Ed Whitfield, U.S. representative[98]
Organizations
- Associated General Contractors[99]
Hal Heiner/K.C. Crosbie
Individuals
- Rebecca Jackson, former Jefferson County judge/executive and candidate for governor in 2003[95]
Organizations
- Kentucky Pastors Action Coalition[100]
Matt Bevin/Jenean Hampton
Individuals
- Hugh Hewitt, author and talk radio personality[101]
- Sally Oh, co-founder of the Lexington Tea Party[102]
Newspapers
- Cincinnati Enquirer[103]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Cathy Bailey |
Matt Bevin |
James Comer |
Hal Heiner |
Will T. Scott |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA[61] | May 5–10, 2015 | 517 | ± 4.4% | — | 27% | 26% | 25% | 8% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling[104] | May 6–7, 2015 | 501 | ± 4.4% | — | 25% | 28% | 27% | — | 20% |
| Triumph Campaigns[105] | March 26, 2015 | 601 | ± 4% | — | 12% | 19% | 33% | 3% | 29% |
| Survey USA[62] | March 3–8, 2015 | 520 | ± 4.4% | — | 20% | 20% | 28% | 8% | 25% |
| Harper Polling[63] | January 28–31, 2015 | 261 | ± 6.07% | — | 18% | 25% | 19% | 9% | 30% |
| Remington Research[106] | January 27–28, 2015 | 1,000 | ± ? | — | 19% | 22% | 18% | 5% | 26% |
| Public Policy Polling[107] | August 7–10, 2014 | 383 | ± ? | 11% | 25% | 20% | 18% | — | 26% |
| — | — | 22% | 28% | — | 50% | ||||
| Public Opinion Strategies[108] | February 26–27, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | — | — | 42% | 14% | — | 13% |
Results
Bevin
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Comer
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- 90–100%
Heiner
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Scott
- 30–40%
- 60–70%
Tie
- 20–30%
On May 19, 2015, Matt Bevin won the Republican primary, defeating second-place finisher James Comer by 83 votes.[64]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 70,480 | 32.91% | ||
| Republican | 70,397 | 32.89% | ||
| Republican |
|
57,951 | 27.10% | |
| Republican |
|
15,365 | 7.20% | |
| Total votes | 214,187 | 100.00% | ||
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Drew Curtis, entrepreneur and founder and CEO of Fark.com[109]
- Running mate: Heather Curtis, COO of Fark.com and wife of Drew Curtis[109]
- Gatewood Galbraith (formerly Terrill Wayne Newman), social worker (distinguish from politician Gatewood Galbraith)[110][111]
- Running mate: Elisabeth Anderson, retired legal secretary
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[112] | Tossup | October 26, 2015 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[113] | Tilt D | October 27, 2015 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[114] | Lean D | October 29, 2015 |
| DKE[115] | Tossup | October 29, 2015 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jack Conway (D) |
Matt Bevin (R) |
Drew Curtis (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vox Populi[116] | October 26–27, 2015 | 618 | ± 3.9% | 44% | 44% | 6% | 6% |
| 43% | 46% | 6% | 7% | ||||
| Survey USA[117] | October 23–26, 2015 | 798 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 40% | 6% | 10% |
| WKU Social Science Research Center[118] | October 19–25, 2015 | 770 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 40% | 7% | 8% |
| Mason-Dixon[119] | October 6–8, 2015 | 625 | ± 4% | 43% | 41% | 6% | 10% |
| Survey USA[120] | September 22–27, 2015 | 701 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 37% | 7% | 15% |
| Survey USA[121] | July 22–28, 2015 | 685 | ± 3.8% | 43% | 38% | 8% | 11% |
| 45% | 42% | — | 13% | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[122] | June 18–21, 2015 | 1,108 | ± 2.9% | 35% | 38% | 6% | 21% |
| 38% | 40% | — | 22% | ||||
| Survey USA[61] | May 5–10, 2015 | 1,677 | ± 2.4% | 48% | 37% | — | 16% |
| Survey USA[62] | March 3–8, 2015 | 1,917 | ± 2.3% | 42% | 36% | — | 22% |
| Harper Polling[63] | January 28–29, 2015 | 640 | ± 3.87% | 45% | 41% | — | 14% |
| Gravis Marketing[123] | January 5–6, 2015 | 608 | ± 4% | 44% | 36% | — | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling[107] | August 7–10, 2014 | 991 | ± 3.1% | 39% | 36% | — | 25% |
Hypothetical polling
Conway vs. Bailey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jack Conway (D) |
Cathy Bailey (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[123] | January 5–6, 2015 | 608 | ± 4% | 43% | 30% | — | 27% |
| Public Policy Polling[107] | August 7–10, 2014 | 991 | ± 3.1% | 42% | 30% | — | 28% |
Conway vs. Comer
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jack Conway (D) |
James Comer (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA[61] | May 5–10, 2015 | 1,677 | ± 2.4% | 45% | 39% | — | 16% |
| Survey USA[62] | March 3–8, 2015 | 1,917 | ± 2.3% | 40% | 38% | — | 22% |
| Harper Polling[63] | January 28–29, 2015 | 640 | ± 3.87% | 41% | 45% | — | 14% |
| Gravis Marketing[123] | January 5–6, 2015 | 608 | ± 4% | 40% | 37% | — | 23% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang*[124] | December 19–21, 2014 | 608 | ± 4% | 48% | 36% | — | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling[107] | August 7–10, 2014 | 991 | ± 3.1% | 38% | 35% | — | 27% |
Conway vs. Heiner
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jack Conway (D) |
Hal Heiner (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA[61] | May 5–10, 2015 | 1,677 | ± 2.4% | 48% | 36% | — | 16% |
| Survey USA[62] | March 3–8, 2015 | 1,917 | ± 2.3% | 41% | 38% | — | 21% |
| Harper Polling[63] | January 28–29, 2015 | 640 | ± 3.87% | 42% | 44% | — | 14% |
| Gravis Marketing[123] | January 5–6, 2015 | 608 | ± 4% | 43% | 34% | — | 22% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang*[124] | December 19–21, 2014 | 608 | ± 4% | 51% | 30% | — | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling[107] | August 7–10, 2014 | 991 | ± 3.1% | 39% | 32% | — | 28% |
| Gravis Marketing[125] | July 17–20, 2014 | 1,054 | ± 3% | 45% | 36% | — | 19% |
Conway vs. Scott
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jack Conway (D) |
Will T. Scott (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA[61] | May 5–10, 2015 | 1,677 | ± 2.4% | 48% | 32% | — | 20% |
| Survey USA[62] | March 3–8, 2015 | 1,917 | ± 2.3% | 43% | 33% | — | 24% |
| Harper Polling[63] | January 28–29, 2015 | 640 | ± 3.87% | 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
- * Poll for the Kentucky Democratic Party
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 511,374 | 52.52 | +17.23 | ||
| Democratic | 426,620 | 43.81 | −11.91 | ||
| Independent |
|
35,597 | 3.66 | N/A | |
| Write-in |
|
71 | 0.01 | N/A | |
| Write-in |
|
30 | 0.00 | N/A | |
| Total votes | 973,692 | 100.0 | N/A | ||
| Turnout | 978,767 | 30.57 | +1.96 | ||
| Registered electors | 3,201,847 | ||||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
By county
| County[130] | Matt Bevin (R) | Jack Conway (D) | All Others | Total votes cast | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | # | % | # | % | # | ||
| Adair | 66.33% | 2,727 | 30.84% | 1,268 | 2.82% | 116 | 4,111 |
| Allen | 69.00% | 2,344 | 28.76% | 977 | 2.24% | 76 | 3,397 |
| Anderson | 55.34% | 3,724 | 39.16% | 2,635 | 5.50% | 370 | 6,729 |
| Ballard | 55.20% | 1,312 | 41.65% | 990 | 3.16% | 75 | 2,377 |
| Barren | 57.40% | 5,289 | 38.72% | 3,568 | 3.88% | 358 | 9,215 |
| Bath | 46.65% | 1,045 | 49.87% | 1,117 | 3.48% | 78 | 2,240 |
| Bell | 58.60% | 2,425 | 37.60% | 1,556 | 3.79% | 157 | 4,138 |
| Boone | 65.78% | 15,842 | 30.80% | 7,418 | 3.41% | 822 | 24,082 |
| Bourbon | 45.34% | 2,202 | 51.68% | 2,510 | 2.99% | 145 | 4,857 |
| Boyd | 51.70% | 4,747 | 45.24% | 4,154 | 3.06% | 281 | 9,182 |
| Boyle | 54.72% | 3,968 | 40.65% | 2,948 | 4.63% | 336 | 7,252 |
| Bracken | 53.78% | 854 | 42.82% | 680 | 3.40% | 54 | 1,588 |
| Breathitt | 49.81% | 1,313 | 45.83% | 1,208 | 4.36% | 115 | 2,636 |
| Breckinridge | 56.78% | 2,648 | 39.84% | 1,858 | 3.39% | 158 | 4,664 |
| Bullitt | 57.86% | 9,856 | 38.11% | 6,492 | 4.03% | 686 | 17,034 |
| Butler | 67.24% | 1,786 | 30.38% | 807 | 2.37% | 63 | 2,656 |
| Caldwell | 58.97% | 1,838 | 37.86% | 1,180 | 3.18% | 99 | 3,117 |
| Calloway | 55.44% | 4,742 | 41.59% | 3,558 | 2.97% | 254 | 8,554 |
| Campbell | 54.15% | 10,671 | 41.90% | 8,258 | 3.95% | 779 | 19,708 |
| Carlisle | 60.66% | 899 | 37.85% | 561 | 1.48% | 22 | 1,482 |
| Carroll | 46.61% | 867 | 49.62% | 923 | 3.76% | 70 | 1,860 |
| Carter | 53.62% | 2,405 | 43.57% | 1,954 | 2.81% | 126 | 4,485 |
| Casey | 79.31% | 2,836 | 18.15% | 649 | 2.54% | 91 | 3,576 |
| Christian | 56.91% | 4,830 | 40.60% | 3,446 | 2.49% | 211 | 8,487 |
| Clark | 54.55% | 4,551 | 41.33% | 3,448 | 4.12% | 344 | 8,343 |
| Clay | 71.11% | 2,311 | 26.65% | 866 | 2.25% | 73 | 3,250 |
| Clinton | 76.36% | 1,531 | 22.14% | 444 | 1.50% | 30 | 2,005 |
| Crittenden | 65.52% | 1,450 | 31.86% | 705 | 2.62% | 58 | 2,213 |
| Cumberland | 70.93% | 927 | 26.17% | 342 | 2.91% | 38 | 1,307 |
| Daviess | 55.12% | 13,483 | 42.38% | 10,366 | 2.50% | 611 | 24,460 |
| Edmonson | 63.02% | 1,503 | 33.75% | 805 | 3.23% | 77 | 2,385 |
| Elliott | 40.21% | 495 | 57.35% | 706 | 2.44% | 30 | 1,231 |
| Estill | 63.08% | 1,770 | 31.72% | 890 | 5.20% | 146 | 2,806 |
| Fayette | 39.72% | 27,788 | 54.64% | 38,220 | 5.64% | 3,945 | 69,953 |
| Fleming | 57.65% | 1,907 | 38.81% | 1,284 | 3.54% | 117 | 3,308 |
| Floyd | 42.04% | 3,390 | 54.46% | 4,392 | 3.50% | 282 | 8,064 |
| Franklin | 35.20% | 5,942 | 58.29% | 9,839 | 6.51% | 1,098 | 16,879 |
| Fulton | 51.45% | 568 | 45.65% | 504 | 2.90% | 32 | 1,104 |
| Gallatin | 56.16% | 739 | 39.89% | 525 | 3.95% | 52 | 1,316 |
| Garrard | 65.67% | 2,542 | 29.91% | 1,158 | 4.42% | 171 | 3,871 |
| Grant | 62.51% | 2,433 | 34.07% | 1,326 | 3.42% | 133 | 3,892 |
| Graves | 60.84% | 5,370 | 36.13% | 3,189 | 3.04% | 268 | 8,827 |
| Grayson | 62.86% | 3,246 | 33.54% | 1,732 | 3.60% | 186 | 5,164 |
| Green | 69.66% | 2,018 | 27.82% | 806 | 2.52% | 73 | 2,897 |
| Greenup | 57.12% | 4,432 | 40.07% | 3,109 | 2.81% | 218 | 7,759 |
| Hancock | 49.93% | 1,114 | 47.69% | 1,064 | 2.38% | 53 | 2,231 |
| Hardin | 56.71% | 11,586 | 39.30% | 8,029 | 3.99% | 815 | 20,430 |
| Harlan | 62.34% | 3,099 | 33.61% | 1,671 | 4.04% | 201 | 4,971 |
| Harrison | 51.15% | 2,093 | 43.45% | 1,778 | 5.40% | 221 | 4,092 |
| Hart | 57.48% | 2,043 | 38.80% | 1,379 | 3.71% | 132 | 3,554 |
| Henderson | 47.19% | 4,837 | 49.92% | 5,117 | 2.90% | 297 | 10,251 |
| Henry | 52.75% | 2,126 | 42.68% | 1,720 | 4.57% | 184 | 4,030 |
| Hickman | 61.43% | 771 | 36.49% | 458 | 2.07% | 26 | 1,255 |
| Hopkins | 60.48% | 5,802 | 36.73% | 3,524 | 2.79% | 268 | 9,594 |
| Jackson | 83.36% | 2,310 | 14.18% | 393 | 2.45% | 68 | 2,771 |
| Jefferson | 38.57% | 74,427 | 58.16% | 112,232 | 3.27% | 6,302 | 192,961 |
| Jessamine | 61.93% | 7,581 | 33.77% | 4,134 | 4.30% | 526 | 12,241 |
| Johnson | 65.39% | 3,040 | 30.80% | 1,432 | 3.81% | 177 | 4,649 |
| Kenton | 57.25% | 18,007 | 39.11% | 12,301 | 3.64% | 1,145 | 31,453 |
| Knott | 55.88% | 1,612 | 39.55% | 1,141 | 4.58% | 132 | 2,885 |
| Knox | 67.35% | 3,706 | 29.69% | 1,634 | 2.96% | 163 | 5,503 |
| Larue | 59.79% | 2,009 | 36.13% | 1,214 | 4.08% | 137 | 3,360 |
| Laurel | 74.48% | 8,781 | 22.59% | 2,663 | 2.93% | 345 | 11,789 |
| Lawrence | 60.87% | 1,616 | 36.65% | 973 | 2.49% | 66 | 2,655 |
| Lee | 67.84% | 1,042 | 27.47% | 422 | 4.69% | 72 | 1,536 |
| Leslie | 77.43% | 1,654 | 20.18% | 431 | 2.39% | 51 | 2,136 |
| Letcher | 54.65% | 2,360 | 41.11% | 1,775 | 4.24% | 183 | 4,318 |
| Lewis | 73.56% | 1,833 | 23.43% | 584 | 3.01% | 75 | 2,492 |
| Lincoln | 64.36% | 3,289 | 31.82% | 1,626 | 3.82% | 195 | 5,110 |
| Livingston | 57.49% | 1,340 | 39.77% | 927 | 2.75% | 64 | 2,331 |
| Logan | 58.49% | 2,345 | 39.04% | 1,565 | 2.47% | 99 | 4,009 |
| Lyon | 52.32% | 1,208 | 45.17% | 1,043 | 2.51% | 58 | 2,309 |
| Madison | 55.87% | 10,268 | 39.98% | 7,348 | 4.16% | 764 | 18,380 |
| Magoffin | 53.86% | 1,229 | 43.25% | 987 | 2.89% | 66 | 2,282 |
| Marion | 41.20% | 1,591 | 55.20% | 2,132 | 3.60% | 139 | 3,862 |
| Marshall | 53.26% | 5,969 | 43.09% | 4,830 | 3.65% | 409 | 11,208 |
| Martin | 73.25% | 1,268 | 24.21% | 419 | 2.54% | 44 | 1,731 |
| Mason | 52.43% | 1,792 | 44.79% | 1,531 | 2.78% | 95 | 3,418 |
| McCracken | 58.42% | 9,028 | 39.03% | 6,031 | 2.55% | 394 | 15,453 |
| McCreary | 65.42% | 1,362 | 31.12% | 648 | 3.46% | 72 | 2,082 |
| McLean | 56.57% | 1,364 | 40.81% | 984 | 2.61% | 63 | 2,411 |
| Meade | 51.37% | 3,310 | 44.04% | 2,838 | 4.59% | 296 | 6,444 |
| Menifee | 53.60% | 1,160 | 41.45% | 897 | 4.94% | 107 | 2,164 |
| Mercer | 60.22% | 3,517 | 35.17% | 2,054 | 4.61% | 269 | 5,840 |
| Metcalfe | 57.76% | 1,344 | 38.16% | 888 | 4.08% | 95 | 2,327 |
| Monroe | 67.32% | 1,642 | 29.56% | 721 | 3.12% | 76 | 2,439 |
| Montgomery | 54.61% | 3,271 | 41.39% | 2,479 | 4.01% | 240 | 5,990 |
| Morgan | 54.93% | 1,355 | 40.90% | 1,009 | 4.18% | 103 | 2,467 |
| Muhlenberg | 49.30% | 3,613 | 47.12% | 3,453 | 3.58% | 262 | 7,328 |
| Nelson | 48.35% | 4,902 | 48.14% | 4,880 | 3.51% | 356 | 10,138 |
| Nicholas | 38.20% | 563 | 58.14% | 857 | 3.66% | 54 | 1,474 |
| Ohio | 59.41% | 3,115 | 38.15% | 2,000 | 2.44% | 128 | 5,243 |
| Oldham | 60.54% | 10,896 | 35.58% | 6,403 | 3.88% | 699 | 17,998 |
| Owen | 56.10% | 1,444 | 38.85% | 1,000 | 5.05% | 130 | 2,574 |
| Owsley | 70.47% | 580 | 26.73% | 220 | 2.79% | 23 | 823 |
| Pendleton | 59.92% | 1,567 | 35.79% | 936 | 4.28% | 112 | 2,615 |
| Perry | 62.00% | 3,276 | 35.14% | 1,857 | 2.86% | 151 | 5,284 |
| Pike | 54.76% | 6,146 | 42.24% | 4,741 | 2.99% | 336 | 11,223 |
| Powell | 52.48% | 1,335 | 43.63% | 1,110 | 3.89% | 99 | 2,544 |
| Pulaski | 72.00% | 10,623 | 24.83% | 3,664 | 3.17% | 467 | 14,754 |
| Robertson | 53.12% | 247 | 43.44% | 202 | 3.44% | 16 | 465 |
| Rockcastle | 74.33% | 2,536 | 21.81% | 744 | 3.87% | 132 | 3,412 |
| Rowan | 46.67% | 2,179 | 49.71% | 2,321 | 3.62% | 169 | 4,669 |
| Russell | 72.08% | 3,312 | 24.90% | 1,144 | 3.03% | 139 | 4,595 |
| Scott | 51.32% | 6,165 | 43.55% | 5,232 | 5.14% | 617 | 12,014 |
| Shelby | 56.74% | 6,573 | 39.49% | 4,575 | 3.76% | 436 | 11,584 |
| Simpson | 59.57% | 1,652 | 38.19% | 1,059 | 2.24% | 62 | 2,773 |
| Spencer | 62.84% | 3,169 | 33.81% | 1,705 | 3.35% | 169 | 5,043 |
| Taylor | 61.28% | 3,852 | 35.95% | 2,260 | 2.77% | 174 | 6,286 |
| Todd | 62.23% | 903 | 34.67% | 503 | 3.10% | 45 | 1,451 |
| Trigg | 55.01% | 1,746 | 42.28% | 1,342 | 2.71% | 86 | 3,174 |
| Trimble | 54.51% | 1,033 | 42.06% | 797 | 3.43% | 65 | 1,895 |
| Union | 47.53% | 1,829 | 50.10% | 1,928 | 2.36% | 91 | 3,848 |
| Warren | 55.17% | 12,411 | 41.58% | 9,354 | 3.25% | 730 | 22,495 |
| Washington | 57.38% | 1,796 | 38.50% | 1,205 | 4.12% | 129 | 3,130 |
| Wayne | 64.54% | 2,412 | 33.15% | 1,239 | 2.30% | 86 | 3,737 |
| Webster | 55.82% | 1,567 | 41.61% | 1,168 | 2.57% | 72 | 2,807 |
| Whitley | 69.73% | 4,772 | 27.13% | 1,857 | 3.14% | 215 | 6,844 |
| Wolfe | 46.15% | 689 | 51.11% | 763 | 2.75% | 41 | 1,493 |
| Woodford | 47.53% | 3,804 | 46.28% | 3,704 | 6.19% | 495 | 8,003 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Anderson (largest city: Lawrenceburg)
- Ballard (largest city: LaCenter)
- Barren (largest city: Glasgow)
- Bell (largest city: Middlesboro)
- Boyle (largest city: Danville)
- Bracken (largest city: Augusta)
- Breathitt (largest city: Jackson)
- Breckinridge (largest city: Hardinsburg)
- Bullitt (largest city: Mount Washington)
- Butler (largest city: Morgantown)
- Caldwell (largest city: Princeton)
- Calloway (largest city: Murray)
- Campbell (largest city: Fort Thomas)
- Carlisle (largest city: Bardwell)
- Carter (largest city: Grayson)
- Christian (largest city: Hopkinsville)
- Clark (largest city: Winchester)
- Daviess (largest city: Owensboro)
- Fleming (largest city: Flemingsburg)
- Fulton (largest city: Fulton)
- Gallatin (largest city: Warsaw)
- Garrard (largest city: Lancaster)
- Grant (largest city: Williamstown)
- Graves (largest city: Mayfield)
- Grayson (largest city: Leitchfield)
- Green (largest city: Greensburg)
- Greenup (largest city: Flatwoods)
- Hancock (largest city: Hawesville)
- Hardin (largest city: Elizabethtown)
- Harrison (largest city: Cynthiana)
- Hart (largest city: Horse Cave)
- Henry (largest city: Eminence)
- Hickman (largest city: Clinton)
- Hopkins (largest city: Madisonville)
- Jessamine (largest city: Nicholasville)
- Johnson (Largest city: Paintsville)
- Kenton (Largest city: Covington)
- Knott (largest municipality: Hindman)
- Knox (largest city: Barbourville)
- LaRue (largest city: Hodgenville)
- Lawrence (largest city: Louisa)
- Lincoln (largest city: Stanford)
- Livingston (largest city: Salem)
- Logan (largest city: Russellville)
- Lyon (largest city: Eddyville)
- Magoffin (largest city: Salyersville)
- Marshall (largest city: Benton)
- Madison (largest city: Richmond)
- Mason (largest city: Maysville)
- McCracken (largest city: Paducah)
- McLean (largest city: Livermore)
- Meade (largest city: Brandenburg)
- Menifee (largest municipality: Frenchburg)
- Mercer (largest city: Harrodsburg)
- Metcalfe (largest city: Edmonton)
- Montgomery (largest city: Mount Sterling)
- Morgan (largest city: West Liberty)
- Muhlenberg (largest city: Central City)
- Nelson (largest city: Bardstown)
- Ohio (largest city: Beaver Dam)
- Oldham (largest city: La Grange)
- Owen (largest city: Owenton)
- Pendleton (largest city: Falmouth)
- Powell (largest city: Stanton)
- Robertson (largest municipality: Mount Olivet)
- Scott (largest city: Georgetown)
- Shelby (largest city: Shelbyville)
- Simpson (largest city: Franklin)
- Spencer (largest city: Taylorsville)
- Taylor (largest city: Campbellsville)
- Warren (largest city: Bowling Green)
- Washington (largest city: Springfield)
- Webster (largest city: Providence)
- Woodford (largest city: Versailles)
By congressional district
Bevin won four of six congressional districts. Conway won the other two, including one held by a Republican.[130]
| District | Bevin | Conway | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 58.01% | 39.15% | Ed Whitfield |
| 2nd | 56.96% | 39.45% | Brett Guthrie |
| 3rd | 37.63% | 59.14% | John Yarmuth |
| 4th | 58.49% | 37.83% | Thomas Massie |
| 5th | 62.74% | 33.99% | Hal Rogers |
| 6th | 46.21% | 48.65% | Andy Barr |