2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
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The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 2.
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November 8, 2016
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All eight of Missouri's seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
| United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2016 | ||||||
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| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats Before | Seats After | +/– | |
| Republican | 1,600,524 | 58.20% | 6 | 6 |  | |
| Democratic | 1,041,306 | 37.86% | 2 | 2 | | |
| Libertarian | 96,492 | 3.51% | 0 | 0 | | |
| Green | 8,136 | 0.30% | 0 | 0 | | |
| Constitution | 3,605 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | | |
| Write-ins | 16 | <0.01% | 0 | 0 | | |
| Totals | 2,750,079 | 100.00% | 8 | 8 | 0 | |
District
Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri by district:
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 62,714 | 19.97% | 236,993 | 75.47% | 14,317 | 4.56% | 314,024 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 2 | 241,954 | 58.54% | 155,689 | 37.67% | 15,653 | 3.79% | 413,296 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 249,865 | 67.84% | 102,891 | 27.93% | 15,577 | 4.23% | 368,333 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 4 | 225,348 | 67.83% | 92,510 | 27.84% | 14,376 | 4.33% | 332,234 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 123,771 | 38.17% | 190,766 | 58.83% | 9,733 | 3.00% | 324,270 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 238,388 | 68.02% | 99,692 | 28.45% | 12,364 | 3.53% | 350,444 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 228,692 | 67.54% | 92,756 | 27.39% | 17,159 | 5.07% | 338,607 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 8 | 229,792 | 74.40% | 70,009 | 22.67% | 9,070 | 2.94% | 308,871 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| Total | 1,600,524 | 58.20% | 1,041,306 | 37.86% | 108,249 | 3.94% | 2,750,079 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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Clay: 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district includes all of St. Louis City and much of Northern St. Louis County, and it had a PVI of D+28. Incumbent Democrat Lacy Clay, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2014.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Maria Chappelle-Nadal, state senator[2]
- Bill Haas, perennial candidate[3]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lacy Clay (incumbent) | 56,139 | 62.6 | |
| Democratic | Maria Chappelle-Nadal | 24,059 | 26.9 | |
| Democratic | Bill Haas | 9,422 | 10.5 | |
| Total votes | 89,620 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steven G. Bailey
Eliminated in primary
- Paul Berry III, community activist[5]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steven G. Bailey | 12,450 | 67.2 | |
| Republican | Paul Berry III | 6,067 | 32.8 | |
| Total votes | 18,517 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Robb Cunningham
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Robb E. Cunningham | 367 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 367 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[8] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[10] | Safe D | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lacy Clay (incumbent) | 236,993 | 75.5 | |
| Republican | Steven Bailey | 62,714 | 20.0 | |
| Libertarian | Robb Cunningham | 14,317 | 4.5 | |
| Total votes | 314,024 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 2
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Wagner: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district includes the suburbs south and west of St. Louis City. Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner, who has represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2014 and the district had a PVI of R+8.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ann Wagner, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Greg Sears[12]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ann Wagner (incumbent) | 77,084 | 82.6 | |
| Republican | Greg Sears | 16,263 | 17.4 | |
| Total votes | 93,347 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Declined
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bill Otto | 40,379 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 40,379 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Higgins
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Jim Higgins | 553 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 367 | 100.0 | ||
Green Party
Candidates
Nominee
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[8] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[10] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ann Wagner (incumbent) | 241,954 | 58.5 | |
| Democratic | Bill Otto | 155,689 | 37.7 | |
| Libertarian | Jim Higgins | 11,758 | 2.9 | |
| Green | David Justus Arnold | 3,895 | 0.9 | |
| Total votes | 413,296 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
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Luetkemeyer: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The third district stretches from exurbs of St. Louis to the state capitol Jefferson City. Incumbent Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+13.
Republican primary
Luetkemeyer had been speculated about as a potential candidate for Governor of Missouri in the 2016, rather than as a candidate for re-election. In January 2015, Luetkemeyer said that he would "probably" run for re-election and not run for governor.[17]
Candidates
Nominee
- Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Cynthia Davis, former state representative and Constitution nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2012[12]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) | 84,274 | 73.5 | |
| Republican | Cynthia Davis | 30,440 | 26.5 | |
| Total votes | 114,714 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kevin Miller[12]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kevin Miller | 26,369 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 40,379 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Hogan
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Dan Hogan | 483 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 483 | 100.0 | ||
Constitution primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Doanita Simmons
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constitution | Doanita Simmons | 80 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 80 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[8] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[10] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) | 249,865 | 67.8 | |
| Democratic | Kevin Miller | 102,891 | 27.9 | |
| Libertarian | Dan Hogan | 11,962 | 3.3 | |
| Constitution | Doanita Simmons | 3,605 | 1.0 | |
| Independent | Harold Davis (write-in) | 10 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 368,333 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 4
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Hartzler: 40–50% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The fourth district takes in Columbia and much of rural west-central Missouri. Incumbent Republican Vicky Hartzler, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. She was re-elected in 2014 with 68% of the vote. The district had a PVI of R+13.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Vicky Hartzler, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) | 73,853 | 72.5 | |
| Republican | John E Webb | 28,037 | 27.5 | |
| Total votes | 101,890 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Jim White, a retired investment banker and 2012 State House candidate, was also running but announced on February 22, 2016, that he was suspending his campaign due to medical issues.[18][19]
Candidates
Nominee
- Gordon Christensen, University of Missouri Hospital Chief of Staff[20]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Jim White, retired investment banker and candidate for state representative in 2012
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gordon Christensen | 17,160 | 62.7 | |
| Democratic | Jack Truman | 10,196 | 37.3 | |
| Total votes | 27,356 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mark Bliss, co-pastor of a Warrensburg church group
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Mark Bliss | 521 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 521 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[8] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[10] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) | 225,348 | 67.8 | |
| Democratic | Gordon Christensen | 92,510 | 27.8 | |
| Libertarian | Mark Bliss | 14,376 | 4.3 | |
| Total votes | 332,234 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5
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Cleaver: 50–60% 60–70% Turk: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The fifth district encompasses most of Jackson County, the southern part of Clay County, and three other rural counties to the east. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who had represented the district since 2005, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+9.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Emanuel Cleaver, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Roberta Gough[12]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) | 48,755 | 88.2 | |
| Democratic | Roberta Gough | 6,519 | 11.8 | |
| Total votes | 55,274 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jacob Turk | 28,096 | 68.0 | |
| Republican | Michael Burris | 6,898 | 16.7 | |
| Republican | Austin Rucker | 4,137 | 10.0 | |
| Republican | Berton A. Knox | 2,166 | 5.3 | |
| Total votes | 41,297 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Roy Welborn
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Roy Welborn | 577 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 577 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[8] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[10] | Safe D | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) | 190,766 | 58.8 | |
| Republican | Jacob Turk | 123,771 | 38.2 | |
| Libertarian | Roy Welborn | 9,733 | 3.0 | |
| Total votes | 324,270 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 6
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Graves: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The sixth district encompasses rural northern Missouri. Incumbent Republican Sam Graves, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+12.
Republican primary
Donnie Swartz was challenging Graves for the Republican nomination, but was arrested for distribution of controlled substances.[22][23]
Candidates
Nominee
- Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Donnie Swartz
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sam Graves (incumbent) | 62,764 | 76.2 | |
| Republican | Christopher Ryan | 11,686 | 14.2 | |
| Republican | Kyle Reid | 7,910 | 9.6 | |
| Total votes | 82,360 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Blackwell
Eliminated in primary
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Blackwell | 7,983 | 28.0 | |
| Democratic | Kyle Yarber | 7,116 | 24.9 | |
| Democratic | Travis Gonzalez | 6,623 | 23.2 | |
| Democratic | Edward Dwayne Fields | 3,881 | 13.6 | |
| Democratic | Matthew McNabney | 2,931 | 10.3 | |
| Total votes | 28,534 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Russ Lee Monchil
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Russ Lee Monchil | 385 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 385 | 100.0 | ||
Green Party
Candidates
Nominee
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[8] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[10] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sam Graves (incumbent) | 238,388 | 68.0 | |
| Democratic | David Blackwell | 99,692 | 28.5 | |
| Libertarian | Russ Lee Monchil | 8,123 | 2.3 | |
| Green | Mike Diel | 4,241 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 350,444 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 7
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The seventh district takes in Springfield, Joplin, and much of the rest of rural southwestern Missouri. Incumbent Republican Billy Long, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+19, the most strongly Republican district of Missouri.
Republican primary
Businessman Christopher Batsche previously announced a primary challenge of Senator Roy Blunt but withdrew from that race and filed to challenge Long for the Republican nomination.[26][27]
Candidates
Nominee
- Billy Long, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Christopher Batsche, businessman
- Nathan Bradham[12]
- Mary Byrne, national speaker and co-founding member of Missouri Coalition Against Common Core
- Matt Canovi, civilian Law Enforcement contractor
- Matthew Evans
- James Nelson
- Lyndle Spencer, law enforcement officer and Iraq combat veteran
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Billy Long (incumbent) | 67,012 | 62.4 | |
| Republican | Mary Byrne | 14,069 | 13.1 | |
| Republican | Matt Canovi | 9,538 | 8.9 | |
| Republican | Matthew Evans | 5,346 | 5.0 | |
| Republican | Christopher Batsche | 4,860 | 4.5 | |
| Republican | Lyndle Spencer | 3,537 | 3.3 | |
| Republican | James Nelson | 2,037 | 1.9 | |
| Republican | Nathan Clay Bradham | 1,042 | 0.8 | |
| Total votes | 107,441 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Genevieve Williams, small business owner, Missouri Democratic Party committee member and candidate for this seat in 2014
Eliminated in primary
- Camille Lombardi-Olive
- Steven Reed[12]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Genevieve Williams | 9,402 | 52.1 | |
| Democratic | Steven Reed | 4,915 | 27.3 | |
| Democratic | Camille Lombardi-Olive | 3,714 | 20.6 | |
| Total votes | 18,031 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Benjamin Brixey, Secretary of the Greene County Libertarian Party
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Benjamin T. Brixey | 398 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 398 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[8] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[10] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Billy Long (incumbent) | 228,692 | 67.5 | |
| Democratic | Genevieve Williams | 92,756 | 27.4 | |
| Libertarian | Benjamin T. Brixey | 17,153 | 5.1 | |
| Independent | Amber Thomsen (write-in) | 6 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 338,607 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 8
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Smith: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The eighth district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in all of the rural southeastern and south-central part of the state. Incumbent Republican Jason Smith, who had represented the district since June 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+17.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jason Smith, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jason Smith (incumbent) | 65,450 | 67.5 | |
| Republican | Hal Brown | 15,342 | 15.8 | |
| Republican | Todd Mahn | 11,564 | 11.9 | |
| Republican | Phillip Smith | 4,602 | 4.8 | |
| Total votes | 96,958 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dave Cowell, electronics store manager[12]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dave Cowell | 22,314 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 22,314 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Jonathan Shell | 254 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 254 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[8] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[10] | Safe R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jason Smith (incumbent) | 229,792 | 74.4 | |
| Democratic | Dave Cowell | 70,009 | 22.7 | |
| Libertarian | Jonathan Shell | 9,070 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 308,871 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||