2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts.
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November 6, 2018
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All eight of Missouri's seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results summary
Statewide
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Republican | 8 | 1,330,975 | 55.04 | 6 |  | 75.00% | |
| Democratic | 8 | 1,027,969 | 42.51 | 2 | | 25.00% | |
| Libertarian | 8 | 54,746 | 2.26 | 0 | | 0.00% | |
| Green | 2 | 3,831 | 0.16 | 0 | | 0.00% | |
| Constitution | 1 | 876 | 0.04 | 0 | | 0.00% | |
| Write-in | 3 | 16 | 0.0 | 0 | | 0.00% | |
| Total | 30 | 2,418,413 | 100.0 | 8 | | 100.0% | |
District
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri by district:[1]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 45,867 | 16.72% | 219,781 | 80.10% | 8,727 | 3.18% | 274,375 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 2 | 192,477 | 51.18% | 177,611 | 47.23% | 5,978 | 1.59% | 376,066 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 211,243 | 65.08% | 106,589 | 32.84% | 6,776 | 2.08% | 324,608 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 4 | 190,138 | 64.82% | 95,968 | 32.72% | 7,210 | 2.46% | 293,316 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 101,069 | 35.69% | 175,019 | 61.53% | 7,697 | 2.78% | 283,785 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 199,796 | 65.42% | 97,660 | 31.98% | 7,953 | 2.60% | 305,409 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 196,343 | 66.23% | 89,190 | 30.09% | 10,922 | 3.68% | 296,455 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 8 | 194,042 | 73.39% | 66,151 | 25.02% | 4,206 | 1.59% | 264,399 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| Total | 1,330,975 | 55.03% | 1,027,969 | 42.51% | 59,469 | 2.46% | 2,418,413 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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Clay: 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district includes all of St. Louis City and much of Northern St. Louis County. Incumbent Democrat Lacy Clay, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+29.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lacy Clay, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Susan Bolhafner
Endorsements
Cori Bush
State legislators
- Nina Turner, president of Our Revolution and former Ohio state senate[2]
Organizations
- Brand New Congress
- Democracy for America
- Justice Democrats[3]
- Our Revolution
- St. Louis Young Democrats[4]
Individuals
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, bartender, activist and nominee for New York's 14th district in 2018
Lacy Clay
Newspapers
Primary results
50–60% Clay
60–70% Clay
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lacy Clay (incumbent) | 81,426 | 56.7 | |
| Democratic | Cori Bush | 53,056 | 36.9 | |
| Democratic | Joshua Shipp | 4,959 | 3.5 | |
| Democratic | DeMarco K. Davidson | 4,229 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 143,670 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Robert Vroman
Eliminated in primary
- Camille Lombardi-Olive
- Edward Van Deventer Jr.
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Robert Vroman | 5,095 | 34.5 | |
| Republican | Edward L. Van Deventer Jr. | 4,864 | 32.9 | |
| Republican | Camille Lombardi-Olive | 4,820 | 32.6 | |
| Total votes | 14,779 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Robb Cunningham | 478 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 478 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe D | November 2, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lacy Clay (incumbent) | 219,781 | 80.1 | |
| Republican | Robert Vroman | 45,867 | 16.7 | |
| Libertarian | Robb Cunningham | 8,727 | 3.2 | |
| Total votes | 274,375 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 2
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Wagner: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district includes the suburbs south and west of St. Louis City. Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Republican primary
Wagner was considered likely to run for the U.S. Senate in 2018 instead of running for re-election,[14][15] but opted to seek re-election to the House.[16]
At the filing deadline, one candidate, Noga Sachs, had filed with the Federal Election Commission to run in the Republican primary. Despite an attempt by the Missouri Republican Party to remove her from the ballot in April 2018, she remained on the ballot.[17]
Candidates
Nominee
- Ann Wagner, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Noga Sachs, business owner
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ann Wagner (incumbent) | 72,173 | 89.9 | |
| Republican | Noga Sachs | 8,115 | 10.1 | |
| Total votes | 80,288 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Cort VanOstran, attorney, advocate and teacher[18]
Eliminated in primary
- Bill Haas, St. Louis School Board member, candidate for mayor of St. Louis in 2017 and nominee for this seat in 2008[18]
- Robert Hazel
- John Messmer, professor of political science at St. Louis Community College – Meramec
- Mark Osmack, former army officer and Afghanistan veteran[18][19]
Withdrawn
- Kelli Dunaway, assistant director of legal professional development at Bryan Cave LLP and former elected delegate for the California Democratic Party
- Mike Evans, candidate for state house in 2016
Declined
- Sam Gladney, Iraq War veteran and stepson of former Republican representative Jo Ann Emerson[18]
Endorsements
Cort VanOstran
Organizations
- St. Louis Young Democrats[4]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Cort VanOstran | 45,248 | 41.7 | |
| Democratic | Mark J. Osmack | 27,389 | 25.2 | |
| Democratic | William "Bill" Haas | 21,151 | 19.5 | |
| Democratic | John Messmer | 10,503 | 9.7 | |
| Democratic | Robert W. Hazel | 4,321 | 4.0 | |
| Total votes | 108,612 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Larry Kirk
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Larry Kirk | 905 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 905 | 100.0 | ||
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Justus Arnold
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green | David Justus Arnold | 177 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 177 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Cort VanOstran (D)
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[20]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[21]
Polling
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Likely R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ann Wagner (incumbent) | 192,477 | 51.2 | |
| Democratic | Cort VanOstran | 177,611 | 47.2 | |
| Libertarian | Tony Kirk | 4,229 | 1.1 | |
| Green | David Arnold | 1,740 | 0.5 | |
| Write-in | 9 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 376,066 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
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Luetkemeyer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The third district stretches from exurbs of St. Louis to the state capital Jefferson City. Incumbent Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Chadwick Bicknell
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) | 95,385 | 79.9 | |
| Republican | Chadwick Bicknell | 24,000 | 20.1 | |
| Total votes | 119,385 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Katy Geppert, scientist
Withdrawn
- John Kiehne, musician
Endorsements
Katy Geppert
Organizations
- St. Louis Young Democrats[4]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Katy Geppert | 55,815 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 55,815 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Donald Stolle
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Donald Stolle | 745 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 745 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) | 211,243 | 65.1 | |
| Democratic | Katy Geppert | 106,589 | 32.8 | |
| Libertarian | Donald Stolle | 6,776 | 2.1 | |
| Total votes | 324,608 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 4
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Hartzler: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hoagenson: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The fourth district comprises the city of Columbia and much of rural west-central Missouri. Incumbent Republican Vicky Hartzler, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.
Republican primary
Hartzler had been considered a potential candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018.[15]
Candidates
Nominee
- Vicky Hartzler, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- John Webb, small business owner
Withdrawn
- Jenna Marie Bourgeois, CEO of a global technology startup
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) | 74,226 | 73.5 | |
| Republican | John Webb | 26,787 | 26.5 | |
| Total votes | 101,013 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Renee Hoagenson, business owner
Eliminated in primary
- Hallie Thompson, scientist
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Renee Hoagenson | 24,139 | 51.9 | |
| Democratic | Hallie J. Thompson | 22,398 | 48.1 | |
| Total votes | 46,537 | 100 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mark Bliss, co-pastor of a Warrensburg church group and nominee for this seat in 2016
Eliminated in primary
- Steven Koonse, financial examiner, Vietnam War veteran and Bronze Star recipient
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Mark Bliss | 398 | 56.1 | |
| Libertarian | Steven Koonse | 312 | 43.9 | |
| Total votes | 710 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Endorsements
Renee Hoagenson (D)
Statewide officials
- Jason Kander, former Secretary of State of Missouri and nominee for U.S Senate in 2016[24]
- Roger B. Wilson, former governor of Missouri and former chair of the Missouri Democratic Party
Labor unions
- Fire Fighters Local 42
- International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers
- North America's Building Trades Unions
- St. Louis–Kansas City Carpenters Regional Council
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) | 190,138 | 64.8 | |
| Democratic | Renee Hoagenson | 95,968 | 32.7 | |
| Libertarian | Mark Bliss | 7,210 | 2.5 | |
| Total votes | 293,316 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5
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Cleaver: 50–60% 60–70% Turk: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The fifth district encompasses most of Jackson County, the southern part of Clay County, and three other rural counties to the east. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who had represented the district since 2005, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Emanuel Cleaver, incumbent U.S. representative
Withdrawn
- Jenna Squires[25]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) | 87,449 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 87,449 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Kress Cambers
- Richonda Oaks
Withdrawn
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jacob Turk | 35,883 | 75.1 | |
| Republican | Kress Cambers | 8,423 | 17.6 | |
| Republican | Richonda Oaks | 3,467 | 7.3 | |
| Total votes | 47,773 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alexander Howell, realtor
Eliminated in primary
- Cisse Spragins, director of a rodent control product manufacturer, former Missouri Libertarian Party chair, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010, nominee for Missouri Secretary of State in 2012 and for governor in 2016
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Alexander Howell | 512 | 56.3 | |
| Libertarian | Cisse Spragins | 398 | 43.7 | |
| Total votes | 910 | 100.0 | ||
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Maurice Copeland
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Maurice Copeland | 315 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 315 | 100.0 | ||
Constitution primary
Candidates
Nominee
- E. C. Fredland
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) | 175,019 | 61.7 | |
| Republican | Jacob Turk | 101,069 | 35.6 | |
| Libertarian | Alexander Howell | 4,725 | 1.7 | |
| Green | Maurice Copeland | 2,091 | 0.7 | |
| Constitution | E.C. Fredland | 876 | 0.3 | |
| Write-in | 5 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 283,785 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 6
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Graves: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The sixth district encompasses rural northern Missouri, St. Joseph and much of Kansas City north of the Missouri River. Incumbent Republican Sam Graves, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+16.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sam Graves (incumbent) | 89,595 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 89,595 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Henry Martin, educator and army veteran
Eliminated in primary
- Ed Andres
- Winston Apple, musician, educator and candidate for state house in 2014
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Henry Robert Martin | 21,677 | 41.5 | |
| Democratic | Winston Apple | 16,087 | 30.8 | |
| Democratic | Ed Andres | 14,453 | 27.7 | |
| Total votes | 52,217 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Hogan, nominee for the 3rd district in 2016
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Dan Hogan | 590 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 590 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sam Graves (incumbent) | 199,796 | 65.4 | |
| Democratic | Henry Martin | 97,660 | 32.0 | |
| Libertarian | Dan Hogan | 7,953 | 2.6 | |
| Total votes | 305,409 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 7
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The seventh district takes in Springfield, Joplin, and much of the rest of rural southwestern Missouri. Incumbent Republican Billy Long, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 20`6. The district had a PVI of R+23.
Republican primary
Long had been considered a potential candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018.[15]
Candidates
Nominee
- Billy Long, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Billy Long (incumbent) | 68,438 | 65.1 | |
| Republican | Jim Evans | 18,383 | 17.5 | |
| Republican | Lance Norris | 10,884 | 10.4 | |
| Republican | Benjamin Holcomb | 7,416 | 7.1 | |
| Total votes | 105,121 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- John Farmer de la Torre, television producer
- Kenneth Hatfield
- Vincent Jennings, former cult exit counselor, filmmaker, candidate for state house in 1996 and nominee in 2014
Withdrawn
- Natalie Faucett
Endorsements
Jamie Schoolcraft
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jamie Daniel Schoolcraft | 12,499 | 40.6 | |
| Democratic | Kenneth Hatfield | 6,854 | 22.3 | |
| Democratic | John Farmer de la Torre | 6,685 | 21.7 | |
| Democratic | Vince Jennings | 4,738 | 15.4 | |
| Total votes | 30,776 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ben Brixey, Secretary of the Greene County Libertarian Party and nominee for this seat in 2016
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Benjamin Brixey | 697 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 697 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Billy Long (incumbent) | 196,343 | 66.2 | |
| Democratic | Jamie Schoolcraft | 89,190 | 30.1 | |
| Libertarian | Ben Brixey | 10,920 | 3.7 | |
| Write-in | 2 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 296,455 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 8
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Smith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The eighth district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in all of the rural southeastern and south-central part of the state. It had a PVI of R+24, the most strongly Republican district of Missouri. Incumbent Republican Jason Smith, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 74% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+24.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jason Smith, incumbent U.S. representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jason Smith (incumbent) | 91,809 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 91,809 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kathryn Ellis, social worker
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathryn Ellis | 33,799 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 33,799 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jonathan Shell, nominee for this seat in 2016
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Jonathan Shell | 361 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 361 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[11] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[12] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jason Smith (incumbent) | 194,042 | 73.4 | |
| Democratic | Kathy Ellis | 66,151 | 25.0 | |
| Libertarian | Jonathan Shell | 4,206 | 1.6 | |
| Total votes | 264,399 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||