2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
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The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on September 13.
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November 8, 2016
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All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire by district:
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 162,080 | 44.29% | 157,176 | 42.95% | 46,728 | 12.77% | 365,984 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 2 | 174,495 | 49.74% | 158,973 | 45.32% | 17,324 | 4.94% | 350,792 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 336,575 | 46.96% | 316,149 | 44.11% | 64,052 | 8.94% | 716,776 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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The 1st district covers the southeastern part of the state and consists of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. Incumbent Republican Frank Guinta, who had represented the district since 2015 and previously from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2014, defeating Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter. The district had a PVI of R+1.
Republican primary
In May 2015, Guinta settled a case with the Federal Election Commission involving $355,000 that had been donated to him by his parents during his first House campaign in 2010. The settlement required him to return the donation and pay a $15,000 fine to the FEC.[1] New Hampshire politicians including Republican U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte called on Guinta to resign his House seat, but he refused.[2]
Candidates
Nominee
- Frank Guinta, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Richard Ashooh, businessman
- Michael Callis
- Jamieson Gradert
- Robert Risley
Withdrawn
- Dan Innis, dean of the Peter T. Paul College of Business and Economics at the University of New Hampshire and 2014 candidate[3]
- Pamela Tucker, state representative[4][5]
Endorsements
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Richard Ashooh | Frank Guinta | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 13, 2016 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics New Hampshire Union Leader WMUR-TV |
Josh McElveen | [8] | P | P |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Frank Guinta (incumbent) | 26,400 | 46.5 | |
| Republican | Richard Ashooh | 25,678 | 45.2 | |
| Republican | Michael Callis | 2,243 | 4.0 | |
| Republican | Robert Risley | 1,347 | 2.4 | |
| Republican | Jamieson Gradert | 1,031 | 1.8 | |
| Write-in | 111 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 56,810 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Carol Shea-Porter, former U.S. representative from this seat (2007-2011 and 2013-2015) [10]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Martha Fuller Clark, state senator and nominee for the seat in 2000 and 2002[13]
- Garth Corriveau, Manchester alderman[11]
- Tom Ferrini, former mayor of Portsmouth[11]
- Travis Harker, physician and former president of the New Hampshire Medical Society[11]
- Andrew Hosmer, state senator[13]
- Terie Norelli, state representative and former speaker of the New Hampshire House of Representatives[11]
- Chris Pappas, executive councilor[11][14]
- Stefany Shaheen, Portsmouth city councilor and daughter of U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen[11]
- Donna Soucy, state senator[11]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carol Shea-Porter | 32,409 | 98.8 | |
| Write-in | 386 | 1.2 | ||
| Total votes | 32,795 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
State legislators
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[17]
- EMILY's List[18][19]
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Independent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Frank Guinta | Carol Shea-Porter | Shawn O'Conner | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 24, 2016 | NH1-TV | Paul Steinhauser Keke Vencill |
[20] | P | P | P |
| 2 | Nov. 3, 2016 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics New Hampshire Union Leader WMUR-TV |
Josh McElveen | [21] | P | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Frank Guinta (R) |
Carol Shea-Porter (D) |
Robert Lombardo (L) |
Shawn O' Connor (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst/YouGov[22] | October 17–21, 2016 | 380 | ± ?% | 37% | 41% | 9% | − | 3% | 10% |
| Normington Petts (D-House Majority PAC)[23] | September 18–21, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 34% | 44% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 10% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R-NRCC)[24] | September 14–18, 2016 | 427 | ± ?% | 41% | 38% | 4% | 8% | − | 9% |
| University of New Hampshire[25] | August 20–28, 2016 | 211 | ± 6.7% | 29% | 48% | − | − | 5% | 19% |
| University of New Hampshire[26] | July 9–18, 2016 | 215 | ± 6.7% | 37% | 43% | − | − | 7% | 10% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[29] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[30] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[31] | Tilt D (flip) | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[33] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2016 |
Results
Shea-Porter narrowly flipped the seat Democratic. This, along with the narrow victory by Democrat Maggie Hassan in the concurrent Senate election, made it the first time since 1854 that New Hampshire's congressional delegation was fully represented by Democrats.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carol Shea-Porter | 162,080 | 44.3 | |
| Republican | Frank Guinta (incumbent) | 157,176 | 42.9 | |
| Independent | Shawn O' Connor | 34,735 | 9.5 | |
| Independent | Brendan Kelly | 6,074 | 1.7 | |
| Libertarian | Robert Lombardo | 5,507 | 1.5 | |
| Write-in | 412 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 365,984 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 2
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The 2nd district covers the western and northern parts of the state and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. Incumbent Democrat Ann McLane Kuster, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+3.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ann McLane Kuster, incumbent U.S. representative
Declined
- Jim Bouley, mayor of Concord[11]
- Dan Feltes, state senator[11]
- Jason Lyon, activist and businessman[11]
- Steve Shurtleff, state representative[11]
- Colin Van Ostern, executive councilor[11] (ran for governor)
- Mike Vlacich, campaign manager for U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen[11]
- Jeff Woodburn, state senator[11]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) | 36,683 | 99.3 | |
| Write-in | 249 | 0.7 | ||
| Total votes | 36,932 | 100 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Lawrence, former state representative and candidate for this seat in 2014
Eliminated in primary
- Eric Estevez, state representative
- Jack Flanagan, New Hampshire House majority leader[35]
- Walter Kelly, candidate for Senate in 2014
- Andy Martin, perennial candidate
- Jay Mercer
- Casey Newell
Declined
- Charles Bass, former U.S. representative[11]
- Marilinda Garcia, former state representative, and nominee for this seat in 2014[11]
- Gary Lambert, former state senator and candidate for this seat in 2014
Endorsements
Newspapers
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Jack Flanagan | Jim Lawrence | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 8, 2016 | New Hampshire Union Leader Saint Anselm College WMUR |
Josh McElveen | [37] | P | P |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Lawrence | 17,180 | 39.7 | |
| Republican | Jack B. Flanagan | 12,046 | 27.8 | |
| Republican | Walter W. Kelly | 4,287 | 9.9 | |
| Republican | Andy Martin | 3,145 | 7.3 | |
| Republican | Eric Estevez | 2,443 | 5.6 | |
| Republican | Jay Mercer | 2,113 | 4.9 | |
| Republican | Casey Newell | 1,839 | 4.3 | |
| Write-in | 232 | 0.5 | ||
| Total votes | 43,285 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" program[38]
- EMILY's List[19]
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Annie McLane Kuster | Jim Lawrence | |||||
| 1 | Nov. 4, 2016 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics New Hampshire Union Leader WMUR-TV |
Josh McElveen | [39] | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ann McLane Kuster (D) |
Jim Lawrence (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[25] | August 20–28, 2016 | 222 | ± 6.6% | 40% | 34% | 3% | 22% |
| University of New Hampshire[26] | July 9–18, 2016 | 254 | ± 6.1% | 38% | 32% | 4% | 26% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[29] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[30] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[31] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[33] | Safe D | October 31, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) | 174,495 | 49.7 | |
| Republican | Jim Lawrence | 158,973 | 45.3 | |
| Independent | John Babiarz | 17,088 | 4.9 | |
| Write-in | 236 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 350,792 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||