Wikiwand AI

2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Hampshire, concurrently with the election of the governor of New Hampshire, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

 2008
November 4, 2014
2020 
 
Nominee Jeanne Shaheen Scott Brown
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 251,184 235,347
Percentage 51.46% 48.21%

Shaheen:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Brown:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Jeanne Shaheen
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Jeanne Shaheen
Democratic

Close

Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen ran for re-election to a second term in office.[1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014.[2] Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination and the Republicans nominated former U.S. Senator Scott Brown, who represented Massachusetts from 2010 to 2013.[3]

Brown sought to become only the third person in history and the first in 135 years to represent more than one state in the United States Senate. Waitman T. Willey represented Virginia from 1861 to 1863 and West Virginia from 1863 to 1871 and James Shields represented Illinois from 1849 to 1855, Minnesota from 1858 to 1859 and Missouri in 1879.[4]

Shaheen defeated Brown by 51.5% to 48.2%, making him the first man to lose two Senate races to women, as he had lost his 2012 reelection bid in Massachusetts to Elizabeth Warren.[5] Shaheen became the second Democrat from New Hampshire to be reelected to the Senate and the first since Thomas J. McIntyre in 1972.

Democratic primary

Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Jeanne Shaheen

Individuals

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen (incumbent) 74,504 100.00%
Close

Republican primary

The Republican primary for this election was much more highly contested than the respective Democratic one, with Scott Brown beating out Jim Rubens and Bob Smith for the Republican nomination.

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Scott Brown

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charles
Bass
Scott
Brown
Andy
Martin
Jim
Rubens
Bob
Smith
Karen
Testerman
Other Undecided
New England College[36] October 7–9, 2013 424 ± 4.56% 21% 47% 5% 4% 23%
Public Policy Polling[37] January 9–12, 2014 528 ± 4.3% 42% 11% 8% 11% 7% 22%
4% 12% 26% 10% 47%
Gravis Marketing[38] January 29–30, 2014 498 ± 4.3% 51% 22% 27%
Suffolk/Boston Herald[39] February 27 – March 5, 2014 426 ± 4.8% 33.33% 0.7% 3.05% 11.97% 3.29% 47.65%
Vox Populi Polling[40] May 14–15, 2014 ? ± 5.2% 38% 9% 13% 8% 32%
Suffolk/Boston Herald[41] June 14–18, 2014 419 ± 4.8% 40.33% 0.24% 3.58% 12.17% 2.88%[42] 40.81%
NBC/Marist[43] July 7–13, 2014 1,342 ± 2.7% 61% 10% 16% 1% 12%
Close

Results

Results by county:
  Brown
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[44]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Brown 58,775 49.86%
Republican Jim Rubens 27,089 22.98%
Republican Bob Smith 26,593 22.56%
Republican Walter W. Kelly 1,376 1.17%
Republican Bob Heghmann 784 0.67%
Republican Andy Martin 734 0.62%
Republican Mark W. Farnham 733 0.62%
Republican Miroslaw "Miro" Dziedzic 508 0.43%
Republican Gerard Beloin 492 0.42%
Republican Robert D'Arcy 397 0.34%
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen (write-in) 220 0.19%
Scatter 183 0.16%
Total votes 117,884 100.00%
Close

General election

Debates

Fundraising

More information Candidate (party), Receipts ...
Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Jeanne Shaheen (D) $16,506,920.00 $16,466,208.00 $88,652.00 $10,620.00
Scott Brown (R) $9,222,677.00 $9,163,652.00 $59,026.00 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[45]
Close

Independent expenditures

More information Super PAC, Supporting ...
Super PAC Supporting Amount Media Goal
Senate Majority PAC Jeanne Shaheen $682,558[46] TV Oppose Scott Brown
League of Conservation Voters Victory Fund Jeanne Shaheen $364,320[46] TV Oppose Scott Brown
Ending Spending Inc. Scott Brown $61,448[47] Media Oppose Jeanne Shaheen
Ending Spending Action Fund Scott Brown $60,136[47] Media Support Scott Brown
New Hampshire PAC to Save America Jim Rubens $57,866[46] Direct Mail Support Jim Rubens
NextGen Climate Action Committee Jeanne Shaheen $37,421[47] Digital Advertising Oppose Scott Brown
Ocean Champions Jeanne Shaheen $25,000[47] Media Oppose Scott Brown
Tea Party Victory Fund Bob Smith $15,000[46] Voter Contact Calls Support Bob Smith
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[48] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] Lean D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[50] Tilt D November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[51] Tossup November 3, 2014
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[52] April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? 52% 41% 7%
Rockefeller Center[53] April 22–25, 2013 433 ± 4.7% 44% 30% 26%
New England College[54] May 2–5, 2013 807 ± 3.27% 54% 35% 11%
Public Policy Polling[55] September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 48% 44% 7%
American Research Group[56] December 13–16, 2013 549 ± 4.2% 48% 38% 14%
Public Policy Polling[37] January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 46% 43% 10%
Purple Strategies[57] January 21–23, 2014 1,052 ± 3% 44% 44% 12%
Harper Polling[58] January 22–23, 2014 513 ± 4.33% 40% 35% 25%
WMUR/UNH[59] January 21–26, 2014 454 ± 4.1% 47% 37% 3% 14%
Public Policy Polling[60] February 19–20, 2014 686 ± 3.7% 47% 39% 14%
Suffolk/Boston Herald[39] February 27 – March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 52% 39% 9%
Rasmussen Reports[61] March 12–13, 2014 750 ± 4% 50% 41% 4% 5%
American Research Group[56] March 13–16, 2014 533 ± 4.2% 50% 38% 12%
Public Policy Polling[62] April 7–8, 2014 1,034 ± 3.1% 49% 41% 10%
WMUR/UNH[63] April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% 45% 39% 2% 14%
Rockefeller Center[64] April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% 39% 36% 25%
Hickman Analytics[65] April 24–30, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 49% 43% 8%
Vox Populi Polling[40] May 14–15, 2014 707 ± 3.6% 47% 35% 18%
American Research Group[56] June 14–18, 2014 540 ± 4.2% 50% 38% 12%
Suffolk/Boston Herald[66] June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 49% 39% 3%[67] 9%
WMUR/UNH[68] June 19 – July 1, 2014 509 ± 4.3% 52% 40% 1% 7%
NBC News/Marist[69] July 7–13, 2014 1,342 ± 2.7% 50% 42% 1% 6%
Magellan Strategies[70] July 7–13, 2014 1,618 ± 2.43% 46% 41% 13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[71] July 5–24, 2014 1,251 ± 2.9% 50% 40% 4% 6%
WMUR/UNH[72] August 7–17, 2014 609 ± 4% 46% 44% 1% 9%
Public Policy Polling[73] August 27–28, 2014 766 ± ? 50% 44% 6%
Public Opinion Strategies[74] August 27 – September 1, 2014 500 ± 4.38% 44% 41% 9%[67] 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[75] August 18 – September 2, 2014 1,159 ± 4% 47% 41% 4% 9%
Kiley & Company[76] September 2–4, 2014 602 ± 4% 50% 42% 8%
Global Strategy Group[77] September 10, 2014 1,027 ± 3.1% 48% 41% 11%
Kiley & Company[78] September 9–11, 2014 600 ± 4% 51% 43% 6%
CNN/ORC[79] September 8–11, 2014 735 LV ± 3.5% 48% 48% 4%
883 RV ± 3.5% 51% 44% 5%
Magellan Strategies[80] September 10–11, 2014 2,214 ± 2% 44% 46% 10%
Rasmussen Reports[61] September 10–11, 2014 1,027 ± 3.1% 48% 42% 5% 5%
New England College[81] September 10–11, 2014 630 ± 3.98% 51% 40% 5% 4%
American Research Group[56] September 12–15, 2014 544 ± 4.2% 50% 45% 5%
Vox Populi Polling[82] September 15–16, 2014 550 ± 4.2% 43% 47% 11%
Public Policy Polling[83] September 18–19, 2014 652 ± 3.8% 50% 44% 5%
New England College[84] September 19–20, 2014 1,494 ± 2.54% 50% 43% 4% 3%
American Research Group[56] September 27–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 53% 43% 4%
New England College[85] September 26, 2014 1,331 ± 2.69% 47% 47% 3% 3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[86] September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,260 ± 3% 48% 41% 1% 10%
New England College[87] October 3, 2014 1,286 ± 2.73% 49% 46% 3% 2%
WMUR/UNH[88] September 29 – October 5, 2014 532 ± 4.2% 47% 41% 1% 10%
High Point University[89] October 4–8, 2014 824 ± 3.4% 48% 46% 6%
Kiley & Company[90] October 7–9, 2014 600 ± 4% 50% 44% 6%
New England College[91] October 9, 2014 1,081 ± 2.98% 47% 48% 3% 2%
UMass Amherst[92] October 10–15, 2014 322 LV ± 6.6% 48% 45% 5% 2%
400 RV ± 6% 49% 41% 5% 5%
New England College[93] October 16, 2014 921 ± 3.23% 47% 48% 3% 2%
Suffolk/Boston Herald[94] October 16–19, 2014 500 ± ? 49% 46% 6%
UMass Lowell[95] October 15–21, 2014 643 LV ± 4.5% 49% 46% 1% 4%
900 RV ± 3.8% 48% 41% 2% 10%
CNN/ORC[96] October 18–21, 2014 645 LV ± 4% 49% 47% 3%
877 RV ± 3.5% 50% 44% 5%
Public Policy Polling[97] October 20–21, 2014 764 ± ? 49% 45% 5%
American Research Group[56] October 19–22, 2014 600 ± 4% 49% 48% 3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[86] October 16–23, 2014 1,042 ± 4% 46% 41% 1% 12%
New England College[98] October 24, 2014 1,132 ± 2.91% 47% 48% 3% 2%
WMUR/UNH[99] October 22–26, 2014 555 ± 4.2% 50% 42% 8%
Vox Populi Polling[100] October 27–28, 2014 638 ± 3.9% 49% 45% 6%
American Research Group[56] October 27–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 49% 49% 2%
Rasmussen Reports[61] October 29–30, 2014 940 ± 3% 52% 45% 1% 2%
Public Policy Polling[101] October 30–31, 2014 679 ± ? 49% 47% 4%
New England College[102] October 31 – November 1, 2014 1,526 ± 2.51% 48% 49% 1% 2%
WMUR/UNH[103] October 29 – November 2, 2014 757 ± 3.6% 47% 45% 3% 6%
Public Policy Polling[104] November 1–3, 2014 1,690 ± 2.4% 50% 48% 3%
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Charles
Bass (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[55] September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 51% 41% 8%
New England College[36] October 7–9, 2013 1,063 ± 3% 51% 32% 17%
WMUR/UNH[105] October 7–16, 2013 663 ± 3.8% 51% 34% 2% 13%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Jeb
Bradley (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[52] April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? 54% 39% 7%
Rockefeller Center[53] April 22–25, 2013 433 ± 4.7% 48% 25% 27%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Ted
Gatsas (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[52] April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? 53% 34% 14%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Frank
Guinta (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[52] April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? 55% 37% 8%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Dan
Innis (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[55] September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 52% 30% 18%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Andy
Martin (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald[39] February 27 – March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 52% 27% 21%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Jim
Rubens (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[55] September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 50% 33% 17%
WMUR/UNH[105] October 7–16, 2013 516 ± 3.8% 53% 28% 1% 18%
Public Policy Polling[37] January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 3.7% 49% 33% 19%
WMUR/UNH[59] January 21–26, 2014 461 ± 4.1% 46% 32% 1% 20%
Suffolk/Boston Herald[39] February 27 – March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 52% 29% 19%
WMUR/UNH[63] April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% 48% 27% 1% 23%
Rockefeller Center[64] April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% 38% 19% 42%
WMUR/UNH[68] June 19 – July 1, 2014 509 ± 4.3% 56% 30% 1% 13%
WMUR/UNH[72] August 7–17, 2014 609 ± 4% 49% 35% 1% 15%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Bob
Smith (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[55] September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 51% 35% 14%
American Research Group[56] December 13–16, 2013 549 ± 4.2% 50% 32% 18%
Public Policy Polling[37] January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 3.7% 48% 34% 18%
WMUR/UNH[59] January 21–26, 2014 460 ± 4.1% 47% 36% 2% 15%
Suffolk/Boston Herald[39] February 27 – March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 53% 32% 15%
WMUR/UNH[63] April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% 48% 34% 1% 17%
Rockefeller Center[64] April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% 38% 32% 29%
Vox Populi Polling[40] May 14–15, 2014 707 ± 3.6% 45% 34% 21%
Suffolk/Boston Herald[106] June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 51% 31% 4%[67] 14%
WMUR/UNH[68] June 19 – July 1, 2014 509 ± 4.3% 57% 34% 1% 8%
WMUR/UNH[72] August 7–17, 2014 609 ± 4% 50% 36% 2% 13%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[52] April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? 53% 39% 9%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
John
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[107] November 14–15, 2012 1,018 ± 3.1% 53% 42% 5%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Karen
Testerman (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[55] September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 50% 31% 19%
Public Policy Polling[37] January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 3.7% 47% 30% 22%
WMUR/UNH[59] January 21–26, 2014 461 ± 4.1% 48% 29% 2% 21%
Suffolk/Boston Herald[39] February 27 – March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 52% 29% 19%
WMUR/UNH[63] April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% 48% 25% 2% 25%
Rockefeller Center[64] April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% 39% 18% 43%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s)administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[107] August 9–12, 2012 1,055 ± 3% 51% 42% 7%
Public Policy Polling[108] October 17–19, 2012 1,036 ± 3% 48% 42% 10%
Public Policy Polling[108] November 3–4, 2012 1,550 ± 2.5% 49% 39% 12%
Close

Results

The race was close throughout the night. However, with 57% of the vote in, MSNBC was comfortable enough with Shaheen's lead to declare her the victor. Brown called Shaheen to concede at 11:32 P.M. EST. Shaheen won with a 3.3% margin of victory over Brown, securing a majority of the votes cast by over 1%.

More information Party, Candidate ...
United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2014[109]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen (incumbent) 251,184 51.46% −0.16%
Republican Scott Brown 235,347 48.21% +2.93%
Write-in 1,628 0.33% N/A
Total votes 488,159 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold
Close

By county

More information County, Jeanne Shaheen Democratic ...
2014 Senate election results in New Hampshire (by county)
County Jeanne Shaheen
Democratic
Scott Brown
Republican
Other votes
# % # % # %
Belknap 11,097 46.75% 12,566 52.94% 75 0.32%
Carroll 10,502 50.74% 10,150 49.04% 44 0.21%
Cheshire 16,468 60.52% 10,598 38.95% 146 0.54%
Coös 6,611 62.13% 3,998 37.58% 31 0.29%
Grafton 20,496 61.63% 12,654 38.05% 107 0.32%
Hillsborough 67,191 48.58% 70,529 51.0% 580 0.42%
Merrimack 32,413 56.68% 24,597 43.02% 171 0.3%
Rockingham 53,934 45.21% 65,056 54.54% 300 0.25%
Strafford 23,710 55.94% 18,541 43.74% 134 0.32%
Sullivan 8,762 56.68% 6,658 43.07% 40 0.26%
Close

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Shaheen and Brown each won one of two congressional districts.[110]

More information District, Shaheen ...
District Shaheen Brown Representative
1st 49.34% 50.66% Frank Guinta
2nd 53.94% 46.06% Ann McLane Kuster
Close

See also

References

Related Articles

Timelines

Top Qs

Fact Checks