2016 United States Senate election in Louisiana
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2016 United States Senate election in Louisiana took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Louisiana, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
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November 8, 2016 (first round)
December 10, 2016 (runoff) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 67.8%  (first round)
29.0%  (runoff) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 Kennedy: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Campbell: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Boustany: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Fayard: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Fleming: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% >90% Maness: 20–30% 30–40% Duke: 20–30% 50–60% Edwards: 20–30% 30–40% Landrieu: 50–60% Crawford: >90% Cao: 30–40% 40–50% Billiot: 20–30% 30–40% Williams: 10–20% 30–40% 40–50% Mendoza: 20–30% Tie: <20% 30–40% 40–50% No votes  Kennedy: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Campbell: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Boustany: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Fayard: 10–20% 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Fleming: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% >90% Maness: 20–30% 30–40% Duke: 20–30% 50–60% Edwards: 20–30% 30–40% Landrieu: 50–60% Crawford: >90% Cao: 30–40% 40–50% Billiot: 20–30% 30–40% Williams: 10–20% 30–40% 40–50% Mendoza: 20–30% Tie: <20% 30–40% 40–50% No votes  Kennedy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Campbell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes  Kennedy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Campbell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes .svg) Kennedy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Campbell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Under Louisiana's "jungle primary" system, all candidates appeared on the same ballot, regardless of party, and voters could vote for any candidate. Since no candidate received a majority of the vote during the primary election, a runoff election was held on December 10[1] between the top two candidates in the primary, Republican John Neely Kennedy and Democrat Foster Campbell, where Kennedy won with 60.65% of the vote, giving Senate Republicans 52 seats in the 115th Congress. Louisiana is the only state that has a jungle primary system (California and Washington have a similar "top two primary" system). Kennedy had previously unsuccessfully ran for this seat in 2004 as a Democrat and the state's other U.S. Senate seat in 2008 as a Republican.
Incumbent Republican Senator David Vitter unsuccessfully ran for governor of Louisiana in 2015,[2] and in his concession speech he announced that he would not seek re-election to the Senate in 2016.[3]
In addition to Kennedy and Campbell, four other candidates — Republicans Charles Boustany, John Fleming, and David Duke, and Democrat Caroline Fayard — qualified to participate at a debate at Dillard University, a historically black college, on November 2, 2016[4][5] This election is the most recent United States Senate runoff election in Louisiana as of 2024.
Candidates
Republican Party
Declared
- Charles Boustany, U.S. representative[6][7]
- Joseph Cao, former U.S. representative and candidate for Louisiana attorney general in 2011[8][9]
- Donald "Crawdaddy" Crawford, business appraiser[10]
- David Duke, former state representative, former Grand Wizard of the Ku Klux Klan and perennial candidate[11][12][13]
- John Fleming, U.S. representative[14]
- John Neely Kennedy, state treasurer, Democratic candidate for this seat in 2004[15] and nominee for the U.S. Senate Class 2 in 2008
- Rob Maness, retired United States Air Force colonel, and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[16]
- Charles Eugene Marsala, financial advisor and former mayor of Atherton, California[10]
Withdrew
- Abhay Patel, businessman[17][18][19]
Declined
- Scott Angelle, Public Service commissioner, former lieutenant governor of Louisiana, and candidate for governor in 2015 (running for LA-03)[20][21][22]
- Jay Dardenne, Louisiana commissioner of Administration, former lieutenant governor of Louisiana and candidate for governor in 2015[23][24]
- Zach Dasher, pharmaceutical representative, cousin of the Robertson family and candidate for LA-05 in 2014[25][26]
- Brett Geymann, former state representative (running for LA-03)[25][27]
- Clay Higgins, former St. Landry Parish sheriff's captain (running for LA-03)[28][29]
- Paul Hollis, state representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[17][30][31]
- Bobby Jindal, former governor of Louisiana[32]
- Vance McAllister, former U.S. representative and candidate for the state senate in 2015[33]
- Tony Perkins, president of the Family Research Council, former state representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2002[34][35]
- Melinda Schwegmann, former lieutenant governor of Louisiana, former state representative, and candidate for governor in 1995[17][30]
- Eric Skrmetta, Public Service Commissioner[25][36][37]
- David Vitter, incumbent U.S. senator and nominee for governor in 2015[3]
- John Young, former president of Jefferson Parish and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2015[31][38]
Democratic Party
Declared
- Foster Campbell, Public Service commissioner, former state senator, candidate for governor in 2007 and for LA-04 in 1980, 1988 and 1990[39]
- Derrick Edwards, attorney and disability rights activist[17]
- Caroline Fayard, attorney and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2010[40]
- Gary Landrieu, building contractor, candidate for the New Orleans City Council in 2012, candidate for LA-02 in 2012 and 2014 and cousin of former U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu and New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu[41]
- Vinny Mendoza, USAF Ret. Veteran, organic farmer and 1st CD candidate in 2004, 2008, 2010, 2012 and 2014,[42]
- Josh Pellerin, businessman[43][44][45]
- Peter Williams, tree farmer, candidate for LA-06 in 2014 and Independent candidate for LA-05 in 2013[10]
Declined
- Jim Bernhard, president of Bernhard Capital Partners, founder and former CEO of The Shaw Group and former chairman of the Louisiana Democratic Party[46][47][48]
- Don Cazayoux, former U.S. representative and former United States attorney for the Middle District of Louisiana[49][50]
- John Georges, businessman, candidate for governor in 2007 and candidate for mayor of New Orleans in 2010[47]
- Kip Holden, mayor-president of East Baton Rouge Parish and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2015 (running for LA-02)[51][52][53]
- Robert Johnson, state representative and candidate for LA-05 in 2013[54][55]
- Eric LaFleur, state senator[21][56][57]
- Mary Landrieu, former U.S. senator[58]
- Mitch Landrieu, mayor of New Orleans and former lieutenant governor of Louisiana[59][60]
- Charlie Melancon, former U.S. representative and nominee in 2010[61][62]
- Jacques Roy, mayor of Alexandria[46][54][55][56]
- Gary Smith, Jr., state senator[17][25][49]
Libertarian Party
Declared
Independents
Declared
- Beryl Billiot, restaurateur and candidate for governor in 2015[11]
- Troy Hebert, former commissioner of the Louisiana Office of Alcohol and Tobacco Control and former state senator[64]
- Bob Lang, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and candidate for governor in 2011[10]
- Kaitlin Marone, stand-up comedian[41][65]
- Gregory Taylor, unemployed janitor[10][66]
- Arden Wells, perennial candidate[41]
Jungle primary
Debates
Endorsements
Charles Boustany
Individuals
- Mark Abraham, state representative[69]
- Bret Allain, state senator[69]
- Stuart Bishop, state representative[69]
- Chris Broadwater, state representative[69]
- Steve Carter, state representative[69]
- Page Cortez, state senator[69]
- Jean-Paul Coussan, state representative[69]
- Mike Danahay, state representative (Democrat)[69]
- Paula Davis, state representative[69]
- Stephen Dwight, state representative[69]
- Cameron Henry, state representative[69][70]
- Ronnie Johns, state senator[69]
- Nancy Landry, state representative[69]
- Tanner Magee, state representative[69]
- Dan Morrish, state senator[69]
- Newell Normand, Jefferson Parish sheriff[71]
- Abhay Patel, businessman and former candidate for the United States Senate[72]
- Barrow Peacock, state senator[69]
- Julie Stokes, state representative[69]
- Michael Strain, Louisiana Commissioner of Agriculture and Forestry[73]
- Jerome Zeringue, state representative[69]
Newspapers
- Baton Rouge Business Report[74]
- The Daily Advertiser[75]
- Gambit[76]
- Louisiana State Newspapers[77] (a newspaper company)
- The Times-Picayune[78]
Foster Campbell
Individuals
- Sidney Barthelemy, former mayor of New Orleans[79]
- Wesley T. Bishop, state senator[79]
- Lambert Boissiere III, Public Service commissioner[79]
- Lambert Boissiere Jr., 1st City Court constable, former New Orleans city councilman and former state senator[79]
- Larry Carter, United Teachers of New Orleans[79]
- John Bel Edwards, governor of Louisiana[80]
- Nick Felton, New Orleans Firefighter Association IAFF Local 632[79]
- James Gray, New Orleans city councilman[79]
- Tiger Hammonds, Greater New Orleans AFL-CIO[79]
- Cynthia Hedge-Morrell, former New Orleans councilwoman[79]
- Juan LaFonta, former state representative[79]
- Arthur Morrell, Orleans Parish Criminal Court clerk and former state representative[79]
- Irma Muse Dixon, former Public Service commissioner and former state representative[79]
Organizations
- Algiers Political Action Committee[79]
- Black Organization for Leadership Development (BOLD)[81]
- Carpenters & Piledrivers Local #1846[79]
- Construction Craft Laborers Local #99[79]
- District Council 80, Local Union #1244 Glaziers[79]
- District Council 80, Local Union #1244 Painters, Wall-Coverers & Drywall Finishers[79]
- Electrical Workers Local Union #130[79]
- International Association of Heat and Frost Insulators and Allied Workers Local 53[79]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, Iron Ship Builders, Blacksmiths, Forgers and Helpers Local 37[79]
- International Union of Bricklayers and Allied Craftworkers Local 6[79]
- Iron Worker Local Union #58[79]
- Louisiana AFL–CIO[82]
- Louisiana Federation of Teachers[83]
- Millwrights Local Union #729[79]
- NOEL[79]
- Operating Engineers Local #406[79]
- Plasterers' & Cement Masons' Local Union #567[79]
- Plumbers & Steamfitters Local #60[79]
- Road Sprinkler Fitters Local #669[79]
- Roofers & Waterproofers #317[79]
- Sheet Metal Worker Local #214 New Orleans Area[79]
- Teamsters Local Union 270[79]
- TIPS[79]
David Duke
Individuals
- Mark Dankof, Lutheran pastor from Texas[84] and Constitution Party candidate for the U.S. Senate in Delaware in 2000[85]
- James Edwards, talk radio host[86][87]
- Brad Griffin, white nationalist[88]
- Jeff Rense, talk radio host[89]
Organizations
- Australia First Party[90]
- National Socialist Movement, Neo-Nazi organization
Caroline Fayard
Individuals
- James Carville, political consultant[91]
- Mary Landrieu, former United States senator from Louisiana[92]
- Mitch Landrieu, mayor of New Orleans and former lieutenant governor of Louisiana[93]
Organizations
John Fleming
Individuals
- Gary Bauer, founder and chairman of Campaign for Working Families, former president of the Family Research Council and candidate for President in 2000[99]
- William G. Boykin, retired Army lieutenant general and executive vice president of the Family Research Council[100]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. senator from Texas and candidate for president in 2016[101]
- Jim Jordan, U.S. representative (OH-04) and chairman of the House Freedom Caucus[102]
- Mike Lee, U.S. senator from Utah[103]
- Penny Nance, CEO and president of Concerned Women for America[104]
- Tony Perkins, president of the Family Research Council, former state representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2002[35]
- Willie Robertson, TV personality[105]
- Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania and candidate for president in 2012 and 2016[106]
Organizations
- Bossier Parish Republican Party[107]
- Campaign for Working Families[99]
- Citizens United[108]
- Club for Growth[109]
- Concerned Women for America[104]
- Family Research Council[35]
- FreedomWorks[110]
- National Organization for Marriage[111]
- Rapides Parish Republican Party[112]
- Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund[113]
John Neely Kennedy
Individuals
- Pat Brister, St. Tammany Parish president[114]
- Timothy Burns, former state representative[114]
- Lane Carson, former secretary of the Louisiana Department of Veterans Affairs[114]
- Billy Chandler, former state representative[115]
- Patrick Connick, state representative[116]
- Jack Donahue, state senator[114]
- Reid Falconer, state representative[114]
- Robert Faucheux, former state representative (Democratic)[115]
- Jimmy Fitzmorris, former lieutenant governor of Louisiana (Democratic)[115]
- Franklin Foil, state representative[115]
- Murphy J. Foster, Jr., former governor of Louisiana and state senator[117]
- James Garvey, BESE member[116]
- Paul Hollis, state representative[114]
- Gary Jones, BESE member[115]
- Rick Nowlin, Natchitoches Parish president[118]
- Kevin Pearson, state representative[114]
- Henry "Tank" Powell, former state representative[115]
- Dee Richard, state representative[119]
- Buddy Roemer, former governor of Louisiana and U.S. representative (LA-04)[120]
- Chas Roemer, former BESE member[115]
- John Schroder, state representative[114]
- Kirk Talbot, state representative[116]
- Ned Thomas, Washington Parish president[121]
- Jim Tucker, former Louisiana House Speaker[116]
Organizations
- Grant Parish Republican Party[122]
Rob Maness
Individuals
- Matt Bevin, governor of Kentucky and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[123]
- Ben Carson, retired Johns Hopkins neurosurgeon and former 2016 presidential candidate[124]
- James Dobson, founder of Focus on the Family and the Family Research Council[125]
- Stephen L. Gunn, former state representative from Grant Parish, an Independent[126]
- Chris McDaniel, Mississippi state senator and candidate for U.S. Senate from Mississippi in 2014[77]
- Billy Nungesser, lieutenant governor of Louisiana[127]
- Rand Paul, U.S. senator from Kentucky and former 2016 presidential candidate[128]
- Paul Vallely, retired US Army major general and senior military analyst for Fox News[129]
Organizations
- Republican Liberty Caucus[130]
- Tea Party of Louisiana[131]
Polling
View source data.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Charles Boustany (R) |
Foster Campbell (D) |
David Duke (R) |
Caroline Fayard (D) |
John Fleming (R) |
John Kennedy (R) |
Rob Maness (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[132] | November 1–7, 2016 | 982 | ± 4.6% | 14% | 13% | 3% | 21% | 12% | 21% | 6% | 4%[a] | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey[133] | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 840 | ± 4.6% | 15% | 14% | 3% | 20% | 11% | 21% | 6% | 5%[b] | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[134] | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 646 | ± 4.6% | 15% | 14% | 3% | 19% | 11% | 21% | 5% | 4%[c] | 8% |
| SurveyMonkey[135] | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 546 | ± 4.6% | 13% | 13% | 3% | 21% | 12% | 21% | 5% | 4%[d] | 8% |
| SurveyMonkey[136] | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 470 | ± 4.6% | 13% | 13% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 23% | 4% | 3%[e] | 9% |
| Southern Media and Opinion Research[137] | October 19–21, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 14% | 16% | — | 12% | 9% | 22% | — | — | 27% |
| The Times-Picayune/Lucid[138] | October 15–21, 2016 | 614 | ± 3.0% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 18% | 4% | 7%[f] | 17% |
| University of New Orleans[139] | October 15–21, 2016 | 603 | ± 4.0% | 15% | 15% | 2% | 10% | 11% | 22% | 4% | 9%[g] | 12% |
| FOX 8/Mason-Dixon[140] | October 20, 2016 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 11% | 19% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 24% | 3% | 3%[h] | 13% |
| Market Research Insight[141] | October 17–19, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 16% | 14% | — | 12% | 7% | 17% | — | — | 34% |
| JMC Analytics (R)[142] | October 11–15, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 16% | 25% | 3% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 3% | 2% | 10% |
| JMC Analytics (R)[143] | September 22–24, 2016 | 905 | ± 3.3% | 15% | 15% | 3% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 25% |
| Market Research Insight[141] | September 17–19, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 12% | 10% | — | 11% | 10% | 18% | — | — | 39% |
| Southern Media and Opinion Research[144] | September 15–17, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 15% | 9% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 17% | 3% | 7%[i] | 26% |
| Anzalone Liszt Grove Research (D)[145] | August 29 – September 1, 2016 | 605 | ± 4.0% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 13% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 5%[j] | 31% |
| The Hayride/Remington Research[146] | August 29–30, 2016 | 1,017 | ± 3.2% | 13% | 16% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 27% | 4% | — | 15% |
| GBA Strategies[147] | June 6–9, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 11% | 15% | — | 14% | 9% | 30% | 6% | 12%[k] | 2% |
| Anzalone Liszt Grove Research[148] | May 31 – June 2, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 11% | 14% | — | 9% | 7% | 24% | 3% | – | 33% |
| Southern Media and Opinion Research[149] | May 19–23, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 9% | — | 4% | 5% | 32% | 4% | 3%[l] | 32% |
| SurveyUSA[150] | March 4–8, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 10% | 12% | — | 10% | 7% | 21% | 6% | 12%[m] | 15% |
| Southern Media and Opinion Research[151] | February 2–4, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 7% | — | 4% | 6% | 22% | 7% | — | 30% |
| SurveyUSA[152] | December 4–7, 2015 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 10% | 23% | — | – | 6% | 21% | 9% | — | 19% |
Hypothetical polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Kennedy | 482,591 | 24.96 | |
| Democratic | Foster Campbell | 337,833 | 17.47 | |
| Republican | Charles Boustany | 298,008 | 15.41 | |
| Democratic | Caroline Fayard | 240,917 | 12.46 | |
| Republican | John Fleming | 204,026 | 10.55 | |
| Republican | Rob Maness | 90,856 | 4.7 | |
| Republican | David Duke | 58,606 | 3.03 | |
| Democratic | Derrick Edwards | 51,774 | 2.68 | |
| Democratic | Gary Landrieu | 45,587 | 2.36 | |
| Republican | Donald "Crawdaddy" Crawford | 25,523 | 1.32 | |
| Republican | Joseph Cao | 21,019 | 1.09 | |
| Independent | Beryl Billiot | 19,352 | 1 | |
| Libertarian | Thomas Clements | 11,370 | 0.59 | |
| Independent | Troy Hebert | 9,503 | 0.49 | |
| Democratic | Josh Pellerin | 7,395 | 0.38 | |
| Democratic | Peter Williams | 6,855 | 0.35 | |
| Democratic | Vinny Mendoza | 4,927 | 0.25 | |
| Independent | Kaitlin Marone | 4,108 | 0.21 | |
| Libertarian | Le Roy Gillam | 4,067 | 0.21 | |
| Republican | Charles Eugene Marsala | 3,684 | 0.19 | |
| Republican | Abhay Patel | 1,576 | 0.08 | |
| Independent | Arden Wells | 1,483 | 0.08 | |
| Independent | Bob Lang | 1,424 | 0.07 | |
| Independent | Gregory Taylor | 1,151 | 0.06 | |
| Total votes | 1,933,635 | 100 | ||
Maps
Support for Boustany by parish:>50%40–50%30–40%20–30%10–20%<10%
Support for Campbell by parish:35–40%30–35%25–30%20–25%15–20%10–15%5–10%<5%
Support for Duke by parish:>8%7–8%6–7%5–6%4–5%3–4%2–3%1–2%<1%
Support for Edwards by parish:>7%6–7%4–5%3–4%2–3%1–2%<1%
Support for Fayard by parish:>30%25–30%20–25%15–20%10–15%5–10%<5%
Support for Fleming by parish:>40%35–40%30–35%25–30%20–25%15–20%10–15%5–10%<5%
Support for Kennedy by parish:>40%35–40%30–35%25–30%20–25%15–20%10–15%5–10%
Support for Maness by parish:>9%8–9%7–8%6–7%5–6%4–5%3–4%2–3%1–2%<1%
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Runoff
Polling
View source data.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Kennedy (R) |
Foster Campbell (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Orleans[156] | December 6, 2016 | 776 | ± 4.9% | 62% | 33% | 5% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[157] | December 5–6, 2016 | 2,500 | ± 2.0% | 56% | 40% | 4% |
| Emerson College[158] | November 29–30, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 51% | 33% | 16% |
| Southern Media and Opinion Research[159] | November 28–30, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
| Tulane University[160] | November 8–18, 2016 | 820 | ± 3.0% | 60% | 40% | 0% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[161] | November 14–17, 2016 | 2,200 | ± 2.1% | 58% | 35% | 6% |
| The Hayride/Remington Research[146] | August 29–30, 2016 | 1,017 | ± 3.2% | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| SurveyUSA[162] | March 4–8, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Duke (R) |
Caroline Fayard (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anzalone Liszt Grove Research[163] | August 29–September 1, 2016 | 605 | ± 4.0% | 15% | 64% | 21% |
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Charles Boustany (R) |
Caroline Fayard (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anzalone Liszt Grove Research[163] | August 29–September 1, 2016 | 605 | ± 4.0% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[164] | Safe R | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[165] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[166] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[167] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[168] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Neely Kennedy | 536,191 | 60.65% | +4.09% | |
| Democratic | Foster Campbell | 347,816 | 39.35% | +1.68% | |
| Total votes | 884,007 | 100% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Parishes that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- East Baton Rouge (largest city: Baton Rouge)
- East Carroll (largest city: Lake Providence)
- Assumption (largest city: Pierrer Part)
- Madison (largest town: Tallulah)
Parishes that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Pointe Coupee (largest city: New Roads)
By congressional district
Kennedy won five of six congressional districts.[170]
| District | Kennedy | Campbell | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 75% | 25% | Steve Scalise |
| 2nd | 24% | 76% | Cedric Richmond |
| 3rd | 72% | 28% | Clay Higgins |
| 4th | 62% | 38% | Mike Johnson |
| 5th | 65% | 35% | Ralph Abraham |
| 6th | 66% | 34% | Garret Graves |