2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana

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The 2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana. Incumbent Republican U.S. senator John Kennedy was first elected in 2016. He ran for re-election to a second term, and was re-elected after receiving a majority of votes in the first round.[1][2]

Quick facts Candidate, Party ...
2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana

 2016
November 8, 2022
2028 
 
Candidate John Kennedy Gary Chambers Luke Mixon
Party Republican Democratic Democratic
Popular vote 851,568 246,933 182,887
Percentage 61.56% 17.85% 13.22%

Kennedy:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Chambers:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Mixon:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      >90%
Steib:      40–50%      50–60%
Billiot:      >90%
Tie:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election

John Kennedy
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Kennedy
Republican

Close

Kennedy won White voters (79% to 9%), while Chambers and Mixon both won a split majority of African Americans (48% to 24% to 16%).[3]

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

  • Devin Lance Graham, business owner and real estate broker
  • John Kennedy, incumbent U.S. senator[1]

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

Libertarian Party

  • Aaron C. Sigler, neurosurgeon and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020

Nonpartisans and independents

Declared

  • Beryl A. Billiot, businessman and perennial candidate
  • Alexander "Xan" John, businessman, law student and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[10]
  • Bradley McMorris, realtor
  • W. Thomas La Fontaine Olson, author, advocate and 2020 U.S. House candidate in Illinois[11]
  • Thomas Wenn

Endorsements

Gary Chambers (D)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Luke Mixon (D)

State officials

State legislators

Organizations

Syrita Steib (D)

Organizations

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Solid R November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[36] Solid R January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe R November 3, 2021
Politico[38] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[39] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[40] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[41] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[42] Solid R
(Kennedy)
June 30, 2022
The Economist[43] Safe R September 7, 2022
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Gary
Chambers
(D)
John
Kennedy
(R)
Luke
Mixon
(D)
Syrita
Steib
(D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[44] October 10–11, 2022 633 (RV) 8% 53% 16% 6% 2%[b] 14%
Echelon Insights[45] August 31 – September 7, 2022 506 (RV) ± 6.5% 16% 51% 8% 6% 19%
JMC Analytics (R)[46] March 21–23, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 14% 53% 7% 3% 23%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Runoff election
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
JMC Analytics (R)[46] March 21–23, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 33% 16%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Kennedy (incumbent) 851,568 61.56%
Democratic Gary Chambers 246,933 17.85%
Democratic Luke Mixon 182,887 13.22%
Democratic Syrita Steib 31,568 2.28%
Republican Devin Lance Graham 25,275 1.83%
Democratic MV "Vinny" Mendoza 11,910 0.86%
Independent Beryl Billiot 9,378 0.68%
Democratic Salvador P. Rodriguez 7,767 0.56%
Independent Bradley McMorris 5,388 0.39%
Libertarian Aaron C. Sigler 4,865 0.35%
Independent Alexander "Xan" John 2,753 0.20%
Independent W. Thomas La Fontaine Olson 1,676 0.12%
Independent Thomas Wenn 1,322 0.10%
Total votes 1,383,290 100.00%
Republican hold
Close

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Someone else" with 2%

References

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