2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held March 15.[1]
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November 8, 2016
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   Burr: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ross: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr won re-election to a third term in office against Democratic former state representative Deborah Ross and Libertarian Sean Haugh.
Burr said that this election would be his last.[2]
Republican primary
There had been speculation that Burr might retire,[3] but he said in September 2014 that he was "planning" on running[4] and reaffirmed this in January 2015.[5] If Burr had retired, the seat was expected to draw significant interest, with potential Republican candidates including U.S. representatives George Holding, Mark Meadows, and Robert Pittenger, Labor Commissioner Cherie Berry, Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest, Agriculture Commissioner Steve Troxler, State Senator Phil Berger, and former Ambassador to Denmark James P. Cain.[3][4]
Candidates
Declared
- Greg Brannon, physician, Tea Party activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[6][7]
- Richard Burr, incumbent U.S. senator[4]
- Larry Holmquist, businessman and Tea Party activist[8][9]
- Paul Wright, former Superior Court judge, candidate for governor in 2012 and nominee for NC-04 in 2014[10]
Declined
- Mark Meadows, U.S. representative (running for re-election)[11][12][13]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr |
Greg Brannon |
Paul Wright |
Larry Holmquist |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[14] | March 11–13, 2016 | 749 | ±3.6% | 48% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 24% |
| High Point University[15] | March 9–10, 2016 | 734 | ±2.5% | 56% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 17% |
| SurveyUSA[16] | March 4–7, 2016 | 688 | ±3.8% | 45% | 17% | 7% | 4% | 27% |
| SurveyUSA[17] | February 14–16, 2016 | 437 | ±2.8% | 45% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 30% |
| Public Policy Polling[18] | February 14–16, 2016 | 597 | ±4.0% | 56% | 13% | 4% | 3% | 24% |
| High Point University[19] | January 30 – February 4, 2016 | 477 | ±4.5% | 46% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 37% |
| Public Policy Polling[20] | January 18–19, 2016 | 433 | ±3.2% | 55% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 24% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr |
Mark Meadows |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[21] | July 2–6, 2015 | 288 | ± 5.8% | 62% | 9% | 28% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Richard Burr (incumbent) | 622,074 | 61.41% | |
| Republican | Greg Brannon | 255,030 | 25.17% | |
| Republican | Paul Wright | 85,944 | 8.48% | |
| Republican | Larry Holmquist | 50,010 | 4.94% | |
| Total votes | 1,013,058 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Kevin Griffin, businessman[23]
- Ernest Reeves, retired U.S. Army captain, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 and candidate for mayor of Greenville in 2015[24]
- Chris Rey, mayor of Spring Lake[25]
- Deborah Ross, former state representative[26]
Declined
- Dan Blue, Minority Leader of the North Carolina Senate and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2002[27][28][29]
- Roy Cooper, North Carolina attorney general (running for governor)[30]
- Janet Cowell, North Carolina State Treasurer[3][27][28][31]
- Cal Cunningham, former state senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[27][29][32]
- Joel Ford, state senator[33][34][35]
- Anthony Foxx, United States Secretary of Transportation and former mayor of Charlotte[4][36][37]
- Kay Hagan, former U.S. senator[38]
- Duane Hall, state representative[39]
- Larry Hall, Minority Leader of the North Carolina House of Representatives[27][40]
- Jeff Jackson, state senator[28][41]
- Allen Joines, mayor of Winston-Salem (running for re-election)[27][42]
- Grier Martin, state representative[3][28][43]
- Nancy McFarlane, Independent mayor of Raleigh[3]
- Mike McIntyre, former U.S. representative[27]
- Charles Meeker, former mayor of Raleigh (running for labor commissioner)[27][29]
- Brad Miller, former U.S. representative[27][29]
- Thomas W. Ross, outgoing president of the University of North Carolina system[44][45]
- Heath Shuler, former U.S. representative[27][46][47]
- Josh Stein, state senator (running for attorney general)[48][49]
- Allen M. Thomas, mayor of Greenville[50]
- Beth Wood, state auditor (running for re-election)[51]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kevin Griffin |
Ernest Reeves |
Chris Rey |
Deborah Ross |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | March 11–13, 2016 | 746 | ±3.6% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 40% | 41% |
| High Point University[15] | March 9–10, 2016 | 669 | ±2.5% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 52% | 27% |
| SurveyUSA[16] | March 4–7, 2016 | 687 | ±3.8% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 34% | 44% |
| SurveyUSA[17] | February 14–16, 2016 | 449 | ±2.8% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 30% | 55% |
| Public Policy Polling[18] | February 14–16, 2016 | 575 | ±4.1% | 10% | 2% | 10% | 22% | 55% |
| High Point University[19] | January 30 – February 4, 2016 | 478 | ±4.5% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 19% | 66% |
| Public Policy Polling[20] | January 18–19, 2016 | 461 | ±3.2% | 14% | 3% | 10% | 19% | 55% |
| Public Policy Polling[52] | December 5–7, 2015 | 555 | ±2.8% | 15% | - | 5% | 41% | 39% |
| Public Policy Polling[53] | October 23–25, 2015 | 421 | ±4.8% | 16% | - | 6% | 33% | 45% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Deborah Ross | 614,414 | 62.32% | |
| Democratic | Chris Rey | 162,869 | 16.52% | |
| Democratic | Kevin Griffin | 115,618 | 11.73% | |
| Democratic | Ernest Reeves | 93,005 | 9.43% | |
| Total votes | 985,906 | 100.00% | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Sean Haugh, pizza delivery man and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2002 and 2014[55]
General election
Candidates
- Richard Burr (R), incumbent U.S. senator
- Sean Haugh (L), pizza delivery man and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2002 and 2014
- Deborah Ross (D), former state representative
Debates
| Dates | Location | Burr | Ross | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 13, 2016 | Chapel Hill, North Carolina | Participant | Participant | [56] |
Endorsements
Richard Burr
U.S. presidents
U.S. senators
- John Cornyn, United States senator from Texas and Senate Majority Whip[58]
- Ted Cruz, United States senator from Texas and 2016 presidential candidate[58]
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Deborah Ross
Presidents
Vice presidents
U.S. cabinet members and cabinet-level officials
- Hillary Clinton, 67th United States Secretary of State, 2008 presidential candidate and 2016 presidential nominee[64]
U.S. senators
- Barbara Boxer, California[66]
- Sherrod Brown, Ohio[67]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, New York[68]
- Bernie Sanders, Vermont[69]
- Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts[64]
Individuals
- Bob Edwards, mayor of Nags Head, North Carolina[70]
- Larry Marciniak, former Franklin County, North Carolina Democratic Party chair[71]
Labor unions
Organizations
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[73]
- EMILY's List[74]
- Human Rights Campaign[75]
- League of Conservation Voters[76]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[77]
- Our Revolution[78]
- Planned Parenthood[79]
- Sierra Club[80]
- U.S. Women's Chamber of Commerce[citation needed]
Newspapers
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[86] | Tossup | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[87] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[88] | Tossup | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[89] | Tossup | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[90] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Deborah Ross (D) |
Sean Haugh (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[91] | November 1–7, 2016 | 3,126 | ±4.6% | 43% | 47% | 6% | – | 4% |
| New York Times Upshot/Siena College[92] | November 4–6, 2016 | 800 | ±3.5% | 46% | 45% | – | – | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University[93] | November 3–6, 2016 | 870 | ±3.3% | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[94] | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 2,865 | ±4.6% | 44% | 47% | 6% | – | 3% |
| Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[95] | November 1–4, 2016 | 1,250 | ±2.8% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[96] | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 2,292 | ±4.6% | 44% | 47% | 6% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[97] | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 1,886 | ±4.6% | 44% | 47% | 6% | – | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling[98] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | 1,169 | ±2.9% | 48% | 45% | – | – | 7% |
| Quinnipiac University[99] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | 602 | ±4.0% | 45% | 49% | – | 1% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[100] | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 1,617 | ±4.6% | 43% | 47% | 6% | – | 4% |
| SurveyUSA[101] | October 28–31, 2016 | 659 | ±3.9% | 49% | 43% | 2% | – | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey[102] | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,574 | ±4.6% | 43% | 47% | 7% | – | 3% |
| CBS News/YouGov[103] | October 26–28, 2016 | 992 | ±4.1% | 44% | 44% | – | 1% | 10% |
| Emerson College[104] | October 26–27, 2016 | 650 | ±3.8% | 48% | 44% | – | 3% | 6% |
| Elon University Poll[105] | October 23–27, 2016 | 710 | ±3.7% | 44% | 40% | 3% | – | 11% |
| Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[106] | October 25–26, 2016 | 1,273 | ±2.8% | 45% | 48% | – | – | 7% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist[107] | October 25–26, 2016 | 780 LV | ±3.5% | 48% | 48% | – | 2% | 3% |
| 1,018 RV | ±3.1% | 48% | 46% | – | 2% | 4% | ||
| Quinnipiac University[108] | October 20–26, 2016 | 702 | ±3.7% | 48% | 47% | – | – | 5% |
| New York Times Upshot/Siena College[109] | October 20–23, 2016 | 792 | ±3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 7% |
| Monmouth University[110] | October 20–23, 2016 | 402 | ±4.9% | 49% | 43% | 2% | – | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling[111] | October 21–22, 2016 | 875 | ±3.3% | 42% | 41% | 6% | – | 11% |
| The Times-Picayune/Lucid[112] | October 17–18, 2016 | 924 | ±3.0% | 46% | 44% | – | – | 10% |
| SurveyUSA[113] | October 14–18, 2016 | 651 | ±3.9% | 45% | 43% | 6% | – | 6% |
| Civitas Institute (R)[114] | October 14–17, 2016 | 600 | ±4.0% | 44% | 37% | 4% | – | 11% |
| Washington Post/SurveyMonkey[115] | October 8–16, 2016 | 1,191 | ±0.5% | 42% | 48% | – | 7% | 3% |
| CNN/ORC[116] | October 10–15, 2016 | 788 LV | ±3.5% | 48% | 47% | – | – | 2% |
| 929 RV | ±3.0% | 46% | 49% | – | 1% | 2% | ||
| NBC/WSJ/Marist[117] | October 10–12, 2016 | 743 LV | ±3.6% | 46% | 46% | – | 2% | 6% |
| 1,025 RV | ±3.1% | 45% | 46% | – | 2% | 7% | ||
| Emerson College[118] | October 10–12, 2016 | 600 | ±3.9% | 45% | 43% | – | 3% | 8% |
| Suffolk University[119] | October 10–12, 2016 | 500 | ±4.4% | 40% | 36% | 6% | – | 16% |
| NCSU Pack Poll[120] | October 3–6, 2016 | 895 | ±3.0% | 39% | 49% | 12% | – | 0% |
| High Point University[121] | October 1–6, 2016 | 479 | ±4.5% | 47% | 42% | 6% | – | 4% |
| SurveyUSA[122] | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | 656 | ±3.9% | 46% | 44% | 3% | – | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Selzer[123] | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | 805 | ±3.5% | 44% | 46% | – | – | 11% |
| Quinnipiac University[124] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | 507 | ±4.4% | 46% | 46% | – | – | 7% |
| Elon University Poll[125] | September 27–30, 2016 | 660 | ±3.8% | 43% | 44% | 4% | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling[126] | September 27–28, 2016 | 861 | ±3.3% | 41% | 39% | 6% | – | 14% |
| 46% | 42% | – | – | 12% | ||||
| Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[127] | September 23, 2016 | 694 | ±3.7% | 39% | 48% | – | – | 13% |
| Meredith College[128] | September 18–22, 2016 | 487 | ±4.4% | 35% | 38% | 1% | 7% | 19% |
| High Point University[129] | September 17–22, 2016 | 404 | ±4.9% | 45% | 43% | 4% | – | 6% |
| FOX News[130] | September 18–20, 2016 | 734 LV | ±3.5% | 43% | 37% | 6% | – | 12% |
| 800 RV | 42% | 36% | 7% | – | 13% | |||
| Public Policy Polling[131] | September 18–20, 2016 | 1,024 | ±3.1% | 41% | 41% | 4% | – | 15% |
| New York Times Upshot/Siena College[132] | September 16–19, 2016 | 782 | ±3.6% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 11% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps[133] | September 10–19, 2016 | 400 | ±4.0% | 46% | 30% | – | 3% | 21% |
| Elon University Poll[134] | September 12–16, 2016 | 644 | ±3.9% | 43% | 44% | 4% | – | 9% |
| Civitas Institute (R)[135] | September 11–12, 2016 | 600 | ±4.0% | 44% | 39% | 2% | – | 15% |
| Suffolk University[136] | September 5–7, 2016 | 500 | ±4.4% | 41% | 37% | 4% | – | 16% |
| Quinnipiac University[137] | August 29 – September 7, 2016 | 751 | ±3.6% | 49% | 43% | – | – | 8% |
| CBS News/YouGov[138] | August 30 – September 2, 2016 | 1,088 | ±4.0% | 40% | 41% | – | 2% | 17% |
| Emerson College[139] | August 27–29, 2016 | 800 | ±3.4% | 45% | 41% | – | 5% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling[140] | August 26–27, 2016 | 1,177 | ±3.0% | 46% | 43% | – | – | 12% |
| Monmouth University[141] | August 20–23, 2016 | 401 | ±4.9% | 45% | 43% | 4% | – | 8% |
| CNN/ORC[142] | August 18–23, 2016 | 803 | ±3.5% | 50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist[143] | August 4–10, 2016 | 921 | ±3.2% | 44% | 46% | – | 1% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling[144] | August 5–7, 2016 | 830 | ±3.4% | 41% | 37% | 5% | – | 17% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist[145] | July 5–11, 2016 | 907 | ±3.3% | 48% | 41% | – | 1% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling[146] | June 20–21, 2016 | 947 | ±3.2% | 40% | 37% | 5% | – | 18% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps[147] | June 11–20, 2016 | 300 | ±5.7% | 36% | 38% | – | – | 26% |
| Public Policy Polling[148] | May 20–22, 2016 | 928 | ±3.2% | 39% | 36% | 8% | – | 18% |
| Civitas Institute (R)[149] | April 23–25, 2016 | 600 | ±4.0% | 39% | 38% | 7% | – | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling[150] | April 22–24, 2016 | 960 | ±3.2% | 40% | 36% | 7% | – | 17% |
| Elon University Poll[151] | April 10–15, 2016 | 621 | ±3.9% | 37% | 33% | – | – | 30% |
| Public Policy Polling[152] | March 18–20, 2016 | 843 | ±3.4% | 40% | 35% | 7% | – | 18% |
| High Point University[15] | March 9–10, 2016 | 1,576 | ±2.5% | 48% | 41% | – | – | 11% |
| SurveyUSA[17] | February 14–16, 2016 | 1,250 | ±2.8% | 45% | 37% | – | – | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling[18] | February 14–16, 2016 | 1,291 | ±2.7% | 43% | 37% | – | – | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling[20] | January 18–19, 2016 | 948 | ±3.2% | 43% | 33% | – | – | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling[52] | December 5–7, 2015 | 1,214 | ±2.8% | 46% | 35% | – | – | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling[53] | October 23–25, 2015 | 893 | ±3.3% | 43% | 39% | – | – | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling[153] | September 24–27, 2015 | 1,268 | ±2.8% | 45% | 34% | – | – | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling[154] | August 12–16, 2015 | 957 | ±3.2% | 43% | 36% | – | – | 21% |
Hypothetical polling
With Burr
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Kevin Griffin (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[17] | February 14–16, 2016 | 1,250 | ±2.8% | 45% | 35% | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling[18] | February 14–16, 2016 | 1,291 | ±2.7% | 43% | 36% | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling[20] | January 18–19, 2016 | 948 | ±3.2% | 42% | 35% | 24% |
| Public Policy Polling[52] | December 5–7, 2015 | 1,214 | ± 2.8% | 46% | 35% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling[53] | October 23–25, 2015 | 893 | ± 3.3% | 44% | 35% | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Chris Rey (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[17] | February 14–16, 2016 | 1,250 | ±2.8% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling[18] | February 14–16, 2016 | 1,291 | ±2.7% | 43% | 36% | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling[20] | January 18–19, 2016 | 948 | ±3.2% | 44% | 32% | 24% |
| Public Policy Polling[52] | December 5–7, 2015 | 1,214 | ± 2.8% | 47% | 33% | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling[53] | October 23–25, 2015 | 893 | ± 3.3% | 45% | 34% | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling[153] | September 24–27, 2015 | 1,268 | ± 2.8% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling[154] | August 12–16, 2015 | 957 | ± 3.2% | 44% | 37% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Dan Blue (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[21] | July 2–6, 2015 | 529 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 35% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling[155] | May 28–31, 2015 | 561 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 34% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling[156] | April 2–5, 2015 | 751 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Roy Cooper (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meeting Street Research[157] | January 21–22, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Janet Cowell (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[156] | April 2–5, 2015 | 751 | ± 3.6% | 46% | 35% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling[158] | February 24–26, 2015 | 849 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 38% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling[159] | January 29–31, 2015 | 845 | ± 3.4% | 45% | 38% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling[160] | December 4–7, 2014 | 823 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 38% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling[161] | August 14–17, 2014 | 856 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 37% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Anthony Foxx (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[158] | February 24–26, 2015 | 849 | ± 3.4% | 45% | 36% | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling[159] | January 29–31, 2015 | 845 | ± 3.4% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling[160] | December 4–7, 2014 | 823 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 38% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling[161] | August 14–17, 2014 | 856 | ± 3.4% | 45% | 35% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Kay Hagan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[155] | May 28–31, 2015 | 561 | ± 4.1% | 49% | 40% | — | 11% |
| Elon University Poll[162] | April 20–24, 2015 | 677 | ± 3.77% | 44% | 43% | 4% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling[156] | April 2–5, 2015 | 751 | ± 3.6% | 50% | 38% | — | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling[158] | February 24–26, 2015 | 849 | ± 3.4% | 50% | 43% | — | 7% |
| Meeting Street Research[157] | January 21–22, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 49% | 45% | — | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling[159] | January 29–31, 2015 | 845 | ± 3.4% | 48% | 42% | — | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling[160] | December 4–7, 2014 | 823 | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Duane Hall (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[153] | September 24–27, 2015 | 1,268 | ± 2.8% | 45% | 35% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling[154] | Aug 12–16, 2015 | 957 | ± 3.2% | 44% | 36% | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Jeff Jackson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[155] | May 28–31, 2015 | 561 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling[156] | April 2–5, 2015 | 751 | ± 3.6% | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Allen Joines (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[158] | February 24–26, 2015 | 849 | ± 3.4% | 45% | 33% | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling[161] | August 14–17, 2014 | 856 | ± 3.4% | 45% | 32% | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Grier Martin (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[21] | July 2–6, 2015 | 529 | ± 4.1% | 47% | 33% | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling[155] | May 28–31, 2015 | 561 | ± 4.1% | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling[156] | April 2–5, 2015 | 751 | ± 3.6% | 46% | 32% | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling[161] | August 14–17, 2014 | 856 | ± 3.4% | 45% | 33% | 22% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Mike McIntyre (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[21] | July 2–6, 2015 | 529 | ± 4.1% | 44% | 35% | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling[155] | May 28–31, 2015 | 561 | ± 4.1% | 43% | 34% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling[159] | January 29–31, 2015 | 845 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 37% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Brad Miller (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[21] | July 2–6, 2015 | 529 | ± 4.1% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling[156] | April 2–5, 2015 | 751 | ± 3.6% | 45% | 34% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Tom Ross (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[159] | January 29–31, 2015 | 845 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 35% | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Heath Shuler (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[153] | September 24–27, 2015 | 1,268 | ± 2.8% | 42% | 37% | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling[154] | Aug 12–16, 2015 | 957 | ± 3.2% | 42% | 35% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling[21] | July 2–6, 2015 | 529 | ± 4.1% | 44% | 36% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Burr (R) |
Beth Wood (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[21] | July 2–6, 2015 | 529 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 34% | 21% |
With Berger
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Phil Berger (R) |
Janet Cowell (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[160] | December 4–7, 2014 | 823 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 38% | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Phil Berger (R) |
Anthony Foxx (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[160] | December 4–7, 2014 | 823 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 37% | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Phil Berger (R) |
Kay Hagan (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[160] | December 4–7, 2014 | 823 | ± 3.4% | 45% | 43% | 13% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Richard Burr (incumbent) | 2,395,376 | 51.06% | −3.75% | |
| Democratic | Deborah Ross | 2,128,165 | 45.37% | +2.32% | |
| Libertarian | Sean Haugh | 167,592 | 3.57% | +1.48% | |
| Total votes | 4,691,133 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Bladen (largest town: Elizabethtown)
- Martin (largest town: Williamston)
- Richmond (largest city: Rockingham)
- Robeson (largest city: Lumberton)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Guilford (largest municipality: Greensboro)
- Forsyth (largest town: Winston-Salem)
- Pitt (largest town: Greenville)
- Wake (largest town: Raleigh)