2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota
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The 2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Dakota, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held June 14.
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November 8, 2016
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  Hoeven: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Glassheim: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Senator John Hoeven won re-election to a second term with 78.5% of the vote, the largest margin in the state's history.[1] Hoeven became the first Republican senator to be re-elected from North Dakota since 1974.
Republican primary
Candidates
- John Hoeven, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Hoeven (incumbent) | 103,677 | 99.57% | |
| Republican | Write-in | 445 | 0.43% | |
| Total votes | 104,122 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic-NPL primary
Candidates
- Eliot Glassheim, state representative[3]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic–NPL | Eliot Glassheim | 17,243 | 99.72% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Write-in | 48 | 0.28% | |
| Total votes | 17,291 | 100.00% | ||
Libertarian Party
Candidates
- Robert Marquette[4]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Robert Marquette | 1,089 | 99.54% | |
| Libertarian | Write-in | 5 | 0.46% | |
| Total votes | 1,094 | 100.00% | ||
General election
Debates
| Dates | Location | Hoeven | Glassheim | Marquette | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 13, 2016 | Bismarck, North Dakota | Participant | Participant | Participant | [5] |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[9] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[10] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Hoeven (R) |
Eliot Glassheim (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[11] | November 1–7, 2016 | 313 | ± 4.6% | 74% | 23% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[12] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 288 | ± 4.6% | 73% | 24% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[13] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 276 | ± 4.6% | 74% | 24% | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey[14] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 260 | ± 4.6% | 72% | 24% | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[15] | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 254 | ± 4.6% | 72% | 25% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[16] | October 25–31, 2016 | 279 | ± 4.6% | 71% | 27% | 2% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Hoeven (incumbent) | 268,788 | 78.48% | +2.40% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Eliot Glassheim | 58,116 | 16.97% | −5.20% | |
| Libertarian | Robert Marquette | 10,556 | 3.08% | +1.45% | |
| Independent | James Germalic | 4,675 | 1.36% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 366 | 0.11% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 342,501 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
| County | John Hoeven Republican |
Eliot Glassheim Democratic–NPL |
All others | Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 1,067 | 87.2% | 114 | 9.3% | 42 | 3.5% | 953 | 77.9% | 1,223 |
| Barnes | 4,302 | 80.6% | 835 | 15.6% | 201 | 3.7% | 3,467 | 65.0% | 5,338 |
| Benson | 1,340 | 66.3% | 574 | 28.4% | 3108 | 5.4% | 766 | 37.9% | 2,022 |
| Billings | 543 | 89.8% | 43 | 7.1% | 19 | 3.1% | 500 | 82.7% | 605 |
| Bottineau | 2,998 | 85.7% | 383 | 10.9% | 118 | 3.4% | 2,615 | 74.8% | 3,499 |
| Bowman | 1,605 | 89.5% | 136 | 7.6% | 53 | 2.9% | 1,469 | 81.9% | 1,794 |
| Burke | 970 | 91.9% | 66 | 6.3% | 19 | 1.8% | 904 | 85.6% | 1,055 |
| Burleigh | 38,830 | 81.2% | 6,904 | 14.4% | 2,097 | 4.4% | 31,926 | 66.8% | 47,831 |
| Cass | 57,151 | 71.6% | 18,268 | 22.9% | 4,403 | 5.6% | 38,883 | 48.7% | 79,822 |
| Cavalier | 1,707 | 83.3% | 290 | 14.2% | 51 | 2.5% | 1,417 | 69.1% | 2,048 |
| Dickey | 2,022 | 83.2% | 335 | 13.8% | 74 | 3.1% | 1,687 | 72.4% | 2,431 |
| Divide | 1,039 | 84.5% | 140 | 11.4% | 51 | 4.1% | 899 | 73.1% | 1,230 |
| Dunn | 1,909 | 85.5% | 251 | 11.2% | 73 | 3.3% | 1,658 | 74.3% | 2,233 |
| Eddy | 962 | 78.5% | 219 | 17.9% | 45 | 3.7% | 743 | 60.6% | 1,226 |
| Emmons | 1,774 | 89.7% | 136 | 6.9% | 68 | 3.5% | 1,638 | 82.8% | 1,978 |
| Foster | 1,491 | 85.5% | 170 | 9.8% | 82 | 4.7% | 1,321 | 75.7% | 1,743 |
| Golden Valley | 857 | 89.6% | 62 | 6.5% | 37 | 3.8% | 795 | 83.1% | 956 |
| Grand Forks | 20,860 | 69.9% | 7,714 | 25.9% | 1,266 | 4.3% | 13,146 | 44.0% | 29,840 |
| Grant | 1,251 | 89.0% | 108 | 7.7% | 47 | 3.4% | 1,143 | 81.3% | 1,406 |
| Griggs | 1,046 | 81.7% | 194 | 15.1% | 41 | 3.2% | 852 | 66.3% | 1,281 |
| Hettinger | 1,160 | 89.5% | 88 | 6.8% | 48 | 3.7% | 1,072 | 82.7% | 1,296 |
| Kidder | 1,224 | 87.6% | 117 | 8.4% | 57 | 4.1% | 1,107 | 69.2% | 1,398 |
| LaMoure | 1,818 | 83.3% | 292 | 13.4% | 72 | 3.2% | 1,526 | 69.9% | 2,182 |
| Logan | 989 | 90.6% | 72 | 6.6% | 31 | 2.8% | 917 | 84.0% | 1,092 |
| McHenry | 2,433 | 85.2% | 296 | 10.4% | 127 | 4.4% | 2,137 | 74.8% | 2,856 |
| McIntosh | 1,327 | 90.1% | 110 | 7.5% | 36 | 2.5% | 1,217 | 82.6% | 1,473 |
| McKenzie | 3,903 | 84.8% | 494 | 10.7% | 208 | 4.4% | 3,409 | 74.1% | 4,605 |
| McLean | 4,391 | 82.3% | 2,104 | 13.4% | 689 | 4.0% | 3,659 | 68.9% | 5,336 |
| Mercer | 4,041 | 86.4% | 470 | 10.0% | 166 | 3.5% | 3,571 | 76.4% | 4,677 |
| Morton | 12,963 | 82.3% | 2,104 | 13.4% | 689 | 5.3% | 10,859 | 68.9% | 15,756 |
| Mountrail | 1,980 | 73.0% | 892 | 21.8% | 211 | 5.1% | 2,088 | 51.2% | 4,083 |
| Nelson | 1,343 | 76.7% | 323 | 18.5% | 84 | 4.8% | 1,020 | 58.2% | 1,750 |
| Oliver | 915 | 89.3% | 74 | 7.2% | 36 | 3.5% | 841 | 82.1% | 1,025 |
| Pembina | 2,644 | 83.0% | 453 | 14.2% | 87 | 2.7% | 2,191 | 68.8% | 3,184 |
| Pierce | 1,816 | 86.7% | 225 | 10.7% | 55 | 2.4% | 1,591 | 76.0% | 2,094 |
| Ramsey | 4,291 | 79.9% | 869 | 16.2% | 208 | 3.9% | 3,422 | 63.7% | 5,368 |
| Ransom | 1,793 | 75.7% | 463 | 19.6% | 112 | 4.7% | 3,422 | 56.1% | 5,368 |
| Renville | 1,140 | 88.2% | 104 | 8.0% | 49 | 3.9% | 1,036 | 80.2% | 1,293 |
| Richland | 6,074 | 80.3% | 1,117 | 14.8% | 371 | 4.9% | 4,957 | 65.5% | 7,562 |
| Rolette | 1,801 | 48.3% | 1,701 | 45.7% | 224 | 6.0% | 100 | 2.6% | 3,726 |
| Sargent | 1,513 | 74.8% | 423 | 20.9% | 88 | 4.3% | 1,090 | 53.9% | 2,024 |
| Sheridan | 703 | 88.8% | 60 | 7.6% | 29 | 3.6% | 634 | 81.2% | 792 |
| Sioux | 426 | 35.7% | 633 | 53.1% | 133 | 11.2% | -207 | -17.4% | 1,192 |
| Slope | 388 | 90.7% | 25 | 5.8% | 15 | 3.4% | 363 | 84.9% | 428 |
| Stark | 10,635 | 87.2% | 1,101 | 9.0% | 464 | 3.8% | 9,534 | 78.2% | 12,200 |
| Steele | 791 | 76.6% | 204 | 19.8% | 37 | 3.6% | 587 | 56.8% | 1,032 |
| Stutsman | 8,392 | 83.2% | 1,329 | 13.2% | 366 | 3.7% | 7,063 | 70.0% | 10,087 |
| Towner | 952 | 80.9% | 179 | 15.2% | 46 | 3.9% | 773 | 65.7% | 1,177 |
| Traill | 3,062 | 77.4% | 747 | 18.9% | 148 | 3.8% | 2,315 | 58.5% | 3,958 |
| Walsh | 3,788 | 80.5% | 749 | 15.9% | 171 | 3.7% | 3,039 | 64.6% | 4,708 |
| Ward | 22,538 | 82.8% | 3,309 | 12.2% | 1,378 | 5.0% | 19,229 | 70.6% | 27,225 |
| Wells | 2,080 | 86.8% | 239 | 10.0% | 78 | 3.3% | 1,841 | 76.8% | 2,397 |
| Williams | 10,750 | 85.3% | 1,180 | 9.4% | 666 | 5.3% | 9,570 | 75.9% | 12,596 |
| Totals | 268,788 | 78.5% | 58,116 | 17.0% | 15,597 | 4.6% | 210,672 | 61.5% | 342,501 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Sioux (Largest CDP: Cannon Ball)