2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
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The 2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Rhode Island, concurrently with the election of Rhode Island's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
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November 6, 2018
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Raimondo: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Fung: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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On September 12, 2018, incumbent governor Gina Raimondo and Cranston mayor and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Allan Fung won the Democratic and Republican primaries respectively, facing each other in a rematch of the 2014 election. Raimondo defeated Fung in the general election on November 6 to win a second term as governor, improving on her plurality win in 2014 to earn a majority of the votes, and becoming the first gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or challenger) to win a majority of votes since Donald Carcieri in 2006. It was also the first time that a Democrat was re-elected as Governor of Rhode Island since Bruce Sundlun won a second term in 1992, and the first time ever they did so for four-year terms.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Gina Raimondo, incumbent governor[1][2][3]
Eliminated in primary
- Matt Brown, former Secretary of State of Rhode Island and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2006[4]
- Spencer Dickinson, former state representative[5]
Withdrawn
- Paul Roselli, president of the Burrillville Land Trust (running for State Senate Dist. 23) (endorsed Matt Brown) [6]
Declined
- Lincoln Chafee, former governor and candidate for president of the United States in 2016[7]
- James Langevin, U.S. representative[8]
- Daniel McKee, lieutenant governor (running for reelection)[9]
- Angel Taveras, former mayor of Providence and candidate for governor in 2014[10]
Endorsements
Matt Brown
Statewide politicians
- Lincoln Chafee, former US senator and former governor[11]
Local officials
- Jeanine Calkin, state senator
- Lauren Niedel, Rhode Island Democratic Party State Committeewoman
Individuals
- Capri Catanzaro, political director of Rhode Island Progressive Democrats
- Andrea James-Gomez, Youth & Programs director of Rhode Island for Community & Justice
- Kate Michelman, former president of NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Barbara Roberts, director, Women's Cardiac Center, the Miriam Hospital
- Paul Roselli, president of Burrillville Land Trust, candidate for state senate, withdrawn Democratic candidate for governor [6]
- Gloria Steinem, feminist, journalist, and social political activist
Organizations
- Climate Action RI[12]
- IndivisibleRI
- Justice Democrats[13]
- Our Revolution RI[14]
- RI Progressive Democrats
Results
Map legend
- Raimondo—40–50%
- Raimondo—50–60%
- Raimondo—60–70%
Raimondo
- Raimondo—40–50%
- Raimondo—50–60%
- Raimondo—60–70%
- Raimondo—70–80%
Brown
- Brown—40–50%
- Brown—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gina Raimondo (incumbent) | 66,978 | 57.1 | |
| Democratic | Matt Brown | 39,300 | 33.5 | |
| Democratic | Spencer Dickinson | 10,926 | 9.3 | |
| Total votes | 117,204 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Allan Fung, mayor of Cranston and nominee for governor in 2014[15]
Eliminated in primary
- Giovanni Feroce, businessman, former state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 1994[16]
- Patricia Morgan, minority leader of the Rhode Island House of Representatives[17]
Declined
- Robert Flanders, former associate justice of the Rhode Island Supreme Court (running for U.S. Senate)[18]
- Robert Nardolillo, state representative (running for U.S. Senate)[19][10][20]
- Joe Trillo, former state representative (running as an independent)[10][21]
- John Hazen White, businessman[10]
Endorsements
Allan Fung
Federal officials
State officials
- Lincoln Almond, former governor[23]
- Michael Chippendale, state representative[24]
- Frank Maher, former state senator[24]
- Brian Newberry, state representative[24]
- Thomas Paolino, state senator[24]
- Mike Pinga, former state senator[24]
Local officials
- Trent Colford, Cranston city councilman[24]
- Michael Farina, president of the Cranston City Council[24]
- Michael Favicchio, vice president of the Cranston City Council[24]
- Liana Ferreira-Fenton, Middletown school committeewoman[24]
- Rolland Grant, former mayor of East Providence[24]
- Scott Hirst, town moderator of Hopkinton[25]
- Kenneth Hopkins, Cranston city councilman[24]
- Michael Isaacs, former president of the East Greenwich Town Council[24]
- Frank Landolfi, president of the Hopkinton Town Council[24]
- Kevin McGovern, president of the Exeter Town Council[24]
- Matthew Mannix, president pro tem of the Narragansett Town Council[24]
- Christopher Paplauskas, Cranston city councilman[24]
- Glen Shibley, president of the Coventry Town Council[24]
Party leadership
- Mark Smiley, former chair of the Rhode Island Republican Party[24]
- Mark Zaccaria, former chair of the Rhode Island Republican Party[24]
Organizations
- Cranston Republican City Committee[26]
- Cumberland Republican Town Committee[27]
- International Brotherhood of Police Officers Local 301[28]
- Lincoln Republican Town Committee[29]
- Middletown Republican Town Committee[30]
- North Kingstown Republican Town Committee[31]
- South Kingstown Republican Town Committee[32]
- Warwick Republican City Committee[33]
- Woonsocket Republican City Committee[34]
Newspapers
- Cranston Herald[35]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allan Fung |
Patricia Morgan |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Research Inc. (R-Morgan)[36] | July 23–24, 2018 | 400 | – | 44% | 33% | – | 18% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fung)[37] | July 11–14, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 62% | 22% | 4%[38] | 10% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allan Fung |
Patricia Morgan |
Joe Trillo |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TargetPoint (R-Fung)[39] | November 4–6, 2017 | 433 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 24% | 10% | 20% |
Results
Fung
- Fung—40–50%
- Fung—50–60%
- Fung—60–70%
Morgan
- Morgan—50–60%
Fung
- Fung—40–50%
- Fung—50–60%
- Fung—60–70%
- Fung—80–90%
Morgan
- Morgan—40–50%
- Morgan—50–60%
- Morgan—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Allan Fung | 18,577 | 56.4 | |
| Republican | Patricia Morgan | 13,208 | 40.1 | |
| Republican | Giovanni Feroce | 1,147 | 3.5 | |
| Total votes | 32,932 | 100.0 | ||
Moderate primary
Candidates
Declared
- Bill Gilbert, chairman of the Moderate Party of Rhode Island and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014[40]
Independents
Declared
- Luis Daniel Muñoz, physician and community organizer[41]
- Joe Trillo, former Republican state representative[21]
Failed to qualify
- Rebecca McLaughlin[42]
Declined
- Matt Brown, former Secretary of State of Rhode Island (running as a Democrat)[4]
Minor third parties
Declared
- Anne Armstrong (Compassion Party), cannabis activist[43]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 27, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 15, 2018
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[44] | Lean D | October 26, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[45] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[46] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[47] | Lean D | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[49] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[50] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[51][a] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Politico[52] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| Governing[53] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Allan Fung (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming & Associates[54] | October 20–24, 2018 | 416 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 34% | 9% | 4%[55] | 8% |
| SocialSphere[56] | October 5–9, 2018 | 502 | – | 40% | 32% | 17% | – | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire[57] | September 27 – October 6, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | 5% | 3%[58] | 11% |
| Fleming & Associates[59] | September 14–17, 2018 | 420 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 36% | 7% | 4%[60] | 9% |
| Fleming & Associates[61] | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 39% | 37% | 6% | 3%[62] | 14% |
| SocialSphere[63] | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 33% | 33% | 16% | – | 18% |
| Fleming & Associates[64] | February 25–28, 2018 | 419 | ± 4.8% | 38% | 36% | 6% | – | 17% |
| TargetPoint (R-Fung)[39] | November 4–6, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | – | – | – |
Hypothetical polling
with Gina Raimondo and Patricia Morgan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Patricia Morgan (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming & Associates[61] | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 42% | 24% | 8% | 5%[65] | 22% |
| SocialSphere[66] | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 39% | 20% | 19% | – | 22% |
| Fleming & Associates[64] | February 25–28, 2018 | 419 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 25% | 9% | – | 20% |
with Gina Raimondo and Giovanni Feroce
with Matt Brown and Allan Fung
with Matt Brown and Patricia Morgan
with Matt Brown and Giovanni Feroce
Results
Map legend
- ≥5%
- 4–5%
- <4%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gina Raimondo (incumbent) | 198,122 | 52.64% | +11.94% | |
| Republican | Allan Fung | 139,932 | 37.18% | +0.94% | |
| Independent | Joe Trillo | 16,532 | 4.39% | N/A | |
| Moderate | Bill Gilbert | 10,155 | 2.70% | −18.68% | |
| Independent | Luis Daniel Muñoz | 6,223 | 1.65% | N/A | |
| Compassion | Anne Armstrong | 4,191 | 1.11% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 1,246 | 0.33% | +0.10% | ||
| Total votes | 376,401 | 100% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
| Gina Raimondo Democratic |
Allan Fung Republican |
Others | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % |
| Bristol | 12,316 | 58.1% | 6,772 | 32.0% | 2,091 | 9.9% |
| Kent | 29,673 | 44.0% | 29,921 | 44.8% | 7,835 | 11.2% |
| Newport | 20,014 | 59.6% | 10,346 | 30.8% | 3,211 | 9.6% |
| Providence | 106,688 | 53.9% | 72,247 | 36.5% | 19,189 | 9.6% |
| Washington | 29,431 | 52.5% | 20,646 | 36.8% | 6,021 | 10.7% |
By congressional district
Raimondo won both congressional districts.[72]
| District | Raimondo | Fung | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 59% | 31% | David Cicilline |
| 2nd | 47% | 43% | James Langevin |