2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts.

Quick facts All 4 Kansas seats to the United States House of Representatives, Majority party ...
2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas
← 2016
November 6, 2018
2020 →
All 4 Kansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 4 0
Seats won 3 1
Seat change Decrease 1 Increase 1
Popular vote 549,563 447,134
Percentage 53.95% 43.89%
Swing Decrease 5.20% Increase 16.83%
Close

The state congressional delegation changed from a 4–0 Republican majority to a 3–1 Republican majority, the first time the Democrats had won a house seat in the state since 2008.

Overview

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas by district:[1]

More information District, Republican ...
District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1153,08268.15%71,55831.85%00.00%224,640100%Republican hold
District 2126,09847.64%123,85946.79%14,7315.57%264,688100%Republican hold
District 3139,76243.91%170,51853.57%8,0212.52%318,301100%Democratic gain
District 4144,24859.44%98,44540.56%00.00%242,693100%Republican hold
Total563,19053.62%464,38044.21%22,7522.17%1,050,322100%
Close
Popular vote
Republican
 
 53.62%
Democratic
 
 44.21%
Other
 
 2.17%
House seats
Republican
 
 75%
Democratic
 
 25%

District 1

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Kansas's 1st congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Roger Marshall Alan LaPolice
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 153,082 71,558
Percentage 68.1% 31.9%
County results
Marshall:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
LaPolice:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Roger Marshall
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Roger Marshall
Republican

Close
See also: Kansas's 1st congressional district

The first district is one of the largest geographically in the nation, encompassing more than half of the area of the state. It is located in western and northern Kansas, and includes the cities of Manhattan and Salina. Republican Roger Marshall won this district in 2016 by defeating the incumbent congressman, Tim Huelskamp, in the Republican primary 57% to 43% and winning the general election.

Republican primary

Tim Huelskamp filed a statement of candidacy with the FEC on October 17, 2016, to run for this seat in 2018.[2] Huelskamp made no announcement about whether he was considering a potential rematch with Marshall, but sent a fundraising email attacking Marshall and soliciting donations.[2] On June 29, 2017, it was announced that Huelskamp had accepted a position with The Heartland Institute, a conservative think tank in Arlington Heights, Illinois.[3]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Nick Reinecker
Declined

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Roger Marshall (incumbent) 64,843 78.7
Republican Nick Reinecker 17,593 21.3
Total votes 82,436 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Alan LaPolice, former school administrator, Republican candidate for this seat in 2014 and an independent candidate in 2016[4]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alan LaPolice 17,195 100.0
Total votes 17,195 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[6] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe R November 5, 2018
RCP[8] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[9] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[10] Safe R November 7, 2018
CNN[11] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[12] Safe R November 4, 2018
Close

Endorsements

Alan LaPolice (D)

Labor unions

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Roger
Marshall (R)		 Alan
LaPolice (D)		 Undecided
Emerson College[14] October 26–28, 2018 221 ± 6.6% 51% 36% 13%
Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice)[15] October 22–23, 2018 600 ± 4.2% 42% 38% 20%
Remington (R-Marshall)[16] October 8–9, 2018 1,432 ± 2.6% 60% 26% 14%
Emerson College[17] September 26–28, 2018 193 ± 6.8% 44% 17% 35%
Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice)[18] September 21–22, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 44% 33% 23%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Kansas's 1st congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Roger Marshall (incumbent) 153,082 68.1
Democratic Alan LaPolice 71,558 31.9
Total votes 224,640 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 2

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Kansas's 2nd congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Steve Watkins Paul Davis Kelly Standley
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Popular vote 126,098 123,859 14,731
Percentage 47.6% 46.8% 5.6%
County results
Watkins:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Davis:      50–60%      70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Lynn Jenkins
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Steve Watkins
Republican

Close
See also: Kansas's 2nd congressional district

This district is located in eastern Kansas and is anchored by the state capital, Topeka. It also includes the city of Lawrence. Incumbent Republican Lynn Jenkins had represented the district since 2009. In 2008, Jenkins defeated former six-term District congressman Jim Ryun in the primary, and incumbent Democrat Nancy Boyda in the general election.[19] Jenkins was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Campaign

Jenkins had considered running for governor instead of re-election, but decided to retire and not run for any office in 2018.[20][21]

Army veteran Steve Watkins led the Republican primary campaign, securing the endorsement of President Donald Trump. However, his background and residency were challenged by fellow Republicans, citing inaccuracies in claims on his website and in his campaign, as well as his absence from the district.[22]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Matt Bevens
  • Tyler Tannahill

Endorsements

Steve Fitzgerald

Organizations

  • Kansans for Life[23]
Dennis Pyle

Organizations

  • Kansans for Life[23]
Caryn Tyson

Organizations

Steve Watkins

U.S. presidents

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Primary results

Results by county:
  Watkins
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Tyson
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Fitzgerald
  •   40–50%
  Pyle
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Watkins 20,052 26.5
Republican Caryn Tyson 17,749 23.5
Republican Kevin Jones 11,201 14.8
Republican Steve Fitzgerald 9,227 12.2
Republican Dennis Pyle 9,126 12.1
Republican Doug Mays 6,221 8.2
Republican Vernon J. Fields 1,987 2.6
Total votes 75,563 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Former Kansas State House Minority Leader and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Paul Davis ran unopposed. When Davis ran against incumbent governor Sam Brownback in 2014, he had carried the 2nd district.[31]

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Nathan Schmidt

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paul Davis 38,846 100.0
Total votes 38,846 100.0
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kelly Standley, business developer[32]

General election

Endorsements

Steve Watkins (R)

U.S. presidents

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Paul Davis (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Debate

More information No., Date ...
2018 Kansas's 2nd congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Steve Watkins Paul Davis
1 Oct. 18, 2018 WIBW-TV Melissa Brunner
Ralph Hipp
Shawn Wheat		 C-SPAN P P
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Steve
Watkins (R)		 Paul
Davis (D)		 Kelly
Standley (L)		 Other Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College[34] October 27–30, 2018 501 ± 4.8% 37% 41% 7% – 15%
Change Research (D)[35] October 27–29, 2018 902 – 45% 44% – – –
Emerson College[14] October 26–28, 2018 231 ± 6.5% 48% 41% – – 8%
Emerson College[17] September 26–28, 2018 243 ± 6.4% 31% 35% 4% 3%[36] 28%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[37] September 13–15, 2018 500 ± 4.8% 44% 45% – – 12%
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Paul
Davis (D)		 Steve
Fitzgerald (R)		 Other Undecided
The Mellman Group (D)[38] June 13–18, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 39% 34% – 27%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Generic
Republican		 Paul
Davis (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[39] February 12–13, 2018 711 ± 3.7% 42% 44% – 14%
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Tossup November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[6] Tossup November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
RCP[8] Tossup November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[9] Tossup November 5, 2018
538[10] Lean D (flip) November 7, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Kansas's 2nd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Watkins 126,098 47.6
Democratic Paul Davis 123,859 46.8
Libertarian Kelly Standley 14,731 5.6
Total votes 264,688 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 3

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Kansas's 3rd congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Sharice Davids Kevin Yoder
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 170,518 139,762
Percentage 53.6% 43.9%
County results
Davids:      50–60%      60–70%
Yoder:      60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Kevin Yoder
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Sharice Davids
Democratic

Close
See also: Kansas's 3rd congressional district

The district is based in the Kansas City metropolitan area and surrounding suburbs in eastern Kansas. Cities include Kansas City and Overland Park. Incumbent Republican Kevin Yoder had represented the district since 2011. Yoder was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. Yoder lost to his Democratic challenger, attorney Sharice Davids, who became one of the first Native American women ever elected to Congress.[40]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Trevor Keegan
  • Joe Myers

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Yoder (incumbent) 53,130 68.1
Republican Trevor Keegan 14,574 18.7
Republican Joe Myers 10,268 13.2
Total votes 77,972 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Mike McCamon, businessman
  • Tom Niermann, teacher[43]
  • Jay Sidie, financial counselor and nominee for this seat in 2016[44]
  • Brent Welder, attorney[45]
  • Sylvia Williams, former financial services manager
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Sharice Davids

U.S. representatives

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Local officials

Tom Niermann

U.S. representatives

State legislators

  • Barbara Bollier, state senator (R-7)
  • Cindy Neighbor, state representative (D-18)
  • Brett Parker, state representative (D-29)

Labor unions

Organizations

  • Mainstream Coalition

Local officials

  • Kay Barnes, former mayor of Kansas City, MO
  • Al Frisby, city councilman - Merriam
  • Logan Heley, city councilman - Overland Park
  • Jen Hill, city councilwoman - Roeland Park
  • Carol Marinovich, former mayor of Kansas City, KS[57]
  • Andrew Osman, city councilman - Leawood
  • Hillary Parker Thomas, city councilwoman - Mission
Brent Welder

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sharice
Davids		 Tom
Niermann		 Brent
Welder		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[64] August 2–3, 2018 543 ± 4.2% 21% 15% 35% 12%[65] 17%
Close

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sharice Davids 23,379 37.3
Democratic Brent Welder 21,190 33.9
Democratic Tom Niermann 8,939 14.3
Democratic Mike McCamon 4,354 6.9
Democratic Sylvia Williams 2,955 4.7
Democratic Jay Sidie 1,790 2.9
Total votes 62,607 100.0
Close

General election

Endorsements

Kevin Yoder (R)

Federal officials

Organizations

Sharice Davids (D)

Federal officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Local officials

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Kevin
Yoder (R)		 Sharice
Davids (D)		 Chris
Clemmons (L)		 Undecided
Emerson College[14] October 26–28, 2018 262 ± 6.3% 43% 55% – 1%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[76] October 14–17, 2018 503 ± 4.7% 39% 48% 3% 11%
Emerson College[17] September 26–28, 2018 246 ± 6.4% 41% 47% 2% 10%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[77] September 20–23, 2018 494 ± 4.7% 43% 51% – 6%
Remington Research (R-Yoder)[78] September 18–20, 2018 610 ± 4.0% 43% 40% – –
Global Strategy Group (D-Davids)[79] August 13–15, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 43% 46% 4% 7%
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Kevin
Yoder (R)		 Brent
Welder (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[80] February 14–15, 2018 315 ± 5.5% 42% 49% – 9%
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[6] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
RCP[8] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[9] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
538[10] Likely D (flip) November 7, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Kansas's 3rd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sharice Davids 170,518 53.6
Republican Kevin Yoder (incumbent) 139,762 43.9
Libertarian Chris Clemmons 8,021 2.5
Total votes 318,301 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican
Close

District 4

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Kansas's 4th congressional district election
 
Nominee Ron Estes James Thompson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 144,248 98,445
Percentage 59.4% 40.6%
County results
Estes:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

Ron Estes
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Ron Estes
Republican

Close
See also: Kansas's 4th congressional district

The fourth district is based in southern Kansas, including Wichita and the surrounding suburbs. Incumbent Republican Ron Estes had represented the district since 2017. Estes was elected with 52.5% of the vote in 2017.

Prior to Estes, Mike Pompeo represented the district. Pompeo had been nominated as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency in the Donald Trump administration.[81] After Pompeo was confirmed, a special election was held for the remainder of Pompeo's term. Ron Estes won the special election on April 11, 2017.[82]

Republican primary

The Republican Party selected a nominee during a Republican Party primary election which took place on August 7, 2018. The Republican primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Republicans.[83][84]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Campaign

Because there were two Republican candidates named Ron Estes, the names appeared on the ballot as "Rep. Ron Estes" and "Ron M. Estes", which some criticized as breaking a state law that prohibits identifying an incumbent on the ballot.[90][91][92][93]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Estes (incumbent) 57,522 81.4
Republican Ron M. Estes 13,159 18.6
Total votes 70,681 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

The Democratic Party selected a nominee during a Democratic Party primary election that took place on August 7, 2018. The primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Democrats.[83][84]

Candidates

Nominee
  • James Thompson, civil rights attorney, military veteran and nominee for this seat in 2017[94]
Eliminated in primary
  • Laura Lombard, businesswoman and CEO of ImEpik (online workforce training services)[95]

Campaign

Senator Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigned for Democrat James Thompson on July 20, 2018, after the national Democratic party would not support him.[96][94][97][98][99] Laura Lombard criticized the state's decision to list incumbent Ron Estes as "Rep. Ron Estes" on the ballot, because she believed this broke state laws which prohibit a candidate from being identified as an incumbent on the ballot.[91]

Endorsements

James Thompson

U.S. senators

Labor unions

Individuals

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic James Thompson 20,261 65.2
Democratic Laura Lombard 10,797 34.8
Total votes 31,058 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[6] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe R November 5, 2018
RCP[8] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[9] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[10] Safe R November 7, 2018
CNN[11] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[12] Safe R November 4, 2018
Close

Endorsements

James Thompson (D)

U.S. senators

Labor unions

Individuals

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Ron
Estes (R)		 James
Thompson (D)		 Undecided
Emerson College[14] October 26–28, 2018 262 ± 6.3% 63% 33% 4%
Emerson College[17] September 26–28, 2018 256 ± 6.4% 50% 26% 20%
Change Research (D-Thompson)[100] July 17–19, 2018 1,896 ± 2.25% 42% 38% 20%
Close

Debate

More information No., Date ...
2018 Kansas's 4th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Ron Estes James Thompson
1 Oct. 5, 2018 PBS Kansas Susan Peters YouTube P P
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Kansas's 4th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Estes (incumbent) 144,248 59.4
Democratic James Thompson 98,445 40.6
Total votes 242,693 100.0
Republican hold
Close

References

External links

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