2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Minnesota, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with an open gubernatorial election, a U.S. Senate election, a special U.S. Senate election, State House elections, and other elections. Primaries were held on August 14.
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November 6, 2018
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All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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In the 2018 elections, Democrats gained the 2nd and 3rd districts from Republican incumbents, and the Republicans gained the 1st and 8th districts from Democrats running for higher office, leaving party representation in Minnesota's House delegation unchanged at five members from the DFL and three members from the GOP.
Overview
Statewide
| Party | Candidates | Votes[1] | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Democratic-Farmer-Labor | 8 | 1,420,769 | 55.13 | 5 |  |
62.50 | |
| Republican | 8 | 1,125,533 | 43.68 | 3 | |
37.50 | |
| Legal Marijuana Now | 1 | 13,777 | 0.53 | 0 | |
0.0 | |
| Independence | 1 | 12,741 | 0.49 | 0 | |
0.0 | |
| Write-in | 8 | 4,177 | 0.16 | 0 | |
0.0 | |
| Total | 26 | 2,576,996 | 100.0 | 8 | |
100.0 | |
By district
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district:[2]
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 144,885 | 49.67% | 146,200 | 50.13% | 576 | 0.20% | 291,661 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| District 2 | 177,958 | 52.65% | 159,344 | 47.15% | 666 | 0.20% | 337,968 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 3 | 202,404 | 55.61% | 160,839 | 44.19% | 706 | 0.20% | 363,949 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 4 | 216,865 | 65.99% | 97,747 | 29.75% | 14,002 | 4.26% | 328,614 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 267,703 | 77.97% | 74,440 | 21.68% | 1,215 | 0.35% | 343,358 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 122,332 | 38.75% | 192,931 | 61.11% | 463 | 0.15% | 315,726 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 146,672 | 52.10% | 134,668 | 47.84% | 169 | 0.06% | 281,509 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 8 | 141,950 | 45.18% | 159,364 | 50.72% | 12,897 | 4.10% | 314,211 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| Total | 1,420,769 | 55.13% | 1,125,533 | 43.68% | 30,694 | 1.19% | 2,576,996 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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  Hagedorn: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Feehan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Minnesota's 1st Congressional District extends across southern Minnesota, from the border with South Dakota to the border with Wisconsin and the state's entire border with Iowa.
Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, did not run for re-election, instead opting to run for governor. He was re-elected with 50% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+5. This was the first election for this seat to be won by a Republican since 2004.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Feehan, Army veteran and former Acting Assistant Secretary of Defense for Readiness[3][4]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Johnny Akzam, personal coach and website developer[4]
- John Austinson, teacher
- Vicki Jensen, former state senator (endorsed Feehan)[4]
- Regina Mustafa, activist[8]
- Robert Ries, U.S. Navy veteran[9]
- Joe Sullivan, clean energy advocate (endorsed Feehan)[4]
- Rich Wright, attorney and nominee for state senate in 2016 (endorsed Feehan)[4]
Declined
Endorsements
Dan Feehan
U.S. Representatives
- Seth Moulton, U.S. Representative (D-MA)[11]
State legislators
- Vicki Jensen, former state senator[4]
Organizations
Joe Sullivan
- Organizations
Rich Wright
- Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Dan Feehan | 39,167 | 83.1 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Colin Minehart | 7,971 | 16.9 | |
| Total votes | 47,138 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Minnesota's 1st congressional district was listed as one of the NRCC's initial targets in 2018.[19]
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Hagedorn, blogger, candidate for this seat in 2010 and nominee in 2014 & 2016[20]
Eliminated in primary
- Andrew Candler, convenience store worker[7]
- Carla Nelson, state senator[21]
- Stephen Williams, farmer, candidate for this seat in 2016, Independence nominee for the U.S. Senate 2012, candidate in 2008 and 2012 and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2010[7]
Declined
- Nels Pierson, state representative
- Joe Schomacker, state representative
Endorsements
Jim Hagedorn
- U.S. Senators
- Rudy Boschwitz, former U.S. Senator[22]
- U.S. Representatives
- Tom Emmer, U.S. Representative[22]
- Gil Gutknecht, former U.S. Representative[22]
- John Kline, former U.S. Representative[22]
- Frank Lucas, U.S. Representative[22]
- Bill Shuster, U.S. Representative[22]
- State legislators
- Tony Cornish, state representative[23]
- Gary Dahms, state senator[24]
- Jeremy Munson, state representative[25]
- Julie Rosen, state senator[23]
- Paul Torkelson, state representative[24]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Carla Nelson
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jim Hagedorn |
Carla Nelson |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling (R–Hagedorn)[32] | February 19–20, 2018 | 412 (LV) | ±4.8% | 54% | 21% | 25% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Hagedorn | 25,418 | 60.1 | |
| Republican | Carla Nelson | 13,589 | 32.2 | |
| Republican | Steve Williams | 2,145 | 5.1 | |
| Republican | Andrew Candler | 1,106 | 2.6 | |
| Total votes | 42,258 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Dan Feehan (DFL)
U.S. Representatives
- Seth Moulton, U.S. Representative (D-MA)
State legislators
- Vicki Jensen, former state senator[4]
Organizations
Jim Hagedorn (R)
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States[35]
- U.S. Senators
- Rudy Boschwitz, former U.S. Senator[22]
- U.S. Representatives
- Tom Emmer, U.S. Representative[22]
- Gil Gutknecht, former U.S. Representative[22]
- John Kline, former U.S. Representative[22]
- Frank Lucas, U.S. Representative[22]
- Bill Shuster, U.S. Representative[22]
- State legislators
- Tony Cornish, state representative[23]
- Gary Dahms, state senator[24]
- Jeremy Munson, state representative
- Julie Rosen, state senator[23]
- Paul Torkelson, state representative[24]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Debate & forum
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Dan Feehan | Jim Hagedorn | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 12, 2018 | Minnesota Public Radio | Mike Mulcahy | [40] | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 17, 2018 | Greater Mankato Growth South Central College The Free Press |
Patrick Baker Steve Jameson |
[41] | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Dan Feehan (DFL) |
Jim Hagedorn (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[42] | October 16–20, 2018 | 586 (LV) | ±4.4% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
| Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn)[43] | August 23–26, 2018 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 33% | 47% | 6% | 14% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[44] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[45] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[47] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[48] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[49] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Hagedorn | 146,199 | 50.1 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Dan Feehan | 144,884 | 49.7 | |
| Write-in | 575 | 0.2 | ||
| Majority | 1,315 | 0.5 | ||
| Total votes | 291,658 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic (DFL) | ||||
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Feehan (DFL) | $4,121,229 | $4,117,708 | $3,521 |
| Jim Hagedorn (R) | $1,584,923 | $1,584,057 | $1,092 |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Feehan (DFL) | $2,716,864 | $6,911,780 |
| Jim Hagedorn (R) | $288,762 | $4,101,940 |
District 2
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 Precinct results Craig: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Lewis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Jason Lewis, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 47% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+2.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jason Lewis, incumbent U.S. Representative[50]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Angie Craig, former St. Jude Medical executive and nominee for this seat in 2016[51]
Withdrawn
- Jeff Erdmann, high school football coach[52]
Independence primary
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Bradley Svenson
General election
Endorsements
Jason Lewis (R)
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States[53]
- State officials
- Tim Pawlenty, former governor of Minnesota[54]
- State legislators
- Jeff Johnson, former state representative (43A), nominee for governor of Minnesota in 2014 and 2018[54]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[55]
Angie Craig (DFL)
- U.S. Representatives
- Gabrielle Giffords, Former U.S. Representative
- Rick Nolan, U.S. Representative (DFL-MN)
- Tim Walz, U.S. Representative (DFL-MN)
- State legislators
- Jim Carlson, State Senator
- Greg Clausen, State Senator
- Chris Coleman, Former Mayor of Saint Paul, Minnesota
- Kevin Dahle, Former State Senator
- Scott Dibble, State Senator
- Laurie Halverson, State Representative
- Erin Murphy, State Representative
- Melissa Hortman, Minority Leader of Minnesota House of Representatives
- Erin Maye Quade, State Representative
- Sandy Masin, State Representative
- Matt Schmidt, Former State Senator
- Paul Thissen, State Representative
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Government Employees[56]
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 5[57]
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 65[57]
- Communications Workers of America[58][59]
- Education Minnesota[60]
- Minnesota AFL–CIO[61]
- Service Employees International Union Minnesota State Council[62]
- Organizations
- Congressional Progressive Caucus[63]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[33]
- EMILY's List[64]
- End Citizens United[65]
- Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund[66]
- Giffords[67]
- Human Rights Campaign[68]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[69]
- LGBT Equality Caucus[70]
- LPAC[71]
- Minnesota Democratic Farmer-Labor Party[72]
- New Democrat Coalition[73]
- Stonewall Democrats DFL Caucus[74]
- Newspapers
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jason Lewis (R) |
Angie Craig (DFL) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D)[76] | October 9–14, 2018 | 400 | ±4.9% | 43% | 52% | 15% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[77] | September 29 – October 2, 2018 | 487 (LV) | ±5.0% | 39% | 51% | 9% |
| WPA Intelligence (R-Lewis)[78] | September 29 – October 1, 2018 | 412 (LV) | ±4.9% | 46% | 43% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA[79] | September 17–23, 2018 | 569 (LV) | ±4.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[80] | September 17–18, 2018 | 531 (V) | – | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| WPA Intelligence (R-Lewis)[81] | August 18–21, 2018 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[82] | October 4–7, 2017 | 732 (V) | ±3.6% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Jason Lewis | Angie Craig | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 19, 2018 | Twin Cities Public Television | Eric Eskola Cathy Wurzer |
[83] | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[44] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[45] | Tilt D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[47] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[48] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[49] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Angie Craig | 177,954 | 52.7 | |
| Republican | Jason Lewis (incumbent) | 159,343 | 47.1 | |
| Write-in | 668 | 0.2 | ||
| Majority | 18,611 | 5.5 | ||
| Total votes | 337,965 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) gain from Republican | ||||
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Lewis (R) | $2,916,211 | $2,918,685 | $7,363 |
| Angie Craig (DFL) | $5,312,788 | $5,237,900 | $87,391 |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Lewis (R) | $142,761 | $4,515,629 |
| Angie Craig (DFL) | $1,052,637 | $3,029,749 |
District 3
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 Precinct results Phillips: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Paulsen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+1.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Erik Paulsen, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Erik Paulsen (incumbent) | 39,080 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 39,080 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dean Phillips, businessman[7]
Eliminated in primary
- Cole Young, retail store employee[7]
Withdrawn
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Dean Phillips | 56,697 | 81.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Cole Young | 12,784 | 18.4 | |
| Total votes | 69,481 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Erik Paulsen (R)
Dean Phillips (DFL)
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Erik Paulsen | Dean Phillips | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 5, 2018 | KNOW-FM | Mike Mulcahy | [87] | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 19, 2018 | Twin Cities Public Television | Eric Eskola Cathy Wurzer |
[88] | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Erik Paulsen (R) |
Dean Phillips (DFL) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[89] | September 24–29, 2018 | 607 (LV) | ±4.3% | 44% | 49% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[90] | September 17–18, 2018 | 538 (V) | – | 39% | 52% | 9% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[91] | September 7–9, 2018 | 500 (LV) | ±4.6% | 42% | 51% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[92] | February 12–13, 2018 | 664 (V) | ±3.8% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[93] | November 9–10, 2017 | 542 (V) | ±4.2% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[44] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[45] | Tilt D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[47] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[48] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[49] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Dean Phillips | 202,402 | 55.6 | |
| Republican | Erik Paulsen (incumbent) | 160,839 | 44.2 | |
| Write-in | 707 | 0.2 | ||
| Majority | 41,563 | 11.4 | ||
| Total votes | 363,948 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) gain from Republican | ||||
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Paulsen (R) | $5,778,480 | $5,862,137 | $283,313 |
| Dean Phillips (DFL) | $6,265,241 | $6,223,759 | $41,482 |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Erik Paulsen (R) | $803,622 | $4,562,336 |
| Dean Phillips (DFL) | $1,339,786 | $3,091,511 |
District 4
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 Precinct results McCollum: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Ryan: 40–50% 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+14.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Betty McCollum, incumbent U.S. Representative[7]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Fasil Moghul, landlord
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 86,843 | 91.0 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Muad Hassan | 5,398 | 5.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Reid Rossell | 3,156 | 3.3 | |
| Total votes | 95,397 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Ryan | 23,021 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 23,021 | 100.0 | ||
Legal Marijuana Now
Candidates
Nominee
General election
Endorsements
Betty McCollum (DFL)
- Labor unions
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[44] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[45] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[48] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[49] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 216,866 | 66.0 | |
| Republican | Greg Ryan | 97,746 | 29.7 | |
| Legal Marijuana Now | Susan Sindt | 13,777 | 4.2 | |
| Write-in | 226 | 0.1 | ||
| Majority | 119,120 | 36.2 | ||
| Total votes | 328,615 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betty McCollum (DFL) | $931,351 | $949,724 | $106,299 | |
| Greg Ryan (R) | $23,621 | $20,911 | $5,706 | |
| Susan Sindt (LM) | Unreported | |||
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Betty McCollum (DFL) | $9,518 | $8,225 |
| Greg Ryan (R) | $5,000 | $0 |
| Susan Sindt (LM) | $0 | $0 |
District 5
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 Precinct results Omar: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, decided to not run for re-election, instead seeking the Democratic nomination for the open Attorney General race. He was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+26.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ilhan Omar, state representative[95][96]
Eliminated in primary
- Jamal Abdi Abdulahi, engineer and chair of the DFL Somali-American Caucus[97]
- Frank Nelson Drake, real estate agent, Republican nominee for this seat in 2016[97]
- Margaret Anderson Kelliher, former speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives and candidate for governor in 2010[98]
- Patricia Torres Ray, state senator[98]
Campaign suspended, still on ballot
Withdrawn
- Keith Ellison, incumbent U.S. Representative, running for Attorney General in 2018[100]
- Kim Ellison, Minneapolis School Board member, former spouse of Keith Ellison[101]
- Julie Sabo, former state senator and daughter of former Congressman Martin Olav Sabo[97][101]
Endorsements
Ilhan Omar
- State officials
- Mark Dayton, governor of Minnesota[102]
- State legislators
- Raymond Dehn, state representative[103]
- John Lesch, state representative[104]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Center for Popular Democracy[106]
- Democracy for America[105]
- End Citizens United[107]
- Justice Democrats[108]
- Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party[109]
- MoveOn.org[106]
- Our Revolution[106]
- People for the American Way[105]
- The People for Bernie Sanders[105]
- Sierra Club[105]
- Local officials
- Lisa Bender, Minneapolis City Council president[110]
- Jacob Frey, mayor of Minneapolis[110]
- Party officials
- Ken Martin, chairman of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party[111]
- Individuals
- Alicia Garza, cofounder of Black Lives Matter[112]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic nominee for New York's 14th congressional district[113]
Margaret Anderson Kelliher
- State officials
- Arne Carlson, former Republican governor[114]
- State legislators
- Lyndon Carlson, state representative[115]
- Phyllis Kahn, former state representative[106]
- Carolyn Laine, state senator[115]
- Ron Latz, state senator[115]
- Ann Rest, state senator[115]
- Tony Sertich, former state representative[104]
- Linda Slocum, state representative[115]
- Ryan Winkler, former state representative[116]
- Local officials
Patricia Torres Ray
- State legislators
- Karen Clark, state representative[109]
- Larry Pogemiller, former Minnesota Senate Majority Leader[104]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Ilhan Omar | 65,238 | 48.2 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Margaret Anderson Kelliher | 41,156 | 30.4 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Patricia Torres Ray | 17,629 | 13.0 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Jamal Abdulahi | 4,984 | 3.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Bobby Joe Champion | 3,831 | 2.8 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Frank Drake | 2,480 | 1.8 | |
| Total votes | 135,318 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jennifer Zielinski, health care worker and Republican activist[97]
Eliminated in primary
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jennifer Zielinski | 8,680 | 56.5 | |
| Republican | Christopher Chamberlin | 4,999 | 32.5 | |
| Republican | Bob Carney | 1,688 | 11.0 | |
| Total votes | 15,367 | 100.0 | ||
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Les Lester, author and teacher (Write-in)
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[44] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[45] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[48] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[49] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Ilhan Omar | 267,703 | 78.0 | |
| Republican | Jennifer Zielinski | 74,440 | 21.7 | |
| Write-in | 1,215 | 0.4 | ||
| Majority | 193,263 | 56.3 | ||
| Total votes | 343,358 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilhan Omar (DFL) | $1,073,813 | $1,018,983 | $54,829 |
| Jennifer Zielinski (R) | $23,355 | $22,755 | $600 |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Ilhan Omar (DFL) | $31,648 | $8,225 |
| Jennifer Zielinski (R) | $8,999 | $0 |
District 6
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Emmer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Todd: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+12 despite narrowly voting for incumbent Democratic senator Amy Klobuchar on the same ballot.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Emmer (incumbent) | 34,251 | 76.6 | |
| Republican | A.J. Kern | 7,897 | 17.7 | |
| Republican | Patrick Munro | 2,575 | 5.8 | |
| Total votes | 44,723 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Ian Todd | 33,853 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 33,853 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Tom Emmer (R)
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[44] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[45] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[47] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[48] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[49] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Emmer (incumbent) | 192,936 | 61.1 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Ian Todd | 122,330 | 38.7 | |
| Write-in | 463 | 0.1 | ||
| Majority | 70,606 | 22.4 | ||
| Total votes | 315,729 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Emmer (R) | $2,203,827 | $2,159,206 | $182,186 |
| Ian Todd (DFL) | $83,119 | $81,577 | $1,542 |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Emmer (R) | $29,592 | $861 |
| Ian Todd (DFL) | $921 | $2,500 |
District 7
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Peterson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hughes: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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_(cropped).png)
Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 52% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+12.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Collin Peterson, incumbent U.S. Representative[7]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 39,961 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 39,961 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Matt Prosch[7]
Withdrawn
- Amanda Lynn Hinson, entrepreneur, writer, former pastor and candidate for this seat in 2016
- Tim Miller, state representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dave Hughes | 30,786 | 72.6 | |
| Republican | Matt Prosch | 11,618 | 27.4 | |
| Total votes | 42,404 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Collin Peterson (DFL)
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Dave Hughes (R)
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, U.S. president[122]
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Collin Peterson | Dave Hughes | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 19, 2018 | Prairie Public Television | Matt Olien | [123] | P | P |
Polling
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[44] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[45] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[47] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[48] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[49] | Likely D | November 7, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 146,672 | 52.1 | |
| Republican | Dave Hughes | 134,668 | 47.8 | |
| Write-in | 169 | 0.1 | ||
| Majority | 12,004 | 4.3 | ||
| Total votes | 281,509 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Peterson (DFL) | $1,425,449 | $1,494,741 | $500,376 |
| Dave Hughes (R) | $232,724 | $229,418 | $3,578 |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Collin Peterson (DFL) | $2,649 | $14,644 |
| Dave Hughes (R) | $43,000 | $0 |
District 8
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Stauber: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Radinovich: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Rick Nolan, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented Minnesota's 6th district from 1975 to 1981, decided to run for Lieutenant Governor of Minnesota instead of running for re-election. He was re-elected with 50% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+4.[125]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Kirsten Kennedy, mayor of North Branch[127]
- Michelle D. Lee, former Duluth news anchor[128]
- Jason Metsa, state representative[129]
- Soren Christian Sorensen, liberal activist[7]
Withdrawn
- Rick Nolan, incumbent U.S. Representative (running for Lieutenant Governor)
- Leah Phifer, former ICE agent and FBI analyst[130]
Declined
- Susan Hakes, Cook County Commissioner[84]
Endorsements
Michelle Lee
- State officials
Jason Metsa
- Labor unions
Joe Radinovich
- U.S. Representatives
- Rick Nolan, U.S. Representative (DFL-MN)[135]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Government Employees District 8[136]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 242[137]
- Organizations
- Newspapers
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Joe Radinovich | 30,391 | 44.2 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Michelle Lee | 18,940 | 27.5 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Jason Metsa | 9,009 | 13.1 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Kirsten Kennedy | 8,064 | 11.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Soren Sorensen | 2,396 | 3.5 | |
| Total votes | 68,800 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Pete Stauber, St. Louis County commissioner, and former professional hockey player[139]
Eliminated in primary
- Harry Welty, former Duluth School Board member and perennial candidate[7]
Declined
- Stewart Mills III, Mills Fleet Farm executive and nominee for this seat in 2014 & 2016[140]
Endorsements
Pete Stauber
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Mike Pence, vice president[141]
- Donald Trump, president[142][143]
- U.S. Senators
- Rudy Boschwitz, former U.S. Senator[144]
- U.S. Representatives
- Don Bacon, U.S. Representative (R-NE)[144]
- Chip Cravaack, former U.S. Representative (R-MN)[144]
- Tom Emmer, U.S. Representative (R-MN)[144]
- John Kline, former U.S. Representative (R-MN)[144]
- Patrick McHenry, U.S. Representative (R-NC)[144]
- State senators
- Michelle Benson[144]
- Justin Eichorn[144]
- Paul Gazelka, Majority Leader[145]
- Karin Housley[144]
- Mark Koran[144]
- Andrew Mathews[144]
- Carrie Ruud[144]
- Paul Utke[144]
- State representatives
- Organizations
- Minnesota Citizens Concerned for Life[146]
- National Federation of Independent Business[147]
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce[148]
- Newspapers
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Pete Stauber | 44,814 | 89.9 | |
| Republican | Harry Welty | 5,021 | 10.1 | |
| Total votes | 49,835 | 100.0 | ||
Independence
Candidates
Nominee
General election
Endorsements
Joe Radinovich (DFL)
- U.S. Representatives
- Rick Nolan, U.S. Representative (DFL-MN)
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Government Employees
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[37]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[33]
- End Citizens United[107]
Pete Stauber (R)
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Mike Pence, vice president
- Donald Trump, president
- U.S. Senators
- Rudy Boschwitz, former U.S. Senator[144]
- U.S. Representatives
- Don Bacon, U.S. Representative (R-NE)[144]
- Chip Cravaack, former U.S. Representative (R-MN)[144]
- Tom Emmer, U.S. Representative (R-MN)[144]
- John Kline, former U.S. Representative (R-MN)[144]
- Patrick McHenry, U.S. Representative (R-NC)[144]
- State senators
- Michelle Benson[144]
- Justin Eichorn[144]
- Paul Gazelka, Majority Leader
- Karin Housley[144]
- Mark Koran[144]
- Andrew Mathews[144]
- Carrie Ruud[144]
- Paul Utke[144]
- State representatives
- Organizations
- Minnesota Citizens Concerned for Life
- National Federation of Independent Business
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[39]
- National Right to Life[152]
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce
- Newspapers
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Joe Radinovich | Pete Stauber | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 26, 2018 | Minnesota Public Radio | Mike Mulcahy | [155] | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Radinovich (DFL) |
Pete Stauber (R) |
Ray Sandman (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[156] | October 11–14, 2018 | 507 (LV) | ±4.6% | 34% | 49% | 4% | 13% |
| Victoria Research (D-Radinovich)[157] | September 27–30, 2018 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 45% | 44% | – | 11% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[158] | September 6–9, 2018 | 504 (LV) | ±4.6% | 44% | 43% | – | 13% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[44] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[45] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[47] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[48] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[49] | Likely R (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
Results
Stauber defeated Radinovich in the general election.[159]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Pete Stauber | 159,364 | 50.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Joe Radinovich | 141,948 | 45.2 | |
| Independence | Ray "Skip" Sandman | 12,741 | 4.1 | |
| Write-in | 156 | 0.0 | ||
| Majority | 17,416 | 5.5 | ||
| Total votes | 314,209 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic (DFL) | ||||
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Radinovich (DFL) | $2,403,251 | $2,361,547 | $41,704 |
| Pete Stauber (R) | $1,749,583 | $1,731,247 | $18,336 |
| Ray Sandman (I) | $20,291 | $21,694 | $0 |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Radinovich (DFL) | $1,286,456 | $7,164,822 |
| Pete Stauber (R) | $409,520 | $920,137 |
| Ray Sandman (I) | $0 | $0 |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear