Wikiwand AI

2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Republican Roger Wicker was re-elected to a second full term, defeating his Democratic challenger, David Baria.

Quick facts Turnout, Nominee ...
2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi
← 2012
November 6, 2018
2024 →
Turnout49.7% Decrease
 
Nominee Roger Wicker David Baria
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 547,619 369,567
Percentage 58.49% 39.47%
Wicker:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      90–100%
Baria:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      90%
U.S. senator before election

Roger Wicker
Republican

 Elected U.S. Senator

Roger Wicker
Republican

Close

The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018, with a runoff on June 26 if a party's primary failed to produce a majority winner.[1] The race took place on the same day as the nonpartisan jungle primary for the other U.S. Senate seat in Mississippi, which was vacated by Thad Cochran in the spring of 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Roger Wicker
U.S. executive branch officials
Governors
Statewide officials
U.S. senators
Mississippi state officials
  • Dane Maxwell, mayor of Pascagoula[16]
Chris McDaniel (withdrawn)
Political operatives
  • Tommy Barnett, treasurer of Remember Mississippi super PAC[17]
  • Laura Van Overschelde, chair of the Mississippi Tea Party[18]
  • Grant Sowell, chair of the Tupelo Tea Party[19]
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Roger
Wicker		 Chris
McDaniel		 Tate
Reeves		 Undecided
Triumph Campaigns[20] April 10–11, 2018 446 – 66% 16% – 18%
JMC Analytics[21] February 15–17, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 38% – 15% 47%
38% 20% – 42%
Mason-Dixon[22] December 13–15, 2017 400 ± 5.0% 49% 33% – 18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Wicker)[23] April 22–25, 2017 500 ± 4.2% 55% 30% – 14%
Close

Results

Results by county
Map legend
  •   Wicker—≥90%
  •   Wicker—80–90%
  •   Wicker—70–80%
  •   Wicker—60–70%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Roger Wicker (incumbent) 130,118 82.79%
Republican Richard Boyanton 27,052 17.21%
Total votes 157,170 100%
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Jensen Bohren
Organizations
  • Jackpine Radicals[34]
  • Mississippi DSA[35]
  • Sustainable Politician Project[36]
  • Vote STEM[37]
David Baria
Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 David
Baria		 Jensen
Bohren		 Omeria
Scott		 Howard
Sherman		 Undecided
Triumph Campaigns[20] April 10–11, 2018 446 7% 4% 9% 2% 79%
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 David
Baria		 Chuck
Espy		 Jim
Hood		 Bennie
Thompson		 Undecided
Triumph Campaigns[42] January 29, 2018 2,145 ± 1.8% – – 33% 47% 20%
10% 34% – – 56%
Close

Results

Initial primary results by county
Map legend
  •   Sherman—50–60%
  •   Sherman—40–50%
  •   Sherman—30–40%
  •   Baria—20–30%
  •   Baria—30–40%
  •   Baria—40–50%
  •   Baria—50–60%
  •   Baria—60–70%
  •   Baria—80–90%
  •   Scott—20–30%
  •   Scott—30–40%
  •   Scott—40–50%
  •   Scott—50–60%
  •   Scott—70–80%
  •   Scott—80–90%
  •   Garland—50–60%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Howard Sherman 27,957 31.79%
Democratic David Baria 27,244 30.98%
Democratic Omeria Scott 21,278 24.20%
Democratic Victor G. Maurice Jr. 4,361 4.96%
Democratic Jerone Garland 4,266 4.85%
Democratic Jensen Bohren 2,825 3.21%
Total votes 87,931 100%
Close

Runoff results

Primary runoff results by county
Map legend
  •   Baria—≥90%
  •   Baria—80–90%
  •   Baria—70–80%
  •   Baria—60–70%
  •   Baria—50–60%
  •   Sherman—50–60%
  •   Sherman—60–70%
  •   Sherman—70–80%
  •   Sherman—80–90%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary runoff results[44]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Baria 44,156 58.64%
Democratic Howard Sherman 31,149 41.36%
Total votes 75,305 100%
Close

Independents and third party candidates

Libertarian Party

Declared

Reform Party

Declared

  • Shawn O'Hara, perennial candidate[27]

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[45] Safe R October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[46] Safe R November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] Safe R November 5, 2018
Fox News[48] Likely R July 9, 2018
CNN[49] Safe R July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[50] Safe R June 2018
Close

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018
Candidate Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Roger Wicker (R) $5,349,028 $3,831,418 $3,138,044
David Baria (D) $532,629 $528,325 $72,922
Source: Federal Election Commission[51]
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Roger
Wicker (R)		 David
Baria (D)		 Danny
Bedwell (L)		 Other Undecided
Change Research[52] November 2–4, 2018 1,003 – 48% 40% 5% 3%[53] –
Marist College[54] October 13–18, 2018 511 LV ± 6.1% 57% 31% 2% 2%[55] 9%
60% 32% – 2% 7%
856 RV ± 4.7% 54% 30% 3% 2%[55] 10%
57% 32% – 2% 9%
SurveyMonkey[56] September 9–24, 2018 985 ± 4.3% 43% 29% – – 27%
Triumph Campaigns[57] July 30–31, 2018 2,100 ± 3.5% 53% 32% 1% 2%[58] 12%
Triumph Campaigns[20] April 10–11, 2018 1,000 ± 3.0% 48% 31% – – 21%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi[59]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Roger Wicker (incumbent) 547,619 58.49% +1.33%
Democratic David Baria 369,567 39.47% −1.08%
Libertarian Danny Bedwell 12,981 1.39% N/A
Reform Shawn O'Hara 6,048 0.65% −0.41%
Total votes 936,215 100.00% N/A
Republican hold
Close

By county

More information County, Roger Wicker Republican ...
County[60] Roger Wicker
Republican		 David Baria
Democratic		 Various candidates
Other parties		 Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Adams 4,487 41.70% 6,097 56.66% 176 1.64% -1,610 -14.96% 10,760
Alcorn 8,167 80.34% 1,780 17.51% 219 2.15% 6,387 62.83% 10,166
Amite 3,246 60.53% 1,966 36.66% 151 2.82% 1,280 23.87% 5,363
Attala 3,728 60.82% 2,291 37.37% 111 1.81% 1,437 23.44% 6,130
Benton 1,645 59.09% 1,091 39.19% 48 1.72% 554 19.90% 2,784
Bolivar 3,938 37.11% 6,469 60.96% 205 1.93% -2,531 -23.85% 10,612
Calhoun 3,296 71.67% 1,230 26.74% 73 1.59% 2,066 44.92% 4,599
Carroll 2,936 69.28% 1,212 28.60% 90 2.12% 1,724 40.68% 4,238
Chickasaw 3,317 55.97% 2,512 42.39% 97 1.64% 805 13.58% 5,926
Choctaw 2,101 71.15% 791 26.79% 61 2.07% 1,310 44.36% 2,953
Claiborne 653 20.15% 2,468 76.17% 119 3.67% -1,815 -56.02% 3,240
Clarke 3,944 65.84% 1,933 32.27% 113 1.89% 2,011 33.57% 5,990
Clay 3,411 44.82% 4,091 53.76% 108 1.42% -680 -8.94% 7,610
Coahoma 2,178 35.05% 3,858 62.09% 178 2.86% -1,680 -27.04% 6,214
Copiah 5,052 49.63% 4,867 47.81% 261 2.56% 185 1.82% 10,180
Covington 4,242 62.49% 2,382 35.09% 164 2.42% 1,860 27.40% 6,788
DeSoto 32,750 64.37% 16,858 33.13% 1,271 2.50% 15,892 31.23% 50,879
Forrest 12,539 56.22% 9,134 40.95% 630 2.82% 3,405 15.27% 22,303
Franklin 1,999 63.56% 1,050 33.39% 96 3.05% 949 30.17% 3,145
George 6,060 84.86% 866 12.13% 215 3.01% 5,194 72.73% 7,141
Greene 2,923 78.30% 703 18.83% 107 2.87% 2,220 59.47% 3,733
Grenada 4,348 56.87% 3,176 41.54% 121 1.58% 1,172 15.33% 7,645
Hancock 9,989 71.87% 3,692 26.56% 218 1.57% 6,297 45.31% 13,899
Harrison 32,414 62.67% 18,391 35.56% 918 1.77% 14,023 27.11% 51,723
Hinds 21,644 27.50% 55,780 70.87% 1,282 1.63% -34,136 -43.37% 78,706
Holmes 1,068 19.87% 4,222 78.55% 85 1.58% -3,154 -58.68% 5,375
Humphreys 961 30.57% 2,082 66.22% 101 3.21% -1,121 -35.66% 3,144
Issaquena 258 48.50% 261 49.06% 13 2.44% -3 -0.56% 532
Itawamba 5,858 86.22% 783 11.52% 153 2.25% 5,075 74.70% 6,794
Jackson 26,544 67.19% 12,179 30.83% 784 1.98% 14,365 36.36% 39,507
Jasper 2,988 47.68% 3,149 50.25% 130 2.07% -161 -2.57% 6,267
Jefferson 562 18.37% 2,398 78.37% 100 3.27% -1,836 -60.00% 3,060
Jefferson Davis 1,958 41.65% 2,640 56.16% 103 2.19% -682 -14.51% 4,701
Jones 14,852 68.48% 6,143 28.33% 692 3.19% 8,709 40.16% 21,687
Kemper 1,432 41.74% 1,955 56.98% 44 1.28% -523 -15.24% 3,431
Lafayette 9,256 56.13% 6,981 42.33% 253 1.53% 2,275 13.80% 16,490
Lamar 14,777 74.97% 4,437 22.51% 497 2.52% 10,340 52.46% 19,711
Lauderdale 14,217 61.45% 8,610 37.21% 309 1.34% 5,607 24.23% 23,136
Lawrence 3,196 65.75% 1,558 32.05% 107 2.20% 1,638 33.70% 4,861
Leake 3,666 58.49% 2,470 39.41% 132 2.11% 1,196 19.08% 6,268
Lee 17,413 67.86% 7,654 29.83% 594 2.31% 9,759 38.03% 25,661
Leflore 2,850 34.07% 5,352 63.99% 162 1.94% -2,502 -29.91% 8,364
Lincoln 8,576 70.16% 3,453 28.25% 194 1.59% 5,123 41.91% 12,223
Lowndes 10,720 54.57% 8,638 43.97% 288 1.47% 2,082 10.60% 19,646
Madison 23,632 58.27% 16,283 40.15% 638 1.57% 7,349 18.12% 40,553
Marion 5,867 66.66% 2,734 31.06% 200 2.27% 3,133 35.60% 8,801
Marshall 5,415 47.87% 5,692 50.31% 206 1.82% -277 -2.45% 11,313
Monroe 7,739 66.17% 3,802 32.51% 154 1.32% 3,937 33.66% 11,695
Montgomery 2,254 58.70% 1,526 39.74% 60 1.56% 728 18.96% 3,840
Neshoba 5,861 73.76% 1,961 24.68% 124 1.56% 3,900 49.08% 7,946
Newton 4,965 69.89% 1,986 27.96% 153 2.15% 2,979 41.93% 7,104
Noxubee 1,085 27.69% 2,788 71.14% 46 1.17% -1,703 -43.45% 3,919
Oktibbeha 7,134 50.17% 6,798 47.81% 287 2.02% 336 2.36% 14,219
Panola 5,804 51.80% 5,212 46.51% 189 1.69% 592 5.28% 11,205
Pearl River 12,373 78.79% 2,899 18.46% 432 2.75% 9,474 60.33% 15,704
Perry 2,913 75.39% 853 22.08% 98 2.54% 2,060 53.31% 3,864
Pike 6,502 51.61% 5,857 46.49% 239 1.90% 645 5.12% 12,598
Pontotoc 7,588 79.10% 1,693 17.65% 312 3.25% 5,895 61.45% 9,593
Prentiss 5,597 78.03% 1,450 20.21% 126 1.76% 4,147 57.81% 7,173
Quitman 872 36.50% 1,460 61.11% 57 2.39% -588 -24.61% 2,389
Rankin 37,913 73.43% 12,523 24.26% 1,194 2.31% 25,390 49.18% 51,630
Scott 4,600 60.19% 2,926 38.29% 116 1.52% 1,674 21.91% 7,642
Sharkey 596 35.52% 1,046 62.34% 36 2.15% -450 -26.82% 1,678
Simpson 5,697 65.24% 2,855 32.69% 181 2.07% 2,842 32.54% 8,733
Smith 4,394 75.19% 1,298 22.21% 152 2.60% 3,096 52.98% 5,844
Stone 4,052 76.32% 1,142 21.51% 115 2.17% 2,910 54.81% 5,309
Sunflower 2,457 34.18% 4,579 63.69% 153 2.13% -2,122 -29.52% 7,189
Tallahatchie 1,950 47.15% 2,095 50.65% 91 2.20% -145 -3.51% 4,136
Tate 5,680 66.58% 2,638 30.92% 213 2.50% 3,042 35.66% 8,531
Tippah 5,536 80.16% 1,229 17.80% 141 2.04% 4,307 62.37% 6,906
Tishomingo 5,125 84.49% 788 12.99% 153 2.52% 4,337 71.50% 6,066
Tunica 779 31.41% 1,630 65.73% 71 2.86% -851 -34.31% 2,480
Union 6,779 82.28% 1,297 15.74% 163 1.98% 5,482 66.54% 8,239
Walthall 3,008 59.71% 1,919 38.09% 111 2.20% 1,089 21.62% 5,038
Warren 8,206 54.04% 6,706 44.16% 273 1.80% 1,500 9.88% 15,185
Washington 4,519 33.27% 8,893 65.48% 170 1.25% -4,374 -32.20% 13,582
Wayne 4,376 60.92% 2,638 36.73% 169 2.35% 1,738 24.20% 7,183
Webster 3,114 79.50% 733 18.71% 70 1.79% 2,381 60.79% 3,917
Wilkinson 950 33.56% 1,823 64.39% 58 2.05% -873 -30.84% 2,831
Winston 3,976 56.95% 2,900 41.54% 105 1.50% 1,076 15.41% 6,981
Yalobusha 2,574 55.31% 2,011 43.21% 69 1.48% 563 12.10% 4,654
Yazoo 3,578 51.41% 3,251 46.71% 131 1.88% 327 4.70% 6,960
Totals547,61958.49%369,56739.47%19,0292.03%178,05219.02%936,215
Close

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Wicker won three of four congressional districts.[61]

More information District, Wicker ...
District Wicker Baria Representative
1st 66% 32% Trent Kelly
2nd 38% 61% Bennie Thompson
3rd 62% 36% Michael Guest
4th 68% 30% Steven Palazzo
Close

References

External links

Related Articles

Timelines

Top Qs

Fact Checks