2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana

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The 2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. A blanket primary was held on November 3, 2020; if no candidate had won a majority of the vote in the blanket primary, then a runoff election would have been held on December 5.[1]

Quick facts Candidate, Party ...
2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana

 2014
November 3, 2020
2026 
 
Candidate Bill Cassidy Adrian Perkins Derrick Edwards
Party Republican Democratic Democratic
Popular vote 1,228,908 394,049 229,814
Percentage 59.32% 19.02% 11.09%

Cassidy:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Perkins:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Edwards:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%
Pierce:      30–40%
Tie:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election

Bill Cassidy
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Bill Cassidy
Republican

Close

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Democratic Party

Though there were multiple Democratic candidates, the one with the most institutional support was Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins, who had the endorsements of the Louisiana Democratic Party and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and would end up receiving the nomination.[5]

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Adrian Perkins (D)

Federal officials

State officials

Local officials

Organizations

U.S. senators

  • Cory Booker, U.S. senator from New Jersey (2013–present)[16]
  • Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California (2017–2021) and Democratic 2020 vice presidential nominee[20]
Antoine Pierce (D)

Individuals

  • Andrew Yang, businessman, entrepreneur, non-profit leader and 2020 presidential candidate[21]

Organizations

Libertarian Party

Declared

  • Aaron Sigler, neurosurgeon[6]

Independents

Declared

  • Beryl Billiot, businessman[23]
  • John Paul Bourgeois[23]
  • Reno Jean Daret III[23]
  • Alexander "Xan" John, businessman and law student[23]
  • Jamar "Doc" Montgomery, attorney[24]

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Safe R October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[26] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[28] Safe R October 30, 2020
Politico[29] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[30] Safe R October 23, 2020
DDHQ[31] Safe R November 3, 2020
538[32] Safe R November 2, 2020
Economist[33] Likely R November 2, 2020
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Bill
Cassidy (R)
Dustin
Murphy (R)
Adrian
Perkins (D)
Antoine
Pierce (D)
Other Undecided
ALG Research (D)[34][A] August 6–12, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 6% 17% 11% 3%[b] 21%
Close

Head to head matchups

Bill Cassidy vs. Adrian Perkins

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Bill
Cassidy (R)
Adrian
Perkins (D)
Undecided
ALG Research (D)[35][A] August 6–12, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 33% 16%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Bill Cassidy vs. generic opponent

More information Poll source, Date ...
Poll source Date Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Bill
Cassidy (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[36][B] September 2–5, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 38% 37% 24%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[36][B] March 16, 2020 – (V)[c] 48% 25% 27%
Close

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

More information Poll source, Date ...
Poll source Date Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
ALG Research (D)[37][A] August 6–12, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 33% 2%[d] 23%[e]
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
United States Senate election blanket primary in Louisiana, 2020[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Cassidy (incumbent) 1,228,908 59.32%
Democratic Adrian Perkins 394,049 19.02%
Democratic Derrick Edwards 229,814 11.09%
Democratic Antoine Pierce 55,710 2.69%
Republican Dustin Murphy 38,383 1.85%
Democratic Drew Knight 36,962 1.78%
Independent Beryl Billiot 17,362 0.84%
Independent John Paul Bourgeois 16,518 0.8%
Democratic Peter Wenstrup 14,454 0.7%
Libertarian Aaron Sigler 11,321 0.55%
Independent M.V. "Vinny" Mendoza 7,811 0.38%
Independent Melinda Mary Price 7,680 0.37%
Independent Jamar Montgomery 5,804 0.28%
Independent Reno Jean Daret III 3,954 0.19%
Independent Alexander "Xan" John 2,813 0.14%
Total votes 2,071,543 100%
Republican hold
Close

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Mendoza (I) with 2%; Sigler (L) with 1%
  3. Not yet released
  4. "Neither" with 2%
  5. "It depends" with 19%; "Don't know" with 4%

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by Adrians Perkins' campaign.
  2. The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group

References

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