2022 Bulgarian parliamentary election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
2 October 2022
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All 240 seats in the National Assembly 121 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 39.30% ( | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
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Early parliamentary elections were held in Bulgaria on 2 October 2022 to elect members of the 48th National Assembly. The snap election was called after the fall of the Petkov Government, a four-party coalition, in June 2022. This was the fourth parliamentary election since 2021, an unprecedented situation in Bulgarian history, the previous elections being the April, July, and November 2021 elections.
As in the previous snap elections, no party secured a majority. The GERB–SDS alliance emerged as the largest bloc with 67 seats and was assigned the task of forming a government by President Rumen Radev, but their efforts failed. Radev then granted the We Continue the Change party and later the BSP for Bulgaria coalition a mandate to form a government, but both were unsuccessful. As a result, Radev scheduled another parliamentary election, the fifth in two years, to take place on 2 April 2023. Turnout was at 39%, the lowest since 1990.[1]
The 2021 Bulgarian general election in November saw We Continue the Change (PP) achieve a surprise victory,[2] receiving 25% of the vote. Led by Kiril Petkov and Assen Vassilev, the PP formed a coalition government with BSP for Bulgaria (BSPzB), There Is Such a People (ITN) and Democratic Bulgaria (DB). This broke the deadlock that had arisen as a result of the previous two parliamentary elections, after which no party was able to form a government.[3]
On 8 June 2022, ITN withdrew from the government, citing disagreements over the state budget, fiscal policy and the lifting of Bulgaria's veto on opening EU accession talks with North Macedonia. On 22 June, the government was defeated in a no confidence vote tabled by GERB and supported by DPS, ITN and Revival.
Electoral system
The 240 members of the National Assembly are elected by open list proportional representation from 31 multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 4 to 16 seats. The electoral threshold is 4% for parties, with seats allocated according to the largest remainder method.[4][5]
Political groups
The table below lists the political party groups represented in the 47th National Assembly.
| Name | Ideology | Position | Leader(s) | 2021 result | Seats at dissolution | Petkov Government | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | 13 December 2021 | 8 June 2022 | ||||||||
| PP | We Continue the Change Продължаваме промяната |
Social liberalism Anti-corruption |
Centre | Kiril Petkov Assen Vassilev |
25.3% | 67 / 240 |
67 / 240 |
Government | |||
| GERB–SDS | GERB-Union of Democratic Forces ГЕРБ-Съюз на демократичните сили |
Conservatism | Centre-right | Boyko Borisov | 22.4% | 59 / 240 |
59 / 240 |
Opposition | |||
| DPS | Movement for Rights and Freedoms Движение за права и свободи |
Turkish minority interests | Centre | Mustafa Karadayi | 12.8% | 34 / 240 |
34 / 240 |
Opposition | |||
| BSPzB | BSP for Bulgaria БСП за България |
Social democracy | Left-wing | Korneliya Ninova | 10.1% | 26 / 240 |
26 / 240 |
Government | |||
| ITN | There Is Such a People Има такъв народ |
Populism | Big tent | Slavi Trifonov | 9.4% | 25 / 240 |
19 / 240 |
Government | Opposition | ||
| DB | Democratic Bulgaria Демократична България |
Liberalism | Centre to centre-right | Hristo Ivanov Atanas Atanasov |
6.3% | 16 / 240 |
16 / 240 |
Government | |||
| Revival | Revival Възраждане |
Ultranationalism | Far-right | Kostadin Kostadinov | 4.8% | 13 / 240 |
12 / 240 |
Opposition | |||
| Independent | Independent Independent |
N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 0 / 240 |
7 / 240 |
N/a | Split support | ||
Competing parties
Opinion polls
- Graphical representation of recalculated data
The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data and exclude polls that chose "I will not vote" or "I am uncertain" options.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | PP | DB | GERB– SDS |
DPS | BSP | ITN | Revival | IS.BG | VMRO | BV | Others | None of the above | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 election | 2 October 2022 | — | 19.5 | 7.2 | 24.5 | 13.3 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 9.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 5.0 |
| Gallup | Exit poll | — | 18.8 | 7.4 | 24.7 | 14.5 | 10.8 | 4.6 | 10.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4.0 | 2.9 | — | 5.9 |
| Alpha Research | 27–29 Sep 2022 | 1,025 | 16.5 | 8.4 | 25.2 | 13.1 | 10.2 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 3.5 | — | 8.7 |
| Trend | 21–27 Sep 2022 | 1,001 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 25.7 | 11.9 | 8.7 | 4.2 | 13.9 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 4.0 | — | 9.3 |
| Gallup | 20–27 Sep 2022 | 1,009 | 16.6 | 7.8 | 25.8 | 13.2 | 9.2 | 4.2 | 12.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 3.3 | — | 9.2 |
| Sova Harris | 22–26 Sep 2022 | 1,000 | 19.0 | 5.7 | 27.5 | 12.5 | 12.1 | 4.6 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 0.9 | — | 8.5 |
| Exacta | 20–25 Sep 2022 | 1,050 | 16.8 | 8.0 | 26.4 | 12.6 | 10.8 | 4.5 | 10.5 | — | — | 4.2 | 5.6 | 0.6 | 9.6 |
| Market Links | 17–23 Sep 2022 | 1,024 | 16.9 | 7.8 | 23.7 | 12.3 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 8.7 | 2.5 | — | 2.5 | 11.8 | — | 6.8 |
| Mediana | 16–22 Sep 2022 | 1,008 | 16.3 | 5.9 | 26.3 | 11.5 | 13.1 | 4.7 | 12.0 | 3.0 | — | 5.2 | 2.0 | — | 10.0 |
| SINPI | 16–21 Sep 2022 | 1,104 | 16.6 | 7.8 | 24.5 | 13.8 | 9.7 | 4.6 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 7.9 |
| Center for Analysis and Marketing | 15–19 Sep 2022 | 1,011 | 18.2 | 8.1 | 24.8 | 12.8 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 10.5 | — | — | 3.3 | — | — | 6.6 |
| Estat | 10–17 Sep 2022 | 1,005 | 16.8 | 6.9 | 26.1 | 10.3 | 9.3 | 4.2 | 10.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 9.3 |
| Exacta | 10–17 Sep 2022 | 1,050 | 18.1 | 7.5 | 26.2 | 10.3 | 12.5 | 5.4 | 9.5 | — | — | 4 | 5.5 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Sova Harris | 6–12 Sep 2022 | 835 | 18.8 | 5.7 | 28.8 | 8.7 | 12.7 | 5.1 | 10.4 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 0.9 | — | 10.0 |
| Gallup | 2–10 Sep 2022 | 1,002 | 19.2 | 7.6 | 25.9 | 11.5 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 11.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 3 | — | 6.7 |
| Mediana | 29 Aug – 4 Sep 2022 | 1,008 | 17.1 | 5.5 | 22.8 | 11.1 | 13.3 | 6.9 | 12.5 | 3.4 | — | 5.5 | 1.9 | — | 5.7 |
| Market Links | 27 Aug – 3 Sep 2022 | 1,067 | 17.8 | 8.1 | 22.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 3.8 | 7.6 | — | — | 4.7 | 13.5 | — | 5.1 |
| Alpha Research | 27 Aug – 2 Sep 2022 | 1,117 | 18.9 | 8.1 | 25.3 | 11.8 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 10.3 | 2.2 | — | 4.5 | 4.1 | — | 6.4 |
| Trend | 15–22 Aug 2022 | 1,007 | 19.6 | 7.3 | 24.4 | 10.6 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 10.3 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 4.8 |
| Market Links | 30 Jul – 5 Aug 2022 | 1,020 | 26.2 | 22.6 | 12.4 | 11.6 | 3.2 | 8.9 | — | — | 3.3 | 11.8 | — | 3.6 | |
| 20.9 | 9.1 | 24.5 | 12.6 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 9.2 | — | — | 4.3 | 4.8 | — | 3.6 | |||
| Trend | 5–12 Jul 2022 | 1,005 | 21.4 | 6.9 | 23.6 | 10.7 | 9.8 | 3.8 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.2 |
| Market Links | 2–10 Jul 2022 | 1,024 | 21.5 | 8.3 | 22.2 | 9.1 | 11.6 | 3.2 | 7.6 | — | — | 4.3 | 12.2 | — | 0.7 |
| Alpha Research | 25 Jun – 1 Jul 2022 | 1,017 | 22.5 | 7.9 | 23.9 | 9.8 | 12.8 | 3.7 | 8.8 | — | — | 6.0 | 4.7 | — | 1.4 |
| June–July 2022 | ITN pulls out of the Petkov cabinet and the government is defeated in a vote of no confidence | ||||||||||||||
| Trend | 4–11 May 2022 | 1,002 | 17.5 | 6.8 | 23.8 | 10.9 | 9.5 | 5.8 | 10.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 6.3 |
| Centre for Analysis and Marketing | 4–9 May 2022 | 821 | 21.4 | 6.0 | 23.3 | 11.6 | 11.8 | 5.1 | 8.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 2.1 | – | 1.9 |
| Market Links | 29 Apr – 8 May 2022 | 1,015 | 19.1 | 8.3 | 25.9 | 10.5 | 12.5 | 6.5 | 9.7 | – | – | – | 7.2 | – | 6.8 |
| Gallup | 29 Apr – 6 May 2022 | 805 | 18.2 | 5.5 | 24.9 | 11.1 | 9.7 | 5.4 | 10.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 6.5 | – | 6.7 |
| Alpha Research | 8–14 Apr 2022 | 1,037 | 21.1 | 7.7 | 24.8 | 8.7 | 11.7 | 5.1 | 10.8 | – | – | – | 10.2 | – | 3.7 |
| Trend | 6–13 Apr 2022 | 1,004 | 20.1 | 7.1 | 23.6 | 11.1 | 10.5 | 6.9 | 9.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | – | 5.5 | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| Gallup | 31 Mar – 8 Apr 2022 | 809 | 23.8 | 4.5 | 25.9 | 10.6 | 10.3 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 | – | 5.6 | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Market Links | 22–29 Mar 2022 | 1,029 | 19.7 | 7.6 | 22.1 | 8.2 | 11.6 | 6.7 | 8.2 | – | – | – | 15.9 | – | 2.4 |
| Trend | 5–12 Mar 2022 | 1,007 | 22.9 | 7.4 | 21.9 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 2.1 | 1.3 | – | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| Alpha Research | 6–14 Feb 2022 | 1,060 | 29.9 | 7.8 | 22.2 | 8.8 | 12.0 | 8.1 | 6.4 | – | – | – | 4.9 | — | 7.7 |
| Gallup | 3–11 Feb 2022 | 803 | 30.2 | 5.2 | 21.9 | 12.2 | 8.5 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | – | 5.4 | — | 8.3 |
| Trend | 12–19 Jan 2022 | 1,004 | 26.4 | 6.8 | 22.3 | 10.9 | 11.5 | 8.1 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 | – | 2.7 | 2.4 | 4.1 |
| November 2021 election | 14 November 2021 | — | 25.7 | 6.4 | 22.7 | 13.0 | 10.2 | 9.5 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | – | 4.2 | 1.3 | 2.8 |