2022 California gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 2022 California gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of California, with the statewide top-two primary election taking place on June 7, 2022.[1] Incumbent Democratic Party Governor Gavin Newsom was elected to a second term after surviving a recall election in 2021 during his first term.

Quick facts Turnout, Candidate ...
2022 California gubernatorial election

November 8, 2022
2026 
Turnout50.80% (Decrease12.48 pp)
 
Candidate Gavin Newsom Brian Dahle
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 6,470,104 4,462,914
Percentage 59.18% 40.82%

Newsom:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Dahle:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election

Gavin Newsom
Democratic

Elected Governor

Gavin Newsom
Democratic

Close

The elections featured universal mail-in ballots; in-person voting was also available.[2] All statewide elected offices are currently held by Democrats. Newsom won 61.9% of the vote in both the 2018 gubernatorial election and the 2021 recall election. He received 55.9% of the top-two primary vote and faced Republican Party state senator Brian Dahle, who received 17.7% of the primary vote, in the general election.[3]

Newsom received 59.2% of the vote to Dahle's 40.8%, a smaller margin of victory than in 2018 and 2021 and the smallest since 2010. Dahle flipped five counties that Newsom carried in 2018: Lake, Merced (which had previously voted to recall Newsom in 2021), Orange, San Bernardino, and San Joaquin. Dahle also received 32% of the vote in Los Angeles County, the highest percentage received by a Republican in the state's most populous county since 2014.[4] Additionally, Dahle managed to carry two congressional districts represented by Democrats: CA-09 and CA-47. This election marks the fourth consecutive California gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Republican Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Green Party

Eliminated in primary

American Independent Party

Eliminated in primary

  • Jeff Scott (write-in)[8]

No party preference

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Endorsements

Brian Dahle (R)
James G. Hanink (NPP)

Political Parties

Individuals

Luis J. Rodriguez (G)
Michael Shellenberger (NPP)

Organizations

Individuals

Primary election

The list of candidates was announced on Mar 31, 2022 by the secretary of state.[45]

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ronald
Anderson
(R)
Shawn
Collins
(R)
Brian
Dahle
(R)
Anthony
Fanara
(D)
Gavin
Newsom
(D)
Michael
Shellenberger
(I)
Other Undecided
Berkeley IGS[46] May 24–31, 2022 3,438 (LV) ± 2.2% 1% 3% 10% 1% 50% 5% 15%[c] 16%
SurveyUSA[47] May 13–15, 2022 709 (LV) ± 4.5% 7% 5% 7% 5% 40% 2% 16%[d] 18%
Close

Results

County results
  Newsom
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Dahle
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Congressional district results
  Newsom
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Dahle
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Primary results[48]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gavin Newsom (incumbent) 3,945,728 55.9
Republican Brian Dahle 1,252,800 17.7
No party preference Michael Shellenberger 290,286 4.1
Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux 246,665 3.5
Republican Anthony Trimino 246,322 3.5
Republican Shawn Collins 173,083 2.5
Green Luis J. Rodriguez 124,672 1.8
Republican Leo S. Zacky 94,521 1.3
Republican Major Williams 92,580 1.3
Republican Robert C. Newman II 82,849 1.2
Democratic Joel Ventresca 66,885 0.9
Republican David Lozano 66,542 0.9
Republican Ronald A. Anderson 53,554 0.8
No party preference Reinette Senum 53,015 0.8
Democratic Armando Perez-Serrato 45,474 0.6
Republican Ron Jones 38,337 0.5
Republican Daniel R. Mercuri 36,396 0.5
Green Heather Collins 29,690 0.4
Democratic Anthony Fanara 25,086 0.4
Republican Cristian Raul Morales 22,304 0.3
Republican Lonnie Sortor 21,044 0.3
No party preference Frederic C. Schultz 17,502 0.2
No party preference Woodrow Sanders III 16,204 0.2
No party preference James G. Hanink 10,110 0.1
No party preference Serge Fiankan 6,201 0.1
No party preference Bradley Zink 5,997 0.1
American Independent Jeff Scott (write-in) 13 0.0
Republican Gurinder Bhangoo (write-in) 8 0.0
Total votes 7,063,868 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[49] Solid D October 26, 2022
Inside Elections[50] Solid D November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[51] Safe D November 7, 2022
Politico[52] Solid D April 1, 2022
RCP[53] Safe D January 10, 2022
Fox News[54] Solid D May 12, 2022
538[55] Solid D November 8, 2022
Elections Daily[56] Safe D November 7, 2022
Close

Debates

Governor Gavin Newsom and State Senator Brian Dahle met on October 23 for their only debate.[57]

More information No., Date ...
2022 California gubernatorial debate
No. Date Host Moderators Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
Gavin Newsom Brian Dahle
1 October 23, 2022 KQED Scott Shafer
Marisa Lagos
YouTube[58] P P
Close

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Brian
Dahle (R)
Other
[e]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[59] September 22 – October 23, 2022 November 3, 2022 55.0% 34.3% 10.7% Newsom +20.7
FiveThirtyEight[60] September 2 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 59.6% 38.7% 1.7% Newsom +20.9
270ToWin[61] October 27 – November 7, 2022 November 8, 2022 57.4% 37.0% 5.6% Newsom +20.4
Average 57.3% 36.7% 6.0% Newsom +20.6
Close

Graphical summary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Brian
Dahle (R)
Other Undecided
Research Co.[62] November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 56% 37% 7%
USC[63] October 30 – November 2, 2022 802 (RV) ± 3.5% 62% 38%
UC Berkeley[64] October 25–31, 2022 5,972 (LV) ± 2.0% 58% 37% 4%
ActiVote[65] July 29 – October 27, 2022 200 (LV) ± 7.0% 61% 39%
Public Policy Institute of California[66] October 14–23, 2022 1,060 (LV) ± 5.4% 55% 36% 4%[f] 5%
SurveyUSA[67] October 7–10, 2022 1,013 (LV) ± 4.4% 57% 35% 8%
UC Berkeley[68] September 22–27, 2022 6,939 (LV) ± 2.5% 53% 32% 2%[g] 13%
Public Policy Institute of California[69] September 2–11, 2022 1,060 (LV) ± 5.4% 58% 31% 5%[h] 7%
UC Berkeley[70] August 9–15, 2022 9,254 (RV) ± 2.0% 52% 25% 4% 19%
6,321 (LV) ± 2.4% 55% 31% 3% 11%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Faulconer

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Kevin
Faulconer (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS[71] August 30 – September 6, 2021 9,809 (RV) ± 2.3% 49% 27% 24%
Close

Gavin Newsom vs. John Cox

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
John
Cox (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS[71] August 30 – September 6, 2021 9,809 (RV) ± 2.3% 51% 26% 23%
Close

Gavin Newsom vs. Larry Elder

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Larry
Elder (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS[71] August 30 – September 6, 2021 9,809 (RV) ± 2.3% 52% 30% 18%
Close

Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Kiley

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Kevin
Kiley (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS[71] August 30 – September 6, 2021 9,809 (RV) ± 2.3% 50% 25% 25%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 California gubernatorial election[72][73]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Gavin Newsom (incumbent) 6,470,104 59.18% −2.77
Republican Brian Dahle 4,462,914 40.82% +2.77
Total votes 10,933,018 100.00% N/A
Turnout 11,146,620 50.80% −12.48
Registered electors 21,940,274
Democratic hold
Close

By county

More information By county, County ...
Close

By congressional district

Newsom won 38 of 52 congressional districts, with the remaining 14 going to Dahle, including two that elected Democrats.[75]

More information District, Newsom ...
District Newsom Dahle Representative
1st 33% 67% Doug LaMalfa
2nd 71% 29% Jared Huffman
3rd 43% 57% Kevin Kiley
4th 63% 37% Mike Thompson
5th 37% 63% Tom McClintock
6th 54% 46% Ami Bera
7th 64% 36% Doris Matsui
8th 74% 26% John Garamendi
9th 48% 52% Josh Harder
10th 65% 35% Mark DeSaulnier
11th 86% 14% Nancy Pelosi
12th 90% 10% Barbara Lee
13th 46% 54% John Duarte
14th 68% 32% Eric Swalwell
15th 76% 24% Jackie Speier (117th Congress)
Kevin Mullin (118th Congress)
16th 73% 27% Anna Eshoo
17th 71% 29% Ro Khanna
18th 68% 32% Zoe Lofgren
19th 65% 35% Jimmy Panetta
20th 30% 70% Kevin McCarthy
21st 51% 49% Jim Costa
22nd 48% 52% David Valadao
23rd 39% 61% Jay Obernolte
24th 59% 41% Salud Carbajal
25th 53% 47% Raul Ruiz
26th 54% 46% Julia Brownley
27th 49% 51% Mike Garcia
28th 63% 37% Judy Chu
29th 73% 27% Tony Cárdenas
30th 75% 25% Adam Schiff
31st 58% 42% Grace Napolitano
32nd 66% 34% Brad Sherman
33rd 55% 45% Pete Aguilar
34th 82% 18% Jimmy Gomez
35th 55% 45% Norma Torres
36th 67% 33% Ted Lieu
37th 85% 15% Karen Bass (117th Congress)
Sydney Kamlager-Dove (118th Congress)
38th 58% 42% Linda Sánchez
39th 55% 45% Mark Takano
40th 45% 55% Young Kim
41st 45% 55% Ken Calvert
42nd 67% 33% Lucille Roybal-Allard (117th Congress)
Robert Garcia (118th Congress)
43rd 78% 22% Maxine Waters
44th 69% 31% Nanette Barragán
45th 49% 51% Michelle Steel
46th 60% 40% Lou Correa
47th 49.7% 50.3% Katie Porter
48th 38% 62% Darrell Issa
49th 50.4% 49.6% Mike Levin
50th 61% 39% Scott Peters
51st 60% 40% Sara Jacobs
52nd 63% 37% Juan Vargas
Close

By municipality

More information By municipality, City ...
Close

Cities that flipped from No on 2021 Recall to Republican

Cities that flipped from Yes on 2021 Recall to Democratic

Notes

  1. Candidate for San Francisco Board of Supervisors in 1977, 1979, and 2002, candidate for Mayor of San Francisco in 1995, 1999, and 2019, and candidate in the 2021 recall election
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Anthony Trimino (R) with 3%; Jenny Rae Le Roux (R) and Major Williams (R) with 2%; Ron Jones (R), David Lozano (R), Daniel Mercuri (R), Robert Newman II (R), Armando Perez-Serrato (D), Luis Javier Rodriguez (G), Joel Ventresca (D), and Leo Zacky (R) with 1%; Heather Collins (G), Serge Fiankan (I), James Hanink (I), Cristian Raul Morales (R), Woodrow Sanders III (I), Frederic Schultz (I), Reinette Senum (I), Lonnie Sortor (R), and Bradley Zink (I) with 0%
  4. Heather Collins (G), Ron Jones (R), and David Lozano (R) with 2%; Jenny Rae Le Roux (R), Daniel Mercuri (R), Cristian Raul Morales (R), Robert Newman II (R), Armando Perez-Serrato (D), Lonnie Sortor (R), Anthony Trimino (R), Joel Ventresca (D), Major Williams (R), and Leo Zacky (R) with 1%; Serge Fiankan (I), James Hanink (I), Luis Javier Rodriguez (G), Woodrow Sanders III (I), Frederic Schultz (I), Reinette Senum (I), and Bradley Zink (I) with 0%
  5. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. "Neither/Would not vote" with 4%
  7. "Other (write-in)" with 2%
  8. "Would not vote" with 5%
  9. Democratic margins are compared to the "No" margins from the 2021 recall vote & Republican margins are compared to the "Yes" margins from the 2021 recall vote.
  1. Hanink was listed on the ballot as "no party preference" and listed in the official Voter Information Guide as "no qualified party preference" because the party with which Hanink was registered, the American Solidarity Party, did not have ballot access at the time the ballot was printed.[17][18][19][20]

See also

References

Related Articles

Wikiwand AI