2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election

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The 2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Lee was elected to a second term with 64.9% of the vote, defeating his Democratic challenger Jason Martin. Lee improved on his performance from 2018.

Quick facts Turnout, Nominee ...
2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election

 2018
November 8, 2022
2026 
Turnout38.61% Decrease[1] 15.85 pp
 
Nominee Bill Lee Jason Martin
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,129,390 572,818
Percentage 64.91% 32.92%

Lee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Martin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     No data

Governor before election

Bill Lee
Republican

Elected Governor

Bill Lee
Republican

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The primary elections took place on August 4, 2022, with Lee and Martin winning their respective parties' nominations.[2][3]

During the general election, Lee flipped reliably Democratic Haywood County, home to Brownsville. It is one of only two remaining counties in Tennessee, along with Shelby County, with a majority African-American population. Haywood County had not voted Republican on a presidential level since 1972. Martin won only Shelby and Davidson counties. This was the first time in state history that Davidson County did not vote for the winner in a gubernatorial re-election since Tennessee began allowing governors to serve for two consecutive terms.

Voter turnout for the 2022 midterm elections in Tennessee was the lowest it had been in nearly a decade, with only 38.6% of Tennessee's registered voters turning out. This was far below the 2020 presidential election in Tennessee, which saw a turnout of 69.3%.[4][5] The last time turnout was this low in Tennessee was in the 2014 midterm elections. Tennessee's neighboring state Alabama saw a significant drop in voter turnout as well.

Bill Lee was sworn in for his second term on January 21, 2023, at War Memorial Plaza in downtown Nashville. In his inaugural address, he outlined priorities including transportation and energy planning related to the state’s growth, environmental issues, and reforms within the Department of Children’s Services, such as staffing and foster care and adoption systems. He also referenced workforce development through vocational and technical education and called for civility in political discourse.[6][7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

  • Curtis Carney, business owner[10][9]
  • Tyler Hagerman[9]
  • Patricia Morrison[9]

Declined

Endorsements

Bill Lee

U.S. executive branch officials

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Lee (incumbent) 494,362 100.00%
Total votes 494,362 100.00%
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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

J. B. Smiley Jr.

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Results

Results by county:
  Martin
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Smiley
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Atwater
  •   30–40%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jason Martin 101,552 39.39%
Democratic J.B. Smiley Jr. 100,062 38.81%
Democratic Carnita Atwater 56,227 21.81%
Total votes 257,841 100.00%
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Independents

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

  • Lemichael DaShaun-Wilson[27]
  • Hosie Holomon III[27]
  • Wendell Jackson[27]
  • Jake Johns[27]

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid R July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe R June 29, 2022
Politico[31] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[32] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid R May 12, 2022
538[34] Solid R August 4, 2022
Elections Daily[35] Safe R November 7, 2022
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Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of July 5, 2022, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of July 5, 2022
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Bill Lee (R) $3,516,828 $3,316,034 $375,465
Jason Martin (D) $187,424 $495,649 $160,736
Source: Tennessee Registry of Election Finance[36]
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Post-primary endorsements

Jason Martin (D)

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Bill
Lee (R)
Jason
Martin (D)
Other Undecided
RABA Research[43] July 21–31, 2022 549 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 28% 6% 14%
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Hypothetical polling

Bill Lee vs. generic opponent

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Bill
Lee (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Vanderbilt University[44] April 26 – May 14, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 39% 12%
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election[45]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Bill Lee (incumbent) 1,129,390 64.91% +5.55
Democratic Jason Martin 572,818 32.92% −5.63
Independent John Gentry 15,395 0.89% N/A
Independent Constance Every 10,277 0.59% N/A
Independent Deborah Rouse 3,772 0.22% N/A
Independent Rick Tyler 2,380 0.14% N/A
Independent Charles Van Morgan 1,862 0.11% N/A
Independent Basil Marceaux 1,568 0.09% N/A
Independent Alfred O'Neil 1,216 0.07% N/A
Independent Michael Scantland 815 0.05% N/A
Write-In Lemichael D. Wilson 386 0.02% N/A
Write-In Charles Carney 2 0.00% N/A
Write-In Stephen C. Maxwell 1 0.00% N/A
Write-In Kameron Parker Scott 0 0.00% N/A
Total votes 1,739,882 100.00%
Turnout 1,756,397 38.61% −15.85%
Registered electors 4,549,183
Republican hold
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By county

More information By county, County ...
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State Senate district results 27–6
State House district results 77–22

By congressional district

Lee won eight of nine congressional districts.[47]

More information District, Lee ...
District Lee Martin Representative
1st 78.05% 19.86% Diana Harshbarger
2nd 66.80% 31.34% Tim Burchett
3rd 68.81% 29.09% Chuck Fleischmann
4th 72.07% 25.69% Scott DesJarlais
5th 58.64% 39.56% Jim Cooper (117th Congress)
Andy Ogles (118th Congress)
6th 65.76% 31.90% John W. Rose
7th 59.60% 37.87% Mark E. Green
8th 73.17% 24.95% David Kustoff
9th 32.59% 64.66% Steve Cohen
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See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

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