2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election

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2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election

 2022
November 3, 2026
2030 
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor

Bill Lee
Republican



The 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. The primary elections will take place on August 6, 2026.[1] Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Lee is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term.

Democrats have not won a statewide election in Tennessee since Phil Bredesen was re-elected governor in 2006.

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Marsha Blackburn
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Statewide officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Marsha
Blackburn
John
Rose
Monty
Fritts
Other Undecided
VictoryPhones[22][A] March 18–24, 2026 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 56% 14% 11% 20%
Cygnal (R)[23] March 16–17, 2026 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 58% 7% 5% 30%
VictoryPhones[24][A] February 5–8, 2026 – (LV) 61% 8% 5% 26%
Targoz Market Research[25][B] January 11–18, 2026 559 (LV) 56% 9% 7% 1%[b] 27%
Targoz Market Research[26][B] October 26–29, 2025 545 (RV) 58% 9% 5% 29%
Quantus Insights (R)[27] August 5–7, 2025 35% 6% 22%[c] 37%
Targoz Market Research[28][B] July 27 – August 1, 2025 623 (RV) ± 2.8% 66% 14% 19%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[29][30][C] January 13–16, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 71% 13% 16%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Jerri Green
State legislators

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Endorsements

Lauren Pinkston (I)
Political party

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[40] Solid R September 11, 2025
Inside Elections[41] Solid R August 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[42] Safe R September 4, 2025
Race to the WH[43] Safe R September 16, 2025

Polling

Marsha Blackburn vs. Jerri Green
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Marsha
Blackburn (R)
Jerri
Green (D)
Other Undecided
Quantus Insights (R)[27] August 5–7, 2025 600 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 28% 7%[d] 17%
John Rose vs. Jerri Green
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Rose (R)
Jerri
Green (D)
Other Undecided
Quantus Insights (R)[27] August 5–7, 2025 600 (RV) ± 3.5% 43% 27% 8%[e] 23%

See also

Notes

References

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