2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Connecticut.
.jpg)
 | ||||||||||||||||||||
November 8, 2022
| ||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 51.03%  | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||
Blumenthal: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Levy: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
Democrat Richard Blumenthal was first elected to this seat in 2010 with 55.2% of the vote over Republican Linda McMahon. He was then re-elected in 2016 with 63.2% of the vote over Republican Dan Carter. Blumenthal ran for reelection to a third term in office and secured the 2022 nomination. Businesswoman Leora Levy won the Republican primary on August 9, 2022. Blumenthal won reelection, defeating Levy by about 15 points.[1] The race took place simultaneously with the 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election. This was the first election in Blumenthal's senatorial career where he did not carry Windham County. It was also the first time Windham voted Republican in a Connecticut Senate election since 1988 and the first time Windham did so in Connecticut's Class 3 Senate seat since 1962.
Democratic convention
Candidates
Nominated at convention
- Richard Blumenthal, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Endorsements
Richard Blumenthal
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Leora Levy, businesswoman, Republican National Committee member, and former nominee for U.S. Ambassador to Chile[12]
Eliminated in primary
- Themis Klarides, former Minority Leader of the Connecticut House of Representatives[13][14]
- Peter Lumaj, attorney and perennial candidate[15]
Eliminated at convention
- Nicholas Connors[16][17]
- John Flynn, candidate for the Connecticut House of Representatives in 2018 and 2020[18][17]
- Robert F. Hyde, lobbyist and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[19][20][17]
Declined
- Dan Carter, former state representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[21]
- Bob Stefanowski, businessman and nominee for governor in 2018[22] (ran for governor)
- Joe Visconti, former West Hartford town councilor and nominee for Connecticut's 1st congressional district in 2008[23]
Endorsements
Themis Klarides
Governors
- Charlie Baker, 72nd governor of Massachusetts (2015–2023)[24]
- Chris Christie, 55th governor of New Jersey (2010–2018)[24]
- Larry Hogan, 62nd governor of Maryland (2015–2023)[25]
Local officials
- Erin Stewart, mayor of New Britain (2013–2025)[26]
Organizations
Leora Levy
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[28]
- John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)[29]
U.S. Senators
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–Present)[30]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–Present)[30]
- Rob Portman, U.S. Senator from Ohio (2011–2023)[30]
- Thom Tillis, U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2015–Present)[30]
U.S. House of Representatives
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. House Representative from Washington (2005–2025)[30]
- Guy Reschenthaler, U.S. House Representative from Pennsylvania (2019–Present)[30]
- María Elvira Salazar, U.S. House Representative from Florida (2021–Present)[30]
- Mike Turner, U.S. House Representative from Ohio (2003–Present)[30]
Individuals
- Richard Grenell, former diplomat and former Director of National Intelligence[30]
- Linda McMahon, former Administrator of the Small Business Administration[30]
Organizations
Results
Levy
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Klarides
- 40–50%
Levy
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Klarides
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Leora Levy | 46,774 | 50.60% | |
| Republican | Themis Klarides | 37,003 | 40.03% | |
| Republican | Peter Lumaj | 8,665 | 9.37% | |
| Total votes | 92,442 | 100.0% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[32] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[33] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Safe D | March 1, 2022 |
| Politico[35] | Likely D | August 12, 2022 |
| RCP[36] | Lean D | October 15, 2022 |
| Fox News[37] | Likely D | September 20, 2022 |
| DDHQ[38] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[39] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[40] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Post-primary endorsements
Richard Blumenthal (D)
Leora Levy (R)
Executive branch officials
- Nikki Haley, United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018)[43]
- Mike Pompeo, United States Secretary of State (2018–2021)[44]
U.S. Representatives
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present)[45]
Newspapers
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Leora Levy (R) |
Other [a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[47] | October 10–23, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 52.7% | 41.7% | 5.6% | Blumenthal +11.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[48] | September 15 – October 19, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 53.4% | 40.9% | 5.7% | Blumenthal +12.4 |
| 270towin[49] | September 7–21, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 52.7% | 41.7% | 5.6% | Blumenthal +11.0 |
| Average | 52.9% | 41.4% | 5.7% | Blumenthal +11.5 | ||
Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Leora Levy (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Island University[50] | October 24–26, 2022 | 1,004 (A) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 26% | 9%[c] | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University[51] | October 19–23, 2022 | 1,879 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 56% | 41% | 1%[d] | 2% |
| Emerson College[52] | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 40% | 2%[e] | 5% |
| 54% | 42% | 4%[f] | – | ||||
| Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)[53][A] | October 10–13, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
| Western New England University[54] | September 15–21, 2022 | 766 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 37% | 2%[g] | 10% |
| 626 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 53% | 40% | 2%[h] | 5% | ||
| Quinnipiac University[51] | September 15–19, 2022 | 1,911 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 57% | 40% | 1%[i] | 3% |
| Emerson College[55] | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | – | 15% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[56] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 33% | – | 22% |
| Emerson College[55] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 36% | – | 11% |
Hypothetical polling
Richard Blumenthal vs. Themis Klarides
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Themis Klarides (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[56] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 34% | 21% |
| Emerson College[55] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Richard Blumenthal vs. Peter Lumaj
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Peter Lumaj (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[55] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
Richard Blumenthal vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[56] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Richard Blumenthal | Leora Levy | |||||
| 1 | Nov. 2, 2022 | Channel 3, CT Insider | [58] | P | P | |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Richard Blumenthal | 701,175 | 55.65% | −2.03% | |
| Working Families | Richard Blumenthal | 22,689 | 1.80% | −3.71% | |
| Total | Richard Blumenthal (incumbent) | 723,864 | 57.45% | -5.74% | |
| Republican | Leora Levy | 535,943 | 42.54% | +7.92% | |
| Write-in | 80 | 0.00% | ±0.0% | ||
| Total votes | 1,259,887 | 100.00% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
| County | Richard Blumenthal
Democratic |
Leora Levy
Republican |
Various candidates
Other parties |
Total votes cast | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield | 186,698 | 59.56% | 126,757 | 40.44% | 7 | 0.00% | 313,462 |
| Hartford | 189,512 | 61.36% | 119,280 | 38.62% | 42 | 0.01% | 308,834 |
| Litchfield | 37,345 | 46.02% | 43,788 | 53.96% | 9 | 0.01% | 81,142 |
| Middlesex | 41,911 | 56.37% | 32,430 | 43.62% | 5 | 0.01% | 74,346 |
| New Haven | 161,063 | 56.74% | 122,770 | 43.25% | 6 | 0.00% | 282,839 |
| New London | 56,711 | 56.97% | 42,835 | 43.03% | 6 | 0.01% | 99,552 |
| Tolland | 32,129 | 53.49% | 27,431 | 46.05% | 3 | 0.01% | 59,560 |
| Windham | 18,495 | 47.24% | 20,652 | 52.75% | 2 | 0.01% | 39,149 |
| Total | 723,864 | 57.45% | 535,943 | 42.54% | 80 | 0.01% | 1,259,887 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Litchfield (largest city: Torrington)
- Windham (largest town: Windham)
By congressional district
Blumenthal won all five congressional districts.[60]
| District | Blumenthal | Levy | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 63% | 37% | John B. Larson |
| 2nd | 55% | 45% | Joe Courtney |
| 3rd | 58% | 42% | Rosa DeLauro |
| 4th | 61% | 39% | Jim Himes |
| 5th | 52% | 48% | Jahana Hayes |
See also
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Not planning to vote" with 5%; "Another candidate" with 4%
- "Refused" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Someone else" with 4%
- "Refused" with 2%
- "Refused" with 2%
- "Refused" with 1%
- "Refused" with 1%
Partisan clients
- This poll was sponsored by The Connecticut Examiner.