2022 United States Senate election in Indiana
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2022 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Incumbent Senator Todd Young won a second term.[1]
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November 8, 2022
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  Young: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% McDermott: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Young announced on March 2, 2021, that he would be running for a second term.[2] He was first elected to the Senate in 2016 with 52.1% of the vote, succeeding retiring fellow Republican Dan Coats. Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott Jr. ran for the Democratic nomination. Both ran unopposed and won their respective primaries on May 3, 2022. This was the first election since 1986 for Indiana's Class 3 U.S. Senate seat where neither Dan Coats nor Evan Bayh were on the ballot.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Todd Young, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Removed from ballot
- Danny Niederberger, operations analyst and candidate for Indiana's 5th congressional district in 2020[3][4][5]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Todd Young (incumbent) | 372,738 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 372,738 | 100.0% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Thomas McDermott Jr., mayor of Hammond and candidate for Indiana's 1st congressional district in 2020[7]
Removed from ballot
- Haneefah Khaaliq, professor at Indiana University[8][7][5] (ran as independent)
- Valerie McCray, psychologist[9][5]
On February 18, 2022, the Indiana Election Commission removed Democratic candidates Haneefah Khaaliq and Valerie McCray, as well as Republican candidate Danny Niederberger, from the primary ballot.[10] On February 4, 2022, McDermott campaign adviser Kevin Smith said the campaign would look closely at whether Khaaliq and McCray met the ballot requirements, and that avoiding a primary challenge could benefit McDermott as he entered this year with about $50,000 in campaign cash.[11] Khaaliq then conducted an investigation[12] and discovered that the individual who filed the challenge against both her and McCray was Scott Yahne, an attorney who was a close friend and ally of McDermott.[13]
As a result of the findings, Khaaliq filed a lawsuit against the Indiana Election Commission[14] and announced her decision to proceed as a write-in candidate in the 2022 general election. Khaaliq was the first African American to run for the U.S. Senate in a general election in Indiana's history.[14]
Declined
- Pete Buttigieg, U.S. Secretary of Transportation, former mayor of South Bend, nominee for Indiana State Treasurer in 2010, and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[15]
- Joe Donnelly, former U.S. Ambassador to the Holy See and former U.S. Senator[16]
- J. D. Ford, state senator[17] (ran for re-election)[18]
- Joe Hogsett, Mayor of Indianapolis, former Indiana Secretary of State, former U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana, former chair of the Indiana Democratic Party, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1992[17]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Thomas McDermott Jr. | 173,466 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 173,466 | 100.0% | ||
Libertarian convention
Write-ins
Candidates
Declared
- Antonio Xavier Alvarez
- Thomas Baer
- Phillip Beachy
- Haneefah Khaaliq, professor at Indiana University[20]
- Danny Niederberger
- David G. Storer
Withdrew/disqualified
- Ellen Kizik, retail worker[21]
General election
Incumbent Senator Todd Young sought re-election in 2022. In 2016, Young was initially perceived as the underdog when Former Senator Evan Bayh was chosen to replace Representative Baron Hill.[22][23] Bayh, an Indiana political giant, was considered the frontrunner until he faced criticism for many of his post-senatorial activities, allowing Young to gain momentum and secure a decisive victory.[24]
In March 2021, Young announced he would seek a second term.[25]
Young's main opponent in the election was Thomas McDermott Jr., the longtime mayor of Hammond, Indiana.[26] McDermott ran as a moderate, criticizing Young for his ties to the Republican establishment and emphasizing his pro-choice stance in light of the Dobbs v. Jackson Supreme Court decision.[27] Young, on the other hand, focused on issues like inflation and border security, directing most of his attacks at President Joe Biden rather than McDermott.[28][29] While early polls indicated a close race,[30] a poll conducted around Election Day showed Young with a comfortable lead.[31]
On October 16, three weeks before the election, the only debate was held which featured Young, McDermontt, and Libertarian Nominee James Sceniak. The Debate centered on a number of issues, including The Economy, Immigration/Border security, and Climate change, among others. Young, mainly focused on Immigration, while avoiding attacking his opponents, McDermott attacked Young relentlessly throughout the debate, even stating “When Senator Young supports spending, it is good inflation, but when he doesn't support it, that is bad inflation. The chips act is a spending bill. Todd Young helped to add to our nation inflation problem”.[32]
Young went on to win the election easily, outperforming his 2016 performance by 11 points and receiving nearly 59% of the vote to McDermott's 38%.[33]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[35] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] | Safe R | March 1, 2022 |
| Politico[37] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[38] | Safe R | February 24, 2022 |
| Fox News[39] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[40] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[41] | Solid R | July 6, 2022 |
| The Economist[42] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
Organizations
- Huck PAC[43]
- International Franchise Association[44]
- IUOE Local 150[45] (co-endorse with McDermott Jr.)
- National Border Patrol Council[46]
- National Federation of Independent Business - Indiana chapter[47]
- National Right to Life Committee[48]
- Pro-Israel America[49]
- Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America[50]
- HODLpac[51]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[52]
Newspapers
U.S. Representatives
- Frank J. Mrvan, U.S. Representative from IN–01 (2021–present)[54]
State legislators
- Eddie Melton, former state senator from the 3rd district[54]
Labor unions
- Communications Workers of America[55]
- Indiana AFL–CIO[56]
- Indiana Regional Council of Carpenters[57]
- IUOE Local 150[45] (co-endorse with Young)
- United Mine Workers of America[58]
Organizations
Organizations
- Freethought Equality Fund[60]
- Indiana Civil Rights Agency
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Todd Young (R) |
Thomas McDermott Jr. (D) |
James Sceniak (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[61] | November 4–7, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 49% | 38% | – | 9%[b] | 4% |
| ARW Strategies[62] | September 25–26, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 37% | 6% | – | 17% |
| Change Research (D)[63][A] | August 20–24, 2022 | 2,111 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 42% | – | – | 13% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Todd Young (incumbent) | 1,090,165 | 58.62% | +6.51% | |
| Democratic | Thomas McDermott Jr. | 704,411 | 37.87% | −4.54% | |
| Libertarian | James Sceniak | 63,814 | 3.43% | −2.04% | |
| Write-in | 1,461 | 0.08% | +0.07% | ||
| Total votes | 1,859,851 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
| County[65] | Todd Young Republican |
Thomas McDermott Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 6,914 | 77.3% | 1,841 | 20.6% | 195 | 2.2% | 5,073 | 56.6% | 8,950 |
| Allen | 59,128 | 58.1% | 39,913 | 39.2% | 2,656 | 2.6% | 19,215 | 18.9% | 101,697 |
| Bartholomew | 13,827 | 61.4% | 7,623 | 33.9% | 1,054 | 4.7% | 6,204 | 27.5% | 22,504 |
| Benton | 1,938 | 78.6% | 469 | 19.0% | 60 | 2.4% | 1,469 | 59.6% | 2,467 |
| Blackford | 2,500 | 73.7% | 740 | 21.8% | 154 | 4.5% | 1,760 | 50.9% | 3,394 |
| Boone | 14,178 | 57.2% | 9,159 | 36.9% | 1,469 | 5.9% | 5,019 | 20.3% | 24,806 |
| Brown | 3,796 | 59.7% | 2,113 | 33.2% | 446 | 7.1% | 1,683 | 26.5% | 6,355 |
| Carroll | 4,644 | 75.1% | 1,267 | 20.5% | 270 | 4.4% | 3,377 | 54.6% | 6,181 |
| Cass | 6,250 | 72.8% | 2,081 | 24.2% | 257 | 3.0% | 4,169 | 48.6% | 8,588 |
| Clark | 22,389 | 61.5% | 13,061 | 35.9% | 979 | 2.6% | 9,328 | 25.6% | 36,429 |
| Clay | 5,885 | 77.0% | 1,507 | 19.7% | 250 | 3.3% | 4,378 | 57.3% | 7,642 |
| Clinton | 5,362 | 73.5% | 1,606 | 22.0% | 325 | 4.4% | 3,756 | 51.5% | 7,293 |
| Crawford | 2,360 | 71.0% | 983 | 26.5% | 92 | 2.5% | 1,647 | 44.5% | 3,705 |
| Daviess | 5,754 | 82.4% | 1,059 | 15.2% | 174 | 2.4% | 4,695 | 67.2% | 6,987 |
| Dearborn | 11,309 | 79.3% | 2,628 | 18.4% | 330 | 2.3% | 8,681 | 60.9% | 14,267 |
| Decatur | 6,184 | 76.8% | 1,381 | 17.2% | 485 | 6.0% | 4,803 | 59.6% | 8,050 |
| DeKalb | 8,584 | 73.2% | 2,773 | 23.6% | 375 | 3.2% | 5,811 | 49.6% | 11,732 |
| Delaware | 17,162 | 57.1% | 11,867 | 39.5% | 1,049 | 3.4% | 5,295 | 17.6% | 30,078 |
| Dubois | 9,906 | 72.2% | 3,502 | 25.5% | 307 | 2.3% | 6,404 | 51.7% | 13,715 |
| Elkhart | 30,852 | 69.1% | 12,635 | 28.3% | 1,165 | 2.6% | 18,217 | 40.8% | 44,652 |
| Fayette | 4,720 | 76.6% | 1,274 | 20.7% | 170 | 2.7% | 3,446 | 55.9% | 6,164 |
| Floyd | 15,948 | 59.3% | 10,313 | 38.3% | 651 | 2.4% | 5,635 | 21.0% | 26,912 |
| Fountain | 3,891 | 78.1% | 945 | 19.0% | 147 | 2.9% | 2,946 | 59.1% | 4,983 |
| Franklin | 5,923 | 80.4% | 1,236 | 16.8% | 208 | 2.8% | 4,687 | 63.8% | 7,367 |
| Fulton | 4,224 | 76.5% | 1,162 | 21.1% | 134 | 2.4% | 3,062 | 55.4% | 5,520 |
| Gibson | 7,612 | 76.1% | 2,205 | 22.1% | 181 | 1.8% | 5,407 | 54.0% | 9,988 |
| Grant | 11,383 | 72.0% | 3,927 | 24.8% | 499 | 3.2% | 7,456 | 47.2% | 15,809 |
| Greene | 7,033 | 74.5% | 2,098 | 22.2% | 315 | 3.3% | 4,935 | 52.3% | 9,446 |
| Hamilton | 70,412 | 54.5% | 52,873 | 40.9% | 5,941 | 4.6% | 17,539 | 13.6% | 129,226 |
| Hancock | 15,455 | 64.5% | 6,685 | 27.9% | 1,805 | 7.6% | 8,770 | 36.6% | 23,945 |
| Harrison | 10,150 | 73.4% | 3,315 | 24.0% | 367 | 2.6% | 6,835 | 49.4% | 13,832 |
| Hendricks | 28,965 | 59.6% | 16,404 | 33.8% | 3,207 | 6.6% | 12,561 | 25.8% | 48,576 |
| Henry | 9,388 | 69.6% | 3,338 | 24.7% | 772 | 5.7% | 6,050 | 44.9% | 13,498 |
| Howard | 16,738 | 67.4% | 7,289 | 29.3% | 819 | 3.3% | 9,449 | 38.1% | 24,846 |
| Huntington | 8,465 | 74.9% | 2,508 | 22.1% | 334 | 3.0% | 5,957 | 52.8% | 11,307 |
| Jackson | 8,612 | 76.6% | 2,219 | 19.7% | 309 | 3.7% | 6,393 | 56.9% | 11,240 |
| Jasper | 7,050 | 76.3% | 1,982 | 21.5% | 206 | 2.3% | 5,068 | 54.8% | 9,238 |
| Jay | 4,084 | 75.5% | 1,182 | 21.8% | 144 | 2.7% | 2,902 | 53.7% | 5,410 |
| Jefferson | 6,503 | 66.3% | 3,059 | 31.2% | 241 | 2.5% | 3,444 | 35.1% | 9,803 |
| Jennings | 5,992 | 75.5% | 1,532 | 19.3% | 417 | 5.3% | 4,460 | 56.2% | 7,941 |
| Johnson | 29,129 | 64.9% | 13,080 | 29.1% | 2,678 | 6.0% | 16,049 | 35.8% | 44,887 |
| Knox | 7,468 | 73.8% | 2,369 | 23.4% | 277 | 2.8% | 5,099 | 50.4% | 10,114 |
| Kosciusko | 18,033 | 78.6% | 3,996 | 17.4% | 922 | 4.0% | 14,037 | 61.2% | 22,951 |
| LaGrange | 5,223 | 79.1% | 1,229 | 18.6% | 147 | 2.3% | 3,994 | 60.5% | 6,599 |
| Lake | 57,426 | 43.0% | 73,866 | 55.3% | 2,401 | 1.7% | -16,440 | -12.3% | 133,693 |
| LaPorte | 17,279 | 54.1% | 13,920 | 43.6% | 763 | 2.3% | 3,359 | 10.5% | 31,962 |
| Lawrence | 9,700 | 75.9% | 2,622 | 20.5% | 450 | 3.6% | 7,078 | 55.4% | 12,772 |
| Madison | 21,536 | 60.1% | 12,470 | 34.8% | 1,830 | 5.1% | 9,066 | 25.3% | 35,836 |
| Marion | 78,138 | 34.9% | 136,473 | 61.0% | 9,095 | 4.1% | -58,335 | -26.1% | 223,706 |
| Marshall | 9,471 | 74.1% | 2,979 | 23.3% | 331 | 2.6% | 6,492 | 50.8% | 12,781 |
| Martin | 2,691 | 77.0% | 666 | 19.1% | 138 | 3.9% | 2,025 | 57.9% | 3,495 |
| Miami | 6,524 | 76.6% | 1,713 | 20.1% | 282 | 3.3% | 4,811 | 56.5% | 8,519 |
| Monroe | 14,286 | 35.5% | 24,777 | 61.6% | 1,173 | 2.9% | -10,491 | -26.1% | 40,236 |
| Montgomery | 7,063 | 72.4% | 2,219 | 22.8% | 471 | 4.8% | 4,844 | 49.6% | 9,753 |
| Morgan | 15,004 | 70.6% | 4,366 | 20.5% | 1,895 | 8.9% | 10,638 | 50.1% | 21,265 |
| Newton | 3,032 | 76.1% | 837 | 21.0% | 113 | 2.9% | 2,195 | 55.1% | 3,982 |
| Noble | 8,696 | 75.8% | 2,425 | 21.1% | 355 | 3.1% | 6,271 | 54.7% | 11,476 |
| Ohio | 1,458 | 75.9% | 422 | 22.0% | 41 | 2.1% | 1,036 | 53.9% | 1,921 |
| Orange | 4,083 | 75.9% | 1,132 | 21.0% | 167 | 3.1% | 2,951 | 54.9% | 5,382 |
| Owen | 4,230 | 68.5% | 1,518 | 24.6% | 425 | 6.9% | 2,712 | 43.9% | 6,173 |
| Parke | 3,469 | 77.4% | 873 | 19.5% | 139 | 3.1% | 2,596 | 57.9% | 4,481 |
| Perry | 3,838 | 61.7% | 2,233 | 35.9% | 152 | 2.4% | 1,605 | 25.8% | 6,223 |
| Pike | 2,771 | 76.0% | 806 | 22.1% | 68 | 1.9% | 1,965 | 53.9% | 3,645 |
| Porter | 30,158 | 52.0% | 26,643 | 46.0% | 1,180 | 2.0% | 3,515 | 6.0% | 57,981 |
| Posey | 6,316 | 72.4% | 2,224 | 25.5% | 187 | 2.1% | 4,092 | 46.9% | 8,727 |
| Pulaski | 2,847 | 76.2% | 784 | 21.0% | 104 | 2.8% | 2,063 | 55.2% | 3,735 |
| Putnam | 6,954 | 70.0% | 2,254 | 22.7% | 720 | 7.3% | 4,700 | 47.3% | 9,928 |
| Randolph | 5,235 | 76.0% | 1,426 | 20.7% | 225 | 3.3% | 3,809 | 55.3% | 6,886 |
| Ripley | 6,608 | 79.3% | 1,475 | 17.7% | 249 | 3.0% | 5,133 | 61.6% | 8,332 |
| Rush | 3,586 | 73.7% | 965 | 19.8% | 312 | 6.5% | 2,621 | 53.9% | 4,863 |
| St. Joseph | 37,726 | 52.0% | 33,013 | 46.1% | 1,382 | 1.9% | 4,263 | 5.9% | 71,671 |
| Scott | 4,782 | 70.0% | 1,864 | 27.3% | 186 | 2.7% | 2,918 | 42.7% | 6,832 |
| Shelby | 7,991 | 69.4% | 2,704 | 23.5% | 815 | 7.1% | 5,287 | 45.9% | 11,510 |
| Spencer | 5,347 | 70.4% | 2,087 | 27.5% | 164 | 2.1% | 3,260 | 42.9% | 7,598 |
| Starke | 4,955 | 72.1% | 1,724 | 25.1% | 191 | 2.8% | 3,231 | 47.0% | 6,870 |
| Steuben | 6,921 | 71.5% | 2,479 | 25.6% | 276 | 2.9% | 4,442 | 45.9% | 9,676 |
| Sullivan | 4,544 | 71.9% | 1,564 | 24.8% | 210 | 3.3% | 2,980 | 47.1% | 6,318 |
| Switzerland | 1,956 | 74.0% | 608 | 23.0% | 79 | 3.0% | 1,348 | 51.0% | 2,643 |
| Tippecanoe | 19,616 | 50.7% | 17,984 | 46.5% | 1,058 | 2.8% | 1,632 | 4.2% | 38,658 |
| Tipton | 3,822 | 72.7% | 1,148 | 21.8% | 290 | 5.5% | 2,674 | 50.9% | 5,260 |
| Union | 1,946 | 78.3% | 472 | 19.0% | 68 | 2.7% | 1,474 | 69.3% | 2,486 |
| Vanderburgh | 27,255 | 57.8% | 18,886 | 40.1% | 975 | 2.1% | 8,369 | 17.7% | 47,116 |
| Vermillion | 3,386 | 66.9% | 1,541 | 30.5% | 133 | 2.6% | 1,845 | 36.4% | 5,060 |
| Vigo | 15,559 | 57.9% | 10,639 | 39.6% | 660 | 2.5% | 4,920 | 18.3% | 26,861 |
| Wabash | 7,530 | 76.4% | 2,046 | 20.8% | 279 | 2.8% | 5,484 | 55.6% | 9,855 |
| Warren | 2,187 | 77.7% | 544 | 19.2% | 83 | 2.9% | 1,643 | 58.5% | 2,814 |
| Warrick | 13,456 | 66.9% | 6,251 | 31.1% | 399 | 2.0% | 7,205 | 37.8% | 20,106 |
| Washington | 6,119 | 76.7% | 1,615 | 20.2% | 244 | 3.1% | 4,504 | 56.5% | 7,978 |
| Wayne | 10,875 | 65.6% | 5,176 | 31.2% | 539 | 3.2% | 5,699 | 34.4% | 16,590 |
| Wells | 7,317 | 80.0% | 1,576 | 17.2% | 253 | 2.8% | 5,741 | 62.8% | 9,146 |
| White | 4,972 | 73.9% | 1,601 | 23.8% | 156 | 2.3% | 3,371 | 50.1% | 6,729 |
| Whitley | 8,586 | 74.5% | 2,442 | 21.2% | 492 | 4.3% | 6,144 | 53.3% | 11,520 |
| Totals | 1,090,390 | 58.6% | 704,480 | 37.9% | 65,284 | 3.5% | 385,910 | 20.7% | 1,860,154 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- LaPorte (largest city: Michigan City)
- Perry (largest city: Tell City)
- Porter (largest city: Portage)
- St. Joseph (largest city: South Bend)
- Vigo (largest city: Terre Haute)
By congressional district
Young won seven of nine congressional districts.[66]
| District | Young | McDermott Jr. | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 46% | 52% | Frank J. Mrvan |
| 2nd | 65% | 32% | Rudy Yakym |
| 3rd | 67% | 30% | Jim Banks |
| 4th | 63% | 31% | Jim Baird |
| 5th | 59% | 37% | Victoria Spartz |
| 6th | 64% | 31% | Greg Pence |
| 7th | 29% | 68% | André Carson |
| 8th | 68% | 30% | Larry Bucshon |
| 9th | 64% | 33% | Trey Hollingsworth (117th Congress) |
| Erin Houchin (118th Congress) |