2022 United States Senate election in Nevada
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada. Incumbent Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto won re-election to a second term, narrowly defeating Republican challenger Adam Laxalt.[1] Nevada's election results were slowed due to state law that allowed voters to submit mail-in ballots until November 12, and allowed voters to fix clerical problems in their mail-in ballots until November 14, 2022.[2] No Republican has won this specific U.S. Senate seat since Adam Laxalt's grandfather Paul Laxalt won a second full term in 1980.
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November 8, 2022
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   Cortez Masto: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Laxalt: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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According to exit polls, Cortez Masto won 83% of Black voters, 62% of Hispanic voters, 64% of young voters, and 52% of women.[3]
Cortez Masto made protecting abortion rights a central issue of her campaign.[4] Many experts and forecasters saw Nevada as Republicans' best chance to pickup a seat in the Senate. Despite Laxalt leading in most polls, Cortez Masto narrowly won re-election by a little less than 8,000 votes.
Cortez Masto flipped Washoe County, improving her 2016 voteshare by 1.7%, although Laxalt improved on Joe Heck's margin in rural counties, and performed slightly better in Clark County. The incumbent Democrat's improvements in Washoe compared to 2016 proved to be decisive, as her victory margin there was slightly larger than in Nevada as a whole. With a narrow margin of 0.78%, this was the closest Senate race of the 2022 election cycle and the closest Senate election in Nevada since 1998.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Catherine Cortez Masto, incumbent U.S. senator (2017–present) and former attorney general of Nevada (2007–2015)[5]
Eliminated in primary
- Stephanie Kasheta[6]
- Corey Reid[6]
- Allen Rheinhart, Black Lives Matter activist and candidate for governor in 2014, U.S. Senate in 2016, and Nevada's 1st congressional district in 2020[7]
Endorsements
Catherine Cortez Masto
Organizations
- AAPI Victory Fund[8]
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[9]
- EMILY's List[10]
- End Citizens United[11]
- Feminist Majority PAC[12]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[13]
- Jewish Dems[14]
- Latino Victory[15]
- League of Conservation Voters[16]
- Let America Vote[11]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[17]
- National Wildlife Federation[18]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[19]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[20]
- Population Connection Action Fund[21]
- Pro-Israel America[22]
- Sierra Club[23]
- Women's Political Committee[24]
Newspapers
Labor unions
Results
Cortez Masto
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- 90–100%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Catherine Cortez Masto (incumbent) | 159,694 | 90.87% | |
| Democratic | Corey Reid | 4,491 | 2.56% | |
| None of These Candidates | 4,216 | 2.40% | ||
| Democratic | Allen Rheinhart | 3,852 | 2.19% | |
| Democratic | Stephanie Kasheta | 3,487 | 1.98% | |
| Total votes | 175,740 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Adam Laxalt, former attorney general of Nevada (2015–2019), nominee for governor in 2018, son of former U.S. Senator Pete Domenici and grandson of former U.S. Senator Paul Laxalt[32]
Eliminated in primary
- Sam Brown, U.S. Army veteran, Purple Heart recipient, candidate for Texas's 102nd House of Representatives district in 2014, and great-grandson of Paul Brown[33][34]
- William "Bill" Conrad, retired combat veteran [6]
- Bill Hockstedler, vice president of Ambient Clinical Analytics, sheriff's office volunteer, and U.S. Air Force veteran[35]
- Sharelle Mendenhall, pageant queen[33][34]
- Tyler Perkins[6]
- Carlo Poliak, retired sanitation worker and perennial candidate[6]
- Paul Rodriguez[6]
Declined
- Mark Amodei, U.S. representative for Nevada's 2nd congressional district (2011–present) (ran for re-election)[36]
- Heidi Gansert, state senator for the 15th district (2016–2024)[37]
- Dean Heller, former U.S. senator (2011–2019) and former U.S. representative for Nevada's 2nd congressional district (2007–2011) (ran for governor)[38]
- Ben Kieckhefer, state senator for the 16th district (2010–2021)[37]
- Brian Sandoval, president of the University of Nevada, Reno (2020–present) and former governor of Nevada (2011–2019)[37]
Debates
| 2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Nevada debates[i] | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | Date | Organizer | Location | Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
Source | ||||||
| Sam Brown | Bill Conrad | Bill Hockstedler | Adam Laxalt | Sharellen Mendenhall | |||||||
| 1 | April 7, 2022 | Redmove Nevada | Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, Reno | A | P | P | A | P | [39][40] | ||
| 2 | May 9, 2022 | Nevada Newsmakers | Nevada Newsmakers Studio, Reno | P | N | N | P | N | [41][42] | ||
- Minor candidates that didn't participate in any of the debates are omitted.
Endorsements
Sam Brown (eliminated in primary)
Organizations
Adam Laxalt
Executive branch officials
- Michael Flynn, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2017) and former Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency (2012–2014) (Democratic)[44]
- Mike Pompeo, 70th U.S. secretary of state (2018–2021)[45]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[46]
U.S. senators
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. senator from Tennessee (2019–present)[47]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. senator from Arkansas (2015–present)[48]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. senator from Texas (2013–present)[37]
- Josh Hawley, U.S. senator from Missouri (2019–present)[49][better source needed]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. senator from Kentucky (1985–present) and Senate minority leader (2021–2025)[50]
- Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida (2019–present) and former governor of Florida (2011–2019)[51]
Statewide officials
- Ron DeSantis, governor of Florida (2019–present)[52]
Individuals
- Mark Levin, lawyer and author[53][better source needed]
- Matt Schlapp, chairman of the American Conservative Union[53][better source needed]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and political activist[53][better source needed]
Organizations
- 60 Plus Association[53][better source needed]
- American Conservative Union[53][better source needed]
- Club for Growth[54]
- FreedomWorks for America[55]
- Gun Owners of America[53][better source needed]
- Political Victory Fund[56][57][58]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[59]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[60]
Labor unions
- Las Vegas Peace Officers Association[61]
- National Association of Police Organizations[62]
- Nevada Fraternal Order of Police[61]
- Public Safety Alliance of Nevada[61]
Polling
Graphical summary
View source data.
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Sam Brown |
Bill Hockstedler |
Adam Laxalt |
Sharelle Mendenhall |
Other [a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[63] | April 25 – June 7, 2022 | June 10, 2022 | 30.3% | 1.0% | 51.3% | 3.0% | 24.4% | Laxalt +21.0 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Sam Brown |
Bill Hockstedler |
Adam Laxalt |
Sharelle Mendenhall |
None of These Candidates |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights[64] | June 6–7, 2022 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 1% | 48% | 3% | 2% | 3%[c] | 9% |
| University of Nevada Reno[65] | May 17–27, 2022 | 368 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 31% | 5% | 57% | 7% | – | – | – |
| OH Predictive Insights[66] | May 10–12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 30% | 0% | 45% | 3% | 8% | 2%[d] | 11% |
| Emerson College[67] | April 30 – May 2, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 27% | 1% | 50% | 4% | – | 3%[e] | 15% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[68] | April 25–28, 2022 | 1,071 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 1% | 50% | 3% | – | 5% | 15% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[69][A] | April 24–26, 2022 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 20% | 1% | 57% | 1% | 9% | – | 12% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[70][B] | March 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 19% | 1% | 57% | 1% | – | 3% | 15% |
| OH Predictive Insights[71] | January 19–26, 2022 | 230 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 14% | – | 37% | – | – | – | 49% |
Results
Laxalt
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Brown
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Adam Laxalt | 127,757 | 55.91% | |
| Republican | Sam Brown | 78,206 | 34.23% | |
| Republican | Sharelle Mendenhall | 6,946 | 3.04% | |
| None of These Candidates | 6,277 | 2.75% | ||
| Republican | William "Bill" Conrad | 3,440 | 1.51% | |
| Republican | William "Bill" Hockstedler | 2,836 | 1.24% | |
| Republican | Paul Rodriguez | 1,844 | 0.81% | |
| Republican | Tyler Perkins | 850 | 0.37% | |
| Republican | Carlo Poliak | 332 | 0.15% | |
| Total votes | 228,488 | 100.0% | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Neil Scott, accountant[6]
Independent American primary
Candidates
Declared
- Barry Rubinson, nominee for Nevada's 4th congressional district in 2020[6]
Independents
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[75] | Tossup | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[76] | Tossup | February 24, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[77] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[78] | Tossup | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[79] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
| Fox News[80] | Tossup | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[81] | Tossup | August 22, 2022 |
| 538[82] | Tossup | September 22, 2022 |
| The Economist[83] | Lean R (flip) | November 6, 2022 |
Endorsements
Catherine Cortez Masto (D)
U.S. presidents
- Bill Clinton, 42nd president of the United States (1993–2001)[84]
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[85]
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
- Tammy Baldwin, U.S. senator from Wisconsin (2013–present)[87]
- Cory Booker, U.S. senator from New Jersey (2013–present)[87]
- Bob Casey Jr., U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (2007–2025)[87]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota (2007–present)[88]
- Chris Murphy, U.S. senator for Connecticut (2013–present)[87]
- Jon Ossoff, U.S. senator from Georgia (2021–present)[89]
- Jacky Rosen, U.S. senator from Nevada (2019–present)[87]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont (2007–present) (Independent)[90]
- Brian Schatz, U.S. senator from Hawaii (2012–present)[87]
- Debbie Stabenow, U.S. senator from Michigan (2001–2025)[87]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[91]
State legislators
- Pete Ernaut, state assemblyman (1993–1997) and advisor for governors Kenny Guinn and Brian Sandoval (Republican)[92]
Local officials
- Carl Erquiaga, former Churchill County commissioner (Republican)[93]
- Di An Putnam, mayor of Winnemucca, Nevada (Republican)[94]
- Nathan Robertson, mayor of Ely, Nevada (Republican)[95]
- Jason Soto, chief of police, Reno, Nevada (Republican)[96]
Individuals
- Cher, singer and actress[97]
- Jimmy Kimmel, talk show host[98]
- John Legend, singer[99]
- Martin Sheen, actor[99]
- Oprah Winfrey, businesswoman and talk show host[100]
Organizations
- AAPI Victory Fund[8]
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[9]
- EMILY's List[10]
- End Citizens United[11]
- Feminist Majority PAC[12]
- Human Rights Campaign[101]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[13]
- Jewish Dems[14]
- Latino Victory[15]
- League of Conservation Voters[16]
- Let America Vote[11]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[17]
- National Wildlife Federation[18]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[19]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[20]
- Population Connection Action Fund[21]
- Pro-Israel America[22]
- Sierra Club[23]
- Silver State Equality[102]
- Women's Political Committee[24]
Newspapers
Labor unions
- Culinary Workers Union[26]
- International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees local 720[27]
- National Education Association[103]
- Nevada AFL–CIO[28]
- Nevada Association of Public Safety Officers (NAPSO)[104]
- Nevada Law Enforcement Coalition (NLEC)[104]
- Operative Plasterers' and Cement Masons' International Association[29]
- United Auto Workers[30]
- United Mine Workers[105]
Adam Laxalt (R)
U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[46]
Executive branch officials
- Michael Flynn, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2017) and former director of the Defense Intelligence Agency (2012–2014) (Democratic)[44]
- Richard Grenell, special presidential envoy for Serbia and Kosovo Peace Negotiations (2019–2021), United States ambassador to Germany (2018–2020) and Acting Director of National Intelligence (2020)[106]
- Nikki Haley, United States ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) and governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[107]
- Morgan Ortagus, spokesperson for the United States Department of State (2019–2021)[108]
- Kash Patel, chief of staff to the United States Secretary of Defense (2020–2021)[109]
- Rick Perry, United States Secretary of Energy (2017–2019) and governor of Texas (2000–2015)[110]
- Mike Pompeo, 70th U.S. secretary of state (2018–2021)[45][111]
- Matt Schlapp, White House Director of Political Affairs (2003–2005)[112]
- Mercedes Schlapp, White House Director of Strategic Communications (2017–2019)[112]
- Matthew Whitaker, acting United States attorney general (2018–2019), Chief of Staff to the United States attorney general (2017–2018) and United States attorney for the Southern District of Iowa (2004–2009)[106]
U.S. senators
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. senator from Tennessee (2019–present)[47]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. senator from Arkansas (2015–present) and former U.S. representative for Arkansas's 4th congressional district (2013–2015)[48]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. senator from Texas (2013–present)[37]
- Josh Hawley, U.S. senator from Missouri (2019–present) and former Missouri attorney general (2017–2019)[113]
- Cindy Hyde-Smith, U.S. senator from Mississippi (2018–present)[108]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. senator from Kentucky (1985–present) and Senate minority leader (2021–2025)[50]
- Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida (2019–present) and former governor of Florida (2011–2019)[51]
U.S. representatives
- Mark Amodei, U.S. representative for Nevada's 2nd congressional district (2011–present)[114]
- Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. representative for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021) (Independent)[115]
Governors
- Ron DeSantis, governor of Florida (2019–present) and former U.S. representative for Florida's 6th congressional district (2013–2018)[52]
State officials
- Pam Bondi, attorney general of Florida (2011–2019)[108]
State legislators
- Bob Barengo, former speaker of the Nevada Assembly (1981–1982) and member of the Nevada Assembly from the 29th District (1972–1982) (Democratic)[116]
- John Ellison, member of the Nevada Assembly from the 33rd District (2011–2022) and speaker pro tempore of the Nevada Assembly (2014–2016)[117]
- Andy Matthews, member of the Nevada Assembly from the 37th District (2020–2022)[108]
- Jim Wheeler, member of the Nevada Assembly from the 39th District (2013–2022) and Minority Leader of the Nevada Assembly (2017–2019)[118]
Local officials
- Victoria Seaman, member of Las Vegas City Council from the 2nd ward (2019–2025) and member of the Nevada Assembly from the 34th district (2014–2016)[119]
Party officials
- Thomas O. Hicks Jr., co-chair of the Republican National Committee (2019–2023)[108]
- Ronna McDaniel, chair of the Republican National Committee (2017–2024)[120]
- Ralph Reed, chair of the Georgia Republican Party (2001–2003)
Individuals
- Mark Levin, radio host
- Chuck Norris, martial artist and actor[121]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of Donald Trump[122]
Organizations
- 60 Plus Association[53]
- American Conservative Union[53]
- Campaign for Working Families[123]
- Club for Growth[54]
- FreedomWorks for America[55]
- Gun Owners of America[53]
- Heritage Action[124]
- Huck PAC[125]
- Log Cabin Republicans[126]
- National Federation of Independent Business[127]
- National Republican Senatorial Committee[128]
- National Right to Life Committee[129]
- Political Victory Fund[56][58][57]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[59]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[60]
- Tea Party Express[130]
Labor unions
- Las Vegas Peace Officers Association[61]
- National Association of Police Organizations[62]
- National Border Patrol Council[131]
- Nevada Fraternal Order of Police[61]
- Public Safety Alliance of Nevada[61]
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Adam Laxalt (R) |
Undecided [f] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[132] | October 24 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 45.4% | 48.8% | 5.8% | Laxalt +3.4 |
| FiveThirtyEight[133] | October 5 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 45.9% | 47.3% | 6.8% | Laxalt +1.4 |
| 270towin[134] | October 27 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 45.0% | 48.8% | 6.2% | Laxalt +3.8 |
| Average | 45.4% | 48.3% | 6.3% | Laxalt +2.9 | ||
Graphical summary
View source data.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Adam Laxalt (R) |
None of These Candidates |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[135] | November 5–7, 2022 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 50% | – | 2%[g] | 2% |
| Research Co.[136] | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 47% | – | 2%[h] | 5% |
| Data for Progress (D)[137] | November 2–6, 2022 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 1% | 3%[i] | – |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[138][C] | November 4, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 50% | – | 2%[j] | 5% |
| KAConsulting (R)[139][D] | November 2–3, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | – | 1% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[140][C] | November 1–2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 43% | 46% | – | 5%[k] | 6% |
| Emerson College[141] | October 26–29, 2022 | 2,000 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 2%[l] | 3% |
| 46% | 51% | 1% | 3%[m] | – | ||||
| Suffolk University[142] | October 24–28, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 3% | 4%[n] | 5% |
| OH Predictive Insights[143] | October 24–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 41% | 1% | 5%[o] | 10% |
| Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[144][E] | October 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 48% | <1% | 4%[p] | 5% |
| Echelon Insights[145] | October 24–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | – | 2%[q] | 8% |
| 46% | 48% | – | – | 6% | ||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[146] | October 21–24, 2022 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 50% | – | 3%[r] | 2% |
| Siena Research/NYT[147] | October 19–24, 2022 | 885 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 47% | – | 2%[s] | 4% |
| Phillips Academy[148] | October 22–23, 2022 | 1,052 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | – | – | 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[149][C] | October 20, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 48% | – | 2%[t] | 4% |
| CBS News/YouGov[150] | October 14–19, 2022 | 1,057 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 49% | – | 3%[u] | – |
| Data for Progress (D)[151] | October 13–19, 2022 | 819 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 2%[v] | 1% |
| BSP Research/Shaw & Co.[152][F] | October 12–19, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 42% | – | 5%[w] | 10% |
| University of Nevada, Reno[153] | October 5–19, 2022 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 39% | – | 3%[x] | 5% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[154][B] | October 16–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | – | 6%[y] | – |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[155] | October 13–17, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 48% | – | 4%[z] | 5% |
| Suffolk University[156] | October 4–7, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 44% | 3% | 3%[aa] | 5% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[154][B] | October 2–4, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 42% | – | 4%[ab] | 10% |
| CNN/SSRS[157] | September 26 – October 2, 2022 | 926 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 44% | 2% | 3%[ac] | 1% |
| 828 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 48% | 2% | 3%[ad] | – | ||
| OH Predictive Insights[158] | September 20–29, 2022 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 45% | 3% | 2%[ae] | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[159][C] | September 20, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 46% | – | 2%[af] | 9% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[160] | September 18–20, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 46% | – | – | – |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[161] | September 17–20, 2022 | 1,086 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 47% | – | 5%[ag] | 5% |
| Data for Progress (D)[162] | September 14–19, 2022 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | – | 6%[ah] | 2% |
| Emerson College[163] | September 8–10, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 42% | – | 4% | 11% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[164] | August 16–24, 2022 | 1,332 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 40% | 3% | 4%[ai] | 9% |
| 48% | 47% | – | – | 6% | ||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[165] | August 15–18, 2022 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 47% | – | 4%[aj] | 6% |
| Suffolk University[166] | August 14–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 38% | 3% | 3%[ak] | 12% |
| Beacon Research (D)[167][G] | July 5–20, 2022 | 479 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 39% | – | 1% | 7% |
| 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 51% | 45% | – | 1% | 2% | ||
| Emerson College[168] | July 7–10, 2022 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 44% | 41% | – | 6% | 9% |
| Change Research (D)[169][H] | June 24–27, 2022 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | – | – | 12% |
| University of Nevada, Reno[170] | May 17–27, 2022 | 1,098 (A) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 27% | – | 11% | 14% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[171][I] | April 18–20, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 7% |
| OH Predictive Insights[172] | April 1–9, 2022 | 748 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 35% | – | – | 22% |
| Suffolk University[173] | April 2–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 43% | 3% | – | 14% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[174] | March 21–24, 2022 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 47% | – | – | 13% |
| Change Research (D)[169][H] | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | – | – | 10% |
| OH Predictive Insights[71] | January 19–26, 2022 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 35% | – | – | 21% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[175] | November 24–29, 2021 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | – | – | 15% |
| NRSC (R)[176][J] | November 14–17, 2021 | 571 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 12% |
| The Mellman Group (D)[177] | September 15–22, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 41% | 3% | – | 10% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[178][A] | September 11–15, 2021 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 39% | 12% | – | 12% |
| VCreek/AMG (R)[179][K] | August 9–14, 2021 | 567 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 32% | 42% | – | – | 26% |
Hypothetical polling
Catherine Cortez Masto vs. Sam Brown
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Sam Brown (R) |
None of These Candidates |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Nevada, Reno[170] | May 17–27, 2022 | 1,098 (A) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 24% | – | 13% | 16% |
| OH Predictive Insights[180] | April 1–9, 2022 | 748 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 34% | – | – | 24% |
| Suffolk University[173] | April 2–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 40% | 5% | – | 17% |
Results
Cortez Masto won urban Clark County and Washoe County, home to Las Vegas and Reno respectively. Combined, these two counties contain more than 80% of the state's total population. While her margin in Clark County fell from 11% in 2016 to 8% in this election, she flipped Washoe County, which she lost by less than 1% in 2016, with a 4% margin of victory. Laxalt won by landslide margins in Nevada's rural counties, but they are lightly populated and cast less than 16% of the total vote. In the end, Cortez Masto's victories in the state's two largest counties gave her too large a lead for Laxalt to overcome in rural Nevada. As of 2025, no Republican has won any U.S. Senate race in Nevada since 2012.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Catherine Cortez Masto (incumbent) | 498,316 | 48.81% | +1.71% | |
| Republican | Adam Laxalt | 490,388 | 48.04% | +3.37% | |
| None of These Candidates | 12,441 | 1.22% | -2.59% | ||
| Independent | Barry Lindemann | 8,075 | 0.79% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Neil Scott | 6,422 | 0.63% | N/A | |
| Independent American | Barry Rubinson | 5,208 | 0.51% | −1.04% | |
| Total votes | 1,020,850 | 100.00% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
| County[181] | Catherine Cortez Masto Democratic |
Adam Laxalt Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Carson City | 10,337 | 43.63 | 12,451 | 52.55 | 906 | 3.82 | -2,114 | -8.92 | 23,694 |
| Churchill | 2,423 | 24.52 | 7,032 | 71.17 | 425 | 4.30 | -4,609 | -46.65 | 9,880 |
| Clark | 357,275 | 52.40 | 304,133 | 44.61 | 20,390 | 2.99 | 53,142 | 7.79 | 681,798 |
| Douglas | 9,466 | 32.45 | 18,890 | 64.76 | 813 | 2.79 | -9,424 | -32.31 | 29,169 |
| Elko | 3,286 | 20.30 | 12,180 | 75.23 | 725 | 4.48 | -8,894 | -54.93 | 16,191 |
| Esmeralda | 68 | 14.98 | 344 | 75.77 | 42 | 9.25 | -276 | -60.79 | 454 |
| Eureka | 73 | 9.35 | 671 | 85.92 | 37 | 4.74 | -598 | -76.57 | 781 |
| Humboldt | 1,358 | 22.22 | 4,456 | 72.91 | 298 | 4.88 | -3,098 | -50.69 | 6,112 |
| Lander | 387 | 17.50 | 1,673 | 75.63 | 152 | 6.87 | -1,286 | -58.14 | 2,212 |
| Lincoln | 321 | 14.88 | 1,727 | 80.06 | 109 | 5.05 | -1,406 | -65.18 | 2,157 |
| Lyon | 6,244 | 26.44 | 16,293 | 68.99 | 1,079 | 4.57 | -10,049 | -42.55 | 23,616 |
| Mineral | 660 | 34.85 | 1,124 | 59.35 | 110 | 5.81 | -464 | -24.50 | 1,894 |
| Nye | 5,957 | 28.61 | 13,833 | 66.43 | 1,033 | 4.96 | -7,876 | -37.82 | 20,823 |
| Pershing | 419 | 23.58 | 1,272 | 71.58 | 86 | 4.84 | -853 | -48.00 | 1,777 |
| Storey | 721 | 28.15 | 1,728 | 67.47 | 112 | 4.37 | -1,007 | -39.32 | 2,561 |
| Washoe | 98,617 | 50.76 | 90,002 | 46.33 | 5,661 | 2.91 | 8,615 | 4.43 | 194,280 |
| White Pine | 704 | 20.40 | 2,579 | 74.73 | 168 | 4.87 | -1,875 | -54.33 | 3,451 |
| Totals | 498,316 | 48.81 | 490,388 | 48.04 | 32,146 | 3.15 | 7,928 | 0.78 | 1,020,850 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Cortez Masto won three of four congressional districts.[182]
| District | Cortez Masto | Laxalt | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 52% | 45% | Dina Titus |
| 2nd | 43% | 54% | Mark Amodei |
| 3rd | 52% | 46% | Susie Lee |
| 4th | 51% | 46% | Steven Horsford |
See also
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Conrad, Perkins, and Rodriguez with 1%
- Conrad and Rodriguez with 1%; Perkins and Poliak with 0%
- Conrad, Perkins, Pollak, and Rodriguez with 1%
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Scott (L) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- "Some other candidate/None of them" with 2%
- Scott (L) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- "Another candidate" with 2%
- "Third-party candidate" with 5%
- Lindemann (I) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with <1%
- Lindemann (I) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with 1%
- Scott (L) with 2%; Lindemann (I) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with 1%
- Lindemann (I) with 2%; Rubinson (IA) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
- Rubinson (IA) with 2%; Scott (L) with 1%; "Refuse" with 1%
- Lindemann (I) with 1%; Scott (I) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with <1%
- Scott (L) with 3%
- Rubinson (IA) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%; Lindemann (I) with <1%
- "Another candidate" with 2%
- "Someone else" with 3%
- Scott (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 5%
- "Some other candidate" with 3%
- Scott (L) with 4%; Rubinson (IA) with 2%
- "Some other candidate" with 4%
- Lindemann (I) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%
- Rubinson (IA) and Scott (L) with 2%
- "Other" with 3%
- "Other" with 3%
- Robinson (IA) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- Scott (L) with 2%; "Other" with 3%
- Scott (L) with 4%; "Another candidate" with 2%
- Rubinson with 2%; Lindemann and Scott with 1%
- Scott with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- Scott with 2%; Rubinson with 1%; Lindemann with 0%
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Laxalt's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action, which supports Laxalt
- Poll conducted for American Greatness, a conservative news and opinions site.
- Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
- Poll conducted for BUSR, an online gambling website.
- This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project
- This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America's Future Majority Fund
- This poll was sponsored by Battle Born Values PAC
- This poll was sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
- Poll sponsored by Americas PAC