2022 Nevada gubernatorial election

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The 2022 Nevada gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Nevada. Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Sisolak ran for re-election to a second term, but lost in the general election to Republican Joe Lombardo, the Clark County Sheriff. This was the first time since 1966 that an incumbent Democratic governor lost reelection in Nevada, and the first since 1982 that any incumbent Governor of Nevada lost reelection.[a]

Quick facts Turnout, Nominee ...
2022 Nevada gubernatorial election

 2018
November 8, 2022
2026 
Turnout54.58% Decrease
 
Nominee Joe Lombardo Steve Sisolak
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 497,377 481,991
Percentage 48.81% 47.30%

Lombardo:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Sisolak:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes

Governor before election

Steve Sisolak
Democratic

Elected Governor

Joe Lombardo
Republican

Close

Sisolak was the first Democrat to seek re-election to Nevada's governorship since Bob Miller in 1994, and was subsequently the only incumbent governor in the United States to lose re-election in 2022. Decision Desk HQ called the race for Lombardo on November 11.[1]

Significantly, Lombardo's win marked the first time in the state's history that anyone had won the governorship without winning either Clark or Washoe counties, home to a combined 89% of the state's population. This was largely due to Lombardo's stronger performance in Clark, his home county; Sisolak's previous opponent, Adam Laxalt, lost the county by 13.3% there, while Lombardo only lost by 5.7%, a significant gain.

Political analysts have attributed Sisolak's defeat to his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic;[2] lockdowns during the pandemic proved unpopular in Nevada, which has a tourism-driven economy and a reputation for libertarian political leanings.[3]

Amid a slate of failed gubernatorial pickup attempts, this was the only governorship Republicans flipped in the 2022 elections, as well as the only state governorship to flip to the party that did not carry that state in the 2020 presidential election. This was also the first time since Pat Quinn's defeat in the 2014 Illinois gubernatorial election that an incumbent Democratic governor lost re-election in any state.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Results by county:
  Sisolak
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[12][13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Sisolak (incumbent) 157,283 89.53%
Democratic Tom Collins 12,051 6.86%
None of These Candidates 6,340 3.61%
Total votes 175,674 100.0%
Close

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Attorney Joey Gilbert placed second in the primary.
Former senator Dean Heller placed third in the primary.

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2022 Nevada gubernatorial Republican primary election debates[i]
No. Date Organizer Location Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Source
Michele Fiore Joey Gilbert Tom Heck Dean Heller John Lee Joe Lombardo Guy Nohra Fred Simon Barak Zilberberg
1 January 6, 2022 Nevada Commonwealth & Sierra Republican Club Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, Reno P P P P P A P P P [31]
2 February 8, 2022 Clark County Republican Club Dragon Ridge Country Club, Henderson P P N P P A P P N [32]
3 April 20, 2022 Republican Women of Las Vegas Las Vegas W P N P P A P P N [33]
4 May 26, 2022 8 News Now Las Vegas W P N P P P P N N [34]
Close
  1. Minor candidates who didn't participate in any of the debates are omitted.

Endorsements

Joey Gilbert

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Dean Heller

Organizations

  • Nevada Police Union[37]
Joe Lombardo

Executive branch officials

State officials

William "Dock" Walls

Newspapers

Polling

Graphical summary

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joey
Gilbert
Dean
Heller
John
Lee
Joe
Lombardo
Guy
Nohra
Fred
Simon
Other
[b]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[40] April 25 – June 7, 2022 June 10, 2022 18.3% 14.7% 11.5% 33.0% 7.5% 3.5% 11.5% Lombardo +14.7
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Michele
Fiore
Joey
Gilbert
Dean
Heller
John
Lee
Joe
Lombardo
Guy
Nohra
Fred
Simon
None of These
Candidates
Other Undecided
OH Predictive Insights[41] June 6–7, 2022 525 (LV) ± 4.4% 21% 10% 10% 34% 6% 4% 3% 4%[d] 7%
University of Nevada Reno[42] May 17–27, 2022 368 (LV) ± 5.9% 12% 14% 9% 47% 2% 3% 13%[e]
OH Predictive Insights[43] May 10–12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 15% 11% 9% 35% 3% 3% 4% 5%[f] 14%
Emerson College[44] April 30 – May 2, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 14% 11% 10% 33% 4% 2% 3%[g] 25%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[45] April 25–28, 2022 1,071 (LV) ± 3.0% 18% 18% 13% 26% 9% 3% 7% 6%
March 17, 2022 Fiore withdraws from the race
WPA Intelligence (R)[46][A] March 13–15, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 9% 22% 13% 28% 1% 2% 17%
Public Policy Polling (D)[47][B] March 7–8, 2022 580 (LV) ± 4.1% 8% 12% 13% 13% 26% 1% 27%
OH Predictive Insights[48] January 19–26, 2022 230 (RV) ± 6.5% 8% 7% 9% 5% 28% 1% 2% 1%[h] 36%
The Tarrance Group (R)[49][C] November 7–9, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 8% 7% 19% 5% 37% 0% 3% 1%[i] 37%
The Mellman Group (D)[50] September 15–22, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 11% 31% 3% 23% 0% 1% 3% 0%[j] 27%
The Tarrance Group (R)[49][C] July 2021 – (LV) 7% 27% 13% 22% 1% 28%
Close

Results

Results by county:
  Lombardo
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Gilbert
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[12][13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Lombardo 87,761 38.40%
Republican Joey Gilbert 61,738 27.01%
Republican Dean Heller 32,087 14.04%
Republican John Lee 17,846 7.81%
Republican Guy Nohra 8,348 3.65%
Republican Fred J. Simon 6,856 3.00%
Republican Thomas Heck 4,315 1.89%
None of These Candidates 4,219 1.85%
Republican Eddie Hamilton 1,293 0.57%
Republican Amber Whitley 1,238 0.54%
Republican William Walls 833 0.36%
Republican Gary Evertsen 558 0.24%
Republican Seven Achilles Evans 475 0.21%
Republican Edward O'Brien 422 0.18%
Republican Barak Zilberberg 352 0.15%
Republican Stanleigh Lusak 229 0.10%
Total votes 228,570 100.0%
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Brandon Davis, advertising agency owner[12]

Independent American primary

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Bradley Beck, geologist[12]
  • Austin Billings, logistics professional[12]
  • Monique Richardson, pastor[12]

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[52] Tossup March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[53] Tossup September 23, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[54] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
Politico[55] Tossup April 1, 2022
RCP[56] Tossup January 10, 2022
Fox News[57] Tossup May 12, 2022
538[58] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
Elections Daily[59] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
Close

Post-primary endorsements

Steve Sisolak (D)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

Organizations

Labor unions

Joe Lombardo (R)

Governors

Individuals

Newspapers

Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Steve
Sisolak (D)
Joe
Lombardo (R)
Undecided
[k]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[78] September 26 – November 6, 2022 November 6, 2022 44.3% 46.9% 8.8% Lombardo +2.6
FiveThirtyEight[79] September 15, 2021 – November 6, 2022 November 6, 2022 44.9% 46.6% 8.5% Lombardo +1.7
Average 44.6% 46.8% 8.6% Lombardo +2.2
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Steve
Sisolak (D)
Joe
Lombardo (R)
None of These
Candidates
Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[80] November 5–7, 2022 1,089 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 49% 3%[l] 2%
Research Co.[81] November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 45% 47% 3%[m] 5%
Data for Progress (D)[82] November 2–6, 2022 1,100 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 2% 5%[n]
InsiderAdvantage (R)[83][D] November 4, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 49% 4%[o] 4%
KAConsulting (R)[84][E] November 2–3, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 45% 2% 10%
Cygnal (R)[85][D] November 1–2, 2022 600 (LV) 42% 47% 5%
Emerson College[86] October 26–29, 2022 2,000 (LV) ± 2.1% 45% 49% 3%
46% 50%
Suffolk University[87] October 24–28, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 43% 4% 5%[p] 6%
OH Predictive Insights[88] October 24–27, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 41% 1% 4%[q] 9%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[89][F] October 24–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 45% 1% 3%[r] 7%
Echelon Insights[90] October 24–26, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 45% 4%[s] 7%
45% 48% 6%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[91] October 21–24, 2022 1,100 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 51% 3%[t] 2%
Siena Research/NYT[92] October 19–24, 2022 885 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 49% <1%[u] 5%
Phillips Academy[93] October 22–23, 2022 1,052 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 45% 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[94][D] October 20, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 49% 4%[v] 5%
CBS News/YouGov[95] October 14–19, 2022 1,057 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 48% 4%[w]
Data for Progress (D)[96] October 13–19, 2022 819 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 48% 3%[x] 2%
BSP Research/Shaw & Co.[97][G] October 12–19, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 41% 6%[y] 10%
University of Nevada, Reno[98] October 5–19, 2022 585 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 45% 4%[z] 5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[99] October 13–17, 2022 707 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 47% 7%[aa] 4%
Suffolk University[100] October 4–7, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 44% 2% 4%[ab] 7%
CNN/SSRS[101] September 26 – October 2, 2022 926 (RV) ± 4.7% 46% 46% 5% 2%[ac]
828 (LV) ± 5.0% 46% 48% 4% 2%[ad]
OH Predictive Insights[102] September 20–29, 2022 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% 45% 5% 3%[ae] 5%
Big Data Poll[103] September 18–20, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 42% 5% 13%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[104] September 17–20, 2022 1,086 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 48% 5%[af] 3%
Data for Progress (D)[105] September 14–19, 2022 874 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% 7%[ag] 3%
Emerson College[106] September 8–10, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 40% 4% 12%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[107] August 16–24, 2022 1,332 (LV) ± 4.4% 41% 38% 3% 7%[ah] 10%
46% 48% 6%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[108] August 15–18, 2022 1,082 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 46% 4%[ai] 6%
Suffolk University[109] August 14–17, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 40% 2% 5%[aj] 10%
Beacon Research (D)[110][H] July 5–20, 2022 479 (RV) ± 4.5% 49% 39% 1% 6%
301 (LV) ± 5.6% 48% 46% 2% 3%
Emerson College[111] July 7–10, 2022 2,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 44% 40% 9% 7%
The Tarrance Group (R)[112][I] July 5–10, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 46% 44% 5% 5%
Change Research (D)[113][J] June 24–27, 2022 701 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 43% 11%
WPA Intelligence (R)[114][A] June 4–6, 2022 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 48% 5%
University of Nevada, Reno[115] May 17–27, 2022 1,091 (A) ± 3.4% 43% 31% 11% 16%
OH Predictive Insights[116] April 1–9, 2022 748 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 35% 21%
Suffolk University[117] April 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 39% 6% 18%
Blueprint Polling (D)[118] March 21–24, 2022 671 (LV) ± 3.8% 40% 43% 17%
OH Predictive Insights[48] January 19–26, 2022 755 (RV) ± 3.6% 52% 48%
Impact Research (D)[119] December 1–7, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 45% 8%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[120] November 16–18, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 51% 8%
The Mellman Group (D)[50] September 15–22, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% 3% 8%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Steve Sisolak vs. Joey Gilbert

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Steve
Sisolak (D)
Joey
Gilbert (R)
None of These
Candidates
Other Undecided
University of Nevada, Reno[115] May 17–27, 2022 1,090 (A) ± 3.4% 43% 17% 20% 19%
OH Predictive Insights[116] April 1–9, 2022 748 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 31% 24%
Suffolk University[117] April 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 39% 35% 4% 21%
Close

Steve Sisolak vs. Dean Heller

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Steve
Sisolak (D)
Dean
Heller (R)
None of These
Candidates
Other Undecided
University of Nevada, Reno[115] May 17–27, 2022 1,094 (A) ± 3.4% 44% 21% 16% 18%
OH Predictive Insights[116] April 1–9, 2022 748 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 33% 21%
Suffolk University[117] April 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 39% 39% 7% 15%
OH Predictive Insights[48] January 19–26, 2022 755 (RV) ± 3.6% 54% 46%
Impact Research (D)[119] December 1–7, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 44% 8%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[121] November 24–29, 2021 1,034 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 47% 13%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[120] November 16–18, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 49% 8%
The Mellman Group (D)[50] September 15–22, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 43% 3% 8%
Close

Steve Sisolak vs. John Lee

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Steve
Sisolak (D)
John
Lee (R)
None of These
Candidates
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights[116] April 1–9, 2022 748 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 33% 21%
Suffolk University[117] April 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 40% 5% 18%
Close

Steve Sisolak vs. Guy Nohra

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Steve
Sisolak (D)
Guy
Nohra (R)
None of These
Candidates
Undecided
Suffolk University[117] April 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 41% 29% 7% 23%
Close

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2022, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2022
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Joe Lombardo (R) $3,962,985 $4,849,360 $1,765,137
Steve Sisolak (D) $6,528,859 $13,525,957 $1,216,990
Source: Nevada Secretary of State[122]
Close

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2022 Nevada gubernatorial general election debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:

 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn

Steve Sisolak Joe Lombardo
1 October 2, 2022 KSNV [123] P P
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 Nevada gubernatorial election[124]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Joe Lombardo 497,377 48.81% +3.50%
Democratic Steve Sisolak (incumbent) 481,991 47.30% −2.09%
Libertarian Brandon Davis 14,919 1.46% +0.57%
None of These Candidates 14,866 1.46% -0.48%
Independent American Ed Bridges 9,918 0.97% −0.07%
Total votes 1,019,071 100.00%
Turnout 1,023,617 54.58%
Registered electors 1,875,578
Republican gain from Democratic
Close

By county

More information By county, County ...
Close

By congressional district

Despite losing re-election, Sisolak won three of the state's four congressional districts.[125]

More information District, Sisolak ...
District Sisolak Lombardo Representative
1st 51% 46% Dina Titus
2nd 41% 55% Mark Amodei
3rd 50% 47% Susie Lee
4th 49% 46% Steven Horsford
Close

See also

Notes

  1. In the 2010 gubernatorial election, Republican incumbent Governor Jim Gibbonslost renomination in the Republican primary to Brian Sandoval, who won the election.
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. Heck with 2%; Hamilton and Walls with 1%; Evans, Eversten, Lusak, O'Brien, and Zilberberg with 0%
  5. Evertsen, Heck, Lusak, O'Brien, and Wells with 2%; Hamilton, Whitley, and Zilberberg with 1%; Evans with <1%
  6. Sisolak (erroneously included by pollster due to an oversight) with 3%; Heck and Lusak with 1%; Evans, Evertsen, Hamilton, O'Brien, Walls, and Zilberberg with 0%
  7. Hamilton and Zilberberg with 1%; Evans, Evertsen, Heck, Lusak, Walls, and Whitley with 0%
  8. Heck with 1%; Zilberberg with 0%
  9. Hamilton with 1%
  10. Hamilton with 0%
  11. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. Davis (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  13. "Some other candidate/None of them" with 2%
  14. Davis (L) with 3%; Bridges (IA) with 1%
  15. Davis (L) with 4%
  16. Bridges (IA) with 3%; Davis (L) with 2%
  17. Bridges (IA) with 3%; Davis (L) with 1%
  18. Bridges (IA) with 1%; Davis (L) with 1%; Refuse" with 1%
  19. Bridges (IA) with 2%; Davis (L) with 2%
  20. Davis (L) with 3%
  21. Bridges (IA) with <1%; Davis (L) with <1%
  22. Davis (L) with 4%
  23. "Someone else" with 4%
  24. Bridges (IA) with 2%; Davis (L) with 1%
  25. "Someone else" with 6%
  26. "Some other candidate" with 4%
  27. "Some other candidate" with 7%
  28. Bridges (IA) with 3%; Davis (L) with 1%
  29. "Other" with 2%
  30. "Other" with 2%
  31. Davis (L) with 2%; Bridges (IA) with 1%
  32. Davis (L) with 3%; "Other" with 2%
  33. Davis (L) with 4%; Bridges (IA) with 3%
  34. Bridges with 4%; Davis with 3%
  35. Davis with 4%; "Other" with 1%
  36. Bridges with 3%; Davis with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action, which supports Laxalt.
  2. Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  3. Poll sponsored by Better Nevada, which supports Lombardo
  4. Poll conducted for American Greatness, a conservative news and opinions site.
  5. Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
  6. Poll conducted for BUSR, an online gambling website.
  7. Poll conducted for Univision.
  8. This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project.
  9. This poll was sponsored by Lombardo's campaign.
  10. This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America's Future Majority Fund.

References

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