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2022 United States Senate election in New York

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The 2022 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York.

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2022 United States Senate election in New York
← 2016
November 8, 2022
2028 →
 
Nominee Chuck Schumer Joe Pinion
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Popular vote 3,320,561 2,501,151
Percentage 56.74% 42.73%
Schumer:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Pinion:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes
U.S. senator before election

Chuck Schumer
Democratic

 Elected U.S. senator

Chuck Schumer
Democratic

Close

Incumbent four-term Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer, who had served as Senate Majority Leader since 2021, was first elected in 1998, defeating Republican incumbent Al D'Amato. Schumer ran for a fifth term. Republican Joe Pinion is the first black Senate nominee of any major party in New York history. The filing deadline for the June primary was April 7, 2022.[1] Schumer became the longest-serving U.S. senator in the state's history once his fifth term began in the 118th Congress.[2]

Though Schumer was comfortably re-elected by a margin of 14.01%, he lost significant support on Long Island and Upstate New York compared to his last election in 2016. Pinion flipped the more conservative counties that Schumer had won in his previous runs, as well as some Democratic-leaning counties such as Nassau, Saratoga, Broome, Clinton, and Essex. However, Schumer's lead was large enough in New York City that most media outlets called the race in his favor the moment the polls closed.[3]

Despite Democrats overperforming expectations on a national level during this cycle, this race was the most competitive in Schumer's Senate career since his first election in 1998, when he won by 10.5%, along with being the closest U.S. Senate election from New York since Hillary Clinton won by about 12.3 percentage points in 2000. This was due to an overall Democratic underperformance in New York state despite their overperformance nationally, and Schumer's performance was still the highest margin of victory (aside from Thomas DiNapoli in the concurrent comptroller election) on the statewide ballot.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

  • Moses Mugulusi, regulator[5]
  • Khaled Salem, activist[6]

Declined

Endorsements

Chuck Schumer
Statewide officials
Organizations

Polling

Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Chuck
Schumer		 Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[23] May 7–9, 2020 328 (LV) ± 5.4% 54% 21% 25%
Close

Republican primary

At the 2022 New York State Republican Convention, Joe Pinion was designated as the New York State Republican Party's preferred candidate for U.S. Senate. Pinion became the first Black individual to be backed by a major party in a U.S. Senate election in New York.[24]

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

Declined

Endorsements

Joe Pinion
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Conservative primary

Candidates

Nominee

Working Families primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. senator[34]

Other candidates

Diane Sare ran on an Independent ballot line labeled "LaRouche."[35][36]

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Solid D November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[38] Solid D January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Safe D November 3, 2021
Politico[40] Solid D April 1, 2022
RCP[41] Likely D October 18, 2022
Fox News[42] Solid D May 12, 2022
DDHQ[43] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[44] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[45] Solid D September 7, 2022
Close

Endorsements

Chuck Schumer (D)
Federal officials
Statewide officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Joe Pinion (R)
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Chuck
Schumer (D)		 Joe
Pinion (R)		 Undecided
[b]		 Margin
Real Clear Politics[55] October 26–31, 2022 November 8, 2022 54.7% 39.3% 6.0% Schumer +15.4
FiveThirtyEight[56] October 12 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 55.7% 38.0% 6.3% Schumer +17.7
270towin[57] October 26 – November 7, 2022 November 8, 2022 54.6% 38.6% 6.8% Schumer +16.0
Average 55.0% 38.6% 6.4% Schumer +16.4
Close

Graphical summary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Chuck
Schumer (D)		 Joe
Pinion (R)		 Other Undecided
Research Co.[58] November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 55% 37% 2%[c] 6%
ActiVote (D)[59] August 8 – November 6, 2022 279 (LV) ± 6.0% 60% 40% – –
Emerson College[60] October 28–31, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 55% 36% 3%[d] 6%
57% 39% 4%[e] –
The Trafalgar Group (R)[61] October 27–31, 2022 1,198 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 40% 5%[f] 4%
KAConsulting (R)[62][A] October 27–29, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 38% – 7%
Data for Progress (D)[63] October 26–28, 2022 818 (LV) ± 3.0% 56% 39% – 5%
Long Island University[64] October 24–26, 2022 1,001 (A) ± 3.0% 54% 27% 9%[g] 10%
Civiqs[65] October 22–25, 2022 593 (LV) ± 5.0% 56% 41% 1%[h] 2%
Emerson College[60] October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 36% 6%[i] 8%
53% 40% 8%[j] –
SurveyUSA[66] October 14–18, 2022 702 (LV) ± 5.4% 52% 38% 4% 6%
Quinnipiac University[67] October 12–16, 2022 1,617 (LV) ± 2.4% 54% 42% 1%[k] 3%
Siena College[68] October 12–14, 2022 707 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 37% 1%[l] 5%
Marist College[69] October 3–6, 2022 900 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 39% 1%[m] 8%
1,117 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 34% 1%[n] 11%
Siena College[70] September 16–25, 2022 655 (LV) ± 3.9% 55% 36% 1%[o] 8%
Emerson College[71] September 4–6, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 55% 31% 5%[p] 9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[72] August 7–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 36% – 13%
Emerson College[73] July 26–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 31% 7% 8%
Siena College[74] July 24–28, 2022 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 56% 35% 0% 8%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Chuck Schumer vs. generic opponent

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Chuck
Schumer (D)		 Generic
Opponent		 Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[72] August 7–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 48% 10%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 United States Senate election in New York[75]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Chuck Schumer 3,022,822 51.65% −13.03%
Working Families Chuck Schumer 297,739 5.09% +1.82%
Total Chuck Schumer (incumbent) 3,320,561 56.74% −13.86%
Republican Joe Pinion 2,204,499 37.66% +14.35%
Conservative Joe Pinion 296,652 5.07% +1.45%
Total Joe Pinion 2,501,151 42.73% +15.56%
LaRouche Diane Sare 26,844 0.46% N/A
Write ins Write ins 4,151 0.07%
Total votes 5,852,707 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold
Close

By county

More information County, Chuck Schumer Democratic ...
County[76] Chuck Schumer
Democratic		 Joe Pinion
Republican		 Various candidates
Other parties		 Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Albany 72,875 62.7% 42,719 36.8% 603 0.5% 30,156 25.9% 116,197
Allegany 4,306 27.5% 11,277 72.0% 84 0.5% -6,971 -44.5% 15,667
Bronx 158,433 80.6% 37,130 18.9% 1,004 0.5% 121,303 61.7% 196,567
Broome 32,587 48.1% 34,688 51.2% 478 0.7% -2,101 -3.1% 67,753
Cattaraugus 8,677 33.7% 16,938 65.8% 125 0.5% -8,261 -32.1% 25,740
Cayuga 11,527 43.0% 15,139 56.5% 132 0.5% -3,612 -13.5% 26,798
Chautauqua 16,782 38.8% 26,217 60.7% 203 0.4% -9,435 -21.9% 43,202
Chemung 10,500 38.1% 16,907 61.3% 162 0.6% -6,407 -23.2% 27,569
Chenango 5,778 34.6% 10,805 64.7% 128 0.8% -5,027 -30.1% 16,711
Clinton 13,341 48.9% 13,792 50.5% 170 0.6% -451 -1.6% 27,303
Columbia 16,812 56.9% 12,633 42.8% 98 0.4% 4,179 14.1% 29,543
Cortland 7,469 46.5% 8,485 52.8% 111 0.7% -1,016 -6.3% 16,065
Delaware 7,041 38.1% 11,316 61.3% 103 0.5% -4,275 -23.2% 18,460
Dutchess 57,306 50.1% 56,353 49.3% 617 0.5% 953 0.8% 114,276
Erie 188,979 55.6% 148,585 43.7% 2,156 0.7% 40,394 11.9% 339,720
Essex 7,514 49.2% 7,654 50.2% 91 0.6% -140 -1.0% 15,259
Franklin 6,885 45.8% 8,071 53.6% 90 0.6% -1,186 -7.8% 15,046
Fulton 6,121 33.2% 12,191 66.1% 121 0.6% -6,070 -32.9% 18,433
Genesee 7,056 31.9% 14,897 67.4% 135 0.6% -7,841 -35.5% 22,088
Greene 8,026 40.4% 11,711 59.0% 124 0.6% -19,861 -18.6% 19,861
Hamilton 969 34.3% 1,838 65.1% 16 0.6% -869 -30.8% 2,823
Herkimer 6,999 31.6% 15,042 67.9% 122 0.5% -8,043 -36.3% 22,163
Jefferson 11,618 36.9% 19,667 62.5% 158 0.5% -8,049 -25.6% 31,443
Kings 423,867 76.1% 129,692 23.3% 3,446 0.7% 294,175 52.8% 557,005
Lewis 3,001 28.8% 7,372 70.8% 37 0.3% -4,371 -42.0% 10,410
Livingston 9,029 37.4% 14,958 61.9% 171 0.7% -5,929 -24.5% 24,158
Madison 11,440 43.7% 14,573 55.6% 176 0.7% -3,133 -11.9% 26,189
Monroe 156,529 56.9% 117,075 42.5% 1,556 0.6% 39,454 14.4% 275,160
Montgomery 5,783 37.0% 9,764 62.5% 85 0.5% -3,981 -25.5% 15,632
Nassau 248,186 48.2% 265,004 51.5% 1,468 0.2% -16,818 -3.3% 514,658
New York 383,518 84.9% 65,366 14.5% 2,710 0.6% 318,152 70.4% 451,594
Niagara 31,950 42.3% 43,261 57.2% 400 0.5% -11,311 -14.9% 75,611
Oneida 29,494 39.4% 44,899 60.0% 430 0.5% -15,405 -20.6% 74,823
Onondaga 99,205 58.5% 69,374 40.9% 986 0.6% 29,831 17.6% 169,565
Ontario 21,626 47.0% 24,104 52.4% 253 0.5% -2,478 -5.4% 45,983
Orange 58,364 47.7% 63,292 51.8% 604 0.5% -4,928 -4.1% 122,260
Orleans 3,788 28.1% 9,609 71.3% 75 0.5% -5,821 -43.2% 13,472
Oswego 14,909 37.3% 24,802 62.1% 157 0.8% -9,893 -24.8% 39,968
Otsego 9,623 44.1% 12,042 55.2% 161 0.8% -2,419 -11.1% 21,826
Putnam 17,019 41.5% 23,863 58.1% 168 0.4% -6,844 -16.6% 41,050
Queens 291,905 67.5% 137,805 31.9% 2,878 0.7% 154,100 35.6% 432,588
Rensselaer 30,809 49.8% 30,662 49.5% 436 0.7% 147 0.3% 61,907
Richmond 50,985 36.5% 88,015 63.0% 664 0.5% -37,030 -26.5% 139,664
Rockland 52,298 50.3% 51,183 49.3% 412 0.4% 1,115 1.0% 103,893
St. Lawrence 14,351 42.3% 19,389 57.1% 212 0.6% -5,038 -14.8% 33,952
Saratoga 50,718 49.1% 52,030 50.4% 549 1.3% 1,312 1.3% 103,297
Schenectady 29,124 54.0% 24,440 45.3% 365 0.7% 4,684 8.7% 53,929
Schoharie 4,385 34.4% 8,254 64.8% 101 0.8% -3,869 -30.4% 12,740
Schuyler 2,883 37.5% 4,759 61.9% 46 0.6% -1,876 -24.4% 7,688
Seneca 5,035 43.8% 6,375 55.4% 92 0.8% -1,340 -11.6% 11,502
Steuben 10,616 31.0% 23,456 68.5% 188 0.5% -12,840 -37.5% 34,260
Suffolk 246,789 44.0% 311,254 55.6% 2,214 0.4% -64,465 -11.6% 560,257
Sullivan 10,800 44.4% 13,385 55.0% 160 0.6% -2,585 -10.6% 24,345
Tioga 6,743 35.8% 11,981 63.6% 123 0.7% -5,238 -27.8% 18,847
Tompkins 25,928 73.8% 8,956 25.5% 269 0.8% 16,972 48.3% 35,153
Ulster 45,660 58.9% 31,327 40.4% 516 0.7% 14,333 18.5% 77,503
Warren 12,263 47.5% 14,452 51.8% 183 0.6% -1,189 -4.3% 27,898
Washington 8,773 40.1% 12,987 59.3% 139 0.6% -4,214 -19.2% 21,899
Wayne 11,983 35.8% 21,320 63.7% 164 0.5% -9,337 -27.9% 33,467
Westchester 205,496 62.9% 119,891 36.7% 1,136 0.3% 85,605 26.2% 326,523
Wyoming 3,838 25.4% 11,191 74.0% 87 0.6% -7,353 -48.6% 15,116
Yates 3,247 39.5% 4,934 60.0% 47 0.6% -1,687 -20.5% 8,228
Totals3,320,56156.74%2,501,15142.73%30,9950.53%819,41014.01%5,852,707
Close

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Schumer won 19 of 26 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans.[77]

More information District, Schumer ...
District Schumer Pinion Representative
1st 45% 54% Lee Zeldin (117th Congress)
Nick LaLota (118th Congress)
2nd 42% 58% Andrew Garbarino
3rd 48% 52% Tom Suozzi (117th Congress)
George Santos (118th Congress)
4th 50% 49% Kathleen Rice (117th Congress)
Anthony D'Esposito (118th Congress)
5th 76% 23% Gregory Meeks
6th 60% 39% Grace Meng
7th 81% 18% Nydia Velázquez
8th 73% 27% Hakeem Jeffries
9th 74% 25% Yvette Clarke
10th 85% 15% Jerry Nadler (117th Congress)
Dan Goldman (118th Congress)
11th 40% 60% Nicole Malliotakis
12th 83% 16% Carolyn Maloney (117th Congress)
Jerry Nadler (118th Congress)
13th 89% 11% Adriano Espaillat
14th 74% 26% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15th 83% 17% Ritchie Torres
16th 66% 33% Jamaal Bowman
17th 52% 48% Mondaire Jones (117th Congress)
Mike Lawler (118th Congress)
18th 51% 48% Sean Patrick Maloney (117th Congress)
Pat Ryan (118th Congress)
19th 50% 49% Pat Ryan (117th Congress)
Marc Molinaro (118th Congress)
20th 56% 43% Paul Tonko
21st 41% 58% Elise Stefanik
22nd 52% 48% Claudia Tenney (117th Congress)
Brandon Williams (118th Congress)
23rd 39% 60% Joe Sempolinski (117th Congress)
Nick Langworthy (118th Congress)
24th 38% 61% John Katko (117th Congress)
Claudia Tenney (118th Congress)
25th 56% 43% Joseph Morelle
26th 60% 39% Brian Higgins
Close

See also

Notes

  1. [a]
    Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. [b]
    Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. [c]
    "Some other candidate" with 2%
  4. [d]
    Sare (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  5. [e]
    Sare (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
  6. [f]
    Sare (I) with 5%
  7. [g]
    "Not planning to vote" with 6%; "Another candidate" with 3%
  8. [h]
    "Someone else" with 1%
  9. [i]
    "Someone else" with 4%; Sare (I) with 2%
  10. [j]
    "Someone else" with 6%; Sare (I) with 2%
  11. [k]
    "Someone else" with 1%
  12. [l]
    "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 0%
  13. [m]
    "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  14. [n]
    "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  15. [o]
    "Another candidate" with 1%
  16. [p]
    "Someone else" with 5%

Partisan clients

  1. [A]
    Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.

References

External links

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