2023 Canarian regional election

Date

The term of the Parliament of the Canary Islands expired four years after the date of its previous election. Amendments in 2018 and 2022 abolished fixed-term elections, instead allowing the term of the Parliament to expire after an early dissolution. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Canaries (BOC), with election day taking place 54 days after the decree's publication.^[3] The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 26 May 2023. The election decree was required to be published in the BOC no later than 2 May 2023, setting the latest possible date for election day on 25 June 2023.

The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of the Canary Islands at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year after a previous one.^[4] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the Parliament's reconvening, the chamber was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.^[5]

The Parliament of the Canary Islands was officially dissolved on 4 April 2023 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOC, setting election day for 28 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 27 June.^[6]

Electoral system

Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Canary Islands and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence.^[7] Amendments in 2022 abolished the "begged" voting system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which non-resident citizens were required to apply for voting.^[8] The begged vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it was in force.^[9]

The Parliament of the Canary Islands had a minimum of 50 and a maximum of 75 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at 70. All were elected in eight multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the islands of El Hierro, Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria, La Gomera, La Palma, Lanzarote and Tenerife, as well as an additional constituency comprising the whole archipelago, each of which was assigned a fixed number of seats—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a 15 percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency or four percent regionally.^[10]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:^[11]

The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.^[12]

Outgoing parliament

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.^[13][14]

Debates

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 26 May 2019 to 28 May 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 36 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Canary Islands.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout														Lead
2023 regional election	28 May 2023	—N/a	52.0	27.2 23	22.1 19	19.3 15	7.9 5	[l]	0.4 0	7.9 4	[l]	0.7 3	1.9 0	0.2 1	3.9 0	3.2 0	5.1
Sigma Dos/RTVE–FORTA[p 1]	28 May 2023	1,300	?	31.1 23/25	21.8 18/19	19.6 15/16	8.0 3/4	[l]	–	6.7 2	[l]	0.8 3	–	? 1	? 2	–	9.3
NC Report/La Razón[p 2]	22 May 2023	?	?	28.3 24/25	20.1 16/17	23.2 18/19	7.8 4/5	[l]	–	3.7 0/2	[l]	0.8 3	–	[m]	8.1 3/4	–	5.1
KeyData/Público[p 3]	19 May 2023	?	58.2	30.0 25	20.3 17	21.6 17	7.5 3	[l]	1.0 0	5.4 1	[l]	0.7 3	–	? 1	7.3 3	1.9 0	8.4
Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora[p 4]	14–18 May 2023	2,000	?	28.4 24/25	19.2 15/17	22.8 17/18	9.5 5	[l]	0.7 0	4.6 0/1	[l]	0.7 3	2.9 0	0.2 1	6.6 2	1.8 0	5.6
Perfiles/La Provincia[p 5][p 6]	12–18 May 2023	2,400	50	24.0– 25.0 23/24	21.0– 22.0 20/22	17.0– 18.0 14/16	7.0– 8.0 4/5	[l]	–	5.0– 6.0 2/3	[l]	0.7 3	–	[m]	4.0– 5.0 1/2	3.0– 4.0 0	3.0
TSA/Canarias7[p 7]	1–18 May 2023	2,514	?	30.2 24/26	18.9 14/16	19.1 15/17	10.8 5/7	[l]	1.6 0	2.7 0	[l]	0.7 3	–	0.2 1	7.8 3	–	11.1
EM-Analytics/El Plural[p 8][p 9]	11–17 May 2023	600	?	28.8 24	20.1 15	21.5 18	8.0 5	[l]	1.3 0	4.3 1	[l]	0.7 3	2.7 0	0.3 1	7.7 3	2.8 0	7.3
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 10]	14 Apr–16 May 2023	8,604	?	28.6 24	19.7 15	21.5 18	7.9 5	[l]	1.3 0	4.3 1	[l]	0.7 3	2.9 0	0.3 1	7.6 3	3.1 0	7.1
Data10/Okdiario[p 11]	12–15 May 2023	1,500	?	27.9 24	21.7 17	22.9 17	7.9 5	[l]	1.9 0	4.9 1	[l]	0.7 3	–	0.3 1	7.1 2	–	5.0
EM-Analytics/El Plural[p 12][p 13]	4–10 May 2023	600	?	28.8 24	20.0 15	21.7 18	8.0 5	[l]	1.3 0	4.2 1	[l]	0.7 3	2.8 0	0.3 1	7.7 3	2.8 0	7.1
EM-Analytics/El Plural[p 14][p 15]	26 Apr–3 May 2023	600	?	28.9 24	19.9 15	21.5 18	8.0 5	[l]	1.3 0	4.2 1	[l]	0.7 3	2.9 0	0.3 1	7.7 3	2.8 0	7.4
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[p 16]	20–28 Apr 2023	828	?	27.5 24/26	18.9 15/16	19.0 14/15	9.0 4	[l]	0.5 0	5.6 2	[l]	0.7 3	2.0 0	0.2 1/2	9.6 4/5	3.2 0	8.5
CIS[p 17][p 18]	10–26 Apr 2023	818	?	33.0	15.7	20.0	5.9	[l]	1.2	5.8	[l]	–	–	–	9.8	3.0	13.0
EM-Analytics/El Plural[p 19][p 20]	19–25 Apr 2023	600	?	28.9 25	19.8 16	21.9 18	8.0 5	[l]	? 0	? 0	[l]	0.7 3	? 0	[m]	7.7 3	2.9 0	7.0
Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora[p 21]	5–23 Apr 2023	3,000	?	28.1 24/26	19.9 16/17	22.4 17/18	9.1 5	[l]	0.7 0	3.1 0	[l]	0.7 3	2.9 0	0.2 1	6.9 2	3.0 0	5.7
TSA/Canarias7[p 22][p 23]	3–19 Apr 2023	2,598	?	31.2 24/29	19.0 16/19	17.3 11/16	11.4 5/8	[l]	1.9 0	2.5 0	[l]	0.7 3	–	? 1	6.8 2/3	2.9 0	12.2
EM-Analytics/El Plural[p 24][p 25]	12–18 Apr 2023	600	?	29.2 24	19.7 16	21.6 18	8.2 5	[l]	1.3 0	4.4 1	[l]	0.6 3	3.7 0	[m]	7.9 3	2.1 0	7.6
GAD3/Tiempo de Canarias[p 26]	30 Mar–18 Apr 2023	2,009	?	33.2 26/27	17.8 15/16	20.2 16	7.1 2/3	[l]	0.3 0	7.1 3/4	[l]	0.5 3	2.0 0	0.3 1	5.5 2	1.0 0	13.0
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 27]	8 Mar–14 Apr 2023	7,813	?	28.8 25	19.2 16	20.5 17	8.5 5	[l]	1.4 0	4.8 1	[l]	0.6 3	3.8 0	[m]	8.3 3	2.4 0	8.3
Data10/Okdiario[p 28]	10–13 Apr 2023	1,500	?	26.7 22	22.9 20	23.3 17	7.8 5	[l]	1.7 0	4.1 0	[l]	0.7 3	–	[m]	7.5 3	–	3.4
EM-Analytics/El Plural[p 29][p 30]	5–11 Apr 2023	600	?	28.7 25	19.8 16	20.7 18	8.5 5	[l]	1.6 0	4.0 0	[l]	0.5 3	3.9 0	[m]	7.5 3	2.6 0	8.0
EM-Analytics/El Plural[p 31][p 32]	27 Mar–4 Apr 2023	600	?	29.8 24	20.7 18	21.5 17	8.2 5	[l]	1.5 0	4.4 0	[l]	0.6 3	–	[m]	7.9 3	3.0 0	8.3
22Grados/Tiempo de Canarias[p 33]	15–31 Mar 2023	2,690	?	32.4 27/30	21.3 17/19	17.6 13/15	6.5 3/4	[l]	2.1 0	7.0 0/2	[l]	0.8 3	–	0.2 0	6.9 2/3	–	11.1
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 34]	5 Feb–8 Mar 2023	6,880	?	29.9 24	20.6 18	20.4 17	8.5 5	[l]	1.7 0	4.8 0	[l]	0.7 3	–	[m]	8.4 3	2.8 0	9.3
NC Report/La Razón[p 35]	27 Feb–3 Mar 2023	?	49.5	27.2 23	22.5 18	24.9 18	7.5 4	[l]	–	–	[l]	0.8 3	–	[m]	8.4 4	–	2.3
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 36]	6 Jan–4 Feb 2023	6,065	?	32.0 25	20.5 17	17.7 15	8.1 5	[l]	1.8 0	5.4 1	[l]	0.9 3	–	[m]	8.8 4	2.0 0	11.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 37][p 38]	13–19 Jan 2023	910	?	33.8 26/27	19.2 16	23.8 18	4.7 1	[l]	1.6 0	6.7 2/3	[l]	0.7 3	–	[m]	7.0 2/3	–	10.0
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 39]	11 Dec–5 Jan 2023	5,375	?	32.6 27	20.9 19	17.5 12	8.1 3	[l]	1.8 0	5.5 2	[l]	0.8 3	–	[m]	9.1 4	–	11.7
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 40]	22 Nov–11 Dec 2022	4,474	?	32.7 26	21.1 19	16.8 12	8.2 4	[l]	1.7 0	5.5 2	[l]	0.8 3	–	[m]	9.5 4	–	11.6
CIS[n][p 41]	17 Nov–2 Dec 2022	502	?	40.9	11.8	18.8	3.5	[l]	0.9	4.6	[l]	0.3	–	[m]	10.3	–	22.1
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 42]	23 Oct–21 Nov 2022	3,661	?	32.7 27	20.8 19	17.1 12	8.0 3	[l]	1.7 0	5.6 2	[l]	0.8 3	–	[m]	9.6 4	–	11.9
Hamalgama Métrica/UNED[p 43]	10 Oct–4 Nov 2022	3,201	?	31.5 27/30	18.5 15/18	18.5 14/16	11.4 5/7	[l]	2.0 0	3.7 0	[l]	0.7 3	1.7 0	[m]	7.3 2	–	13.0
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 44]	11 Sep–22 Oct 2022	2,868	?	32.2 25	20.4 18	17.3 13	8.4 5	[l]	1.8 0	5.7 2	[l]	0.9 3	–	[m]	9.4 4	–	11.8
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 45]	10 Aug–10 Sep 2022	2,365	?	32.8 26	19.7 16	17.1 14	8.8 5	[l]	1.9 0	5.7 2	[l]	0.8 3	–	[m]	9.4 4	–	13.1
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 45]	19 Jul–10 Aug 2022	?	?	32.1 25	19.9 17	16.9 13	9.0 5	[l]	1.8 0	6.0 3	[l]	0.8 3	–	[m]	9.5 4	–	12.2
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 46]	16 Jun–19 Jul 2022	?	?	31.8 25	19.7 17	16.8 13	9.3 5	[l]	1.9 0	6.2 3	[l]	0.8 3	–	[m]	9.6 4	–	12.1
Hamalgama Métrica/UNED[p 47]	10–30 Jun 2022	3,185	?	34.5 27/33	16.8 13/19	17.2 10/16	11.5 5/6	[l]	2.4 0	4.3 0	[l]	0.7 3	1.9 0	[m]	6.5 2	–	17.3
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 48]	19 May–13 Jun 2022	1,427	?	32.1 26	19.4 16	16.4 12	9.4 5	[l]	2.0 0	6.3 3	[l]	0.9 3	–	[m]	9.6 5	–	12.7
EM-Analytics/GMG[p 49]	2–19 May 2022	1,100	?	32.2 26	19.6 17	16.6 12	9.0 5	[l]	2.0 0	6.0 3	[l]	1.0 3	–	[m]	9.5 4	–	12.6
TSA/Canarias7[p 50][p 51]	21 Feb–23 Mar 2022	3,402	?	33.5 27/30	17.2 13/17	15.2 11/14	11.6 6/8	7.2 2/3	–	4.8 0/2	–	0.7 3	–	[m]	–	–	16.3
Hamalgama Métrica/UNED[p 52]	1–26 Nov 2021	3,170	?	34.5 28/33	18.3 13/16	17.8 13/16	9.7 4/6	[l]	2.6 0	5.4 1/2	[l]	0.8 3	[m]	[m]	6.6 3	–	16.2
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 53]	16 Jun–23 Jul 2021	?	?	33.1 28	18.8 15	19.0 15	9.7 5	[l]	2.2 0	5.3 2	[l]	0.7 3	[m]	[m]	6.1 2	–	14.1
Hamalgama Métrica/UNED[p 54][p 55]	1–19 Feb 2021	1,500	?	34.4	17.4	16.1	9.2	9.6	4.5	5.0	–	0.7	[m]	[m]	–	–	17.0
Ágora Integral[p 56]	7 Feb 2021	5,850	?	? 25/26	? 18/19	? 10/12	? 5	? 4	? 0/2	? 2	–	? 3	[m]	[m]	–	–	?
SyM Consulting[p 57]	13–17 Jan 2021	3,851	55.2	26.9 22	21.5 19/24	15.7 9/14	8.3 5/6	8.1 2/3	4.9 0/3	7.9 3	–	0.7 2/3	[m]	[m]	–	–	5.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 58]	15 Dec 2020	850	?	32.0 27	19.8 18	16.4 12	9.6 5	[l]	4.9 1	5.2 2	[l]	0.7 3	[m]	[m]	6.7 2	–	12.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 59]	31 Oct 2020	850	?	32.4 28	19.9 19	16.2 12	9.6 5	[l]	4.6 1	4.4 0	[l]	0.7 3	[m]	[m]	6.9 2	–	12.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 60][p 61]	1 Apr–15 May 2020	?	?	31.8 27	19.7 18	16.7 14	9.1 5	[l]	4.6 1	3.5 0	[l]	0.7 3	[m]	[m]	7.5 2	–	12.1
November 2019 general election	10 Nov 2019	—N/a	55.4	28.9	13.1	20.8	[m]	[l]	5.4	12.5	[l]	–	[m]	[m]	14.7	–	8.1
2019 regional election	26 May 2019	—N/a	52.6	28.9 25	21.9 20	15.2 11	9.0 5	8.8 4	7.4 2	2.5 0	1.0 0	0.7 3	[m]	[m]	–	–	7.0

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Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size												?	N	Lead
2023 regional election[o]	28 May 2023	—N/a	15.2	12.3	10.9	4.5	[l]	0.2	4.4	[l]	0.4	2.2	1.8	—N/a	42.8	2.9
CIS[p 17]	10–26 Apr 2023	818	23.3	9.5	12.7	3.4	[l]	0.4	4.8	[l]	–	5.5	2.0	30.3	3.1	10.6
CIS[p 41]	17 Nov–2 Dec 2022	502	26.2	6.8	12.4	2.7	[l]	0.6	2.9	[l]	0.0	6.0	–	33.1	3.3	13.8
Hamalgama Métrica/UNED[p 62]	10 Oct–4 Nov 2022	3,201	32.2	15.5	17.9	7.9	[l]	0.4	3.2	[l]	0.6	7.0	–	10.7	4.0	14.3
Hamalgama Métrica/UNED[p 62]	10–30 Jun 2022	3,185	36.6	14.8	15.3	5.4	[l]	0.4	2.1	[l]	0.5	5.9	–	14.3	4.3	21.3
Hamalgama Métrica/UNED[p 63]	1–26 Nov 2021	3,170	31.3	12.2	17.1	5.4	[l]	0.4	4.5	[l]	0.6	5.4	–	15.9	5.3	14.2
Hamalgama Métrica/UNED[p 64]	1–19 Feb 2021	1,500	25.0	12.5	14.7	4.4	[l]	1.6	3.2	[l]	0.5	6.1	–	23.4	7.2	10.3
November 2019 general election[o]	10 Nov 2019	—N/a	17.3	7.9	12.4	[m]	[l]	3.2	7.5	[l]	–	8.8	–	—N/a	39.5	4.9
2019 regional election[o]	26 May 2019	—N/a	16.4	12.4	8.6	5.1	5.0	4.2	1.4	0.6	0.4	–	–	—N/a	42.6	4.0

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Overall

More information Parties and alliances, Island constituencies ...

← Summary of the 28 May 2023 Parliament of the Canary Islands election results →

Parties and alliances		Island constituencies			Regional constituency			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	247,811	27.17	−1.71	295,969	32.43	+2.90	23	−2
	Canarian Coalition (CCa)1	201,401	22.08	+0.15	175,198	19.20	−4.17	19	±0
	People's Party (PP)	176,308	19.33	+4.15	183,761	20.13	+5.53	15	+4
	New Canaries–Canarian Bloc (NC–BC)2	72,372	7.93	−1.08	65,028	7.13	−2.14	5	±0
	Vox (Vox)	71,740	7.86	+5.39	71,887	7.88	+5.40	4	+4
	United Yes We Can (Podemos–IUC–SSP)3	35,777	3.92	−5.88	29,556	3.24	−6.26	0	−4
	Drago Greens Canaries (DVC)	28,899	3.17	New	30,392	3.33	New	0	±0
	United for Gran Canaria (UxGC)	17,153	1.88	New	13,760	1.51	New	0	±0
	Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)4	11,190	1.23	+0.11	11,803	1.29	−0.07	0	±0
	Gomera Socialist Group (ASG)	6,765	0.74	+0.04	—	—	—	3	±0
	Let's Talk Now (Hablemos Ahora)	4,030	0.44	New	—	—	—	0	±0
	Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS)	3,510	0.38	−6.98	3,548	0.39	−6.55	0	−2
	Municipal Assemblies of Fuerteventura (AMF)	2,840	0.31	New	3,108	0.34	New	0	±0
	Canarian Nationalist Party (PNC)	2,395	0.26	New	2,417	0.26	New	0	±0
	Gather Sustainable Canaries (Reunir)	2,312	0.25	New	1,998	0.22	New	0	±0
	Canaries Now–Communist Party of the Canarian People (ANC–UP–PCPC)5	2,106	0.23	−0.16	2,156	0.24	−0.24	0	±0
	Seniors in Action (3e)	1,898	0.21	+0.11	—	—	—	0	±0
	Independent Herrenian Group (AHI)6	1,660	0.18	−0.11	—	—	—	1	±0
	More Canaries (+C)	1,476	0.16	New	2,354	0.26	New	0	±0
	Initiative for La Gomera (IxLG)	1,312	0.14	New	—	—	—	0	±0
	Herrenian Assembly (AH)	1,089	0.12	New	—	—	—	0	±0
	Electoral Alternative Movement (MAE)	778	0.09	New	—	—	—	0	±0
	With You, We Are Democracy (Contigo)	732	0.08	−0.03	—	—	—	0	±0
	Democratic Union of the Canary Islands (UDC)	718	0.08	+0.02	—	—	—	0	±0
	Now You (Ahora Tú)	—	—	—	3,846	0.42	New	0	±0
	Country with Managers (País con Gestores)	—	—	—	1,210	0.13	New	0	±0
Blank ballots		15,947	1.75	+0.51	14,654	1.61	+0.37
Total		912,219			912,645			70	±0
Valid votes		912,219	98.10	−0.78	912,645	98.28	−0.70
Invalid votes		17,694	1.90	+0.78	15,940	1.72	+0.70
Votes cast / turnout		929,913	52.00	−0.59	928,585	51.91	−0.63
Abstentions		858,499	48.00	+0.59	860,121	48.09	+0.63
Registered voters		1,788,412			1,788,706
Sources[13][37][38]
Footnotes: 1 Canarian Coalition results are compared to Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist Party totals in the 2019 election, not including results in El Hierro. 2 New Canaries–Canarian Bloc does not include results in El Hierro. 3 United Yes We Can results are compared to the combined totals of Yes We Can Canaries and Canarian United Left in the 2019 election. 4 Animalist Party with the Environment results are compared to Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals totals in the 2019 election. 5 Canaries Now–Communist Party of the Canarian People results are compared to the combined totals of Canaries Now and Communist Party of the Canarian People in the 2019 election. 6 Independent Herrenian Group results are compared to Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist Party and New Canaries totals in El Hierro in the 2019 election.

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Distribution by constituency

Government formation

More information Ballot →, 12 July 2023 ...

Investiture Nomination of Fernando Clavijo (CCa)
Ballot →		12 July 2023
Required majority →		36 out of 70 Y
	Yes • CCa (19) • PP (15) • ASG (3) • AHI (1)	38 / 70
	No • PSOE (23) • NC–BC (5) • Vox (4)	32 / 70
	Abstentions	0 / 70
	Absentees	0 / 70
Sources[13][39]

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