2024 United States presidential election in Florida
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.[3] This gave Florida the third-most electoral votes in the country, which marked the first time it carried more weight than New York (28 electoral votes) in a presidential election.
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November 5, 2024
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| Turnout | 78.9% (of active registered voters)[1]  1.73 pp66.7% (of estimated voting-eligible population)[2] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A heavily populated South Atlantic state, Florida had previously been considered a crucial swing state and a bellwether in past elections, but has shifted significantly to the political right since the 2022 gubernatorial election where incumbent Governor Ron DeSantis won re-election with a 19.4% margin of victory. Trump's double-digit margin of victory solidified Florida further as a safe red state. Florida has two large distinct cultural areas: North Florida and the Florida Panhandle are part of the conservative Deep South, and South Florida has a heavy Latin American influence with large Catholic Cuban, Haitian, Nicaraguan, and Venezuelan populations in the Miami metropolitan area.
Trump defeated Harris in Florida by 13.1 percentage points, the biggest margin of victory for a candidate in the state since 1988. Trump won all three of the state’s majority-Hispanic counties. Per exit polls, Trump won 63% of White voters, 58% of Hispanic voters of whom he won 70% of Cuban voters, and 15% of Black voters in the state.[4] Every single county shifted to the right compared to 2020.
Primary elections
Republican primary
The Florida Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 911,424 | 81.19% | 125 | 0 | 125 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 155,560 | 13.86% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 41,269 | 3.68% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 8,953 | 0.80% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 2,850 | 0.25% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 1,385 | 0.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 1,190 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 1,122,631 | 100.00% | 125 | 0 | 125 |
Democratic primary
On November 30, 2023, Politico reported that the Florida Democratic Party had only submitted Biden's name to the Secretary of State, which meant that the primary would be cancelled under Florida law. This cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson campaigns.[6][7] Williamson and fellow Democratic candidate Cenk Uygur held a press conference over Zoom on December 1 criticizing the move.[8] On December 11, 2023, a voter filed a lawsuit in federal court seeking to add Phillips's, Williamson's, and Uygur's names to the ballot.[9] The voter lost in district court.[10]
Winner (assumptive)
- President Joe Biden
Endorsements
U.S. representatives
- Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, FL-20 (2022–present)[11]
- Val Demings, FL-10 (2017–2023), chief of the Orlando Police Department (2007–2011), nominee for U.S. senator from Florida in 2022[12]
- Maxwell Frost,[a] FL-10 (2023–present)[13]
- Darren Soto, FL-09 (2017–present)[11]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, FL-25 (2023–present), FL-23 (2013–2023), FL-20 (2005–2013), former chair of the Democratic National Committee (2011–2016)[11]
State legislators
- Shevrin Jones,[a] Florida state senator from the 35th district (2020–present), state representative from the 101st district (2012–2020)[14]
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Hillary Clinton |
Kamala Harris |
Gavin Newsom |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[15] | September 15–18, 2022 | 163 (LV) | – | 50% | – | – | 33% | 17% |
| Suffolk University[16] | January 26–29, 2022 | 164 (LV) | – | 43% | 46% | – | – | 11%[c] |
| Victory Insights[17] | September 16–18, 2021 | 200 (LV) | – | 60% | – | 17% | – | 23%[d] |
General election
Trump assassination attempt
On September 15, 2024, Trump survived an assassination attempt while golfing at Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, Florida. 58-year-old Ryan Wesley Routh was spotted hiding in nearby shrubbery while aiming a rifle at a member of Trump's security detail.[18] A Secret Service agent fired upon Routh, who fled the scene and was later captured in Martin County.[19] The incident occurred two months after Trump survived a previous assassination attempt while speaking at a campaign rally near Butler, Pennsylvania.
Candidates
The following presidential candidates received ballot access in Florida:[20]
- Kamala Harris, Democratic Party
- Donald Trump, Republican Party
- Chase Oliver, Libertarian Party
- Jill Stein, Green Party
- Claudia De la Cruz, Party for Socialism and Liberation
- Randall Terry, Constitution Party
- Peter Sonski, American Solidarity Party
- Shiva Ayyadurai, Independent (write-in)
- Cherunda Fox (write-in)[21]
In addition, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. withdrew his name from the ballot after he suspended his campaign.[21]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Likely R | August 27, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Lean R | August 29, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Likely R | August 20, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[25] | Likely R | October 21, 2024 |
| CNalysis[26] | Likely R | November 4, 2024 |
| CNN[27] | Lean R | September 1, 2024 |
| The Economist[28] | Likely R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[29] | Likely R | October 8, 2024 |
| NBC News[30] | Likely R | October 6, 2024 |
| YouGov[31] | Lean R | October 16, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[32] | Likely R | November 1, 2024 |
Polling
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [e] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270ToWin[33] | October 23 – November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 44.6% | 51.1% | 4.3% | Trump +6.5% |
| 538[34] | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 44.6% | 51.2% | 4.2% | Trump +6.6% |
| Silver Bulletin[35] | through November 3, 2024 | November 3, 2024 | 44.8% | 51.3% | 3.9% | Trump +6.5% |
| The Hill/DDHQ[36] | through November 3, 2024 | November 3, 2024 | 44.9% | 51.6% | 3.2% | Trump +6.7% |
| Average | 44.7% | 51.3% | 4.0% | Trump +6.6% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co.[37] | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
| Victory Insights[38] | November 1–2, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | 2%[f] |
| Stetson University[39][40] | October 25 – November 1, 2024 | 452 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 46% | 1%[g] |
| Morning Consult[41] | October 23 − November 1, 2024 | 2,022 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[42] | October 19–27, 2024 | 913 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 53% | 44% | 3%[h] |
| 897 (LV) | 53% | 44% | 3%[h] | |||
| ActiVote[43] | October 11–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 56% | 44% | – |
| St. Pete Polls[44][A] | October 23–25, 2024 | 1,227 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 45% | 5%[i] |
| CES/YouGov[45] | October 1–25, 2024 | 5,952 (A) | – | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| 5,916 (LV) | 52% | 46% | 2% | |||
| Hunt Research[46][B] | October 16–22, 2024 | 1,234 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Emerson College[47] | October 18–20, 2024 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 52% | 44% | 4%[g] |
| 54%[j] | 46% | – | ||||
| Cherry Communications (R)[48][C] | October 10–20, 2024 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 45% | 4% |
| ActiVote[49] | October 7–20, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 45% | – |
| University of North Florida[50] | October 7–18, 2024 | 977 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 43% | 4%[k] |
| RMG Research[51][D] | October 14–17, 2024 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 45% | 3%[l] |
| 52%[j] | 47% | 1% | ||||
| Rose Institute/YouGov[52] | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,094 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | 7%[m] |
| 1,094 (RV) | 51%[j] | 46% | 3% | |||
| 1,076 (LV) | 51% | 46% | 3% | |||
| The Terrance Group (R)[53][E] | October 5–8, 2024 | 818 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
| Marist College[54] | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,410 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 47% | 2%[n] |
| 1,257 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 47% | 2%[n] | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[55] | September 29 – October 6, 2024 | 622 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 55% | 41% | 4% |
| ActiVote[56] | September 17 – October 6, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – |
| Mason-Dixon[57][F] | October 1–4, 2024 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8%[o] |
| RMG Research[58][D] | September 25–27, 2024 | 774 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 47% | 3%[l] |
| 50%[j] | 48% | 2% | ||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[59][G] | September 25–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[60][H] | September 23–25, 2024 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| Victory Insights[61] | September 22–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| The Bullfinch Group[62][I] | September 20–23, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Morning Consult[41] | September 9−18, 2024 | 2,948 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Morning Consult[41] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 3,182 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Emerson College[63] | September 3–5, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| 51%[j] | 48% | 1%[g] | ||||
| ActiVote[64] | August 16–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – |
| Cherry Communications (R)[65][C] | August 15–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[66][G] | August 21–22, 2024 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| ActiVote[67] | August 5–15, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[68] | August 10–11, 2024 | 1,055 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5%[p] |
| 1,040 (LV) | 50% | 47% | 3%[h] | |||
| University of North Florida[69] | July 24–27, 2024 | 774 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 42% | 9%[q] |
| Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[70][J] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12%[r] |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[15] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Victory Insights[17] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Focaldata[71] | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 1,250 (LV) | – | 52% | 45% | – | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 1,099 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 46% | – | 1% | 0% | 3% | ||
| 1,250 (A) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 3% | ||
| Cygnal (R)[72] | October 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | – | 1% | 1% | 7%[s] |
| Hunt Research[46][B] | October 16–22, 2024 | 1,234 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 44% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[73] | October 16–18, 2024 | 1,275 (LV) | – | 49% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[74] | October 12–14, 2024 | 1,009 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| New York Times/Siena College[55] | September 29 – October 6, 2024 | 622 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 40% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[75] | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 2,946 (LV) | – | 49% | 45% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[59][G] | September 25–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | 0% | 1% | – | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[76] | September 16–19, 2024 | 1,602 (LV) | – | 50% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[77] | September 6–9, 2024 | 1,465 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[78] | August 25–28, 2024 | 980 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 43% | – | 0% | 1% | 8%[t] |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College[55] | September 29 – October 6, 2024 | 622 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[66][G] | August 21–22, 2024 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[79] | August 12–15, 2024 | 1,296 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 3% | – | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[80][K] | August 7–11, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 42% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[81] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 976 (LV) | – | 47% | 41% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[82] | July 22–24, 2024 | 572 (LV) | – | 47% | 39% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 8% |
| Targoz Market Research[83][L] | July 19–24, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 39% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| 988 (LV) | 47% | 42% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 6% | |||
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | |||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[68] | August 10–11, 2024 | 1,055 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 5% | 4%[h] |
| 1,040 (LV) | 47% | 45% | 5% | 3%[h] | |||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[84][H] | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | 3% | 1% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[70][J] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 44% | 6%[u] |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[85] | June 8–9, 2024 | 883 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 42% | 13% |
| 771 (LV) | 49% | 43% | 8% | |||
| The Tyson Group (R)[86] | June 6–9, 2024 | 1,050 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
| Fox News[87] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| CBS News/YouGov[88] | May 10–16, 2024 | 1,209 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 45% | 1% |
| Prime Group[89][M] | May 9–16, 2024 | 486 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – |
| Cherry Communications (R)[90][C] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| John Zogby Strategies[91][N] | April 13–21, 2024 | 749 (LV) | – | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[92] | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 42% | 8% |
| 815 (LV) | 51% | 43% | 6% | |||
| Emerson College[93] | April 9–10, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
| 56%[j] | 44% | – | ||||
| St. Pete Polls[94] | March 11–13, 2024 | 1,963 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Cygnal (R)[95] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[96] | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[97] | October 7–9, 2023 | 1,100 (RV) | – | 44% | 39% | 17% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[98] | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 2% |
| Metropolitan Research Services[99] | March 15–19, 2023 | 1,001 (RV) | – | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Emerson College[100] | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| University of North Florida[101] | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| Victory Insights[102] | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[103][O] | November 8–9, 2022 | 1,224 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Florida Atlantic University[104] | October 12–16, 2022 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Suffolk University[15] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[105] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Suffolk University[16] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Victory Insights[17] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
| St. Pete Polls[106][A] | August 16–17, 2021 | 2,068 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[107][P] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[83][L] | July 19–24, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 35% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 11%[v] |
| 988 (LV) | 46% | 39% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 9%[w] | |||
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | |||||||||
| Fox News[87] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Prime Group[89][M] | May 9–16, 2024 | 486 (RV) | – | 48% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 1% | – |
| Emerson College[93] | April 9–10, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 35% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | |||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[85] | June 8–9, 2024 | 883 (A) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 37% | 10% | 10% |
| 771 (LV) | 45% | 40% | 8% | 6% | |||
| Cherry Communications (R)[90][C] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 37% | 10% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[108] | May 2–4, 2024 | 586 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[92] | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 38% | 7% | 7% |
| 815 (LV) | 49% | 40% | 6% | 5% | |||
| USA Today/Ipsos[109] | April 5–7, 2024 | 1,014 (A) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 31% | 7% | 23% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[110] | March 14–17, 2024 | 815 (LV) | – | 46% | 39% | 7% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[111] | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,147 (LV) | – | 45% | 34% | 9% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[112] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 44% | 34% | 9% | 13% |
| Cygnal (R)[95] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 37% | 11% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[97] | October 7–9, 2023 | 1100 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 8% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[91][N] | April 13–21, 2024 | 749 (LV) | – | 48% | 37% | 15% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[91][N] | April 13–21, 2024 | 749 (LV) | – | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[16] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[95] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[96] | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 39% | 15% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[98] | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| Emerson College[100] | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| University of North Florida[101] | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 51% | 42% | 8% |
| Cherry Communications[113][C] | February 10–19, 2023 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
| Victory Insights[102] | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – |
| Suffolk University[15] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Echelon Insights[105] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Suffolk University[16] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Victory Insights[17] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[114] | September 11–12, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[107] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[15] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 8% |
| Victory Insights[17] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 49% | – |
Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[16] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 40% | 7% |
Results
|
Trump
50–60%
60–70%
70–80% |
Harris
50–60%
60–70%
|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 6,110,125 | 56.09% | +4.87% | ||
| Democratic | 4,683,038 | 42.99% | −4.87% | ||
| Green | 43,155 | 0.40% | +0.27% | ||
| Libertarian | 31,972 | 0.29% | −0.35% | ||
| Socialism and Liberation |
|
11,969 | 0.11% | +0.06% | |
| American Solidarity |
|
7,454 | 0.07% | N/A | |
| Constitution | 5,834 | 0.05% | +0.01% | ||
| Write-in | 205 | 0.00% | N/A | ||
| Total valid votes | 10,893,752 | 99.00% | −0.31% | ||
| Invalid or blank votes | 110,457 | 1.00% | |||
| Turnout | 11,004,209 | 78.89% | +1.72% | ||
| Registered electors | 13,949,168 | 100.00% | −3.41% | ||
By county
| County[116] | Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Alachua | 52,939 | 38.77% | 81,578 | 59.74% | 2,031 | 1.49% | -28,639 | -20.97% | 136,548 |
| Baker | 12,926 | 86.31% | 1,982 | 13.23% | 69 | 0.46% | 10,944 | 73.07% | 14,977 |
| Bay | 71,497 | 73.12% | 25,201 | 25.77% | 1,079 | 1.10% | 46,296 | 47.35% | 97,777 |
| Bradford | 10,920 | 78.38% | 2,946 | 21.15% | 66 | 0.47% | 7,974 | 57.24% | 13,932 |
| Brevard | 216,533 | 59.91% | 141,233 | 39.07% | 3,683 | 1.02% | 75,300 | 20.83% | 361,449 |
| Broward | 358,952 | 41.04% | 507,328 | 58.01% | 8,259 | 0.94% | -148,376 | -16.97% | 874,539 |
| Calhoun | 5,367 | 83.49% | 1,021 | 15.88% | 40 | 0.62% | 4,346 | 67.61% | 6,428 |
| Charlotte | 82,480 | 66.69% | 40,450 | 32.71% | 746 | 0.60% | 42,030 | 33.98% | 123,676 |
| Citrus | 71,356 | 72.64% | 26,276 | 26.75% | 605 | 0.62% | 45,080 | 45.89% | 98,237 |
| Clay | 87,711 | 69.17% | 37,926 | 29.91% | 1,174 | 0.93% | 49,785 | 39.26% | 126,811 |
| Collier | 143,267 | 66.21% | 71,720 | 33.15% | 1,383 | 0.64% | 71,547 | 33.07% | 216,370 |
| Columbia | 25,108 | 74.74% | 8,250 | 24.56% | 234 | 0.70% | 16,858 | 50.18% | 33,592 |
| DeSoto | 8,888 | 71.17% | 3,525 | 28.23% | 75 | 0.60% | 5,363 | 42.95% | 12,488 |
| Dixie | 6,920 | 84.93% | 1,183 | 14.52% | 45 | 0.55% | 5,737 | 70.41% | 8,148 |
| Duval | 236,285 | 50.14% | 229,365 | 48.67% | 5,632 | 1.20% | 6,920 | 1.47% | 471,282 |
| Escambia | 96,407 | 59.23% | 64,601 | 39.69% | 1,747 | 1.07% | 31,806 | 19.54% | 162,755 |
| Flagler | 51,014 | 63.79% | 28,431 | 35.55% | 523 | 0.65% | 22,583 | 28.24% | 79,968 |
| Franklin | 4,831 | 71.49% | 1,870 | 27.67% | 57 | 0.84% | 2,961 | 43.81% | 6,758 |
| Gadsden | 7,495 | 34.27% | 14,203 | 64.95% | 170 | 0.78% | -6,708 | -30.67% | 21,868 |
| Gilchrist | 8,931 | 83.58% | 1,662 | 15.55% | 93 | 0.87% | 7,269 | 68.02% | 10,686 |
| Glades | 4,034 | 76.42% | 1,222 | 23.15% | 23 | 0.44% | 2,812 | 53.27% | 5,279 |
| Gulf | 6,684 | 76.85% | 1,970 | 22.65% | 43 | 0.49% | 4,714 | 54.20% | 8,697 |
| Hamilton | 3,964 | 69.14% | 1,727 | 30.12% | 42 | 0.73% | 2,237 | 39.02% | 5,733 |
| Hardee | 6,336 | 77.81% | 1,751 | 21.50% | 56 | 0.69% | 4,585 | 56.31% | 8,143 |
| Hendry | 9,253 | 68.74% | 4,096 | 30.43% | 111 | 0.82% | 5,157 | 38.31% | 13,460 |
| Hernando | 75,446 | 68.16% | 34,431 | 31.11% | 814 | 0.74% | 41,015 | 37.05% | 110,691 |
| Highlands | 36,382 | 70.09% | 15,227 | 29.34% | 296 | 0.57% | 21,155 | 40.76% | 51,905 |
| Hillsborough | 342,017 | 50.90% | 321,455 | 47.84% | 8,521 | 1.27% | 20,562 | 3.06% | 671,993 |
| Holmes | 8,193 | 89.87% | 882 | 9.68% | 41 | 0.45% | 7,311 | 80.20% | 9,116 |
| Indian River | 62,737 | 63.36% | 35,654 | 36.01% | 626 | 0.63% | 27,083 | 27.35% | 99,017 |
| Jackson | 16,074 | 72.74% | 5,892 | 26.66% | 132 | 0.60% | 10,182 | 46.08% | 22,098 |
| Jefferson | 5,011 | 58.94% | 3,429 | 40.33% | 62 | 0.73% | 1,582 | 18.61% | 8,502 |
| Lafayette | 3,296 | 87.75% | 441 | 11.74% | 19 | 0.51% | 2,855 | 76.01% | 3,756 |
| Lake | 140,500 | 61.95% | 84,546 | 37.28% | 1,742 | 0.77% | 55,954 | 24.67% | 226,788 |
| Lee | 250,661 | 63.86% | 139,240 | 35.47% | 2,631 | 0.67% | 111,421 | 28.39% | 392,532 |
| Leon | 60,397 | 38.52% | 94,520 | 60.28% | 1,885 | 1.20% | -34,123 | -21.76% | 156,802 |
| Levy | 18,245 | 74.84% | 5,994 | 24.59% | 139 | 0.57% | 12,251 | 50.25% | 24,378 |
| Liberty | 2,898 | 83.04% | 566 | 16.22% | 26 | 0.74% | 2,332 | 66.82% | 3,490 |
| Madison | 5,874 | 64.15% | 3,231 | 35.29% | 51 | 0.56% | 2,643 | 28.87% | 9,156 |
| Manatee | 140,486 | 61.39% | 86,674 | 37.87% | 1,700 | 0.74% | 53,812 | 23.51% | 228,860 |
| Marion | 140,173 | 65.47% | 72,436 | 33.83% | 1,497 | 0.70% | 67,737 | 31.64% | 214,106 |
| Martin | 64,121 | 65.24% | 33,539 | 34.12% | 631 | 0.64% | 30,582 | 31.11% | 98,291 |
| Miami-Dade | 605,590 | 55.35% | 480,355 | 43.90% | 8,160 | 0.75% | 125,235 | 11.45% | 1,094,105 |
| Monroe | 26,064 | 58.80% | 17,933 | 40.46% | 331 | 0.75% | 8,131 | 18.34% | 44,328 |
| Nassau | 47,945 | 73.06% | 17,143 | 26.12% | 537 | 0.82% | 30,802 | 46.94% | 65,625 |
| Okaloosa | 80,309 | 70.67% | 32,074 | 28.23% | 1,253 | 1.10% | 48,235 | 42.45% | 113,636 |
| Okeechobee | 12,315 | 76.69% | 3,671 | 22.86% | 72 | 0.45% | 8,644 | 53.83% | 16,058 |
| Orange | 258,279 | 42.54% | 340,807 | 56.13% | 8,113 | 1.34% | -82,528 | -13.59% | 607,199 |
| Osceola | 86,713 | 50.19% | 84,205 | 48.74% | 1,862 | 1.08% | 2,508 | 1.45% | 172,780 |
| Palm Beach | 366,836 | 49.19% | 372,512 | 49.95% | 6,361 | 0.85% | -5,676 | -0.76% | 745,709 |
| Pasco | 197,779 | 62.10% | 117,450 | 36.88% | 3,242 | 1.02% | 80,329 | 25.22% | 318,471 |
| Pinellas | 269,472 | 52.11% | 242,452 | 46.89% | 5,150 | 1.00% | 27,020 | 5.23% | 517,074 |
| Polk | 209,044 | 59.91% | 136,879 | 39.23% | 3,008 | 0.86% | 72,165 | 20.68% | 348,931 |
| Putnam | 26,700 | 73.61% | 9,354 | 25.79% | 218 | 0.60% | 17,346 | 47.82% | 36,272 |
| Santa Rosa | 84,314 | 75.00% | 27,035 | 24.05% | 1,076 | 0.96% | 57,279 | 50.95% | 112,425 |
| Sarasota | 163,219 | 58.74% | 112,668 | 40.55% | 1,979 | 0.71% | 50,551 | 18.19% | 277,866 |
| Seminole | 129,735 | 51.13% | 120,717 | 47.58% | 3,275 | 1.29% | 9,018 | 3.55% | 253,727 |
| St. Johns | 128,759 | 65.21% | 66,862 | 33.86% | 1,836 | 0.93% | 61,897 | 31.35% | 197,457 |
| St. Lucie | 100,293 | 54.17% | 83,517 | 45.11% | 1,321 | 0.71% | 16,776 | 9.06% | 185,131 |
| Sumter | 72,134 | 68.56% | 32,551 | 30.94% | 533 | 0.51% | 39,583 | 37.62% | 105,218 |
| Suwannee | 17,561 | 80.22% | 4,217 | 19.26% | 113 | 0.52% | 13,344 | 60.96% | 21,891 |
| Taylor | 7,954 | 79.56% | 1,991 | 19.92% | 52 | 0.52% | 5,963 | 59.65% | 9,997 |
| Union | 5,224 | 83.84% | 971 | 15.58% | 36 | 0.58% | 4,253 | 68.26% | 6,231 |
| Volusia | 187,691 | 60.45% | 120,132 | 38.69% | 2,675 | 0.86% | 67,559 | 21.76% | 310,498 |
| Wakulla | 14,246 | 71.75% | 5,441 | 27.40% | 169 | 0.85% | 8,805 | 44.34% | 19,856 |
| Walton | 38,970 | 78.57% | 10,287 | 20.74% | 344 | 0.69% | 28,683 | 57.83% | 49,601 |
| Washington | 10,370 | 82.41% | 2,140 | 17.01% | 74 | 0.59% | 8,230 | 65.40% | 12,584 |
| Totals | 6,110,125 | 56.09% | 4,683,038 | 42.99% | 100,589 | 0.92% | 1,427,087 | 13.10% | 10,893,752 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Duval (largest municipality: Jacksonville)[117]
- Hillsborough (largest municipality: Tampa)[117]
- Miami-Dade (largest municipality: Miami)[117]
- Osceola (largest municipality: Kissimmee)[117]
- Pinellas (largest municipality: St. Petersburg)[117]
- Seminole (largest municipality: Sanford)[117]
By congressional district
Trump won 20 of 28 congressional districts.[118]
Analysis
In 2020, Republican Donald Trump (who changed his resident state from New York to Florida in 2019[119]) carried the state again by 3.4 percentage points, an improvement from his 1.2% margin in 2016, despite Trump losing re-election nationwide and polls pointing to a narrow Democratic win in Florida. In addition, Republicans won all statewide offices by double-digit margins in the 2022 midterms.[120][121]
A heavily populated South Atlantic state, Florida had formerly been considered a crucial swing state and a bellwether in previous election cycles, but has shifted significantly to the political right and is now considered a safe red state with Trump's double-digit margin of victory solidifying it as such. Florida has two large distinct cultural areas. North Florida and the Florida Panhandle are part of the conservative Deep South. South Florida has a heavy Latin American influence, with large Catholic Cuban, Haitian, Central and South American populations in the Miami metropolitan area.
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Statewide trends
With Democrats not seriously contesting the state, they finished with their worst presidential performance in the state since 1988. Florida and Iowa had voted twice for Democrat Barack Obama, and voted for Trump by 13% in 2024.
Florida voted over 10% to the right of the nation and its neighboring state of Georgia. Florida had previously voted to the left of Georgia from 1996 to 2016, and in 2016 Florida voted for Trump by just 1.2%.
Just eight years prior in 2016, Democrat Hillary Clinton had won Miami-Dade by 29%, Broward by 35%, and Palm Beach by 15%. In 2024, Harris lost Miami-Dade by 11%, won Broward by 17%, and won Palm Beach by less than 1%. Clinton had won the Miami metropolitan area by 27%, while Harris won it by just 1%.[122]
Some of the largest rightward swings in the country were in South Florida, along with South Texas and the New York metropolitan area. Every single county in Florida swung rightward, with the three majority-Hispanic counties swinging the hardest.
County swings
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
- >90%
Florida handed Republican Donald Trump a decisive victory, doing so by a margin of 1,427,087 votes—his second-largest state win in terms of vote count, behind Texas. This was the first time since 1988 that the state was won with a double-digit margin, and that Miami-Dade County voted Republican.[123] It was also the first time since 1992 that the state voted Republican in three consecutive presidential elections. Trump became the first Republican nominee to win Hillsborough County and Osceola County since 2004.[124] He also flipped back Duval County, Pinellas County, and Seminole County after carrying them in 2016.[125] Trump narrowly lost his home county of Palm Beach.
Following the 2022 midterms under Governor Ron DeSantis and Senator Marco Rubio, this election has cemented Florida's transition from a swing state to a reliable red state. Trump’s performance was similar to Rubio’s 2022 U.S. Senate performance, with both only narrowly losing Palm Beach County. Relatedly, Republican Rick Scott won by a nearly identical 12.8% margin in the concurrent 2024 U.S. Senate election in Florida with the same county map. Meanwhile, although a majority of voters supported Amendments 3 and 4 which would respectively legalize recreational marijuana and enshrine abortion rights, both fell short of 60% and failed.
According to exit polls, Hispanic men voted to the right of White women in the state. Trump also won a majority of Hispanic women in Florida. DeSantis and Rubio had also won a majority of Hispanic women in Florida in 2022. Miami-Dade County (70% Hispanic) voted for Trump by over 11%, shifting rightward by 19 percentage points and voting almost as strongly for Trump as his 13% statewide margin. The state’s most populous county, Miami-Dade had voted for Hillary Clinton by 29% and Biden by 7%, with the county shifting hard to the right like many South Texas counties over Trump’s three runs. Trump won a majority of Hispanics in Florida and Texas, based on exit polls and county results in majority-Hispanic counties. Trump narrowly lost Miami's city limits by around 1000 votes, a strong performance for a Republican in a major city.[126]
The only counties where Harris held up well were majority-Black Gadsden County, 30% Black Leon County (home to the state capital of Tallahassee and Florida State University), and Alachua County (home to the University of Florida). Gadsden County gave Harris 65% of the vote, Leon County 60%, and Alachua County 59%. Harris held up with Black voters and White voters with college degrees, but collapsed nationwide among Hispanic voters even in urban areas.[x] Nationally, Trump came within single digits of winning Hispanic voters (51-46%) and won a majority of Latino male voters (54-44%). Latino men voted to the right of White women (53-46%), because Harris did well among White women with college degrees (58-41%). Harris did nonetheless win New Mexico by 6%, despite New Mexico being half-Hispanic.[127]
Harris only narrowly won the Miami metropolitan area, as a whole winning the three counties of Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade over Trump by just 1,360,195 to 1,331,378 (49.95% to 48.89%). In Broward County (home to Fort Lauderdale and 27% Black), Harris won just 58% of the vote, the lowest for a Democratic candidate there since 1992. Broward voted to the right of Gadsden, Leon, and Alachua counties despite being far more populous. Harris only won Palm Beach County by less than 1%, though it was Trump’s home county and Ron DeSantis had won the county in 2022.
Florida had the third-largest swing to the right in this election (after New York and New Jersey), with Trump improving his performance from 2020 by 9.7%. It was also the largest swing to the right in a state he won.
Exit poll data
| 2024 presidential election in Florida voter demographics[127] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic subgroup | Trump | Harris | % of total vote |
| Ideology | |||
| Liberals | 12 | 87 | 19 |
| Moderates | 46 | 53 | 44 |
| Conservatives | 91 | 9 | 38 |
| Party | |||
| Democrats | 2 | 97 | 25 |
| Republicans | 93 | 6 | 39 |
| Independents | 53 | 45 | 36 |
| Gender | |||
| Men | 62 | 38 | 46 |
| Women | 51 | 48 | 54 |
| Race/ethnicity | |||
| White | 63 | 37 | 59 |
| Black | 15 | 83 | 12 |
| Latino | 58 | 42 | 24 |
| Asian | n/a | n/a | 2 |
| All other races | 71 | 28 | 3 |
| Cuban/Puerto Rican descent | |||
| Cuban descent | 70 | 30 | 6 |
| Puerto Rican descent | 45 | 53 | 7 |
| Gender by race/ethnicity | |||
| White men | 68 | 31 | 27 |
| White women | 58 | 41 | 32 |
| Black men | 23 | 76 | 5 |
| Black women | 11 | 88 | 7 |
| Latino men | 63 | 37 | 12 |
| Latina women | 52 | 46 | 12 |
| All other races | 70 | 29 | 5 |
| Age | |||
| 18–29 years old | 44 | 56 | 14 |
| 30–44 years old | 56 | 43 | 23 |
| 45–64 years old | 59 | 40 | 35 |
| 65 and older | 58 | 41 | 28 |
| First time voter | |||
| Yes | 51 | 49 | 11 |
| No | 57 | 42 | 89 |
| 2020 presidential vote | |||
| Biden | 7 | 92 | 38 |
| Trump | 97 | 3 | 48 |
| Another candidate | n/a | n/a | 2 |
| Did not vote | 53 | 47 | 11 |
| Education | |||
| No college degree | 58 | 41 | 64 |
| College graduate | 53 | 46 | 36 |
| Education by race | |||
| White college graduates | 56 | 43 | 24 |
| White no college degree | 67 | 32 | 35 |
| Non-white college graduates | 46 | 53 | 12 |
| Non-white no college degree | 47 | 53 | 28 |
| Area type | |||
| Urban | 50 | 49 | 46 |
| Suburban | 61 | 38 | 46 |
| Rural | 64 | 35 | 8 |
| Biden job approval | |||
| Strongly disapprove | 94 | 5 | 50 |
| Somewhat disapprove | 52 | 46 | 14 |
| Somewhat approve | 5 | 95 | 18 |
| Strongly approve | 2 | 97 | 16 |
| Feeling about the way things are going in U.S. | |||
| Angry | 79 | 20 | 27 |
| Dissatisfied | 59 | 40 | 51 |
| Satisfied | 17 | 83 | 15 |
| Enthusiastic | n/a | n/a | 5 |
| Quality of candidate that mattered most | |||
| Has ability to lead | 73 | 27 | 34 |
| Can bring needed change | 75 | 23 | 28 |
| Has good judgment | 18 | 80 | 18 |
| Cares about people like me | 30 | 70 | 18 |
| Vote for president mainly | |||
| For your candidate | 61 | 38 | 76 |
| Against their opponent | 35 | 63 | 21 |
| Issue regarded as most important | |||
| Democracy | 17 | 82 | 30 |
| Economy | 80 | 20 | 38 |
| Abortion | 20 | 80 | 11 |
| Immigration | 86 | 14 | 16 |
| Foreign policy | n/a | n/a | 3 |
| Democracy threatened in the United States | |||
| Democracy in the U.S. very threatened | 56 | 44 | 40 |
| Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened | 57 | 43 | 33 |
| Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure | 49 | 50 | 17 |
| Democracy in the U.S. very secure | n/a | n/a | 8 |
| Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately | |||
| Very confident | 48 | 51 | 38 |
| Somewhat confident | 59 | 40 | 43 |
| Not very confident | 63 | 35 | 13 |
| Not at all confident | n/a | n/a | 4 |
| Condition of the nation's economy | |||
| Poor | 86 | 13 | 40 |
| Not so good | 61 | 37 | 31 |
| Good | 8 | 91 | 22 |
| Excellent | n/a | n/a | 6 |
| Family's financial situation today | |||
| Worse than four years ago | 84 | 15 | 55 |
| About the same | 26 | 72 | 25 |
| Better than four years ago | 13 | 86 | 19 |
| Abortion should be | |||
| Legal in all cases | 24 | 74 | 27 |
| Legal in most cases | 46 | 53 | 37 |
| Illegal in most cases | 94 | 6 | 27 |
| Illegal in all cases | n/a | n/a | 5 |
See also
- 2024 Florida Amendment 3 (a voter initiative that occurred on the same day as the presidential election)
- 2024 Florida Amendment 4 (a referendum that occurred on the same day as the presidential election)
- United States presidential elections in Florida
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Florida elections
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board member
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Refused" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 23%
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- "Other" with 2%
- "Someone else" with 1%
- "Another candidate" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 3%
- With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Some other candidate" with 1%
- "Other" with 5%
- "Another party's candidates" with 1%
- "One of the other party tickets" with 2%
- "Another candidate" with 2%
- "Another candidate" with 4%
- "Another candidate" with 7%
- Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & Peter Sonski (ASP) with 1% each; Randall Terry (C) with 0%
- "Other (another third party/write-in)" with 1%
- "Another candidate" with 3%
- Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
Partisan clients
- Poll conducted for Florida Politics
- Poll conducted for Florida State University
- Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
- Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
- Poll sponsored by the Republican Party of Florida
- Poll commissioned by Clean and Prosperous America PAC
- Poll sponsored by Associated Industries of Florida
- Poll conducted for The Independent Center
- Poll sponsored by the James Madison Institute, a conservative think tank
- Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third-party candidates
- Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
- Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
- Poll sponsored by BUSR