2024 Rio de Janeiro mayoral election

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2024 Rio de Janeiro municipal election

 2020
6 October 2024 (2024-10-06)
2028 
Mayoral election
Opinion polls
 
Candidate Eduardo Paes Alexandre Ramagem
Party PSD PL
Alliance It's Rio Moving Forward Courage to
Change
Running mate Eduardo Cavaliere Índia Armelau
Popular vote 1,861,856 948,631
Percentage 60.47% 30.81%

Winner by electoral zone
     Paes 50-59%
     Paes 60-69%
     Paes 70-79%

Mayor before election

Eduardo Paes
PSD

Elected mayor

Eduardo Paes
PSD

Parliamentary election
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
Municipal Chamber
PSD Marcio Ribeiro 16 +13
PL Carlos Bolsonaro 7 +5
FE Brasil Tainá De Paula 5 +2
PSOL-REDE Rick Azevedo 4 −3
Republicanos Tânia Bastos 3 −1
PP Leniel Borel 3 +3
MDB Vitor Hugo 3 +2
PODE Marcos Dias 2 +2
PRD Jair Da M. Gomes 1 −1
DC Willian Coelho 1 0
PDT Welington Dias 1 0
NOVO Pedro Duarte 1 +1
PSDB-Cidadania Talita Galhardo 1 −2
PSB Tatiana Roque 1 +1
Solidarity Dr Gilberto 1 0
UNIÃO Jorge Canella 1 −7
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.

The 2024 Rio de Janeiro municipal election took place on 6 October 2024. Voters elected a mayor, vice mayor, and 51 city council members. The incumbent mayor, Eduardo Paes of the Social Democratic Party (PSD), was reelected with his second term to begin on 1 January 2025 and end on 31 December 2028.[1][2][3]

2020 election

The last mayoral election in Rio de Janeiro, held in 2020, resulted in a largest victory of Eduardo Paes (DEM) in the second round. Paes obtained 1,629,319 votes (64.07% of the valid votes), while his opponent and former mayor Marcelo Crivella obtained 913,700 votes (or circa of 35.93% of the valid votes). Crivella attempted his own re-election and lost by a difference of 28 points.[4]

An opinion poll conducted by Paraná Pesquisas in November 2023 asked Rio's citizens what they thought of Paes' government. His approval rate was 59.6% and those who disapproved of his management of the city were 35.3%.[5]

Electoral calendar

Electoral calendar announced by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) on 3 January 2024[6]
7 March – 5 April Period of the 'party window' for councillors. During this period, the councillors are able to move to other political parties in order to run for election while not losing their respective political terms.
6 April Deadline for all parties and party federations to obtain the registration of their statutes at the Superior Electoral Court and for all candidates to have their electoral domicile in the constituency in which they wish to contest the elections with the affiliation granted by the party.
15 May Start of the preliminary fundraising campaign in the form of collective financing for potential candidates. During this period, candidates are not allowed to ask for votes and are still subjected to obey the rules regarding electoral propaganda on the Internet.
20 July – 5 August On this date, party conventions begin to deliberate on coalitions and choose candidates for mayors and councillors tickets. Parties have until 15 August to register their names with the Brazilian Election Justice.
16 August Beginning of electoral campaigns on an equal basis, with any advertising or demonstration explicitly requesting for votes before the date being considered irregular and subject to fines.
30 August –3 October Broadcasting of free electoral propaganda on radio and television.
6 October Date of mayoral elections.
27 October Date of a possible second round in cities with more than 200,000 voters in which the most voted candidate for mayor has not reached 50% of the valid votes.

Candidates

Confirmed candidates

Party Mayoral candidate Vice mayoral candidate[a] Coalition Ref.

Progressistas
(PP 11)
Marcelo Queiroz Teresa Bergher (PSDB) The Rio Has a Option [7]

United Socialist Workers' Party
(PSTU 16)
Cyro Garcia Cyro Garcia Paula Falcão
  • Women's Rights Activist
  • Leader of the collective group Women in Struggle Movement
N/a [8]

Liberal Party
(PL 22)
Alexandre Ramagem Índia Armelau Courage to Change [9]

[10]


Workers' Cause Party
(PCO 29)
Henrique Simonard
  • Editor of the Workers' Cause Newspaper
Caetano Sigiliano
  • University Student
N/a [11]

New Party
(NOVO 30)
Carol Sponza Carol Sponza
  • Lawyer and Master in Public Policies
Alexandre Popó
  • Businessman
N/a [12]

Brazil Union
(UNIÃO 44)
Rodrigo Amorim Fred Pacheco (MOBILIZA) Strength to Change [13]

Socialism and Liberty Party
(PSOL 50)
Tarcísio Motta Renata Souza The Rio Deserves Much More [14]

[15]


Social Democratic Party
(PSD 55)
Eduardo Paes Eduardo Cavaliere It's Rio Moving Forward [16]

[17]


Popular Unity
(UP 80)
Juliete Pantoja
  • Teacher and Population Educator
Vinícius Benevides
  • Activist of the Movement for Struggle in Neighborhoods, Towns and Favelas
N/a [18]

Withdrawn candidates

  • Martha Rocha (PDT) – State Deputy of Rio de Janeiro (2015–present). She announced her support to Paes' reelection bid on 28 March 2024.[19]
  • Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) – State Deputy of Rio de Janeiro (2003–2019) and Senator for Rio de Janeiro (2019–present).[20]
  • Pedro Duarte (NOVO) – Councillor of Rio de Janeiro (2021–present). He'll run for re-election as a councillor in a decision taken along with his party.[21]
  • Otoni de Paula (MDB) – Federal Deputy from Rio de Janeiro (2019–present) and Councillor of Rio de Janeiro (2017–2019); he withdrew his candidacy on 14 June 2024 to take over the campaign coordination of Eduardo Paes with the Evangelical Christians.[22]
  • Dani Balbi (PCdoB) – State Deputy of Rio de Janeiro (2023–present). The Communist Party of Brazil withdrew her candidacy in order to support Paes' campaign.[23]
  • Cabo Daciolo (Republicanos) – Federal Deputy from Rio de Janeiro (2015–2019). His candidacy was withdrawn on 31 July 2024 as his party decided to support Alexandre Ramagem's candidacy.[24]

Outgoing Municipal Chamber

The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:

Affiliation Members +/–
Elected[25] Current[26][b]
PSD 3 13 Increase10
PSOL 7 6 Decrease1
MDB 1 5 Increase4
PT 3 4 Increase1
Republicanos 7 4 Decrease3
UNIÃO didn't exist 3 Increase3
PP 2 3 Increase1
PL 2 3 Increase1
PDT 1 2 Increase1
PRD didn't exist 1 Increase1
PSDB 0 1 Increase1
PV 0 1 Increase1
NOVO 1 1 Steady
Solidarity 1 1 Steady
Agir 1 1[c] Steady
DC 1 1 Steady
MOBILIZA 1 1[d] Steady
PODE 1 0 Decrease1
PROS 1 extinct party[e] Decrease1
Patriota 1 extinct party[f] Decrease1
PSL 1 extinct party[g] Decrease1
Cidadania 2 0 Decrease2
PTB 2 extinct party[h] Decrease2
PSC 2 extinct party[i] Decrease2
Avante 3 0 Decrease3
DEM 7 extinct party[j] Decrease7
Total 51

Opinion polls

First round

2024

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

Sample

size

Paes
PSD
Ramagem
PL
Motta
PSOL
Queiroz
PP
Garcia
PSTU
Amorim
UNIÃO
Sponza
NOVO
Pantoja
UP
Simonard
PCO
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Datafolha 3–4 September 1,106 59% 11% 6% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% N/a 18% 48%
Real Time Big Data 30–31 August 1,000 58% 14% 8% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% N/a 15% 44%
30 August Beginning of the period of electoral propaganda on radio and television.[34]
Quaest 25–27 August 1,140 60% 9% 5% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 0% N/a 19% 51%
26% 5% 1% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 68% 21%
Datafolha 20–21 August 1,106 56% 9% 7% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 0% N/a 18% 47%
32% 6% 2% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 4% 57% 26%
Futura/100% Cidades 6–11 August 1,000 61.2% 9.9% 5% 0.2% 1.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.5% 0.1% 4.8%[k] 14.6% 51.3%
49.8% 10.1% 8.3% 1% 7.9% 3.7% 0.5% 0.9% N/a N/a 17.8% 39.7%
Atlas/Intel 2–7 August 1,600 45.8% 32.3% 12.9% 1.4% 0.7% 1.2% 2.6% 0.3% 0% N/a 2.7% 13.5%
Prefab Future 30 July 1,004 43.6% 6.9% 4% 2.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0% N/a 38% 36.7%
70.3% 11.1% 6.5% 3.7% 3.4% 2.7% 1.3% 1% 0% N/a [l] 59.2%
30 July Cabo Daciolo's candidacy (Republicanos) is withdrawn by his party in support of Alexandre Ramagem's (PL) candidacy.[24]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

Sample

size

Paes
PSD
Ramagem
PL
Motta
PSOL
Garcia
PSTU
Amorim
UNIÃO
Pantoja
UP
Queiroz
PP
Sponza
NOVO
Simonard
PCO
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Agência de Notícias das Favelas (ANF) 25–27 July 774[m] 40% 4% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% N/a N/a 2%[n] 44% 36%
Quaest 19–22 July 1,104 49% 13% 7% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 0% N/a 19% 36%
52% 14% 10% N/a 3% N/a 2% N/a N/a N/a 19% 38%
16 July Dani Balbi's candidacy is withdrawn by the Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB) in order to support Paes' reelection bid.[23]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

Sample

size

Paes
PSD
Ramagem
PL
Motta
PSOL
Daciolo
Republicanos
Amorim
UNIÃO
Sponza
NOVO
Garcia
PSTU
Queiroz
PP
Balbi
PCdoB
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Datafolha 2–4 July 840 53% 7% 9% N/a 2% 0% 3% 2% 1% 3%[o] 19% 44%
55% 7% 10% N/a N/a 1% 4% N/a N/a 20% 45%
Futura/100% Cidades 20–26 June 1,000 51.6% 8.4% 6.1% N/a 1.4% 0.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.6% 3.8%[p] 25.8% 43.2%
Quaest 13–16 June 1,145 51% 11% 8% N/a 4% N/a N/a 2% N/a N/a 24% 40%
47%[q] 29%[r] 5% N/a 1% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 17% 18%
14 June Otoni de Paula withdraws his candidacy and joins Eduardo Paes' campaign.[22]
11 May–5 June Pedro Duarte withdraws his potential candidacy to run for his reelection bid as a councillor of Rio de Janeiro.
Carol Sponza is announced as a potential mayoral candidate of the New Party (NOVO).[21]
Cabo Daciolo is announced as a potential mayoral candidate of the Republicans.[35]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

Sample

size

Paes
PSD
Ramagem
PL
Motta
PSOL
Otoni
MDB
Amorim
UNIÃO
Duarte
NOVO
Garcia
PSTU
Queiroz
PP
Balbi
PCdoB
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 24–29 April 800 46.1% 13.6% 7.4% 3% 2.1% 1.6% 4.5% 1.9% 2.8% N/a 17% 32.5%
46.8% 15.6% 8.1% N/a N/a N/a 5.1% 2.8% 3.4% N/a 18.3% 31.2%
Prefab Future 27–28 April 1,019 35% 3.2% 5.4% 3.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.8% 2.6% N/a N/a 46.2% 29.6%
65.1% 6% 10% 5.8% 4.6% 2.2% 1.5% 4.8% N/a N/a [s] 55.1%
Atlas Intel 18–23 April 1,239 42.6% 31.2% 12.7% 2.3% N/a 3.8% N/a 0.5% 1.3% N/a 5.5% 11.4%
Futura/100% Cidades 11–22 April 1,000 44.1% 9% 7.8% 3.4% 1% 0.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.4% 5%[t] 25.1% 35.1%
42.2% N/a 7.2% 3.5% N/a 0.8% N/a N/a 1.3% 26%[u] 19% 16.2%
48.6% 10.2% 9.8% N/a N/a 1.4% N/a N/a 1.7% N/a 28.3% 38.4%
Prefab Future 1–2 April 1,005 38.2% 3.9% 7.9% 3.4% 1.7% 1.4% 0.7% 3% N/a N/a 39.8% 30.3%
28 March Martha Rocha announces her support to Paes' reelection, along with the Democratic Labour Party (PDT).[19]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

Sample

size

Paes
PSD
Ramagem
PL
Motta
PSOL
Otoni
MDB
Amorim
UNIÃO
Duarte
NOVO
Garcia
PSTU
Queiroz
PP
Balbi
PCdoB
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Real Time Big Data 22–23 March 1,000 40% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 2% 1% 0% 8%[v] 15% 27%

2023

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

Sample

size

Paes
PSD
Ramagem
PL
Motta
PSOL
Rocha
PDT
Otoni
MDB
Amorim
PRD
Freixo
PT
Molon
PSB
Queiroz
PP
Duarte
NOVO
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
AtlasIntel[36] 25–30 December 800 36.2% 19.1% 17.8% N/a 6.9% N/a N/a N/a N/a 2.5% N/a 17.4% 17.1%
Paraná Pesquisas[37] 17–20 November 810 44.4% 9.6% 7.2% 8.1% N/a 2.7% N/a 5.4% 0.9% N/a N/a 21.6% 34.8%
43.1% 9.4% 6.8% 7.5% 4.2% 2.3% N/a 5.2% 0.9% N/a N/a 20.6% 33.7%
1 November Former president of Brazil Jair Bolsonaro (PL) nominates Alexandre Ramagem (PL) as a potential candidate for mayor in the 2024 elections.[38]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

Sample

size

Paes
PSD
Portinho
PL
Motta
PSOL
Rocha
PDT
Otoni
MDB
Amorim
PTB
Freixo
PT
Luizinho
PP
Pampolha
UNIÃO
Duarte
NOVO
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Prefab Future[39] 18–20 August 1,000 34.8% 1.1% 10.1% N/a 6.1% N/a N/a 2.1% 2.6% 3.1% N/a 44.8% 24.7%
32.2% 0.8% 8.9% N/a 5.2% 2.4% N/a N/a N/a 2.2% 1.3%[w] 47% 23.3%
Gerp[40] 9–14 August 600 31% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a 10%[x] 49% 21%
31 May Flávio Bolsonaro withdraws his potential candidacy for mayor in the 2024 elections.[20]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

Sample

size

Paes
PSD
Flávio
PL
Motta
PSOL
Rocha
PDT
Crivella
Republicanos
Pazuello
PL
Renata
PSOL
Luizinho
PP
Pampolha
UNIÃO
Alencar
PSOL
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Brasmarket[41] 17–19 April 1,100 25.4% 16.9% 6.2% N/a N/a N/a N/a 2.1% N/a N/a 4.6%[y] 44.9% 8.5%
25.4% 16.5% 5.7% 4.5% N/a 1.6% N/a 1.3% N/a N/a 10.6%[z] 35.3% 8.9%
27.6% 18.5% 6.5% N/a 2.5% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 37.3% 9.1%
26.7%[aa] 26.8%[ab] 4.9%[ac] 6%[ad] 4.7%[ae] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 30.8% 0.1%
Prefab Future[42] 27–29 March 1,565 34.5% N/a 4.1% N/a N/a N/a N/a 2.1% 2.6% N/a 3.9%[af] 52.8% 30.4%
31.4% 4.5% 4% 3.6% N/a 1.1% N/a 2.1% 2.2% N/a 5.6%[ag] 45.5% 26.9%
Paraná Pesquisas[43] 2–5 March 1,000 35.5% 22.1% 7.1% N/a N/a N/a N/a 3% 2.4% N/a 8.5%[ah] 21.4% 13.4%
37.2% 23.3% 9.5% N/a N/a N/a N/a 3.2% N/a N/a 3%[ai] 23.8% 13.9%
34.4% N/a 7.6% N/a N/a N/a N/a 2.9% 2.7% N/a 24.9%[aj] 27.5% 20.1%
Instituto Rio21 9–12 January 1,476 31.3% 27.7% 11.84% 5.88% 4.06% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 19.21% 3.6%
33.8% N/a N/a 7.13% 4.65% 26.13% 7.76% N/a N/a N/a N/a 20.46% 7.67%
30.24% N/a N/a 7.51% N/a N/a N/a 13.62% 2.93% 12.63% N/a 33.77% 16.62%
27.1% N/a N/a 7.05% N/a N/a N/a 13.52% N/a N/a 27.92%[ak] 24.44% 12.58%
34.14% N/a N/a 8.24% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 21.01%[al] 36.58% 25.9%
33.3% N/a N/a 9.18% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 18.28%[am] 39.21% 24.15%

Second round

Eduardo Paes and Alexandre Ramagem

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

Sample

size

Paes
PSD
Ramagem
PL
Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Real Time Big Data 30–31 August 2024 1,000 60% 25% 15% 35%
Datafolha 20–21 August 2024 1,106 68% 18% 14% 50%
Atlas/Intel 2–7 August 2024 1,600 57.5% 36% 6.5% 21.5%
Quaest 19–22 July 2024 1,104 62% 25% 13% 37%
Futura/100% Cidades 20–26 June 2024 1,000 63.8% 20.1% 16.1% 43.7%
Quaest 13–16 June 2024 1,145 57% 27% 16% 30%
Atlas Intel 18–23 April 2024 1,239 51% 36.7% 12.3% 14.3%
Real Time Big Data 22–23 March 2024 1,000 55% 29% 16% 26%

Eduardo Paes and Tarcísio Motta

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

Sample

size

Paes
PSD
Motta
PSOL
Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Datafolha 20–21 August 2024 1,106 62% 21% 17% 41%
Atlas/Intel 2–7 August 2024 1,600 47.8% 26% 26.2% 21.8%
Quaest 19–22 July 2024 1,104 57% 24% 19% 33%
Futura/100% Cidades 20–26 June 2024 1,000 61.9% 17.6% 20.5% 44.3%
Atlas Intel 18–23 April 2024 1,239 50.3% 21% 28.7% 29.3%
Real Time Big Data 22–23 March 2024 1,000 64% 20% 16% 44%

Hypothetical scenario with Martha Rocha

Eduardo Paes and Martha Rocha (withdrawn)
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

Sample

size

Paes
PSD
Rocha
PDT
Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Real Time Big Data 22–23 March 2024 1,000 58% 27% 15% 31%

Hypothetical scenario with Flávio Bolsonaro (withdrawn)

Eduardo Paes and Flávio Bolsonaro (withdrawn)
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

Sample

size

Paes
PSD
Flávio
PL
Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Futura/100% Cidades 11–22 April 2024 1,000 53.8% 32% 14.2% 21.8%

Rejection of candidates

In some opinion polls, the interviewee can choose more than one alternative (the so-called "multiple rejection"), therefore, the sum of the percentages of all candidates can exceed 100% of the votes in some scenarios.

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Paes
PSD
Motta
PSOL
Ramagem
PL
Garcia
PSTU
Queiroz
PP
Amorim
UNIÃO
Pantoja
UP
Simonard
PCO
Sponza
NOVO
Could vote
in anyone
Others Abst.
Undec.
Quaest 25–27 August 2024 1,140 26% 38% 27% 43% 26% 23% 12% 11% 8% N/a N/a N/a
Datafolha 20–21 August 2024 1,106 19% 22% 23% 24% 15% 16% 14% 14% 16% 8%[an] N/a 11%
Futura/100% Cidades 6–11 August 2024 1,000 14.7% 24% N/a 25% N/a N/a 24% N/a N/a N/a 28.6%[ao] N/a
Prefab Future 30 July 2024 1,004 17.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.3% 4.5% 3.3% 2.2% 1.5% 1.4% 9.1% N/a 29.3%
30 July 2024 Cabo Daciolo's candidacy (Republicanos) is withdrawn by his party in support of Alexandre Ramagem's (PL) candidacy.[24]
14 June–16 July 2024 Otoni de Paula withdraws his candidacy and joins Eduardo Paes' campaign.[22] Dani Balbi's candidacy is withdrawn by the Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB) in order to support Paes' election bid.[23]
11 May–5 June 2024 Pedro Duarte withdraws his potential candidacy to run for his re-election bid as a councillor of Rio de Janeiro.
Carol Sponza is announced as the mayoral candidate of the New Party (NOVO).[21]
Cabo Daciolo is announced as a potential mayoral candidate of the Republicans.[35]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Paes
PSD
Ramagem
PL
Motta
PSOL
Otoni
MDB
Amorim
UNIÃO
Duarte
NOVO
Garcia
PSTU
Queiroz
PP
Balbi
PCdoB
Could vote
in anyone
Others Abst.
Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas 24–29 April 2024 800 25.4% 18.3% 14.1% 8.4% 11.4% 8.8% 23.4% 11.5% 8.9% N/a N/a 15%
Prefab Future 27–28 April 2024 1,019 22% 4.5% 9.1% 2% 2.6% 2.6% 10.3% 2.7% N/a 12% N/a 32.2%
Prefab Future 1–2 April 2024 1,005 16.4% 3.6% 6.4% 3.3% 1.6% 1% 9% 2.7% N/a 19.6% N/a 36.4%
1 November 2023–28 March 2024 Former president of Brazil Jair Bolsonaro (PL) nominates Alexandre Ramagem (PL) as a potential candidate for mayor in the 2024 elections.[38]Martha Rocha announces her support to Paes' reelection, along with the Democratic Labour Party (PDT).[19]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Paes
PSD
Portinho
PL
Motta
PSOL
Luizinho
PP
Pampolha
UNIÃO
Otoni
MDB
Duarte
NOVO
Amorim
PTB
Queiroz
PP
Could vote
in anyone
Others Abst.
Undec.
Prefab Future 18–20 August 2023 1,000 20% 3.8% 10.9% N/a N/a 4.5% 1.9% 2.6% N/a 15.7% 10%[ap] 30.6%
31 May 2023 Flávio Bolsonaro withdraws his potential candidacy for mayor in the 2024 elections.[20]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Paes
PSD
Flávio
PL
Motta
PSOL
Luizinho
PP
Pampolha
UNIÃO
Otoni
MDB
Duarte
NOVO
Amorim
PTB
Queiroz
PP
Could vote
in anyone
Others Abst.
Undec.
Prefab Future 27–29 March 2023 1,565 19.4% 35% 6.3% 1.4% 1.7% 1% N/a N/a N/a 4.9% 6.3%[aq] 24%

Results

Notes

References

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