2024 Salvador mayoral election

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2024 Salvador municipal election

 2020 6 October 2024 (2024-10-06) (first round) 2028 
Mayoral election
 
Candidate Bruno Reis Kleber Rosa Geraldo Júnior
Party UNIÃO PSOL MDB
Alliance The Work Doesn't Stop No coalition Salvador for All Everyone
Running mate Ana Paula Matos Miralva Nascimento Fabya Reis
Popular vote 1.045.690 138.610 137.298
Percentage 78,67% 10,43% 10,33%

Mayor before election

Bruno Reis
UNIÃO

Elected mayor

Bruno Reis
UNIÃO

Parliamentary election
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
Municipal Chamber
UNIÃO Paulo Magalhaes Jr 7 −1
PSDB-Cidadania Carlos Muniz 6 +2
PP Jorge Araújo Repórter 5 +5
Republicanos Luiz Carlos 4 +1
PDT Omarzinho 4 +2
FE Brasil André Fraga 4 −3
PRD Kênio Rezende 2 −3
PODE João Cláudio Bacelar 2 −1
PL Alexandre Aleluia 2 0
DC Ricardo Almeida 2 +1
PSOL-REDE Eliete Paraguassu 2 +1
PSB Silvio Humberto 1 0
PSD Felipe Santana 1 0
MDB Dr. David Rios 1 −1
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.

The 2024 Salvador municipal election took place in the city of Salvador, Brazil on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, vice mayor, and 43 councillors. The incumbent mayor, Bruno Reis, of the Brazil Union (UNIÃO), is able to run for a second term.

If the most voted candidate on the first round doesn't achieve more than 50% of the votes, a second round will happen on 27 October 2024. The mayor's term will begin on 1 January 2025 and end on 31 December 2028.[1]

2020 election

The last mayoral election in Rio de Janeiro, held in 2020, resulted in a largest victory of Bruno Reis (DEM) in the first round. Reis obtained 779.408 votes or 64.20% of the valid votes against his main opponent. He had been vice mayor of the municipality under popular incumbent ACM Neto. His election was viewed as a continued endorsement of ACM Neto's mayorship.[2]

Reis later supported ACM Neto's unsuccessful bid for governor in 2022.

Electoral calendar

Electoral calendar announced by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) on 3 January 2024[1]
7 March – 5 April Period of the 'party window' for councillors. During this period, the councillors are able to move to other political parties in order to run for election while not losing their respective political terms.
6 April Deadline for all parties and party federations to obtain the registration of their statutes at the Superior Electoral Court and for all candidates to have their electoral domicile in the constituency in which they wish to contest the elections with the affiliation granted by the party.
15 May Start of the preliminary fundraising campaign in the form of collective financing for potential candidates. During this period, candidates are not allowed to ask for votes and are still subjected to obey the rules regarding electoral propaganda on the Internet.
20 July – 5 August On this date, party conventions begin to deliberate on coalitions and choose candidates for mayors and councillors tickets. Parties have until 15 August to register their names with the Brazilian Election Justice.
16 August Beginning of electoral campaigns on an equal basis, with any advertising or demonstration explicitly requesting for votes before the date being considered irregular and subject to fines.
30 August – 3 October Broadcasting of free electoral propaganda on radio and television.
6 October Date of mayoral elections.
27 October Date of a possible second round in cities with more than 200,000 voters in which the most voted candidate for mayor has not reached 50% of the valid votes.

Candidates

Presumptive candidates

Party Mayoral candidate Running mate Coalition

Brazilian Democratic Movement
(MDB 15)
Geraldo Júnior
  • Vice Governor of Bahia (2023–present)
  • Councillor of Salvador (2013–2023)

Workers' Party
(PT)
Fabya Reis
  • Secretary of Social Welfare and Development of Bahia (2023–2024)
Salvador for All Everyone

Brazilian Communist Party
(PCB 21)
Giovani Damico
Brazilian Communist Party
(PCB)
Cheyenne Ayalla
  • Student and activist of the Brazilian Communist Party

Brazil Union
(UNIÃO 44)
Bruno Reis
  • Mayor of Salvador (2021–present)
  • Vice Mayor of Salvador (2017–2021)
  • State Deputy of Bahia (2011–2016)

Democratic Labour Party
(PDT)
Ana Paula Matos
  • Vice Mayor of Salvador (2021–present)
The Work Doesn't Stop

Socialism and Liberty Party
(PSOL 50)
Kleber Rosa
  • Social scientist, black movement activist, general coordinator of the Federation of Public Workers of the State of Bahia (FETRAB)

Socialism and Liberty Party
(PSOL)
Miralva Nascimento
  • Popular educator and executive coordinator of the Bahia Homeless Movement (BHM)
Popular Unity
(UP 80)
Eslane Paixão Popular Unity
(UP)
Giovana Ferreira
  • Popular Unity (UP)[3]

Potential candidates

United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)

  • Victor Marinho – Researcher at the Laboratory of Marxist Studies and Research (LEMARX — FACED/UFBA).[17]

Withdrawn candidates

Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB)

  • Zé Trindade – President of the Bahia State Urban Development Company (Conder) (2021–present)[18] and councillor of Salvador (2013–2020). He left the race as a potential candidate on 1 September 2023 due to personal and health reasons.[19]
  • Lídice da Mata – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Bahia (1987–1991; 2007–2011; 2019–present); Senator for Bahia (2011–2019); Member of the Legislative Assembly of Bahia (1999–2007); Mayor of Salvador (1993–1997) and councillor of Salvador (1983–1987). On 1 March 2024, she announced that running for mayor in the 2024 local elections of Brazil wasn't in her plans and she was focused on other tasks as a politician.[20] She was announced as the coordinator of Geraldo Júnior's campaign on the end of April 2024.[21]

New Party (NOVO)

  • Luciana Buck – University professor and company administrator. Her own party decided to support Reis' reelection bid and she decided to run for a seat at the Municipal Chamber of Salvador.[22]

Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB)

  • Olívia Santana – Member of the Legislative Assembly of Bahia (2019–present); Secretary of Labor, Employment, Income and Sports of Bahia (2017–2018); Secretary of Policies for Women of Bahia (2015–2017) and Councillor of Salvador (2005–2012). The Brazil of Hope Federation, which the Communist Party of Brazil is a part of, decided to support Junior's candidacy for mayor and nominated Fabya Reis as his running mate.[4]

Opinion polls

First round

2024

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Reis
UNIÃO
Júnior
MDB
Rosa
PSOL
Marinho
PSTU
Paixão
UP
Damico
PCB
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Futura/100% Cidades 6–12 August 1,000 61.2% 13.8% 4.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 19.3% 47.4%
Real Time Big Data 31 July–1 August 1,000 51% 22% 5% 1% 1% 20% 29%
Paraná Pesquisas[23] 12–15 July 800 67.6% 12.5% 3% 2.8% 14.2% 55.1%
Real Time Big Data 5–6 July 1,000 50% 20% 6% 0% 0% 1% 23% 30%
Futura/100% Cidades 13–20 June 1,000 63.1% 12% 2.8% 1.5% 1.1% 0.1% 19.3% 51.1%
47.1% 9% 1.9% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 22.3%[a] 16.7% 35.8%
52.1% 9.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 17.2%[b] 15.4% 39.3%
5 June The Brazil of Hope federation (PT, PCdoB and PV) decides to support Júnior's candidacy
for mayor and nominates Fabya Reis as his running mate.[4]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Reis
UNIÃO
Júnior
MDB
Rosa
PSOL
Marinho
PSTU
Paixão
UP
Damico
PCB
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Paraná Pesquisas[24] 29 May–3 June 800 64% 11% 3.8% 3.3% 18% 53%
13 May Victor Marinho is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU).[25]
Giovani Damico is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the Brazilian Communist Party (PCB).[25]
12–30 April The New Party (NOVO) withdraws Buck's candidacy in order to support Reis reelection bid.
She is announced as a candidate for councillor of the Municipal Chamber of Salvador.[22]
The Liberal Party (PL) announces the support for Reis' reelection bid.[26]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Reis
UNIÃO
Júnior
MDB
Roma
PL
Rosa
PSOL
Buck
NOVO
Paixão
UP
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Paraná Pesquisas[27] 22–27 March 800 62.3% 13.8% 2.8% 2.4% 18.9% 48.5%
Real Time Big Data 25–26 March 1,000 48% 18% 7% 3% 24% 30%
43% 18% 13% 7% 2% 17% 25%
19 March Eslane Paixão is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the Popular Unity (UP).[25]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Reis
UNIÃO
Júnior
MDB
Roma
PL
Rosa
PSOL
Buck
NOVO
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Atlas Intel[28] 4–7 March 809 51.4% 18.4% 8.4% 1.8% 20% 33%
64.4% 23% 10.4% 2.2% [c] 41.4%
Paraná Pesquisas[29] 18–23 January 802 59.9% 11.2% 6.1% 2.2% 1.4% 19.2% 48.7%
62.7% 12.1% 2.9% 1.6% 20.7% 50.6%

2023

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Reis
UNIÃO
Júnior
MDB
Rosa
PSOL
Buck
NOVO
Santana
PCdoB
da Mata
PSB
Roma
PL
Brito
PSD
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Atlas Intel[30] 25–30 December 800 51.9% 12% 10% 4.3% 21.8% 39.9%
16 December The university professor and company administrator, Luciana Buck is announced
as a potential candidate for mayor by the New Party (NOVO).[31]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Reis
UNIÃO
Júnior
MDB
Santana
PCdoB
da Mata
PSB
Brito
PSD
Roma
PL
Bacelar
PV
Rosa
PSOL
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Instituto Veritá 12–13 December 1,018 32% 6% 2.8% 4.4% 2.8% 1.8% 14.9%[d] 35.4% 22.5%
Futura Inteligência 7–11 December 1,015 41.5% 5.4% 5% 10.7% 2.4% 5% 0.8% 10.3%[e] 18.8% 30.8%
41.3% 6% 9% 2.9% 5.4% 1.1% 15.4%[f] 18.8% 28.7%
49.4% 8.4% 12.5% 6.7% 1.3% 2.8%[g] 18.9% 36.9%
1 September Zé Trindade (PSB), president of the President of the Bahia State Urban Development Company
and former councillor of Salvador, withdraws his potential candidacy for mayor.[19]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Reis
UNIÃO
Júnior
MDB
Santana
PCdoB
da Mata
PSB
Brito
PSD
Roma
PL
Bacelar
PV
Rosa
PSOL
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Instituto Veritá 7–28 July 1,001 29.6% 9.2% 5.6% 5.1% 3.3% 3.1% 1.9% 2.3%[h] 39.9% 20.4%

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Reis
UNIÃO
Neto
UNIÃO
da Mata
PSB
Roma
PL
Santana
PCdoB
Júnior
MDB
Bacelar
PV
Brito
PSD
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Paraná Pesquisas[32] 17–21 March 804 38.1% 10.2% 7% 6.6% 4.5% 3.1% 2.6% 7.3%[i] 20.6% 27.9%
60% 7.1% 5.7% 5.3% 3% 1.4% 1.6% 4.3%[j] 11.5% 52.9%

Second round

These are the hypothetical scenarios of a second round.

Bruno Reis and Geraldo Júnior

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Reis
UNIÃO
Júnior
MDB
Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Real Time Big Data 5–6 July 2024 1,000 52% 24% 24% 28%
Futura/100% Cidades 13–20 June 2024 1,000 68.7% 19.7% 11.7% 49%
Real Time Big Data 25–26 March 2024 1,000 51% 24% 25% 27%

Hypothetical scenario with João Roma

Bruno Reis and João Roma (withdrawn)

Bruno Reis and João Roma

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Reis
UNIÃO
Roma
PL
Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Real Time Big Data 25–26 March 2024 1,000 47% 17% 36% 30%

Rejection of candidates

In some opinion polls, the interviewee can choose more than one alternative (the so-called "multiple rejection"), therefore, the sum of the percentages of all candidates can exceed 100% of the votes in some scenarios

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Júnior
MDB
Marinho
PSTU
Rosa
PSOL
Reis
UNIÃO
Paixão
UP
Marinho
PSTU
Damico
PCB
Could vote
in anyone
Others Abst.
Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas[23] 12–15 July 2024 800 37.1% 24.8% 20.4% 17.9% 5.1% 17%
5 June The Brazil of Hope federation (PT, PCdoB and PV) decides to support Júnior's candidacy
for mayor and nominates Fabya Reis as his running mate.[4]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Júnior
MDB
Marinho
PSTU
Rosa
PSOL
Reis
UNIÃO
Paixão
UP
Marinho
PSTU
Damico
PCB
Could vote
in anyone
Others Abst.
Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas[24] 29 May–3 June 2024 800 38% 27.5% 24.6% 19.8% 4% 14.4%
13 May Victor Marinho is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU).[25]
Giovani Damico is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the Brazilian Communist Party (PCB).[25]
12–30 April 2024 The New Party (NOVO) withdraws Buck's candidacy in order to support Reis reelection bid.
She is announced as a candidate for councillor at the Municipal Chamber of Salvador.[22]
The Liberal Party (PL) announces the support for Reis' reelection bid.[26]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Roma
PL
Júnior
MDB
Reis
UNIÃO
Rosa
PSOL
Buck
NOVO
Paixão
UP
Could vote
in anyone
Others Abst.
Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas[27] 22–27 March 2024 800 36.4% 23.6% 26% 26.6% 2.5% 13.9%
19 March 2024 Eslane Paixão is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the Popular Unity (UP).[25]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Roma
PL
Júnior
MDB
Reis
UNIÃO
Rosa
PSOL
Buck
NOVO
Could vote
in anyone
Others Abst.
Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas[29] 18–23 January 2024 802 30.7% 27.3% 19.5% 18% 16.1% 4.2% 18.3%

Outgoing Municipal Chamber

The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:

Affiliation Members +/–
2020[33] 2024[34]
UNIÃO didn't exist 6 Increase6
PP 0 5 Increase5
Republicanos 3 5 Increase2
PSDB 3 4 Increase1
PT 4 4 Steady
DC 1 3 Increase2
PDT 2 3 Increase1
PRD didn't exist 2 Increase2
PCdoB 2 2 Steady
PL 2 2 Steady
PMB 0 1 Increase1
PSD 1 1 Steady
PSB 1 1 Steady
PSOL 1 1 Steady
PV 1 1 Steady
MDB 2 1 Decrease1
PODE 2 1 Decrease1
Avante 1 0 Decrease1
Cidadania 1 0 Decrease1
MOBILIZA 1 0 Decrease1
Solidarity 1 0 Decrease1
PSC 1 extinct party[k] Decrease1
PSL 1 extinct party[l] Decrease1
PTB 2 extinct party[m] Decrease2
Patriota 3 extinct party[n] Decrease3
DEM 7 extinct party[o] Decrease7
Total 43


Results

Notes

References

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