2024 San Francisco mayoral election
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The 2024 San Francisco mayoral election took place on November 5, 2024, to elect the mayor of San Francisco, California. It was originally scheduled for November 7, 2023, but following the passage of Proposition H in 2022, mayoral elections were rescheduled to coincide with presidential elections. The election used ranked-choice voting.
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November 5, 2024
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| Turnout | 78.93% ( 37.29 pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 First round results by precinct | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent mayor London Breed ran for re-election to a second term in office; she was considered vulnerable, as polls had consistently shown her with low approval ratings. Breed had also faced criticism for her handling of important issues in the city, including homelessness, crime, and drug addiction.[1]
On November 7, Breed conceded the race to Daniel Lurie.[2]
Background
A survey was released by the San Francisco Controller in 2023 which reported the lowest safety rating since 1996, and the lowest government rating since 2002.[3] Polling in June reported that 64% of people did not believe London Breed should be reelected and she had a 66% disapproval rating.[4][5]
Candidates
- London Breed, incumbent mayor[6]
- Mark Farrell, former San Francisco supervisor from the 2nd district and former interim mayor[7]
- Henry Flynn, security guard[8]
- Keith Freedman, teacher[8]
- Dylan Hirsch-Shell, engineer[8]
- Daniel Lurie, founder and former CEO of Tipping Point Community[9]
- Nelson Mei, software engineer[8]
- Aaron Peskin, president of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[10]
- Paul Robertson, teacher and candidate for mayor in 2019[11]
- Ahsha Safaí, San Francisco supervisor from 11th district[12]
- Shahram Shariati, transportation engineer[13]
- Jon Soderstrom, tour guide[14]
- Ellen Lee Zhou, social worker and candidate for mayor in 2018 and 2019[15]
Debates and forums
| Date | Host | Moderator(s) | Link | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee W Withdrawn |
||||||||
| London Breed | Mark Farrell | Daniel Lurie | Aaron Peskin | Ahsha Safaí | ||||
| May 20, 2024 (cancelled)[16] |
TogetherSF Action | Karen Breslau Kim-Mai Cutler |
W | A | W | W | A | |
| June 12, 2024 | City Arts & Lectures | Heather Knight Manny Yekutiel |
Video | P | P | P | P | P |
| June 17, 2024 | San Francisco Democratic Party |
Terisa Estacio | P | P | P | P | P | |
| July 8, 2024 | Stop Crime Action Stop Crime SF ConnectedSF |
Frank Noto Amber Lee |
P | P | P | A | P | |
| Sept. 5, 2024 | District 8 Neighborhood Groups |
Joe Fitzgerald Rodriguez | Video | A | P | P | P | P |
| Sept. 11, 2024 | KPIX San Francisco Examiner KCBS |
Ryan Yamamoto Doug Sovereign Adam Shanks |
A | P | P | P | P | |
| Sept. 19, 2024 | KQED San Francisco Chronicle |
Joe Garofoli Marisa Lagos Scott Shafer |
Video | P | P | P | P | P |
| Sept. 26, 2024 | Asian Pacific Islander Council | Richard Lui Gia Vang |
P | P | P | P | P | |
| Sept. 28, 2024 | San Francisco Latino Parity and Equity Coalition |
Chris Iglesias Ani Rivera |
P | A | P | P | P | |
| Sept. 30, 2024 | League of Women Voters of San Francisco |
Alison Goh Darcy Brown |
Video | A | P | P | P | P |
Endorsements
London Breed
- State legislators
- Scott Wiener, state senator[17]
- Local officials
- Michela Alioto-Pier, former San Francisco supervisor[18]
- Willie Brown, former mayor of San Francisco (1996–2004)[19]
- Matt Dorsey, San Francisco supervisor[18]
- Joel Engardio, San Francisco supervisor[17]
- Brooke Jenkins, San Francisco district attorney[20]
- Jane Kim, former San Francisco supervisor[21]
- Rafael Mandelman, San Francisco supervisor[17]
- Paul Miyamoto, San Francisco Sheriff[17]
- Mano Raju, San Francisco public defender[21]
- Hillary Ronen, San Francisco supervisor[21]
- Catherine Stefani, San Francisco supervisor[22]
- Shamann Walton, San Francisco supervisor[21]
- Individuals
- Michael Bloomberg, former mayor of New York City (2002-2013)[23]
- Danny Glover, actor[17]
- Dolores Huerta, co-founder of United Farm Workers[24]
- Political parties
- San Francisco Democratic Party[25]
- Organizations
- Alice B. Toklas LGBTQ Democratic Club[26]
- Black Women Organized for Political Action[27]
- Eastern Neighborhoods Democratic Club[28]
- Edwin M. Lee Asian Pacific Democratic Club[29]
- EMILY's List[30]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[31]
- GrowSF[28]
- MomsRising[32]
- Planned Parenthood[33]
- San Francisco Bicycle Coalition[34]
- San Francisco League of Conservation Voters[35]
- San Francisco Police Officers Association[36]
- San Francisco Women's Political Committee[37]
- San Francisco YIMBY Action[38]
- San Francisco Young Democrats[39]
- United Democratic Club[28]
- Labor unions
- District Council of Plasterers & Cement Masons Northern California (OPCMIA Local 300)[28]
- International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees Local 16[28]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 350[28]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 665[28]
- International Longshore and Warehouse Union Local 10[28]
- International Union of Operating Engineers Local 3[28]
- Laborers' International Union of North America Local 261[40]
- Service Employees International Union Local 2015[41]
- United Brotherhood of Carpenters (Nor Cal Carpenters Union)[28]
- Editorial boards
- Bay Area Reporter editorial board[42]
Mark Farrell
- Local officials
- Catherine Stefani, San Francisco supervisor[22]
- Organizations
- Edwin M. Lee Asian Pacific Democratic Club[28]
- GrowSF[28]
- San Francisco Chinese American Democratic Club[43]
- TogetherSF Action[44]
- Labor unions
- Floorcoverers Local 12[28]
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers (SMART) Local 104[28]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 6[28]
- International Union of Elevator Constructors Local 8[45]
- Painters and Drywall Finishers Local 913[28]
- Plumbers, Steamfitters, HVACR Local 38[28]
- San Francisco Building and Construction Trades Council[46]
- San Francisco Deputy Sheriffs' Association[47]
- San Francisco Fire Fighters (IAFF Local 798)[43]
Daniel Lurie
Local officials
- Matt Gonzalez, former president of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors and running mate of Ralph Nader in the 2008 presidential election (second choice)[48]
- Frank Jordan, former mayor of San Francisco (1992–1996)[49]
Organizations
Editorial boards
- San Francisco Chronicle editorial board[50]
Aaron Peskin
- State legislators
- Local officials
- Art Agnos, former mayor of San Francisco (1988-1992)[51]
- Matt Gonzalez, former president of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors and running mate of Ralph Nader in the 2008 presidential election (first choice)[48]
- Jane Kim, former San Francisco supervisor[21]
- Hillary Ronen, San Francisco supervisor[21]
- Shamann Walton, San Francisco supervisor[21]
- Individuals
- Dolores Huerta, co-founder of the United Farm Workers[52]
- Political parties
- San Francisco Green Party[28]
- Organizations
- California Working Families Party[28]
- Harvey Milk LGBTQ Democratic Club[28]
- San Francisco Berniecrats[28]
- San Francisco Affordable Housing Alliance[53]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Teachers Local 2121[28]
- California Nurses Association[28]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 863[28]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 2785[28]
- National Union of Healthcare Workers[54]
- Service Employees International Union Local 1021[55]
- United Educators of San Francisco[28]
- UNITE HERE Local 2[28]
- UPTE-CWA 9119[28]
Ahsha Safaí
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Teachers Local 2121[28]
- Carpet, Linoleum, and Soft Tile Workers Local 12
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers (SMART) Local 104[28]
- International Union of Elevator Constructors Local 8[28]
- Iron Workers Local 377[28]
- Painters and Drywall Finishers Local 913[28]
- Plumbers, Steamfitters, HVACR Local 38[28]
- San Francisco Deputy Sheriffs' Association[47]
- San Francisco Building and Construction Trades Council[46]
- Service Employees International Union Local 87[28]
- Sprinkle Fitters Local 483[28]
- Teamsters Local 2785[28]
- United Educators of San Francisco[28]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 5, 648[28]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
RCV round |
London Breed |
Mark Farrell |
Daniel Lurie |
Aaron Peskin |
Ahsha Safaí |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Binder Research[56][A] | October 26–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | – | 23% | 17% | 26% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling[57][B] | October 18–19, 2024 | 621 (LV) | ± 4% | – | 18% | 15% | 25% | 25% | – | 6% | 11% |
| Sextant Strategies & Research[58][C] | October 15–16, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1 | 27% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 6% | 3% | – |
| 2 | 27% | 17% | 27% | 22% | 7% | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 30% | 18% | 28% | 24% | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 33% | – | 41% | 26% | – | – | – | ||||
| 5 | 44% | – | 56% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| Lieberman Data & Insights, Inc.[59][D] | October 9–19, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 1 | 25% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
| David Binder Research[60][A] | September 28 – October 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 1 | 23% | 19% | 22% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 10% |
| 2 | 27% | 23% | 27% | 18% | 5% | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 29% | 24% | 28% | 20% | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 37% | 27% | 36% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 5 | 47% | – | 53% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| FM3 Research (D)[61][E] | September 21–26, 2024 | 415 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 1 | 38% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 4% | – | 11% |
| 2 | 39% | 19% | 21% | 21% | – | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 43% | – | 34% | 23% | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 51% | – | 49% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| David Binder Research[62][A] | September 3–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1 | 26% | 28% | 26% | 14% | 6% | – | – |
| 2 | 27% | 29% | 28% | 16% | – | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 33% | 33% | 34% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 43% | – | 57% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| KRON4/Emerson College[63] | September 5–7, 2024 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1 | 20.3% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 8.5% | 1.6% | – | 26.5% |
| FM3 Research (D)[64][A] | August 21–28, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1 | 36% | 23% | 22% | 14% | 5% | – | – |
| 2 | 38% | 23% | 23% | 15% | – | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 44% | 27% | 28% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 52% | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| Probolsky Research[65][F] | July 30–August 7, 2024 | 300 (RV) | ± 5.8% | 1 | 28% | 24% | 19% | 22% | 3% | – | – |
| 2 | 28% | 24% | 19% | 22% | 3% | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 29% | 24% | 20% | 22% | 3% | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 30% | 25% | 20% | 22% | 3% | – | – | ||||
| 5 | 30% | 26% | 21% | 23% | – | – | – | ||||
| 6 | 36% | 36% | – | 28% | – | – | – | ||||
| 7 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| Sextant Strategies & Research[66][C] | July 31 – August 5, 2024 | 804 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | 28% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 5% | – | 18% |
| FM3 Research (D)[67][E] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1066 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[b] | 24% | 21% | 16% | 14% | 7% | – | 18% |
| 1 | 30% | 26% | 20% | 16% | 8% | – | – | ||||
| 2 | 33% | 27% | 21% | 19% | – | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 41% | 32% | 26% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| Impact Research (D)[68][G] | June 1–6, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | BA[b] | 21% | 23% | 20% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 11% |
| 5 | 43% | 57% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| FM3 Research (D)[69][H] | May 10–16, 2024 | 866 (LV) | ± 3.5% | BA[b] | 19% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 28% |
| 5 | 45% | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| FM3 Research (D)[70][E] | April 29–May 5, 2024 | 412 (RV) | ± 4.9% | BA[b] | 21% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | – | 28% |
| 1 | 29% | 23% | 23% | 16% | 9% | – | – | ||||
| 2 | 30% | 26% | 24% | 20% | – | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 39% | 31% | 30% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| Probolsky Research[71][F] | June 16–20, 2023 | 300 (RV) | ± 5.8% | – | 26% | – | – | – | 29% | – | 45% |
| Sextant Strategies & Research[72][C] | February 14–18, 2024 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | 18% | 20% | 16% | – | 8% | – | 38% |
| David Binder Research (D)[73][A] | January 15–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 26% | 15% | 21% | – | 10% | – | 28% |
Results
| Candidate | Maximum round |
Maximum votes |
Share in maximum round |
Maximum votes First round votesTransfer votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie | 14 | 182,364 | 55.0% |
|
| London Breed (incumbent) | 14 | 149,113 | 45.0% |
|
| Aaron Peskin | 13 | 104,279 | 28.3% |
|
| Mark Farrell | 12 | 78,878 | 20.5% |
|
| Ahsha Safaí | 11 | 13,618 | 3.5% |
|
| Ellen Lee Zhou | 10 | 10,094 | 2.6% |
|
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell | 9 | 3,939 | 1.0% |
|
| Keith Freedman | 8 | 2,539 | 0.7% |
|
| Nelson Mei | 7 | 2,043 | 0.5% |
|
| Shahram Shariati | 6 | 1,731 | 0.4% |
|
| Henry Flynn | 5 | 1,385 | 0.4% |
|
| Paul Ybarra Robertson | 4 | 838 | 0.2% |
|
| Jon Soderstrom | 3 | 412 | 0.1% |
|
| Marc Roth | 2 | 3 | 0.0% |
|
| Michael Lin | 1 | 1 | 0.0% |
|
| 2024 San Francisco Mayoral Election Ranked-Choice-Voting Round-by-Round Results[75] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | Round 5 | Round 6 | Round 7 | Round 8 | Round 9 | Round 10 | Round 11 | Round 12 | Round 13 | Round 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | |
| Daniel Lurie | 102,720 | 26.33% | +1 | 102,721 | 26.33% | +1 | 102,722 | 26.33% | +29 | 102,751 | 26.34% | +62 | 102,813 | 26.36% | +138 | 102,951 | 26.41% | +163 | 103,114 | 26.46% | +148 | 103,262 | 26.52% | +439 | 103,701 | 26.66% | +754 | 104,455 | 26.89% | +2,291 | 106,746 | 27.65% | +2,616 | 109,362 | 28.46% | +41,233 | 150,595 | 40.84% | +31,769 | 182,364 | 55.02% |
| London Breed (incumbent) | 95,117 | 24.38% | 0 | 95,117 | 24.38% | 0 | 95,117 | 24.38% | +21 | 95,138 | 24.39% | +64 | 95,202 | 24.41% | +91 | 95,293 | 24.45% | +221 | 95,514 | 24.51% | +147 | 95,661 | 24.57% | +236 | 95,897 | 24.65% | +570 | 96,467 | 24.84% | +854 | 97,321 | 25.21% | +2,591 | 99,912 | 26.00% | +13,953 | 113,865 | 30.88% | +35,248 | 149,113 | 44.98% |
| Aaron Peskin | 89,215 | 22.86% | 0 | 89,215 | 22.86% | 0 | 89,215 | 22.86% | +25 | 89,240 | 22.87% | +133 | 89,373 | 22.92% | +125 | 89,498 | 22.96% | +150 | 89,648 | 23.01% | +216 | 89,864 | 23.08% | +234 | 90,098 | 23.16% | +712 | 90,810 | 23.38% | +1,209 | 92,019 | 23.84% | +4,054 | 96,073 | 25.00% | +8,206 | 104,279 | 28.28% | -104,279 | ||
| Mark Farrell | 72,115 | 18.48% | 0 | 72,115 | 18.48% | 0 | 72,115 | 18.48% | +41 | 72,156 | 18.50% | +103 | 72,259 | 18.53% | +309 | 72,568 | 18.62% | +148 | 72,716 | 18.66% | +189 | 72,905 | 18.72% | +533 | 73,438 | 18.88% | +608 | 74,046 | 19.06% | +2,292 | 76,338 | 19.77% | +2,540 | 78,878 | 20.53% | -78,878 | |||||
| Ahsha Safaí | 11,425 | 2.93% | 0 | 11,425 | 2.93% | 0 | 11,425 | 2.93% | +29 | 11,454 | 2.94% | +36 | 11,490 | 2.95% | +64 | 11,554 | 2.96% | +390 | 11,944 | 3.07% | +98 | 12,042 | 3.09% | +150 | 12,192 | 3.13% | +364 | 12,556 | 3.23% | +1,062 | 13,618 | 3.53% | -13,618 | ||||||||
| Ellen Lee Zhou | 8,665 | 2.22% | 0 | 8,665 | 2.22% | 0 | 8,665 | 2.22% | +49 | 8,714 | 2.23% | +56 | 8,770 | 2.25% | +103 | 8,873 | 2.28% | +188 | 9,061 | 2.33% | +389 | 9,450 | 2.43% | +299 | 9,749 | 2.51% | +345 | 10,094 | 2.60% | -10,094 | |||||||||||
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell | 2,897 | 0.74% | 0 | 2,897 | 0.74% | +1 | 2,898 | 0.74% | +27 | 2,925 | 0.75% | +41 | 2,966 | 0.76% | +86 | 3,052 | 0.78% | +133 | 3,185 | 0.82% | +440 | 3,625 | 0.93% | +314 | 3,939 | 1.01% | -3,939 | ||||||||||||||
| Keith Freedman | 2,079 | 0.53% | 0 | 2,079 | 0.53% | 0 | 2,079 | 0.53% | +42 | 2,121 | 0.54% | +59 | 2,180 | 0.56% | +149 | 2,329 | 0.60% | +77 | 2,406 | 0.62% | +133 | 2,539 | 0.65% | -2,539 | |||||||||||||||||
| Nelson Mei | 1,791 | 0.46% | 0 | 1,791 | 0.46% | 0 | 1,791 | 0.46% | +18 | 1,809 | 0.46% | +65 | 1,874 | 0.48% | +74 | 1,948 | 0.50% | +95 | 2,043 | 0.52% | -2,043 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Shahram Shariati | 1,613 | 0.41% | 0 | 1,613 | 0.41% | 0 | 1,613 | 0.41% | +11 | 1,624 | 0.42% | +43 | 1,667 | 0.43% | +64 | 1,731 | 0.44% | -1,731 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Henry Flynn | 1,319 | 0.34% | 0 | 1,319 | 0.34% | 0 | 1,319 | 0.34% | +34 | 1,353 | 0.35% | +32 | 1,385 | 0.36% | -1,385 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Paul Ybarra Robertson | 812 | 0.21% | 0 | 812 | 0.21% | 0 | 812 | 0.21% | +26 | 838 | 0.21% | -838 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Jon Soderstrom | 412 | 0.11% | 0 | 412 | 0.11% | 0 | 412 | 0.11% | -412 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Marc Roth | 3 | 0.00% | 0 | 3 | 0.00% | -3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Michael Lin | 1 | 0.00% | -1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Continuing Votes Total | 390,184 | 390,184 | 390,183 | 390,123 | 389,979 | 389,797 | 389,631 | 389,348 | 389,014 | 388,428 | 386,042 | 384,225 | 368,739 | 331,477 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Exhausted Ballots | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | +52 | 53 | +133 | 186 | +170 | 356 | +152 | 508 | +260 | 768 | +314 | 1,082 | +546 | 1,628 | +2,328 | 3,956 | +1,734 | 5,690 | +15,235 | 20,925 | +36,934 | 57,859 | ||||||||||||||
| Over Votes | 1,381 | 0 | 1,381 | 0 | 1,381 | +8 | 1,389 | +11 | 1,400 | +12 | 1,412 | +14 | 1,426 | +23 | 1,449 | +40 | 1,509 | +58 | 1,567 | +83 | 1,650 | +251 | 1,901 | +328 | 2,229 | ||||||||||||||||
| Under Votes | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | 0 | 18,540 | ||||||||||||||
| Non-Transferable Total | 19,921 | 19,921 | 19,922 | 19,982 | 20,126 | 20,308 | 20,474 | 20,757 | 21,091 | 21,677 | 24,063 | 25,880 | 41,366 | 78,628 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Notes
Partisan Clients
- Poll sponsored by Lurie's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Peskin's campaign
- Poll sponsored by the San Francisco Chronicle
- Poll sponsored by TogetherSF Action, which endorsed Farrell
- Poll sponsored by GrowSF
- Poll sponsored by the San Francisco Deputy Sheriff’s Association
- Poll sponsored by Farrell's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Neighbors for San Francisco, which endorsed Farrell and Lurie