2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the State of Nebraska, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The Primary elections were held on May 14, 2024.
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November 5, 2024
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All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
Statewide
| Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Republican Party | 3 | 591,238 | 63.62% | 3 |  | 100% | |
| Democratic Party | 3 | 338,154 | 36.38% | 0 | | 0% | |
| Total | 6 | 929,392 | 100% | 3 | | 100% | |
District
| District | Republican | Democratic | Total | Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 187,559 | 60.10% | 124,498 | 39.90% | 312,057 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 160,198 | 50.93% | 154,369 | 49.07% | 314,567 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 243,481 | 80.42% | 59,287 | 19.58% | 302,768 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| Total | 591,238 | 63.62% | 338,154 | 36.38% | 929,392 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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  Flood: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Blood: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent is Republican Mike Flood, who was re-elected with 57.9% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Mike Flood, incumbent U.S. Representative[2]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Mike Flood
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Michael Connely (R) | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Mike Flood (R) | $1,279,065 | $928,355 | $357,582 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[9] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Flood (incumbent) | 56,846 | 81.53% | |
| Republican | Michael Connely | 12,884 | 18.48% | |
| Total votes | 69,730 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Carol Blood, state senator and nominee for governor in 2022[11]
Endorsements
Carol Blood
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Carol Blood (D) | $36,076 | $20,647 | $15,428 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[9] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carol Blood | 34,888 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 34,888 | 100.00% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[15] | Solid R | April 29, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[16] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[18] | Safe R | October 5, 2023 |
| CNalysis[19] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Flood (incumbent) | 187,559 | 60.10% | |
| Democratic | Carol Blood | 124,498 | 39.90% | |
| Total votes | 312,057 | 100.00% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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  Bacon: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Vargas: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, Saunders County, and suburban parts of northern Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent is Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Dan Frei, businessman, former member of the Nebraska Republican Party State Central Committee, and candidate for this district in 2014[23]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Robert Anthony, real estate broker (endorsed Frei)[24]
Endorsements
Don Bacon
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)[25]
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021) (post-primary)[26]
U.S. senators
- Deb Fischer, U.S. Senator from Nebraska (2013–present)[27]
- Pete Ricketts, U.S. Senator from Nebraska (2023–present)[27]
U.S. representatives
- Mike Johnson, Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2023–present) and LA-04 (2017–present)[28]
State officials
- Jim Pillen, Governor of Nebraska (2023–present)[29]
- Bob Evnen, Nebraska Secretary of State (2019–present)[29]
State legislators
- 26 state senators[30]
Local officials
Individuals
- Ann Ashford, Democratic primary candidate for this district in 2020 and wife of former U.S. Representative Brad Ashford (Democratic)[32]
Organizations
- AIPAC[4]
- BIPAC[33]
- National Republican Congressional Committee[27]
- National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund[5]
- National Right to Life Committee[6]
- Pro-Israel America[34]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[35]
- With Honor Fund[36]
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce[37] (post-primary)
Labor unions
Dan Frei
Political parties
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Don Bacon (R) | $3,465,982 | $1,929,712 | $1,727,525 |
| Dan Frei (R) | $125,759 | $84,491 | $41,268 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[41] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Bacon (incumbent) | 35,748 | 61.96% | |
| Republican | Dan Frei | 21,946 | 38.04% | |
| Total votes | 57,694 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Tony Vargas, state senator and nominee for this district in 2022[42]
Endorsements
Tony Vargas
Statewide officials
- Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan (2019–present)[43]
Organizations
- CHC BOLD PAC[44]
- DCCC Red to Blue[45]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[46]
- End Citizens United[47]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[48]
- J Street PAC[49]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[50]
- Latino Victory Fund[51]
- League of Conservation Voters[52]
- NewDem Action Fund[53]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[54]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[55]
- Sierra Club[56]
- Swing Left[57]
Labor unions
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Tony Vargas (D) | $2,407,207 | $819,341 | $1,641,255 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[41] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tony Vargas | 39,038 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 39,038 | 100.00% | ||
Independents
Declined
General election
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Bacon | Vargas | |||||
| 1[60] | October 4, 2024 | WOWT | Brian Mastre | [61] | P | P |
| 2[62] | October 8, 2024 | Nebraska Public Media | Aaron Sanderford | [63] | P | P |
| 3[64] | October 13, 2024 | KETV | Rob McCartney | [65] | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[15] | Lean D (flip) | November 1, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[16] | Tilt D (flip) | October 10, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Lean D (flip) | September 30, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[18] | Lean D (flip) | October 10, 2024 |
| CNalysis[19] | Tilt D (flip) | October 7, 2024 |
| Roll Call[66] | Tilt D (flip) | October 15, 2024 |
| Fox News[67] | Tossup | September 25, 2024 |
| DDHQ[68] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
| FiveThirtyEight[69] | Lean D (flip) | October 8, 2024 |
| The Economist[70] | Lean D (flip) | October 10, 2024 |
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Don Bacon (R) |
Tony Vargas (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[20][A] | October 21–28, 2024 | 389 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 46% | 50% | 1%[b] | 3% |
| The New York Times/Siena College[72] | September 24–26, 2024 | 663 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 49% | – | 6% |
| 663 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | – | 8% | ||
| CNN/SSRS[73] | September 20–25, 2024 | 749 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 50% | 6%[d] | – |
| Change Research (D)[76][B] | September 16–23, 2024 | 548 (LV) | – | 41% | 49% | – | 10% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[77][C] | September 9–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 49% | – | 6% |
| SurveyUSA[78][D] | August 23–27, 2024 | 507 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 40% | 46% | – | 14% |
| Change Research (D)[79][B] | August 10–17, 2024 | 2,429 (V) | ± 2.2% | 43% | 48% | – | 9% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[81] | August 14–17, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 44% | – | 10% |
| GQR (D)[82][E] | July 16–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | – | 6% |
| Torchlight Strategies (R)[83][F] | July 8–11, 2024 | 300 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[84][C] | June 25–30, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 46% | – | 9% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[85][C] | February 20–25, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 46% | – | 11% |
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Don Bacon (R) | $5,630,302 | $3,638,458 | $2,006,079 |
| Tony Vargas (D) | $6,189,421 | $4,718,757 | $1,524,052 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[41] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Bacon (incumbent) | 160,198 | 50.93% | |
| Democratic | Tony Vargas | 154,369 | 49.07% | |
| Total votes | 314,567 | 100.00% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
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  Smith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ebers: 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district covers most of the rural central and western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent is Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 78.3% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Adrian Smith, incumbent U.S. representative[86]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Adrian Smith
John Walz
Political parties
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Adrian Smith (R) | $1,236,502 | $945,970 | $1,205,069 |
| John Walz (R) | $19,932 | $18,380 | $1,570 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[90] | |||
Results
Smith
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 68,056 | 74.16% | |
| Republican | John Walz | 17,060 | 18.59% | |
| Republican | Robert McCuiston | 6,654 | 7.25% | |
| Total votes | 91,770 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Daniel Ebers, hotel manager[87]
Eliminated in primary
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| David Else (D) | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[90] | |||
Results
Ebers
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Else
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Tie
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Daniel Ebers | 7,841 | 52.90% | |
| Democratic | David Else | 6,982 | 47.10% | |
| Total votes | 14,823 | 100.00% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[15] | Solid R | April 29, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[16] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[18] | Safe R | October 5, 2023 |
| CNalysis[19] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 243,481 | 80.42% | |
| Democratic | Daniel Ebers | 59,287 | 19.58% | |
| Total votes | 302,768 | 100.00% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
See also
Notes
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by The Economist
- Poll sponsored by Vargas's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Split Ticket
- Poll sponsored by House Majority PAC, a Democratic group
- Poll sponsored by the campaign of U.S. Senator Deb Fischer, who has endorsed Bacon