2024 United States Senate elections in California

Elections for California's class 1 Senate seat From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Two 2024 United States Senate elections in California were held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of California. There were two ballot items for the same Class 1 seat: a special election to fill the seat for the final month of the 118th United States Congress (ending on January 3, 2025), and a regular general election for a full term that began on January 3, 2025, in the 119th United States Congress. This was the second time in a row that both a regular and special election for the U.S. Senate occurred simultaneously in California, following the 2022 elections.

Quick facts Candidate, Party ...
2024 United States Senate elections in California

 2018
November 5, 2024
2030 
 
Candidate Adam Schiff Steve Garvey
Party Democratic Republican
Regular election 9,036,252
58.87%
6,312,594
41.13%
Special election 8,837,051
58.75%
6,204,637
41.25%

Schiff:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Garvey:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Laphonza Butler[a]
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Adam Schiff
Democratic

Close

Two Democratic U.S. representatives, Katie Porter of Irvine and Adam Schiff of Burbank, entered the race for the 119th Congress before February 14, 2023, when fellow Democrat Dianne Feinstein announced that she would retire at the end of her term.[1][2] A third, Barbara Lee of Oakland, announced her campaign on February 21, 2023.[3] Feinstein died in office on September 29, 2023. On October 1, 2023, California Governor Gavin Newsom appointed Laphonza Butler to fill Feinstein's term until a special election could be held in November 2024 to fill the last month of Feinstein's term. On October 19, 2023, Butler announced that she would not seek election to finish the final month of Feinstein's term, nor for a full Senate term in the 119th Congress.

Primary elections took place on March 5, 2024, during Super Tuesday.[4] California uses a nonpartisan blanket primary election, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation appear on the same primary ballot and the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election; however, primary special election winners can win outright if they win more than 50% of the vote in the first round.[5] Schiff, along with Republican former baseball player Steve Garvey, advanced to the general election in both the special and regular elections. As no Republican has won a Senate election in California since 1988, Schiff was considered a heavy favorite, and easily won both the regular and special general elections with more than 58% of the vote.

Schiff became the first male U.S. senator from this seat since John Seymour left office in 1992 and California one of several states to have a younger senior senator (Alex Padilla) and an older junior senator (Schiff).[6] Schiff's popular vote total of 9 million in the regular election broke the record previously held by Feinstein in 2012 for the highest vote total ever received by a U.S. Senate candidate in American history, as well as the highest vote total ever received by a candidate for any office in any state outside of the presidency.

With over 41% of the vote in the general election, Garvey had the best performance of any Republican candidate for this seat since 1994. Garvey managed to win Orange County, which voted for Kamala Harris in the concurrent presidential election. He also flipped three counties compared to the 2022 Senate election: Lake, Imperial, and San Joaquin counties. With over 6.3 million votes in the regular election, Garvey set the record for the most votes ever received by a Republican candidate in a single state for any election, as Donald Trump was the runner up with 200,000 fewer votes in the concurrent presidential election.

Background

California is considered to be a safe blue state at the federal and state levels, with Joe Biden winning the state by a margin of 29.16% in the 2020 presidential election. Democrats currently hold a large majority in California's U.S. House delegation, all statewide offices (including both U.S. Senate seats), and supermajorities in both of California's state legislative chambers.

Prior to the 2024 election, senator Dianne Feinstein had served in Congress since being elected in a 1992 special election, defeating Republican appointee John Seymour. During her career, she was re-elected five times, winning in 1994, 2000, 2006, 2012, and most recently in 2018, where she defeated fellow Democrat Kevin de León with 54.2% of the vote. At the time of her death, Feinstein was the most senior Democrat in the Senate, and is the longest serving U.S. senator in California's history.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Denard Ingram, psychologist and social worker[14]
  • Lexi Reese, investor and former Google executive[15]

Declined

Republican Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Write-in candidates

  • Danny Fabricant, retired sliding door repairman and convicted felon[37]
  • Carlos Guillermo Tapia, realtor and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[37]

Declined

Libertarian Party

Eliminated in primary

American Independent Party

Eliminated in primary

No party preference

Eliminated in primary

Write-in candidates

  • Michael Dilger, social media marketing professional[37]
  • John Dowell[37]

Declined

Primary elections

Campaign

Dianne Feinstein in 2021

Schiff, Porter, and Lee declare

Media sources speculated for years that Dianne Feinstein might choose not to seek reelection in 2024 or resign before the end of her term, owing to her age, reports that her cognitive state was declining, and her decision not to take the position of Senate president pro tempore in the 118th Congress, third in line for the presidency, even though she would customarily have been offered the role as the most senior member of the majority caucus. There was also speculation that Feinstein might face opposition within the Democratic Party as she did in 2018, when she was challenged by fellow Democrat Kevin de León and defeated him by an unexpectedly narrow margin.[44] In December 2022, Feinstein confirmed that she would not resign before the end of her term.[45]

Katie Porter campaigning at University of California, Davis, in March 2023

In January 2023, with the question of Feinstein's reelection decision still open, U.S. Representative Katie Porter announced that she would run for the Senate. She confirmed that she would stay in the race even if Feinstein chose to run for another term.[1] Porter was first elected in 2018, unseating incumbent Mimi Walters. She later gained national fame for her progressive politics, and frequently went viral online for her pointed questioning of corporate executives in congressional hearings, often while using a whiteboard.[46] Porter's coastal, Orange County-based district is considered highly competitive, and all of her elections have been close.[47]

Adam Schiff at his first campaign event, February 2023

Two weeks later, Porter was joined by another Democratic member of the House, Adam Schiff, who said that he had consulted with Feinstein before entering the race.[2] A moderate[48] Democrat who unseated incumbent James Rogan in 2000, Schiff's profile rose significantly during the first term of president Donald Trump, owing to his role as a lead impeachment manager in Trump's first impeachment, his service on the January 6 Committee, and his frequent appearances on MSNBC.[49] Schiff has not faced a competitive election since 2000, as his Los Angeles-based district became significantly more Democratic during the 2000 redistricting cycle and has been considered a safe seat ever since.[50]

Barbara Lee speaking at the 2023 California Democratic Party Convention

A third Democratic House member, Barbara Lee, reportedly told members of the Congressional Black Caucus in January that she would also run for the Senate.[51] As she was already 76 years old in January 2023, Lee reportedly pitched herself to donors as a transitional senator who would serve only one term.[52] A longtime progressive first elected in a 1998 special election, Lee is known for being the only member of Congress to vote against the Authorization for Use of Military Force of 2001, which led to military deployment in Afghanistan and several other countries.[53] Lee filed to run for Senate in early February 2023 and formally announced her campaign later that month.[54][3] Lee's district, based in Alameda County and including one of the state's largest cities in Oakland, is one of the most Democratic-leaning districts in the entire country.[55]

Feinstein continued to demur on her reelection plans, at one point saying she would not announce her decision until 2024.[56] But in February 2023, she confirmed that she would retire, ending a political career that spanned over 50 years.[57] The 2024 election is only the second California Senate race without an incumbent since 1992, the other being the 2016 election following Barbara Boxer's retirement. However, Politico pointed out that the 2016 election had an "early and prohibitive frontrunner" in Kamala Harris while the 2024 election has no clear frontrunner, and thus considered the 2024 election the first truly open California Senate race in 32 years.[58]

Early months of the race

Lee, Porter, and Schiff have similar voting records in Congress and similarly progressive platforms. As a result, they were expected to differentiate themselves by their life stories and individual strengths rather than their ideologies.[59] All three have faced controversies that could damage their campaigns: Porter has been accused of mistreating congressional staff, Lee's age was seen as a potential issue, and Schiff was expected to face opposition from progressives due to his past support for overseas military intervention and for taking donations from groups affiliated with the oil, payday loan, and pharmaceutical industries, though he took a no corporate PAC pledge in his Senate campaign.[60][59] Schiff has also been criticized for listing his primary residence as Montgomery County, Maryland, in tax documents, though his campaign maintains that he lives in Burbank, California.[61] Other important factors include geography, as Schiff and Porter both represent southern California while Lee represents northern California, and diversity; a victory by Schiff would leave California with no female senators for the first time since 1992, while a victory by Lee would make her only the fourth black woman to serve in the Senate.[59][62]

Schiff began 2023 with $20.6 million in his campaign account compared to $7.7 million for Porter and just under $55,000 for Lee.[63] All three quickly began raising large sums of money; for example, in the first 24 hours of her campaign, Porter raised over $1.3 million.[64] The three also launched super PACs to aid with fundraising, each competing for the top California fundraising firms and consultants. Former Federal Election Commission chair Ann Ravel predicted that the race would be one of the most expensive Senate elections in history.[65] The expensive nature of the race led media sources to speculate that a wealthy candidate could run a competitive self-funded campaign, akin to Rick Caruso's campaign in the 2022 Los Angeles mayoral election.[66] This scenario seemed to come to pass when former Google executive Lexi Reese joined the race in June 2023; her aides told Politico she would spend a "significant" amount of her own money on her campaign.[67] However, Reese made little impact on the race and dropped out months later; though she raised $2 million, much of it self-funded, she wrote that this was "just not enough to run a state-wide campaign."[15]

Throughout most of 2023, there were no prominent Republicans in the race. This has been attributed to California's heavy Democratic lean and Republican donors' wariness of the high cost of running a statewide campaign in California; GOP strategist Duane Dichiara estimated that a Republican would need at least $80 million to run a viable Senate campaign. Additionally, California's top-two primary system could have allowed two Democrats to advance to the general election, a scenario that played out in the 2016 and 2018 Senate races, though the three-way division in the 2024 Democratic field could have helped a Republican reach the general election. Republicans would also benefit from the fact that the 2024 California Republican presidential primary, held on the same day as the Senate primary, was expected to be hotly contested and entice Republican voters to turn out in higher numbers.[43][40]

Feinstein's death and replacement

Feinstein faced calls to resign throughout 2023 due to reports of her declining health, including from U.S. Representative Ro Khanna. She declined to do so.[68] California governor Gavin Newsom had previously committed to appointing a black woman to the Senate if a seat opened up, after facing controversy due to appointing Alex Padilla to the seat left behind by Kamala Harris after she was elected vice president.[69] Possible appointees speculated by media sources included Barbara Lee, Los Angeles mayor Karen Bass, San Francisco mayor London Breed, Los Angeles County supervisor Holly Mitchell, Secretary of State Shirley Weber, and talk show host Oprah Winfrey, though Bass, Mitchell, and Winfrey said they would not be interested.[69][70] In September 2023, Newsom confirmed he would fulfill his promise to appoint a black woman, but said he would not appoint any candidate running to succeed Feinstein, and would instead appoint someone who committed not to run for a full term. Lee, the only black woman in the race, responded, "the idea that a Black woman should be appointed only as a caretaker to simply check a box is insulting to countless Black women across this country who have carried the Democratic Party to victory election after election."[71] Lee faced backlash for her comments, with several advisors to Newsom leaving her super PAC.[72] Newsom argued that the question of a Senate vacancy was "a hypothetical on top of a hypothetical," believing that Feinstein would not leave office before her term ended.[73]

Feinstein died later that month, on September 29, 2023.[74] Newsom was expected to quickly appoint a successor, as a crisis over a potential government shutdown necessitated a united Democratic front in the Senate. A special election for Feinstein's seat was held concurrently with the regular 2024 election.[75] In addition to those already mentioned, possible successors speculated by media sources included PolicyLink founder Angela Glover Blackwell, former state assemblywoman Autumn Burke, EMILYs List director Laphonza Butler, State Controller Malia Cohen, California Supreme Court justice Leondra Kruger, Bay Area Rapid Transit Board of Directors president Lateefah Simon, and U.S. Representative Maxine Waters.[76][77][78][79][80] Waters and California State Board of Education president Linda Darling-Hammond said they were not interested in the appointment.[78] Congressional Black Caucus chair Steven Horsford sent a letter to Newsom on behalf of the caucus that urged him to appoint Lee.[81]

U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris (right) swears in Laphonza Butler (left)

On October 1, Newsom appointed Butler to the Senate, with no conditions about whether she may run in 2024.[82] Butler formerly served as president of SEIU Local 2015, the largest union in California, and on the University of California Board of Regents. She is openly lesbian, making her California's first openly LGBTQ Senator and the first openly LGBTQ African American to serve in Congress.[83] Butler's appointment generated some controversy, with many pointing out that she was registered to vote in Maryland at the time. Butler responded that she had lived in California for many years before moving to the Washington metropolitan area in 2021, and that she still owned a home in Los Angeles. She promised to re-register to vote in the state.[84] Butler was also criticized for advising Uber as it lobbied against a 2019 California bill to classify rideshare drivers as employees. In response, she maintained that she personally supported the bill.[85] At first, Butler left open the question of whether she would run for a full term, but on October 19, she said she would not run in either of the 2024 Senate elections.[21]

Later events in 2023

On October 10, 2023, Republicans gained a prominent candidate when former professional baseball player Steve Garvey entered the race. Garvey, who played for both the Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres, was considered to have an advantage in name recognition. Two other Republican candidates, healthcare executive James Bradley and attorney Eric Early, both of whom had previously made several unsuccessful bids for office, also attracted some media attention and support in polls.[33] Schiff and Porter consistently led in polling throughout the race, with Lee and the Republicans far behind. Lee's poor polling numbers was attributed to a lack of name recognition outside her San Francisco Bay Area constituency, her lack of fundraising compared to Schiff and Porter, and the fact that Schiff and Porter had prior national fame while Lee was less well-known. In November 2023, Lee ruled out withdrawing from the race and insisted she still had a chance.[86] Lee's campaign became much more willing to openly criticize her two main rivals, attempting to define Lee as the most progressive candidate in the race.[72]

On November 18, 2023, the California Democratic Party held its endorsing convention for the Senate race. Lee received the most delegate votes, narrowly outpacing Schiff; however, neither candidate came close to reaching the 60% threshold necessary to win the endorsement.[87] Rumors had circulated that Lee would drop out of the race and run for re-election to the House if she did not receive the party's endorsement, but her campaign reiterated after the convention that she intended on staying in the Senate race.[88]

More information California Democratic Party Senate endorsement vote (60% required), Candidate ...
California Democratic Party Senate endorsement vote (60% required)[89]
Candidate Regular election Special election
Votes % Result Votes % Result
Barbara Lee 963 41.47% No endorsement 958 41.26% No endorsement
Adam Schiff 933 40.18% 927 39.92%
Katie Porter 373 16.06% 361 15.59%
Lexi Reese 3 0.13% 2 0.09%
Don't endorse 50 2.15% 67 2.89%
Total 2,322 100.00% 2,315 100.00%
Close

The Gaza war became a late issue in the race, with Lee initially being the only major candidate to call for a ceasefire. The California Democratic Party convention was disrupted by pro-Palestine protests calling for a ceasefire. Protestors entered the main convention arena and shouted, interrupting speeches by Schiff, Porter, and Lexi Reese. Some reportedly chanted the slogan "from the river to the sea, Palestine will be free."[90] While the protest was initially peaceful, it later escalated, with over 1,000 protestors entering the building. Police locked down the building and the rest of the scheduled events that day were cancelled.[91] Porter would later call for a ceasefire the following month.[92]

Final months of the primary

A 2024 primary ballot showing both U.S. Senate elections

In the months after his announcement, Garvey steadily rose in polling, heightening Republicans' odds of getting a candidate through to the general election.[93] Garvey largely avoided taking positions on political issues, spent no money on television ads, and did little in-person campaigning.[94] In the new year, Schiff's campaign began airing television ads that contrasted his positions with Garvey's. Porter accused Schiff of trying to prevent her from reaching the general election by boosting Garvey; she alleged that the ads, which labeled Garvey as too conservative, were intended to enamor Garvey to Republican voters. Due to the nonpartisan blanket primary, it is a common tactic for front-running candidates to boost the second place candidate whom they feel they can defeat most easily; Schiff's campaign denied that this was his intention.[95] Supporters of Schiff also independently purchased a similar anti-Garvey ad which ran on Fox News, despite Schiff previously calling for a boycott of the network.[96] Porter later began airing similar ads against another Republican, Eric Early. These ads were seen as an effort to split the Republican vote and help Porter clinch the second general election spot, though Porter denied this.[97]

Politico, FOX 11 Los Angeles, and USC Dornsife held a debate on January 22, 2024, which included Schiff, Porter, Lee, and Garvey.[98] The debate largely consisted of the Democrats criticizing Garvey for his past support of Trump and questioning Garvey's support of him in 2024, and the differing viewpoints of the four in the Gaza war. The stance of all candidates towards congressional earmarks, which Porter strongly opposes, also was a key topic.[99]

Nexstar Media Group television stations aired a debate on February 12 featuring the same four candidates.[100] Key highlights include the candidates being asked whether they would support certifying the election should a candidate of the other party win the presidency, rising crime, the minimum wage, corporate donations in political campaigns, and the federal role in housing.[101][102]

KNBC and KVEA aired a debate in conjunction with Loyola Marymount University on February 20, which was broadcast on NBCUniversal-owned stations statewide and on KCRA, Sacramento's NBC affiliate.[103] Topics included the minimum wage, the federal budget deficit, military spending, the Mexico–United States border crisis, climate change, extending the life of the Diablo Canyon Power Plant, and the proposed regulation of artificial intelligence.[104]

Endorsements

James Bradley (R)
Steve Garvey (R)

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Newspapers

Labor unions

Barbara Lee (D)

Statewide officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

County officials

Mayors in California

Local officials

Other state representatives

Party officials

Individuals

Political parties

Labor unions

Newspapers

Organizations

Gail Lightfoot (L)
Katie Porter (D)

Statewide officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State senators

State assemblymembers

Local officials

Individuals

Political parties

Labor unions

Newspapers

Organizations

Mark Ruzon (ASP)

Political parties

Adam Schiff (D)

Federal officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

County officials

Mayors in California

Local officials

Individuals

Political parties

Labor unions

Newspapers

Organizations

Laphonza Butler (D) (declined to run)

Local officials

Declined to endorse

U.S. Senators

U.S. representatives

Political parties

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[x]
Margin
of error
James
Bradley (R)
Eric
Early (R)
Steve
Garvey (R)
Barbara
Lee (D)
Katie
Porter (D)
Adam
Schiff (D)
Other Undecided
Emerson College[243][A] February 24–27, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 2% 2% 20% 8% 17% 28% 6%[y] 17%
UC Berkeley IGS[244][B] February 22–26, 2024 3,304 (LV) ± 2.0% 2% 2% 27% 8% 19% 25% 8% 9%
WPA Intelligence (R)[245][C] February 19–21, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 4% 24% 10% 15% 27% 3%[z] 17%
Emerson College[246] February 16–18, 2024 935 (LV) ± 3.1% 2% 2% 22% 9% 16% 28% 2%[aa] 17%
Public Policy Institute
of California
[247]
February 6–13, 2024 1,066 (LV) ± 3.9% 3% 4% 18% 10% 19% 24% 14%[ab] 6%
USC Dornsife/CSU Long Beach/
Cal Poly Pomona
[248]
January 21–29, 2024 1,416 (LV) ± 2.6% 1% 1% 15% 7% 15% 26% 2%[ac] 29%
Emerson College[249] January 11–14, 2024 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 2% 3% 18% 8% 13% 25% 5%[ad] 24%
UC Berkeley IGS[250] January 4–8, 2024 4,470 (LV) ± 2.0% 3% 3% 13% 9% 17% 21% 13%[ae] 21%
Morning Consult[251][D] December 15–19, 2023 858 (LV) ± 3.0% 5% 4% 15% 12% 14% 26% 4%[af] 19%
SurveyUSA[252] December 7–10, 2023 590 (LV) ± 5.0% 5% 6% 15% 12% 12% 22% 8%[ag] 20%
Public Policy Institute
of California
[253]
November 9–16, 2023 1,113 (LV) ± 3.2% 10% 8% 16% 21% 27% 14%
Emerson College[254][E] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 3% 2% 10% 9% 13% 16% 8%[ah] 39%
UC Berkeley IGS[255][B] October 24–30, 2023 4,506 (LV) ± 2.5% 7% 4% 10% 9% 17% 16% 7%[ai] 30%
Public Policy Institute
of California
[256]
October 3–19, 2023 1,395 (LV) ± 4.0% 5% 6% 9% 18% 21% 32%[aj] 8%
Data Viewpoint[257] October 1, 2023 533 (RV) ± 4.3% 6% 4% 6% 19% 19% 13.5%[ak] 32%
Public Policy Institute
of California
[258]
August 25 –
September 5, 2023
1,146 (LV) ± 3.7% 5% 5% 8% 15% 20% 31%[al] 16%
UC Berkeley IGS[259] August 24–29, 2023 4,579 (LV) ± 2.5% 7% 5% 7% 7% 17% 20% 12%[am] 32%
Public Policy Institute
of California
[260]
June 7–29, 2023 1,092 (LV) ± 3.8% 6% 7% 13% 19% 16% 33%[an] 6%
Emerson College[261] June 4–7, 2023 1,056 (RV) ± 2.9% 6% 3% 6% 14% 15% 9%[ao] 47%
UC Berkeley IGS[262] May 17–22, 2023 5,236 (LV) ± 2.5% 18% 9% 17% 14% 10% 32%
FM3 Research (D)[263][F] May 13–21, 2023 1,380 (LV) ± 4.0% 27% 11% 24% 21% 17%
UC Berkeley IGS[264] February 14–20, 2023 7,512 (RV) ± 2.5% 8% 20% 23% 10% 39%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Ro Khanna vs. Barbara Lee vs. Katie Porter vs. Adam Schiff

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[x]
Margin
of error
Ro
Khanna (D)
Barbara
Lee (D)
Katie
Porter (D)
Adam
Schiff (D)
Other Undecided
UC Berkeley IGS[264] February 14–20, 2023 7,512 (RV) ± 2.5% 4% 6% 20% 22% 9% 39%
David Binder Research[265] November 19–21, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 6% 9% 30% 29% 9%[ap] 17%
Close

With vs. without Steve Garvey

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[x]
Margin
of error
James
Bradley (R)
Eric
Early (R)
Steve
Garvey (R)
Barbara
Lee (D)
Katie
Porter (D)
Lexie
Reese (D)
Adam
Schiff (D)
Other Undecided
UC Berkeley IGS[259] Aug 24–29, 2023 3,113 (LV) ± 2.5% 7% 5% 7% 7% 17% 1% 20% 4% 32%
10% 7% 7% 17% 1% 20% 4% 34%
Close

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024[aq]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
James Bradley (R) $182,626 $152,659 $30,052
Eric Early (R) $898,233[ar] $893,719 $4,514
Steve Garvey (R) $5,528,359 $3,921,776 $1,606,583
Denice Gary-Pandol (R) $129,324 $128,482 $842
Sarah Sun Liew (R) $48,420 $24,977 $6,240
Barbara Lee (D) $5,423,501 $5,093,171 $330,330
Christina Pascucci (D) $456,534 $456,534 $0
Katie Porter (D) $31,536,915 $30,960,241 $576,674
Perry Pound (D) $34,129 $29,350 $4,778
Lexi Reese (D)[as] $2,016,597 $1,810,020 $206,577
Adam Schiff (D) $35,146,126 $51,348,262 $4,820,824
Source: Federal Election Commission[266]
Close

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2024 United States Senate election in California primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Steve Garvey Barbara Lee Katie Porter Adam Schiff
1 Jan 22, 2024 California Environmental Voters
Education Fund, KFI, KTTV, Politico,
USC Dornsife Center
Melanie Mason
Elex Michaelson
YouTube P P P P
2 Feb 12, 2024 Nexstar Media Group stations:
KTLA, KSWB-TV, KRON-TV,
KTXL, KSEE, KGET-TV
Frank Buckley
Nikki Laurenzo
YouTube P P P P
3 Feb 20, 2024 Loyola Marymount University
KNBC / KVEA
Colleen Williams
Conan Nolan
Alejandra Ortiz
YouTube P P P P
Close

Results

County results
  Schiff
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Garvey
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Congressional district results
  Schiff
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Garvey
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Lee
  •   30–40%

Schiff and Garvey advanced in both regular and special primaries, albeit with different results. Schiff narrowly secured the first place in the regular primary with just 0.05% of the vote over Garvey, but fell short of it in the special one by 4%. However, the three leading Democrats overall performed better in the special primary, with 58.2% of the vote compared to 56.7%.[267][268]

Candidates' vote share by county
Schiff (top-left), Garvey (top-right)
Porter (bottom-left), Lee (bottom-right)
More information Party, Candidate ...
Regular blanket primary results[269]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adam Schiff 2,304,829 31.57%
Republican Steve Garvey 2,301,351 31.52%
Democratic Katie Porter 1,118,429 15.32%
Democratic Barbara Lee 717,129 9.82%
Republican Eric Early 242,055 3.32%
Republican James Bradley 98,778 1.35%
Democratic Christina Pascucci 61,998 0.85%
Republican Sharleta Bassett 54,884 0.75%
Republican Sarah Sun Liew 38,718 0.53%
No party preference Laura Garza[b] 34,529 0.47%
Republican Jonathan Reiss 34,400 0.47%
Democratic Sepi Gilani 34,316 0.47%
Libertarian Gail Lightfoot 33,295 0.46%
Republican Denice Gary-Pandol 25,649 0.35%
Republican James Macauley 23,296 0.32%
Democratic Harmesh Kumar 21,624 0.30%
Democratic David Peterson 21,170 0.29%
Democratic Douglas Pierce 19,458 0.27%
No party preference Major Singh 17,092 0.23%
Democratic John Rose 14,627 0.20%
Democratic Perry Pound 14,195 0.19%
Democratic Raji Rab 13,640 0.19%
No party preference Mark Ruzon[d] 13,488 0.18%
American Independent Forrest Jones 13,140 0.18%
Republican Stefan Simchowitz 12,773 0.17%
Republican Martin Veprauskas 9,795 0.13%
No party preference Don Grundmann[c] 6,641 0.09%
No party preference Michael Dilger (write-in) 7 0.00%
Republican Carlos Guillermo Tapia (write-in) 5 0.00%
No party preference John Dowell (write-in) 3 0.00%
Republican Danny Fabricant (write-in) 3 0.00%
Total votes 7,301,317 100.0%
Close
County results
  Schiff
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Garvey
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Congressional district results
  Schiff
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Garvey
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Lee
  •   30–40%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Special blanket primary results[269]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Garvey 2,455,115 33.25%
Democratic Adam Schiff 2,160,171 29.25%
Democratic Katie Porter 1,272,684 17.24%
Democratic Barbara Lee 866,551 11.74%
Republican Eric Early 451,274 6.11%
Democratic Christina Pascucci 109,867 1.49%
Democratic Sepi Gilani 68,497 0.93%
No party preference Michael Dilger (write-in) 27 0.00%
Total votes 7,384,186 100.0%
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Maps

Other election maps

Aftermath

After her loss, Porter remarked that the election was "rigged by billionaires," referring to a $10 million independent ad campaign attacking her that was funded by cryptocurrency supporters.[270] Porter's use of the word "rigged" was criticized, with some comparing her statement to Donald Trump's false claims of fraud in the 2020 election. Porter expressed regret for use of the word "rigged" and said that she meant to say that the election was "manipulated by dishonest means" which was a reference to the use of dark money in campaign financing, and not to mean that there was anything illegitimate about the vote counting.[271][272]

General elections

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[273] Solid D November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[274] Solid D November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[275] Safe D November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[276] Safe D June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[277] Safe D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[278] Solid D November 21, 2023
Split Ticket[279] Solid D October 23, 2024
538[280] Solid D October 23, 2024
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Post-primary endorsements

Steve Garvey (R)

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of November 25, 2024, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of November 25, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Adam Schiff (D) $47,822,048 $62,355,290 $6,489,718
Steve Garvey (R) $20,345,393 $19,685,766 $659,627
Source: Federal Election Commission[266]
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Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Adam
Schiff (D)
Steve
Garvey (R)
Undecided
[at]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight[291] through November 3, 2024 November 4, 2024 58.6% 35.4% 6.0% Schiff +23.2%
270toWin[292] September 30 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 56.4% 34.6% 9.0% Schiff +21.8%
RealClearPolitics[293] August 29 – October 14, 2024 October 21, 2024 57.3% 34.7% 8.0% Schiff +22.6%
TheHill/DDHQ[294] through November 3, 2024 November 4, 2024 58.4% 36.3% 5.3% Schiff +22.1%
Average 57.7% 35.3% 7.1% Schiff +22.4%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[x]
Margin
of error
Adam
Schiff (D)
Steve
Garvey (R)
Other Undecided
Research Co.[295] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 60% 37% 4%
Competitive Edge Research[296] October 28–30, 2024 517 (RV) ± 4.3% 52% 42% 6%
Cygnal (R)[297] October 27–30, 2024 611 (LV) ± 4.0% 60% 36% 4%
UC Berkeley[298] October 22–28, 2024 4,341 (LV) ± 2.0% 55% 34% 11%
ActiVote[299] October 6–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 61% 39%
ActiVote[300] October 1–18, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63% 34%
YouGov[301][G] October 7–17, 2024 1,139 (RV) ± 3.38% 56% 35% 9%
Public Policy Institute of California[302] October 7–15, 2024 1,137 (LV) ± 3.7% 63% 37%
Emerson College[303][H] October 12–14, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 56% 33% 11%
UC Berkeley[304] September 25 – October 1, 2024 3,045 LV) ± 2.5% 53% 36% 11%
USC/CSULB/Cal Poly Pomona[305] September 12–25, 2024 1,685 (LV) ± 2.4% 56% 37% 1%[au] 6%
ActiVote[306] August 13 – September 21, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63% 37%
Public Policy Institute of California[307] August 29 – September 9, 2024 1,071 (LV) ± 3.7% 63% 35% 1%[av] 1%
Emerson College[308][A] September 3–5, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.4% 55% 33% 13%
ActiVote[309] July 16 – August 12, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 66% 34%
UC Berkeley[310][B] July 31 – August 11, 2024 3,765 (LV) ± 2.0% 53% 33% 14%
Public Policy Institute of California[311] June 24 – July 2, 2024 1,261 (LV) ± 3.7% 64% 33% 3%
Public Policy Institute of California[312] May 23 – June 2, 2024 1,098 (LV) ± 3.9% 62% 37% 1%
Public Policy Institute of California[313] March 19–25, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 3.9% 61% 37% 2%
UC Berkeley[314][B] February 22–26, 2024 3,304 (LV) ± 2.0% 53% 38% 9%
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Hypothetical polling

Katie Porter vs. Adam Schiff

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[x]
Margin
of error
Katie
Porter (D)
Adam
Schiff (D)
Undecided
UC Berkeley[314][B] February 22–26, 2024 3,304 (LV) ± 2.0% 30% 30% 40%
David Binder Research[265] November 19–21, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 26% 37%[aw]
Close

Katie Porter vs. Steve Garvey

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[x]
Margin
of error
Katie
Porter (D)
Steve
Garvey (R)
Undecided
UC Berkeley[314][B] February 22–26, 2024 3,304 (LV) ± 2.0% 52% 38% 10%
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Debate

Only one debate was held between Garvey and Schiff.[315]

More information No., Date ...
2024 United States Senate election in California debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Steve Garvey Adam Schiff
1 October 8, 2024 League of Women Voters of California /
ABC Owned Television Stations
(KABC-TV, KGO-TV, KFSN-TV) /
Univision KMEX-DT
Marc Brown
Kristen Sze
Warren Armstrong
Gabriela Teissier
YouTube P P
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2024 United States Senate special election in California[316]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Adam Schiff 8,837,051 58.75% −3.77%
Republican Steve Garvey 6,204,637 41.25% +3.77%
Total votes 15,041,688 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold
Close
More information Party, Candidate ...
2024 United States Senate election in California[316]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Adam Schiff 9,036,252 58.87% +0.12%
Republican Steve Garvey 6,312,594 41.13% –0.12%
Total votes 15,348,846 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold
Close

By county

Special election

More information County, Adam Schiff Democratic ...
County[317] Adam Schiff
Democratic
Steve Garvey
Republican
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # %
Alameda 479,587 76.43% 147,877 23.57% 331,710 52.87% 627,464
Alpine 452 62.43% 272 37.57% 180 24.86% 724
Amador 7,342 34.32% 14,051 65.68% -6,709 -31.36% 21,393
Butte 41,484 46.34% 48,035 53.66% -6,551 -7.32% 89,519
Calaveras 8,766 34.23% 16,841 65.77% -8,075 -31.53% 25,607
Colusa 2,329 34.84% 4,356 65.16% -2,027 -30.32% 6,685
Contra Costa 326,626 67.57% 156,743 32.43% 169,883 35.15% 483,369
Del Norte 4,076 40.43% 6,006 59.57% -1,930 -19.14% 10,082
El Dorado 45,184 41.26% 64,334 58.74% -19,150 -17.49% 109,518
Fresno 142,467 46.88% 161,405 53.12% -18,938 -6.23% 303,872
Glenn 2,974 30.17% 6,882 69.83% -3,908 -39.65% 9,856
Humboldt 39,381 63.58% 22,554 36.42% 16,827 27.17% 61,935
Imperial 25,238 49.47% 25,780 50.53% -542 -1.06% 51,018
Inyo 4,028 46.57% 4,621 53.43% -593 -6.86% 8,649
Kern 105,348 38.88% 165,574 61.12% -60,226 -22.23% 270,922
Kings 14,826 37.44% 24,778 62.56% -9,952 -25.13% 39,604
Lake 12,507 48.64% 13,205 51.36% -698 -2.71% 25,712
Lassen 2,421 21.99% 8,591 78.01% -6,170 -56.03% 11,012
Los Angeles 2,323,607 65.32% 1,233,740 34.68% 1,089,867 30.64% 3,557,347
Madera 20,326 38.65% 32,269 61.35% -11,943 -22.71% 52,595
Marin 111,448 79.65% 28,470 20.35% 82,978 59.30% 139,918
Mariposa 3,445 37.98% 5,626 62.02% -2,181 -24.04% 9,071
Mendocino 23,559 62.60% 14,073 37.40% 9,486 25.21% 37,632
Merced 38,716 48.37% 41,325 51.63% -2,609 -3.26% 80,041
Modoc 973 25.29% 2,875 74.71% -1,902 -49.43% 3,848
Mono 3,273 57.01% 2,468 42.99% 805 14.02% 5,741
Monterey 89,517 63.80% 50,798 36.20% 38,719 27.59% 140,315
Napa 40,774 65.44% 21,531 34.56% 19,243 30.89% 62,305
Nevada 33,068 54.45% 27,666 45.55% 5,402 8.89% 60,734
Orange 666,586 49.37% 683,720 50.63% -17,134 -1.27% 1,350,306
Placer 96,631 43.13% 127,407 56.87% -30,776 -13.74% 224,038
Plumas 3,833 39.82% 5,792 60.18% -1,959 -20.35% 9,625
Riverside 422,441 48.29% 452,303 51.71% -29,862 -3.41% 874,744
Sacramento 367,095 58.56% 259,828 41.44% 107,267 17.11% 626,923
San Benito 14,540 55.42% 11,696 44.58% 2,844 10.84% 26,236
San Bernardino 340,543 47.83% 371,453 52.17% -30,910 -4.34% 711,996
San Diego 797,127 56.61% 610,883 43.39% 186,244 13.23% 1,408,010
San Francisco 307,511 82.43% 65,547 17.57% 241,964 64.86% 373,058
San Joaquin 124,366 49.57% 126,529 50.43% -2,163 -0.86% 250,895
San Luis Obispo 76,081 52.96% 67,580 47.04% 8,501 5.92% 143,661
San Mateo 232,279 73.58% 83,392 26.42% 148,887 47.17% 315,671
Santa Barbara 108,179 61.34% 68,195 38.66% 39,984 22.67% 176,374
Santa Clara 482,259 68.85% 218,236 31.15% 264,023 37.69% 700,495
Santa Cruz 96,520 76.00% 30,488 24.00% 66,032 51.99% 127,008
Shasta 25,711 29.99% 60,028 70.01% -34,317 -40.02% 85,739
Sierra 612 35.71% 1,102 64.29% -490 -28.59% 1,714
Siskiyou 7,916 38.61% 12,589 61.39% -4,673 -22.79% 20,505
Solano 110,787 60.66% 71,846 39.34% 38,941 21.32% 182,633
Sonoma 165,371 71.90% 64,641 28.10% 100,730 43.79% 230,012
Stanislaus 82,972 44.44% 103,743 55.56% -20,771 -11.12% 186,715
Sutter 12,651 34.07% 24,486 65.93% -11,835 -31.87% 37,137
Tehama 6,875 27.69% 17,956 72.31% -11,081 -44.63% 24,831
Trinity 2,350 42.88% 3,130 57.12% -780 -14.23% 5,480
Tulare 49,623 38.16% 80,424 61.84% -30,801 -23.68% 130,047
Tuolumne 10,204 37.29% 17,159 62.71% -6,955 -25.42% 27,363
Ventura 201,885 55.20% 163,861 44.80% 38,024 10.40% 365,746
Yolo 60,079 66.96% 29,650 33.04% 30,429 33.91% 89,729
Yuba 10,282 36.07% 18,227 63.93% -7,945 -27.87% 28,509
Totals8,837,05158.75%6,204,63741.25%2,632,41417.50%15,041,688
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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Regular election

More information County, Adam Schiff Democratic ...
County[318] Adam Schiff
Democratic
Steve Garvey
Republican
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # %
Alameda 489,039 76.80% 147,721 23.20% 341,318 53.60% 636,760
Alpine 463 63.86% 262 36.14% 201 27.72% 725
Amador 7,454 33.90% 14,534 66.10% -7,080 -32.20% 21,988
Butte 42,417 46.30% 49,192 53.70% -6,775 -7.40% 91,609
Calaveras 8,956 34.36% 17,109 65.64% -8,153 -31.28% 26,065
Colusa 2,436 35.27% 4,471 64.73% -2,035 -29.46% 6,907
Contra Costa 343,169 67.50% 165,245 32.50% 177,924 35.00% 508,414
Del Norte 4,217 40.94% 6,084 59.06% -1,867 -18.12% 10,301
El Dorado 45,734 41.43% 64,663 58.57% -18,929 -17.15% 110,397
Fresno 148,396 47.10% 166,675 52.90% -18,279 -5.80% 315,071
Glenn 3,122 30.50% 7,114 69.50% -3,992 -39.00% 10,236
Humboldt 40,240 63.84% 22,793 36.16% 17,447 27.68% 63,033
Imperial 26,441 49.87% 26,579 50.13% -138 -0.26% 53,020
Inyo 4,134 46.94% 4,673 53.06% -539 -6.12% 8,807
Kern 107,501 38.96% 168,458 61.04% -60,957 -22.09% 275,959
Kings 15,225 37.52% 25,354 62.48% -10,129 -24.96% 40,579
Lake 12,797 48.85% 13,401 51.15% -604 -2.31% 26,198
Lassen 2,439 21.91% 8,691 78.09% -6,252 -56.17% 11,130
Los Angeles 2,335,222 65.67% 1,220,750 34.33% 1,114,472 31.34% 3,555,972
Madera 20,538 38.76% 32,451 61.24% -11,913 -22.48% 52,989
Marin 112,842 79.84% 28,490 20.16% 84,352 59.68% 141,332
Mariposa 3,582 38.40% 5,747 61.60% -2,165 -23.21% 9,329
Mendocino 24,106 62.96% 14,182 37.04% 9,924 25.92% 38,288
Merced 40,394 48.25% 43,320 51.75% -2,926 -3.50% 83,714
Modoc 978 24.89% 2,951 75.11% -1,973 -50.22% 3,929
Mono 3,384 57.48% 2,503 42.52% 881 14.97% 5,887
Monterey 92,302 64.00% 51,913 36.00% 40,389 28.01% 144,215
Napa 42,245 65.77% 21,986 34.23% 20,259 31.54% 64,231
Nevada 33,363 54.38% 27,987 45.62% 5,376 8.76% 61,350
Orange 674,882 49.48% 688,967 50.52% -14,085 -1.03% 1,363,849
Placer 98,198 43.04% 129,981 56.96% -31,783 -13.93% 228,179
Plumas 3,921 39.39% 6,034 60.61% -2,113 -21.23% 9,955
Riverside 443,181 48.31% 474,241 51.69% -31,060 -3.39% 917,422
Sacramento 375,265 58.71% 263,954 41.29% 111,311 17.41% 639,219
San Benito 14,991 55.48% 12,031 44.52% 2,960 10.95% 27,022
San Bernardino 355,667 48.08% 384,091 51.92% -28,424 -3.84% 739,758
San Diego 817,805 56.68% 625,129 43.32% 192,676 13.35% 1,442,934
San Francisco 310,932 82.40% 66,421 17.60% 244,511 64.80% 377,353
San Joaquin 127,205 49.64% 129,064 50.36% -1,859 -0.73% 256,269
San Luis Obispo 77,525 53.07% 68,569 46.93% 8,956 6.13% 146,094
San Mateo 237,186 73.74% 84,474 26.26% 152,712 47.48% 321,660
Santa Barbara 110,609 61.20% 70,126 38.80% 40,483 22.40% 180,735
Santa Clara 498,785 68.95% 224,597 31.05% 274,188 37.90% 723,382
Santa Cruz 98,631 76.24% 30,737 23.76% 67,894 52.48% 129,368
Shasta 25,996 29.74% 61,402 70.26% -35,406 -40.51% 87,398
Sierra 617 35.73% 1,110 64.27% -493 -28.55% 1,727
Siskiyou 8,087 38.43% 12,958 61.57% -4,871 -23.15% 21,045
Solano 113,204 60.99% 72,404 39.01% 40,800 21.98% 185,608
Sonoma 176,477 71.98% 68,712 28.02% 107,765 43.95% 245,189
Stanislaus 86,040 44.70% 106,444 55.30% -20,404 -10.60% 192,484
Sutter 12,984 34.07% 25,129 65.93% -12,145 -31.87% 38,113
Tehama 7,098 27.59% 18,632 72.41% -11,534 -44.83% 25,730
Trinity 2,413 43.39% 3,148 56.61% -735 -13.22% 5,561
Tulare 51,972 38.38% 83,439 61.62% -31,467 -23.24% 135,411
Tuolumne 10,479 37.63% 17,372 62.37% -6,893 -24.75% 27,851
Ventura 211,381 55.47% 169,660 44.53% 41,721 10.95% 381,041
Yolo 61,084 67.24% 29,758 32.76% 31,326 34.48% 90,842
Yuba 10,501 35.95% 18,711 64.05% -8,210 -28.10% 29,212
Totals9,036,25258.87%6,312,59441.13%2,723,65817.75%15,348,846
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By congressional district

Schiff won 39 of 52 congressional districts in the special and regular elections, with the remaining 13 going to Garvey, including four that elected Democrats.[319]

More information District, Schiff ...
District Schiff Garvey Representative
1st 35.8% 64.2% Doug LaMalfa
2nd 71.2% 28.8% Jared Huffman
3rd 45.6% 54.4% Kevin Kiley
4th 64.5% 35.5% Mike Thompson
5th 39.6% 60.4% Tom McClintock
6th 55.8% 44.2% Ami Bera
7th 64.3% 35.7% Doris Matsui
8th 72.2% 27.8% John Garamendi
9th 49.0% 51.0% Josh Harder
10th 64.5% 35.5% Mark DeSaulnier
11th 83.5% 16.5% Nancy Pelosi
12th 87.9% 12.1% Barbara Lee (118th Congress)
Lateefah Simon (119th Congress)
13th 48.1% 51.9% John Duarte (118th Congress)
Adam Gray (119th Congress)
14th 67.0% 33.0% Eric Swalwell
15th 73.4% 26.6% Kevin Mullin
16th 72.1% 27.9% Anna Eshoo (118th Congress)
Sam Liccardo (119th Congress)
17th 68.4% 31.6% Ro Khanna
18th 64.8% 35.2% Zoe Lofgren
19th 65.7% 34.3% Jimmy Panetta
20th 33.5% 66.5% Vince Fong
21st 51.5% 48.5% Jim Costa
22nd 47.3% 52.7% David Valadao
23rd 40.7% 59.3% Jay Obernolte
24th 60.3% 39.7% Salud Carbajal
25th 50.7% 49.3% Raul Ruiz
26th 54.5% 45.5% Julia Brownley
27th 50.9% 49.1% Mike Garcia (118th Congress)
George Whitesides (119th Congress)
28th 61.9% 38.1% Judy Chu
29th 67.9% 32.1% Tony Cárdenas (118th Congress)
Luz Rivas (119th Congress)
30th 71.7% 28.3% Adam Schiff (118th Congress)
Laura Friedman (119th Congress)
31st 57.4% 42.6% Grace Napolitano (118th Congress)
Gil Cisneros (119th Congress)
32nd 64.8% 35.2% Brad Sherman
33rd 53.9% 46.1% Pete Aguilar
34th 76.2% 23.8% Jimmy Gomez
35th 54.6% 45.4% Norma Torres
36th 66.8% 33.2% Ted Lieu
37th 79.9% 20.1% Sydney Kamlager-Dove
38th 56.8% 43.2% Linda Sánchez
39th 54.6% 45.4% Mark Takano
40th 46.1% 53.9% Young Kim
41st 45.6% 54.4% Ken Calvert
42nd 65.2% 34.8% Robert Garcia
43rd 73.7% 26.3% Maxine Waters
44th 66.2% 33.8% Nanette Barragán
45th 49.5% 50.5% Michelle Steel (118th Congress)
Derek Tran (119th Congress)
46th 59.2% 40.8% Lou Correa
47th 49.8% 50.2% Katie Porter (118th Congress)
Dave Min (119th Congress)
48th 40.3% 59.7% Darrell Issa
49th 51.2% 48.8% Mike Levin
50th 62.3% 37.7% Scott Peters
51st 60.3% 39.7% Sara Jacobs
52nd 60.6% 39.4% Juan Vargas
Close

By city (Regular Election)

More information By municipality, City ...
Close

See also

Notes

  1. In October 2023, Butler was appointed by Governor Gavin Newsom to fill the vacancy caused by the death of Senator Dianne Feinstein.
  2. Garza is a member of the Socialist Workers Party, but ran as No Party Preference because the Socialist Workers Party did not have ballot access in California.[42]
  3. Grundmann is a member of the Constitution Party, but ran as No Party Preference because the Constitution Party did not have ballot access in California
  4. Ruzon is a member of the American Solidarity Party, but ran as No Party Preference because the American Solidarity Party did not have ballot access in California.[11]
  5. Schwarzenegger is a Republican, but media speculated that he might run as an independent candidate.
  6. Co-endorsement with Porter
  7. Co-endorsement with Schiff
  8. Her campaign co-chair
  9. Brown publicly stated he wished for Schiff, Porter, and Lee to withdraw and endorse Butler's potential bid; however, Butler declined to run for a full term.
  10. No party preference
  11. Co-endorsement with Porter and Schiff
  12. Affiliate of Our Revolution
  13. Co-endorsement with Lee
  14. Co-endorsement with Lee and Schiff
  15. Co-endorsement with Lee and Porter
  16. International and California Conference Boards
  17. California State Council, District 2, and Local 80
  18. And California Professional Firefighters
  19. California State Association and 13 locals
  20. California, Joint Councils 7 and 42, and Locals 399 and 856
  21. California-Nevada State Council and Locals 3, 12, and 501
  22. National, Southwest Mountain States Regional Council, and Northern California Regional Council
  23. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  24. Christina Pascucci (D) and Sarah Sun Liew (R) with 2%, Jonathan Reiss (R) and "someone else" with 1%
  25. "Other candidates" with 3%
  26. Christina Pascucci (D) with 2%
  27. Sarah Sun Liew (R) with 2%; Denice Gary-Pandol (R), Jonathan Reiss (R), Christina Pasucci (D), David Peterson (D), Douglas H. Pierce (D), Sharleta Bassett (R), James Macauley (R), Forrest Jones (AI), Gail Lightfoot (L), Laura Garza (NPP), Don J. Grundmann (C), "someone else" with 1%; Raji Rab (D), John David Rose (D), Major Singh (NPP), Perry Pound (D), Mark Ruzon (ASP), Sepi Gilani (D), Harmesh Kumar (D), Stefan Simchowitz (R), Martin Veprauskas (R), "would not vote for U.S. Senator" with 0%
  28. Jessica Resendez (D) with 1%; "All other individual candidates with 1%
  29. Christina Pascucci (D) with 2%; Jonathan Reiss (R) with 1%; Sarah Sun Liew (R) with 1%; Someone else with 1%
  30. Sharleta Bassett (R) with 3%; Jonathan Reiss (R) with 2%; "All others (each with 1% or more)" with 8%
  31. Christina Pascucci (D) with 3%; Denise Gary-Pandol (R) with 1%
  32. Christina Pascucci (D) with 5%; Jonathan Reiss (R), Lexi Reese (D) & "Other" with 1%
  33. Christina Pascucci (D), Lexi Reese (D) & "Someone else" with 2%; Sarah Sun Liew (R) & Jonathan Reiss (R) with 1%
  34. "Others" with 5%; Lexie Reese (D) & Christina Pascucci (D) with 1%
  35. "Someone else" with 12%; Barack Mandela (R), Sarah Sun Liew (R), Jonathan Reiss (R) & Jessica Resendez (D) with 2%; Paul Anderson (G), Dana Bobbit (I), Joshua Bocanegra (D), Danny Fabricant (R), Jeremy Fennell (D), Frank Ferreira (I), Roxanne Lawler (R), John Poppenheim (R), Raji Rab (D), Lexi Reese (D), Katie Roederscheimer (I) & John Rose (D) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Fepbrina Autiameineire (O), Jacob Farmos (D), Carson Franklin (D), Dian Foxington (D), Denice Gary-Pandol (R), Jehu Hand (R), Denard Ingram (D), Zakaira Kortam (R) & "Would not vote" with 0%
  36. Sarah Sun Liew (R) with 3%; Several other candidates with <2%
  37. Barack Mandela, Jonathan Reiss, Jessica Resendez and "Someone else" with 3%; Roxanne Lawler, John Pappenheim, Katie Roedersheimer, and Sarah Sun Liew with 2%; Akinyemi Agbede, Paul Anderson, Dana Bobbit, Joshua Bocanegra, Danny Fabricant, Jacob Farmos, Frank Ferreria, Denise Gary-Pandol, Zakaira Kortam, Lexi Reese, John Rose, and "Would not vote" with 1%; Fepbrina Autiameineire, Jeremy Fennell, Dian Foxington, Carson Franklin, Jehu Hand, Denard Ingram, and Raji Rab with 0%
  38. Lexie Reese (D) with 1%; "Others" with 4%
  39. Sarah Sun Liew with 5%; Jonathan Reiss with 4%; Frank Ferreria and "Someone else" with 3%; Joshua Bocanegra, Danny Fabricant, Roxanne Lawler, Raji Rab, and Jessica Resendez with 2%; Akinyemi Agbede, Jacob Farmos, Jeremy Fennell, Denise Gary-Pandol, Denard Ingram, and Jehu Hand with 1%
  40. Jessica Resendez with 3%; Douglas Howard Pierce with 2%; Frank Ferreria, Denise Gary-Pandol, Roxanne Lawler, Raji Rab, Jonathan Reiss, and "Someone else" with 1%
  41. "Generic Republican" with 9%
  42. Due to the large number of candidates in the race, only those with more than $25,000 raised are included in this table
  43. $204,200 of this total was self-funded by Early
  44. Withdrawn candidate
  45. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  46. "Skip Election" with 1%
  47. "Wouldn't vote for US Senator" with 1%
  48. Includes "Would not vote" at 19%

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by The Hill
  2. Poll sponsored by the Los Angeles Times
  3. Poll sponsored by Garvey's campaign
  4. Poll sponsored by Politico
  5. Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media
  6. Poll sponsored by Lee's campaign
  7. Poll sponsored by The Hill and Inside California Politics

References

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