2024 Washington gubernatorial election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2024 Washington gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024. The top-two primary was held on August 6. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Inslee was eligible to seek a fourth term but decided that he would not do so.[1] The Democratic candidate, state Attorney General Bob Ferguson, defeated the Republican candidate, former Congressman Dave Reichert, who conceded defeat on November 19. Ferguson defeated Reichert with 55.51% of the vote in the general election.[2] He also became the first Democrat to win Clallam County since 2000.
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November 5, 2024
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   Ferguson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Reichert: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||
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This election marked the 11th consecutive victory of the Democratic candidate for governor of Washington. Washington has not had a Republican governor since John Spellman left office in 1985,[3] the longest streak of Democratic leadership of any state in the country and the third-longest streak of one-party leadership after South Dakota (which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey Wollman left office in 1979) and Utah (which has not had a Democratic governor since Scott Matheson left office nine days prior to Spellman in 1985).[4][5][6]
Primary election
Washington is one of two states that holds a top-two primary, meaning that all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two advance to the general election.
The filing deadline was May 10, 2024. On that day, two candidates named Bob Ferguson entered the race at the behest of a conservative activist who sought people with the same surname as Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson, who was considered the Democratic frontrunner.[7] The two new candidates—a retired state employee and a U.S. Army veteran—resigned from the race on May 13, the deadline to withdraw, after questions about the legality of their campaigns arose. Washington's state statutes prohibit a new candidate with the same surname as an already-filed candidate from running with the intent to confuse or mislead voters.[8]
Democratic candidates
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
- Ricky Anthony, retiree[10]
- Edward Cale IV, postal worker[11]
- Fred Grant, communications professional[3]
- Cassondra Hanson, retail worker[11]
- Chaytan Inman, artificial intelligence engineer[11]
- EL'ona Kearney, forgiveness coach[12]
- Mark Mullet, state senator[13]
- Don Rivers, retired King County Metro worker and perennial candidate[11]
Withdrawn
- Bob Arthur Ferguson, former state employee[14]
- Bob Benjamin Ferguson, veteran[14]
- Hilary Franz, Washington State Commissioner of Public Lands (ran for U.S. House)[15]
Declined
- Dow Constantine, King County Executive[16]
- Denny Heck, Lieutenant Governor of Washington and former U.S. representative from Washington's 10th congressional district[17] (ran for re-election)[18]
- Jay Inslee, incumbent governor and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[1] (endorsed Ferguson)[19]
Republican candidates
Advanced to general
- Dave Reichert, former U.S. representative for Washington's 8th congressional district (2005–2019)[20]
Eliminated in primary
- Semi Bird, former P.C.O. and chair for the Benton County Republican Party (2022–2024) and former Richland school board member (2021–2023)[9]
- A.L. Brown[10]
- Jim Daniel, former Klickitat Hospital Board commissioner[10]
- Bill Hirt, retired aircraft engineer and perennial candidate[10]
- Jennifer Hoover, pastor[10]
- Martin Wheeler, farmer and candidate for governor in 2020[10]
Withdrawn
- Raul Garcia, physician and candidate for governor in 2020 (endorsed Reichert, ran for U.S. Senate)[21]
Declined
- Bruce Dammeier, Pierce County Executive (2017–present) and former state senator (2013–2017)[16] (endorsed Reichert)[22]
- Jaime Herrera Beutler, former U.S. representative for Washington's 3rd congressional district (2011–2023) (ran for Public Lands Commissioner)[23]
- Loren Culp, former Republic police chief, runner-up for governor in 2020, and candidate for Washington's 4th congressional district in 2022 (endorsed Bird)[24]
- Drew MacEwen, state senator (ran for U.S. House, endorsed Reichert)[25]
- J.T. Wilcox, state representative and former Minority Leader of the Washington House of Representatives[26]
Third-party and independent candidates
Eliminated in primary
- Brian Bogen (Independent), businessman[10]
- Jim Clark (Independent), computer programmer[10]
- William Combs (Independent), U.S. Navy veteran[11]
- Jeff Curry (Independent), school bus driver[10]
- Frank Dare (Independent), retiree[10]
- Michael DePaula (Libertarian), enterprise engineer[10]
- Leon Lawson (Trump Republican[a]), used car dealer, proponent of the QAnon conspiracy theory, candidate for governor in 2020, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[11]
- Alan Makayev (Nonsense Busters[a]), property manager[10]
- Rosetta Marshall-Williams (Independence[a])[10]
- Brad Mjelde (Independent), retired businessman[10]
- Andre Stackhouse (Green), Whole Washington (nonprofit) executive director[10]
- Alex Tsimerman (Standup-America[a]), business consultant and perennial candidate[10]
Endorsements
Semi Bird (R)
County officials
- 6 County sheriffs[27]
Local officials
- Loren Culp, former Republic police chief and candidate for governor in 2020[28]
Individuals
- Joe Kent, candidate for Washington's 3rd congressional district in 2022 and 2024[27]
Political parties
Party chapters
- Benton County Republican Party[30]
- Clark County Republican Party[31]
- Cowlitz County Republican Party[32]
- Skagit County Republican Party[33]
- Spokane County Republican Party[34]
- Snohomish County Republican Party[35]
- Yakima County Republican Party[34]
Bob Ferguson (D)
U.S. senators
- Maria Cantwell, U.S. senator from Washington (2001–present)[36]
- Patty Murray, U.S. senator from Washington (1993–present)[37]
U.S. representatives
- Suzan DelBene (WA-01)[19]
- Pramila Jayapal (WA-07)[19]
- Derek Kilmer (WA-06) (2013-2025)[9]
- Rick Larsen (WA-02)[38]
- Adam Smith (WA-09)[9]
Statewide officials
- Jay Inslee, incumbent governor of Washington[19]
- Terry Bergeson, former Washington Superintendent of Public Instruction[38]
- Peter Goldmark, former Washington State Commissioner of Public Lands[38]
- Christine Gregoire, former governor of Washington[19]
- Mike Pellicciotti, Washington State Treasurer[38]
State legislators
County officials
- 7 King County councilors[38]
- Satpal Sidhu, Whatcom County Executive[38]
Local officials
- All 5 Seattle Port Commission members[38]
- Sally Bagshaw, former Seattle city councilor[38]
- David Della, former Seattle city councilor[38]
- Bruce Harrell, mayor of Seattle[39]
- Pete Holmes, former Seattle City Attorney[38]
- Tim Leavitt, former mayor of Vancouver[38]
- Greg Nickels, former mayor of Seattle[38]
- Royce Pollard, former mayor of Vancouver[38]
- Dan Strauss, Seattle city councilor[38]
Tribal officials
- Fawn Sharp, vice chair of the Quinault Indian Nation and president of the National Congress of American Indians[38]
- Tom Wooten, chair of the Samish Indian Nation[38]
Individuals
- Paul Berendt, former chair of the Washington Democratic Party[38]
- Carmen Best, former Chief of the Seattle Police Department[38]
Newspapers
Organizations
Labor unions
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 46 and 77[38]
- International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers[44]
- 5 SEIU locals[b][45][46]
- Teamsters Local 28[38]
- United Auto Workers[47]
- United Farm Workers[48]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 3000[38]
- Washington State Labor Council[49]
Tribes
Mark Mullet (D)
Statewide officials
State legislators
- Annette Cleveland, state senator from the 49th district[51]
- Mia Gregerson, state representative from the 33rd district[51]
- Brian Hatfield, former state senator from the 19th district[51]
- John Lovick, state senator from the 44th district[51]
- Sharon Nelson, former state senator from the 34th district[51]
- Kevin Van De Wege, state senator from the 24th district[51]
- Amy Walen, state representative from the 48th district[51]
Local officials
- Jared Mead, Snohomish County Councilor and former state representative[51]
- Sara Nelson, Seattle city councilor[51]
Organizations
Dave Reichert (R)
U.S. representatives
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, (WA-05) (2005-2025)[53]
- Doc Hastings, (WA-04) (1995-2015)[54]
Statewide officials
- Rob McKenna, former Washington Attorney General and runner-up for governor in 2012[55]
- Sam Reed, former Washington Secretary of State[54]
State legislators
Local officials
- Nadine Woodward, former mayor of Spokane[56]
- Conrad Lee, former mayor of Bellevue[54]
County officials
- Bruce Dammeier, Pierce County Executive[22]
- Reagan Dunn, King County councilor[22]
- Joe Stortini, former Pierce County Executive[54]
- 34 County sheriffs [54]
Organizations
- Building Industry Association of Washington[57]
- National Federation of Independent Business[58]
- Puget Sound National Electrical Contractors Association Chapter [54]
- Washington State Farm Bureau PAC [54]
- Washington Council of Police and Sheriffs[54]
Labor unions
Party chapters
- Grant County Republican Party[60]
- Pierce County Republican Party[61]
Hilary Franz (D) (withdrawn)
Organizations
- National Women's Political Caucus of Washington[62]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Semi Bird (R) |
Bob Ferguson (D) |
Mark Mullet (D) |
Dave Reichert (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[63][A] | July 24–25, 2024 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 10% | 39% | 5% | 28% | 18% |
| SurveyUSA[64][B] | July 10–13, 2024 | 564 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 7% | 42% | 4% | 33% | 14% |
| RMG Research[65] | May 20–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 4% | 33% | 5% | 31% | 21% |
| Cascade PBS/Elway Research[66] | May 13–16, 2024 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 5% | 22% | 6% | 20% | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[67][A] | May 15–16, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 11% | 35% | 4% | 28% | 22% |
| Echelon Insights[68][C] | March 18–21, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 7% | 23% | 5% | 28% | 37% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[69][A] | February 13–14, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 9% | 35% | 4% | 27% | 25% |
| Echelon Insights[70][D] | December 9–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 5% | 27% | 3% | 28% | 37% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[71][A] | November 14–15, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 10% | 31% | 5% | 31% | 22% |
Hypothetical polling
with Bird, Ferguson, Franz, Garcia, and Mullet
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Semi Bird (R) |
Bob Ferguson (D) |
Hilary Franz (D) |
Raul Garcia (R) |
Mark Mullet (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[72][A] | Jun 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 10% | 25% | 9% | 17% | 7% | 33% |
with Constantine, Dammeier, Ferguson, and Franz
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Dow Constantine (D) |
Bruce Dammeier (R) |
Bob Ferguson (D) |
Hilary Franz (D) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[73][A] | March 7–8, 2023 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 7% | 35% | 21% | 7% | 30% |
with Inslee, generic Republican, and generic Democrat
Results
Ferguson
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 60–70%
Reichert
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Ferguson
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 70–80%
Reichert
- 30–40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Ferguson | 884,268 | 44.88% | |
| Republican | Dave Reichert | 541,533 | 27.48% | |
| Republican | Semi Bird | 212,692 | 10.79% | |
| Democratic | Mark Mullet | 119,048 | 6.04% | |
| Trump Republican[a] | Leon Lawson | 35,971 | 1.83% | |
| Republican | Jim Daniel | 29,907 | 1.52% | |
| Democratic | Cassondra Hanson | 24,512 | 1.24% | |
| Democratic | EL'ona Kearney | 24,374 | 1.24% | |
| Republican | Jennifer Hoover | 15,692 | 0.80% | |
| Green | Andre Stackhouse | 11,962 | 0.61% | |
| Democratic | Don Rivers | 9,453 | 0.48% | |
| Republican | Martin Wheeler | 7,676 | 0.39% | |
| Democratic | Chaytan Inman | 6,427 | 0.33% | |
| Democratic | Ricky Anthony | 6,226 | 0.32% | |
| Independent | Jeff Curry | 6,068 | 0.31% | |
| Democratic | Fred Grant | 5,503 | 0.28% | |
| Independent | Brian Bogen | 4,530 | 0.23% | |
| Republican | A.L. Brown | 4,232 | 0.21% | |
| Libertarian | Michael DePaula | 3,957 | 0.20% | |
| Independence[a] | Rosetta Marshall-Williams | 2,960 | 0.15% | |
| Independent | Jim Clark | 2,355 | 0.12% | |
| Democratic | Edward Cale | 1,975 | 0.10% | |
| Standup-America[a] | Alex Tsimerman | 1,721 | 0.09% | |
| Republican | Bill Hirt | 1,720 | 0.09% | |
| Write-in | 1,347 | 0.07% | ||
| Independent | Frank Dare | 1,115 | 0.06% | |
| Nonsense Busters[a] | Alan Makayev | 1,106 | 0.06% | |
| Independent | William Combs | 1,042 | 0.05% | |
| Independent | Brad Mjelde | 991 | 0.05% | |
| Total votes | 1,970,363 | 100.00% | ||
By county
| County[76] | Bob Ferguson
Democratic |
Dave Reichert
Republican |
Semi Bird
Republican |
Mark Mullet
Democratic |
Other candidates
Various parties |
Margin | Total votes | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 358 | 14.34% | 1,267 | 50.74% | 398 | 15.94% | 75 | 3.00% | 399 | 15.98% | -869 | -34.80% | 2,497 |
| Asotin | 1,411 | 24.70% | 2,058 | 36.03% | 715 | 12.52% | 262 | 4.59% | 1,266 | 22.16% | -647 | -11.33% | 5,712 |
| Benton | 13,110 | 26.01% | 15,175 | 30.11% | 12,869 | 25.53% | 1,991 | 3.95% | 7,255 | 14.39% | -2,065 | -4.10% | 50,400 |
| Chelan | 7,555 | 33.31% | 10,963 | 48.34% | 1,861 | 8.21% | 629 | 2.77% | 1,672 | 7.37% | -3,408 | -15.03% | 22,680 |
| Clallam | 13,014 | 44.42% | 7,774 | 26.53% | 3,691 | 12.60% | 1,544 | 5.27% | 3,277 | 11.18% | 5,240 | 17.88% | 29,300 |
| Clark | 49,356 | 36.84% | 20,533 | 15.33% | 31,590 | 23.58% | 9,422 | 7.03% | 23,072 | 17.22% | 17,766 | 13.26% | 133,973 |
| Columbia | 240 | 18.24% | 459 | 34.88% | 301 | 22.87% | 101 | 7.67% | 215 | 16.34% | -158 | -12.01% | 1,316 |
| Cowlitz | 7,946 | 27.33% | 8,309 | 28.57% | 4,912 | 16.89% | 1,109 | 3.81% | 6,802 | 23.39% | -363 | -1.25% | 29,078 |
| Douglas | 2,687 | 23.91% | 5,967 | 53.09% | 1,389 | 12.36% | 250 | 2.22% | 946 | 8.42% | -3,280 | -29.18% | 11,239 |
| Ferry | 555 | 22.91% | 1,038 | 42.84% | 413 | 17.04% | 55 | 2.27% | 362 | 14.94% | -483 | -19.93% | 2,423 |
| Franklin | 3,092 | 21.87% | 4,372 | 30.92% | 3,508 | 24.81% | 510 | 3.61% | 2,657 | 18.79% | -864 | -6.11% | 14,139 |
| Garfield | 97 | 12.83% | 429 | 56.75% | 71 | 9.39% | 13 | 1.72% | 146 | 19.31% | -332 | -43.92% | 756 |
| Grant | 3,001 | 17.64% | 8,428 | 49.53% | 2,334 | 13.72% | 298 | 1.75% | 2,955 | 17.37% | -5,427 | -31.89% | 17,016 |
| Grays Harbor | 7,184 | 36.11% | 7,667 | 38.54% | 2,075 | 10.43% | 738 | 3.71% | 2,229 | 11.20% | -483 | -2.43% | 19,893 |
| Island | 14,757 | 47.72% | 9,562 | 30.92% | 2,586 | 8.36% | 1,120 | 3.62% | 2,897 | 9.37% | 5,195 | 16.80% | 30,922 |
| Jefferson | 10,258 | 64.21% | 2,580 | 16.15% | 1,234 | 7.72% | 719 | 4.50% | 1,184 | 7.41% | 7,678 | 48.06% | 15,975 |
| King | 340,334 | 61.30% | 109,374 | 19.70% | 19,521 | 3.52% | 45,323 | 8.16% | 40,674 | 7.33% | 230,960 | 41.60% | 555,226 |
| Kitsap | 39,798 | 46.98% | 23,858 | 28.16% | 7,527 | 8.88% | 4,744 | 5.60% | 8,789 | 10.37% | 15,940 | 18.82% | 84,716 |
| Kittitas | 3,557 | 28.95% | 5,191 | 42.25% | 1,897 | 15.44% | 475 | 3.87% | 1,167 | 9.50% | -1,634 | -13.30% | 12,287 |
| Klickitat | 2,394 | 31.66% | 1,300 | 17.19% | 2,135 | 28.24% | 373 | 4.93% | 1,359 | 17.97% | 259 | 3.43% | 7,561 |
| Lewis | 5,457 | 22.30% | 13,169 | 53.81% | 2,795 | 11.42% | 641 | 2.62% | 2,411 | 9.85% | -7,712 | -31.51% | 24,473 |
| Lincoln | 591 | 14.75% | 1,667 | 41.61% | 1,062 | 26.51% | 100 | 2.50% | 586 | 14.63% | -605 | -15.10% | 4,006 |
| Mason | 7,306 | 36.55% | 7,530 | 37.67% | 2,490 | 12.46% | 718 | 3.59% | 1,945 | 9.73% | -224 | -1.12% | 19,989 |
| Okanogan | 3,598 | 30.03% | 4,192 | 34.98% | 2,023 | 16.88% | 426 | 3.56% | 1,744 | 14.55% | -594 | -4.96% | 11,983 |
| Pacific | 3,028 | 36.62% | 2,613 | 31.60% | 842 | 10.18% | 259 | 3.13% | 1,527 | 18.47% | 415 | 5.02% | 8,269 |
| Pend Oreille | 1,051 | 23.24% | 1,378 | 30.47% | 1,253 | 27.71% | 116 | 2.57% | 724 | 16.01% | -125 | -2.76% | 4,522 |
| Pierce | 83,810 | 39.68% | 80,480 | 38.11% | 14,720 | 6.97% | 12,594 | 5.96% | 19,599 | 9.28% | 3,330 | 1.58% | 211,203 |
| San Juan | 4,995 | 62.02% | 1,544 | 19.17% | 194 | 2.41% | 501 | 6.22% | 820 | 10.18% | 3,451 | 42.85% | 8,054 |
| Skagit | 15,852 | 42.44% | 11,750 | 31.46% | 4,053 | 10.85% | 2,053 | 5.50% | 3,640 | 9.75% | 4,102 | 10.98% | 37,348 |
| Skamania | 1,188 | 29.48% | 661 | 16.40% | 1,106 | 27.44% | 223 | 5.53% | 852 | 21.14% | 82 | 2.03% | 4,030 |
| Snohomish | 88,626 | 43.74% | 62,101 | 30.65% | 16,876 | 8.33% | 13,931 | 6.88% | 21,089 | 10.41% | 26,525 | 13.09% | 202,623 |
| Spokane | 50,788 | 35.43% | 37,402 | 26.09% | 31,314 | 21.85% | 5,425 | 3.78% | 18,407 | 12.84% | 13,386 | 9.34% | 143,336 |
| Stevens | 2,923 | 18.46% | 5,312 | 33.54% | 4,497 | 28.40% | 493 | 3.11% | 2,612 | 16.49% | -815 | -5.15% | 15,837 |
| Thurston | 40,935 | 46.71% | 29,218 | 33.34% | 4,493 | 5.13% | 5,572 | 6.36% | 7,414 | 8.46% | 11,717 | 13.37% | 87,632 |
| Wahkiakum | 526 | 29.34% | 609 | 33.97% | 258 | 14.39% | 58 | 3.23% | 342 | 19.07% | -83 | -4.63% | 1,793 |
| Walla Walla | 5,019 | 34.16% | 3,660 | 24.91% | 2,909 | 19.80% | 447 | 3.04% | 2,656 | 18.08% | 1,359 | 9.25% | 14,691 |
| Whatcom | 34,120 | 47.40% | 17,267 | 23.99% | 9,872 | 13.71% | 3,523 | 4.89% | 7,203 | 10.01% | 16,853 | 23.41% | 71,985 |
| Whitman | 3,215 | 34.24% | 3,243 | 34.54% | 929 | 9.89% | 332 | 3.54% | 1,671 | 17.80% | -28 | -0.30% | 9,390 |
| Yakima | 10,536 | 25.03% | 11,433 | 27.16% | 9,979 | 23.71% | 1,885 | 4.48% | 8,257 | 19.62% | -897 | -2.13% | 42,090 |
| Totals | 884,268 | 44.88% | 541,533 | 27.48% | 212,692 | 10.79% | 119,048 | 6.04% | 212,822 | 10.80% | 342,735 | 17.39% | 1,970,363 |
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[77] | Likely D | August 27, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[78] | Likely D | September 1, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[79] | Likely D | June 4, 2024 |
| RCP[80] | Likely D | July 13, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[81] | Safe D | July 12, 2023 |
| CNalysis[82] | Solid D | August 17, 2024 |
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of November 5, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Bob Ferguson (D) | $14,091,789 | $13,939,376 | $152,413 |
| Dave Reichert (R) | $6,729,173 | $6,226,422 | $502,751 |
| Source: Washington State Public Disclosure Commission[83] | |||
Debates
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Bob Ferguson (D) |
Dave Reichert (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co.[85] | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 54% | 40% | 1% | 5% |
| ActiVote[86] | October 3–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 59% | 41% | – | – |
| ActiVote[87] | September 14 – October 20, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 42% | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[88][A] | October 16–17, 2024 | 571 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 41% | – | 10% |
| Strategies 360[89] | October 11–16, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | – | 8% |
| SurveyUSA[90][B] | October 9–14, 2024 | 703 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 34% | – | 16% |
| Cascade PBS/Elway Research[91] | October 8–12, 2024 | 401 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 37% | 1%[e] | 11% |
| RMG Research (R)[92][E] | September 18–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 40% | 3%[f] | 9% |
| Cascade PBS/Elway Research[93] | September 3–6, 2024 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 39% | 3%[g] | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[94] | August 28–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[63][A] | July 24–25, 2024 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% |
| DHM Research[95] | July 12–17, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 32% | 10%[h] | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[67][A] | May 15–16, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 42% | – | 10% |
| Echelon Insights (R)[68][C] | March 18–21, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 30% | 39% | – | 31% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[69][A] | February 13–14, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 42% | – | 11% |
| Echelon Insights (R)[70][D] | December 9–13, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 35% | 39% | – | 26% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[71][A] | November 14–15, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 46% | – | 9% |
Hypothetical polling
Bob Ferguson vs. Semi Bird
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Bob Ferguson (D) |
Semi Bird (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[63][A] | July 24–25, 2024 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Ferguson | 2,143,368 | 55.51% | −1.05% | |
| Republican | Dave Reichert | 1,709,818 | 44.28% | +1.16% | |
| Write-in | 8,202 | 0.21% | -0.11% | ||
| Total votes | 3,861,388 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
| County[96] | Bob Ferguson
Democratic |
Dave Reichert
Republican |
Write-in
Various |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 1,396 | 26.47% | 3,865 | 73.28% | 13 | 0.25% | -2,469 | -46.81% | 5,274 |
| Asotin | 4,030 | 35.82% | 7,198 | 63.97% | 24 | 0.21% | -3,168 | -28.15% | 11,252 |
| Benton | 35,632 | 36.01% | 63,118 | 63.79% | 200 | 0.20% | -27,486 | -27.78% | 98,950 |
| Chelan | 17,205 | 41.22% | 24,465 | 58.61% | 69 | 0.17% | -7,260 | -17.39% | 41,739 |
| Clallam | 24,709 | 51.56% | 23,100 | 48.20% | 116 | 0.24% | 1,609 | 3.36% | 47,925 |
| Clark | 137,977 | 51.41% | 130,045 | 48.46% | 360 | 0.13% | 7,932 | 2.96% | 268,382 |
| Columbia | 627 | 25.75% | 1,797 | 73.80% | 11 | 0.45% | -1,170 | -48.05% | 2,435 |
| Cowlitz | 22,143 | 38.02% | 36,035 | 61.87% | 69 | 0.12% | -13,892 | -23.85% | 58,247 |
| Douglas | 7,009 | 33.45% | 13,907 | 66.37% | 38 | 0.18% | -6,898 | -32.92% | 20,954 |
| Ferry | 1,258 | 30.89% | 2,806 | 68.89% | 9 | 0.22% | -1,548 | -38.01% | 4,073 |
| Franklin | 11,385 | 36.61% | 19,676 | 63.28% | 35 | 0.11% | -8,291 | -26.66% | 31,096 |
| Garfield | 299 | 21.94% | 1,064 | 78.06% | 0 | 0.00% | -765 | -56.13% | 1,363 |
| Grant | 10,448 | 29.28% | 25,186 | 70.57% | 54 | 0.15% | -14,738 | -41.30% | 35,688 |
| Grays Harbor | 16,558 | 44.27% | 20,740 | 55.45% | 106 | 0.28% | -4,182 | -11.18% | 37,404 |
| Island | 27,931 | 53.99% | 23,677 | 45.76% | 130 | 0.25% | 4,254 | 8.22% | 51,738 |
| Jefferson | 17,201 | 69.99% | 7,312 | 29.75% | 62 | 0.25% | 9,889 | 40.24% | 24,575 |
| King | 797,248 | 71.57% | 314,226 | 28.21% | 2,523 | 0.23% | 483,022 | 43.36% | 1,113,997 |
| Kitsap | 87,731 | 56.67% | 66,682 | 43.08% | 389 | 0.25% | 21,049 | 13.60% | 154,802 |
| Kittitas | 9,662 | 36.99% | 16,394 | 62.76% | 67 | 0.26% | -6,732 | -25.77% | 26,123 |
| Klickitat | 5,691 | 42.68% | 7,625 | 57.18% | 19 | 0.14% | -1,934 | -14.50% | 13,335 |
| Lewis | 13,751 | 30.61% | 31,084 | 69.19% | 90 | 0.20% | -17,333 | -38.58% | 44,925 |
| Lincoln | 1,591 | 22.44% | 5,472 | 77.17% | 28 | 0.39% | -3,881 | -54.73% | 7,091 |
| Mason | 16,173 | 44.63% | 19,942 | 55.03% | 121 | 0.33% | -3,769 | -10.40% | 36,236 |
| Okanogan | 8,190 | 40.16% | 12,161 | 59.63% | 44 | 0.22% | -3,971 | -19.47% | 20,395 |
| Pacific | 6,676 | 47.52% | 7,352 | 52.33% | 21 | 0.15% | -676 | -4.81% | 14,049 |
| Pend Oreille | 2,464 | 29.17% | 5,960 | 70.57% | 22 | 0.26% | -3,496 | -41.39% | 8,446 |
| Pierce | 220,153 | 50.79% | 212,218 | 48.96% | 1,044 | 0.24% | 7,935 | 1.83% | 433,415 |
| San Juan | 9,348 | 73.14% | 3,400 | 26.60% | 33 | 0.26% | 5,948 | 46.54% | 12,781 |
| Skagit | 34,821 | 50.32% | 34,231 | 49.46% | 151 | 0.22% | 590 | 0.85% | 69,203 |
| Skamania | 3,058 | 42.60% | 4,109 | 57.24% | 11 | 0.15% | -1,051 | -14.64% | 7,178 |
| Snohomish | 225,276 | 54.99% | 183,458 | 44.78% | 945 | 0.23% | 41,818 | 10.21% | 409,679 |
| Spokane | 127,594 | 45.25% | 153,974 | 54.61% | 391 | 0.14% | -26,380 | -9.36% | 281,959 |
| Stevens | 7,256 | 25.92% | 20,673 | 73.86% | 60 | 0.21% | -13,417 | -47.94% | 27,989 |
| Thurston | 90,676 | 55.69% | 71,764 | 44.06% | 405 | 0.25% | 18,932 | 11.62% | 162,865 |
| Wahkiakum | 1,158 | 38.48% | 1,845 | 61.32% | 6 | 0.20% | -687 | -22.83% | 3,009 |
| Walla Walla | 12,408 | 42.55% | 16,730 | 57.37% | 25 | 0.09% | -4,322 | -14.82% | 29,163 |
| Whatcom | 81,435 | 59.68% | 54,769 | 40.14% | 247 | 0.18% | 26,666 | 19.54% | 136,451 |
| Whitman | 10,087 | 51.09% | 9,610 | 48.68% | 45 | 0.23% | 477 | 2.42% | 19,742 |
| Yakima | 35,093 | 40.12% | 52,148 | 59.62% | 219 | 0.25% | -17,055 | -19.50% | 87,460 |
| Totals | 2,143,368 | 55.51% | 1,709,818 | 44.28% | 8,202 | 0.21% | 433,550 | 11.23% | 3,861,388 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Clallam (largest city: Port Angeles)
By congressional district
Ferguson won six of ten congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Reichert, including two that elected Democrats.[97]
| District | Ferguson | Reichert | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 59% | 40% | Suzan DelBene |
| 2nd | 58% | 42% | Rick Larsen |
| 3rd | 46% | 54% | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez |
| 4th | 37% | 63% | Dan Newhouse |
| 5th | 42% | 58% | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (118th Congress) |
| Michael Baumgartner (119th Congress) | |||
| 6th | 56% | 44% | Derek Kilmer (118th Congress) |
| Emily Randall (119th Congress) | |||
| 7th | 84% | 16% | Pramila Jayapal |
| 8th | 47% | 53% | Kim Schrier |
| 9th | 67% | 33% | Adam Smith |
| 10th | 55% | 45% | Marilyn Strickland |
Notes
- Not an actual political party. In Washington, independent candidates are allowed to choose a ballot label
- Locals 6, 775, 925, Healthcare 1199NW, and Committee of Interns and Residents
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- "Someone else" with 1%
- "Some other candidate" with 3%
- "No answer" with 2%; "I may not vote in this race" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 10%
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
- Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING 5, and the University of Washington Center for an Informed Public
- Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC
- Poll sponsored by Future 42, a conservative group
- Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute and Future 42, a conservative group