2026 Andalusian regional election

Date

The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia (BOJA), with election day taking place 54 days after the decree's publication (barring any date within from 1 July to 31 August).^[35] The previous election was held on 19 June 2022, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 19 June 2026. Due to the ban on summer elections, the latest possible date for election day was 30 June 2026, meaning the election decree was required to be published in the BOJA no later than 7 May 2026.

The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year after a previous one.^[36] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.^[37]

Speculation emerged in September 2025 that the national leadership of the People's Party (PP) was planning to advance the elections in Aragon and Extremadura to make them take place near or concurrently with the Castilian-Leonese election scheduled for early 2026, in an electoral "Super Sunday".^[38][39][40] While the alleged justification would be the regional governments' failure in getting their 2026 budgets passed through parliament, the true motive was attributed to PP plans—not without risk—to turn the simultaneous election call into a referendum on the national government of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez.^[41][42][43] While an advancement of the Andalusian election (scheduled for no later than June 2026) was commented within such plans, regional president Juanma Moreno dismissed this possibility except in the event of Sánchez calling a snap general election before that date.^[44][45][46] The possibility of an election postponement until September 2026, in order to circumvent the ban on summer elections imposed by the Andalusian electoral law, was also ruled out by Moreno over political and legal concerns on its feasibility.^[47] The breast cancer screening scandal in October 2025 was said to have affected Moreno's electoral plans,^[18] with doubts existing on the opportunity of fostering a concerted "Super Sunday" action by several PP-controlled regions.^[48][49]

President Moreno confirmed on 26 February 2026 that the Parliament would be dissolved in April,^[50] which narrowed the possibilities for election day as being one of the following Sundays: 31 May, 7, 14 or 21 June.^[51][52] Several of them were commented as presenting difficulties: 31 May would overlap with the Romería de El Rocío pilgrimage;^[51] 7 June would coincide with Pope Leo XIV's scheduled visit to Spain;^[52] and 21 June was commented as being too close to the high temperature season.^[51] On 23 March 2026, Moreno announced the election for 17 May.^[53]

The Parliament of Andalusia was officially dissolved on 24 March 2026 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOJA, setting election day for 17 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 11 June.^[54]

Electoral system

Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Andalusia and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence.^[55] Amendments in 2022 abolished the "begged" voting system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which non-resident citizens were required to apply for voting.^[56] The begged vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it was in force.^[57]

The Parliament of Andalusia had a minimum of 109 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at that number. All were elected in eight multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga and Seville, each of which was assigned an initial minimum of eight seats and the remaining 45 distributed in proportion to population (with the number of seats in each province not exceeding two times that of any other)—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency.^[58] The use of this electoral method resulted in a higher effective threshold depending on district magnitude and vote distribution.^[59]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:^[60]

The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.^[61]

Outgoing parliament

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.^[62][63]

Timetable

The key dates are listed below (all times are CET):^[77]

• 23 March: The election decree is issued with the countersign of the president, after deliberation in the Council of Government.
• 24 March: Formal dissolution of parliament and start of prohibition period on the inauguration of public works, services or projects.
• 27 March: Initial constitution of provincial and zone electoral commissions with judicial members.
• 30 March: Division of constituencies into polling sections and stations.
• 3 April: Deadline for parties and federations to report on their electoral alliances.
• 6 April: Deadline for electoral register consultation for the purpose of possible corrections.
• 13 April: Deadline for parties, federations, alliances, and groupings of electors to present electoral lists.
• 15 April: Publication of submitted electoral lists in the Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia (BOJA).
• 20 April: Official proclamation of validly submitted electoral lists.
• 21 April: Publication of proclaimed electoral lists in the BOJA.
• 22 April: Deadline for the selection of polling station members by sortition.
• 30 April: Deadline for the appointment of non-judicial members to provincial and zone electoral commissions.
• 1 May: Official start of electoral campaigning.^[78]
• 7 May: Deadline to apply for postal voting.
• 12 May: Start of legal ban on electoral opinion polling publication; deadline for non-resident citizens (electors residing abroad (CERA) and citizens temporarily absent from Spain) to vote by mail.
• 13 May: Deadline for postal and temporarily absent voting.
• 14 May: Deadline for CERA voting.
• 15 May: Last day of electoral campaigning.^[78]
• 16 May: Official election silence ("reflection day").
• 17 May: Election day (polling stations open at 9 am and close at 8 pm or once voters present in a queue at/outside the polling station at 8 pm have cast their vote); provisional vote counting.
• 22 May: Start of general vote counting, including CERA votes.
• 25 May: Deadline for the general vote counting.
• 3 June: Deadline for the proclamation of elected members.
• 11 June: Deadline for the reconvening of parliament (date determined by the election decree, which for the 2026 election was set for 11 June).^[79]
• 13 July: Deadline for the publication of definitive election results in the BOJA.

Party slogans

Debates

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 19 June 2022 to 17 May 2026, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are also displayed below (or in place of) the voting estimates in a smaller font; 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout									SALF	Lead
2026 regional election	17 May 2026	—N/a	61.9	41.6 53	22.7 28	13.8 15	6.3 5	9.6 8	–	[d]	[d]	2.5 0	18.9
NC Report/La Razón[p 1]	17 May 2026	?	?	? 56/59	? 26/27	? 14/15	? 5/7	? 4/5	–	[d]	[d]	–	?
PP[p 2]	16 May 2026	?	?	45.0 54/59	21.0 24/26	15.0 ?	–	8.0 ?	–	[d]	[d]	–	24.0
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 3]	12–16 May 2026	1,500	?	42.5 54/56	20.0 23/25	14.5 14/17	8.1 6/8	9.0 7/9	–	[d]	[d]	2.7 0	22.5
Sigma Dos/RTVA–FORTA[p 4][p 5]	1–16 May 2026	9,050	?	44.8 56/59	22.5 26/29	13.2 13/15	7.3 5/6	6.8 4/5	–	[d]	[d]	–	22.3
Data10/Okdiario[p 6]	10–11 May 2026	1,500	?	43.1 56	22.4 27	14.1 16	7.9 5	7.0 5	–	[d]	[d]	–	20.7
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 7]	8–11 May 2026	1,200	?	42.8 54/55	22.7 27/28	14.4 15/16	7.4 5/6	6.9 4/6	–	[d]	[d]	3.0 0	20.1
Target Point/El Debate[p 8]	6–9 May 2026	1,191	?	42.6 54/56	21.9 26/28	14.8 15/17	7.1 4/5	7.5 5/6	–	[d]	[d]	–	20.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 9]	4–9 May 2026	2,063	?	44.7 55/58	24.7 27/30	12.9 13/14	7.5 5/6	6.7 4/5	–	[d]	[d]	–	20.0
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 10]	1–9 May 2026	1,829	?	42.3 54	21.2 25	14.8 17	8.8 7	8.3 6	–	[d]	[d]	1.9 0	21.1
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[p 11][p 12]	4–8 May 2026	1,000	57.2	43.7 57	22.7 27	13.6 15	7.9 6	6.4 4	–	[d]	[d]	1.8 0	21.0
IMOP/El Confidencial[p 13]	4–8 May 2026	1,511	?	42.8 54/56	21.0 25/27	14.4 17/19	7.8 4/6	7.7 4/6	–	[d]	[d]	2.0 0	21.8
PP[p 14]	7 May 2026	?	?	? 55/59	? 23/27	? 17	? 5	? 6	–	[d]	[d]	–	?
NC Report/La Razón[p 15]	4–7 May 2026	1,000	58.1	43.9 58	22.8 28	13.7 15	7.6 5	5.9 3	–	[d]	[d]	–	21.1
GAD3/Vocento[p 16]	30 Apr–7 May 2026	1,142	?	42.3 54/56	21.7 26/28	14.6 15/17	7.8 5	7.9 6	–	[d]	[d]	–	20.6
40dB/Prisa[p 17][p 18]	4–6 May 2026	1,200	?	43.3 54/57	23.0 27/29	13.8 14/16	8.1 6/7	6.5 4/5	–	[d]	[d]	1.9 0	20.3
Hamalgama Métrica/Vozpópuli[p 19]	30 Apr–6 May 2026	1,000	?	43.5 56	23.4 28	14.6 16	8.5 6	5.9 3	–	[d]	[d]	–	20.1
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 20]	29 Apr–6 May 2026	802	?	40.9 52/55	20.5 24/27	16.3 17/20	8.9 6/8	7.0 4/6	–	[d]	[d]	2.7 0	20.4
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 21]	15 Apr–3 May 2026	1,524	?	42.8 55	23.0 29	13.8 14	8.8 6	7.3 5	–	[d]	[d]	1.8 0	19.8
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 22]	30 Apr–2 May 2026	1,200	?	43.1 58	23.5 27	13.6 15	8.4 7	5.2 2	–	[d]	[d]	2.9 0	19.6
Commentia/Grupo Joly[p 23]	14–26 Apr 2026	2,408	60	40.9 52/54	21.6 26/28	17.5 17/19	9.1 4/6	7.1 3/5	–	[d]	[d]	–	19.3
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 24]	1–26 Apr 2026	1,944	?	42.1 54	23.4 28	14.1 16	8.9 6	7.2 5	–	[d]	[d]	1.7 0	18.7
Target Point/El Debate[p 25]	20–23 Apr 2026	1,004	?	42.8 55/56	21.6 26/28	15.5 17/18	7.6 5/6	6.5 3/4	–	[d]	[d]	–	21.2
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 26]	14–23 Apr 2026	1,607	72.2	43.7 55/57	23.5 27/29	14.3 14/16	8.7 6/7	6.3 3/4	–	[d]	[d]	1.2 0	20.2
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 27]	1–19 Apr 2026	1,327	?	41.4 53	23.6 28	14.5 17	8.7 6	7.1 5	–	[d]	[d]	1.8 0	17.8
CIS[p 28][91]	10–18 Apr 2026	8,017	?	43.6 51/59	25.8 27/34	10.3 8/17	6.9 4/5	8.5 5/7	–	[d]	[d]	1.9 0	17.8
GAD3/Vocento[p 29]	13–16 Apr 2026	1,001	?	44.1 56/58	23.5 28/29	13.3 13/14	7.6 6	6.1 4	–	[d]	[d]	–	20.6
CENTRA/CEA[p 30]	27 Mar–16 Apr 2026	8,000	59.9	42.4 53/56	20.1 25/27	14.4 17/19	7.9 4/7	6.9 5	–	[d]	[d]	2.0 0	22.3
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 31]	20 Mar–12 Apr 2026	1,584	?	41.3 53	23.6 28	14.4 16	8.1 6	7.8 6	–	[d]	[d]	1.7 0	17.7
IMOP/El Confidencial[p 32]	6–10 Apr 2026	1,056	?	42.0 53/55	23.2 27/29	15.4 18/20	6.9 4/5	6.2 3/4	–	[d]	[d]	1.6 0	18.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 33]	6–10 Apr 2026	1,596	68.9	42.8 55/57	22.9 27/29	15.6 17/19	8.1 5/6	5.7 2	–	[d]	[d]	1.2 0	19.9
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 34]	20 Mar–5 Apr 2026	1,042	?	42.5 53	24.0 28	14.9 17	8.5 6	7.1 5	0.2 0	[d]	[d]	–	18.5
Target Point/El Debate[p 35]	26–28 Mar 2026	1,003	?	42.5 55/56	21.2 26/27	17.7 19/21	5.9 4	6.1 3/4	–	[d]	[d]	–	21.3
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 36]	26–28 Mar 2026	1,200	?	42.8 56	23.1 28	16.1 18	5.9 4	6.3 3	–	[d]	[d]	2.0 0	19.7
GAD3/Vocento[p 37]	24–27 Mar 2026	1,002	?	43.6 54/57	23.8 29/30	13.6 14/15	6.7 5	6.1 4/5	–	[d]	[d]	–	19.8
NC Report/La Razón[p 38]	23–27 Mar 2026	1,000	57.9	43.1 57	23.8 28	14.9 16	8.4 6	5.7 2	–	[d]	[d]	–	19.3
Data10/Okdiario[p 39]	24 Mar 2026	1,500	?	43.3 54	20.1 25	18.5 22	6.7 5	6.2 3	–	[d]	[d]	–	23.2
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 40]	28 Feb–22 Mar 2026	1,217	?	42.5 54	23.5 28	14.5 16	9.0 6	7.2 5	0.2 0	[d]	[d]	–	19.0
CENTRA/CEA[p 41]	27 Feb–12 Mar 2026	3,600	56.3	42.8 54/57	21.0 26/27	15.0 17/20	7.8 5/6	6.3 2/3	–	[d]	[d]	2.1 0	21.8
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 42]	18–25 Feb 2026	801	?	38.5 50/53	20.0 23/27	20.0 23/27	6.2 4/5	5.5 2/4	–	2.9 0	[d]	2.8 0	18.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 43]	16–25 Feb 2026	1,393	?	40.4 53/55	20.8 24/27	18.0 20/21	9.2 5/7	6.9 6/9	–	[d]	[d]	1.2 0	19.6
Social Data/Grupo Viva[p 44]	2–13 Feb 2026	2,400	?	42.7 53/57	19.4 24/27	17.6 19/22	5.8 2/4	7.6 2/5	–	[d]	[d]	–	23.3
CENTRA/CEA[p 45]	17–18 Nov 2025	3,600	54.9	40.2 53/55	21.4 25/28	17.5 19/22	7.5 5/6	6.1 2/3	–	[d]	[d]	–	18.8
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 46]	6–9 Oct 2025	1,200	?	42.9 55	26.2 32	14.4 15	7.3 5	4.4 2	–	[d]	[d]	–	16.7
NC Report/La Razón[p 47]	26 Sep–9 Oct 2025	1,000	55.1	42.3 57/59	21.8 26/28	? 16/17	? 5	? 3	–	[d]	[d]	–	20.5
CENTRA/CEA[p 48]	15 Sep–1 Oct 2025	3,600	54.7	40.7 54/56	23.3 26/29	15.9 16/18	8.0 6/8	6.4 2/3	–	[d]	[d]	–	17.4
CENTRA/CEA[p 49]	13 Jun–1 Jul 2025	3,600	57.5	41.7 55/57	19.8 24/26	14.7 16/18	10.0 8/9	6.2 2/3	–	[d]	[d]	–	21.9
GAD3/ABC[p 50]	3–10 Jun 2025	804	?	43.3 55/57	24.2 28/29	15.4 16/18	7.5 5	4.8 2	–	[d]	[d]	–	19.1
NC Report/La Razón[p 51]	16–31 May 2025	500	?	? 59	? 28	? 14	? 6	? 2	–	[d]	[d]	–	?
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 52]	27 Mar–28 Apr 2025	1,600	?	45.0 58	25.5 32	11.1 12	6.3 4	6.3 3	0.2 0	[d]	[d]	–	19.5
CENTRA/CEA[p 53]	17 Mar–3 Apr 2025	3,600	59.5	42.2 57/59	23.0 25/28	14.3 15/16	8.5 6/9	3.8 1/2	–	[d]	[d]	–	19.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 54]	24–26 Feb 2025	1,500	?	45.5 57	29.9 35	11.4 12	6.5 5	3.2 0	–	[d]	[d]	–	15.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 55]	10–25 Feb 2025	1,464	?	43.9 57/59	24.6 29/31	12.5 12/13	8.1 6	4.8 2/3	–	[d]	[d]	2.5 0	19.3
NC Report/La Razón[p 56]	15–23 Jan 2025	1,000	57.7	44.3 59/60	22.2 28/29	13.7 14/15	7.4 5	4.4 2	–	[d]	[d]	2.8 0	22.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 57]	25 Nov–4 Dec 2024	1,402	?	42.2 55/57	22.9 28/29	13.3 13/14	10.5 9/10	4.9 2	–	[d]	[d]	2.7 0	19.3
CENTRA/CEA[p 58]	20–29 Nov 2024	3,600	62.4	43.5 57/59	21.4 26/27	13.3 13/15	7.5 6/8	4.1 2/3	–	[d]	[d]	3.7 0/2	22.1
Social Data/Grupo Viva[p 59][p 60]	13–22 Nov 2024	2,400	?	43.1 54/59	24.8 27/34	14.8 13/18	7.0 5/6	4.8 2/3	–	1.9 0	[d]	–	18.3
Data10/OKDiario[p 61]	20–21 Nov 2024	1,500	?	44.4 59	24.4 29	14.9 15	8.6 6	2.8 0	–	[d]	[d]	–	20.0
CENTRA/CEA[p 62]	16–30 Sep 2024	3,600	59.9	41.8 56/58	27.1 30/32	11.1 12/13	8.6 6/7	4.3 1/2	–	[d]	[d]	2.7 0	14.7
CENTRA/CEA[p 63]	18 Jun–2 Jul 2024	3,600	57.1	41.6 57/59	23.5 30/31	12.0 12/13	10.2 7/8	3.9 0/1	1.2 0	[d]	[d]	2.4 0	18.1
2024 EP election	9 Jun 2024	—N/a	43.6	37.9 (48)	32.2 (40)	10.9 (12)	[e]	–	0.7 (0)	2.8 (0)	5.1 (4)	6.2 (5)	5.7
CENTRA/CEA[p 64]	22 Mar–9 Apr 2024	3,632	52.6	46.1 58/61	21.2 24/27	13.8 14/17	8.6 7/8	3.3 0/1	2.0 0	[d]	[d]	–	24.9
Sigma Dos/OKDiario[p 65]	28 Feb 2024	?	?	46.4 59	24.5 29	10.2 10	10.5 9	5.1 2	–	[d]	[d]	–	21.9
CENTRA/CEA[p 66]	12–22 Dec 2023	3,600	55.0	46.2 60/62	21.0 25/27	12.7 11/12	11.9 10	3.8 0/1	1.5 0	[d]	[d]	–	25.2
CENTRA/CEA[p 67]	11–21 Sep 2023	3,600	59.8	41.4 56/58	24.7 30/32	11.7 9/10	12.6 10/12	4.8 0/2	1.3 0	[d]	[d]	–	16.7
2023 general election	23 Jul 2023	—N/a	66.6	36.4 (45)	33.5 (38)	15.3 (16)	[e]	0.2 (0)	–	[e]	12.0 (10)	–	2.9
CENTRA/CEA[p 68]	12–23 Jun 2023	3,600	58.9	44.6 58/59	24.1 30/31	12.5 12/13	8.5 5/6	5.3 2	1.6 0	[d]	–	–	20.5
CENTRA/CEA[p 69]	7–21 Mar 2023	3,600	56.7	42.2 56/57	24.2 30/31	13.4 12/13	8.5 8/9	3.3 1	4.2 0	[d]	–	–	18.0
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 70]	1 Jan–13 Feb 2023	854	?	46.0 60	23.4 28	11.2 13	8.0 6	4.7 2	3.0 0	[d]	–	–	22.6
CENTRA/CEA[p 71]	21 Nov–2 Dec 2022	3,600	58.0	42.3 56/58	19.4 22/23	12.8 13/14	11.9 12/13	5.4 3/4	3.1 0	[d]	–	–	22.9
CENTRA/CEA[p 72]	13–26 Sep 2022	3,600	53.2	45.5 58/60	21.1 27/28	11.5 10/11	11.4 10/11	4.9 1/2	2.3 0	[d]	–	–	24.4
2022 regional election	19 Jun 2022	—N/a	55.9	43.1 58	24.1 30	13.5 14	7.7 5	4.6 2	3.3 0	[d]	–	–	19.0

Close

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size									SALF	?	N	Lead
2026 regional election[f]	17 May 2026	—N/a	26.7	14.6	8.9	4.1	6.2	–	[d]	[d]	1.6	—N/a	35.2	12.1
40dB/Prisa[p 18]	4–6 May 2026	1,200	28.7	18.1	13.2	7.2	6.2	–	[d]	[d]	3.3	13.4	4.3	10.6
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 20]	29 Apr–6 May 2026	802	26.7	18.7	12.8	6.7	5.8	–	[d]	[d]	2.0	15.5	3.7	8.0
CIS[p 28]	10–18 Apr 2026	8,017	36.9	22.1	8.0	5.6	7.2	–	[d]	[d]	1.4	13.0	1.8	14.8
CENTRA/CEA[p 30]	27 Mar–16 Apr 2026	8,000	36.0	19.6	7.2	8.1	8.0	–	[d]	[d]	1.8	10.3	3.4	16.4
IMOP/El Confidencial[p 32]	6–10 Apr 2026	1,056	39.8	25.5	?	7.6	6.8	–	[d]	[d]	–	–	–	14.3
Target Point/El Debate[p 35]	26–28 Mar 2026	1,003	26.5	15.2	10.2	–	–	–	[d]	[d]	–	25.1	7.3	11.3
CIS[p 73]	12–26 Mar 2026	6,016	32.1	22.0	8.8	5.8	7.7	–	0.5	[d]	1.3	14.8	2.8	10.1
CENTRA/CEA[p 41]	27 Feb–12 Mar 2026	3,600	29.8	18.7	9.5	9.4	6.0	1.0	[d]	[d]	1.9	6.5	6.4	11.1
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 42]	18–25 Feb 2026	801	25.2	16.1	13.2	4.7	3.4	–	2.2	[d]	1.8	20.3	4.8	9.1
CENTRA/CEA[p 45]	17–18 Nov 2025	3,600	23.8	18.6	12.9	7.4	6.8	1.1	[d]	[d]	1.8	8.0	7.2	5.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 46]	6–9 Oct 2025	1,200	28.7	21.6	12.3	7.6	3.9	–	[d]	[d]	–	11.2	6.5	7.1
CENTRA/CEA[p 48]	15 Sep–1 Oct 2025	3,600	30.3	19.2	10.8	8.5	5.2	1.4	[d]	[d]	1.1	7.0	8.0	11.1
CENTRA/CEA[p 49]	13 Jun–1 Jul 2025	3,600	30.5	16.4	10.4	9.2	5.4	1.3	[d]	[d]	0.5	3.5	10.2	14.1
CENTRA/CEA[p 53]	17 Mar–3 Apr 2025	3,600	32.4	20.4	12.0	8.0	2.3	2.2	[d]	[d]	1.2	4.7	11.1	12.0
CIS[p 74]	7–31 Mar 2025	2,966	32.4	22.9	7.3	4.1	1.7	–	2.2	[d]	0.8	20.0	3.6	9.5
CENTRA/CEA[p 58]	20–29 Nov 2024	3,600	32.8	16.1	7.7	8.0	3.1	1.3	[d]	[d]	2.5	8.8	10.6	16.7
CENTRA/CEA[p 62]	16–30 Sep 2024	3,600	32.3	21.0	4.9	6.6	3.7	0.6	[d]	[d]	1.9	12.9	8.4	11.3
CENTRA/CEA[p 63]	18 Jun–2 Jul 2024	3,600	31.6	20.0	7.6	8.5	2.6	0.8	[d]	[d]	2.5	7.4	9.1	11.6
2024 EP election[f]	9 Jun 2024	—N/a	17.0	14.4	4.9	[e]	–	0.3	1.3	2.3	2.8	—N/a	54.7	2.6
CENTRA/CEA[p 64]	22 Mar–9 Apr 2024	3,632	29.7	13.4	8.0	5.5	1.1	0.6	[d]	[d]	–	22.7	10.0	16.3
CENTRA/CEA[p 66]	12–22 Dec 2023	3,600	43.3	14.4	8.3	8.4	2.7	0.7	[d]	[d]	–	9.1	6.3	28.9
CENTRA/CEA[p 67]	11–21 Sep 2023	3,600	35.9	19.5	5.9	10.8	3.8	1.0	[d]	[d]	–	6.5	6.5	16.4
2023 general election[f]	23 Jul 2023	—N/a	24.8	22.8	10.4	[e]	0.1	–	[e]	8.1	–	—N/a	31.0	2.0
CENTRA/CEA[p 68]	12–23 Jun 2023	3,600	37.9	20.8	7.3	8.0	3.6	1.4	[d]	–	–	9.1	4.5	17.1
CENTRA/CEA[p 69]	7–21 Mar 2023	3,600	32.5	22.1	10.0	7.7	2.7	3.8	[d]	–	–	4.0	9.5	10.4
CENTRA/CEA[p 71]	21 Nov–2 Dec 2022	3,600	32.8	12.6	8.5	9.2	5.7	2.4	[d]	–	–	6.7	8.4	20.2
CENTRA/CEA[p 72]	13–26 Sep 2022	3,600	36.6	14.9	6.7	9.0	3.9	1.8	[d]	–	–	11.2	6.9	21.7
2022 regional election[f]	19 Jun 2022	—N/a	24.9	13.9	7.8	4.4	2.6	1.9	[d]	–	–	—N/a	41.6	11.0

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Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						SALF	Other/ None	?	Lead
CENTRA/CEA[p 30]	27 Mar–16 Apr 2026	8,000	38.4	21.2	7.6	6.2	9.4	1.6	8.2	7.6	17.2

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Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Andalusia.

All candidates

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size										Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead
			Moreno PP	Montero PSOE–A	Gavira Vox	Nieto PorA	Maíllo PorA	Gómez PorA	García AA	Delgado Podemos	Yacar SALF
IMOP/El Confidencial[p 75]	4–8 May 2026	1,511	39.3	20.1	7.7	–	7.9	–	8.4	–	–	16.6		19.2
GAD3/Vocento[p 76]	30 Apr–7 May 2026	1,142	50.0	19.0	6.0	–	6.0	–	7.0	–	–	12.0		31.0
40dB/Prisa[p 18]	4–6 May 2026	1,200	37.1	16.7	10.8	–	8.6	–	7.9	–	2.6	8.8	7.4	20.4
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 77]	29 Apr–6 May 2026	802	39.2	18.6	4.2	–	6.3	–	4.7	–	–	11.9	15.0	20.6
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 78]	30 Apr–2 May 2026	1,200	38.1	15.1	9.7	–	4.8	–	5.3	–	2.9	24.0	–	23.0
CIS[p 28]	10–18 Apr 2026	8,017	43.8	20.7	5.6	–	6.6	–	6.9	–	1.0[g]	6.2	9.2	23.1
CENTRA/CEA[p 30]	27 Mar–16 Apr 2026	8,000	49.6	21.4	4.0	–	9.6	–	7.0	–	–	2.6	5.7	28.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 79]	26–28 Mar 2026	1,100	48.6	17.6	14.9	–	8.1	–	8.1	2.7	–	–	–	31.0
GAD3/Vocento[p 80]	24–27 Mar 2026	1,002	56.0	17.0	4.0	–	6.0	–	5.0	–	–	10.0	2.0	39.0
CIS[p 73]	12–26 Mar 2026	6,016	40.9	17.5	4.6	–	5.6	–	5.5	0.3	–	10.7	15.0	23.4
CENTRA/CEA[p 41]	27 Feb–12 Mar 2026	3,600	39.9	17.6	2.7	–	6.5	–	4.8	0.2	–	7.0	21.3	22.3
Social Data/Grupo Viva[p 44]	2–13 Feb 2026	2,400	50.0	15.6	7.2	–	5.1	–	6.1	–	–	16.0	–	34.4
CENTRA/CEA[p 45]	17–18 Nov 2025	3,600	33.1	19.4	4.4	–	–	1.3	7.1	–	–	10.3	24.3	13.7
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 46]	6–9 Oct 2025	1,200	33.9	16.3	10.8	3.3	–	–	4.6	–	–	–	31.1	17.6
CENTRA/CEA[p 48]	15 Sep–1 Oct 2025	3,600	38.8	20.0	3.4	3.8	–	–	3.3	–	–	5.2	25.6	18.8
CENTRA/CEA[p 49]	13 Jun–1 Jul 2025	3,600	49.4	21.5	4.7	6.7	9.2	–	5.0	–	–	2.2	1.3	27.9
GAD3/ABC[p 80]	3–10 Jun 2025	804	42.0	20.0	7.0	–	6.0	–	3.0	–	–	14.0	5.0	22.0
CIS[h][p 74]	7–31 Mar 2025	2,966	36.3	13.0	3.7	2.9	0.7	–	–	–	–	4.6	38.8	23.3
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 54]	24–26 Feb 2025	1,500	35.1	15.1	8.8	4.2	5.8	–	–	–	–	–	31.0	20.0

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Moreno vs. Montero

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead
			Moreno PP	Montero PSOE–A
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 46]	6–9 Oct 2025	1,200	48.8	26.0	–	25.3	22.8
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 54]	24–26 Feb 2025	1,500	45.9	28.1	–	26.0	17.8

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Predicted President

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president of the Regional Government of Andalusia.

More information Polling firm/Commissioner, Fieldwork date ...

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead
			Moreno PP	Montero PSOE–A
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 46]	6–9 Oct 2025	1,200	58.5	18.3	–	23.2	40.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 54]	24–26 Feb 2025	1,500	56.9	19.8	–	23.3	37.1

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Overall

More information Parties and alliances, Popular vote ...

← Summary of the 17 May 2026 Parliament of Andalusia election results

Reporting 99.90%
Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	1,735,819	41.61	−1.50	53	−5
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A)	947,713	22.72	−1.38	28	−2
	Vox (Vox)	576,635	13.82	+0.35	15	+1
	Forward Andalusia (Adelante Andalucía)	401,732	9.63	+5.05	8	+6
	For Andalusia (IU–Podemos–MS–IdPA–VQ–ALTER–AV)	263,615	6.32	−1.38	5	±0
	The Party is Over (SALF)	105,761	2.53	New	0	±0
	Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)1	25,056	0.60	−0.35	0	±0
	100x100 United (100x100)	14,753	0.35	New	0	±0
	Andalusians–Andalusian People (Andalucistas–PA)2	12,319	0.30	−0.02	0	±0
	Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB)	9,281	0.22	+0.10	0	±0
	Jaén Deserves More (JM+)	7,961	0.19	−0.32	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Andalusian People (PCPA)	5,849	0.14	+0.02	0	±0
	Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE de las JONS)	4,962	0.12	+0.08	0	±0
	For a Fairer World (M+J)	4,696	0.11	+0.02	0	±0
	Self-employed Party (Partido Autónomos)	3,693	0.09	+0.03	0	±0
	Andalusian Nation (NA)	3,012	0.07	±0.00	0	±0
	Huelva Exists (HE>)	2,134	0.05	New	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE)	1,777	0.04	−0.04	0	±0
	Andalusian Power (Poder Andaluz)	1,076	0.03	New	0	±0
	Malagenian Alternative (29)	741	0.02	New	0	±0
	People from Almería–Regionalists for Almería (ALM)	646	0.01	New	0	±0
	Andalusi Party (Andalusí)	532	0.01	New	0	±0
	Revolutionary Anticapitalist Left (IZAR)	502	0.01	±0.00	0	±0
	Retirees Party for the Future. Dignity and Democracy (JUFUDI)	396	0.01	±0.00	0	±0
	Left for Almería (IPAL)	360	0.01	New	0	±0
	Connect Andalusia (Conecta)	329	0.01	New	0	±0
	United Society (Sociedad Unida)	237	0.01	New	0	±0
Blank ballots		40,493	0.97	−0.03
Total		4,172,080			109	±0
Valid votes		4,172,080	98.91	+0.03
Invalid votes		45,952	1.09	−0.03
Votes cast / turnout		4,218,032	61.91	+5.78
Abstentions
Registered voters		6,812,861
Sources[93]
Footnotes: 1 Animalist Party with the Environment results are compared to Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals totals in the 2022 election. 2 Andalusians–Andalusian People results are compared to Arise, o Andalusians Coalition in the 2022 election.

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Distribution by constituency