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2026 Berlin state election

German state election From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 2026 Berlin state election is currently being held on 20 September 2026 to elect the 20th Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin. The 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election takes place on the same day, two weeks after a landslide in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election that potentially mobilises support.[1]

Quick facts All 130 seats in the House of Representatives 66 seats needed for a majority, Candidate ...
2026 Berlin state election

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20 September 2026
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All 130 seats in the House of Representatives
66 seats needed for a majority
 
Candidate Stefan Evers Steffen Krach Bettina Jarasch &
Werner Graf
Party CDU SPD Greens
Last election 52 seats, 28.2% 34 seats, 18.4% 34 seats, 18.4%
Current seats 52 36 33

 
Candidate Elif Eralp Kristin Brinker Alexander King &
Michael Lüders
Party Linke AfD BSW
Last election 22 seats, 12.2% 17 seats, 9.1% Did not exist
Current seats 20 16 1

Incumbent Government

Wegner senate
CDU–SPD



Close

Due to numerous irregularities in the September 2021 Berlin state election, it was ruled invalid in 2022 and repeated in February 2023 in which members were elected only for the remainder of the term. Kai Wegner (CDU) has served as Governing Mayor of Berlin since April 2023, leading the CDU-SPD Wegner senate, but has received criticism and is not seeking re-election as mayor.

Election date

The Berlin parliament did not decide to dissolve itself. The date of the election for the 20th Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin was set to 20 September 2026. The Berlin Constitution stipulates that a regular election must occur no earlier than 56 months and no later than 59 months after the start of the Abgeordnetenhaus's legislative period.[2] The 19th Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin was constituted on November 4, 2021.[3][4]

Electoral system

The Abgeordnetenhaus is elected via mixed-member proportional representation. 78 members are elected in single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post voting. 52 members are then allocated using compensatory proportional representation, distributed in each of Berlin's twelve boroughs. Voters have two votes: the "first vote" for candidates in single-member constituencies, and the "second vote" for party lists, which are used to fill the proportional seats. The minimum size of the Abgeordnetenhaus is 130 members, but if overhang seats are present, proportional leveling seats will be added to ensure proportionality. An electoral threshold of 5% of valid votes is applied to the Abgeordnetenhaus; parties that fall below this threshold are excluded from the Abgeordnetenhaus - except if they win at least one single-member constituency, in which case they are exempt from said threshold and will be eligible for seats.[5]

Background

Results of Berlin state elections. Since turnout dropped under 70% in 1995, abstentions (Nichtwähler) have a much higher share than any party.

In the 2023 Berlin repeat state election with 28% of votes, the opposition Christian Democratic Union (CDU) grew by over ten percentage points and emerged as the largest party by a wide margin, the first time it had done so since the 1999 Berlin state election. All three governing parties declined; the SPD suffered its worst result in over a century with 18.4%, and only barely remained ahead of the Greens by a margin of 53 votes. The Left also slipped to 12%. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) recorded a small upswing to 9%, while the Free Democratic Party (FDP) fell to 4.6% and lost all their seats. Overall, the incumbent government retained a reduced majority. The CDU claimed a mandate to govern given its first-place result, while mayor Franziska Giffey committed to remaining in government. The Left called for a renewal of the outgoing coalition.[6] After various talks between parties, the SPD and CDU voted at the beginning of March to begin negotiations for a grand coalition. CDU leader Kai Wegner was approved as mayor on 27 April after three rounds of voting.[7][8]

Campaign

Wegner replacement

Wegner received heavy criticism for his lack of presence and poor communicative response to the 3 January 2026 arson attack on the Berlin power grid, especially after it was revealed he spent part of the day playing tennis with his partner Katharina Günther-Wünsch instead of handling the crisis. The scandal caused tension inside the coalition and opposition parties accused him of lying about his whereabouts that day. Der Tagesspiegel reported on 7 July, citing the Senate Chancellery, that Wegner had not made any official phone calls related to the blackout until 12:45 p.m., nearly seven hours after the attack; this contradicted his previous public statement that he first began coordinating a response around 8 a.m. After this, internal anger from his party intensified, and on 10 July Wegner stepped down as the CDU's lead candidate for this election. He refused to resign from office and remained the CDU's constituency candidate in his district of Spandau 5. However, he ruled out serving in the next Senate if the CDU end up in government.[9] On the evening of 10 July, Finance Senator Stefan Evers was named as Wegner's replacement.[10]

Bribery investigation into Krach

On 9 September, the Hanover public prosecutor's office executed three search warrants against properties related to SPD lead candidate Steffen Krach; police searched his apartment in Berlin, as well as SPD offices in Berlin and the Hanover Region government offices. Though the office declined to comment on an ongoing investigation, reporting from Der Tagesspiegel indicated it was on suspicion of bribery.[11]

Krach told Rundfunk Berlin-Brandenburg in an interview that evening that he suspected this was the basis of the investigation. Krach, in his capacity of President of the Hanover Region from 2021 through the beginning of 2026, was chair of the supervisory board of its municipal hospitals and oversaw the sale of one of them to a private medical provider. He claimed that one of the two bidders – which he said was the one which lost – made a donation of €9,900 to the Berlin SPD during the process, just under the €10,000 threshold which requires the party to disclose the donor's identity. At this time (December 2025), Krach had been nominated as the Berlin lead candidate but had not yet left his Hanover post. Krach called the implication of accepting a bribe "completely baseless", said he immediately recognized the donation as unacceptable and returned it within 24 hours, and denied ever taking improper donations in a personal or professional capacity.[12] As donations are normally handled only by party financial staff, he said he had specially instructed them to alert him to any coming from Hanover to avoid the appearance of impropriety, and later abstained from the board's decisive vote. The prosecutor's office had searched the provider's offices in May 2026 in a relation to an unspecified "corruption offense", and Krach said awareness of a previous investigation into the provider ultimately swayed the board's decision.[11][12]

The Berlin state executive of the SPD held a crisis meeting on the afternoon of 9 September and pronounced their full confidence in Krach as lead candidate.[11] Reporting from RBB later brought Krach's timeline into question: it obtained copies of the relevant receipts and communications which showed the donation was made on 29 December 2025 and returned on 9 January 2026. Krach was only told about the donation on 7 January. However, the Berlin party treasurer backed up his claim that he instructed the donation be returned immediately.[12][13] Krach stated his intention to continue campaigning in a press conference on 10 September, and confirmed he had support from the SPD parliamentary group, state executive, and federal leader and Vice Chancellor Lars Klingbeil.[13]

In the evening of 10 September, the Hanover public prosecutor's office spokeswoman confirmed to Der Spiegel that there were three active investigations into Krach: two for Vorteilsannahme – "acceptance of benefits", accepting a bribe but without a violation of duty to the public, which is the more severe Bestechlichkeit (corruption) – and one for entering into possible anti-competitive agreements in conjunction with the misappropriation of trade secrets. The spokeswoman said the investigations had started on 3 September and the search warrants had been issued on 7 September.[14] In light of this, Der Tagesspiegel reported that the municipal supervisory authority of Lower Saxony – Krach is still technically in office as president of the Hanover region on unpaid leave – was evaluating opening disciplinary proceedings against him.[15]

Polls and potential coalitions

In the two months before the election, the CDU, AfD, and the Left were all shown as the largest party in at least one poll. Recent election winners were also quite different: SPD had won the invalid 2021 Berlin state election, CDU the repeat 2023 Berlin state election, the Greens the local 2024 European_Parliament elections, and The Left prevailed in the local 2025 German federal election.

Polls in August suggested that five parties are in the 15% to 20% range, making a continuation of the CDU–SPD grand coalition or any other two-party coalition mathematically impossible. They predict a CDU–SPD–Green Kenya coalition could have a majority, but Green lead candidate Werner Graf has ruled out working with the CDU.[16] A Left–Green–SPD coalition is thus the most likely coalition to command a majority. The same coalition, but led by the SPD (red–red–green coalition), governed Berlin from 2016 through 2023.[17] The AfD is subject to a firewall policy as all other major parties refuse to work with it, and no other parties are predicted to pass the five-percent election threshold. The federal CDU has also passed a "resolution of incompatibility" prohibiting it or any lower-level party organ from working with The Left.

Left lead candidate Elif Eralp has publicly stated a red line condition of entering any coalition is beginning the expropriation of housing properties owned by large companies, which voters approved by a large margin in the non-binding 2021 Deutsche Wohnen & Co. enteignen referendum. (Article 15 of the Basic Law empowers the government to pass a law allowing it to take over land, natural resources, and means of production for the purposes of socialization with equitable compensation to the owner, though it has never been used before.[18]) Krach responded that he would not agree to this condition and accused The Left of "drawing a red line here because they do not even want to govern and instead continue as maximum opposition". For his part, Graf said his party felt bound by the referendum and called on the two red parties to settle their differences and "draw green lines" instead.[19]

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the 19th Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin since 2023.

More information Name, Ideology ...
Name Ideology Lead candidate(s) 2023 result Current
Votes Seats
CDU Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands
Christian democracy Stefan Evers 28.2%
52 / 147
52 / 147
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands
Social democracy Steffen Krach 18.4%
34 / 147
36 / 147
Grüne Alliance 90/The Greens
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
Green politics Werner Graf 18.4%
34 / 147
33 / 147
Linke The Left
Die Linke
Democratic socialism Elif Eralp 12.2%
22 / 147
20 / 147
AfD Alternative for Germany
Alternative für Deutschland
Right-wing populism Kristin Brinker 9.1%
17 / 147
16 / 147
BSW Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht
Left-conservatism Alexander King
Michael Lüders
Did not exist
1 / 147
Close

BSW is represented as Alexander King has defected from The Left.

All parties currently represented in the Abgeordnetenhaus are automatically approved to submit a list of candidates without needing to also submit supporting signatures while minor parties must accompany their lists with 2,200 signatures. All approved parties may decide to submit one statewide list or a borough list in one or more of Berlin's 12 boroughs. Of the established parties, the CDU, Left, and SPD filed borough lists in all boroughs, while the AfD, BSW and Greens filed one statewide list.[20]

The following minor parties were approved to run in the election:[20]

The following minor parties submitted a state list and were not approved because they did not meet the signature requirement:[20]

Opinion polls

Local regression of polls conducted.
More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD Grüne Linke AfD FDP BSW Others Lead
2026 state election 20 Sep 2026 –
Geostrategy 14–18 Sep 2026 1,000 19 12 14 21 20 3 5 6 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–17 Sep 2026 1,611 20 12 15 22 18 – 4 9 2
Civey 3–17 Sep 2026 3,000 20 12 16 21 18 2.5 4 6.5 1
INSA 10–16 Sep 2026 1,000 20 12 15 21 18 – 5 9 1
INSA 7–14 Sep 2026 1,000 20 12 16 20 18 3 5 6 Tie
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–10 Sep 2026 1,100 21 10 16 23 17 – 3 10 2
Civey 27 Aug – 10 Sep 2026 3,000 20 13 16 19 18 3 4 7 1
Infratest dimap 7–9 Sep 2026 1,527 20 12 16 21 18 – 4 9 1
INSA 26 Aug – 2 Sep 2026 1,000 20 15 15 19 18 3 3 7 1
Infratest dimap 27–31 Aug 2026 1,279 21 11 18 19 18 – 4 9 2
Unnamed pollster for BSW 21–26 Aug 2026 1,091 13.5 11.8 15.4 22.3 21.1 4.2 5.5 6.1 1.2
Civey 13–27 Aug 2026 3,000 19 13 15 20 18 4 4 7 1
Geostrategy 10–14 Aug 2026 1,000 19 14 15 20 19 3 4 6 1
Forsa 4–18 Aug 2026 1,535 18 12 16 22 18 3 4 7 4
INSA 7–13 Aug 2026 1,000 20 15 16 19 17 3 3 7 1
Civey 20 Jul – 3 Aug 2026 3,000 19 12 17 21 18 3 3 7 2
INSA [a] 14–21 Jul 2026 1,000 18 13 16 18 19 4 4 8 1
Infratest dimap 13–15 Jul 2026 1,147 20 12 17 22 16 3 3 7 2
Civey 25 Jun – 9 Jul 2026 3,000 19 13 17 19 17 4 3 8 Tie
Infratest dimap 25–29 Jun 2026 1,165 17 13 19 20 18 3 3 7 1
INSA [a] 4–8 May 2026 1,000 20 16 15 15 18 4 4 8 2
Infratest dimap 23–27 Apr 2026 1,155 19 14 18 18 18 3 3 7 1
INSA 7–14 Apr 2026 1,000 21 17 15 15 17 3 4 8 4
INSA 17–24 Feb 2026 1,000 22 16 15 15 17 4 4 7 5
Infratest dimap 12–14 Jan 2026 1,173 22 14 16 18 17 – 3 10 4
INSA [a] 7–14 Jan 2026 1,000 22 17 14 17 16 3 4 7 5
Infratest dimap 13–17 Nov 2025 1,185 22 13 16 19 16 – 4 10 3
INSA [a] 21–28 Oct 2025 1,100 23 16 14 17 15 4 5 6 6
Infratest dimap 12–16 Jun 2025 1,148 25 14 15 19 13 – 4 10 6
INSA 13–20 May 2025 1,000 24 17 15 13 13 3 7 8 7
Federal election 23 Feb 2025 – 18.3 15.1 16.8 19.9 15.2 3.8 6.6 4.2 1.6
Infratest dimap 14–18 Nov 2024 1,179 27 12 20 6 15 4 7 9 7
INSA 1–7 Jul 2024 1,000 26 18 15 7 12 4 12 6 8
European Parliament election 9 Jun 2024 – 17.6 13.2 19.6 7.3 11.6 4.3 8.7 17.7 2.0
Infratest dimap 18–22 Apr 2024 1,174 27 15 20 10 12 3 6 7 7
INSA 22–29 Jan 2024 1,000 29 16 17 10 13 4 – 11 12
Infratest dimap 12–16 Oct 2023 1,159 29 15 19 10 15 4 – 8 10
INSA 18–26 Sep 2023 1,000 26 17 18 10 14 5 – 10 8
Wahlkreisprognose 25 Jul – 2 Aug 2023 1,000 24.5 16 16.5 13.5 16 4 – 9.5 8
INSA 27 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 1,000 30 18 18 11 9 5 – 9 12
2023 state election 12 Feb 2023 N/A 28.2 18.4 18.4 12.2 9.1 4.6 – 9.0 9.8
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Hypothetical direct election of mayor

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Evers
CDU
Krach
SPD
Graf
Greens
Eralp
Left
Brinker
AfD
None/
Undecided
Lead
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–17 Sep 2026 1,611 24 – 12 25 – 39 14
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–10 Sep 2026 1,100 25 – 9 23 – 43 18
Infratest dimap 27–31 Aug 2026 1,279 13 9 4 13 7 54 41
Forsa 4–18 Aug 2026 1,535 15 10 6 16 10 43 27
Civey 22 Jul – 7 Aug 2026 1,500 20 14 9 11 15 31 11
Infratest dimap 25–29 Jun 2026 1,147 11 7 3 9 5 65 54
Close

West Berlin

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD Grüne Linke AfD FDP Others Lead
Infratest dimap 7–9 Sep 2026 – 23 14 18 18 15 – 12[b] 5
Infratest dimap 26 Aug – 2 Sep 2026 – 24 13 19 16 15 – 13[c] 5
Infratest dimap 12–16 Oct 2023 – 31 17 20 8 13 4 7 11
2023 state election 12 Feb 2023 – 31.1 19.9 19.8 9.0 6.8 7.0 6.4 11.2
Close

East Berlin

More information Polling firm, Fieldwork date ...
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU Linke SPD Grüne AfD FDP Others Lead
Infratest dimap 7–9 Sep 2026 – 15 25 10 13 22 – 15[d] 3
Infratest dimap 26 Aug – 2 Sep 2026 – 17 22 8 16 22 – 15[d] Tie
Infratest dimap 12–16 Oct 2023 – 26 12 14 18 17 3 10 8
2023 state election 12 Feb 2023 – 24.3 16.6 16.4 16.4 12.2 3.7 10.4 7.7
Close

Notes

  1. Commissioned by the Nius, s right-wing populist news portal,[22][23] whih is not a member of the German Press Council and thus is not subject to its ethical standards. Other INSA polls that are listed are commissioned by Bild.
  2. BSW 3%, others 9%
  3. BSW 3%, others 10%
  4. BSW 6%; others 9%

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