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2026 Secret Harbour state by-election

Election in Western Australia From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

A by-election was held on 29 August 2026 to elect the member of the Western Australian Legislative Assembly for the electorate of Secret Harbour, following the resignation of minister Paul Papalia because of family issues.

Quick facts Electoral district of Secret Harbour in the Western Australian Legislative Assembly, Votes counted ...
2026 Secret Harbour state by-election

← 2025
29 August 2026 (2026-08-29)
2029 →

Electoral district of Secret Harbour in the
Western Australian Legislative Assembly
Votes counted
74.54%
as of 30 August 2026, 12:50am AWST
  First party Second party
 
Candidate Luke Herdegen Georgia Tree
Party One Nation Labor
Popular vote 10,242 6,401
Percentage 39.08% 24.43%
Swing Increase 30.65 pp Decrease 22.12 pp
TCP 14,930 11,244
TCP % 57.04% 42.96%
TCP swing Increase 57.04 pp Decrease 15.36 pp

  Third party Fourth party
 
Candidate Ryan Robertson Rhi Davies
Party Liberal Greens
Popular vote 4,530 1,972
Percentage 17.29% 7.52%
Swing Decrease 7.70 pp Decrease 1.30 pp

Member before election

Paul Papalia
Labor

Elected Member

Luke Herdegen
One Nation

Close

The by-election was called for One Nation by the ABC at 10:30 p.m. local time (41⁄2 hours after polls closed), with Luke Herdegen claiming victory for the party. He became the first One Nation candidate elected to the Western Australian Legislative Assembly.[1]

Background

Commentators have framed the by-election as a test of One Nation's rising support in national opinion polls.[2][3][4]

Electorate profile

Secret Harbour is located in the southern suburbs of Perth and is a replacement for the former seat of Warnbro. Differing from its predecessor, Secret Harbour crosses the boundary of metropolitan Perth by taking in parts of Mandurah. The electorate takes in the suburbs of Golden Bay, Karnup, Lakelands, Madora Bay, Port Kennedy, Secret Harbour, Singleton and Warnbro, and takes in part of the local government area of the City of Rockingham.[5][6]

Secret Harbour was first contested at the 2025 state election with a notional margin for the Labor Party of 31.3%. Papalia, the MP for the outgoing electorate of Warnbro was elected as Secret Harbour's inaugural member following the election, with an 11.5% two-party-preferred margin.[7]

Former member

On 6 July 2026, Papalia announced his resignation from his ministerial portfolios and as an MP, thereby triggering the by-election.[8] Papalia was first elected as the member for Peel in the 2007 by-election, held the seat when it was changed to Warnbro and finally Secret Harbour.[7]

Landsdale MP Daniel Pastorelli was awarded a spot in Cabinet, in place of Papalia.[9]

Electoral system

As with all elections in Western Australia, full preferential voting will be used where casting a ballot is compulsory. In the full preferential system used, a candidate must receive an absolute majority, over 50% of the votes. A voter needs to mark all of the boxes listed on their ballot paper.[10]

Key dates

On 14 July, the writ was issued by Stephen Price as Speaker of the Western Australian Legislative Assembly. Dates relevant to the by-election are listed below.[11][12]

  • Postal vote applications open on 7 July at 6 pm
  • Nomination of candidates closes at midday on 21 July
  • Close of electoral rolls at 6 pm on 21 July
  • Postal votes will begin being sent to voters on 28 July
  • Mobile polling will begin on 16 August
  • Early voting begins on 17 August at 8 am
  • Postal vote applications close on 26 August at 6 pm
  • Polling day will be on 29 August from 8 am until 6 pm
  • The last day for receipt of postal votes is 3 September at 9 am
  • Last day for return of the writ is 10 October

Previous result

More information Party, Candidate ...
2025 Western Australian state election: Secret Harbour[13]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Paul Papalia 12,876 46.5 −28.5
Liberal Mark Jones 6,913 25.0 +9.7
Greens Tamsyn Heynes 2,439 8.8 +5.3
One Nation Liam Hall 2,332 8.4 +6.3
Legalise Cannabis Jim Matters 1,623 5.9 +5.5
Christians Robert Burdett 755 2.7 +2.7
Animal Justice Elizabeth Storer 723 2.6 +2.6
Total formal votes 27,661 95.4 −0.6
Informal votes 1,323 4.6 +0.6
Turnout 28,984 84.5 +4.0
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Paul Papalia 17,011 61.5 −19.8
Liberal Mark Jones 10,630 38.5 +19.8
Labor hold Swing−19.8
Close

Candidates

Candidates are listed in ballot order.[14]

More information Party, Candidate ...
Party Candidate Background
  Liberal Ryan Robertson Councillor for the City of Rockingham and real estate agent
  Libertarian Matthew Barton Navy veteran
  Greens Rhi Davies
  Legalise Cannabis Craig Robert Buchanan Political staffer
  Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Tim Hamilton
  Labor Georgia Tree Political staffer
  Independent Paul Howard Leader of the unregistered Australian Patriots Party
  Christians Robert Burdett 2025 candidate
  Animal Justice Neil Jensen
  Independent Teresa van Lieshout Perennial candidate
  Independent Paul Gullan Disendorsed Legalise Cannibis candidate for Collie Preston at the 2025 WA state election[15]
  WA First Anthony Fels Former MLC, perennial candidate
  Independent Jayne Palmer Former Finance Manager CPA, Current Mathematics High School Teacher
  One Nation Luke Herdegen Anytime Fitness franchisee
  Independent Peter D. Dunne Perennial candidate
  Independent Brett Murrell Newcastle-based mechanical engineer and member of the unregistered Sovereign Australia Party[15]
Close

Labor

On 9 July 2026, the Western Australian Labor Party announced that Georgia Tree, a former advisor for federal resources minister Madeleine King, will be their candidate. Tree has also worked with gas company Woodside. Premier Roger Cook said that the by-election will be "tough for Labor".[9]

Liberal

Western Australian Liberal Party leader Basil Zempilas formally decided to field a candidate on 9 July.[8] Their candidate is Ryan Robertson, a councillor for the City of Rockingham.[16]

Greens

The Western Australian Greens expressed an interest in fielding a candidate for the by-election, with their leader Brad Pettitt criticising Papalia's management of the prison system and said that the state needed a minister focused on "reinvestment, rehabilitation and diversion" rather than "increasing police powers".[17] The Greens ultimately preselected Rhi Davies for the by-election.[16]

One Nation

Western Australian One Nation announced their candidate would be Luke Herdegen, a gym owner.[18] WA One Nation leader Rod Caddies said that One Nation are the "favourites" to gain the seats of Kwinana and Secret Harbour.[17]

Nationals

The Western Australian National Party have indicated an intention to field more candidates in metropolitan seats but leader Shane Love stressed that "The decision on which seats the Nationals WA contest is ultimately one for our state council".[17] They decided not to field a candidate, and instead to endorse the WA Liberals.[16]

How-to-vote cards

Western Australia uses a preferential voting system for Legislative Assembly elections, where voters must rank every candidate on the ballot in the order of their preference.[10] How-to-vote cards are small leaflets distributed by party supporters suggesting the order voters should preference candidates. In Western Australian elections, how-to-vote cards must be registered with and approved by the WAEC prior to their distribution.[19]

Independent candidates Teresa van Lieshout, Paul Gullan, and Brett Murrell, as well as WA First candidate Anthony Fels, did not register a how-to-vote card.[20]

Legalise Cannabis candidate Craig Robert Buchanan, as well as independent candidate Jayne Palmer, ran an open ticket, with no further directions for preferences beyond "1" for themselves.[20]

More information Candidate, How-to-vote cards (read column top down) ...
Candidate How-to-vote cards[20] (read column top down)
LIB LBT GRN LCA SFF ALP How. ACP AJP Lie. Gul. WAP Pal. ONP Dun. Mur.
  Ryan Robertson (LIB) 1 9 7 N/a 11 10 8 3 12 N/a N/a N/a N/a 5 16 N/a
  Matthew Barton (LBT) 4 1 10 N/a 2 11 4 5 14 N/a N/a N/a N/a 4 7 N/a
  Rhi Davies (GRN) 13 12 1 N/a 14 2 16 15 3 N/a N/a N/a N/a 16 15 N/a
  Craig Robert Buchanan (LCA) 9 8 6 1 10 4 9 12 2 N/a N/a N/a N/a 8 2 N/a
  Tim Hamilton (SFF) 5 2 12 N/a 1 12 6 4 16 N/a N/a N/a N/a 3 11 N/a
  Georgia Tree (ALP) 10 16 4 N/a 16 1 15 14 10 N/a N/a N/a N/a 15 4 N/a
  Paul Howard (IND) 7 10 14 N/a 9 14 1 8 7 N/a N/a N/a N/a 6 13 N/a
  Robert Burdett (ACP) 2 4 13 N/a 4 13 3 1 14 N/a N/a N/a N/a 2 10 N/a
  Neil Jensen (AJP) 12 13 2 N/a 15 3 14 13 1 N/a N/a N/a N/a 14 3 N/a
  Teresa van Lieshout (IND) 15 14 15 N/a 7 15 13 10 11 N/a N/a N/a N/a 9 5 N/a
  Paul Gullan (IND) 14 6 11 N/a 6 9 12 11 4 N/a N/a N/a N/a 10 12 N/a
  Anthony Fels (WAP) 6 7 9 N/a 5 5 7 6 8 N/a N/a N/a N/a 7 8 N/a
  Jayne Palmer (IND) 8 11 3 N/a 12 8 11 7 9 N/a N/a N/a 1 11 9 N/a
  Luke Herdegen (ONP) 3 3 16 N/a 3 16 2 2 15 N/a N/a N/a N/a 1 14 N/a
  Peter D. Dunne (IND) 16 15 5 N/a 13 6 10 16 5 N/a N/a N/a N/a 12 1 N/a
  Brett Murrell (IND) 11 5 8 N/a 8 7 5 9 6 N/a N/a N/a N/a 13 6 N/a
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2026 Secret Harbour by-election[21][22]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
One Nation Luke Herdegen 10,242 39.08 +30.65
Labor Georgia Tree 6,401 24.43 −22.12
Liberal Ryan Robertson 4,530 17.29 −7.70
Greens Rhi Davies 1,972 7.52 −1.30
Legalise Cannabis Craig Buchanan 980 3.74 −2.13
Animal Justice Neil Jensen 470 1.79 −0.82
Christians Robert Burdett 436 1.66 −1.07
Independent Jayne Palmer 261 1.00 +1.00
Libertarian Matthew Barton 214 0.82 +0.82
Western Australia Anthony Fels 174 0.66 +0.66
Shooters, Fishers, Farmers Tim Hamilton 122 0.47 +0.47
Independent Paul Howard 109 0.42 +0.42
Independent Teresa van Lieshout 96 0.37 +0.37
Independent Brett Murrell 95 0.36 +0.36
Independent Paul Gullan 54 0.21 +0.21
Independent Peter Dunne 50 0.19 +0.19
Total formal votes 26,206 96.57 +1.13
Informal votes 932 3.43 −1.13
Turnout 27,138
Two-party-preferred result
One Nation Luke Herdegen 14,930 57.04 +57.04
Labor Georgia Tree 11,244 42.96 −15.36
One Nation gain from Labor  
Close

Results are not final. Last updated on 30 August 2026 at 12:50am AWST.

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