Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and contain estimations of the two-party-preferred vote.

Graphical summary

Voting intention

2026

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Interview
mode		 Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
19-25 May Essential[1] The Guardian Online 1,027 29% 23% 11% 28% 9%[a] N/a N/a N/a
18–24 May Roy Morgan[2] N/a Online 1,613 27.5% 21% N/a 2% 13.5% 25.5% 10.5% 53% 47% N/a
53.5% N/a 46.5%
15–20 May DemosAU[3] Capital Brief Online 1,502 26% 23% 13% 28% 10% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 May YouGov[4] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 28% 23% 13% 25% 5% 6% 52% 48% N/a
53% N/a 47%
14–17 May Newspoll[5] The Australian Online 1,252 31% 20% 12% 27% 10% N/a N/a N/a
11–17 May Roy Morgan[6] N/a Online 1,668 29.5% 21% N/a 3% 11.5% 24.5% 10.5% 54% 46% N/a
54% N/a 46%
13–16 May Resolve[7] SMH/Age Telephone
& Online		 1,800 29% 23% 12% 24% 7% 5% N/a N/a N/a
13–15 May Freshwater[8] The Chronical Online 1,384 29% 25% 11% 26% 9% N/a N/a N/a
13–14 May Roy Morgan[9] N/a SMS 2,348 28.5% 16.5% 11.5% 32% 11.5% 55% 45% N/a
51% N/a 49%
N/a 49% 51%
29 Apr – 14 May RedBridge/Accent (MRP)[10] AFR Online 6,015 31% 21% 11% 28% 9% N/a N/a N/a
13 May Wolf & Smith[11] Amplify Online 1,002 30% 24% 11% 22% 13% N/a N/a N/a
12 May The 2026 federal budget is presented by Treasurer Jim Chalmers
4–10 May Roy Morgan[12] N/a Online 1,605 30.5% 21% N/a 4% 11.5% 22% 11% 53.5% 46.5% N/a
9 May One Nation gains Farrer from the Liberals at the Farrer by-election
28 Apr–5 May YouGov[13] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 30% 21% 14% 24% 5% 6% 54% 46% N/a
57% N/a 43%
27 Apr–3 May Roy Morgan[14] N/a Online 1,681 29.5% 21% N/a 3% 13% 21.5% 12% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
24–30 Apr Redbridge[15] AFR Online 1,014 31% 22% 13% 27% 7% 54% 46% N/a
55% N/a 45%
28–30 Apr Freshwater[16] The Courier-Mail Online 1,046 32% 23% 12% 25% 8% 53% 47% N/a
22–27 Apr Essential[17] The Guardian Online 1,002 30% 24% 11% 25% 10%[b] 47% 49% N/a
20–26 Apr Roy Morgan[18] N/a Online 1,587 30% 19% N/a 3.5% 14% 22.5% 11% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
14–21 Apr YouGov[19] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 27% 20% 14% 27% 5% 7% 53% 47% N/a
52% N/a 48%
13–19 Apr Roy Morgan[20] N/a Online 1,620 30.5% 19.5% N/a 3.5% 13.5% 21.5% 11.5% 55.5% 44.5% N/a
13–16 Apr Newspoll[21] The Australian Online 1,235 31% 21% 13% 24% 11% N/a N/a N/a
13–18 Apr Resolve[22] SMH/Age Telephone
& Online		 1,807 32% 23% 12% 22% 6% 5% 55% 45% N/a
9–14 Apr DemosAU[23] Capital Brief Online 1,439 26% 23% 13% 26% 12% N/a N/a N/a
6–12 Apr Roy Morgan[24] N/a Online 1,512 30% 19.5% N/a 3% 12.5% 24.5% 10.5% 56% 44% N/a
2–8 Apr Spectre Strategy[25] N/a Online 1,002 28% 24% 12% 26% 10% 51% 49% N/a
52% N/a 48%
31 Mar–7 Apr YouGov[26] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 30% 20% 13% 25% 6% 7% 55% 45% N/a
55% N/a 45%
30 Mar–5 Apr Roy Morgan[27] N/a Online 1,411 30.5% 20% N/a 4% 12% 21.5% 12% 56% 44% N/a
27–29 Mar Freshwater[28] News Australia Online 1,050 32% 23% 12% 25% 8% 51% 49% N/a
55% N/a 45%
23–29 Mar Roy Morgan[29] N/a Online 1,562 30% 19.5% N/a 3% 13.5% 23.5% 10.5% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
23–27 Mar Redbridge[30] AFR Online 1,003 32% 17% 13% 29% 9% 53% 47% N/a
53% N/a 47%
23–26 Mar Newspoll[31] The Australian Online 1,232 31% 21% 12% 26% 10% N/a N/a N/a
24–25 Mar Fox & Hedgehog[32] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,810 30% 23% 13% 23% 11% 51% 49% N/a
56% N/a 44%
— 60% 40%
17–24 Mar YouGov[33] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 29% 19% 13% 27% 6% 6% 54% 46% N/a
53% N/a 47%
18–23 Mar Essential[34] The Guardian Online 1,008 31% 24% 10% 24% 12%[c] 46% 47% N/a
16–22 Mar Roy Morgan[35] N/a Online 1,664 27% 21.5% N/a 4% 13.5% 23.5% 10.5% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
12–19 Mar YouGov[36] The Australia Institute Online 1,502 28% 21% 13% 26% 5% 6% N/a N/a N/a
9–15 Mar Roy Morgan[37][35] N/a Online 1,649 28.5% 20.5% N/a 3.5% 12.5% 22.5% 12.5% 54% 46% N/a
9–14 Mar Resolve[38] SMH/Age Telephone
& Online		 1,803 29% 22% 12% 24% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
11 Mar Matt Canavan is elected leader of the National Party, replacing David Littleproud
3–10 Mar YouGov[39] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 30% 19% 13% 26% 5% 7% 55% 45% N/a
55% N/a 45%
2–8 Mar Roy Morgan[40] N/a Online 1,532 26.5% 22.5% 14.5% 23.5% 13% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
2 Mar The Strait of Hormuz is closed as part of the Iran war, triggering a fuel crisis in Australia[d]
13 Jan – 3 Mar DemosAU (MRP) [42] N/a Online 8,424 29% 21% 12% 27% 11% N/a N/a N/a
23 Feb – 1 Mar Roy Morgan[43] N/a Online 1,554 30.5% 23.5% 11.5% 22% 12.5% 56% 44% N/a
23–27 Feb Redbridge[44] AFR Online 1,006 32% 13% 4% 2% 12% 28% 9% 54% 46% N/a
54% N/a 46%
23–26 Feb Newspoll[45] The Australian Online 1,237 32% 20% 11% 27% 10% N/a N/a N/a
17–24 Feb YouGov[46] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 29% 15% 5% 2% 13% 24% 6% 6% 53% 47% N/a
56% N/a 44%
18–23 Feb Essential[47][48] The Guardian Online 1,002 30% 26% 11% 22% 11%[e] 49.5% 50.5%[f] N/a
16–22 Feb Roy Morgan[49] N/a Online 1,649 31% 24% 12.5% 20.5% 12% 54% 46% N/a
16–20 Feb DemosAU [50] ‎Capital Brief Online 1,551 29% 21% 12% 28% 10% N/a N/a N/a
17–19 Feb Fox & Hedgehog[51] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,625 30% 24% 12% 25% 9% 51% 49% N/a
53% N/a 47%
N/a 57% 43%
13–16 Feb Roy Morgan[52] N/a Online 526 32% 23.5% 12.5% 21.5% 10.5% 55% 45% N/a
8–14 Feb Resolve[53][54][g] SMH/Age Telephone
& Online		 1,717 32% 23% 11% 23% 7% 5% 55% 45% N/a
13 Feb Angus Taylor replaces Sussan Ley as Leader of the Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition
9–13 Feb Roy Morgan[55] N/a Online 1,216 30.5% 20% 13% 25% 11.5% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
8–12 Feb Resolve[53][54] SMH/Age Telephone
& Online		 1,717 31% 20% 12% 25% 8% 5% 55% 45% N/a
6–12 Feb Redbridge[56] The Australia Institute Online 2,010 34% 17% 11% 28% 10% N/a N/a N/a
3–10 Feb YouGov[57][58] Sky News Australia Online 1,561 30% 14% 4% 1% 12% 28% 5% 6% 54% 46% N/a
55% N/a 45%
8 Feb The Liberal–National Coalition is reunited
5–8 Feb Newspoll[59] The Australian Online 1,234 33% 15% N/a 3% 12% 27% 10% N/a N/a N/a
2–8 Feb Roy Morgan[60] N/a Online 1,584 28.5% 22.5% 13.5% 24.5% 11% 53.5% 46.5% N/a
26 Jan – 1 Feb Roy Morgan[61] N/a Online 1,401 30.5% 18% N/a 2.5% 12.5% 25% 11.5% 56% 44% N/a
22–29 Jan Redbridge [62][63] AFR Online 1,003 34% 13% 4% 2% 11% 26% 10% 56% 44% N/a
20–27 Jan YouGov[64] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 31% 14% 4% 2% 12% 25% 6% 6% 55% 45% N/a
57% N/a 43%
19–25 Jan Roy Morgan[65] N/a Online 1,933 30.5% 20% N/a 2.5% 13% 22.5% 11.5% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
20–23 Jan Essential[66][67] The Guardian Online 1,022 31% 25% 9% 22% 13%[h][i] N/a N/a N/a
22 Jan The second dissolution of the Liberal–National Coalition
13–21 Jan DemosAU [68][69] Capital Brief Online 1,933 30% 21% 13% 24% 12% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan Freshwater[70][71][72] Herald Sun Online 1,050 33% 28% 11% 19% 9% 53% 47% N/a
57% N/a 43%
12–18 Jan Roy Morgan[65][73] N/a Online 1,630 28.5% 22% N/a 2% 13.5% 21% 13% 53.5% 46.5% N/a
12–16 Jan Resolve[74] SMH/Age Telephone
& Online		 1,800 30% 28% 10% 18% 7% 7% 52% 48% N/a
12–16 Jan Newspoll[75] The Australian Online 1,224 32% 21% 12% 22% 13% 55% 45% N/a
5–11 Jan Roy Morgan[65][76] N/a Online 1,676 30% 28% N/a 2.5% 13.5% 15% 11% 52% 48% N/a
5–6 Jan Fox & Hedgehog[77][78] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,608 29% 25% 14% 21% 11% 53% 47% N/a
56% N/a 44%
N/a 63% 37%
5–6 Jan DemosAU [79][80][j] Capital Brief Online 1,027 29% 23% 12% 23% 13% 52% 48% N/a
50% N/a 50%
3 May 2025 Election[81] 34.6% 31.8% 12.2% 6.4% 7.4% 7.6% 55.2% 44.8%
Close

2025

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Interview
mode		 Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
16–23 Dec YouGov[64][82] Sky News Australia Online 1,869 30% 24% 13% 20% 7% 6% N/a N/a
17–20 Dec Resolve[83] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,010 32% 28% 12% 16% 8% 4% 54% 46%
8–14 Dec Roy Morgan[84] N/a Online 1,574 30.5% 27.5% 13% 17% 12% 54.5% 45.5%
5–12 Dec Redbridge[85][86] Australian Financial Review Online 1,012 35% 26% 13% 17% 9% 56% 44%
8 Dec Barnaby Joyce joins One Nation
3–8 Dec Essential[87][88] The Guardian Online 1,300 34% 26% 10% 17% 12%[k] 52.1%[f] 47.9%
2–7 Dec Resolve[89] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,800 35% 26% 11% 14% 8% 6% 55% 45%
26 Nov – 2 Dec YouGov[64][90] Sky News Australia Online 1,605 32% 24% 13% 19% 6% 6% N/a N/a
27 Nov Barnaby Joyce resigns from the Nationals to sit as an independent
7–26 Nov Redbridge[91] Australian Financial Review Online 4,775 35% 26% 10% 18% 11% 54% 46%
19–24 Nov Essential [92][93] The Guardian Online 1,020 36% 27% 11% 15% 13%[h] 53.2%[f] 46.8%
17–20 Nov Newspoll[94] The Australian Online 1,245 36% 24% 13% 15% 12% 58% 42%
12–17 Nov YouGov (MRP)[95][96] Climate Council Online 3,530 34% 26% 12% 18% 5% 5% N/a N/a
4–17 Nov Spectre Strategy[97][98] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,007 33% 25% 12.5% 17.5% 12% 53% 47%
20 Oct – 16 Nov Roy Morgan[99] N/a Online 5,248 33% 27% 12.5% 14% 13.5% 56.5% 43.5%
7–13 Nov Redbridge[100] Australian Financial Review Online 1,011 38% 24%[l] 9% 18% 11% 56% 44%
5 Oct – 11 Nov DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a Online 6,928 33% 24% 13% 17% 13% 56% 44%
4–8 Nov Resolve[102] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,804 33% 29% 12% 12% 7% 6% 53% 47%
27–30 Oct Newspoll[103] The Australian Online 1,265 36% 24% 11% 15% 14% 57% 43%
23–30 Oct YouGov[104][105] The Australian Insitute Online 4,578 33% 27% 12% 13% 7% 8% 56% 44%
22–27 Oct Essential[106][107] The Guardian Online 1,041 36% 26% 9% 15% 14%[h] 53.2%[f] 46.8%
15–20 Oct Freshwater[108][109][110] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,530 33% 31% 14% 10% 11% 55% 45%
22 Sep – 19 Oct Roy Morgan[111] N/a Online 4,908 35% 27% 13% 12% 13% 57% 43%
7–12 Oct Resolve[112] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,800 34% 28% 11% 12% 9% 7% 55% 45%
25 Sep – 7 Oct Redbridge[113][114][115] Australian Finacnial Review Online 1,997 34% 29% 11% 14% 12% 54% 46%
29 Sep – 2 Oct Newspoll[116] The Australian Online 1,264 37% 28% 12% 11% 12% 57% 43%
25–30 Sep YouGov[117] N/a Online 1,329 34% 27% 12% 12% 8% 14%[c] 56% 44%
24–29 Sep Essential[118] The Guardian Online 1,001 35% 27% 11% 13% 14%[h] 53.7%[f] 46.3%
25 Aug – 21 Sep Roy Morgan[119] N/a Online 5,084 34% 30% 12% 9.5% 14.5% 55.5% 44.5%
9–13 Sep Resolve[120] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,800 35% 27% 11% 12% 9% 6% 55% 45%
8–11 Sep Newspoll[121] The Australian Online 1,283 36% 27% 13% 10% 14% 58% 42%
19 Aug – 8 Sep Redbridge[122][123] Australian Financial Review Online 5,326 35% 30% 11% 11% 13% 53.5% 46.5%
28 Jul – 24 Aug Roy Morgan[124] N/a Online 5,001 34% 30% 12% 9% 15% 56.5% 43.5%
9–16 Aug Resolve[125] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,800 37% 29% 12% 9% 8% 6% 59% 41%
11–14 Aug Newspoll[126] The New Daily Online 1,283 36% 30% 12% 9% 13% 56% 44%
18–30 Jul Wolf & Smith[127][128] Australian Financial Review Online 5,000 36% 30% N/a N/a N/a N/a 57% 43%
30 Jun – 27 Jul Roy Morgan[129] N/a Online 5,159 36.5% 31% 12% 7% 13.5% 57% 43%
13–18 Jul Resolve[130] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 2,311 35% 29% 12% 8% 8% 8% 56% 44%
14–17 Jul Newspoll[131][132] The Australian Online 1,264 36% 29% 12% 8% 15% 57% 43%
5–6 Jul DemosAU[133] N/a Online 1,199 36% 26% 14% 9% 15% 59% 41%
27 Jun – 1 Jul Spectre Strategy[134] N/a Online 1,001 35.9% 31% 12.8% 7.9% 12.3% 56.5% 43.5%
19–30 Jun Redbridge[135] Australian Financial Review Online 4,036 37% 31% 11% 9% 12% 55.5% 44.5%
23–29 Jun Roy Morgan[136] N/a Online 1,522 36.5% 30.5% 12% 8.5% 12.5% 57.5% 42.5%
2–22 Jun Roy Morgan[137] N/a Online 3,957 37.5% 31% 12% 6% 13.5% 58% 42%
5 May – 1 Jun Roy Morgan[138] N/a Online 5,128 37% 31% 11.5% 6% 14.5% 58.5% 41.5%
20–28 May The first dissolution of the Liberal–National Coalition
13 May Sussan Ley elected as Leader of the Liberal Party and the Opposition, replacing Peter Dutton
3 May Election[81] 34.6% 31.8% 12.2% 6.4% 7.4% 7.6% 55.2% 44.8%
Close

Voting consideration

Some polling is conducted for voting consideration, with respondents able to select multiple options that they would consider voting for. Because of this, percentages do not add up to 100%.

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH
17 Feb – 24 Feb YouGov[46] Sky News Australia 1,500 N/a N/a N/a 48% N/a N/a
18–23 Feb 2026 Essential[47][48] The Guardian 1,002 N/a N/a N/a 58% N/a N/a
12 Nov– 17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[95] Climate Council 3,783 40% 30% 17% 21% N/a 16%
10–29 Jul 2025 YouGov (MRP)[139][140] Blueprint Institute 5,007 42% 33% 17% 12% 14% 4%
Close

Approval polling

Main article: Leadership approval opinion polling for the next Australian federal election

National direction polling

Individual polls

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Right direction Wrong direction Can't say Net
9–15 Mar 2026 Roy Morgan[37] N/a 25.5% 60.5% 14% -34.5%
2–8 Mar 2026 Roy Morgan[40] N/a 26.5% 59% 14.5% -32.5%
23 Feb–1 Mar 2026 Roy Morgan[43] N/a 26.5% 58% 15.5% -31.5%
18–23 Feb 2026 Essential[47][48] The Guardian 34% 49% 18% -15%
13–16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[52] N/a 33% 55% 12% -22%
9–13 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[55] N/a 28.5% 57% 14.5% -28.5%
2–8 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[60] N/a 28% 58% 14% -30%
26 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 30% 56.5% 13.5% -26.5%
19–25 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[65] N/a 29.5% 56.5% 14% -27%
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[66][67] The Guardian 29% 54% 17% -25%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a 30.5% 57.5% 12% -27%
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a 19.5% 45.5% 35% -26%
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[92] N/a 35% 47% 18% -12%
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[108][109][110] The Daily Telegraph 35% 52% 13% -17%
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[107] N/a 35% 46% 19% -11%
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[141] N/a 34% 50% 16% -16%
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[119] N/a 32.5% 53% 14.5% -20.5%
20–26 Aug 2025 Essential[142] N/a 38% 47% 16% -9%
24–29 July 2025 Essential[143] N/a 38% 45% 17% -7%
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a 37% 46.5% 16.5% -9.5%
23–29 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[136] N/a 38.5% 46% 15.5% -7.5%
2–22 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[137] N/a 43% 41.5% 15.5% +1.5%
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a 41% 44% 15% -3%
7–11 May 2025 Essential[145] N/a 37% 42% 21% -5%
Close

Sub-national polling

New South Wales

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[19] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54% 46% N/a
53% N/a 47%
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[146] N/a 29% 20% 12% 26% 8% 4% N/a N/a N/a
12 Jan – 26 Mar 2026 Newspoll[147] N/a 31% 18% 12% 27% N/a 12% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 Mar 2026 YouGov[36][m] 489 29% 17% 13% 24% 6% 11%[c] N/a N/a N/a
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[42] N/a 29% 21% 12% 26% N/a 12% N/a N/a N/a
17–19 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[51] — 31% 26% 10% 22% — 11% 51% 49% N/a
54% N/a 46%
N/a 59% 41%
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[53][g] N/a 32% 21% 11% 24% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
8–12 Feb 2026 Resolve[53] N/a 29% 20% 12% 27% 9% 3% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 30% 17.5% 4.5% 11.5% 25.5% N/a 11% 54% 46% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 29% 14% 5% 11% 26% 8% 7% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[71][72] 308 33% 37% 5% 21% N/a 4% 48% 52% N/a
57% N/a 43%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[74] N/a 31% 26% 12% 20% 8% 4% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54.5% 45.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[77][78] N/a 29% 27% 13% 19% N/a 12% 52% 48% N/a
56% N/a 44%
N/a 65% 35%
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[83] N/a 31% 29% 9% 20% 9% 3% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[84] N/a 33.5% 25.5% 11.5% 17.5% N/a 12% 57% 43% N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[89] N/a 35% 26% 11% 17% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[148][149] N/a 37% 24% 12% 14% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[99] N/a 33.5% 28.5% 10.5% 14.5% N/a 13% 55.5% 44.5% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 33% 24% 12% 17% N/a 14% 55% 45% N/a
4–8 Nov 2025 Resolve[102] N/a 34% 31% 11% 13% 5% 5% N/a N/a N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[108][109][110] N/a 32% 37% 13% 10% N/a 9% 52% 48% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[111] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12% N/a N/a 57.5% 42.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[112] N/a 35% 29% 9% 14% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[111][119] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11% N/a N/a 56.5% 43.5% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[120] N/a 34% 28% 9% 16% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[150][151] N/a 38% 25% 13% 10% N/a 14% 60% 40% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[122][123] N/a 34% 29% 10% 12% N/a 15% 54% 46% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[124] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55% 45% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[125] N/a 37% 29% 13% 12% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 56.5% 43.5% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[130][n] N/a 36% 31% 11% 8% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 38% 30% 9% 9% N/a 15% 54% 46% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[138] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 59% 41% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[81] 35.2% 24.2% 7.3% 11.1% 6.0% 9.7% 6.5% 55.3% 44.7% —
Close

Victoria

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[19] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
55% N/a 45%
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[146] N/a 25% 21% 16% 26% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
12 Jan – 26 Mar 2026 Newspoll[147] N/a 32% 22% 14% 21% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 Mar 2026 YouGov[36][m] 385 27% 20% 15% 19% 6% 13%[o] N/a N/a N/a
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[42] N/a 28% 21% 14% 27% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
17–19 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[51] — 26% 23% 13% 30% — 8% 49% 51% N/a
49% N/a 51%
N/a 53% 47%
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[53][g] N/a 29% 21% 12% 25% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
8–12 Feb 2026 Resolve[53] N/a 31% 16% 12% 27% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 30.5% 25.5% 1.5% 13% 17.5% N/a 12% 53% 47% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 29% 21% 1% 15% 25% 6% 3% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[71][72] 273 32% 26% 12% 16% N/a 14% 55% 45% N/a
57% N/a 43%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52.5% 47.5% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[74] N/a 26% 33% 13% 17% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55% 45% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[77][78] N/a 26% 28% 18% 19% N/a 9% 51% 49% N/a
56% N/a 44%
N/a 66% 34%
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[83] N/a 30% 30% 12% 15% 9% 3% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[84] N/a 32.5% 28.5% 15.5% 10% N/a 13.5% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[89] N/a 31% 31% 11% 11% 10% 5% N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[148][149] N/a 35% 26% 16% 11% N/a 12% 60% 40% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[99] N/a 33.5% 27.5% 16% 10.5% N/a 12.5% 59.5% 40.5% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 33% 24% 14% 16% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
4–8 Nov 2025 Resolve[102] N/a 33% 29% 13% 12% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[108][109][110] N/a 32% 30% 13% 8% N/a 18% 55% 45% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[111] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9% N/a N/a 59.5% 40.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[112] N/a 33% 29% 12% 10% 9% 7% N/a N/a N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[111][119] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 6% N/a N/a 56.5% 43.5% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[120] N/a 32% 30% 15% 9% 6% 9% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[150][151] N/a 35% 30% 15% 7% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
2–9 Sep 2025 DemosAU[152] 1,327 32% 29% 13% 12% N/a 14% 55% 45% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[122][123] N/a 34% 32% 12% 9% N/a 13% 54% 46% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[124] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58% 42% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[125] N/a 36% 30% 12% 6% 7% 8% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 57.5% 42.5% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[130][p] N/a 38% 28% 13% 8% 6% 8% N/a N/a N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 36% 31% 12% 8% N/a 13% 55% 45% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[138] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 59.5% 40.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[81] 34.0% 27.6% 4.6% 13.6% 5.8% 7.6% 6.8% 56.3% 43.7% —
Close

Queensland

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP IND OTH LNP ALP ONP
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[19] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
N/a 45% 55%
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[146] N/a 22% 28% 10% 29% 5% 6% N/a N/a N/a
12 Jan – 26 Mar 2026 Newspoll[147] N/a 23% 27% 11% 30% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 Mar 2026 YouGov[36][m] 315 25% 19% 9% 30% 2% 15%[q] N/a N/a N/a
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[42] N/a 21% 25% 12% 31% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
17–19 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[51] — 25% 28% 10% 29% — 8% 52% 48% N/a
N/a 49% 51%
54% N/a 46%
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[53][g] N/a 25% 30% 12% 23% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
8–12 Feb 2026 Resolve[53] N/a 22% 31% 11% 22% 9% 4% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 23.5% 27.5% 14% 24% N/a 11% 49% 51% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 18% 33% 11% 28% 3% 7% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[71][72] 246 24% 27% 13% 24% N/a 11% 50% 50% N/a
51% N/a 49%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[74] N/a 30% 28% 10% 19% 7% 7% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54% 46% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[77][78] N/a 25% 27% 11% 25% N/a 12% 51% 49% N/a
60% N/a 40%
N/a 51% 49%
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[83] N/a 26% 34% 14% 14% 7% 5% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[84] N/a 27% 28% 12.5% 22% N/a 12% 50.5% 49.5% N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[89] N/a 26% 36% 12% 11% 6% 9% N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[148][149] N/a 27% 33% 10% 18% N/a 12% 48% 52% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[99] N/a 27% 28% 12% 18% N/a 15% 49% 51% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 25% 30% 12% 20% N/a 13% 48% 52% N/a
4–8 Nov 2025 Resolve[102] N/a 26% 35% 14% 11% 8% 6% N/a N/a N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[108][109][110] N/a 29% 30% 14% 18% N/a 10% 47% 53% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[111] N/a N/a N/a N/a 15% N/a N/a 49.5% 50.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[112] N/a 23% 35% 13% 13% 9% 8% N/a N/a N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[111][119] N/a N/a N/a N/a 11% N/a N/a 51.5% 48.5% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[120] N/a 27% 37% 10% 12% 10% 4% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[150][151] N/a 33% 32% 12% 10% N/a 13% 49% 51% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[122][123] N/a 32% 31% 12% 16% N/a 9% 51% 49% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[124] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48% 52% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[125] N/a 29% 39% 10% 9% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 46.5% 53.5% N/a
13–18 July 2025 Resolve[130][n] N/a 31% 31% 11% 10% 8% 8% 48% 51% N/a
4–9 Jul 2025 DemosAU[153][154] 1,027 35% 31% 12% 13% N/a 9% 47% 53% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 35% 32% 12% 12% N/a 9% 51% 49% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[138] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 47.5% 52.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[81] 34.9% 31.0% 11.8% 7.8% 3.8% 10.7% 50.6% 49.4% —
Close

Western Australia

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[19] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 50% 50% N/a
52% N/a 48%
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[146] N/a 33% 24% 10% 21% 3% 9% N/a N/a N/a
12 Jan – 26 Mar 2026 Newspoll[147] N/a 34% 20% 9% 27% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 Mar 2026 YouGov[36][m] 127 29% 19% 9% 27% 5% 11%[c] N/a N/a N/a
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[42] N/a 30% 20% 13% 27% N/a 12% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 29% 24.5% 2.5% 13% 20% N/a 11% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 29% 25% 3% 13% 18% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[71][72] 81 38% 19% 21% 10% N/a 12% 64% 36% N/a
66% N/a 34%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 47% 53% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 45.5% 54.5% N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[84] N/a 30% 24% 15.5% 17.5% N/a 13% 50.5% 49.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[148][149] N/a 37% 28% 12% 14% N/a 9% 56% 44% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[99] N/a 32.5% 27.5% 11% 16.5% N/a 12.5% 53% 47% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 34% 23% 12% 19% N/a 12% 56% 44% N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[108][109][110] N/a 45% 25% 18% 7% N/a 5% 68% 32% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[111] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11.5% N/a N/a 53.5% 46.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[111][119] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 8.5% N/a N/a 53% 47% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[150][151] N/a 39% 33% 8% 11% N/a 9% 54% 46% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[122][123] N/a 44% 28% 7% 10% N/a 11% 59% 41% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[124] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 56.5% 43.5% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54.5% 45.5% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 41% 31% 11% 8% N/a 9% 57% 43% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[138] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[81] 35.6% 28.7% 2.9% 12.0% 7.6% 6.2% 7.1% 55.8% 44.2% —
Close

South Australia

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB ONP
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[19] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54% 46% N/a
44% N/a 56%
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[146] N/a 41% 15% 10% 22% 4% 8% N/a N/a N/a
12 Jan – 26 Mar 2026 Newspoll[147] N/a 39% 13% 12% 27% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 Mar 2026 YouGov[36][m] 110 22% 9% 17% 26% 3% 23%[r] N/a N/a N/a
9–17 Mar 2026 YouGov[155] 1,265 33% 20% 13% 25% 3% 6% 55% 45% N/a
56% N/a 44%
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[42] N/a 34% 18% 12% 27% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 33.5% 21.5% 12% 20.5% N/a 12.5%[s] 61% 39% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 35% 12% 14% 29% 5% 5% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[71][72] 91 46% 18% 12% 14% N/a 9% 66% 34% N/a
72% N/a 28%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55.5% 44.5% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 50% 50% N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[84] N/a 35.5% 29% 12.5% 13.5% N/a 9.5% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[148][149] N/a 38% 25% 10% 15% N/a 12% 58% 42% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[99] N/a 37.5% 26% 15% 11.5% N/a 10% 59.5% 40.5% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 36% 21% 16% 14% N/a 13% 60% 40% N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[108][109][110] N/a 35% 33% 18% 8% N/a 6% 56% 44% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[111] N/a N/a N/a N/a 15% N/a N/a 59.5% 40.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[111][119] N/a N/a N/a N/a 13% N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[150][151] N/a 34% 29% 10% 11% N/a 16% 55% 45% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[124] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 59% 41% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 62% 38% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[138] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[81] 38.3% 28.0% 13.4% 6.2% 3.4% 10.7% 59.2% 40.8% —
Close

Tasmania

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB ONP
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[42] N/a 31% 15% 11% 27% N/a 16% N/a N/a N/a
16–19 Feb 2026 EMRS[156][157] 953 30% 18% 13% 24% 12% 2%[t] 60% 40% N/a
60% N/a 40%
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 31% 20.5% 17% 15.5% N/a 16%[s] 59% 41% N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55.5% 44.5% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 56% 44% N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[84] N/a 38.5% 19% 12% 12% N/a 18.5% 67% 33% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[99] N/a 35.5% 26.5% 11% 9% N/a 18% 65.5% 34.5% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 36% 18% 13% 17% N/a 16% 64% 36% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[111] N/a N/a N/a N/a 10% N/a N/a 68% 32% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[111][119] N/a N/a N/a N/a 5.5% N/a N/a 68.5% 31.5% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[124] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 63.5% 36.5% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 61% 39% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[138] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 70.5% 29.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[81] 36.6% 24.5% 11.1% 6.1% 18.1% 3.6% 63.3% 36.7% —
Close

ACT

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[42] N/a 42% 18% 18% 11% N/a 11% N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 46% 20% 16% 6% N/a 12% 71% 29%
3 May 2025 Election[81] 47.5% 21.2% 15.1% — 12.8% 3.4% 72.5% 27.5%
Close

Northern Territory

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP CLP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP CLP
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[42] N/a 31% 21% 11% 29% N/a 8% N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 34% 25% 12% 19% N/a 10% 54% 46%
3 May 2025 Election[81] 37.9% 33.8% 10.2% 7.7% 7.7% 2.5% 54.3% 45.7%
Close

Electorate projections

76 seats needed for a majority.

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Projection
type		 Sample
size		 Seat tally Majority
ALP L/NP GRN ONP CA KAP IND
29 Apr – 14 May 2026 Redbridge/Accent[10] Australian Financial Review MRP 6,015 76 12 0 53 0 1 8 ALP 1
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU[42] N/a MRP 8,424 83 9 1 52 0 0 5 ALP 8
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU[101] N/a MRP 6,928 98 29 0 12 1 1 9 ALP 23
3 May 2025 Election[81] 94 43 1 0 1 1 10 ALP 19
Close

Individual seat polling

Main article: Electorate opinion polling and projections for the next Australian federal election

By electorate classification

The Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) classifies electorates as inner metropolitan, outer metropolitan, provincial and rural.[158]

Inner metropolitan

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP
23–27 Feb 2026 Redbridge[44] Australian Financial Review N/a 41% 17% 3% 14% 16% N/a 9% 63% 37% N/a
67% N/a 33%
16–20 Feb 2026 DemosAU[50] Capital Brief N/a 36% 26% 14% 18% N/a 7% N/a N/a N/a
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[63] Australian Financial Review N/a 43% 16% 2% 13% 16% N/a 10% 64% 36% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] Sky News Australia N/a 37% 17% 2% 15% 15% 10% 4% N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[68][69] Capital Brief N/a 38% 19% 17% 17% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[79][80] Capital Brief N/a 37% 26% 15% 16% N/a 6% N/a N/a N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[85][86] Australian Financial Review N/a 39% 23% 17% 12% N/a 9% 62% 38% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[95] Sky News Australia N/a 40% 24% 17% 9% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a N/a 38% 23% 17% 10% N/a 12% 62% 38% N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[113][114][115] Australian Financial Review N/a 39% 29% 13% 9% N/a 10% 58% 42% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] Australian Financial Review N/a 42% 29% 11% N/a N/a 17% 60% 40% N/a
Close

Outer metropolitan

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP
23–27 Feb 2026 Redbridge[44] N/a 32% 13% 3% 14% 28% N/a 10% 57% 43% N/a
54% N/a 46%
16–20 Feb 2026 DemosAU[50] N/a 28% 21% 11% 30% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[63] N/a 31% 16% 3% 9% 33% N/a 8% 52% 48% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 30% 16% 4% 13% 27% 4% 6% N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[68][69] N/a 27% 23% 14% 25% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[79][80] N/a 26% 23% 11% 24% N/a 16% N/a N/a N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[85][86] N/a 40% 22% 12% 18% N/a 8% 60% 40% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[95] N/a 35% 24% 12% 21% 3% 5% N/a N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 35% 23% 12% 17% N/a 13% 57% 43% N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[113][114][115] N/a 36% 27% 13% 13% N/a 11% 56% 44% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 39% 30% 12% N/a N/a 19% 57% 43% N/a
Close

Provincial

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026 Redbridge[44] N/a 32% 15% 7% 0% 5% 34% N/a 7% 49% 51% N/a
49% N/a 51%
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[63] N/a 35% 6% 6% 1% 12% 33% N/a 8% 60% 40% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 34% 10% 10% 2% 9% 25% 3% 7% N/a N/a N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[85][86] N/a 26% 33% 11% 23% N/a 7% 46% 54% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[95] N/a 33% 27% 10% 21% 5% 4% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[113][114][115] N/a 33% 31% 10% 15% N/a 11% 51% 49% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 34% 33% 11% N/a N/a 22% 52% 48% N/a
Close

Rural

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026 Redbridge[44] N/a 22% 9% 5% 6% 11% 39% N/a 8% 43% 57% N/a
45% N/a 55%
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[63] N/a 26% 10% 6% 6% 9% 31% N/a 12% 49% 51% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 23% 11% 2% 7% 9% 35% 6% 7% N/a N/a N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[85][86] N/a 32% 29% 10% 17% N/a 12% 52% 48% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[95] N/a 26% 30% 9% 23% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[113][114][115] N/a 29% 30% 6% 20% N/a 11% 48% 52% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 32% 32% 8% N/a N/a 28% 50% 50% N/a
Close

Regional/rural

Some polls combine provincial and rural electorates as "regional/rural".

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
16–20 Feb 2026 DemosAU[50] N/a 22% 16% 10% 37% N/a 15% N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[68][69] N/a 24% 20% 8% 32% N/a 16% N/a N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[79][80] N/a 25% 20% 11% 32% N/a 12% N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 24% 26% 9% 24% N/a 17% 47% 53%
Close

Subpopulation results

By gender

Women

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
17–19 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[51] — 30% 24% 15% 23% — 8% 53% 47% N/a
55% N/a 45%
N/a 58% 42%
13–16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[52] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 62% 38% N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 30% 22% N/a 3% 15.5% 17.5% N/a 12% 56% 44% N/a
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[63] N/a 36% 15% 3% 1% 13% 23% N/a 9% 58% 42% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 26% 15% 2% 4% 15% 25% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[66][67] 599 29% 20% 11% 23% N/a 8% N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[68][69] N/a 29% 20% 14% 24% N/a 13% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55% 45% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[74] N/a 28% 27% 12% 18% 8% 8% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 57.5% 42.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[77][78] N/a 27% 23% 20% 19% N/a 11% 55% 45% N/a
58% N/a 42%
N/a 65% 35%
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[79][80] N/a 24% 22% 17% 23% N/a 14% N/a N/a N/a
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[83] N/a 28% 28% 12% 17% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[84] N/a 31.5% 26% 17.5% 13% N/a 12% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
3–8 Dec 2025 Essential[87][88] 558 33% 25% 12% 16% N/a 6%[u] N/a N/a N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[89] N/a 31% 24% 16% 15% 8% 6% N/a N/a N/a
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[92][93] 490 35% 23% 14% 14% N/a 6%[u] N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[148][149] N/a 35% 24% 15% 13% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[95] N/a 32% 25% 14% 18% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[99] N/a 34% 26% 15% 11.5% N/a 13.5% 60% 40% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 33% 22% 16% 16% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[106] 595 32% 26% 13% 14% N/a 7% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[108][109][110] N/a 30% 30% 17% 11% N/a 12% 55% 45% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[111] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9% N/a N/a 60.5% 39.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[112] N/a 32% 26% 12% 14% 7% 8% N/a N/a N/a
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[118] 517 35% 24% 14% 14% N/a 4% 55.5% 44.5% N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[113][114][115] N/a 32% 30% 13% 13% N/a 12% 53% 47% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[111][119] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 7% N/a N/a 59% 41% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[120] N/a 31% 27% 13% 13% 10% 6% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[150][151] N/a 34% 29% 14% 9% N/a 14% 57% 43% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge[122][123] N/a 33% 29% 14% 11% N/a 13% 55% 45% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[124] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 60.5% 39.5% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[125] N/a 38% 25% 13% 9% 8% 6% 60% 40% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 59.5% 40.5% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[130][p] N/a 36% 27% 14% 7% 9% 8% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jul 2025 DemosAU[133] N/a 36% 25% 15% 15% N/a 10% 60% 40% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 36% 30% 13% N/a N/a 21% 56% 44% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[138] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 61% 39% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[159] 36% 28% 18% — — 18% — — —
Close

Men

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
17–19 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[51] — 30% 24% 9% 28% — 9% 50% 50% N/a
51% N/a 49%
N/a 55% 45%
13–16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[52] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 47.5% 52.5% N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 30% 20.5% 2.5% N/a 9.5% 26% N/a 11.5% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[63] N/a 32% 11% 2% 6% 8% 30% N/a 11% 53% 47% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 35% 15% 2% 3% 9% 25% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[66][67] 423 32% 31% 7% 21% N/a 6%[u] N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[68][69] N/a 31% 22% 12% 25% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[74] N/a 32% 29% 9% 18% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 46.5% 53.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[77][78] N/a 31% 27% 9% 23% N/a 10% 50% 50% N/a
53% N/a 47%
N/a 61% 39%
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[79][80] N/a 34% 24% 7% 24% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[83] N/a 36% 28% 11% 14% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[84] N/a 32.5% 27.5% 9% 18% N/a 13% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
3–8 Dec 2025 Essential[87][88] 472 35% 27% 7% 19% N/a 9%[u] N/a N/a N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[89] N/a 39% 28% 12% 7% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[92][93] 530 37% 30% 7% 15% N/a 8%[u] N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[148][149] N/a 38% 26% 10% 14% N/a 12% 57% 43% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[95] N/a 37% 26% 10% 18% 5% 4% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[99] N/a 31.5% 28.5% 10% 16.5% N/a 13.5% 53% 47% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 33% 25% 10% 18% N/a 14% 54% 46% N/a
22–27 Oct 2025 Esential[106] 446 39% 27% 6% 16% N/a 9% [u] 53% 47% N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[108][109][110] N/a 36% 32% 11% 10% N/a 11% 56% 44% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[111] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 15% N/a N/a 53.5% 46.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[112] N/a 35% 30% 9% 10% 10% 5% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[113][114][115] N/a 37% 28% 8% 15% N/a 12% 54% 46% N/a
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[118] 484 36% 30% 9% 11% N/a 11%[v] 52.5% 47.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[111][119] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11.5% N/a N/a 51.5% 48.5% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[120] N/a 39% 27% 9% 12% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[150][151] N/a 38% 29% 10% 9% N/a 14% 57% 43% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge[122][123] N/a 37% 32% 7% 12% N/a 12% 52% 48% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[124] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[125] N/a 36% 32% 10% 10% 7% 5% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54.5% 45.5% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[130][p] N/a 34% 31% 11% 9% 8% 8% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jul 2025 DemosAU[133] N/a 36% 28% 12% 9% N/a 15% 57% 43% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 39% 32% 8% N/a N/a 21% 54% 46% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[138] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55.5% 44.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[159] 31% 37% 8% 25% — — —
Close

By age

18–34

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 27.5% 16.5% 1% N/a 25.5% 15% N/a 14.5% 65.5% 34.5% N/a
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[66][67] 302 31% 28% 17% 12% N/a 6% N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[68][69] N/a 33% 16% 29% 13% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 67.5% 32.5% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[74] N/a 36% 22% 23% 8% 3% 7% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 67% 33% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[77][78] N/a 27% 18% 29% 14% N/a 12% 62% 38% N/a
65% N/a 35%
N/a 68% 32%
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[79][80] N/a 32% 19% 26% 12% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[83] N/a 32% 22% 21% 11% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[84] N/a 32.5% 17% 26.5% 10% N/a 14% 69.5% 30.5% N/a
3–8 Dec 2025 Essential[87][88] 472 38% 22% 19% 10% N/a 5%[u] N/a N/a N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[89] N/a 37% 21% 23% 8% 8% 3% N/a N/a N/a
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[92][93] 316 36% 21% 21% 9% N/a 5%[v] N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[148][149] N/a 36% 19% 26% 8% N/a 11% 67% 33% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[99] N/a 31.5% 19.5% 25% 8% N/a 16% 67% 33% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[101] N/a 32% 19% 26% 11% N/a 12% 64% 36% N/a
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[106] 299 39% 21% 18% 7% N/a 5% 60% 40% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[111] N/a N/a N/a N/a 7% N/a N/a 69% 31% N/a
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[118] 305 36% 20% 25% 7% N/a 5% 64.5% 35.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[111][119] N/a N/a N/a N/a 8% N/a N/a 69% 31% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[120] N/a 40% 18% 22% 11% 6% 3% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[150][151] N/a 36% 18% 26% 7% N/a 13% 67% 33% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[124] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 71% 29% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[125] N/a 39% 24% 22% 6% 8% 2% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 69% 31% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[130] N/a 37% 18% 28% 5% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jul 2025 DemosAU[133] N/a 39% 16% 31% 4% N/a 10% 73% 27% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 40% 19% 24% N/a N/a 17% 68% 32% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[138] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 70% 30% N/a
Close

35–49

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 31.5% 19% 2.5% N/a 13.5% 20% N/a 13.5% 58% 42% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 33% 16% 2% 4% 12% 19% 7% 7% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55% 45% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48.5% 51.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[77][78] N/a 32% 24% 14% 19% N/a 11% 54% 46% N/a
58% N/a 42%
N/a 64% 36%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[84] N/a 32.5% 23.5% 15.5% 15% N/a 13.5% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[148][149] N/a 37% 25% 13% 13% N/a 12% 58% 42% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[95] N/a 36% 24% 13% 16% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[99] N/a 32% 24% 14.5% 14% N/a 15.5% 60% 40% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[111] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12.5% N/a N/a 60.5% 39.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[111][119] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9% N/a N/a 59% 41% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[150][151] N/a 38% 26% 14% 9% N/a 13% 60% 40% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[124] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 61% 39% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58% 42% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 37% 25% 11% N/a N/a 27% 57% 43% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[138] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 62.5% 37.5% N/a
Close

50–64

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 31% 20.5% 3.5% N/a 8% 27% N/a 10% 51.5% 48.5% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 33% 9% 1% 4% 6% 35% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48% 52% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48.5% 51.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[77][78] N/a 28% 23% 10% 28% N/a 11% 50% 50% N/a
51% N/a 49%
N/a 57% 43%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[84] N/a 30.5% 29% 8% 20.5% N/a 12% 49.5% 50.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[148][149] N/a 39% 27% 6% 15% N/a 13% 55% 45% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[95] N/a 32% 30% 7% 21% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[99] N/a 33.5% 26% 7.5% 18.5% N/a 14.5% 54% 46% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[111] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 16% N/a N/a 51% 49% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[111][119] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 10% N/a N/a 50.5% 49.5% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[150][151] N/a 36% 31% 5% 10% N/a 18% 53% 47% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[124] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 49.5% 50.5% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 53% 47% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 37% 34% 5% N/a N/a 24% 50% 50% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[138] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 53% 47% N/a
Close

65+

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[61] N/a 30% 28% 4% N/a 4% 24.5% N/a 9.5% 42% 58% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[64] N/a 23% 23% 4% 6% 1% 34% 5% 4% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[73] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 44.5% 55.5% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 44.5% 55.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[77][78] N/a 28% 35% 4% 24% N/a 9% 42% 58% N/a
47% N/a 53%
N/a 63% 37%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[84] N/a 33% 37% 4.5% 16% N/a 9.5% 45.5% 54.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[148][149] N/a 33% 33% 2% 18% N/a 14% 48% 52% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[95] N/a 31% 36% 3% 23% 5% 2% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[99] N/a 34% 39% 3.5% 15% N/a 8.5% 46% 54% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[111] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12% N/a N/a 48% 52% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[111][119] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 8.5% N/a N/a 44% 56% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[150][151] N/a 34% 40% 3% 11% N/a 12% 46% 54% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[124] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 43.5% 56.5% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48% 52% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[135] N/a 36% 44% 2% N/a N/a 18% 45% 55% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[138] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48.5% 51.5% N/a
Close

By generation

Generation Z

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026 Redbridge[44] N/a 30% 11% 4% 1% 32% 12% N/a 10% 65% 35% N/a
68% N/a 32%
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[63] N/a 34% 11% 4% 0% 26% 11% N/a 14% 67% 33% N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[85] N/a 30% 26% 33% 5% N/a 6% 64% 36% N/a
7–13 Nov 2025 Redbridge[100] N/a 51% 10% 24% 5% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[113][114][115] N/a 37% 16% 29% 6% N/a 12% 69% 31% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[122][123] N/a 33.5% 17.5% 30.5% 5% N/a 13.5% 68% 32% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[159][160] 40.3% 27.2% 26.3% — — 6.1% — — —
Close

Millennials

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
17–24 Mar 2026 YouGov[161] N/a 28% 14% 17% 30% 4% 7% N/a N/a N/a
23–27 Feb 2026 Redbridge[44] N/a 30% 14% 2% 3% 14% 29% N/a 8% 55% 45% N/a
59% N/a 41%
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[63] N/a 33% 18% 3% 2% 17% 18% N/a 9% 58% 42% N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[85] N/a 36% 18% 17% 16% N/a 13% 62% 38% N/a
7–13 Nov 2025 Redbridge[100] N/a 34% 23% 11% 18% N/a 14% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[113][114][115] N/a 37% 24% 13% 13% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[122][123] N/a 38% 26.5% 13.5% 9% N/a 13% 59% 41% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[159][160] 37.4% 20.8% 19.2% — — 22.5% — — —
Close

Generation X

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026 Redbridge[44] N/a 34% 10% 4% 0% 7% 35% N/a 10% 54% 46% N/a
51% N/a 49%
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[63] N/a 33% 6% 4% 2% 8% 35% N/a 12% 55% 45% N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[85] N/a 41% 26% 8% 19% N/a 6% 56% 44% N/a
7–13 Nov 2025 Redbridge[100][162] N/a 38% 22% 4% N/a 6% 20% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[113][114][115] N/a 36% 31% 7% 15% N/a 11% 51% 49% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[122][123] N/a 34% 32% 6.5% 14.5% N/a 13% 49.5% 50.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[159][160] 33.7% 31.1% 6.4% — — 28.8% — — —
Close

Baby boomers

More information Date, Polling Firm ...
Date Polling Firm Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026 Redbridge[44] N/a 32% 17% 6% 2% 2% 33% N/a 8% 45% 55% N/a
45% N/a 55%
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[63] N/a 35% 14% 5% 2% 1% 35% N/a 8% 49% 51% N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[85] N/a 33% 32% 3% 22% N/a 10% 46.5% 53.5% N/a
7–13 Nov 2025 Redbridge[100] N/a 34% 30% 3% 24% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[113][114][115] N/a 31% 37% 4% 17% N/a 11% 45% 55% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[122][123] N/a 34% 38% 1.5% 14% N/a 12.5% 45.5% 54.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[159][160] 30.2% 44.5% 3.9% — — 21.3% — — —
Close

See also

Notes

  1. [a]
    4% undecided
  2. [b]
    5% undecided
  3. [c]
    7% undecided
  4. [d]
    Australia imports little oil directly from the strait, but its supply of refined oil comes from countries who are themselves dependent on crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz. [41]
  5. [e]
    4% undecided
  6. [f]
    Two-party-preferred vote calculated after the exclusion of "undecided".
  7. [g]
    Respondents were asked: "If the Liberal Party did vote to change their leader from Sussan Ley to Angus Taylor this week, who would then receive your first preference if an election were held with Angus Taylor as the new Liberal leader?"[53]
  8. [h]
    6% undecided
  9. [i]
    Reported 0% support for Trumpet of Patriots
  10. [j]
    DemosAU produced an estimated ALP/ONP TPP using the following assumptions:[80]
    • L/NP preferences would flow 82.9% to ONP and 17.1% ALP (as in the 2025 election for the Division of Hunter).
    • GRN preferences would flow 88.2% to ALP and 11.8% ONP (as in the 2025 federal election between the ALP and L/NP, but replacing L/NP with ONP).
    • All other preferences split evenly between ALP and ONP.
  11. [k]
    5% undecided
  12. [l]
    20% for the Liberal Party and 4% for the National Party (with the Liberal National Party of Queensland vote distributed between both).[100]
  13. [m]
    Commissioned by The Australia Institute.
  14. [n]
    Primary and 2PP vote sum is less than 100 due to rounding.
  15. [o]
    8% undecided.
  16. [p]
    Primary and 2PP vote sum is greater than 100 due to rounding.
  17. [q]
    9% undecided.
  18. [r]
    10% undecided.
  19. [s]
    Including 0.5% for the National Party.
  20. [t]
    Including 1% for the National Party.
  21. [u]
    Including 1% for Trumpet of Patriots
  22. [v]
    Including 2% for Trumpet of Patriots

References

External links

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