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Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election

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In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and contain estimations of the two-party-preferred vote.

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Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election
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Graphical summary

Voting intention

2026

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Interview
mode		 Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP Others[a] ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
1–8 Sept YouGov[1] News24 Online 1,500 26% 18% 12% 30% 14%[b] 52% 48% N/a
53% N/a 47%
31 Aug – 6 Sept Roy Morgan[2] N/a Online 1,541 27% 17% 4.5% 14.5% 26.5% 10.5% 53% 47% N/a
53.5% N/a 46.5%
26–31 Aug Essential[3] The Guardian Online 1,050 26% 26% 13% 23% 11%[c] 45% 50% N/a
24–30 Aug Roy Morgan[4] N/a Online 1,585 29.5% 18% 2.5% 13.5% 23.5% 13% 56% 44% N/a
55.5% N/a 44.5%
24–28 Aug Newspoll[5] The Australian Online 1,243 29% 19% 13% 30% 9% N/a N/a N/a
24–28 Aug RedBridge/Accent[6] Australian Financial Review Online 1,006 29% 22% 12% 28% 9% 48% 52% N/a
52% N/a 48%
18–24 Aug YouGov[7] News24 Online 1,510 29% 21% 12% 26% 12%[d] 53% 47% N/a
56% N/a 44%
17–23 Aug Roy Morgan[8] N/a Online 1,508 27% 18.5% 2.5% 14% 27% 11% 52% 48% N/a
53% N/a 47%
18–20 Aug DemosAU[9] Capital Brief Online 1,562 26% 25% 12% 24% 13% N/a N/a N/a
11–16 Aug Roy Morgan[10] N/a Online 1,576 28.5% 21% 2.5% 12.5% 25% 10.5% 52% 48% N/a
53% N/a 47%
9–15 Aug Resolve[11] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 2,256 28% 23% 12% 26% 11%[e] N/a N/a N/a
4–10 Aug YouGov[12] News24 Online 1,500 28% 22% 12% 24% 14%[f] 52% 48% N/a
56% N/a 44%
3–9 Aug Roy Morgan[13] N/a Online 1,647 25.5% 18.5% 3.5% 15.5% 26% 11% 53% 47% N/a
53% N/a 47%
3–7 Aug Newspoll[14] The Australian Online 1,242 29% 18% 14% 29% 10% N/a N/a N/a
27 Jul–2 Aug Roy Morgan[15] N/a Online 1,531 27.5% 20% 3.5% 15% 24% 10% 52% 48% N/a
54% N/a 46%
Late July Agenda C Synesis[16] Combat Antisemitism Movement Online 1,232 32% 19% 12% 26% 14%[g] N/a N/a N/a
27–30 Jul RedBridge/Accent[17] Australian Financial Review Online 1,001 29% 22% 10% 31% 8% 48% 52% N/a
53% N/a 47%
21–28 Jul YouGov[18] News24 Online 1,500 28% 22% 13% 25% 12%[h] 53% 47% N/a
56% N/a 44%
22–27 Jul Essential[19] The Guardian Online 1,060 31% 22% 12% 25% 10%[i] 48% 47% N/a
20–26 Jul Roy Morgan[20] N/a Online 1,643 27.5% 18.5% 3.5% 14% 25.5% 11% 54% 46% N/a
53.5% N/a 46.5%
11–23 Jul Spectre Strategy[21] N/a Online 1,434 28% 23% 12% 26% 11% 51% 49% N/a
54% N/a 46%
13–19 Jul Roy Morgan[22] N/a Online 1,679 27.5% 20.5% 2.5% 14% 22.5% 13% 56% 44% N/a
55% N/a 45%
13–16 Jul Newspoll[23] The Australian Online 1,238 30% 19% 12% 30% 9% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul YouGov[24] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 28% 20% 12% 26% 14%[j] 53% 47% N/a
56% N/a 44%
6–12 Jul Roy Morgan[25] N/a Online 1,612 27.5% 17.5% 2.5% 12.5% 28% 12% 54% 46% N/a
52.5% N/a 47.5%
6–11 Jul Resolve[26] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 2,252 28% 23% 12% 26% 11%[k] N/a N/a N/a
3–8 Jul DemosAU[27] Capital Brief Online 2,694 26% 21% 14% 29% 10% N/a N/a N/a
28 Jun – 5 Jul Roy Morgan[28] N/a Online 1,584 28% 19% 2.5% 14% 22.5% 14% 55% 45% N/a
56% N/a 44%
23–30 Jun YouGov[29] Sky News Australia Online 1,502 29% 17% 13% 30% 11%[l] 54% 46% N/a
54% N/a 46%
24–29 Jun Essential[30] The Guardian Online 1,017 30% 23% 10% 26% 10%[m] 46% 48% N/a
22–28 Jun Roy Morgan[31] N/a Online 1,639 28% 19% 2.5% 13% 26% 11.5% 53.5% 46.5% N/a
53% N/a 47%
22–26 Jun RedBridge/Accent[32] Australian Financial Review Online 1,006 30% 18% 14% 29% 9% 54% 46% N/a
56% N/a 44%
22–25 Jun Newspoll[33] The Australian Online 1,235 33% 17% 13% 29% 8% N/a N/a N/a
15–21 Jun Roy Morgan[34] N/a Online 1,575 27% 15% 2.5% 13.5% 31.5% 10.5% 54% 46% N/a
51% N/a 49%
16–18 Jun DemosAU[35] Capital Brief Online 1,497 27% 18% 13% 30% 12% N/a N/a N/a
9–16 Jun YouGov[36] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 26% 21% 13% 28% 12%[n] 52% 48% N/a
52% N/a 48%
8–14 Jun Roy Morgan[37] N/a Online 1,583 28% 15% 2% 14% 29.5% 11.5% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
53% N/a 47%
8–13 Jun Resolve[38] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,801 28% 20% 12% 29% 12%[o] N/a N/a N/a
1–7 Jun Roy Morgan[39] N/a Online 1,631 26% 14.5% 3% 15.5% 29.5% 11.5% 56% 44% N/a
53.5% N/a 46.5%
1–4 Jun Newspoll[40] The Australian Online 1,240 30% 18% 11% 31% 10% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun YouGov[41] Sky News Australia Online 1,471 26% 20% 13% 29% 12%[p] 51.5% 48.5% N/a
52.5% N/a 47.5%
25–31 May Roy Morgan[42] N/a Online 1,542 27% 17.5% 2.5% 13.5% 27% 12.5% 55.5% 44.5% N/a
53.5% N/a 46.5%
25–28 May RedBridge/Accent[43] Australian Financial Review Online 1,005 28% 20% 12% 31% 9% 51% 49% N/a
51% N/a 49%
25–26 May Fox & Hedgehog[44] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,700 29% 25% 10% 27% 9% 49% 51% N/a
54% N/a 46%
N/a 58% 42%
22–26 May Agenda C Synesis[45] Fair Go Australia Online 1,232 29% 18% 10% 24% 19%[q] N/a N/a N/a
20–25 May Essential[46] The Guardian Online 1,027 29% 23% 11% 28% 9%[r] 48% 47% N/a
18–24 May Roy Morgan[47] N/a Online 1,613 27.5% 21% 2% 13.5% 25.5% 10.5% 53% 47% N/a
53.5% N/a 46.5%
15–20 May DemosAU[48] Capital Brief Online 1,502 26% 23% 13% 28% 10% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 May YouGov[49] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 28% 23% 13% 25% 11%[s] 52% 48% N/a
53% N/a 47%
14–17 May Newspoll[50] The Australian Online 1,252 31% 20% 12% 27% 10% N/a N/a N/a
11–17 May Roy Morgan[51] N/a Online 1,668 29.5% 21% 3% 11.5% 24.5% 10.5% 54% 46% N/a
54% N/a 46%
13–16 May Resolve[52] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,800 29% 23% 12% 24% 12%[t] N/a N/a N/a
13–15 May Freshwater[53] The Chronicle Online 1,384 29% 25% 11% 26% 9% N/a N/a N/a
13–14 May Roy Morgan[54] N/a SMS 2,348 28.5% 16.5% 11.5% 32% 11.5% 55% 45% N/a
51% N/a 49%
N/a 49% 51%
29 Apr – 14 May RedBridge/Accent (MRP)[55] Australian Financial Review Online 6,015 31% 21% 11% 28% 9% N/a N/a N/a
13 May Wolf & Smith[56] Amplify Online 1,002 30% 24% 11% 22% 13% N/a N/a N/a
12 May The 2026 federal budget is presented by Treasurer Jim Chalmers
4–10 May Roy Morgan[57] N/a Online 1,605 30.5% 21% 4% 11.5% 22% 11% 53.5% 46.5% N/a
9 May One Nation gains Farrer from the Liberals at the Farrer by-election
28 Apr–5 May YouGov[58] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 30% 21% 14% 24% 11%[u] 54% 46% N/a
57% N/a 43%
27 Apr–3 May Roy Morgan[59] N/a Online 1,681 29.5% 21% 3% 13% 21.5% 12% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
24–30 Apr RedBridge/Accent[60] Australian Financial Review Online 1,014 31% 22% 13% 27% 7% 54% 46% N/a
55% N/a 45%
28–30 Apr Freshwater[61] The Courier Mail Online 1,046 32% 23% 12% 25% 8% 53% 47% N/a
22–27 Apr Essential[62] The Guardian Online 1,002 30% 24% 11% 25% 10%[v] 47% 49% N/a
20–26 Apr Roy Morgan[63] N/a Online 1,587 30% 19% 3.5% 14% 22.5% 11% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
14–21 Apr YouGov[64] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 27% 20% 14% 27% 12%[w] 53% 47% N/a
52% N/a 48%
13–19 Apr Roy Morgan[65] N/a Online 1,620 30.5% 19.5% 3.5% 13.5% 21.5% 11.5% 55.5% 44.5% N/a
13–16 Apr Newspoll[66] The Australian Online 1,235 31% 21% 13% 24% 11% N/a N/a N/a
13–18 Apr Resolve[67] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,807 32% 23% 12% 22% 11%[x] 55% 45% N/a
9–14 Apr DemosAU[68] Capital Brief Online 1,439 26% 23% 13% 26% 12% N/a N/a N/a
6–12 Apr Roy Morgan[69] N/a Online 1,512 30% 19.5% 3% 12.5% 24.5% 10.5% 56% 44% N/a
2–8 Apr Spectre Strategy[70] N/a Online 1,002 28% 24% 12% 26% 10% 51% 49% N/a
52% N/a 48%
31 Mar – 7 Apr YouGov[71] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 30% 20% 13% 25% 13%[y] 55% 45% N/a
55% N/a 45%
30 Mar–5 Apr Roy Morgan[72] N/a Online 1,411 30.5% 20% 4% 12% 21.5% 12% 56% 44% N/a
27–29 Mar Freshwater[73] News Australia Online 1,050 32% 23% 12% 25% 8% 51% 49% N/a
55% N/a 45%
23–29 Mar Roy Morgan[74] N/a Online 1,562 30% 19.5% 3% 13.5% 23.5% 10.5% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
23–27 Mar RedBridge/Accent[75] Australian Financial Review Online 1,003 32% 17% 13% 29% 9% 53% 47% N/a
53% N/a 47%
23–26 Mar Newspoll[76] The Australian Online 1,232 31% 21% 12% 26% 10% N/a N/a N/a
24–25 Mar Fox & Hedgehog[77] N/a Online 1,810 30% 23% 13% 23% 11% 51% 49% N/a
56% N/a 44%
— 60% 40%
17–24 Mar YouGov[78] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 29% 19% 13% 27% 12%[z] 54% 46% N/a
53% N/a 47%
18–23 Mar Essential[79] N/a Online 1,008 31% 24% 10% 24% 12%[aa] 46% 47% N/a
16–22 Mar Roy Morgan[80] N/a Online 1,664 27% 21.5% 4% 13.5% 23.5% 10.5% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
12–19 Mar YouGov[81] The Australia Institute Online 1,502 28% 21% 13% 26% 11%[ab] N/a N/a N/a
9–15 Mar Roy Morgan[82][80] N/a Online 1,649 28.5% 20.5% 3.5% 12.5% 22.5% 12.5% 54% 46% N/a
9–14 Mar Resolve[83] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,803 29% 22% 12% 24% 13%[ac] N/a N/a N/a
11 Mar Matt Canavan is elected leader of the National Party, replacing David Littleproud
3–10 Mar YouGov[84] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 30% 19% 13% 26% 12%[ad] 55% 45% N/a
55% N/a 45%
2–8 Mar Roy Morgan[85] N/a Online 1,532 26.5% 22.5% 14.5% 23.5% 13% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
2 Mar The Strait of Hormuz is closed as part of the Iran war, triggering a fuel crisis in Australia[ae]
13 Jan – 3 Mar DemosAU (MRP) [87] N/a Online 8,424 29% 21% 12% 27% 11% N/a N/a N/a
23 Feb – 1 Mar Roy Morgan[88] N/a Online 1,554 30.5% 23.5% 11.5% 22% 12.5% 56% 44% N/a
23–27 Feb RedBridge/Accent[89] Australian Financial Review Online 1,006 32% 13%[af] 2% 12% 28% 9% 54% 46% N/a
54% N/a 46%
23–26 Feb Newspoll[90] The Australian Online 1,237 32% 20% 11% 27% 10% N/a N/a N/a
17–24 Feb YouGov[91] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 29% 15%[ag] 2% 13% 24% 12%[ah] 53% 47% N/a
56% N/a 44%
18–23 Feb Essential[92][93] The Guardian Online 1,002 30% 26% 11% 22% 11%[ai] 49.5% 50.5%[aj] N/a
16–22 Feb Roy Morgan[94] N/a Online 1,649 31% 24% 12.5% 20.5% 12% 54% 46% N/a
16–20 Feb DemosAU [95] Capital Brief Online 1,551 29% 21% 12% 28% 10% N/a N/a N/a
17–19 Feb Fox & Hedgehog[96] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,625 30% 24% 12% 25% 9% 51% 49% N/a
53% N/a 47%
N/a 57% 43%
13–16 Feb Roy Morgan[97] N/a Online 526 32% 23.5% 12.5% 21.5% 10.5% 55% 45% N/a
8–14 Feb Resolve[98][99][ak] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,717 32% 23% 11% 23% 12%[al] 55% 45% N/a
13 Feb Angus Taylor replaces Sussan Ley as Leader of the Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition
9–13 Feb Roy Morgan[100] N/a Online 1,216 30.5% 20% 13% 25% 11.5% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
8–12 Feb Resolve[98][99] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,717 31% 20% 12% 25% 13%[am] 55% 45% N/a
6–12 Feb RedBridge/Accent[101] The Australia Institute Online 2,010 34% 17% 11% 28% 10% N/a N/a N/a
3–10 Feb YouGov[102][103] Sky News Australia Online 1,561 30% 14%[an] 1% 12% 28% 11%[ao] 54% 46% N/a
55% N/a 45%
8 Feb The Liberal–National Coalition is reunited
5–8 Feb Newspoll[104] The Australian Online 1,234 33% 15% 3% 12% 27% 10% N/a N/a N/a
2–8 Feb Roy Morgan[105] N/a Online 1,584 28.5% 22.5% 13.5% 24.5% 11% 53.5% 46.5% N/a
26 Jan – 1 Feb Roy Morgan[106] N/a Online 1,401 30.5% 18% 2.5% 12.5% 25% 11.5% 56% 44% N/a
22–29 Jan RedBridge/Accent [107][108] Australian Financial Review Online 1,003 34% 13%[ap] 2% 11% 26% 10% 56% 44% N/a
20–27 Jan YouGov[109] Sky News Australia Online 1,500 31% 14% [aq] 2% 12% 25% 12%[ar] 55% 45% N/a
57% N/a 43%
19–25 Jan Roy Morgan[110] N/a Online 1,933 30.5% 20% 2.5% 13% 22.5% 11.5% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
20–23 Jan Essential[111][112] The Guardian Online 1,022 31% 25% 9% 22% 13%[as] N/a N/a N/a›
22 Jan The second dissolution of the Liberal–National Coalition
13–21 Jan DemosAU [113][114] Capital Brief Online 1,933 30% 21% 13% 24% 12% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan Freshwater[115][116][117] Herald Sun Online 1,050 33% 28% 11% 19% 9% 53% 47% N/a
57% N/a 43%
12–18 Jan Roy Morgan[110][118] N/a Online 1,630 28.5% 22% 2% 13.5% 21% 13% 53.5% 46.5% N/a
12–16 Jan Resolve[119] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,800 30% 28% 10% 18% 14%[at] 52% 48% N/a
12–16 Jan Newspoll[120] The Australian Online 1,224 32% 21% 12% 22% 13% 55% 45% N/a
5–11 Jan Roy Morgan[110][121] N/a Online 1,676 30% 28% 2.5% 13.5% 15% 11% 52% 48% N/a
5–6 Jan Fox & Hedgehog[122][123] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,608 29% 25% 14% 21% 11% 53% 47% N/a
56% N/a 44%
N/a 63% 37%
5–6 Jan DemosAU [124][125][au] Capital Brief Online 1,027 29% 23% 12% 23% 13% 52% 48% N/a
50% N/a 50%
3 May 2025 Election[126] 34.6% 31.8% 12.2% 6.4% 15%[av] 55.2% 44.8% —
Close

2025

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Interview
mode		 Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
16–23 Dec YouGov[109][127] Sky News Australia Online 1,869 30% 24% 13% 20% 7% 6% N/a N/a
17–20 Dec Resolve[128] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,010 32% 28% 12% 16% 8% 4% 54% 46%
8–14 Dec Roy Morgan[129] N/a Online 1,574 30.5% 27.5% 13% 17% 12% 54.5% 45.5%
5–12 Dec RedBridge/Accent[130][131] Australian Financial Review Online 1,012 35% 26% 13% 17% 9% 56% 44%
8 Dec Barnaby Joyce joins One Nation
3–8 Dec Essential[132][133] N/a Online 1,300 34% 26% 10% 17% 12%[aw] 52.1%[aj] 47.9%
2–7 Dec Resolve[134] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,800 35% 26% 11% 14% 8% 6% 55% 45%
26 Nov – 2 Dec YouGov[109][135] Sky News Australia Online 1,605 32% 24% 13% 19% 6% 6% N/a N/a
27 Nov Barnaby Joyce resigns from the Nationals to sit as an independent
7–26 Nov RedBridge/Accent[136] Australian Financial Review Online 4,775 35% 26% 10% 18% 11% 54% 46%
19–24 Nov Essential[137][138] N/a Online 1,020 36% 27% 11% 15% 13%[ax] 53.2%[aj] 46.8%
17–20 Nov Newspoll[139] The Australian Online 1,245 36% 24% 13% 15% 12% 58% 42%
12–17 Nov YouGov (MRP)[140][141] Climate Council Online 3,530 34% 26% 12% 18% 5% 5% N/a N/a
4–17 Nov Spectre Strategy[142][143] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,007 33% 25% 12.5% 17.5% 12% 53% 47%
20 Oct – 16 Nov Roy Morgan[144] N/a Online 5,248 33% 27% 12.5% 14% 13.5% 56.5% 43.5%
7–13 Nov RedBridge/Accent[145] Australian Financial Review Online 1,011 38% 24%[ay] 9% 18% 11% 56% 44%
5 Oct – 11 Nov DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a Online 6,928 33% 24% 13% 17% 13% 56% 44%
4–8 Nov Resolve[147] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,804 33% 29% 12% 12% 7% 6% 53% 47%
27–30 Oct Newspoll[148] The Australian Online 1,265 36% 24% 11% 15% 14% 57% 43%
23–30 Oct YouGov[149][150] The Australia Institute Online 4,578 33% 27% 12% 13% 7% 8% 56% 44%
22–27 Oct Essential[151][152] N/a Online 1,041 36% 26% 9% 15% 14%[ax] 53.2%[aj] 46.8%
15–20 Oct Freshwater[153][154][155] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,530 33% 31% 14% 10% 11% 55% 45%
22 Sep – 19 Oct Roy Morgan[156] N/a Online 4,908 35% 27% 13% 12% 13% 57% 43%
7–12 Oct Resolve[157] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,800 34% 28% 11% 12% 9% 7% 55% 45%
25 Sep – 7 Oct RedBridge/Accent[158][159][160] Australian Financial Review Online 1,997 34% 29% 11% 14% 12% 54% 46%
29 Sep – 2 Oct Newspoll[161] The Australian Online 1,264 37% 28% 12% 11% 12% 57% 43%
25–30 Sep YouGov[162] N/a Online 1,329 34% 27% 12% 12% 8% 14%[az] 56% 44%
24–29 Sep Essential[163] N/a Online 1,001 35% 27% 11% 13% 14%[ax] 53.7%[aj] 46.3%
25 Aug – 21 Sep Roy Morgan[164] N/a Online 5,084 34% 30% 12% 9.5% 14.5% 55.5% 44.5%
9–13 Sep Resolve[165] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,800 35% 27% 11% 12% 9% 6% 55% 45%
8–11 Sep Newspoll[166] The Australian Online 1,283 36% 27% 13% 10% 14% 58% 42%
19 Aug – 8 Sep RedBridge/Accent[167][168] Australian Financial Review Online 5,326 35% 30% 11% 11% 13% 53.5% 46.5%
28 Jul – 24 Aug Roy Morgan[169] N/a Online 5,001 34% 30% 12% 9% 15% 56.5% 43.5%
9–16 Aug Resolve[170] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 1,800 37% 29% 12% 9% 8% 6% 59% 41%
11–14 Aug Newspoll[171] The Australian Online 1,283 36% 30% 12% 9% 13% 56% 44%
18–30 Jul Wolf & Smith[172][173] Australian Financial Review Online 5,000 36% 30% N/a N/a N/a N/a 57% 43%
30 Jun – 27 Jul Roy Morgan[174] N/a Online 5,159 36.5% 31% 12% 7% 13.5% 57% 43%
13–18 Jul Resolve[175] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone
& Online		 2,311 35% 29% 12% 8% 8% 8% 56% 44%
14–17 Jul Newspoll[176][177] The Australian Online 1,264 36% 29% 12% 8% 15% 57% 43%
5–6 Jul DemosAU[178] N/a Online 1,199 36% 26% 14% 9% 15% 59% 41%
27 Jun – 1 Jul Spectre Strategy[179] N/a Online 1,001 35.9% 31% 12.8% 7.9% 12.3% 56.5% 43.5%
19–30 Jun RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review Online 4,036 37% 31% 11% 9% 12% 55.5% 44.5%
23–29 Jun Roy Morgan[181] N/a Online 1,522 36.5% 30.5% 12% 8.5% 12.5% 57.5% 42.5%
2–22 Jun Roy Morgan[182] N/a Online 3,957 37.5% 31% 12% 6% 13.5% 58% 42%
5 May – 1 Jun Roy Morgan[183] N/a Online 5,128 37% 31% 11.5% 6% 14.5% 58.5% 41.5%
20–28 May The first dissolution of the Liberal–National Coalition
13 May Sussan Ley elected as Leader of the Liberal Party and the Opposition, replacing Peter Dutton
3 May Election[126] 34.6% 31.8% 12.2% 6.4% 7.4% 7.6% 55.2% 44.8%
Close

Three-party-preferred vote

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Interview
mode		 Sample
size		 3PP vote
ALP L/NP ONP
25–26 May 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[44] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,700 43% 27% 30%
13–14 May 2026 Roy Morgan[54] N/a SMS 2,348 44.5% 19% 36.5%
24–25 Mar 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[77] N/a Online 1,810 46% 27% 27%
17–19 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[96] N/a Online 1,625 44% 27% 29%
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[122][123] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,608 46% 29% 25%
Close

Voting consideration

Some polling is conducted for voting consideration, with respondents able to select multiple options that they would consider voting for. Because of this, percentages do not add up to 100%.

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH
9–16 Jun 2026 YouGov[36] Sky News Australia 1,500 38% 31% 23% 38% N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov[41] Sky News Australia 1,471 34% 30% 23% 39% N/a N/a
17–24 Feb 2026 YouGov[91] Sky News Australia 1,500 N/a N/a N/a 48% N/a N/a
18–23 Feb 2026 Essential[92][93] The Guardian 1,002 N/a N/a N/a 58% N/a N/a
12 Nov – 17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[140] Climate Council 3,783 40% 30% 17% 21% N/a 16%
10–29 Jul 2025 YouGov (MRP)[184][185] Blueprint Institute 5,007 42% 33% 17% 12% 14% 4%
Close

National direction polling

Individual polls

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Right direction Wrong direction Unsure Net
22–28 Jun 2026 Roy Morgan[31] N/a 25.5% 57% N/a -31.5%
15–21 Jun 2026 Roy Morgan[34] N/a 24% 64% N/a -39%
9–15 Mar 2026 Roy Morgan[82] N/a 25.5% 60.5% 14% -34.5%
2–8 Mar 2026 Roy Morgan[85] N/a 26.5% 59% 14.5% -32.5%
23 Feb–1 Mar 2026 Roy Morgan[88] N/a 26.5% 58% 15.5% -31.5%
18–23 Feb 2026 Essential[92][93] The Guardian 34% 49% 18% -15%
13–16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[97] N/a 33% 55% 12% -22%
9–13 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[100] N/a 28.5% 57% 14.5% -28.5%
2–8 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[105] N/a 28% 58% 14% -30%
26 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a 30% 56.5% 13.5% -26.5%
19–25 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[110] N/a 29.5% 56.5% 14% -27%
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[111][112] The Guardian 29% 54% 17% -25%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a 30.5% 57.5% 12% -27%
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a 19.5% 45.5% 35% -26%
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[137] N/a 35% 47% 18% -12%
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[153][154][155] The Daily Telegraph 35% 52% 13% -17%
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[152] N/a 35% 46% 19% -11%
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[186] N/a 34% 50% 16% -16%
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[164] N/a 32.5% 53% 14.5% -20.5%
20–26 Aug 2025 Essential[187] N/a 38% 47% 16% -9%
24–29 July 2025 Essential[188] N/a 38% 45% 17% -7%
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a 37% 46.5% 16.5% -9.5%
23–29 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[181] N/a 38.5% 46% 15.5% -7.5%
2–22 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[182] N/a 43% 41.5% 15.5% +1.5%
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[189] N/a 41% 44% 15% -3%
7–11 May 2025 Essential[190] N/a 37% 42% 21% -5%
Close

Sub-national polling

New South Wales

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
18–24 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 29% 19% 12% 26% 7% 8% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 24% 24% 13% 24% 5% 10% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 29% 24% 11% 22% 6% 8% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 26% 20% 11% 27% 8% 8% N/a N/a N/a
23-30 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 30% 15% 13% 32% 5% 4% N/a N/a N/a
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 31% 16% 13% 29% 11% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 26% 19% 13% 28% 8% 6% N/a N/a N/a
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[64] Sky News Australia N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54% 46% N/a
53% N/a 47%
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[192] Sky News Australia N/a 29% 20% 12% 26% 8% 4% N/a N/a N/a
12 Jan – 26 Mar 2026 Newspoll[193] The Australian N/a 31% 18% 12% 27% N/a 12% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 Mar 2026 YouGov[81] The Australia Institute 489 29% 17% 13% 24% 6% 11%[az] N/a N/a N/a
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[87] N/a N/a 29% 21% 12% 26% N/a 12% N/a N/a N/a
17–19 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[96] — — 31% 26% 10% 22% — 11% 51% 49% N/a
54% N/a 46%
N/a 59% 41%
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[98][ak] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 32% 21% 11% 24% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
8–12 Feb 2026 Resolve[98] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 29% 20% 12% 27% 9% 3% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a N/a 30% 17.5% 4.5% 11.5% 25.5% N/a 11% 54% 46% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 29% 14% 5% 11% 26% 8% 7% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[116][117] News Australia 308 33% 37% 5% 21% N/a 4% 48% 52% N/a
57% N/a 43%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[119] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 31% 26% 12% 20% 8% 4% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54.5% 45.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[122][123] The Daily Telegraph N/a 29% 27% 13% 19% N/a 12% 52% 48% N/a
56% N/a 44%
N/a 65% 35%
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[128] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 31% 29% 9% 20% 9% 3% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a 33.5% 25.5% 11.5% 17.5% N/a 12% 57% 43% N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[134] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 35% 26% 11% 17% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[194][195] The Australian N/a 37% 24% 12% 14% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a N/a 33.5% 28.5% 10.5% 14.5% N/a 13% 55.5% 44.5% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 33% 24% 12% 17% N/a 14% 55% 45% N/a
4–8 Nov 2025 Resolve[147] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 34% 31% 11% 13% 5% 5% N/a N/a N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[153][154][155] The Daily Telegraph N/a 32% 37% 13% 10% N/a 9% 52% 48% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[156] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12% N/a N/a 57.5% 42.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[157] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 35% 29% 9% 14% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[156][164] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11% N/a N/a 56.5% 43.5% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[165] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 34% 28% 9% 16% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[196][197] The Australian N/a 38% 25% 13% 10% N/a 14% 60% 40% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge/Accent[167][168] Australian Financial Review N/a 34% 29% 10% 12% N/a 15% 54% 46% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[169] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55% 45% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[170] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 37% 29% 13% 12% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 56.5% 43.5% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[175][ba] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 36% 31% 11% 8% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 38% 30% 9% 9% N/a 15% 54% 46% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[183] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 59% 41% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[126] 35.2% 24.2% 7.3% 11.1% 6.0% 9.7% 6.5% 55.3% 44.7% —
Close

Victoria

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Interview
mode		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
18–24 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 24% 24% 15% 21% 8% 8% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 30% 22% 12% 21% 8% 7% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 26% 28% 16% 20% 6% 4% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 30% 22% 10% 25% 6% 7% N/a N/a N/a
23-30 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 27% 19% 13% 27% 9% 6% N/a N/a N/a
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 28% 21% 14% 25% 12% N/a N/a N/a
26 May - 2 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 23% 24% 11% 32% 6% 4% N/a N/a N/a
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[64] Sky News Australia N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
55% N/a 45%
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[192] Sky News Australia N/a 25% 21% 16% 26% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
12 Jan – 26 Mar 2026 Newspoll[193] The Australian N/a 32% 22% 14% 21% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 Mar 2026 YouGov[81][bb] The Australia Institute 385 27% 20% 15% 19% 6% 13%[bc] N/a N/a N/a
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[87] N/a N/a 28% 21% 14% 27% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
17–19 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog — — 26% 23% 13% 30% — 8% 49% 51% N/a
49% N/a 51%
N/a 53% 47%
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[98][ak] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 29% 21% 12% 25% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
8–12 Feb 2026 Resolve[98] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 31% 16% 12% 27% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a N/a 30.5% 25.5% 1.5% 13% 17.5% N/a 12% 53% 47% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a '29% 21% 1% 15% 25% 6% 3% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[116][117] News Australia 273 32% 26% 12% 16% N/a 14% 55% 45% N/a
57% N/a 43%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52.5% 47.5% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[119] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 26% 33% 13% 17% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55% 45% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[122][123] The Daily Telegraph N/a 26% 28% 18% 19% N/a 9% 51% 49% N/a
56% N/a 44%
N/a 66% 34%
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[128] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 30% 30% 12% 15% 9% 3% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a 32.5% 28.5% 15.5% 10% N/a 13.5% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[134] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 31% 31% 11% 11% 10% 5% N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[194][195] The Australian N/a 35% 26% 16% 11% N/a 12% 60% 40% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a N/a 33.5% 27.5% 16% 10.5% N/a 12.5% 59.5% 40.5% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 33% 24% 14% 16% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
4–8 Nov 2025 Resolve[147] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 33% 29% 13% 12% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[153][154][155] The Daily Telegraph N/a 32% 30% 13% 8% N/a 18% 55% 45% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[156] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9% N/a N/a 59.5% 40.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[157] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 33% 29% 12% 10% 9% 7% N/a N/a N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[156][164] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 6% N/a N/a 56.5% 43.5% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[165] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 32% 30% 15% 9% 6% 9% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[196][197] The Australian N/a 35% 30% 15% 7% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge/Accent[167][168] Australian Financial Review N/a 34% 32% 12% 9% N/a 13% 54% 46% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[169] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58% 42% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[170] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 36% 30% 12% 6% 7% 8% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 57.5% 42.5% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[175][bd] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 38% 28% 13% 8% 6% 8% N/a N/a N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 36% 31% 12% 8% N/a 13% 55% 45% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[183] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 59.5% 40.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[126] 34.0% 27.6% 4.6% 13.6% 5.8% 7.6% 6.8% 56.3% 43.7% —
Close

Queensland

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP IND OTH LNP ALP ONP
18–24 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 22% 27% 10% 34% 1% 6% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 19% 23% 12% 29% 1% 16% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 16% 27% 12% 34% 5% 6% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 23% 27% 10% 27% 4% 10% N/a N/a N/a
23–30 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 16% 30% 12% 33% 4% 5% N/a N/a N/a
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 22% 30% 9% 32% 7% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 19% 24% 14% 31% 3% 9% N/a N/a N/a
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[64] Sky News Australia N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
N/a 45% 55%
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[192] Sky News Australia N/a 22% 28% 10% 29% 5% 6% N/a N/a N/a
12 Jan – 26 Mar 2026 Newspoll[193] The Australian N/a 23% 27% 11% 30% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 Mar 2026 YouGov[81][bb] The Australia Institute 315 25% 19% 9% 30% 2% 15%[be] N/a N/a N/a
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[87] N/a N/a 21% 25% 12% 31% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
17–19 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[96] — — 25% 28% 10% 29% — 8% 52% 48% N/a
N/a 49% 51%
54% N/a 46%
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[98][ak] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 25% 30% 12% 23% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
8–12 Feb 2026 Resolve[98] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 22% 31% 11% 22% 9% 4% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a N/a 23.5% 27.5% 14% 24% N/a 11% 49% 51% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 18% 33% 11% 28% 3% 7% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[116][117] News Australia 246 24% 27% 13% 24% N/a 11% 50% 50% N/a
51% N/a 49%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[119] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 30% 28% 10% 19% 7% 7% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54% 46% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[122][123] The Daily Telegraph N/a 25% 27% 11% 25% N/a 12% 51% 49% N/a
60% N/a 40%
N/a 51% 49%
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[128] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 26% 34% 14% 14% 7% 5% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a 27% 28% 12.5% 22% N/a 12% 50.5% 49.5% N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[134] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 26% 36% 12% 11% 6% 9% N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[194][195] The Australian N/a 27% 33% 10% 18% N/a 12% 48% 52% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a N/a 27% 28% 12% 18% N/a 15% 49% 51% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 25% 30% 12% 20% N/a 13% 48% 52% N/a
4–8 Nov 2025 Resolve[147] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 26% 35% 14% 11% 8% 6% N/a N/a N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[153][154][155] The Daily Telegraph N/a 29% 30% 14% 18% N/a 10% 47% 53% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[156] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 15% N/a N/a 49.5% 50.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[157] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 23% 35% 13% 13% 9% 8% N/a N/a N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[156][164] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11% N/a N/a 51.5% 48.5% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[165] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 27% 37% 10% 12% 10% 4% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[196][197] The Australian N/a 33% 32% 12% 10% N/a 13% 49% 51% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge/Accent[167][168] Australian Financial Review N/a 32% 31% 12% 16% N/a 9% 51% 49% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[169] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48% 52% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[170] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 29% 39% 10% 9% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 46.5% 53.5% N/a
13–18 July 2025 Resolve[175][ba] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 31% 31% 11% 10% 8% 8% 48% 51% N/a
4–9 Jul 2025 DemosAU[198][199] N/a 1,027 31% 35% 12% 13% N/a 9% 47% 53% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 35% 32% 12% 12% N/a 9% 51% 49% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[183] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 47.5% 52.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[126] 34.9% 31.0% 11.8% 7.8% 3.8% 10.7% 50.6% 49.4% —
Close

Western Australia

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
18–24 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 37% 21% 13% 21% 3% 5% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 28% 21% 15% 25% 4% 7% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 July 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 24% 21% 12% 32% 2% 9% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 30% 16% 15% 29% 5% 5% N/a N/a N/a
23-30 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 33% 21% 9% 29% 2% 7% N/a N/a N/a
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 32% 22% 12% 26% 8% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 32% 21% 13% 23% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[64] Sky News Australia N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 50% 50% N/a
52% N/a 48%
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[192] Sky News Australia N/a 33% 24% 10% 21% 3% 9% N/a N/a N/a
12 Jan – 26 Mar 2026 Newspoll[193] The Australian N/a 34% 20% 9% 27% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 Mar 2026 YouGov[81][bb] The Australia Institute 127 29% 19% 9% 27% 5% 11%[az] N/a N/a N/a
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[87] N/a N/a 30% 20% 13% 27% N/a 12% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a N/a 29% 24.5% 2.5% 13% 20% N/a 11% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 29% 25% 3% 13% 18% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[116][117] News Australia 81 38% 19% 21% 10% N/a 12% 64% 36% N/a
66% N/a 34%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 47% 53% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 45.5% 54.5% N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a 30% 24% 15.5% 17.5% N/a 13% 50.5% 49.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[194][195] The Australian N/a 37% 28% 12% 14% N/a 9% 56% 44% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a N/a 32.5% 27.5% 11% 16.5% N/a 12.5% 53% 47% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 34% 23% 12% 19% N/a 12% 56% 44% N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[153][154][155] The Daily Telegraph N/a 45% 25% 18% 7% N/a 5% 68% 32% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[156] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11.5% N/a N/a 53.5% 46.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[156][164] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 8.5% N/a N/a 53% 47% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[196][197] The Australian N/a 39% 33% 8% 11% N/a 9% 54% 46% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge/Accent[167][168] Australian Financial Review N/a 44% 28% 7% 10% N/a 11% 59% 41% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[169] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 56.5% 43.5% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54.5% 45.5% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 41% 31% 11% 8% N/a 9% 57% 43% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[183] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[126] 35.6% 28.7% 2.9% 12.0% 7.6% 6.2% 7.1% 55.8% 44.2% —
Close

South Australia

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB ONP
18–24 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 34% 14% 6% 40% 1% 5% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 44% 20% 6% 26% 3% 1% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 39% 11% 13% 28% 3% 6% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 32% 8% 20% 28% 3% 9% N/a N/a N/a
23–30 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 32% 12% 12% 36% 7% 1% N/a N/a N/a
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 32% 16% 14% 32% 6% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 30% 12% 21% 31% 1% 5% N/a N/a N/a
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[64] Sky News Australia N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54% 46% N/a
44% N/a 56%
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[192] Sky News Australia N/a 41% 15% 10% 22% 4% 8% N/a N/a N/a
12 Jan – 26 Mar 2026 Newspoll[193] The Australian N/a 39% 13% 12% 27% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 Mar 2026 YouGov[81][bb] The Australia Institute 110 22% 9% 17% 26% 3% 23%[bf] N/a N/a N/a
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[87] N/a N/a 34% 18% 12% 27% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a N/a 33.5% 21.5% 12% 20.5% N/a 12.5%[bg] 61% 39% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 35% 12% 14% 29% 5% 5% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[116][117] News Australia 91 46% 18% 12% 14% N/a 9% 66% 34% N/a
72% N/a 28%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55.5% 44.5% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 50% 50% N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a 35.5% 29% 12.5% 13.5% N/a 9.5% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[194][195] The Australian N/a 38% 25% 10% 15% N/a 12% 58% 42% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a N/a 37.5% 26% 15% 11.5% N/a 10% 59.5% 40.5% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 36% 21% 16% 14% N/a 13% 60% 40% N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[153][154][155] The Daily Telegraph N/a 35% 33% 18% 8% N/a 6% 56% 44% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[156] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 15% N/a N/a 59.5% 40.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[156][164] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 13% N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[196][197] The Australian N/a 34% 29% 10% 11% N/a 16% 55% 45% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[169] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 59% 41% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 62% 38% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[183] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[126] 38.3% 28.0% 13.4% 6.2% 3.4% 10.7% 59.2% 40.8% —
Close

Tasmania

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB ONP
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[87] N/a N/a 31% 15% 11% 27% N/a 16% N/a N/a N/a
16–19 Feb 2026 EMRS[200][201] Pulse Tasmania 953 30% 18% 13% 24% 12% 2%[bh] 60% 40% N/a
60% N/a 40%
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a N/a 31% 20.5% 17% 15.5% N/a 16%[bg] 59% 41% N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55.5% 44.5% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 56% 44% N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a 38.5% 19% 12% 12% N/a 18.5% 67% 33% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a N/a 35.5% 26.5% 11% 9% N/a 18% 65.5% 34.5% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 36% 18% 13% 17% N/a 16% 64% 36% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[156] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 10% N/a N/a 68% 32% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[156][164] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 5.5% N/a N/a 68.5% 31.5% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[169] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 63.5% 36.5% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 61% 39% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[183] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 70.5% 29.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[126] 36.6% 24.5% 11.1% 6.1% 18.1% 3.6% 63.3% 36.7% —
Close

ACT

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[87] N/a N/a 42% 18% 18% 11% N/a 11% N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 46% 20% 16% 6% N/a 12% 71% 29%
3 May 2025 Election[126] 47.5% 21.2% 15.1% — 12.8% 3.4% 72.5% 27.5%
Close

Northern Territory

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP CLP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP CLP
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU (MRP)[87] N/a N/a 31% 21% 11% 29% N/a 8% N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 34% 25% 12% 19% N/a 10% 54% 46%
3 May 2025 Election[126] 37.9% 33.8% 10.2% 7.7% 7.7% 2.5% 54.3% 45.7%
Close

Electorate projections

76 seats needed for a majority.

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Projection
type		 Sample
size		 Seat tally Majority
ALP L/NP GRN ONP CSA CA KAP IND
27 May – 11 Jul 2026 DemosAU[202] N/a MRP 9,343 68 13 3 60 2 1 0 3 Hung
(ALP 8 short)
29 Apr – 14 May 2026 RedBridge/Accent[55] Australian Financial Review MRP 6,015 76 12 0 53 N/a 0 1 8 ALP 1
13 Jan – 3 Mar 2026 DemosAU[87] N/a MRP 8,424 83 9 1 52 N/a 0 0 5 ALP 8
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU[146] N/a MRP 6,928 98 29 0 12 N/a 1 1 9 ALP 23
3 May 2025 Election[126] 94 43 1 0 — 1 1 10 ALP 19
Close

Individual seat polling

Main article: Electorate opinion polling and projections for the next Australian federal election

By electorate classification

The Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) classifies electorates as inner metropolitan, outer metropolitan, provincial and rural.[203]

Inner metropolitan

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP
23–27 Feb 2026 RedBridge/Accent[89] Australian Financial Review N/a 41% 17% 3% 14% 16% N/a 9% 63% 37% N/a
67% N/a 33%
16–20 Feb 2026 DemosAU[95] Capital Brief N/a 36% 26% 14% 18% N/a 7% N/a N/a N/a
22–29 Jan 2026 RedBridge/Accent[108] Australian Financial Review N/a 43% 16% 2% 13% 16% N/a 10% 64% 36% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 37% 17% 2% 15% 15% 10% 4% N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[113][114] Capital Brief N/a 38% 19% 17% 17% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[124][125] Capital Brief N/a 37% 26% 15% 16% N/a 6% N/a N/a N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[130][131] Australian Financial Review N/a 39% 23% 17% 12% N/a 9% 62% 38% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[140] Sky News Australia N/a 40% 24% 17% 9% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 38% 23% 17% 10% N/a 12% 62% 38% N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent[158][159][160] Australian Financial Review N/a 39% 29% 13% 9% N/a 10% 58% 42% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 42% 29% 11% N/a N/a 17% 60% 40% N/a
Close

Outer metropolitan

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP
23–27 Feb 2026 RedBridge/Accent[89] Australian Financial Review N/a 32% 13% 3% 14% 28% N/a 10% 57% 43% N/a
54% N/a 46%
16–20 Feb 2026 DemosAU[95] Capital Brief N/a 28% 21% 11% 30% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
22–29 Jan 2026 RedBridge/Accent[108] Australian Financial Review N/a 31% 16% 3% 9% 33% N/a 8% 52% 48% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 30% 16% 4% 13% 27% 4% 6% N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[113][114] Capital Brief N/a 27% 23% 14% 25% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[124][125] Capital Brief N/a 26% 23% 11% 24% N/a 16% N/a N/a N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[130][131] Australian Financial Review N/a 40% 22% 12% 18% N/a 8% 60% 40% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[140] Climate Council N/a 35% 24% 12% 21% 3% 5% N/a N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 35% 23% 12% 17% N/a 13% 57% 43% N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent[158][159][160] Australian Financial Review N/a 36% 27% 13% 13% N/a 11% 56% 44% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 39% 30% 12% N/a N/a 19% 57% 43% N/a
Close

Provincial

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026 RedBridge/Accent[89] Australian Financial Review N/a 32% 15% 7% 0% 5% 34% N/a 7% 49% 51% N/a
49% N/a 51%
22–29 Jan 2026 RedBridge/Accent[108] Australian Financial Review N/a 35% 6% 6% 1% 12% 33% N/a 8% 60% 40% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 34% 10% 10% 2% 9% 25% 3% 7% N/a N/a N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[130][131] Australian Financial Review N/a 26% 33% 11% 23% N/a 7% 46% 54% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[140] Climate Council N/a 33% 27% 10% 21% 5% 4% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent[158][159][160] Australian Financial Review N/a 33% 31% 10% 15% N/a 11% 51% 49% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 34% 33% 11% N/a N/a 22% 52% 48% N/a
Close

Rural

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
23–27 Feb 2026 RedBridge/Accent[89] Australian Financial Review N/a 22% 9% 5% 6% 11% 39% N/a 8% 43% 57% N/a
45% N/a 55%
22–29 Jan 2026 RedBridge/Accent[108] Australian Financial Review N/a 26% 10% 6% 6% 9% 31% N/a 12% 49% 51% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 23% 11% 2% 7% 9% 35% 6% 7% N/a N/a N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[130][131] Australian Financial Review N/a 32% 29% 10% 17% N/a 12% 52% 48% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[140] Climate Council N/a 26% 30% 9% 23% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent[158][159][160] Australian Financial Review N/a 29% 30% 6% 20% N/a 11% 48% 52% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 32% 32% 8% N/a N/a 28% 50% 50% N/a
Close

Regional/rural

Some polls combine provincial and rural electorates as "regional/rural".

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
16–20 Feb 2026 DemosAU[95] Capital Brief N/a 22% 16% 10% 37% N/a 15% N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[113][114] Capital Brief N/a 24% 20% 8% 32% N/a 16% N/a N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[124][125] Capital Brief N/a 25% 20% 11% 32% N/a 12% N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 24% 26% 9% 24% N/a 17% 47% 53%
Close

Subpopulation results

By gender

Women

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 26% 21% 13% 24% 6% 10% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 28% 19% 15% 23% 7% 7% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 26% 20% 16% 24% 5% 9% N/a N/a N/a
3–8 Jul 2026 DemosAU N/a N/a 24% 22% 16% 28% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
23–30 Jun 2026 YouGov[29] Sky News Australia N/a 28% 15% 17% 29% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jun 2026 DemosAU N/a N/a 21% 19% 14% 32% N/a 14% N/a N/a N/a
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 29% 19% 14% 28% 10% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov[204] Sky News Australia N/a 23% 20% 15% 32% 4% 7% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 May 2026 YouGov[205] Sky News Australia N/a 26% 21% 15% 24% 6% 9% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 May 2026 Roy Morgan[206] N/a N/a 32.5% 24.5% 15.5% 17.5% N/a 10% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
27 Apr – 3 May 2026 Roy Morgan[207] N/a N/a 30.5% 24.5% 14% 18.5% N/a 12.5% 56% 43.5% N/a
28 Apr – 5 May 2026 YouGov[208] Sky News Australia N/a 29% 21% 16% 22% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
20–26 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[207] N/a N/a 33% 22% 16% 17.5% N/a 11% 59% 41% N/a
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[209] Sky News Australia N/a 27% 21% 15% 26% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
13–19 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[210] N/a N/a 33% 21% 15.5% 19% N/a 11.5% 60% 39.5% N/a
6–12 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[211] N/a N/a 32.5% 21.5% 16.5% 19% N/a 10.5% 61% 39% N/a
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[212] Sky News Australia N/a 27% 19% 16% 25% 6% 7% N/a N/a N/a
30 Mar – Apr 5 2026 Roy Morgan[213] N/a N/a 32.5% 25% 15% 16.5% N/a 11% 57.5% 42.5% N/a
17–24 Mar 2026 YouGov[214] Sky News Australia N/a 29% 19% 17% 24% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
3–10 Mar 2026 YouGov[215] Sky News Australia N/a 31% 19% 13% 23% 7% 7% N/a N/a N/a
17–24 Feb 2026 YouGov[216] Sky News Australia N/a 26% 22% 16% 22% 8% 6% N/a N/a N/a
17–19 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[96] — — 30% 24% 15% 23% — 8% 53% 47% N/a
55% N/a 45%
N/a 58% 42%
13–16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[97] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 62% 38% N/a
3–10 Feb 2026 YouGov[217] Sky News Australia N/a 29% 18% N/a 15% 27% 5% 6% N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a N/a 30% 22% N/a 3% 15.5% 17.5% N/a 12% 56% 44% N/a
22–29 Jan 2026 RedBridge/Accent[108] N/a N/a 36% 15% 3% 1% 13% 23% N/a 9% 58% 42% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 26% 15% 2% 4% 15% 25% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[111][112] The Guardian 599 29% 20% 11% 23% N/a 8% N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[113][114] Capital Brief N/a 29% 20% 14% 24% N/a 13% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55% 45% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[119] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 28% 27% 12% 18% 8% 8% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 57.5% 42.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[122][123] The Daily Telegraph N/a 27% 23% 20% 19% N/a 11% 55% 45% N/a
58% N/a 42%
N/a 65% 35%
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[124][125] Capital Brief N/a 24% 22% 17% 23% N/a 14% N/a N/a N/a
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[128] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 28% 28% 12% 17% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a 31.5% 26% 17.5% 13% N/a 12% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
3–8 Dec 2025 Essential[132][133] N/a 558 33% 25% 12% 16% N/a 6%[bi] N/a N/a N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[134] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 31% 24% 16% 15% 8% 6% N/a N/a N/a
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[137][138] N/a 490 35% 23% 14% 14% N/a 6%[bi] N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[194][195] The Australian N/a 35% 24% 15% 13% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[140] Climate Council N/a 32% 25% 14% 18% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a N/a 34% 26% 15% 11.5% N/a 13.5% 60% 40% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 33% 22% 16% 16% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[151] N/a 595 32% 26% 13% 14% N/a 7% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[153][154][155] The Daily Telegraph N/a 30% 30% 17% 11% N/a 12% 55% 45% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[156] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9% N/a N/a 60.5% 39.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[157] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 32% 26% 12% 14% 7% 8% N/a N/a N/a
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[163] N/a 517 35% 24% 14% 14% N/a 4% 55.5% 44.5% N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent[158][159][160] Australian Financial Review N/a 32% 30% 13% 13% N/a 12% 53% 47% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[156][164] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 7% N/a N/a 59% 41% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[165] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 31% 27% 13% 13% 10% 6% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[196][197] The Australian N/a 34% 29% 14% 9% N/a 14% 57% 43% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge/Accent[167][168] Australian Financial Review N/a 33% 29% 14% 11% N/a 13% 55% 45% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[169] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 60.5% 39.5% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[170] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 38% 25% 13% 9% 8% 6% 60% 40% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 59.5% 40.5% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[175][bd] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 36% 27% 14% 7% 9% 8% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jul 2025 DemosAU[178] N/a N/a 36% 25% 15% 15% N/a 10% 60% 40% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 36% 30% 13% N/a N/a 21% 56% 44% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[183] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 61% 39% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[218] 36% 28% 18% — — 18% — — —
Close

Men

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 29% 22% 11% 25% 4% 8% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 29% 24% 10% 28% 4% 5% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 31% 19% 8% 29% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
3–8 Jul 2026 DemosAU N/a N/a 27% 21% 11% 30% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
23–30 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 31% 19% 8% 32% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jun 2026 DemosAU N/a N/a 32% 18% 11% 29% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 33% 19% 10% 28% 10% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov[204] Sky News Australia N/a 30% 20% 10% 27% 7% 5% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 May 2026 YouGov[205] Sky News Australia N/a 29% 24% 12% 25% 5% 5% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 May 2026 Roy Morgan[206] N/a N/a 28.5% 26% 7.5% 26.5% N/a 11.5% 48% 52% N/a
27 Apr – 3 May 2026 Roy Morgan[207] N/a N/a 28.5% 23.5% 12% 24.5% N/a 11.5% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
28 Apr – 5 May 2026 YouGov[208] Sky News Australia N/a 30% 21% 13% 26% 5% 5% N/a N/a N/a
20–26 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[207] N/a N/a 26% 23% 11.5% 27.5% N/a 12% 49% 50.5% N/a
14–21 April 2026 YouGov[209] Sky News Australia N/a 28% 20% 10% 29% 5% 8% N/a N/a N/a
13–19 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[210] N/a N/a 28.5% 24% 11% 24% N/a 12% 50.5% 49.5% N/a
6–12 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[211] N/a N/a 28% 23% 9% 29.5% N/a 10.5% 50% 50% N/a
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[212] Sky News Australia N/a 32% 21% 10% 25% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
30 Mar – 5 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[213] N/a N/a 29% 22.5% 9% 27% N/a 12.5% 54% 46% N/a
17–24 Mar 2026 YouGov[219] Sky News Australia N/a 30% 19% 9% 31% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
3–10 Mar 2026 YouGov[219] Sky News Australia N/a 29% 20% 13% 28% 3% 6% N/a N/a N/a
17–24 Feb 2026 YouGov[216] Sky News Australia N/a 32% 23% 9% 26% 5% 5% N/a N/a N/a
17–19 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[96] — — 30% 24% 9% 28% — 9% 50% 50% N/a
51% N/a 49%
N/a 55% 45%
13–16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[97] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 47.5% 52.5% N/a
Feb 3–10 2026 YouGov[217] Sky News Australia N/a 31% 20% 9% 29% 5% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a N/a 30% 20.5% N/a 2.5% 9.5% 26% N/a 11.5% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
22–29 Jan 2026 RedBridge/Accent[108] Australian Financial Review N/a 32% 11% 6% 2% 8% 30% N/a 11% 53% 47% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 35% 15% 2% 3% 9% 25% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[111][112] The Guardian 423 32% 31% 7% 21% N/a 6%[bi] N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[113][114] Capital Brief N/a 31% 22% 12% 25% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[119] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 32% 29% 9% 18% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 46.5% 53.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[122][123] N/a N/a 31% 27% 9% 23% N/a 10% 50% 50% N/a
53% N/a 47%
N/a 61% 39%
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[124][125] Capital Brief N/a 34% 24% 7% 24% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[128] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 36% 28% 11% 14% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a 32.5% 27.5% 9% 18% N/a 13% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
3–8 Dec 2025 Essential[132][133] N/a 472 35% 27% 7% 19% N/a 9%[bi] N/a N/a N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[134] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 39% 28% 12% 7% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[137][138] N/a 530 37% 30% 7% 15% N/a 8%[bi] N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[194][195] The Australia N/a 38% 26% 10% 14% N/a 12% 57% 43% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[140] Climate Council N/a 37% 26% 10% 18% 5% 4% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a N/a 31.5% 28.5% 10% 16.5% N/a 13.5% 53% 47% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 33% 25% 10% 18% N/a 14% 54% 46% N/a
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[151] The Guardian 446 39% 27% 6% 16% N/a 9% [bi] 53% 47% N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[153][154][155] The Daily Telegraph N/a 36% 32% 11% 10% N/a 11% 56% 44% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[156] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 15% N/a N/a 53.5% 46.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[157] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 35% 30% 9% 10% 10% 5% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent[158][159][160] Australian Financial Review N/a 37% 28% 8% 15% N/a 12% 54% 46% N/a
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[163] N/a 484 36% 30% 9% 11% N/a 11%[bj] 52.5% 47.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[156][164] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11.5% N/a N/a 51.5% 48.5% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[165] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 39% 27% 9% 12% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[196][197] The Australian N/a 38% 29% 10% 9% N/a 14% 57% 43% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge/Accent[167][168] Australian Financial Review N/a 37% 32% 7% 12% N/a 12% 52% 48% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[169] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[170] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 36% 32% 10% 10% 7% 5% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54.5% 45.5% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[175][bd] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 34% 31% 11% 9% 8% 8% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jul 2025 DemosAU[178] N/a N/a 36% 28% 12% 9% N/a 15% 57% 43% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 39% 32% 8% N/a N/a 21% 54% 46% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[183] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55.5% 44.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[218] 31% 37% 8% 25% — — —
Close

By age

18–34

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 31% 16% 25% 11% 6% 11% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 31% 13% 31% 15% 3% 7% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 27% 12% 28% 17% 7% 10% N/a N/a N/a
23–30 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 35% 13% 26% 18% 4% 5% N/a N/a N/a
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 31% 13% 27% 19% 10% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov[204] Sky News Australia N/a 28% 10% 29% 15% 7% 11% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 May 2026 Roy Morgan[206] N/a N/a 31% 17% 23% 15.5% N/a 13.5% 65% 35% N/a
27 Apr – 3 May 2026 Roy Morgan[207] N/a N/a 24.5% 11.5% 31% 17% N/a 16% 73% 27% N/a
20–26 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[207] N/a N/a 33% 14.5% 25% 13% N/a 14.5% 71% 29% N/a
13–19 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[210] N/a N/a 33% 12% 27.% 15% N/a 12.5% 71.5% 28.5% N/a
6–12 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[211] N/a N/a 26.5% 15% 27.5% 19% N/a 12% 68% 32% N/a
30 Mar – 5 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[213] N/a N/a 26.5% 14% 27% 18.5% N/a 14% 69% 31% N/a
3–10 March 2026 YouGov[215] Sky News Australia N/a 31% 13% 30% 15% 4% 7% N/a N/a N/a
17–24 Feb 2026 YouGov[216] Sky News Australia N/a 35% 14% 29% 11% 3% 8% N/a N/a N/a
3–10 Feb 2026 YouGov[217] Sky News Australia N/a 36% 11% 28% 14% 3% 7% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a N/a 27.5% 16.5% N/a 1% 25.5% 15% N/a 14.5% 65.5% 34.5% N/a
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[111][112] The Guardian 302 31% 28% 17% 12% N/a 6% N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[113][114] N/a N/a 33% 16% 29% 13% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 67.5% 32.5% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[119] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 36% 22% 23% 8% 3% 7% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 67% 33% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[122][123] N/a N/a 27% 18% 29% 14% N/a 12% 62% 38% N/a
65% N/a 35%
N/a 68% 32%
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[124][125] N/a N/a 32% 19% 26% 12% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[128] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 32% 22% 21% 11% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a 32.5% 17% 26.5% 10% N/a 14% 69.5% 30.5% N/a
3–8 Dec 2025 Essential[132][133] N/a 472 38% 22% 19% 10% N/a 5%[bi] N/a N/a N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[134] N/a N/a 37% 21% 23% 8% 8% 3% N/a N/a N/a
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[137][138] N/a 316 36% 21% 21% 9% N/a 5%[bj] N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[194][195] The Australian N/a 36% 19% 26% 8% N/a 11% 67% 33% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a N/a 31.5% 19.5% 25% 8% N/a 16% 67% 33% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[146] N/a N/a 32% 19% 26% 11% N/a 12% 64% 36% N/a
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[151] N/a 299 39% 21% 18% 7% N/a 5% 60% 40% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[156] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 7% N/a N/a 69% 31% N/a
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[163] N/a 305 36% 20% 25% 7% N/a 5% 64.5% 35.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[156][164] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 8% N/a N/a 69% 31% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[165] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 40% 18% 22% 11% 6% 3% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[196][197] The Australian N/a 36% 18% 26% 7% N/a 13% 67% 33% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[169] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 71% 29% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[170] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 39% 24% 22% 6% 8% 2% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 69% 31% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[175] Sydney Morning Herald/The Age N/a 37% 18% 28% 5% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jul 2025 DemosAU[178] N/a N/a 39% 16% 31% 4% N/a 10% 73% 27% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 40% 19% 24% N/a N/a 17% 68% 32% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[183] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 70% 30% N/a
Close

35–49

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 28% 16% 13% 28% 4% 10% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 30% 20% 10% 25% 9% 6% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 31% 19% 12% 25% 7% 7% N/a N/a
23–30 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 29% 17% 14% 29% 5% 6% N/a N/a N/a
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 32% 17% 12% 30% 9% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov[204] Sky News Australia N/a 30% 20% 11% 28% 4% 7% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 May 2026 Roy Morgan[206] N/a N/a 29.5% 20% 14% 22.5% N/a 14% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
27 Apr – 3 May 2026 Roy Morgan[220] N/a N/a 38% 19% 11.5% 18.5% N/a 13% 64% 36% N/a
20–26 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[207] N/a N/a 29% 20% 16.5% 21.5% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
13–19 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[210] N/a N/a 29% 16.5% 16% 22% N/a 16.5% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
6–12 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[211] N/a N/a 30.5% 20% 14% 23.5% N/a 12% 58% 41.5% N/a
30 Mar – 5 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[213] N/a N/a 37.5% 19.5% 10.5% 20% N/a 12.5% 60.5% 39.5% N/a
3–10 Mar 2026 YouGov[215] Sky News Australia N/a 31% 17% 12% 25% 5% 10% N/a N/a N/a
17–24 Feb 2026 YouGov[216] Sky News Australia N/a 30% 21% 14% 23% 9% 4% N/a N/a N/a
3–10 Feb 2026 YouGov[217] Sky News Australia N/a 32% 17% 13% 25% 5% 7% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a N/a 31.5% 19% N/a 2.5% 13.5% 20% N/a 13.5% 58% 42% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 33% 16% 4% 2% 12% 19% 7% 7% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55% 45% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48.5% 51.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[122][123] N/a N/a 32% 24% 14% 19% N/a 11% 54% 46% N/a
58% N/a 42%
N/a 64% 36%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a 32.5% 23.5% 15.5% 15% N/a 13.5% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[194][195] The Australia N/a 37% 25% 13% 13% N/a 12% 58% 42% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[140] Climate Council N/a 36% 24% 13% 16% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a N/a 32% 24% 14.5% 14% N/a 15.5% 60% 40% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[156] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12.5% N/a N/a 60.5% 39.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[156][164] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9% N/a N/a 59% 41% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[196][197] The Australian N/a 38% 26% 14% 9% N/a 13% 60% 40% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[169] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 61% 39% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58% 42% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 37% 25% 11% N/a N/a 27% 57% 43% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[183] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 62.5% 37.5% N/a
Close

50–64

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 30% 22% 5% 32% 9% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 May 2026 Roy Morgan[206] N/a N/a 30% 25% 9.5% 26.5% N/a 9% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
27 Apr – 3 May 2026 Roy Morgan[220] N/a N/a 28.5% 26% 6.5% 28.5% N/a 10.5% 43.5% 56.5% N/a
20–26 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[207] N/a N/a 28.5% 20% 9% 33.5% N/a 9% 48% 52% N/a
13–19 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[210] N/a N/a 27% 29% 5.5% 28.5% N/a 10% 43% 57% N/a
6–12 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[211] N/a N/a 31% 20.5% 6% 29% N/a 13.5% 51.5% 48.5% N/a
30 Mar – 5 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[213] N/a N/a 31% 24% 6.5% 30.5% N/a 8% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
3–10 Mar 2026 YouGov[215] Sky News Australia N/a 27% 21% 5% 35% 7% 5% N/a N/a N/a
17–24 Feb 2026 YouGov[216] Sky News Australia N/a 27% 23% 6% 30% 6% 8% N/a N/a N/a
3–10 Feb 2026 YouGov[217] Sky News Australia N/a 27% 21% 5% 36% 5% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a N/a 31% 20.5% N/a 3.5% 8% 27% N/a 10% 51.5% 48.5% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 33% 9% 4% 1% 6% 35% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48% 52% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48.5% 51.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[122][123] The Daily Telegraph N/a 28% 23% 10% 28% N/a 11% 50% 50% N/a
51% N/a 49%
N/a 57% 43%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a 30.5% 29% 8% 20.5% N/a 12% 49.5% 50.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[194][195] The Australian N/a 39% 27% 6% 15% N/a 13% 55% 45% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[140] Climate Council N/a 32% 30% 7% 21% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a N/a 33.5% 26% 7.5% 18.5% N/a 14.5% 54% 46% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[156] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 16% N/a N/a 51% 49% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[156][164] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 10% N/a N/a 50.5% 49.5% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[196][197] The Australian N/a 36% 31% 5% 10% N/a 18% 53% 47% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[169] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 49.5% 50.5% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 53% 47% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 37% 34% 5% N/a N/a 24% 50% 50% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[183] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 53% 47% N/a
Close

65+

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 32% 25% 3% 31% 9% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 May 2026 Roy Morgan[206] N/a N/a 31% 37.5% 1.5% 23% 7% 41% 59% N/a
27 Apr – 3 May 2026 Roy Morgan[220] N/a N/a 26.5% 40% 3% 22.5% 8% 38% 62% N/a
20–26 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[207] N/a N/a 29% 35% 4.5% 22% 9% 41% 59% N/a
13–19 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[210] N/a N/a 34% 34% 3.5% 20.5% 8% 47.5% 52.5% N/a
6–12 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[211] N/a N/a 32.5% 33% 3% 25.5% 6% 45.5% 54.5% N/a
30 Mar – 5 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan[213] N/a N/a 27.5% 36.5% 5% 18% 13% 42.5% 57.5% N/a
17-24th Feb 2026 YouGov[215] Sky News Australia N/a 32% 30% 2% 27% 5% 5% N/a N/a N/a
17-24 Feb 2026 YouGov[216] Sky News Australia N/a 24% 33% 2% 32% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
3–10 Feb 2026 YouGov[217] Sky News Australia N/a 24% 27% 1% 37% 7% 4% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[106] N/a N/a 30% 28% N/a 4% 4% 24.5% 9.5% 42% 58% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[109] Sky News Australia N/a 23% 23% 6% 4% 1% 34% 5% 4% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[118] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 44.5% 55.5% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[121] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 44.5% 55.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[122][123] The Daily Telegraph N/a 28% 35% 4% 24% 9% 42% 58% N/a
47% N/a 53%
N/a 63% 37%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[129] N/a N/a 33% 37% 4.5% 16% 9.5% 45.5% 54.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[194][195] The Australian N/a 33% 33% 2% 18% 14% 48% 52% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[140] Climate Council N/a 31% 36% 3% 23% 5% 2% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[144] N/a N/a 34% 39% 3.5% 15% 8.5% 46% 54% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[156] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12% N/a N/a 48% 52% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[156][164] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 8.5% N/a N/a 44% 56% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[196][197] The Australian N/a 34% 40% 3% 11% 12% 46% 54% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[169] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 43.5% 56.5% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[174] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48% 52% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent[180] Australian Financial Review N/a 36% 44% 2% N/a 18% 45% 55% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[183] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48.5% 51.5% N/a
Close

By generation

Generation Z

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
18–24 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 33% 12% 27% 12% 4% 11% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 32% 14% 25% 7% 6% 16% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 31% 12% 35% 11% 3% 8% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 24% 9% 35% 14% 8% 10% N/a N/a N/a
23–30 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 35% 12% 31% 10% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov[204] Sky News Australia N/a 29% 7% 29% 10% 9% 15% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 May 2026 YouGov[205] Sky News Australia N/a 32% 10% 29% 12% 4% 13% N/a N/a N/a
28 Apr – 5 May 2026 YouGov[208] Sky News Australia N/a 31% 6% 39% 8% 6% 10% N/a N/a N/a
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[209] Sky News Australia N/a 27% 11% 32% 11% 6% 13% N/a N/a N/a
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[212] Sky News Australia N/a 28% 10% 34% 13% 7% 7% N/a N/a N/a
17–24 Mar 2026 YouGov[214] Sky News Australia N/a 32% 10% 32% 10% 6% 10% N/a N/a N/a
23–27 Feb 2026 RedBridge/Accent[89] Australian Financial Review N/a 30% 11% 4% 1% 32% 12% N/a 10% 65% 35% N/a
68% N/a 32%
22–29 Jan 2026 RedBridge/Accent[108] Australian Financial Review N/a 34% 11% 4% 0% 26% 11% N/a 14% 67% 33% N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[130] Australian Financial Review N/a 30% 26% 33% 5% N/a 6% 64% 36% N/a
7–13 Nov 2025 RedBridge/Accent[145] Australian Financial Review N/a 51% 10% 24% 5% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent[158][159][160] Australian Financial Review N/a 37% 16% 29% 6% N/a 12% 69% 31% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge/Accent[167][168] Australian Financial Review N/a 33.5% 17.5% 30.5% 5% N/a 13.5% 68% 32% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[218][221] 40.3% 27.2% 26.3% — — 6.1% — — —
Close

Millennials

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
18–24 Aug, 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 27% 16% 19% 24% 6% 8% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 Aug, 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 29% 17% 18% 21% 5% 10% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul, 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 30% 18% 14% 26% 5% 7% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul, 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 29% 17% 13% 25% 7% 8% N/a N/a N/a
June 23–30, 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 31% 13% 18% 29% 4% 5% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov[204] Sky News Australia N/a 28% 18% 17% 25% 4% 6% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 May 2026 YouGov[205] Sky News Australia N/a 28% 24% 17% 19% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
28 Apr – 5 May 2026 YouGov[208] Sky News Australia N/a 27% 22% 15% 24% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[209] Sky News Australia N/a 30% 15% 16% 27% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
31 Mar – 7th Apr 2026 YouGov[212] Sky News Australia N/a 33% 14% 14% 26% 6% 7% N/a N/a N/a
17–24 Mar 2026 YouGov[78] Sky News Australia N/a 28% 14% 17% 30% 4% 7% N/a N/a N/a
23–27 Feb 2026 RedBridge/Accent[89] Australian Financial Review N/a 30% 14% 2% 3% 14% 29% N/a 8% 55% 45% N/a
59% N/a 41%
22–29 Jan 2026 RedBridge/Accent[108] Australian Financial Review N/a 33% 18% 3% 2% 17% 18% N/a 9% 58% 42% N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[130] Australian Financial Review N/a 36% 18% 17% 16% N/a 13% 62% 38% N/a
7–13 Nov 2025 RedBridge/Accent[145] Australian Financial Review N/a 34% 23% 11% 18% N/a 14% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent[158][159][160] Australian Financial Review N/a 37% 24% 13% 13% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge/Accent[167][168] Australian Financial Review N/a 38% 26.5% 13.5% 9% N/a 13% 59% 41% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[218][221] 37.4% 20.8% 19.2% — — 22.5% — — —
Close

Generation X

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
18–24 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 28% 21% 6% 32% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 29% 19% 8% 31% 4% 9% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 27% 26% 9% 26% 6% 7% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 28% 21% 6% 30% 6% 9% N/a N/a N/a
23–30 Jun 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 27% 20% 6% 35% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov[204] Sky News Australia N/a 24% 18% 5% 42% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 May 2026 YouGov[205] Sky News Australia N/a 28% 19% 11% 32% 5% 4% N/a N/a N/a
28 Apr – 5 May 2026 YouGov[208] Sky News Australia N/a 32% 19% 11% 29% 5% 4% N/a N/a N/a
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[209] Sky News Australia N/a 25% 20% 10% 34% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[212] Sky News Australia N/a 26% 21% 8% 30% 7% 7% N/a N/a N/a
17–24 Mar 2026 YouGov[214] Sky News Australia N/a 27% 20% 7% 32% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
23–27 Feb 2026 RedBridge/Accent[89] Australian Financial Review N/a 34% 10% 4% 0% 7% 35% N/a 10% 54% 46% N/a
51% N/a 49%
22–29 Jan 2026 RedBridge/Accent[108] Australian Financial Review N/a 33% 6% 4% 2% 8% 35% N/a 12% 55% 45% N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[130] Australian Financial Review N/a 41% 26% 8% 19% N/a 6% 56% 44% N/a
7–13 Nov 2025 RedBridge/Accent[145][222] Australian Financial Review N/a 38% 22% N/a 4% 6% 20% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent[158][159][160] Australian Financial Review N/a 36% 31% 7% 15% N/a 11% 51% 49% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge/Accent[167][168] Australian Financial Review N/a 34% 32% 6.5% 14.5% N/a 13% 49.5% 50.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[218][221] 33.7% 31.1% 6.4% — — 28.8% — — —
Close

Baby boomers

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
18–24 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 29% 29% 2% 31% 4% 5% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 25% 30% 3% 31% 5% 6% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 29% 24% 3% 31% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 30% 27% 3% 30% 6% 4% N/a N/a N/a
23–30 June 2026 YouGov Sky News Australia N/a 26% 20% 4% 39% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov[204] Sky News Australia N/a 25% 28% 6% 34% 5% 2% N/a N/a N/a
12–19 May 2026 YouGov[205] Sky News Australia N/a 25% 30% 4% 30% 5% 6% N/a N/a N/a
28 Apr – 5 May 2026 YouGov[208] Sky News Australia N/a 30% 27% 4% 29% 5% 5% N/a N/a N/a
14–21 Apr 2026 YouGov[209] Sky News Australia N/a 28% 30% 3% 32% 4% 4% N/a N/a N/a
31 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 YouGov[212] Sky News Australia N/a 30% 30% 4% 27% 6% 4% N/a N/a N/a
17–24 Mar 2026 YouGov[214] Sky News Australia N/a 32% 27% 3% 30% 5% 2% N/a N/a N/a
23–27 Feb 2026 RedBridge/Accent[89] Australian Financial Review N/a 32% 17% 6% 2% 2% 33% N/a 8% 45% 55% N/a
45% N/a 55%
22–29 Jan 2026 RedBridge/Accent[108] Australian Financial Review N/a 35% 14% 5% 2% 1% 35% N/a 8% 49% 51% N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[130] Australian Financial Review N/a 33% 32% 3% 22% N/a 10% 46.5% 53.5% N/a
7–13 Nov 2025 RedBridge/Accent[145] Australian Financial Review N/a 34% 30% 3% 24% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent[158][159][160] Australian Financial Review N/a 31% 37% 4% 17% N/a 11% 45% 55% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge/Accent[167][168] Australian Financial Review N/a 34% 38% 1.5% 14% N/a 12.5% 45.5% 54.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[218][221] 30.2% 44.5% 3.9% — — 21.3% — — —
Close

By language

Only English spoken at home

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
1–8 Sept 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 26% 18% 11% 31% 6% 8% N/a N/a N/a
18–24 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 28% 21% 11% 27% 6% 8% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 27% 22% 11% 27% 5% 8% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 27% 22% 12% 28% 5% 6% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov[24] Sky News Australia N/a 28% 20% 11% 28% 6% 8% N/a N/a N/a
3–8 Jul 2026 DemosAU[223] Capital Brief N/a 24% 22% 12% 31% 11% N/a N/a N/a
23–30 Jun 2026 YouGov[29] Sky News Australia N/a 29% 17% 13% 31% 6% 4% N/a N/a N/a
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 31% 19% 11% 29% 10% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jun 2026 DemosAU[35] Capital Brief N/a 25% 18% 11% 33% 13% N/a N/a N/a
May 26 – Jun 2 2026 YouGov[204] Sky News Australia N/a 26% 20% 14% 30% 5% 6% N/a N/a N/a
15–20 May 2026 DemosAU[48] Capital Brief N/a 23% 23% 12% 31% 11% N/a N/a N/a
Close

Other language spoken at home

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
1–8 Sept 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 26% 21% 14% 24% 9% 6% N/a N/a N/a
18–24 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 34% 22% 15% 22% 2% 6% N/a N/a N/a
4–10 Aug 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 32% 22% 16% 13% 7% 11% N/a N/a N/a
21–28 Jul 2026 YouGov News24 N/a 35% 20% 20% 12% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
7–14 Jul 2026 YouGov[24] Sky News Australia N/a 30% 20% 16% 18% 9% 7% N/a N/a N/a
3–8 Jul 2026 DemosAU[224] Capital Brief N/a 37% 19% 19% 19% 6% N/a N/a N/a
23–30 Jun 2026 YouGov[29] Sky News Australia N/a 34% 16% 12% 24% 7% 7% N/a N/a N/a
12 Apr – 26 Jun 2026 Newspoll[191] The Australian N/a 32% 19% 16% 21% 12% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jun 2026 DemosAU[35] Capital Brief N/a 35% 16% 21% 21% 7% N/a N/a N/a
26 May – 2 Jun 2026 YouGov[204] Sky News Australia N/a 33% 18% 9% 27% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
15–20 May 2026 DemosAU[48] Capital Brief N/a 39% 24% 14% 18% 5% N/a N/a N/a
Close

Hypothetical scenarios

Hypothetical leadership scenarios

With Barnaby Joyce as One Nation leader

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Interview
mode		 Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
15–20 May 2026 DemosAU[48] Capital Brief Online 1,502 28% 27% 14% 21% 10% N/a N/a N/a
3 May 2025 Election[126] 34.6% 31.8% 12.2% 6.4% 7.4% 7.6% 55.2% 44.8% —
Close

Hypothetical new parties

Including "Teal Party"

More information Date, Polling firm ...
Date Polling firm Client Interview
mode		 Sample
size		 Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP TEAL
(CSA)		 IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB LNP NAT
25–26 May 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[44] The Daily Telegraph Online 1,700 26% 26% 9% 26% 6%[bk] 7% N/a N/a N/a
3 May 2025 Election[126] 34.6% 31.8% 12.2% 6.4% — 7.4% 7.6% 55.2% 44.8% —
Close

See also

Notes

  1. [a]
    Some polls may include support for Independents (IND) or Community Strong Australia (CSA).
  2. [b]
    7% Independent, 2% Community Strong Australia and 5% Other
  3. [c]
    Undecided 5% and Other 6%
  4. [d]
    5% Independent, 2% Community Strong Australia and 5% Other
  5. [e]
    7% Independent and 4% Other
  6. [f]
    5% Independent, 2% Community Strong Australia and 7% Other
  7. [g]
    8% Independent, 4% Other and 2% Undecided
  8. [h]
    6% Independent. 1% Community Strong Australia and 5% Other
  9. [i]
    6% Other and 4% Undecided
  10. [j]
    6% Independent, 2% Community Strong Australia and 6% Other
  11. [k]
    6% Independent and 5% Other
  12. [l]
    6% Independent and 5% Other
  13. [m]
    5% Other and 5% Undecided
  14. [n]
    7% Independent and 5% Other
  15. [o]
    7% Independent and 5% Other
  16. [p]
    6% Independent and 6% Other
  17. [q]
    6% Independent, 1% Other and 12% Undecided
  18. [r]
    5% Other and 4% Undecided
  19. [s]
    5% Independent and 6% Other
  20. [t]
    7% Independent and 5% Other
  21. [u]
    5% Independent and 6% Other
  22. [v]
    5% Other and 5% Undecided
  23. [w]
    5% Independent and 7% Other
  24. [x]
    6% Independent and 5% Other
  25. [y]
    6% Independent and 7% Other
  26. [z]
    6% Independent and 6% Other
  27. [aa]
    5% Other and 7% Undecided
  28. [ab]
    5% Independent and 6% Other
  29. [ac]
    8% Independent and 5% Other
  30. [ad]
    5% Independent and 7% Other
  31. [ae]
    Australia imports little oil directly from the strait, but its supply of refined oil comes from countries who are themselves dependent on crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz.[86]
  32. [af]
    4% for the Liberal National Party of Queensland vote distributed between both Liberal and National
  33. [ag]
    5% for the Liberal National Party of Queensland vote distributed between both Liberal and National
  34. [ah]
    6% Independent and 6% Other
  35. [ai]
    7% Other and 4% Undecided
  36. [aj]
    Two-party-preferred vote calculated after the exclusion of "undecided".
  37. [ak]
    Respondents were asked: "If the Liberal Party did vote to change their leader from Sussan Ley to Angus Taylor this week, who would then receive your first preference if an election were held with Angus Taylor as the new Liberal leader?"[98]
  38. [al]
    7% Independent and 5% Other
  39. [am]
    8% Independent and 5% Other
  40. [an]
    4% for the Liberal National Party of Queensland vote distributed between both Liberal and National
  41. [ao]
    5% Independent and 6% Other
  42. [ap]
    4% for the Liberal National Party of Queensland vote distributed between both Liberal and National
  43. [aq]
    4% for the Liberal National Party of Queensland vote distributed between both Liberal and National
  44. [ar]
    6% Independent and 6% Other
  45. [as]
    0% Trumpet of Patriots, 7% Other and 6% Undecided
  46. [at]
    7% Independent and 7% Other
  47. [au]
    DemosAU produced an estimated ALP/ONP TPP using the following assumptions:[125]
    • L/NP preferences would flow 82.9% to ONP and 17.1% ALP (as in the 2025 election for the Division of Hunter).
    • GRN preferences would flow 88.2% to ALP and 11.8% ONP (as in the 2025 federal election between the ALP and L/NP, but replacing L/NP with ONP).
    • All other preferences split evenly between ALP and ONP.
  48. [av]
    7.6% Independents and 7.4% Other
  49. [aw]
    5% undecided
  50. [ax]
    6% undecided
  51. [ay]
    20% for the Liberal Party and 4% for the National Party (with the Liberal National Party of Queensland vote distributed between both).[145]
  52. [az]
    7% undecided
  53. [ba]
    Primary and 2PP vote sum is less than 100 due to rounding.
  54. [bb]
    Commissioned by The Australia Institute.
  55. [bc]
    8% undecided.
  56. [bd]
    Primary and 2PP vote sum is greater than 100 due to rounding.
  57. [be]
    9% undecided.
  58. [bf]
    10% undecided.
  59. [bg]
    Including 0.5% for the National Party.
  60. [bh]
    Including 1% for the National Party.
  61. [bi]
    Including 1% for Trumpet of Patriots
  62. [bj]
    Including 2% for Trumpet of Patriots
  63. [bk]
    Referred to as a 'Teal-style political party'

References

External links

Related Articles

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Top Qs

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