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2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

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The 2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Primary elections will be held on September 1, 2026. Incumbent two-term Democratic U.S. senator Ed Markey, who was re-elected in 2020 with 66.2% of the vote, is running for a third full term. Republicans have not won a Senate election in Massachusetts since 2010.

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

 2020
November 3, 2026
2032 
 
Nominee TBD John Deaton (presumptive)
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Ed Markey
Democratic



Close

Markey, who will be 80 years old at the time of the 2026 election, has faced calls to retire due to his age.[1] Markey did announce that if reelected, that will be his last term. His main primary challenger, U.S. representative Seth Moulton, has criticized Markey's choice to run for re-election rather than retire throughout the campaign.[2] Moulton has also expressed support for a constitutional amendment creating an age limit for members of Congress.[3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Eliminated in convention

  • William F. Gates Jr., professor and architect[7]

Withdrawn

  • Alex Rikleen, history teacher (endorsed Markey)[8][9]

Declined

Endorsements


Ed Markey
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
  • Ken Burns, filmmaker[29]
  • Alex Rikleen, history teacher and former candidate for this seat[9]
Labor unions
Organizations
Political parties
Seth Moulton
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Statewide officials

Fundraising

Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate

More information Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ed Markey (D) $7,548,510 $6,972,838 $2,227,616
Seth Moulton (D) $5,651,172 $4,886,638 $2,614,871
Alex Rikleen (D) $79,333 $77,343 $1,989
Source: Federal Election Commission[72]
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Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ed
Markey
Seth
Moulton
Alex
Rikleen
Undecided[a] Margin
270toWin[73] April 15–May 7, 2026 May 26, 2026 43.3% 31.7% 3.5% 21.5% Markey +11.6%
Race to the WH[74] through August 12, 2026 August 17, 2026 55.2% 32.4% 2.0% 10.4%[b] Markey +22.8%
Average 49.3% 32.1% 2.8% 16.0% Markey +17.2%
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More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey
Seth
Moulton
Alex
Rikleen
Other Undecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov[75][76][A] August 5–12, 2026 445 (LV) ± 5.8% 60%[d] 32% 2%[e] 7%
54% 28% 1%[f] 17%
University of New Hampshire[77] June 18–23, 2026 370 (LV) ± 5.1% 41% 35% 1% 23%
Emerson College[78] May 3–4, 2026 451 (LV) ± 4.5% 37% 32% 1% 1%[g] 29%
University of New Hampshire[79] April 16–20, 2026 353 (LV) ± 5.2% 46% 33% 6% 15%
Suffolk University[80][B] April 9–13, 2026 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 47% 30% 20%
University of New Hampshire[81] February 12–16, 2026 352 (LV) ± 5.2% 35% 23% 7% 5%[h] 30%
Suffolk University[82][B] November 19–23, 2025 226 (LV) ± 6.5% 45% 22% 33%
University of New Hampshire[83] November 13–17, 2025 343 (LV) ± 5.3% 34% 25% 2% 3%[i] 35%
Data for Progress (D)[84] October 23–26, 2025 652 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 34% 13%
UMass Amherst/YouGov[75][A] October 21–29, 2025 416 (LV) ± 6.1% 51%[d] 28% 6% 1%[f] 14%
44% 25% 5% 1%[f] 25%
Close
Hypothetical polling
Ed Markey vs. Seth Moulton vs. Ayanna Pressley
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey
Seth
Moulton
Ayanna
Pressley
Other Undecided
Suffolk University[82][B] November 19–23, 2025 226 (LV) ± 6.5% 34% 16% 35% 15%
Close
Ed Markey vs. Seth Moulton vs. Ayanna Pressley vs. Alex Rikleen
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey
Seth
Moulton
Ayanna
Pressley
Alex
Rikleen
Other Undecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov[75][A] October 21–29, 2025 416 (LV) ± 6.1% 35%[d] 25% 21% 5% 1%[f] 19%
31% 24% 20% 4% 1%[f] 24%
Close
Seth Moulton vs. Ayanna Pressley vs. Michelle Wu vs. Joseph P. Kennedy III vs. Jake Auchincloss vs. Alex Rikleen
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Seth
Moulton
Ayanna
Pressley
Michelle
Wu
Joseph P.
Kennedy III
Jake
Auchincloss
Alex
Rikleen
Other Undecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov[75][A] October 21–29, 2025 416 (LV) ± 6.1% 29%[d] 24% 19% 11% 6% 6% 1%[f] 4%
26% 23% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1%[f] 16%
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Debates

As of June 2026, three debates are scheduled to be held between Markey and Moulton.[85]

More information No., Date ...
Democratic primary debates
No. Date Hosts Moderator Link Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Ed Markey Seth Moulton
1 July 8, 2026[86] WWLP Patrick Berry YouTube P P
2 August 3, 2026[87] WBUR-FM
WGBH-TV
The Boston Globe
Ed Harding YouTube P P
3 August 20, 2026[88] Boston 25 News
WGBH-TV
El Planeta
The Bay State Banner
TBA TBA I I
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Results

Candidates must win at least 15% at the party convention in order to make it onto the primary ballot. The convention decides which candidate gets the party's endorsement for the primary election while the primary decides the party nominee for the general election.[60]

Convention results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic convention vote, May 30[60]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Markey 2,744 72.9%
Democratic Seth Moulton 1,018 27.1%
Total votes 3,762 100.0%
Close

Republican primary

Candidates

Presumptive nominee

Eliminated at convention or did not file

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

John Deaton

Fundraising

Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.

More information Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nathan Bech (R) $80,010 $56,107 $28,676
John Deaton (R) $1,498,521 $771,957 $726,603
Source: Federal Election Commission[72]
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Third parties and independents

Party for Socialism and Liberation

Candidates

Declared

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2026, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of August 12, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Joe Tache (PSL) $147,751 $116,834 $30,916
Source: Federal Election Commission[72]
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Independents

Candidates

Declared
Filed paperwork
  • Morgan Dawicki[99]
  • Philip Peter Devincentis, Jr.[100]

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Morgan Dawicki (I) $16,497 $7,308 $3,997
Source: Federal Election Commission[72]
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[101] Solid D April 13, 2026
Decision Desk HQ[102] Safe D July 14, 2026
The Economist[103][j] Safe D May 22, 2026
FiftyPlusOne[104] Safe D August 3, 2026
Fox News[105] Solid D July 21, 2026
Inside Elections[106] Solid D April 23, 2026
Race To The WH[107] Safe D May 22, 2026
RealClearPolitics[108] Solid D May 19, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[109] Safe D March 4, 2026
Silver Bulletin[110] Solid D August 11, 2026
Close

Debates

In May 2026, months before the primary, Republican presumptive nominee John Deaton challenged the two main Democratic candidates, incumbent senator Ed Markey and representative Seth Moulton, to a three-way debate. Moulton agreed to the debate, which was scheduled for June. Markey did not attend the debate.[111]

More information No., Date ...
Interparty pre-primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Ed Markey Seth Moulton John Deaton
1 June 16, 2026[111] WBZ-TV Jon Keller C-SPAN A P P
Close

Polling

Ed Markey vs. John Deaton
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey (D)
John
Deaton (R)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[77] June 18–23, 2026 623 (LV) ± 3.8% 50% 34% 16%
Suffolk University[112][B] June 8–12, 2026 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 55% 30% 1%[k] 14%
University of New Hampshire[79] April 16–20, 2026 603 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 32% 1%[l] 12%
University of New Hampshire[81] February 12–16, 2026 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 56% 27% 2%[m] 15%
Cygnal (R)[113][C] January 22–25, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 30% 16%
Suffolk University[82][B] November 19–23, 2025 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 54% 31% 15%
SurveyUSA[114][D] February 28 – March 4, 2025 775 (RV) 45% 26% 30%
Close
Seth Moulton vs. John Deaton
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Seth
Moulton (D)
John
Deaton (R)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[77] June 18–23, 2026 623 (LV) ± 3.8% 50% 30% 1% 19%
Suffolk University[112][B] June 8–12, 2026 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 26% 2%[n] 18%
University of New Hampshire[79] April 16–20, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 25% 1%[l] 18%
University of New Hampshire[81] February 12–16, 2026 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 59% 23% 2%[m] 16%
Suffolk University[82][B] November 19–23, 2025 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 52% 29% 19%
Close
Hypothetical polling
Ed Markey vs. Charlie Baker
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
Other Undecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov[115][A] February 14–20, 2025 700 (A) ± 4.8% 35% 33% 33%
MassINC Polling Group[116] October 29 – November 1, 2024 582 (LV) ± 4.9% 34% 40% 7%[o] 19%
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Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. William Francis Gates with 1.8%
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. "Would not vote" with 2%
  6. "Would not vote" with 1%
  7. William Gates with 1%
  8. "Another candidate" with 4%; William Francis Gates with 1%
  9. 'Write in someone else' with 3%
  10. The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
  11. "Refused" with 1%
  12. "Another candidate" with 1%
  13. "Another candidate with 2%
  14. "Refused" with 2%
  15. "Would not vote for Senate" & "Another candidate" with 3%; "Prefer not to say" with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by WCVB
  2. Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
  3. Poll sponsored by Deaton's campaign
  4. Poll sponsored by the Massachusetts Responsible Alliance

References

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