2026 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

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The 2026 United States Senate election in Oklahoma will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Oklahoma. Incumbent Senator Alan Armstrong, who was appointed after the resignation of former Senator Markwayne Mullin, cannot seek a full term due to his agreement when taking the seat. Mullin was first elected in a 2022 special election triggered by the impending resignation of Jim Inhofe. Mullin initially announced that he was planning to seek his first full term in office, but in March 2026, President Donald Trump announced that Mullin would be his next nominee for secretary of homeland security; Mullin subsequently resigned the seat to take that position. Primary elections were held on June 16, 2026, and in races where no candidate receives over 50% of the vote, runoff elections will take place on August 25, 2026.

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2026 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

November 3, 2026 (2026-11-03)
2032 
 
Nominee Kevin Hern TBD
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Alan S. Armstrong[a]
Republican



Close

Background

A United States Senate election in Oklahoma is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Oklahoma. Primary elections are scheduled for June 16 with a potential runoff election set for August 25 if no candidate receives over 50 percent of the vote in June. The candidate filing deadline was April 3.[1] If only one candidate files for a party's nomination, they are declared the nominee.[2]

The seat was originally held by Jim Inhofe, who was last elected in 2020. Two years later, in 2022, then-Congressman Markwayne Mullin won a special election to finish Inhofe's term after Inhofe had announced his resignation at the end of the 117th Congress.[3] After Donald Trump won the 2024 United States presidential election, Mullin was rumored as a contender for secretary of the interior.[4] Mullin's resignation would have affected the gubernatorial election, as governor Kevin Stitt would have appointed a replacement who must sign a potentially unenforceable[b] oath promising not to run for reelection in 2026.[5] Mullin was ultimately not nominated as the secretary of interior.[6] However, in March 2026, Mullin was named as Trump's pick to replace secretary of homeland security Kristi Noem[7] and was confirmed on March 23, 2026.[8]

Interim appointment

Mullin was confirmed as the secretary of homeland security[8] and resigned as senator on March 23, 2026. Governor Kevin Stitt was required to appoint a replacement within 30 days. He stated the appointee would serve the remainder of the current term until January 3, 2027, though state law provides that the appointment lasts only until the November election is certified by the Oklahoma State Election Board.[9] The interim appointee must have been a registered Republican for the past five years,[10] and they would have to sign an oath stating they will not run in the 2026 election.[11] On March 24, 2026, Governor Stitt announced that oil and gas executive Alan Armstrong would replace Mullin; Armstrong was sworn in by senator Chuck Grassley later that day.[12][13]

Republican primary

Candidates

On March 5, 2026, Trump announced that Mullin would replace Homeland Security secretary Kristi Noem at the end of the month. Mullin was confirmed by the Senate on March 23, 2026.[8]

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Ineligible

Endorsements

Nick Hankins
Kevin Hern
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Markwayne Mullin (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
Organizations
Declined to endorse
U.S. senators

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kevin Hern (R) $8,284,047 $67,761 $8,216,286
Source: Federal Election Commission[40]
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Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
William Sean
Buckner
Gary Ty
England
Nick
Hankins
Kevin
Hern
Brian
Ragain
Undecided
JMC Analytics (R)[41] June 2–3, 2026 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 2% 8% 1% 41% 4% 44%
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Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Stephanie
Bice
Kevin
Hern
Kevin
Stitt
Undecided
Pulse Decision Science (R)[42][A] March 7–9, 2026 510 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 40% 8%
37% 49% 14%
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Hern 267,115 69.76%
Republican Gary Ty England 51,857 13.54%
Republican Sean Buckner 26,425 6.90%
Republican Brian Ragain 22,466 5.87%
Republican Nick Hankins 15,052 3.93%
Total votes 382,915 100.00
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Advanced to runoff

Eliminated in primary

  • R.O. Joe Cassity Jr., attorney and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[15]
  • Troy Green, founder and president of Safe Haven[16][15]
  • Ervin Yen, former Republican state senator for the 40th district (2015–2019), and independent candidate for governor in 2022[15]

Endorsements

Jim Priest
Statewide elected officials

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Troy Green (D) $22,600 $15,373 $7,227
Jim Priest (D) $203,272 $68,438 $134,834
N'Kiyla "Jasmine" Thomas (D) $39,009 $36,270 $3,674
Source: Federal Election Commission[40]
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic N'kiyla Jasmine Thomas 76,271 45.18%
Democratic Jim Priest 40,282 23.86%
Democratic Troy W. Green 33,472 19.83%
Democratic Ervin Stone Yen 11,357 6.73%
Democratic R. O. Joe Cassity Jr. 7,420 4.40%
Total votes 168,802 100.00
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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Ron Meinhardt, executive director of Entering Wedge Media (previously ran as a Republican)[15][16]
  • Curtis Stinnett, pharmacist[15][47]

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
Inside Elections[48] Solid R April 23, 2026
Race To The WH[49] Safe R May 22, 2026
RealClearPolitics[50] Solid R May 19, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[51] Safe R March 4, 2026
The Cook Political Report[52] Solid R April 13, 2026
The Economist[53][e] Likely R May 22, 2026
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Notes

  1. Incumbent Markwayne Mullin was nominated by President Donald Trump as the nominee of United States Secretary of Homeland Security. He vacated his Senate seat and governor Kevin Stitt appointed Armstrong as interim successor.
  2. While state law requires the appointee to sign an oath promising not to run for the following term, federal law may prevent its enforcement. The oath could lead to litigation if an appointee challenges the law.[5]
  3. Armstrong is prohibited from running for a full term by state law.
  4. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by Club for Growth

References

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