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2026 United States Senate election in Rhode Island
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2026 United States Senate election in Rhode Island will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Rhode Island. Democratic incumbent Jack Reed is seeking a sixth term. He is being challenged by Republican former state party committee member Raymond McKay.
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November 3, 2026
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Primary elections were held on September 9. Reed won the Democratic nomination with 76.8% vote against minimal opposition. In the Republican primary, McKay ran unopposed.
Republicans have not won a Senate election in Rhode Island since 2000.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Gina Raimondo, former U.S. secretary of commerce (2021–2025) and governor of Rhode Island (2015–2021)[4]
Endorsements
Jack Reed
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Jack Reed (D) | $4,213,768 | $2,580,394 | $3,642,761 |
| Connor Burbridge (D) | $18,752 | $14,887 | $3,865 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[15] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Connor Burbridge |
Jack Reed |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[16] | August 20–24, 2026 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 18% | 54% | 2%[b] | 26% |
| Embold Research[17][A] | August 3–11, 2026 | (LV) | — | 12% | 61% | 6%[c] | 20% |
| University of New Hampshire[18] | June 18–23, 2026 | 337 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 25% | 63% | – | 12% |
| University of New Hampshire[19] | April 16–20, 2026 | 323 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 15% | 65% | – | 20% |
Results
Reed
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jack Reed (incumbent) | 98,473 | 76.8 | |
| Democratic | Connor Burbridge | 17,192 | 13.4 | |
| Democratic | Luis Daniel Muñoz | 12,529 | 9.8 | |
| Total votes | 128,194 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Raymond McKay, former member of the Rhode Island Republican Party State Central Committee, former president of the Rhode Island Republican Assembly, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2024[20]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Raymond McKay (R) | $163,438 | $161,032 | $2,745 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[15] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Raymond McKay | 20,354 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 20,354 | 100.0 | ||
Independents
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Solid D | August 20, 2026 |
| Decision Desk HQ[24] | Safe D | August 28, 2026 |
| The Economist[25][d] | Safe D | August 31, 2026 |
| FiftyPlusOne[26] | Safe D | August 30, 2026 |
| Fox News[27] | Solid D | August 18, 2026 |
| Inside Elections[28] | Solid D | August 6, 2026 |
| Race to the WH[29] | Safe D | August 30, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics[30] | Solid D | August 27, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] | Safe D | August 26, 2026 |
| Silver Bulletin[32] | Solid D | August 21, 2026 |
| Split Ticket[33] | Safe D | August 31, 2026 |
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Jack Reed (D) |
Raymond McKay (R) |
Other/ Undecided[e] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH[34] | through August 24, 2026 | September 11, 2026 | 50.0% | 32.2% | 17.8% | Reed +17.8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jack Reed (D) |
Raymond McKay (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[16] | August 20–24, 2026 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 31% | 6%[f] | 13% |
| University of New Hampshire[18] | June 18–23, 2026 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 35% | 1%[g] | 12% |
| University of New Hampshire[19] | April 16–20, 2026 | 556 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 34% | 2%[h] | 12% |
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Luis Daniel Muñoz with 2%
- Luis Daniel Muñoz with 4%; "Would not vote" with 2%
- The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Michael Bahry (I) with 4%; "Write in someone else" with 2%
- "Another candidate" with 1%
- "Another candidate" with 2%
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Pell Center for International Relations and Public Policy.