2027 Guatemalan general election
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General elections will be held in Guatemala in June 2027 to elect the president and vice president, all 160 seats in Congress, all 20 Guatemalan members of the Central American Parliament, and mayors and councils for all the country's 340 municipalities, with a second round of the presidential elections to be held in August if no candidate wins a majority in the first round. Incumbent President Bernardo Arévalo is constitutionally prohibited from running for a second four-year term.[3][4]
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June and August 2027 (presumptive)
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All 160 seats in Congress 81 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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It is expected that the ruling party's legislative coalition will seek to reform the Electoral Law.[5]
Electoral system
President
The President of Guatemala is elected using the two-round system.[6]
Congress
The 160 members of Congress are elected by two methods; 130 are elected from 22 multi-member constituencies based on the departments, with the remaining 31 elected from a single nationwide constituency. Seats are elected using closed list proportional representation, with seats allocated using the D'Hondt method.[6]
| District | Seats |
|---|---|
| Alta Verapaz | 9 |
| Baja Verapaz | 2 |
| Chimaltenango | 5 |
| Chiquimula | 3 |
| El Progreso | 2 |
| Escuintla | 6 |
| Guatemala | 19 |
| Guatemala City | 11 |
| Huehuetenango | 10 |
| Izabal | 3 |
| Jalapa | 3 |
| Jutiapa | 4 |
| National List | 32 |
| Petén | 4 |
| Quetzaltenango | 7 |
| Quiché | 8 |
| Retalhuleu | 3 |
| Sacatepéquez | 3 |
| San Marcos | 9 |
| Santa Rosa | 3 |
| Sololá | 3 |
| Suchitepéquez | 5 |
| Totonicapán | 4 |
| Zacapa | 2 |
| Total | 160 |
Presidential candidates
Expressed interest
- Fausto Arimany, businessman and economist; (Valor)[7]
- Roberto Arzú, businessman; (Cabal)[8]
- Napoleón Barrientos, former minister of the Interior; (Nosotros)[9]
- Neto Bran, current mayor of Mixco; (Commitment, Renewal and Order)[10]
- Armando Castillo, former member of Congress; (Vision with Values)[8]
- Isaac Farchi, former member of Congress; (Change)[11]
- Sergio Madrazo, lawyer; (Todos)[12]
- Hugo Peña, political advisor; (Elephant Community)[13]
- Carlos Pineda, businessman and internet personality; (Serve)[14][8]
- Nery Ramos, former president of Congress; (Firmes)[8][15]
- Running mate: Evelyn Morataya, current member of Congress[15]
- Giovanni Reyes, economist; (Blue Party)[16]
- Sandra Torres, former First Lady of Guatemala; (National Unity of Hope)[17]
Potential candidates
- Anabella Giracca, current minister of Education; (Roots)[18]
- Patricia Orantes, current minister of Environment; (Roots)[18]
- Abelardo Pinto, current minister of Social Development (potentially Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity)[19]
- Carlos Ruiz, former professional footballer[20]
- Martín Toc, former president of 48 cantones de Totonicapán[21]
Declined candidatures
- Erick Cano, former military (Victory);[22]
- Hugo Sarceño, current mayor of Puerto Barrios; (Bienestar Nacional)[23]
- Sandra Jovel, current member of Congress; (Force for Guatemala)[24]
Congress
| Party | Current legislative leader | 2023 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Image | Name | Votes (%) | Seats | ||
| Vamos | .jpg) |
Allan Rodríguez | 15.06% | 39 / 160 | |
| National Unity of Hope |  |
José Inés Castillo | 12.90% | 28 / 160 | |
| Movimiento Semilla | _(cropped).jpg) |
José Carlos Sanabria | 11.72% | 23 / 160 | |
| Cabal | |
Luis Aguirre | 8.90% | 18 / 160 | |
| Vision with Values | |
Edín de Jesús | 6.92% | 11 / 160 | |
| Valor | |
Elmer Palencia | 5.51% | 10 / 160 | |
| Unionist Party | .jpg) |
Álvaro Arzú Escobar | 2 / 160 | ||
| Todos | .jpg) |
Felipe Alejos | 4.05% | 6 / 160 | |
| Will, Opportunity and Solidarity | .jpg) |
Orlando Blanco | 4.47% | 4 / 160 | |
| Bienestar Nacional | .jpg) |
Fidel Reyes Lee | 2.70% | 4 / 160 | |
| Nosotros | .jpg){kind=small} |
Nadia de León Torres | 3.15% | 3 / 160 | |
| Victory | .jpg) |
Juan Carlos Rivera | 3.00% | 3 / 160 | |
| Commitment, Renewal and Order | |
Cristian Álvarez | 2.03% | 3 / 160 | |
| Blue Party | _(cropped).jpg) |
Jorge Mario Villagrán | 2.36% | 2 / 160 | |
| Elephant Community | |
Rodrigo Pellecer | 2.29% | 2 / 160 | |
| Winaq | .jpg) |
Sonia Gutiérrez | 3.21% | 1 / 160 | |
| Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity | |
TBA | |||
| Change | |
Esduin Javier | 1.26% | 1 / 160 | |
Opinion polls
Opinion polls before candidate registration
- Political parties that are crossed out are not active or have been cancelled; and political parties in italics refer to those that are in formation.
- * Tentative candidate; unconfirmed
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Roberto Arzú |
Neto Bran |
Armando Castillo |
Anabella Giracca* |
Edmond Mulet |
Hugo Peña |
Carlos Pineda |
Nery Ramos |
Zury Ríos |
Sandra Torres |
Others | No one |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cabal | CREO | VIVA | Roots | XGuate | CE | Serve | Firmes | Unionist | UNE | |||||
| Estudio Electoral[25] | 27 July–1 August 2026 | 3,000 | 15.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 11.6% | 3.5%[b] | 31.3% |
| Datos Duros[26] | 18–23 July 2026 | 780 | 18.0% | 7.5% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 9.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 40.0% |
| Estudio Electoral[27] | 27 June–2 July 2026 | 3,000 | 14.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 5.3% | 12.0% | 3.9%[c] | 38.9% |
| Estudio Electoral[28] | 26–30 May 2026 | 3,000 | 16.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 15.5% | 1.8%[d] | 34.2% |
| CID-Gallup[29] | c. May 2026 | 1,200 | 13.0% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 23.0% | N/a | N/a | 27.0% | 7.0%[e] | 30.0% |
Notes
- Arévalo was elected by Movimiento Semilla, but the party was dissolved de facto in 2023[1] and de jure in 2026.[2]
- 2.1%: Fausto Arimany (Valor)
1.3%: Sandra Jovel (Force)
0.3%: Óscar Castañeda (PODER)
0.1%: Óscar Cruz (Jaguar)
0.1%: Manuel Conde Orellana (Vamos) - 1.0%: Manuel Conde Orellana (Vamos)
0.8%: Óscar Castañeda (PODER) - 7.0%: Thelma Aldana (Ind.)