2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.
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November 3, 2020
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All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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In what was considered an upset, the Republican Party retook the two seats that it lost to the Democrats in 2018, expanding its 14–13 majority to 16–11.[1][2]
Statewide
District 1
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November 3, 2020
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  Gaetz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ehr: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district encompasses the western Panhandle, and includes all of Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Walton counties, as well as part of Holmes County. The district includes the cities of Pensacola, Fort Walton Beach, and Navarre. Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Greg Merk, retired United States Air Force officer[4]
- John Mills, retired United States Navy pilot and candidate for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2016 and 2018[4]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 87,457 | 80.9 | |
| Republican | John Mills | 10,383 | 9.6 | |
| Republican | Greg Merk | 10,227 | 9.5 | |
| Total votes | 108,067 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Phil Ehr, retired United States Navy commander and candidate for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2018[6]
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Declared
- Albert Oram, lawyer
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[8] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 283,352 | 64.61% | ||
| Democratic | Phil Ehr | 149,172 | 34.01% | ||
| Independent | Albert Oram | 6,038 | 1.38% | ||
| Total votes | 438,532 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[16]
| Matt Gaetz Republican |
Phil Ehr Democratic |
Albert Oram Independent |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Escambia | 93,078 | 55.10% | 73,582 | 43.56% | 2,268 | 1.34% | 19,496 | 11.54% | 168,928 |
| Holmes | 4,992 | 88.07% | 587 | 10.36% | 89 | 1.57% | 4,405 | 77.72% | 5,668 |
| Okaloosa | 78,035 | 67.93% | 34,966 | 30.44% | 1,877 | 1.63% | 43,069 | 37.49% | 114,878 |
| Santa Rosa | 75,075 | 70.87% | 29,483 | 27.83% | 1,380 | 1.30% | 45,592 | 43.04% | 105,938 |
| Walton | 32,172 | 74.56% | 10,554 | 24.46% | 424 | 0.98% | 21,618 | 50.10% | 43,150 |
District 2
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November 3, 2020
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  Dunn: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% O'Connor: 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is located in northern Florida taking in portions of the Panhandle and the Big Bend, including all or parts of 19 counties. The district includes the cities of Panama City, Marianna, and Lake City. Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Neal Dunn, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Withdrawn
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Declared
- Kim O'Connor (write-in), candidate for Leon County commission in 2018[20]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[21] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Neal Dunn (incumbent) | 305,337 | 97.86% | ||
| Independent | Kim O'Connor (write-in) | 6,662 | 2.14% | ||
| Total votes | 311,999 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| Neal Dunn Republican |
Kim O'Connor Independent |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Bay | 76,997 | 98.26% | 1,366 | 1.74% | 75,631 | 96.51% | 78,363 |
| Calhoun | 5,662 | 99.74% | 15 | 0.26% | 5,647 | 99.47% | 5,677 |
| Columbia | 24,293 | 98.91% | 268 | 1.09% | 24,025 | 97.82% | 24,561 |
| Dixie | 6,993 | 99.42% | 41 | 0.58% | 6,952 | 98.83% | 7,034 |
| Franklin | 5,220 | 97.46% | 136 | 2.54% | 5,084 | 94.92% | 5,356 |
| Gilchrist | 8,484 | 99.11% | 76 | 0.89% | 8,408 | 98.22% | 8,560 |
| Gulf | 6,806 | 98.92% | 74 | 1.08% | 6,732 | 97.85% | 6,880 |
| Holmes | 2,968 | 99.43% | 17 | 0.57% | 2,951 | 98.86% | 2,985 |
| Jackson | 18,262 | 99.23% | 141 | 0.77% | 18,121 | 98.47% | 18,403 |
| Jefferson | 586 | 98.16% | 11 | 1.84% | 575 | 96.31% | 597 |
| Lafayette | 3,307 | 99.40% | 20 | 0.60% | 3,287 | 98.80% | 3,327 |
| Leon | 47,294 | 93.35% | 3,369 | 6.65% | 43,925 | 86.70% | 50,663 |
| Levy | 18,959 | 99.04% | 183 | 0.96% | 18,776 | 98.09% | 19,142 |
| Liberty | 2,973 | 99.63% | 11 | 0.37% | 2,962 | 99.27% | 2,984 |
| Marion | 24,888 | 98.50% | 379 | 1.50% | 24,509 | 97.00% | 25,267 |
| Suwannee | 17,971 | 99.14% | 156 | 0.86% | 17,815 | 98.28% | 18,127 |
| Taylor | 8,541 | 99.22% | 67 | 0.78% | 8,474 | 98.44% | 8,608 |
| Wakulla | 14,514 | 97.76% | 332 | 2.24% | 14,182 | 95.53% | 14,846 |
| Washington | 10,619 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 10,619 | 100.00% | 10,619 |
District 3
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November 3, 2020
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  Cammack: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Christensen: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida, and includes Alachua, Clay, Putnam, Bradford, and Union counties, as well as most of Marion County. The district includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[3] On December 10, 2019, Yoho announced he would not run for re-election, honoring his pledge that he would only serve four terms.[22]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kat Cammack, deputy chief of staff for U.S. representative Ted Yoho[23]
Eliminated in primary
- Ryan Chamberlin, author[24]
- Todd Chase, former Gainesville city commissioner[25]
- Bill Engelbrecht, healthcare executive[26]
- Joe Millado, businessman and former congressional aide[27]
- Gavin Rollins, Clay County commissioner[28]
- Judson Sapp, businessman and candidate for this district in 2018[29]
- James St. George, physician[30]
- David Theus, business consultant[26]
- Amy Pope Wells, businesswoman[31]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Rob Bradley, state senator[36]
- Keith Perry, state senator[36]
- Ted Yoho, incumbent U.S. representative[22]
Endorsements
Kat Cammack
Federal officials
State officials
- Denise Grimsley, former state senator (2012–2018) and state representative (2004–2012)[38]
Organizations
- Police Benevolent Association (PBA) North Central Florida Chapter[39]
- Republican Liberty Caucus[40]
- Tea Party Express[41]
- Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund[42]
Todd Chase
State officials
- Aaron Bean, state senator and former state representative (2000–2008)[43]
- Keith Perry, state senator and former state representative (2010–2016)[43]
Gavin Rollins
State officials
- Anthony Sabatini, state representative[44]
Judson Sapp
Federal officials
- Vern Buchanan, U.S. representative (FL-16)[45]
- John Rutherford, U.S. representative (FL-04)[45]
- Cliff Stearns, former U.S. representative (FL-06) (1989–2013)[46]
State officials
- Chuck Brannan, state representative[47]
- Jennifer Carroll, former lieutenant governor (2011–2013)[48]
- Jason Fischer, state representative[49]
- Charlie Stone, state representative[48]
Individuals
- Dana Loesch, former National Rifle Association of America spokeswoman and Breitbart News editor[50]
- Roger Stone, political consultant and felon[51]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kat Cammack |
Ryan Chamberlin |
Todd Chase |
James St. George |
Keith Perry |
Gavin Rollins |
Judson Sapp |
Amy Pope Wells |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meer Research[53] | August 6–8, 2020 | 317 (RV) | ± 5.75% | 25% | 3% | 6% | 13% | – | 11% | 15% | 3% | 4%[b] | 20% |
| WPA Intelligence[54][A] | June 16–17, 2020 | 405 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 10% | 1% | 5% | 4% | – | 1% | 12% | 1% | 5%[c] | 60% |
| Americana Analytics/Judson Sapp[55][B] | Released April 20, 2020 | 400 (V) | ± 5% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 16% | – | –[d] | >70% |
| Clearview Research[56] | December 16–17, 2019 | 401 (LV) | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | 9% | 2% | 6%[e] | 48% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kat Cammack | 21,679 | 25.2 | |
| Republican | Judson Sapp | 17,180 | 20.0 | |
| Republican | Gavin Rollins | 13,118 | 15.3 | |
| Republican | James St. George | 12,125 | 14.1 | |
| Republican | Todd Chase | 8,165 | 9.5 | |
| Republican | Ryan Chamberlin | 5,067 | 5.9 | |
| Republican | Amy Pope Wells | 3,564 | 4.1 | |
| Republican | Bill Engelbrecht | 2,001 | 2.3 | |
| Republican | David Theus | 1,874 | 2.2 | |
| Republican | Joe Millado | 1,168 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 85,941 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Adam Christensen, businessman[58]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Adam Christensen
Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author, spiritual leader, and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[59]
- Andrew Yang, entrepreneur and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[60]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adam Christensen | 21,073 | 34.5 | |
| Democratic | Tom Wells | 20,290 | 33.2 | |
| Democratic | Philip Dodds | 19,730 | 32.3 | |
| Total votes | 61,093 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[61] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kat Cammack | 223,075 | 57.14% | ||
| Democratic | Adam Christensen | 167,326 | 42.86% | ||
| Total votes | 390,401 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[62]
| Kat Cammack Republican |
Adam Christensen Democratic |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Alachua | 52,914 | 37.86% | 86,857 | 62.14% | -33,943 | -24.28% | 139,771 |
| Bradford | 9,965 | 75.11% | 3,302 | 24.89% | 6,663 | 50.22% | 13,267 |
| Clay | 84,221 | 68.89% | 38,040 | 31.11% | 46,181 | 37.77% | 122,261 |
| Marion | 46,097 | 62.94% | 27,141 | 37.06% | 18,956 | 25.88% | 73,238 |
| Putnam | 24,916 | 69.69% | 10,835 | 30.31% | 14,081 | 39.39% | 35,751 |
| Union | 4,962 | 81.17% | 1,151 | 18.83% | 3,811 | 62.34% | 6,113 |
District 4
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 Precinct results Rutherford: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Deegan: 50–60% 60–70% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in the First Coast region, and includes all of Nassau County, as well as parts of Duval and St. Johns counties. The district includes the cities of Jacksonville, St. Augustine, and Fernandina Beach. Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Rutherford, incumbent U.S. representative[63]
Eliminated in primary
- Erick Aguilar, professor and United States Navy veteran[64]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 80,101 | 80.2 | |
| Republican | Erick Aguilar | 19,798 | 19.8 | |
| Total votes | 99,899 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Donna Deegan, former news anchor for First Coast News[65]
Withdrawn
Endorsements
Donna Deegan
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Declared
- Gary Koniz (write-in), retired journalist and perennial candidate[70]
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| John Rutherford | Donna Deegan | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 14, 2020 | WJXT | Kent Justice | [71] | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[72] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
John Rutherford (R) |
Donna Deegan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of North Florida[73] | October 1–4, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 57% | 38% | 5%[f] | 0% |
| St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics[74] | September 2, 2020 | 1,037 (LV) | – | 62% | 35% | – | 3% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 308,497 | 61.10% | ||
| Democratic | Donna Deegan | 196,423 | 38.90% | ||
| Independent | Gary Koniz (write-in) | 20 | 0.00% | ||
| Total votes | 504,940 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| John Rutherford Republican |
Donna Deegan Democratic |
Gary Koniz Independent |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Duval | 169,852 | 57.51% | 125,498 | 42.49% | 17 | 0.01% | 44,354 | 15.08% | 295,367 |
| Nassau | 42,045 | 72.16% | 16,225 | 22.84% | 0 | 0.00% | 25,820 | 44.31% | 58,270 |
| St. Johns | 96,600 | 63.85% | 54,700 | 36.15% | 3 | 0.00% | 41,900 | 27.69% | 151,303 |
District 5
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November 3, 2020
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 Precinct results Lawson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Adler: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida, and includes all of Baker, Gadsden, Hamilton and Madison counties, as well as parts of Columbia, Duval, Jefferson, and Leon counties. The district includes the city of Quincy, as well as parts of Tallahassee and Jacksonville. The district is majority-minority. Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Al Lawson, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Al Lawson
Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 52,823 | 55.7 | |
| Democratic | Albert Chester | 24,579 | 25.9 | |
| Democratic | LaShonda "LJ" Holloway | 17,378 | 18.3 | |
| Total votes | 94,780 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Gary Adler, community activist[79]
Eliminated in primary
- Roger Wagoner, businessman[76]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Adler | 17,433 | 52.1 | |
| Republican | Roger Wagoner | 16,012 | 47.9 | |
| Total votes | 33,445 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[80] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 219,463 | 65.13% | ||
| Republican | Gary Adler | 117,510 | 34.87% | ||
| Total votes | 336,973 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
County results
Source[81]
| Al Lawson Democratic |
Gary Adler Republican |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Baker | 2,476 | 17.94% | 11,329 | 82.06% | -8,853 | -64.13% | 13,805 |
| Columbia | 2,033 | 53.63% | 1,758 | 46.37% | 275 | 7.25% | 3,791 |
| Duval | 127,311 | 66.83% | 63,193 | 33.17% | 64,118 | 33.66% | 190,504 |
| Gadsden | 16,783 | 70.94% | 6,875 | 29.06% | 9,908 | 41.88% | 23,658 |
| Hamilton | 2,133 | 37.34% | 3,579 | 62.66% | -1,446 | -25.32% | 5,712 |
| Jefferson | 3,800 | 49.73% | 3,841 | 50.27% | -41 | -0.54% | 7,641 |
| Leon | 60,937 | 73.76% | 21,674 | 26.24% | 39,263 | 47.53% | 82,611 |
| Florida | 3,990 | 43.13% | 5,261 | 56.87% | -1,271 | -13.74% | 9,251 |
District 6
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November 3, 2020
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 Precinct results Waltz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Curtis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district encompasses the Halifax area, including all of Flagler and Volusia counties, as well as parts of St. Johns and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Palm Coast, and DeLand. Republican Michael Waltz, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 56% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael Waltz, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Clint Curtis, lawyer and nominee for California's 4th congressional district in 2010[82]
Eliminated in primary
- Richard Thripp, professor[82]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Clint Curtis | 30,449 | 51.5 | |
| Democratic | Richard Thripp | 28,661 | 48.5 | |
| Total votes | 59,110 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Declared
- Gerry Nolan (write-in), businessman[70]
Independent Democrats
Declared
- Alan Grayson (write-in), former U.S. representative for Florida's 9th congressional district and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[83]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[84] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michael Waltz (incumbent) | 265,393 | 60.64% | ||
| Democratic | Clint Curtis | 172,305 | 39.36% | ||
| Independent | Gerry Nolan (write-in) | 112 | 0.01% | ||
| Democratic | Alan Grayson (write-in) | 46 | 0.01% | ||
| Total votes | 437,856 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| Michael Waltz Republican |
Clint Curtis Democratic |
Gerry Nolan Independent |
Alan Grayson Democratic |
Margin | Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Flagler | 43,346 | 62.26% | 26,257 | 37.72% | 4 | 0.01% | 10 | 0.01% | 17,089 | 24.55 | 69,617 |
| Lake | 32,302 | 66.32% | 16,386 | 33.64% | 16 | 0.03% | 4 | 0.01% | 15,916 | 32.68% | 48,708 |
| St. Johns | 14,851 | 65.80% | 7,717 | 34.19% | 2 | 0.01% | 1 | 0.00% | 7,134 | 31.61% | 22,571 |
| Volusia | 174,894 | 58.89% | 121,945 | 41.06% | 90 | 0.03% | 31 | 0.01% | 52,949 | 17.83% | 296,960 |
District 7
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 Precinct results Murphy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Valentín: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is located in Central Florida, and includes all of Seminole County and part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Orlando, Sanford, and Winter Park. Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[85]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Stephanie Murphy, incumbent U.S. representative[86]
Endorsements
Stephanie Murphy
Organizations
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Leo Valentín, radiologist[88]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Jan Edwards, businesswoman[90]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Leo Valentín | 19,841 | 38.6 | |
| Republican | Richard Goble | 19,187 | 37.4 | |
| Republican | Yukong Zhao | 12,330 | 24.0 | |
| Total votes | 51,358 | 100.0 | ||
Independents and third-party candidates
Independents
Declared
- William Garlington, businessman and former actor[70]
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Independent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
| Stephanie Murphy | Leo Valentin | William Garlington | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 13, 2020 | WESH | Greg Fox | [91] | P | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[92] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Likely D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
with Richard Goble, Joel Greenberg (R), Stephanie Murphy and Leo Valentin
with Joel Greenberg and Stephanie Murphy
|
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) | 224,946 | 55.34% | ||
| Republican | Leo Valentín | 175,750 | 43.24% | ||
| Independent | William Garlington | 5,753 | 1.42% | ||
| Total votes | 406,449 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
County results
Source[94]
| Stephanie Murphy Democratic |
Leo Valentín Republican |
William Garlington Independent |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Orange | 92,639 | 61.28% | 56,280 | 37.23% | 2,242 | 1.48% | 36,359 | 24.05% | 151,161 |
| Seminole | 132,307 | 51.83% | 119,470 | 46.80% | 3,511 | 1.38% | 12,837 | 5.03% | 255,288 |
District 8
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November 3, 2020
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| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Posey: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kennedy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district encompasses the Space Coast, and includes all of Indian River and Brevard counties, as well as part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Titusville. Republican Bill Posey, who had represented the district since 2009, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Scott Caine, retired U.S. Air Force colonel[95]
Disqualified
- Angela Walls-Windhauser, perennial candidate
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 54,861 | 62.5 | |
| Republican | Scott Caine | 32,952 | 37.5 | |
| Total votes | 87,813 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Kennedy, electrical engineer[95]
Withdrawn
- Tiffany Patti, activist[96]
Disqualified
Endorsements
Jim Kennedy
Organizations
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Withdrawn
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[97] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 282,093 | 61.36% | ||
| Democratic | Jim Kennedy | 177,695 | 38.64% | ||
| Total votes | 459,788 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[98]
| Bill Posey Republican |
Jim Kennedy Democratic |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Brevard | 215,686 | 60.68% | 139,769 | 39.32% | 75,917 | 21.36% | 355,455 |
| Indian River | 61,055 | 63.84% | 34,585 | 36.16% | 26,470 | 27.68% | 95,640 |
| Orange | 5,352 | 61.57% | 3,341 | 38.43% | 2,011 | 23.13% | 8,693 |
District 9
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November 3, 2020
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 Precinct results Soto: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Olson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is located in Central Florida, and encompasses all of Osceola County, as well as parts of Orange and Polk counties. The district includes the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud, as well as eastern Orlando. Democrat Darren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Darren Soto, incumbent U.S. representative[99]
Withdrawn
Endorsements
Darren Soto
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[87]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Olson | 20,751 | 48.6 | |
| Republican | Christopher Wright | 9,677 | 22.7 | |
| Republican | Jose Castillo | 8,595 | 20.1 | |
| Republican | Sergio E. Ortiz | 3,680 | 8.6 | |
| Total votes | 42,703 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Declared
- Clay Hill (write-in), perennial candidate[70]
Withdrawn
- John Rallison, teacher and pastor[105]
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Darren Soto | Bill Olson | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 6, 2020 | WESH | Greg Fox | [106] | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[107] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 240,724 | 56.02% | ||
| Republican | Bill Olson | 188,889 | 43.96% | ||
| Independent | Clay Hill (write-in) | 25 | 0.01% | ||
| Total votes | 429,638 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| Darren Soto Democratic |
Bill Olson Republican |
Clay Hill Independent |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Orange | 62,032 | 61.78% | 38,365 | 38.21% | 6 | 0.01% | 23,667 | 23.57% | 100,403 |
| Osceola | 103,147 | 61.06% | 65,756 | 38.93% | 15 | 0.01% | 37,391 | 22.14% | 168,918 |
| Polk | 75,545 | 47.12% | 84,768 | 52.88% | 4 | 0.01% | -9,223 | -5.75 | 160,317 |
District 10
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Demings: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Francois: 50–60% 60–70% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district is located in Central Florida, and includes part of Orange County. The district includes western Orlando and its surrounding suburbs, including Apopka, Ocoee, and Winter Garden. Democrat Val Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Val Demings, incumbent U.S. representative[108]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Vennia Francois, former U.S. Senate aide and candidate for Florida's 7th congressional district in 2018[109]
Eliminated in primary
- Willie Montague, pastor[109]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vennia Francois | 21,485 | 65.1 | |
| Republican | Willie Montague | 11,498 | 34.9 | |
| Total votes | 32,983 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Candidates
- Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in), artist[70]
Withdrawn
- Kristofer Lawson, writer[70]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[110] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Val Demings (incumbent) | 239,434 | 63.61% | ||
| Republican | Vennia Francois | 136,889 | 36.36% | ||
| Independent | Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in) | 74 | 0.01% | ||
| Total votes | 376,397 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| Val Demings Democratic |
Vennia Francois Republican |
Sufiyah Yasmine Independent |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Orange | 239,434 | 63.61% | 136,889 | 36.37% | 74 | 0.02% | 102,545 | 27.24% | 376,397 |
District 11
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Webster: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Cottrell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is located in North Central Florida, and includes all of Sumter, Citrus, and Hernando counties, as well as parts of Marion and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Spring Hill, Inverness, and Leesburg, as well as the large retirement community of The Villages. Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2011, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Withdrawn
- James Henry, former official in Greenfield, Massachusetts, and Hollis, Maine[112]
- Jeff Rabinowitz, author[113]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[114] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 316,979 | 66.72% | ||
| Democratic | Dana Cottrell | 158,094 | 33.27% | ||
| Total votes | 475,073 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| Daniel Webster Republican |
Dana Cottrell Democratic |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Citrus | 64,293 | 70.57% | 26,816 | 29.43% | 37,477 | 41.13% | 91,109 |
| Hernando | 68,885 | 64.73% | 37,530 | 35.27% | 31,355 | 29.46% | 106,415 |
| Lake | 61,012 | 64.93% | 32,956 | 35.07% | 28,056 | 29.86% | 93,968 |
| Marion | 58,948 | 63.42% | 33,999 | 36.58% | 24,949 | 26.84% | 92,947 |
| Sumter | 63,841 | 70.44% | 26,793 | 29.56% | 37,048 | 40.88% | 90,634 |
District 12
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Bilirakis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Walker: 50–60% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district encompasses the northern Tampa Bay area, including all of Pasco County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Pinellas counties. The district includes the cities of Palm Harbor, New Port Richey, and Zephyrhills. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2007, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kimberly Walker, businesswoman and U.S. Air Force veteran[115]
Endorsements
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Withdrawn
- Michael Knezevich, private investigator and former U.S. Customs Service pilot[117]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[118] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 284,941 | 62.88% | ||
| Democratic | Kimberly Walker | 168,194 | 37.11% | ||
| Total votes | 453,135 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[119]
| Gus Bilirakis Republican |
Kimberly Walker Democratic |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Hillsborough | 5,558 | 63.47% | 3,199 | 36.53% | 2,159 | 25.11% | 8,757 |
| Pasco | 188,887 | 63.48% | 108,659 | 36.52% | 80,228 | 26.96% | 297,546 |
| Pinellas | 90,496 | 61.63% | 56,336 | 38.37% | 34,160 | 23.26% | 146,832 |
District 13
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Crist: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Luna: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district is located in the western Tampa Bay area and encompasses the northern Florida Suncoast, and includes part of Pinellas County. The district includes the cities of St. Petersburg, Clearwater, and Largo. Democrat Charlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[85]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Charlie Crist, incumbent U.S. representative[120]
Endorsements
Charlie Crist
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Anna Paulina Luna, director of Hispanic Engagement for Turning Point USA and U.S. Air Force veteran[123]
Eliminated in primary
- George Buck, U.S. Army veteran and nominee for Florida's 13th congressional district in 2018[124]
- Sheila Griffin, attorney and candidate for St. Petersburg city council in 2015[125]
- Amanda Makki, lobbyist and former congressional aide[124]
Withdrawn
- Rick Baker, former mayor of St. Petersburg[126]
- Matt Becker, businessman and 2012 Republican National Convention executive[127][128]
- Sharon Newby, businesswoman[129] (endorsed Luna)[130]
Endorsements
Anna Paulina Luna
Federal officials
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative (FL-01)[131]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. representative (NY-21)[132]
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[133]
Local officials
- Bill Foster, former mayor of St. Petersburg (2010–2014)[134]
Organizations
Amanda Makki
Federal officials
- Michael Burgess, U.S. representative (TX-26)[136]
- Neal Dunn, U.S. representative (FL-02)[136]
- Joni Ernst, U.S. senator from Iowa[137]
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative (CA-23), House Minority Leader, and former House Majority Leader (2014–2019) and House Majority Whip (2011–2014)[136]
- John Rutherford, U.S. representative (FL-04)[136]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. representative (LA-01), House Minority Whip, and former House Majority Whip (2014–2019)[136]
- Michael Waltz, U.S. representative (FL-06)[136]
State officials
- J. W. Grant, state representative[138]
Organizations
- Fraternal Order of Police Lodges 10 and 43[139]
- FreedomWorks[140]
- Maggie's List[141]
- Maverick PAC[142]
- National Emergency Medicine (NEM) PAC[143]
- National Republican Congressional Committee[144]
- Republican Main Street Partnership PAC[145]
- Value in Electing Women (VIEW) PAC[146]
Individuals
- Robert J. O'Neill, former U.S. Navy SEAL[147]
Polling
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Anna Paulina Luna | 22,941 | 36.1 | |
| Republican | Amanda Makki | 17,967 | 28.3 | |
| Republican | George Buck | 16,371 | 25.8 | |
| Republican | Sheila Griffin | 4,329 | 6.8 | |
| Republican | Sharon Newby (withdrawn) | 1,866 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 63,474 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
Independent Republicans
Declared
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[151] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | October 1, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Lean D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Likely D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Charlie Crist (incumbent) | 215,405 | 53.03% | ||
| Republican | Anna Paulina Luna | 190,713 | 46.96% | ||
| Republican | Jacob Curnow (write-in) | 7 | 0.00% | ||
| Total votes | 406,125 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| Charlie Crist Democratic |
Anna Paulina Luna Republican |
Jacob Cunrow Republican |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Pinellas | 215,405 | 53.04% | 190,713 | 46.96% | 7 | 0.00% | 24,692 | 6.08% | 406,125 |
District 14
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Castor: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Quinn: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 14th district is located in the northern Tampa Bay area, and includes part of Hillsborough County. The district includes the cities of Tampa, Carrollwood, and Northdale. Democrat Kathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2007, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. representative
Withdrawn
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Paul Elliott, former Hillsborough County judge[155]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Christine Quinn | 24,077 | 64.5 | |
| Republican | Paul Elliott | 13,257 | 35.5 | |
| Total votes | 37,334 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Withdrawn
- Robert Wunderlich, attorney and former Green Beret[156]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[157] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | 224,240 | 60.25% | ||
| Republican | Christine Quinn | 147,896 | 39.74% | ||
| Total votes | 372,136 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| Kathy Castor Democratic |
Christine Quinn Republican |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Hillsborough | 224,240 | 60.26% | 147,896 | 39.74% | 76,344 | 20.52% | 372,136 |
District 15
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Franklin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Cohn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 15th district is located in the northeastern Tampa Bay area and extends along the I-4 corridor into Central Florida, and includes parts of Hillsborough, Polk, and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Lakeland, Brandon, and Bartow. Republican Ross Spano, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 53% of the vote in 2018. Spano lost renomination in the Republican primary.[3]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.[158]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Scott Franklin, Lakeland city commissioner[159]
Eliminated in primary
- Ross Spano, incumbent U.S. representative[160]
Declined
- Neil Combee, former state representative and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[161]
- Sean Harper, contractor and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[161]
- Danny Kushmer, non-profit executive and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[161] (running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
- Ed Shoemaker, conservative activist and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[161] (running for Polk County School Board)
Endorsements
Scott Franklin
Federal officials
Local officials
- Grady Judd, Sheriff of Polk County, Florida (2005–present)[163] (Independent)
Ross Spano
U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida (2011–present); Chair of the Senate Small Business Committee (2019–present); candidate for President in 2016[164]
U.S. representatives
- Gus Bilirakis, U.S. representative from FL-12 (2013–present) and FL-09 (2007–2013)[165]
- Vern Buchanan, U.S. representative from FL-16 (2013–present) and FL-13 (2007–2013)[165]
- Liz Cheney, U.S. representative from WY-00 (2017–present); Chair of the House Republican Conference (2019–present); candidate for U.S. Senate from Wyoming in 2014[166]
- Mario Díaz-Balart, U.S. representative from FL-25 (2003–2011 and 2013–present) and FL-21 (2011–2013)[166]
- Tom Emmer, U.S. representative from MN-06 (2015–present); Chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee (2019–present)[166]
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative from CA-23 (2013–present) and CA-22 (2007–2013); House Minority Leader (2019–present); Leader of the House Republican Conference (2019–present)[166]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. representative from LA-01 (2008–present); House Minority Whip (2019–present)[166]
- Greg Steube, U.S. representative from FL-17 (2019–present)[161]
- Michael Waltz, U.S. representative from FL-06 (2019–present)[166]
- Daniel Webster, U.S. representative from FL-11 (2017–present), FL-10 (2013–2017), and FL-08 (2011–2013); candidate for U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004[165]
State legislators
- Kelli Stargel, Florida state senator from District 22 (2016–present) and District 15 (2012–2016)[166]
Local officials
- Carey Baker, property appraiser of Lake County, Florida (2012–present)[166]
Organizations
Polling
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Franklin | 30,736 | 51.2 | |
| Republican | Ross Spano (incumbent) | 29,265 | 48.8 | |
| Total votes | 60,001 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Adam Hattersley, state representative[170]
- Jesse Philippe, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[171]
Withdrawn
- Kel Britvec, former Defense Intelligence Agency officer[172]
- Andrew Learned, U.S. Naval Reserve officer and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[173] (running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
- Loretta Miller, radio host and Republican candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[174][175] (died on April 13, 2020)
Declined
- Kristen Carlson, attorney and nominee for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[176] (endorsed Adam Hattersley)[177]
Endorsements
Alan Cohn
U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[178]
U.S. senators
- Kent Conrad, U.S. senator from North Dakota (1987–2013)[179]
- Bob Graham, U.S. senator from Florida (1987–2005); Governor of Florida (1979–1987); candidate for President in 2004[180]
U.S. representatives
- Charlie Crist, U.S. representative from FL-13, Governor of Florida (2007–2011), Attorney General of Florida (2003–2007) (former Republican)[181]
- Ted Deutch, U.S. representative from FL-22, U.S. representative from FL-21 (2013–2017), U.S. representative from FL-19 (2010–2013)[181]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from FL-22, U.S. representative from FL-21 (2017–present)[181]
- Gwen Graham, U.S. representative from FL-02 (2015–2017); candidate for Governor of Florida in 2018[180]
- Patrick J. Kennedy, U.S. representative from RI-1, son of Ted Kennedy[179]
- Darren Soto, U.S. representative from FL-09 (2017–present)[181]
State executives
- Nikki Fried, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2019–present)[181]
Municipal officials
- Philip Levine, Mayor of Miami Beach, Florida (2013–2017); candidate for governor of Florida in 2018[182]
Individuals
- Randy Bryce, political activist[179]
- Cenk Uygur, political commentator, media host, journalist, and attorney; candidate for U.S. representative from CA-25 in 2020[183]
Labor unions
- American Federation of Government Employees[181]
- American Postal Workers Union[179]
- Communication Workers of America[181]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters[184]
- International Union of Operating Engineers[185]
- SEIU[181]
- United Association[184]
- United Food and Commercial Workers[184]
Organizations
Adam Hattersley
U.S. representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative from FL-14 (2013–present) and FL-11 (2007–2013)[187]
- Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative from FL-07 (2017–present)[177]
State officials
- Betty Castor, education commissioner of Florida (1987–1994); Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004[177]
State legislators
- Janet Cruz, Florida state senator from District 18 (2018–present)[177]
- Ben Diamond, Florida state representative from District 68 (2016–present)[177]
- Fentrice Driskell, Florida state representative from District 63 (2018–present)[177]
- Javier Fernandez, Florida state representative from District 114 (2018–present)[188]
- Dianne Hart, Florida state representative from District 61 (2018–present)[177]
- Evan Jenne, Florida state representative from District 99 (2014–present); Florida state representative from District 100 (2006–2012)[177]
- Kionne McGhee, Florida state representative from District 117 (2012–present); Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives (2018–present)[177]
- Wengay Newton, Florida state representative from District 70 (2016–present)[188]
- Sean Shaw, Florida state representative from District 61 (2016–2018); Democratic nominee for Attorney General of Florida in 2018[177]
- Carlos Guillermo Smith, Florida state representative from District 49 (2016–present)[177]
- Susan Valdes, Florida state representative from District 62 (2018–present)[188]
- Jennifer Webb, Florida state representative from District 69 (2018–present)[177]
Municipal officials
- Sandra Freedman, mayor of Tampa, Florida (1986–1995)[177]
- Rick Kriseman, mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida (2014–present)[177]
Individuals
- Kristen Carlson, attorney, Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from FL-15 in 2018[177]
- John Hutson, United States Navy officer, attorney, and Judge Advocate General of the Navy[177]
- Nancy Soderberg, foreign policy strategist; Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from FL-06 in 2018[177]
Labor unions
- International Association of Fire Fighters – Local 2294[177]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers – Local 824[177]
Organizations
- 314 Action[177]
- Blue Dog Coalition[189]
- College Democrats of America – Florida chapter[190]
- Florida Democratic Party – Disabilities Issues Caucus[177]
- Florida Democratic Party – LGBT+ Caucus[177]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alan Cohn | 21,079 | 41.0 | |
| Democratic | Adam Hattersley | 16,978 | 33.0 | |
| Democratic | Jesse Philippe | 13,384 | 26.0 | |
| Total votes | 51,441 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Lean R | July 16, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[192] | Likely R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Lean R | August 7, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Lean R | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | April 30, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Tossup | October 15, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of Error |
Scott Franklin (R) |
Alan Cohn (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[193][C] | October 22–24, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 44% | – |
| St. Pete Polls[194] | October 15, 2020 | 943 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 41% | 11% |
| DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[195][D] | September 30 – October 4, 2020 | 390 (LV) | ± 5% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| GQR Research (D)[196][E] | September 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 42% | – |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Franklin | 216,374 | 55.38% | ||
| Democratic | Alan Cohn | 174,297 | 44.61% | ||
| Total votes | 390,671 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[197]
| Scott Franklin Republican |
Alan Cohn Democratic |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Hillsborough | 99,886 | 52.67% | 89,768 | 47.33% | 10,118 | 5.33% | 189,654 |
| Lake | 34,194 | 53.55% | 29,661 | 46.45% | 4,533 | 7.10% | 63,855 |
| Polk | 82,294 | 59.98% | 54,918 | 40.02% | 27,376 | 19.95% | 137,212 |
District 16
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Buchanan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Good: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 16th district encompasses the southern Tampa Bay area and southern Florida Suncoast, and includes all of Manatee County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Sarasota counties. The district includes the cities of Sarasota, Bradenton, and Sun City Center. Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the district since 2007, was reelected with 54% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.[158]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. representative[120]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Margaret Good, state representative[198]
Endorsements
Margaret Good
U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[199]
Organizations
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[204] | Likely R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Likely R | August 7, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Lean R | October 15, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Likely R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Vern Buchanan (R) |
Margaret Good (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Targeting (R)[205][F] | October 19–21, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 38% | – | – |
| Data Targeting (R)[206][F] | October 6–8, 2020 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 37% | 1%[l] | 9% |
| Change Research (D)[207][G] | October 5–8, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
| Data Targeting (R)[208][F] | September 29 – October 1, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 53% | 37% | – | – |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[209] | September 24–27, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | – | – |
| Data Targeting (R)[210][F] | August 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 35% | – | – |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[211] | July 7–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 41% | – | – |
| Data Targeting (R)[212][F] | January 14–16, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 33% | – | 14% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
|
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 269,001 | 55.50% | ||
| Democratic | Margaret Good | 215,683 | 44.50% | ||
| Total votes | 484,684 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[213]
| Vern Buchanan Republican |
Margaret Good Democratic |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Hillsborough | 66,515 | 51.95% | 61,511 | 48.05% | 5,004 | 3.91% | 128,026 |
| Manatee | 128,072 | 59.63% | 86,698 | 40.37% | 41,374 | 19.26% | 214,770 |
| Sarasota | 74,414 | 52.45% | 67,474 | 47.55% | 6,940 | 4.89% | 141,888 |
District 17
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Steube: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Ellison: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 17th district encompasses part of Southwest Florida and most of the Florida Heartland, and includes all or part of 10 counties. The district includes the cities of North Port, Port Charlotte, and Sebring. Republican Greg Steube, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Greg Steube, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Declared
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[216] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Steube (incumbent) | 266,514 | 64.62% | ||
| Democratic | Allen Ellison | 140,487 | 34.06% | ||
| Independent | Theodore Murray | 5,396 | 1.30% | ||
| Total votes | 412,397 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[217]
| Greg Steube Republican |
Allen Ellison Democratic |
Theodore Murray Independent |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Charlotte | 73,809 | 64.76% | 38,633 | 33.90% | 1,531 | 1.34% | 35,176 | 30.86% | 113,973 |
| DeSoto | 8,171 | 66.12% | 4,050 | 32.77% | 136 | 1.10% | 4,121 | 33.35% | 12,357 |
| Glades | 3,685 | 72.58% | 1,319 | 25.98% | 73 | 1.44% | 2,366 | 46.60% | 5,077 |
| Hardee | 5,771 | 69.30% | 2,422 | 29.09% | 134 | 1.61% | 3,349 | 40.22% | 8,327 |
| Highlands | 34,540 | 67.81% | 15,807 | 31.03% | 586 | 1.15% | 18,733 | 36.78% | 50,933 |
| Lee | 27,620 | 64.19% | 14,733 | 34.24% | 678 | 1.58% | 12,887 | 29.95% | 43,031 |
| Okeechobee | 11,082 | 71.55% | 4,129 | 26.66% | 278 | 1.79% | 6,953 | 44.89% | 15,489 |
| Polk | 24,504 | 62.95% | 13,751 | 35.33% | 672 | 1.73% | 10,753 | 27.62% | 38,927 |
| Sarasota | 77,332 | 62.22% | 45,643 | 36.73% | 1,308 | 1.05% | 31,689 | 25.50% | 124,283 |
District 18
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Mast: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Keith: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 18th district encompasses the Treasure Coast region, and includes all of St. Lucie and Martin counties, as well as part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of Port St. Lucie, Fort Pierce, and Jupiter. Republican Brian Mast, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.[158]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Brian Mast, incumbent U.S. representative[218]
Eliminated in primary
- Nick Vessio, retired police sergeant[219]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 62,121 | 86.0 | |
| Republican | Nick Vessio | 10,081 | 14.0 | |
| Total votes | 72,202 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Oz Vazquez, former Florida deputy solicitor general[221]
Endorsements
Pam Keith
U.S. senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts[222]
Individuals
- Cori Bush, Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st congressional district[223]
Organizations
Oz Vazquez
- Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative from this district (2013–2017) and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[226]
State officials
- Nikki Fried, state Agriculture Commissioner[227]
Organizations
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus Bold PAC[226]
- Florida AFL-CIO[228]
- Latino Victory[226]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[226]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Pam Keith | 52,921 | 79.8 | |
| Democratic | Oz Vazquez | 13,385 | 20.2 | |
| Total votes | 66,306 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Declared
- K. W. Miller, international energy and infrastructure executive[229]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[230] | Likely R | October 19, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Likely R | October 16, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely R | October 20, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | October 19, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Tossup | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 253,286 | 56.32% | ||
| Democratic | Pam Keith | 186,674 | 41.50% | ||
| Independent | K. W. Miller | 9,760 | 2.17% | ||
| Total votes | 449,720 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[233]
| Brian Mast Republican |
Pam Keith Democratic |
K. W. Miller Independent |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Martin | 64,874 | 66.15% | 31,205 | 31.82% | 1,991 | 2.03% | 33,669 | 34.33% | 98,070 |
| Palm Beach | 99,734 | 55.18% | 77,238 | 42.73% | 3,769 | 2.09% | 22,496 | 12.45% | 180,741 |
| St. Lucie | 88,678 | 51.89% | 78,231 | 45.77% | 4,000 | 2.34% | 10,447 | 6.11% | 170,909 |
District 19
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Donalds: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Banyai: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 19th district includes most of Southwest Florida, and includes parts of Lee and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Estero, Bonita Springs and Naples. Republican Francis Rooney, who had represented the district since 2017, was reelected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3] On October 19, 2019, Rooney announced he would not seek re-election.[234]
Republican primary
Map legend
- Donalds—>40%
- Donalds—35–40%
- Donalds—30–35%
- Donalds—25–30%
- Donalds—20–25%
- Eagle—>40%
- Eagle—35—40%
- Eagle—30—35%
- Eagle—25—30%
- Eagle—20—25%
- Askar—35—40%
- Askar—25—30%
- Askar—20—25%
- Figlesthaler—25—30%
- Figlesthaler—20—25%
- Henderson—35—40%
- Henderson—25—30%
- Henderson—20—25%
- Tie
Candidates
Nominee
- Byron Donalds, state representative and candidate for this district in 2012[235]
Eliminated in primary
- Darren Aquino, disabilities activist and actor[236]
- Casey Askar, businessman and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[237]
- Dane Eagle, majority leader of the Florida House of Representatives[238] (endorsed Donalds after primary loss)[239]
- William Figlesthaler, urologist[240]
- Randy Henderson, mayor of Fort Myers[241]
- Daniel Kowal, Collier County Sheriff's deputy[242]
- Christy McLaughlin, activist[243]
- Dan Severson, former Minnesota state representative and nominee for Minnesota Secretary of State in 2014[244]
Withdrawn
- Heather Fitzenhagen, state representative[245][246] (ran for state senate)
Declined
- Gary Aubuchon, former state representative (endorsed Eagle)[247]
- Lizbeth Benacquisto, state senator[248]
- Matt Caldwell, former state representative (endorsed Eagle)[249]
- Chauncey Goss, son of former U.S. representative Porter Goss and candidate for Florida's 19th congressional district in 2016[250]
- Brian Hamman, Lee County commissioner[249]
- Matt Hudson, former state representative[250]
- Steve Martin, attorney[251]
- Jim Oberweis, Illinois state senator and nominee for U.S. Senate in Illinois in 2014[252] (running for IL-14)
- Kathleen Passidomo, state senator[249]
- Cecil Pendergrass, Lee County commissioner[240]
- Spencer Roach, state representative (endorsed Eagle)[253]
- Bob Rommel, state representative[254]
- Francis Rooney, incumbent U.S. representative[234]
- Mike Scott, former Lee County sheriff[240]
- Drew Steele, local Fox News Radio host[249]
Endorsements
Darren Aquino
Organizations
Byron Donalds
Dane Eagle
Federal officials
- Gus Bilirakis, U.S. representative (FL-12)[257]
State officials
- Gary Aubuchon, former state representative (2007–2013)[247]
- Lizbeth Benacquisto, state senator and former state Senate majority leader (2012–2014) and Republican candidate in 2014 FL-19 special election[258]
- Matt Caldwell, former state representative (2010–2018)[247]
- Jeff Kottkamp, former lieutenant governor (2007–2011)[247]
- Spencer Roach, state representative[247]
- Ray Rodrigues, state representative[247]
Heather Fitzenhagen (withdrew)
Organizations
Dan Severson
Individuals
- Michael Johns, former White House speechwriter to George H. W. Bush[259]
- Tim Pawlenty, 2012 Republican presidential candidate and former governor of Minnesota (2003–2011)[260]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Casey Askar |
Byron Donalds |
Dane Eagle |
William Figlesthaler |
Randy Henderson |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[261] | August 16, 2020 | 439 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 8%[m] | 4% |
| St. Pete Polls[262] | August 3, 2020 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 16% | 22% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 6%[m] | 14% |
| Data Targeting/Dane Eagle[263][I] | July 23, 2020 | 282 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 3%[n] | 8% |
| St. Pete Polls[264] | July 6, 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 30% | 26% | 7% | 16% | 5% | 4%[o] | 12% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Byron Donalds | 23,492 | 22.6 | |
| Republican | Dane Eagle | 22,715 | 21.9 | |
| Republican | Casey Askar | 20,774 | 20.0 | |
| Republican | William Figlesthaler | 19,075 | 18.3 | |
| Republican | Randy Henderson | 7,858 | 7.6 | |
| Republican | Christy McLaughlin | 4,245 | 4.1 | |
| Republican | Dan Severson | 3,197 | 3.1 | |
| Republican | Darren Aquino | 1,466 | 1.4 | |
| Republican | Daniel Kowal | 1,135 | 1.1 | |
| Total votes | 103,957 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Cindy Banyai, political science professor at Florida Gulf Coast University[265]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Cindy Banyai
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Cindy Banyai | 28,765 | 57.6 | |
| Democratic | David Holden | 21,212 | 42.4 | |
| Total votes | 49,977 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Declared
- Patrick Post (write-in), president of Sustainable Planet USA[267]
Withdrawn
- Antonio Dumornay, housing activist[268]
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Byron Donalds | Cindy Banyai | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 30, 2020 | WGCU (TV) | [269] | P | P | |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[270] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Byron Donalds | 272,440 | 61.27% | ||
| Democratic | Cindy Banyai | 172,146 | 38.72% | ||
| Independent | Patrick Post (write-in) | 3 | 0.01% | ||
| Total votes | 444,589 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| Byron Donalds Republican |
Cindy Banyai Democratic |
Patrick Post Independent |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Collier | 69,227 | 65.41% | 36,612 | 34.59% | 1 | 0.00% | 32,615 | 30.82% | 105,840 |
| Lee | 203,213 | 59.99% | 135,534 | 40.01% | 2 | 0.00% | 67,679 | 19.98% | 338,749 |
District 20
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Hastings: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Musselwhite: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 20th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Fort Lauderdale, Pompano Beach, and Belle Glade. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the district since 1993, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alcee Hastings, incumbent U.S. representative[271]
Eliminated in primary
- Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, attorney and candidate for Florida's 20th congressional district in 2018[272]
Withdrawn
- Roshan Mody, co-founder of Plus1 Vote[273]
- Emmanuel Morel, former federal investigator for the U.S. Department of Labor and candidate for Florida's 21st congressional district in 2014[274][275]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 62,759 | 69.3 | |
| Democratic | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick | 27,831 | 30.7 | |
| Total votes | 90,590 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Musselwhite | 5,394 | 52.0 | |
| Republican | Vic DeGrammont | 4,975 | 48.0 | |
| Total votes | 10,369 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[278] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 253,661 | 78.67% | ||
| Republican | Greg Musselwhite | 68,748 | 21.32% | ||
| Total votes | 322,409 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
County results
Source[279]
| Alcee Hastings Democratic |
Greg Musselwhite Republican |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Broward | 186,909 | 81.72% | 41,803 | 18.28% | 145,106 | 63.44% | 228,712 |
| Palm Beach | 66,752 | 71.24% | 26,945 | 28.76% | 39,807 | 42.48% | 93,697 |
District 21
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Frankel: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Loomer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 21st district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. Democrat Lois Frankel, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lois Frankel, incumbent U.S. representative[120]
Eliminated in primary
- Guido Weiss, former advisor to U.S. Representative Tulsi Gabbard[280]
Withdrawn
- Adam Aarons, film producer and actor[281]
Endorsements
Lois Frankel
Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Frankel (incumbent) | 75,504 | 86.0 | |
| Democratic | Guido Weiss | 12,308 | 14.0 | |
| Total votes | 87,812 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Laura Loomer, reporter for InfoWars, conspiracy theorist, and far-right activist[282]
Eliminated in primary
- Christian Acosta, nuclear engineer and Palm Beach State College professor[283]
- Elizabeth Felton, animal rights activist[284]
- Aaron Scanlan, U.S. Air Force veteran[285]
- Reba Sherrill, health activist[286]
- Michael Vilardi, retired Internal Revenue Service agent[287]
Disqualified
Endorsements
Laura Loomer
U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017–2021)[291]
U.S. representatives
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative (FL-01) (2017–present)[292]
- Paul Gosar, U.S. representative from (AZ-04) (2013–present), (AZ-01) (2011–2013)[293]
Local officials
- Jeanine Pirro, District Attorney of Westchester County (1994–2005), Chair of the New York State Commission on Domestic Violence Fatalities (1994–1997), Judge of the Westchester County Court (1991–1993)[293]
Individuals
- Roseanne Barr, actress[294]
- Juanita Broaddrick, political activist, Bill Clinton accuser, and former nursing home administrator[293]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, businesswoman, conspiracy theorist and Republican nominee for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the 2020 elections[291]
- Alex Jones, far-right radio show host, political extremist and conspiracy theorist[291]
- Michelle Malkin, conservative columnist[293]
- Gavin McInnes, far-right political commentator and founder of the Proud Boys[295]
- Wayne Allyn Root, conservative author, radio host, conspiracy theorist, and Libertarian nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008[296]
- Bo Snerdley, call screener, producer, and engineer for The Rush Limbaugh Show[293]
- Roger Stone, political consultant[297]
- Milo Yiannopoulos, far-right political commentator[295]
Polling
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Laura Loomer | 14,526 | 42.5 | |
| Republican | Christian Acosta | 8,724 | 25.5 | |
| Republican | Michael Vilardi | 4,194 | 12.3 | |
| Republican | Aaron Scanlan | 3,221 | 9.4 | |
| Republican | Elizabeth Felton | 2,421 | 7.1 | |
| Republican | Reba Sherrill | 1,070 | 3.1 | |
| Total votes | 34,156 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
Independents
Declared
- Sylvia Caravetta (write-in), activist[70]
- Charleston Malkemus, technology executive and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[299]
Independent Republicans
Declared
- Piotr Blass (write-in), former professor and perennial candidate[70]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[300] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Lois Frankel (D) |
Laura Loomer (R) |
Charleston Malkemus (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics[301] | October 2, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 61% | 33% | 2% | 5% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Frankel (incumbent) | 237,925 | 59.02% | ||
| Republican | Laura Loomer | 157,612 | 39.10% | ||
| Independent | Charleston Malkemus | 7,544 | 1.87% | ||
| Independent | Sylvia Caravetta (write-in) | 8 | 0.01% | ||
| Republican | Piotr Blass (write-in) | 4 | 0.01% | ||
| Total votes | 403,093 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| Lois Frankel Democratic |
Laura Loomer Republican |
Charleston Malkemus Independent |
Sylvia Caravetta Independent |
Piotr Blass Republican |
Margin | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Palm Beach | 237,925 | 59.02% | 157,612 | 39.10% | 7,544 | 1.87% | 8 | 0.00% | 4 | 0.00% | 80,313 | 19.92% | 403,093 |
District 22
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Deutch: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Pruden: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Coral Springs. Democrat Ted Deutch, who had represented the district since 2010, was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ted Deutch, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- James Pruden, attorney[302]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
James Pruden
Newspapers
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | James Pruden | 11,840 | 35.6 | |
| Republican | Jessica Melton | 9,969 | 30.0 | |
| Republican | Fran Flynn | 8,667 | 26.1 | |
| Republican | Darlene Swaffar | 2,763 | 8.3 | |
| Total votes | 33,239 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[306] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 235,764 | 58.60% | ||
| Republican | James Pruden | 166,553 | 41.39% | ||
| Total votes | 402,317 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
County results
Source[307]
| Ted Deutch Democratic |
James Pruden Republican |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Broward | 192,923 | 59.96% | 128,851 | 40.04% | 64,072 | 19.91% | 321,774 |
| Palm Beach | 42,841 | 53.19% | 37,702 | 46.81% | 5,139 | 6.38% | 80,543 |
District 23
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Schultz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Spalding: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 23rd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Pembroke Pines, Davie, and Aventura. Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the district since 2005, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. representative[308]
Eliminated in primary
- Jen Perelman, attorney[309]
Endorsements
Jen Perelman
Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[310]
- Andrew Yang, non-profit leader, 2020 Democratic presidential candidate and Ambassador for Entrepreneurship under President Obama[310]
Organizations
- 350 Action[311]
- American Progressives in STEM[312]
- Brand New Congress[313]
- Our Revolution – Broward chapter[314]
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Organizations
Newspapers
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 55,729 | 72.0 | |
| Democratic | Jen Perelman | 21,631 | 28.0 | |
| Total votes | 77,360 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Carla Spalding, nurse, independent candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2016, and candidate for Florida's 23rd congressional district in 2018[317]
Eliminated in primary
- Michael Kroske, businessman[317]
Withdrew
- Richard Mendelson, former teacher at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School[318]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Carla Spalding | 12,751 | 51.3 | |
| Republican | Michael Kroske | 12,116 | 48.7 | |
| Total votes | 24,867 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
Independent Republicans
Declared
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[319] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 221,239 | 58.19% | ||
| Republican | Carla Spalding | 158,874 | 41.78% | ||
| Republican | Jeff Olson (write-in) | 46 | 0.01% | ||
| Republican | D. B. Fugate (write-in) | 37 | 0.01% | ||
| Total votes | 381,196 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| Debbie Wasserman Schultz Democratic |
Carla Spalding Republican |
Jeff Olson Republican |
D. B. Fugate Republican |
Margin | Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Broward | 203,940 | 58.96% | 141,886 | 41.02% | 42 | 0.01% | 33 | 0.01% | 62,054 | 17.94% | 345,901 |
| Miami-Dade | 17,299 | 50.44% | 16,988 | 49.53% | 4 | 0.01% | 4 | 0.01% | 311 | 0.91% | 34,295 |
District 24
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Wilson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Spicer: 40–50% 50–60% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 24th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Miami, Miami Gardens, and Hollywood. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the district since 2011, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Ricardo de La Fuente, perennial candidate and son of Rocky De La Fuente[320]
- Sakinah Lehtola, progressive activist[321]
Endorsements
Frederica Wilson
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 68,505 | 84.7 | |
| Democratic | Sakinah Lehtola | 6,267 | 7.7 | |
| Democratic | Ricardo de La Fuente | 6,134 | 7.6 | |
| Total votes | 80,906 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lavern Spicer, nonprofit executive[323]
Independent and third-party candidates
Libertarians
Withdrawn
- Courtney Omega-Turner, Coconut Grove village councilwoman[324]
Independent Republicans
Declared
Independents
Declared
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[327] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 218,825 | 75.55% | ||
| Republican | Lavern Spicer | 59,084 | 20.39% | ||
| Independent | Christine Olivo | 11,703 | 4.04% | ||
| Republican | Howard Knepper (write-in) | 17 | 0.01% | ||
| Independent | Hector Rivera (write-in) | 9 | 0.01% | ||
| Total votes | 289,638 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| Frederica Wilson Democratic |
Lavern Spicer Republican |
Christine Olivo Independent |
Howard Knepper Republican |
Hector Rivera Independent |
Margin | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Broward | 24,817 | 67.93% | 10,079 | 27.59% | 1,632 | 4.47% | 3 | 0.01% | 0 | 0.00% | 14,738 | 40.34% | 36,531 |
| Miami-Dade | 194,008 | 76.65% | 49,005 | 19.36% | 10,071 | 3.98% | 14 | 0.01% | 9 | 0.00% | 145,003 | 57.29% | 253,107 |
District 25
| |||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
 Precinct results Díaz-Balart: >90% | |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
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The 25th district is located in South Florida and stretches into parts of Southwest Florida and the Florida Heartland, and includes all of Hendry County, as well as parts of Miami-Dade and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Hialeah, Doral, and Clewiston. Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who had represented the district since 2003, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mario Díaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Disqualified
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[330] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) | — | Uncontested | |
| Total votes | — | — | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 26
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Giménez: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Mucarsel-Powell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 26th district is located in South Florida and the Florida Keys, and includes all of Monroe County and part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Homestead, Kendale Lakes, and Key West. Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 50% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[85]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, incumbent U.S. representative[331]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Omar Blanco, former president of the Metro-Dade Firefighters Local 1403[333]
Withdrew
Declined
- Carlos Curbelo, former U.S. representative[337]
- Louis Sola, Federal Maritime Commissioner and candidate for Florida's 24th congressional district in 2018[338]
Endorsements
Carlos A. Giménez
Federal officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[339]
Polling
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Carlos A. Giménez | 29,480 | 59.9 | |
| Republican | Omar Blanco | 19,721 | 40.1 | |
| Total votes | 49,201 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)
U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[199]
Organizations
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Lean D | October 21, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[348] | Likely D | October 19, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[349] | Tilt D | October 16, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Tossup | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Tossup | October 15, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Carlos A. Giménez | 177,223 | 51.72% | ||
| Democratic | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (incumbent) | 165,407 | 48.27% | ||
| Total votes | 342,630 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
County results
Source[351]
| Carlos A. Giménez Republican |
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell Democratic |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Miami-Dade | 151,669 | 51.30% | 144,010 | 48.70% | 7,659 | 2.59% | 295,679 |
| Monroe | 25,554 | 54.43% | 21,397 | 45.57% | 4,157 | 8.85% | 46,951 |
District 27
| |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Salazar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Shalala: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 27th district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Coral Gables, Kendall, and Miami Beach, as well as the neighborhood of Little Havana in Miami. Democrat Donna Shalala, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 52% of the vote in 2018.[3] This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[85] Despite being the heavy favorite, Shalala was unseated by Salazar.[352]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Donna Shalala, incumbent U.S. representative[353]
Withdrawn
- Michael Hepburn, University of Miami academic adviser[354]
Endorsements
Donna Shalala
U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[199]
Organizations
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Maria Elvira Salazar, journalist and nominee for Florida's 27th congressional district in 2018[358]
Eliminated in primary
- Juan Fiol, real estate agent[359]
- Raymond Molina, banker and Brigade 2506 veteran[70][360]
Endorsements
Maria Elvira Salazar
U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[361]
U.S. representatives
- Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, former U.S. representative from Florida[362]
Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 39,687 | 79.1 | |
| Republican | Raymond Molina | 5,497 | 10.9 | |
| Republican | Juan Fiol | 5,018 | 10.0 | |
| Total votes | 50,202 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
Independent Republicans
Declared
- Frank Polo (write-in), businessman
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Likely D | July 2, 2020 |
| FiveThirtyEight[365] | Likely D | October 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Lean D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Likely D | October 15, 2020 |
| Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 176,141 | 51.35% | ||
| Democratic | Donna Shalala (incumbent) | 166,758 | 48.62% | ||
| Republican | Frank Polo (write-in) | 76 | 0.01% | ||
| Total votes | 342,975 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
County results
Source[15]
| Maria Elvira Salazar Republican |
Donna Shalala Democratic |
Frank Polo Republican |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Miami-Dade | 176,141 | 51.36% | 166,758 | 48.62% | 76 | 0.02% | 9,383 | 2.74% | 342,975 |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Bill Engelbrecht with 2%, David Theus with 1%, and Joseph Millado with 1%
- "someone else" with 5%
- No other candidate exceeds 1%
- Kent Guinn with 4%; Joseph Milado with 2%; Matthew Raines with no voters
- "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- Standard VI response
- Response after pollster provided respondents with talking points about Greenberg
- Sharon Newby with 1%
- Newby with 1%
- "Undecided/won't say" with 18%
- "Refused" with 1%
- Aquino with 3%; Severson with 2%; Kowal and McLaughlin with 1%
- Aquino, McLaughlin and Severson with 1%; Kowal with 0%
- Aquino and McLaughlin with 2%; Kowal and Severson with 0%
- Not yet released
- "Nearest competitor to Laura Loomer" with 4%
- 34% of a sample of 400 likely voters
- Irina Vilariño with 2%
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Cammack's cmampaign
- Poll sponsored by Sapp's campaign
- Poll sponsored by the Florida Democratic Party, which endorsed Cohn prior to the sampling period.
- Poll sponsored by Cohn's campaign.
- Poll conducted for Buchanan's campaign.
- Poll conducted for Good's campaign.
- Poll sponsored by Keith's campaign
- Poll conducted by Eagle's campaign
- Poll conducted by Loomer's campaign
- Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
- Poll sponsored by Shalala's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Salazar's campaign