Avalon (electoral district)
Federal electoral district in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Avalon is a federal electoral district on Newfoundland Island in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. It has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada, with varying boundaries, since 2004.
 Newfoundland and Labrador electoral district | |||
|---|---|---|---|
Interactive map of riding boundaries from the 2025 federal election | |||
| Federal electoral district | |||
| Legislature | House of Commons | ||
| MP |
Liberal | ||
| District created | 2003 | ||
| First contested | 2004 | ||
| Last contested | 2025 | ||
| District webpage | profile, map | ||
| Demographics | |||
| Population (2016)[1] | 86,494 | ||
| Electors (2025)[2] | 69,890 | ||
| Area (km²)[3] | 6,457.79 | ||
| Pop. density (per km²) | 13.4 | ||
| Census division | Division 1 | ||
| Census subdivision(s) | St. John's (part), Conception Bay South, Bay Roberts, Carbonear, Harbour Grace, Spaniard's Bay, Holyrood, Victoria, Witless Bay, Bay Bulls | ||
_(2022_redistribution).svg)
Demographics
- According to the 2021 Canadian census; 2023 representation[4]
Racial groups: 96.3% White, 2.7% Indigenous
Languages: 99.2% English
Religions: 86.2% Christian (38.9% Catholic, 25.8% Anglican, 11.8% United Church, 3.0% Methodist, 2.7% Pentecostal, 3.9% Other), 13.5% No religion
Median income (2020): $38.800
Average income (2020): $49,560
Geography
The neighbouring ridings are Terra Nova—The Peninsulas to the west and north, and Cape Spear (electoral district) and St. John's East to the east.
Political geography
Avalon is divided between the Liberal north and the Conservative south. Conservative support is found along the southern coast from the community of Bay Bulls to Southern Harbour. The Conservatives also have some concentration in the north central peninsula, including winning the town of Harbour Grace. The Liberals dominate the central and northern parts of the riding. In 2008, the NDP won two polls, one was a mobile poll, and the other contained the community of Hopeall. The Greens also won a poll in Witless Bay.
History
The electoral district was created in 2003 from 57.6% of Bonavista—Trinity—Conception, 21.9% of St. John's West and 20.5% of St. John's East ridings.
The 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution concluded that the electoral boundaries of Avalon should be adjusted.[5] The redefined Avalon had its boundaries legally defined in the 2013 representation order which came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for October 2015.[6] 21% of this riding will be moved into Bonavista—Burin—Trinity, and 3% will be moved into St. John's South—Mount Pearl, and will gain 25% of its new territory from St. John's East. It was given the boundaries described above.
Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, the riding lost the eastern shore of Placentia Bay to Terra Nova—The Peninsulas, gained Salmon Cove from Bonavista—Burin—Trinity, lost the remainder of Paradise to Cape Spear, gain Witless Bay, Bay Bulls and the Southlands and Goulds areas of St. John's from St. John's South—Mount Pearl.[7] These changes came into effect upon the calling of the 2025 Canadian federal election.
Members of Parliament
This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:
| Parliament | Years | Member | Party | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalon Riding created from Bonavista—Trinity—Conception, St. John's East and St. John's West |
||||
| 38th | 2004–2006 | John Efford | Liberal | |
| 39th | 2006–2008 | Fabian Manning | Conservative | |
| 40th | 2008–2011 | Scott Andrews | Liberal | |
| 41st | 2011–2014 | |||
| 2014–2015 | Independent | |||
| 42nd | 2015–2019 | Ken McDonald | Liberal | |
| 43rd | 2019–2021 | |||
| 44th | 2021–2025 | |||
| 45th | 2025–present | Paul Connors | ||
Election results
2025
| 2025 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| Liberal | Paul Connors | 27,563 | 58.61 | +7.73 | $65,090.03 | |||
| Conservative | Steve Kent | 16,953 | 36.05 | +3.01 | $125,003.56 | |||
| New Democratic | Judy Vanta | 2,284 | 4.86 | −9.39 | $0.00 | |||
| Rhinoceros | Alexander Tilley | 230 | 0.49 | N/A | $0.00 | |||
| Total valid votes/expense limit | 47,030 | 99.18 | -0.10 | $127,183.68 | ||||
| Total rejected ballots | 389 | 0.82 | +0.10 | |||||
| Turnout | 47,419 | 66.92 | ||||||
| Eligible voters | 70,859 | |||||||
| Liberal notional hold | Swing | +2.36 | ||||||
| Source: Elections Canada[8] | ||||||||
2021
| 2021 federal election redistributed results[9] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Vote | % | |
| Liberal | 17,916 | 50.88 | |
| Conservative | 11,636 | 33.04 | |
| New Democratic | 5,019 | 14.25 | |
| People's | 643 | 1.83 | |
| 2021 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| Liberal | Ken McDonald | 18,608 | 50.10 | +3.83 | $46,697.12 | |||
| Conservative | Matthew Chapman | 12,738 | 34.29 | +3.19 | $56,179.94 | |||
| New Democratic | Carolyn Davis | 5,151 | 13.87 | −3.41 | $0.00 | |||
| People's | Lainie Stewart | 647 | 1.74 | – | $0.00 | |||
| Total valid votes/expense limit | 37,144 | 99.27 | $110,063.67 | |||||
| Total rejected ballots | 273 | 0.73 | –0.22 | |||||
| Turnout | 37,417 | 52.77 | –6.55 | |||||
| Registered voters | 70,903 | |||||||
| Liberal hold | Swing | +0.32 | ||||||
| Source: Elections Canada[10][11] | ||||||||
2019
| 2019 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| Liberal | Ken McDonald | 19,122 | 46.26 | −9.64 | $63,518.25 | |||
| Conservative | Matthew Chapman | 12,855 | 31.10 | +20.00 | $37,082.47 | |||
| New Democratic | Lea Mary Movelle | 7,142 | 17.28 | +2.85 | none listed | |||
| Green | Greg Malone | 2,215 | 5.36 | +4.82 | none listed | |||
| Total valid votes/expense limit | 41,334 | 99.05 | -0.57 | $104,436.05 | ||||
| Total rejected ballots | 397 | 0.95 | +0.57 | |||||
| Turnout | 41,731 | 59.33 | −2.36 | |||||
| Eligible voters | 70,341 | |||||||
| Liberal hold | Swing | −14.82 | ||||||
| Source: Elections Canada[12][13] | ||||||||
2015
| 2015 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| Liberal | Ken McDonald | 23,528 | 55.90 | +22.73 | $70,924.68 | |||
| Independent | Scott Andrews | 7,501 | 17.82 | –26.15 | $63,334.50 | |||
| New Democratic | Jeannie Baldwin | 6,075 | 14.43 | –14.10 | $70,840.75 | |||
| Conservative | Lorraine E. Barnett | 4,670 | 11.10 | –26.00 | $58,123.54 | |||
| Green | Krista Byrne-Puumala | 228 | 0.54 | –0.09 | $76.49 | |||
| Strength in Democracy | Jennifer McCreath | 84 | 0.20 | – | – | |||
| Total valid votes/expense limit | 42,086 | 100.00 | $208,407.32 | |||||
| Total rejected ballots | 162 | 0.38 | ||||||
| Turnout | 42,248 | 62.33 | ||||||
| Eligible voters | 67,781 | |||||||
| Liberal notional gain from Independent | Swing | +24.36 | ||||||
| Source: Elections Canada[14][15] | ||||||||
| 2011 federal election redistributed results[16] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Vote | % | |
| Conservative | 13,214 | 37.09 | |
| Liberal | 11,820 | 33.18 | |
| New Democratic | 10,164 | 28.53 | |
| Green | 226 | 0.63 | |
| Others | 201 | 0.56 | |
2011
In the 2011 election, the Liberal candidate was the incumbent MP, Scott Andrews, a former municipal councillor from Conception Bay South. He defeated the Tory candidate, Senator Fabian Manning of St. Bride's, for the second election in a row. Manning was the Conservative MP for this riding from 2006 to 2008, when he lost to Andrews.
| 2011 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| Liberal | Scott Andrews | 16,008 | 43.97 | -1.31 | $71,517.62 | |||
| Conservative | Fabian Manning | 14,749 | 40.51 | +5.35 | $85,098.25 | |||
| New Democratic | Matthew Martin Fuchs | 5,157 | 14.16 | -3.22 | $3,735.98 | |||
| Independent | Randy Wayne Dawe | 276 | 0.76 | – | $1,060.00 | |||
| Green | Matt Crowder | 218 | 0.60 | -1.57 | $11.96 | |||
| Total valid votes/expense limit | 36,408 | 100.0 | – | $85,411.40 | ||||
| Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots | 166 | 0.45 | -0.34 | |||||
| Turnout | 36,574 | 56.77 | +4.97 | |||||
| Eligible voters | 64,424 | |||||||
| Liberal hold | Swing | -3.33 | ||||||
| Sources:[17][18] | ||||||||
2008
| 2008 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| Liberal | Scott Andrews | 14,866 | 45.28 | +6.70 | $68,253 | |||
| Conservative | Fabian Manning | 11,542 | 35.16 | -16.39 | $54,159 | |||
| New Democratic | Randy Wayne Dawe | 5,707 | 17.38 | +8.31 | $25,080 | |||
| Green | Dave Aylward | 714 | 2.17 | +1.37 | $766 | |||
| Total valid votes/expense limit | 32,829 | 100.0 | – | $82,453 | ||||
| Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots | 262 | 0.79 | -0.86 | |||||
| Turnout | 33,091 | 51.80 | -7.81 | |||||
| Eligible voters | 63,882 | |||||||
| Liberal gain from Conservative | Swing | +11.54 | ||||||
2006
| 2006 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| Conservative | Fabian Manning | 19,132 | 51.55 | +22.24 | $71,141 | |||
| Liberal | Bill Morrow | 14,318 | 38.58 | -19.76 | $71,528 | |||
| New Democratic | Eugene Conway | 3,365 | 9.07 | -1.91 | $1,036 | |||
| Green | Shannon Hillier | 297 | 0.80 | -0.57 | none listed | |||
| Total valid votes/expense limit | 37,112 | 100.0 | – | $76,596 | ||||
| Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots | 623 | 1.65 | +0.59 | |||||
| Turnout | 37,735 | 59.61 | +9.78 | |||||
| Eligible voters | 63,303 | |||||||
| Conservative gain from Liberal | Swing | +21.00 | ||||||
2004
| 2004 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
| Liberal | R. John Efford | 18,335 | 58.34 | +12.41 | $47,245 | |||
| Conservative | Rick Dalton | 9,211 | 29.31 | -10.37 | $50,104 | |||
| New Democratic | Michael Kehoe | 3,450 | 10.98 | -3.24 | $2,472 | |||
| Green | Don C. Ferguson | 430 | 1.37 | – | $746 | |||
| Total valid votes/expense limit | 31,246 | 100.0 | – | $74,947 | ||||
| Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots | 336 | 1.06 | ||||||
| Turnout | 31,762 | 49.83 | ||||||
| Eligible voters | 63,745 | |||||||
| Liberal notional hold | Swing | +11.39 | ||||||
| Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Change for the Conservatives is from the combined totals of the Progressive Conservatives and the Canadian Alliance. | ||||||||
| 2000 federal election redistributed results | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Vote | % | |
| Liberal | 17,614 | 45.93 | |
| Progressive Conservative | 14,412 | 37.58 | |
| New Democratic | 5,454 | 14.22 | |
| Alliance | 805 | 2.10 | |
| Others | 66 | 0.17 | |
Student vote results
2025
| 2025 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||||
| Liberal | Paul Connors | 1,215 | 39.80 | |||||
| Conservative | Steve Kent | 1,162 | 38.06 | |||||
| New Democratic | Judy Vanta | 379 | 12.41 | |||||
| Rhinoceros | Alexander Tilley | 297 | 9.73 | |||||
| Total votes | 3,053 | 100 | ||||||
| Source: Student Vote Canada[19] | ||||||||
2021
| 2021 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||||
| Liberal | Ken McDonald | 857 | 36.77 | |||||
| New Democratic | Carolyn Davis | 707 | 30.33 | |||||
| Conservative | Matthew Chapman | 622 | 26.68 | |||||
| People's | Lainie Stewart | 145 | 6.22 | |||||
| Total votes | 2,331 | 100 | ||||||
| Source: Student Vote Canada[20] | ||||||||
2019
| 2019 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| Liberal | Kenneth McDonald | 1,332 | 30.35 | -24.69 | ||||
| New Democratic | Lea Mary Movelle | 1,292 | 29.44 | +14.74 | ||||
| Conservative | Matthew Chapman | 1,045 | 23.81 | +17.03 | ||||
| Green | Greg Malone | 720 | 16.4 | +12.4 | ||||
| Total Valid Votes | 4,389 | 100.0 | – | |||||
| Source: Student Vote Canada[21] | ||||||||
2015
| 2015 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| Liberal | Ken McDonald | 633 | 55.04 | +6.32 | ||||
| Independent | Scott Andrews | 212 | 18.43 | -30.29 | ||||
| New Democratic | Jeannie Baldwin | 169 | 14.7 | +3.33 | ||||
| Conservative | Lorraine E. Barnett | 78 | 6.78 | -22.74 | ||||
| Green | Krista Byrne-Puumala | 46 | 4 | -3.86 | ||||
| Strength in Democracy | Jennifer McCreath | 12 | 1.04 | – | ||||
| Total Valid Votes | 1,150 | 100.0 | – | |||||
| Source: Student Vote Canada[22] | ||||||||
2011
| 2011 Canadian federal election | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||||
| Liberal | Scott Andrews | 972 | 48.72 | |||||
| Conservative | Fabian Manning | 589 | 29.52 | |||||
| New Democratic | Matthew Martin Fuchs | 227 | 11.37 | |||||
| Green | Matt Crowder | 157 | 7.86 | |||||
| Independent | Randy Wayne Dawe | 50 | 2.5 | |||||
| Total Valid Votes | 1,995 | 100.0 | ||||||
| Source: Student Vote Canada[23] | ||||||||