2018 United States Senate election in New York
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2018 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a second full term, defeating Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley with nearly 67% of the vote. Gillibrand carried a majority of the state's counties and 26 of the state's 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans the same night.
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November 6, 2018
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| Turnout | 47.99% | |||||||||||||||||||
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   Gillibrand: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Farley: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
Kirsten Gillibrand ran unopposed in the primary and automatically became the Democratic nominee.
Candidates
Nominee
- Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. senator[1][2]
Failed to file
Declined
- Chelsea Clinton, daughter of former senator Hillary Clinton[5]
- Andrew Cuomo, incumbent New York governor
- Caroline Kennedy, former United States ambassador to Japan, daughter of former president John F. Kennedy and member of the Kennedy family[6]
- Andrew Yang, entrepreneur (ran for Democratic presidential nomination in 2020)[7]
Republican primary
The Republican Party nominated private equity executive Chele Chiavacci Farley.[8]
Candidates
Nominee
- Chele Chiavacci Farley, private equity executive[9]
Failed to file
- Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and perennial candidate[4]
- Patrick John Hahn, civic activist[4]
- Rafael Arden Jones Sr.[4]
- David A. Webber[4]
Declined
- Chris Gibson, former U.S. representative[10]
- Joseph Holland, former commissioner of the Department of Housing and Community Renewal[11] (running for governor)
General election
Endorsements
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
Individuals
- Amy Schumer, actress[12]
Organizations
- AFL-CIO[13]
- CSEA[14]
- EMILY's List[15]
- End Citizens United[16]
- Giffords[17]
- Human Rights Campaign[18]
- National Organization for Women[19]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[20]
- New York State United Teachers[21]
- PSC (Professional Staff Congress) CUNY[22]
- Sierra Club[23]
- Working Families[24]
Newspapers
Chele Farley (R)
U.S. president
U.S. senators
- Al D'Amato, former U.S. senator (R-NY)[31]
U.S. representative
- Chris Collins, U.S. representative (R-NY-27)[32]
- Dan Donovan, U.S. representative (R-NY-11)[33]
- John Faso, U.S. representative (R-NY-19)[34]
- John Katko, U.S. representative (R-NY-24)[35]
- Peter King, U.S. representative (R-NY-2)[36]
- Tom Reed, U.S. representative (R-NY-23)[37]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. representative (R-NY-21)[38]
- Claudia Tenney, U.S. representative (R-NY-22)[39]
- Lee Zeldin, U.S. representative (R-NY-1)[40]
Governors
- Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas[41]
- George Pataki, former governor of New York[42]
Individuals
- Rudy Giuliani, former mayor of New York City[43]
- Sean Hannity, conservative talk radio host and host of Hannity[44]
Organizations
- Crown Heights PAC[45]
Newspapers
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[48] | Safe D | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[49] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[50] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[51] | Likely D | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN[52] | Safe D | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[53] | Safe D | June 7, 2018 |
†Highest rating given
Polling
View source data.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Chele Chiavacci Farley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co.[54] | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 32% | – | 8% |
| Siena College[55] | October 28 – November 1, 2018 | 641 | ± 3.9% | 58% | 35% | 0% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[56] | October 10–16, 2018 | 852 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 33% | 0% | 8% |
| Siena College[57] | September 20–27, 2018 | 701 | ± 3.9% | 61% | 29% | 0% | 9% |
| Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)[58] | August 29–30, 2018 | 2,783 | ± 1.9% | 51% | 36% | – | 13% |
| Quinnipiac University[59] | July 12–16, 2018 | 934 | ± 4.1% | 57% | 30% | 1% | 10% |
| Siena College[60] | June 4–7, 2018 | 745 | ± 3.7% | 61% | 28% | 0% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[61] | April 26 – May 1, 2018 | 1,076 | ± 3.7% | 58% | 23% | 1% | 16% |
| Siena College[62] | April 8–12, 2018 | 692 | ± 4.3% | 58% | 27% | 0% | 13% |
| Siena College[63] | March 11–16, 2018 | 772 | ± 4.0% | 60% | 24% | 0% | 14% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kirsten Gillibrand | 3,755,489 | 61.98% | −4.38% | |
| Working Families | Kirsten Gillibrand | 160,128 | 2.64% | −1.12% | |
| Independence | Kirsten Gillibrand | 99,325 | 1.64% | −0.43% | |
| Women's Equality | Kirsten Gillibrand | 41,989 | 0.69% | N/A | |
| Total | Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) | 4,056,931 | 66.96% | −5.23% | |
| Republican | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 1,730,439 | 28.56% | +5.84% | |
| Conservative | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 246,171 | 4.06% | +0.45% | |
| Reform | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 21,610 | 0.36% | N/A | |
| Total | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 1,998,220 | 32.98% | +6.65% | |
| Write ins | Write ins | 3,872 | 0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 6,059,023 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
| County | Kirsten Gillibrand Democratic |
Chele Farley Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Albany | 78,115 | 68.1% | 36,456 | 31.8% | 124 | 0.1% | 41,659 | 36.3% | 114,695 |
| Allegany | 5,460 | 37.1% | 9,261 | 62.9% | 3 | 0.01% | −3,801 | −25.8% | 14,724 |
| Bronx | 257,723 | 91.7% | 23,033 | 8.2% | 168 | 0.1% | 234,690 | 83.5% | 280,924 |
| Broome | 41,145 | 57.1% | 30,897 | 42.9% | 48 | 0.1% | 10,248 | 14.2% | 72,090 |
| Cattaraugus | 10,431 | 44.0% | 13,256 | 56.0% | 5 | 0.01% | −2,825 | −12.0% | 23,692 |
| Cayuga | 13,823 | 51.1% | 13,232 | 48.9% | 9 | 0.01% | 591 | 2.2% | 27,064 |
| Chautauqua | 20,810 | 48.2% | 22,361 | 51.8% | 13 | 0.01% | −1,551 | −3.6% | 43,184 |
| Chemung | 14,347 | 49.0% | 14,902 | 50.9% | 14 | 0.1% | −555 | −1.9% | 29,263 |
| Chenango | 7,286 | 44.7% | 8,996 | 55.2% | 10 | 0.1% | −1,710 | −10.5% | 16,292 |
| Clinton | 15,930 | 61.4% | 10,012 | 38.6% | 2 | 0.01% | 5,918 | 22.8% | 25,944 |
| Columbia | 18,137 | 62.1% | 11,055 | 37.8% | 21 | 0.1% | 7,082 | 24.3% | 29,213 |
| Cortland | 9,113 | 56.2% | 7,099 | 43.8% | 11 | 0.1% | 2,014 | 12.4% | 16,223 |
| Delaware | 7,871 | 46.4% | 9,066 | 53.5% | 9 | 0.1% | −1,195 | −7.1% | 16,946 |
| Dutchess | 63,675 | 57.4% | 47,268 | 42.6% | 48 | 0.01% | 16,407 | 14.8% | 110,991 |
| Erie | 206,024 | 61.7% | 127,860 | 38.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 78,164 | 23.4% | 333,884 |
| Essex | 8,294 | 59.7% | 5,591 | 40.2% | 7 | 0.1% | 2,703 | 19.5% | 13,892 |
| Franklin | 8,245 | 59.6% | 5,576 | 40.3% | 2 | 0.1% | 2,669 | 19.3% | 13,823 |
| Fulton | 6,896 | 41.3% | 9,790 | 58.7% | 4 | 0.01% | −2,894 | −17.4% | 16,690 |
| Genesee | 8,149 | 39.3% | 12,552 | 60.6% | 10 | 0.1% | −4,403 | −21.3% | 20,711 |
| Greene | 8,944 | 46.5% | 10,293 | 53.5% | 14 | 0.01% | −1,349 | −7.0% | 19,251 |
| Hamilton | 1,078 | 39.3% | 1,662 | 60.6% | 2 | 0.1% | −584 | −21.3% | 2,742 |
| Herkimer | 9,395 | 44.4% | 11,742 | 55.5% | 9 | 0.1% | −2,347 | −11.1% | 21,146 |
| Jefferson | 14,741 | 49.7% | 14,884 | 50.2% | 15 | 0.1% | −143 | −0.5% | 29,640 |
| Kings | 542,736 | 86.2% | 85,973 | 13.7% | 663 | 0.1% | 456,763 | 72.5% | 629,372 |
| Lewis | 3,707 | 42.0% | 5,120 | 58.0% | 3 | 0.01% | −1,413 | −16.0% | 8,830 |
| Livingston | 11,311 | 46.9% | 12,782 | 53.0% | 7 | 0.1% | −1,471 | −6.1% | 24,100 |
| Madison | 12,817 | 49.8% | 12,894 | 50.1% | 24 | 0.1% | -77 | -0.3% | 25,735 |
| Monroe | 174,788 | 62.4% | 105,198 | 37.6% | 111 | 0.01% | 69,590 | 24.8% | 280,097 |
| Montgomery | 7,024 | 46.3% | 8,131 | 53.6% | 6 | 0.1% | −1,107 | −7.3% | 15,161 |
| Nassau | 294,186 | 58.9% | 104,875 | 41.0% | 184 | 0.1% | 89,311 | 17.9% | 499,245 |
| New York | 481,779 | 89.8% | 53,813 | 10.0% | 768 | 0.2% | 427,966 | 79.8% | 536,360 |
| Niagara | 35,225 | 49.4% | 36,088 | 50.6% | 29 | 0.01% | -863 | -1.2% | 71,342 |
| Oneida | 38,613 | 50.7% | 37,446 | 49.2% | 28 | 0.1% | 1,167 | 1.5% | 76,087 |
| Onondaga | 109,201 | 62.1% | 66,599 | 37.9% | 145 | 0.01% | 42,602 | 24.2% | 175,945 |
| Ontario | 23,126 | 52.9% | 20,543 | 47.0% | 14 | 0.1% | 2,583 | 5.9% | 43,683 |
| Orange | 67,701 | 56.2% | 52,640 | 43.7% | 36 | 0.1% | 15,061 | 12.5% | 120,377 |
| Orleans | 4,545 | 36.2% | 7,999 | 63.7% | 4 | 0.1% | −3,454 | −27.5% | 12,548 |
| Oswego | 17,717 | 46.3% | 20,499 | 53.6% | 14 | 0.1% | -2,782 | -7.3% | 38,230 |
| Otsego | 11,453 | 53.4% | 9,969 | 46.5% | 7 | 0.1% | 1,484 | 6.9% | 21,429 |
| Putnam | 19,103 | 49.8% | 19,222 | 50.1% | 8 | 0.1% | −119 | −0.3% | 38,333 |
| Queens | 398,414 | 81.5% | 89,810 | 18.4% | 415 | 0.1% | 308,604 | 63.1% | 488,639 |
| Rensselaer | 34,680 | 57.2% | 25,964 | 42.8% | 24 | 0.01% | 8,716 | 14.4% | 60,668 |
| Richmond | 71,175 | 52.1% | 65,375 | 47.8% | 116 | 0.1% | 5,800 | 4.3% | 136,666 |
| Rockland | 59,386 | 59.9% | 39,730 | 40.1% | 58 | 0.01% | 19,656 | 19.8% | 99,174 |
| Saratoga | 52,523 | 54.9% | 43,114 | 45.1% | 12 | 0.01% | 9,409 | 9.8% | 95,649 |
| Schenectady | 32,735 | 59.8% | 22,005 | 40.2% | 37 | 0.01% | 10,730 | 19.6% | 54,777 |
| Schoharie | 5,355 | 44.3% | 6,726 | 55.7% | 5 | 0.01% | −1,371 | −11.4% | 12,086 |
| Schuyler | 3,440 | 47.0% | 3,868 | 52.9% | 6 | 0.1% | −428 | −5.9% | 7,314 |
| Seneca | 5,997 | 52.2% | 5,484 | 47.7% | 10 | 0.1% | 513 | 4.5% | 11,491 |
| St. Lawrence | 17,970 | 55.8% | 14,201 | 44.1% | 5 | 0.1% | 3,769 | 11.7% | 32,176 |
| Steuben | 13,868 | 41.2% | 19,776 | 58.8% | 6 | 0.01% | −5,908 | −17.6% | 33,650 |
| Suffolk | 289,528 | 54.7% | 239,477 | 45.3% | 145 | 0.01% | 50,051 | 9.4% | 529,150 |
| Sullivan | 12,937 | 53.3% | 11,319 | 46.6% | 14 | 0.1% | 1,618 | 6.7% | 24,270 |
| Tioga | 8,002 | 44.0% | 10,188 | 56.0% | 8 | 0.01% | −2,186 | −12.0% | 18,198 |
| Tompkins | 28,818 | 77.2% | 8,399 | 22.5% | 111 | 0.3% | 20,419 | 54.7% | 37,328 |
| Ulster | 50,163 | 64.6% | 27,410 | 35.3% | 45 | 0.1% | 22,753 | 29.3% | 77,618 |
| Warren | 14,634 | 56.8% | 11,118 | 43.2% | 7 | 0.01% | 3,516 | 13.6% | 25,759 |
| Washington | 10,465 | 51.3% | 9,940 | 48.7% | 5 | 0.01% | 525 | 2.6% | 20,410 |
| Wayne | 13,931 | 44.3% | 17,522 | 55.7% | 12 | 0.01% | −3,591 | −11.4% | 31,465 |
| Westchester | 234,173 | 70.7% | 96,978 | 29.3% | 226 | 0.01% | 137,195 | 41.4% | 331,377 |
| Wyoming | 4,330 | 32.9% | 8,837 | 67.1% | 3 | 0.01% | −4,507 | −34.2% | 13,170 |
| Yates | 3,743 | 46.3% | 4,344 | 53.7% | 3 | 0.01% | −601 | −7.4% | 8,090 |
| Totals | 4,056,931 | 66.96% | 1,998,220 | 32.98% | 3,872 | 0.06% | 2,058,711 | 33.98% | 6,509,023 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cattaraugus (largest municipality: Olean)
- Chautauqua (largest municipality: Jamestown)
- Chemung (largest municipality: Elmira)
- Chenango (largest municipality: Norwich)
- Delaware (largest municipality: Sidney)
- Fulton (largest municipality: Gloversville)
- Genesee (largest municipality: Batavia)
- Greene (largest municipality: Catskill)
- Hamilton (largest municipality: Long Lake)
- Herkimer (largest municipality: German Flatts)
- Jefferson (largest municipality: Le Ray)
- Lewis (largest municipality: Lowville)
- Livingston (largest municipality: Geneseo)
- Madison (largest municipality: Oneida)
- Montgomery (largest municipality: Amsterdam)
- Niagara (largest municipality: Niagara Falls)
- Orleans (largest municipality: Albion)
- Oswego (largest municipality: Oswego)
- Putnam (largest municipality: Lake Carmel)
- Steuben (largest municipality: Corning)
- Schoharie (largest municipality: Cobleskill)
- Schuyler (largest municipality: Watkins Glen)
- Tioga (largest municipality: Waverly)
- Wayne (largest municipality: Newark)
- Yates (largest municipality: Penn Yan)
By congressional district
Gillibrand won 26 of 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans.[65]
| District | Gillibrand | Farley | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 53% | 47% | Lee Zeldin |
| 2nd | 54% | 46% | Peter T. King |
| 3rd | 59% | 41% | Thomas Suozzi |
| 4th | 60% | 40% | Kathleen Rice |
| 5th | 90% | 10% | Gregory Meeks |
| 6th | 72% | 28% | Grace Meng |
| 7th | 92% | 8% | Nydia Velázquez |
| 8th | 90% | 10% | Hakeem Jeffries |
| 9th | 89% | 11% | Yvette Clarke |
| 10th | 84% | 16% | Jerry Nadler |
| 11th | 55% | 45% | Max Rose |
| 12th | 87% | 13% | Carolyn Maloney |
| 13th | 95% | 5% | Adriano Espaillat |
| 14th | 84% | 16% | Alexandria Ocasio Cortez |
| 15th | 96% | 4% | Jose E. Serrano |
| 16th | 79% | 21% | Eliot Engel |
| 17th | 66% | 34% | Nita Lowey |
| 18th | 57% | 43% | Sean Patrick Maloney |
| 19th | 56% | 44% | Antonio Delgado |
| 20th | 63% | 37% | Paul Tonko |
| 21st | 53% | 47% | Elise Stefanik |
| 22nd | 51% | 49% | Anthony Brindisi |
| 23rd | 51% | 49% | Tom Reed |
| 24th | 58% | 42% | John Katko |
| 25th | 63% | 37% | Joe Morelle |
| 26th | 68% | 32% | Brian Higgins |
| 27th | 47% | 53% | Chris Collins |
