2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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The 2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Massachusetts, concurrently with the election of Massachusetts's Class II U.S. Senate seat, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
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November 4, 2014
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| Turnout | 51.62%  3.19[1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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    Baker: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Coakley: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democratic Governor Deval Patrick was eligible to seek a third term but stated in January 2011 that he would not run for re-election.[2][3] The office of lieutenant governor had been vacant since the resignation of Tim Murray in June 2013.
Primary elections for governor and lieutenant governor were conducted separately on September 9, 2014: the Democrats nominated Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley and former CEO of the Democratic National Convention Steve Kerrigan, and the Republicans nominated former state cabinet secretary and 2010 gubernatorial nominee Charlie Baker and former state representative Karyn Polito.
Baker defeated Coakley and three other candidates in the general election. This was the second time in four years that Coakley, despite running as a Democrat in one of the most Democratic-leaning states in the union, lost a statewide election to a Republican. This was her final attempt at winning public office. This election, as of 2026, was the last Massachusetts gubernatorial election where the winning candidate did not both win every county and at least 63% of the vote.
Democratic primary
Governor
Candidates
- Donald Berwick, former administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and CEO of the Institute for Healthcare Improvement[4][5]
- Martha Coakley, attorney general of Massachusetts and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2010[6]
- Steven Grossman, treasurer and receiver-general of Massachusetts, former chairman of the Democratic National Committee and Massachusetts Democratic Party[7]
Eliminated at convention
- Joseph Avellone, executive at PAREXEL, former COO of Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts and former chairman of the Wellesley board of selectmen[8]
- Juliette Kayyem, former assistant U.S. secretary of Homeland Security[8]
Withdrew
Declined
- Suzanne M. Bump, Massachusetts state auditor (ran for re-election)[10]
- Mike Capuano, U.S. representative from Somerville and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010 (ran for re-election)[11]
- Mo Cowan, former U.S. senator[12]
- Joseph Curtatone, mayor of Somerville[13]
- Robert DeLeo, speaker of the Massachusetts House of Representatives[14]
- Barney Frank, former U.S. representative[15]
- Therese Murray, president of the Massachusetts Senate[16][17]
- Tim Murray, former lieutenant governor of Massachusetts and former mayor of Worcester[18]
- Carmen Ortiz, U.S. attorney for the District of Massachusetts[19]
- Deval Patrick, incumbent governor of Massachusetts[2][3]
- Rick Sullivan, chief of staff to Governor Deval Patrick and former secretary of Energy and Environmental Affairs and mayor of Westfield[20]
Endorsements
Joe Avellone
Individuals
- Morris A. Bergman, Worcester city councilor[21]
- Kevin F. Coughlin, Quincy city councilor
- Noel DiBona, Quincy school committeeman
- Anthony J. Economou, Worcester city councilor[21]
- Christine Fagan, Taunton school committee member[22]
- John Gilis, Norfolk County commissioner
- Douglas S. Gutro, Quincy city councilor
- Sherry Costa Hanlon, Taunton city councilor[22]
- Tom Hoye, mayor of Taunton[23]
- Tim McCarthy, Boston city councilor[24]
- Patrick McDermott, Norfolk County register of probate
- Ray Mitchell, Fall River city councilor
- Alice Peisch, state representative[25]
- Joseph Petty, mayor of Worcester[26]
- Sarai Rivera, Worcester city councilor[21]
- Jass Stewart, Brockton city councilor[27]
- Kathleen M. Toomey, Worcester city councilor[21]
Don Berwick
Individuals
- Daniel E. Bosley, former state representative[28]
- Sonia Chang-Díaz, state senator[29]
- Paul Demakis, former state representative[30]
- Ken Donnelly, state senator[31]
- James Eldridge, state senator[32]
- Paul Farmer, co-founder of Partners in Health[33]
- Marshall Ganz, grassroots organizer[33]
- Atul Gawande, surgeon and public health researcher at Brigham and Women's Hospital[34]
- Rosanne Haggerty, founder of Common Ground (New York City)[33]
- Patricia Jehlen, state senator[35]
- John Kitzhaber, governor of Oregon[36]
- Jay Livingstone, state representative[30]
- John E. McDonough, former state representative[33]
- Patrick O. Murphy, former mayor of Lowell[37]
- Bill Owens, former state senator[38]
- Denise Provost, state representative[39]
- Susan Tucker, former state senator and state representative[28]
- Dan Wolf, state senator and CEO of Cape Air[31]
Organizations
- Jamaica Plain Progressives[40]
- Mass-Care[41]
- Progressive Democrats of Massachusetts[42]
- Progressive Massachusetts[43]
Newspapers
Martha Coakley
Individuals
- Katherine Clark, U.S. representative[48]
- Sean Curran, state representative[49]
- Ray Jordan, vice-chair of the Massachusetts Democratic Party[49]
- Barbara F. Lee, philanthropist and political activist[50]
- Zaida Luna, Springfield Ward 1 city councilor[49]
- Alex Morse, mayor of Holyoke[51]
- Therese Murray, president of the Massachusetts Senate[17]
- Benjamin Swan, state representative[49]
- Bud L. Williams, Springfield city councilor at large[49]
Organizations
Labor unions
- 1199SEIU United Healthcare Workers East[55]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) 103[56]
- Massachusetts Coalition of Police[56]
- Massachusetts Police Association[56]
- New England Regional Council of Carpenters[57]
- Painters & Allied Trades District Council #35[56]
- Sheet Metal Workers Local 63[49]
- Utility Workers Union of America (UWUA) 369[56]
Newspapers
- The Rainbow Times[58]
Steve Grossman
Individuals
- Michael Ashe, sheriff of Hampden County[59]
- Ted Bettencourt, mayor of Peabody[60]
- Harriette L. Chandler, state senator[61]
- Howard Dean, former governor of Vermont, former chair of the Democratic National Committee, and candidate for president in 2004[62]
- Sal DiDomenico, state senator[63]
- Michael O. Moore, state senator[61]
- David Narkewicz, mayor of Northampton[64]
- Stan Rosenberg, majority leader of the Massachusetts Senate[65]
- Domenic Sarno, mayor of Springfield[59]
- Micky Ward, former WBU champion professional boxer[66]
Organizations
Newspapers
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||||
| Joseph Avellone | Donald Berwick | Martha Coakley | Steven Grossman | Juliette Kayyem | |||||
| 1 | January 29, 2014 | Jim Madigan | [69] | P | P | P | P | P | |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joseph Avellone |
Donald Berwick |
Martha Coakley |
Steven Grossman |
Juliette Kayyem |
Dan Wolf |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBUR/MassINC[70] | September 2–7, 2014 | 234 | ± 6.4% | — | 12% | 41% | 20% | — | — | 1% | 27% |
| Boston Globe[71] | September 2–3, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.8% | — | 13% | 47% | 25% | — | — | — | 14% |
| UMass Lowell[72] | August 25–31, 2014 | 685 | ± 4.55% | — | 9% | 52% | 20% | — | — | — | 19% |
| WBUR/MassINC[73] | August 24–31, 2014 | 340 | ± 5.3% | — | 6% | 47% | 23% | — | — | <1% | 24% |
| Boston Globe[74] | August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 | 361 | ± 5.2% | — | 10% | 46% | 24% | — | — | — | 21% |
| Suffolk[75] | August 21–24, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | — | 15.75% | 42.25% | 30% | — | — | — | 12% |
| Boston Globe[76] | August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 | 358 | ± 5.2% | — | 10% | 45% | 24% | — | — | — | 21% |
| Boston Globe[77] | August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014 | 357 | ± 5.2% | — | 10% | 45% | 21% | — | — | — | 24% |
| Boston Globe[78] | July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014 | 361 | ± 5.2% | — | 9% | 45% | 18% | — | — | — | 28% |
| Boston Globe[79] | July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014 | 369 | ± 5.1% | — | 5% | 45% | 20% | — | — | — | 30% |
| Boston Globe[80] | July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014 | 374 | ± 5.1% | — | 5% | 46% | 18% | — | — | — | 30% |
| Boston Globe[81] | July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014 | 362 | ± 5.1% | — | 6% | 50% | 16% | — | — | — | 28% |
| Boston Globe[82] | June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014 | 365 | ± 5.1% | — | 5% | 53% | 17% | — | — | — | 26% |
| Boston Globe[83] | June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014 | 373 | ± ? | — | 6% | 52% | 18% | — | — | — | 24% |
| Boston Globe[84] | June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014 | 392 | ± ? | — | 8% | 52% | 19% | — | — | — | 21% |
| Boston Globe[85] | June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014 | 198 | ± ? | — | 8% | 52% | 19% | — | — | — | 21% |
| Boston Globe[86] | June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 | 442 | ± 4.7% | 2% | 3% | 49% | 14% | 3% | — | — | 30% |
| Suffolk University[87] | June 4–7, 2014 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 1.78% | 4% | 44% | 12% | 2.44% | — | — | 35.77% |
| WBUR/MassINC[88] | May 16–18, 2014 | 262 | ± 6.1% | 1% | 3% | 51% | 7% | 4% | — | 1% | 32% |
| UMass[89] | March 31–April 6, 2014 | 156 | ± ? | — | 3% | 39% | 9% | 3% | — | 2% | 44% |
| WBUR/MassINC[90] | March 14–16, 2014 | 237 | ± ? | 1% | 4% | 45% | 14% | 2% | — | 2% | 32% |
| Suffolk University[91] | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 309 | ± 4% | 0.97% | 0.97% | 56.31% | 10.68% | 4.21% | — | — | 26.86% |
| Public Policy Polling[92] | September 20–23, 2013 | 324 | ± 5.4% | 4% | 6% | 57% | 10% | 2% | 3% | — | 17% |
Hypothetical polling
With Capuano and Coakley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joseph Avellone |
Donald Berwick |
Mike Capuano |
Martha Coakley |
Steven Grossman |
Juliette Kayyem |
Dan Wolf |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[92] | September 20–23, 2013 | 324 | ± 5.4% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 13% |
Without Coakley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joseph Avellone |
Donald Berwick |
Mike Capuano |
Mo Cowan |
William Galvin |
Steven Grossman |
Carmen Ortiz |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 666 | ± 3.9% | 5% | 4% | 17% | 4% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 44% |
With Coakley and Murray
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Suzanne Bump |
Martha Coakley |
Steven Grossman |
Tim Murray |
Setti Warren |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[94] | May 20–22, 2012 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 3% | 35% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 10% | 23% |
| Suffolk University[95] | February 11–15, 2012 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 1% | 43% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 15% | 16% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve Grossman | 1,547 | 35.2 | |
| Democratic | Martha Coakley | 1,024 | 23.3 | |
| Democratic | Donald Berwick | 972 | 22.1 | |
| Democratic | Juliette Kayyem | 535 | 12.1 | |
| Democratic | Joseph Avellone | 311 | 7.1 | |
| Total votes | 4,389 | 100 | ||
Bold denotes candidate met the minimum threshold of fifteen percent to appear on the primary ballot.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Martha Coakley | 229,156 | 42.4 | |
| Democratic | Steve Grossman | 196,594 | 36.4 | |
| Democratic | Donald Berwick | 113,988 | 21.1 | |
| Democratic | Other | 995 | 0.2 | |
| Democratic | Blank votes | 15,359 | ||
| Total votes | 556,092 | 100.00 | ||
Lieutenant governor
Candidates
Declared
- Leland Cheung, Cambridge city councilor and board member of the Massachusetts Technology Collaborative[98]
- Steve Kerrigan, former CEO of the Democratic National Convention[99]
- Michael Lake, candidate for state auditor in 2010[100]
Eliminated at convention
- James Arena-DeRosa, former United States Department of Agriculture administrator[101]
Withdrew
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
James Arena-DeRosa |
Leland Cheung |
Jonathan Edwards |
Stephen Kerrigan |
Michael Lake |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Globe[71] | September 2–3, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.8% | — | 7% | — | 23% | 9% | — | 60% |
| UMass Lowell[72] | August 25–31, 2014 | 685 | ± 4.55% | — | 10% | — | 24% | 10% | — | 57% |
| Boston Globe[74] | August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 | 361 | ± 5.2% | — | 5% | — | 14% | 7% | — | 74% |
| Suffolk[75] | August 21–24, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | — | 8.75% | — | 9.5% | 9% | — | 72.75% |
| Boston Globe[76] | August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 | 358 | ± 5.2% | — | 7% | — | 12% | 5% | — | 75% |
| Boston Globe[86] | June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 | 442 | ± 4.7% | 3% | 5% | — | 5% | 3% | — | 85% |
| Suffolk[104] | June 4–7, 2014 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 0.89% | 4% | — | 4% | 2.67% | — | 88.44% |
| Suffolk[105] | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 309 | ± ? | 1.94% | 4.53% | 3.56 | 5.5% | 2.27% | — | 82.2% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve Kerrigan | 1,625 | 37.6 | |
| Democratic | Michael Lake | 1,529 | 35.4 | |
| Democratic | Leland Cheung | 695 | 16.2 | |
| Democratic | James Arena-DeRosa | 460 | 10.6 | |
| Total votes | 4,304 | 100 | ||
Bold denotes candidate met the minimum threshold of 15 percent to appear on the primary ballot
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve Kerrigan | 222,562 | 50.7 | |
| Democratic | Leland Cheung | 128,645 | 29.3 | |
| Democratic | Michael Lake | 86,006 | 19.6 | |
| Democratic | All Others | 1,435 | 0.3 | |
| Democratic | Blank Votes | 117,444 | ||
| Total votes | 556,092 | 100 | ||
Republican primary
Governor
Candidates
- Charlie Baker, former state cabinet secretary and nominee for governor in 2010[106]
- Mark Fisher, businessman and Tea Party activist[107]
Declined
- Scott Brown, former U.S. senator (ran for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire)[108]
- Gabriel E. Gomez, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2013[109]
- Karyn Polito, former state representative and nominee for state treasurer in 2010[110] (running for lieutenant governor)
- Richard Tisei, former state senate minority leader, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010 and nominee for U.S. representative in 2012 (ran for U.S. representative)[111]
- William Weld, former governor[112]
- Daniel Winslow, former state representative and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2013[113]
Campaign
At the Republican State Convention on March 22, 2014, Baker received 2,095 votes (82.708%), businessman and Tea Party activist Mark Fisher received 374 votes (14.765%), and there were 64 blank votes (2.527%). The threshold for making the ballot is 15%, and the party announced that Baker had thus received the nomination without the need for a primary election.[114] However, Fisher argued that according to the convention rules, blank votes are not counted for the purposes of determining the winner, and that he thus received 15.148%, enough to make the ballot. He sued the Massachusetts Republican State Committee, and his case was due to be heard in Suffolk Superior Court between May 2 and June 18.[115][116]
The committee's lawyer, Louis M. Ciavarra, said that in negotiations with the committee, Fisher declined their offer of being placed on the ballot, and instead asked for $1 million in return for dropping the suit. Ciavarra said that after it was pointed out to Fisher and his representatives that this would be illegal, they allegedly lowered their request to $650,000. Fisher's lawyer, Thomas M. Harvey, has confirmed that Fisher had asked for $1 million, which he called a "starting point", saying that Fisher should be "compensated" for his efforts, in addition to receiving a place on the ballot. He later said that the request for $650,000 was "still negotiable" and added that "you don't ask for what you expect".[117][118][119] Fisher himself has denied asking for a "payoff", instead saying that party officials had offered him a "bribe" in December 2013 in return for dropping out. He refused to say who made the offer, claiming to have been under a gag order, though no such order existed.[120][121] He said that he only asked for $1 million during the negotiations because he had been asked for a figure and it was the sum that he claimed the party had offered to him. He further denied the claim that he had offered to withdraw in exchange for the money, saying that he wanted a place on the ballot, for the State Committee to release the "tally sheets" which he claims show that he rightfully won a place on the ballot, and to be reimbursed $100,000 in damages: for the cost of legal fees and of collecting signatures to make the ballot by petition.[122]
On May 9, 2014, a week into the case, Judge Douglas Wilkins accepted the State Committee's offer to certify Fisher on the primary ballot and put off the expedited June 16 trial date.[123][124] The State Committee had not at that point turned over the "tally sheets" and the judge did not order them to do so, instead inviting Fisher's attorneys to submit an amended complaint.[124] The State Committee also asked that the trial, discovery and deliberation over damages be postponed until after the election. The judge did not rule on that request,[125] but he did rule that the other portions of Fisher's complaint would proceed at a later date, with no need for an expedited trial before the primary.[126]
A debate was held between Baker and Fisher on August 21. They clashed on jobs, gun control and higher education. Baker called for "constructive friction" in electing him governor to counterbalance the Democratic-controlled General Court and said that he would "clean up the regulatory morass, control spending [and] reduce taxes." Fisher criticised the rise in food stamps, rising cost of entitlement programmes and illegal immigration.[127] In the primary election on September 9, Baker defeated Fisher 116,004 votes (74.1%) to 40,240 (25.7%). In February 2015, Fisher settled with the State Party for $240,000. Executive Director Brian Wynne said that despite the settlement, the Party denied his accusations and said that the settlement was forced on them because of mounting legal costs.[128]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Charlie Baker |
Mark Fisher |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBUR/MassINC[129] | August 24–31, 2014 | 340 | ± 5.3% | 59% | 7% | <1% | 33% |
| Suffolk University[130] | August 21–24, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 70.25% | 11.25% | — | 17.75% |
| Suffolk University[87] | June 4–7, 2014 | 202 | ± 6.9% | 63.37% | 4.95% | — | 30.20% |
| Suffolk University[91] | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 162 | ± 4% | 63.58% | 10.49% | — | 25.31% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Charlie Baker | 116,004 | 74.1 | |
| Republican | Mark Fisher | 40,240 | 25.7 | |
| Republican | All Others | 336 | 0.2 | |
| Republican | Blank Votes | 30,327 | ||
| Total votes | 159,936 | 100 | ||
Lieutenant governor
Candidates
- Karyn Polito, former state representative and nominee for treasurer and receiver-general of Massachusetts in 2010[110]
Independents and third parties
Candidates
Declared
- Evan Falchuk, healthcare executive, attorney and founder of the United Independent Party[131][132]
- Running mate: Angus Jennings, professional planner/consultant[133]
- Scott Lively, evangelical pastor[134]
- Running mate: Shelly Saunders[135]
- Jeff McCormick, co-founder and managing partner of venture capital firm Saturn Partners[136]
- Running mate: Tracy Post, member of the Yarmouth Board of Selectmen[137]
General election
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | United Independent | Independent | Independent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||||
| Charlie Baker | Martha Coakley | Evan Falchuk | Scott Lively | Jeff McCormick | |||||
| 1 | October 7, 2014 | WBZ-TV | Jon Keller | [138] | P | P | P | P | P |
| 2 | October 21, 2014 | WGBH-TV | Jim Braude Margery Eagan |
[139] | P | P | N | N | N |
| 3 | October 27, 2014 | New England Cable News Telegram & Gazette |
Latoyia Edwards | [140] | P | P | N | N | N |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[141] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[142] | Lean R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[143] | Tilt R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[144] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
View source data.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Martha Coakley (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Evan Falchuk (UIP) |
Scott Lively (I) |
Jeff McCormick (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[145] | October 30–November 2, 2014 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 42% | 46% | 3% | 3% | 1% | — | 6% |
| 47% | 48% | — | — | — | — | 5% | ||||
| WNEU[146] | October 21–30, 2014 | 430 LV | ± 5% | 41% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | — | 8% |
| 522 RV | ± 4% | 40% | 41% | 4% | 2% | 1% | — | 12% | ||
| Suffolk University[147] | October 27–29, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 2% | — | 6% |
| Boston Globe[148] | October 26–29, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 37% | 44% | 4% | 2% | 1% | — | 11% |
| Emerson College[149] | October 26–29, 2014 | 627 | ± 3.85% | 42% | 48% | 4% | — | — | 6% | |
| Umass Amherst[150] | October 20–27, 2014 | 591 LV | ± 4.4% | 47% | 44% | 3% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 3% |
| 800 RV | ± 3.8% | 47% | 41% | 3% | 2% | 3% | <1% | 3% | ||
| WBUR/MassINC[151] | October 22–25, 2014 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| UMass Lowell[152] | October 21–25, 2014 | 601 LV | ± 4.5% | 41% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 8% | |
| 1,001 RV | ± 3.6% | 42% | 38% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 15% | |||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[153] | October 16–23, 2014 | 2,218 | ± 3% | 45% | 41% | — | — | — | 1% | 13% |
| GreenbergQuinlanRosner[154] | October 20–22, 2014 | 611 | ± 4% | 45% | 44% | — | — | — | 5% | 5% |
| Boston Globe[155] | October 19–22, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 36% | 45% | 3% | 2% | 2% | — | 11% |
| WBUR/MassINC[156] | October 15–18, 2014 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports[157] | October 13–14, 2014 | 980 | ± 3% | 46% | 48% | — | — | — | 2% | 5% |
| Boston Globe[158] | October 12–14, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 41% | 41% | 3% | 3% | 2% | — | 10% |
| WBUR/MassINC[159] | October 8–11, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 39% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 14% |
| Emerson College[160] | October 7, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 39% | 45% | — | — | — | 16% | |
| Boston Globe[161] | October 5–7, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 39% | 34% | 3% | 2% | 2% | — | 20% |
| WBUR/MassINC[162] | October 1–4, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 39% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
| Umass Amherst[163] | September 26–October 2, 2014 | 414 LV | ± 5.5% | 48% | 44% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
| 600 RV | ± 4.6% | 48% | 41% | 2% | 3% | 3% | <1% | 3% | ||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[164] | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 2,389 | ± 2% | 47% | 41% | — | — | — | 1% | 11% |
| Boston Globe[165] | September 28–30, 2014 | 401 | ± 4.89% | 36% | 39% | 2% | 1% | 1% | — | 21% |
| Suffolk University[166] | September 25–28, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 2% | 0% | 2% | — | 9% |
| WNEU[167] | September 20–28, 2014 | 416 LV | ± 5% | 43% | 44% | 2% | 1% | 2% | — | 8% |
| 536 RV | ± 4% | 40% | 41% | 2% | 2% | 3% | — | 12% | ||
| WBUR/MassINC[168] | September 24–27, 2014 | 503 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 1% | 1% | 2% | >1% | 11% |
| Boston Globe[169] | September 21–23, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 38% | 40% | 2% | 1% | 2% | — | 18% |
| Umass Amherst[170] | September 19–23, 2014 | 440 LV | ± ? | 45% | 46% | 2% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 2% |
| 600 RV | ± 4.4% | 47% | 42% | 2% | 3% | 3% | <1% | 3% | ||
| WBUR/MassINC[171] | September 16–21, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 36% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports[157] | September 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 42% | 42% | — | — | — | 5% | 10% |
| Boston Globe[172] | September 14–16, 2014 | 407 | ± 4.85% | 39% | 36% | 2% | 3% | 1% | — | 19% |
| WBUR/MassINC[173] | September 11–14, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 35% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 16% |
| WBUR/MassINC[174] | September 2–7, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 34% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 21% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[175] | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 3,361 | ± 2% | 43% | 35% | — | — | — | 6% | 16% |
| WBUR/MassINC[176] | August 24–31, 2014 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 31% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 22% |
| UMass Lowell[72] | August 25–31, 2014 | 1,624 | ± 2.94% | 41% | 32% | 1% | — | 7% | — | 20% |
| Boston Globe[74] | August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 37% | 38% | 2% | — | 5% | — | 18% |
| Boston Globe[76] | August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 41% | 34% | 2% | — | 6% | — | 18% |
| Boston Globe[77] | August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014 | 606 | ± 4% | 40% | 32% | 1% | — | 6% | — | 21% |
| Boston Globe[78] | July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 42% | 31% | 2% | — | 5% | — | 21% |
| MassINC[177] | July 28–August 3, 2014 | 388 | ± ? | 44% | 41% | — | — | — | — | 15% |
| Boston Globe[79] | July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014 | 601 | ± 4% | 42% | 32% | 2% | — | 5% | — | 19% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[178] | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,899 | ± 4.9% | 51% | 36% | — | — | — | 4% | 8% |
| Boston Globe[80] | July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014 | 625 | ± 3.9% | 38% | 33% | 1% | — | 8% | — | 19% |
| Boston Globe[179] | July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 39% | 36% | 1% | — | 7% | — | 16% |
| Boston Globe[82] | June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014 | 604 | ± 4% | 40% | 35% | 2% | — | 6% | — | 18% |
| Boston Globe[83] | June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014 | 601 | ± 4% | 40% | 31% | 2% | — | 6% | — | 22% |
| WBUR/MassINC[180] | June 27–29, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 28% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 22% |
| Boston Globe[84] | June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014 | 604 | ± 3.9% | 41% | 30% | 1% | — | 7% | — | 21% |
| Boston Globe[85] | June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014 | 630 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 30% | 0% | — | 6% | — | 20% |
| Boston Globe[86] | June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 31% | 1% | — | 6% | — | 20% |
| Suffolk University[181] | June 4–7, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 36% | 29% | 1% | 1% | 2% | — | 32% |
| Boston Globe[182] | May 29–June 3, 2014 | 602 | ± 4% | 37% | 32% | 2% | — | 7% | — | 22% |
| WBUR/MassINC[183] | May 16–18, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 30% | 1% | — | 3% | 1% | 25% |
| WNEU[184] | March 31–April 7, 2014 | 477 | ± 5% | 54% | 25% | 3% | — | 3% | — | 15% |
| UMass Amherst[185] | March 31–April 6, 2014 | 500 | ± 5.9% | 45% | 34% | — | — | — | — | 21% |
| WBUR/MassINC[90] | March 14–16, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 26% | 1% | — | 1% | 3% | 27% |
| Suffolk University[91] | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 44% | 31% | 1% | 1% | 2% | — | 21% |
| Purple Strategies[186] | January 21–23, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 36% | — | — | — | — | 18% |
| WBUR/MassINC[183] | January 16–19, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 29% | 1% | — | 3% | 2% | 26% |
| WNEU[187] | October 1–7, 2013 | 431 | ± ?% | 54% | 34% | — | — | — | — | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling[92] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 51% | 38% | — | — | — | — | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling[188] | June 22–24, 2012 | 902 | ± 3.3% | 47% | 34% | — | — | — | — | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling[189] | March 16–18, 2012 | 936 | ± 3.2% | 49% | 29% | — | — | — | — | 22% |
Hypothetical polling
With Avellone
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joseph Avellone (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Globe[86] | June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 19% | 36% | 9%[190] | 37% |
| Suffolk University[87] | June 4–7, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 17% | 30% | 5%[191] | 49% |
| Boston Globe[182] | May 29–June 3, 2014 | 602 | ± 4% | 17% | 36% | 11%[192] | 36% |
| Suffolk University[91] | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 19% | 38% | 5%[191] | 39% |
| WBUR/MassINC[183] | January 16–19, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 13% | 36% | 12%[193] | 39% |
| Public Policy Polling[92] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 30% | 40% | — | 30% |
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 24% | 33% | — | 43% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joseph Avellone (D) |
Scott Brown (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 29% | 46% | — | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joseph Avellone (D) |
Mark Fisher (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[91] | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 21.83% | 19.33% | 7.17%[194] | 51.66% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joseph Avellone (D) |
Richard Tisei (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 29% | 25% | — | 46% |
With Berwick
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Berwick (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBUR/MassINC[174] | September 2–7, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 18% | 39% | 10%[195] | 33% |
| WBUR/MassINC[176] | August 24–31, 2014 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 19% | 37% | 10%[196] | 33% |
| Boston Globe[74] | August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 19% | 44% | 8%[197] | 29% |
| Boston Globe[76] | August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 22% | 40% | 8%[197] | 30% |
| Boston Globe[77] | August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014 | 606 | ± 4% | 22% | 37% | 7%[198] | 33% |
| Boston Globe[78] | July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 23% | 36% | 7%[198] | 34% |
| Boston Globe[79] | July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014 | 601 | ± 4% | 24% | 37% | 8%[199] | 30% |
| Boston Globe[80] | July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014 | 625 | ± 3.9% | 20% | 41% | 11%[200] | 28% |
| Boston Globe[179] | July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 18% | 42% | 12%[201] | 29% |
| Boston Globe[82] | June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014 | 604 | ± 4% | 17% | 40% | 11%[202] | 32% |
| Boston Globe[83] | June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014 | 601 | ± 4% | 17% | 37% | 11%[192] | 35% |
| WBUR/MassINC[180] | June 27–29, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 19% | 31% | 14%[203] | 38% |
| Boston Globe[84] | June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014 | 604 | ± 3.9% | 19% | 37% | 10%[204] | 35% |
| Boston Globe[85] | June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014 | 630 | ± 3.9% | 20% | 36% | 7%[198] | 36% |
| Boston Globe[86] | June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 20% | 36% | 8%[199] | 36% |
| Suffolk University[87] | June 4–7, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 18.63% | 29.63% | 4.76%[205] | 47.01% |
| Boston Globe[182] | May 29–June 3, 2014 | 602 | ± 4% | 18% | 37% | 11%[192] | 35% |
| WBUR/MassINC[183] | May 16–18, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 16% | 35% | 11%[206] | 39% |
| UMass Amherst[185] | March 31–April 6, 2014 | 500 | ± 5.9% | 29% | 32% | — | 39% |
| WBUR/MassINC[90] | March 14–16, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 17% | 36% | 7%[207] | 40% |
| Suffolk University[91] | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 18.5% | 38.33% | 5.33%[208] | 37.84% |
| WBUR/MassINC[183] | January 16–19, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 13% | 36% | 12%[193] | 40% |
| Public Policy Polling[92] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 31% | 38% | — | 31% |
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 25% | 35% | — | 41% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Berwick (D) |
Scott Brown (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[209] | January 29–30, 2013 | 763 | ± 3.6% | 32% | 49% | — | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Berwick (D) |
Richard Tisei (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 28% | 24% | — | 48% |
With Capuano
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Capuano (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[92] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 42% | 37% | — | 21% |
| UMass Amherst[212] | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 500 | ± 5.4% | 36% | 24% | — | 40% |
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 35% | 33% | — | 32% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Capuano (D) |
Scott Brown (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst[212] | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 500 | ± 5.4% | 33% | 45% | — | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 38% | 45% | — | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Capuano (D) |
Richard Tisei (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst[212] | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 500 | ± 5.4% | 40% | 20% | — | 40% |
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 38% | 24% | — | 39% |
With Coakley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Martha Coakley (D) |
Mark Fisher (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBUR/MassINC[180] | June 27–29, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 13% | 14%[213] | 30% |
| Suffolk University[91] | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 48.67% | 16.33% | 5%[214] | 30% |
| Purple Strategies[186] | January 21–23, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 30% | — | 20% |
With Cowan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mo Cowan (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 26% | 33% | — | 41% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mo Cowan (D) |
Scott Brown (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 31% | 48% | — | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mo Cowan (D) |
Richard Tisei (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 30% | 25% | — | 45% |
With Galvin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
William F. Galvin (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 37% | 31% | — | 33% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
William F. Galvin (D) |
Scott Brown (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 39% | 43% | — | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
William F. Galvin (D) |
Richard Tisei (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 39% | 24% | — | 27% |
With Grossman
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steven Grossman (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBUR/MassINC[174] | September 2–7, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 28% | 34% | 7%[215] | 30% |
| UMass Lowell[72] | August 25–31, 2014 | 1,624 | ± 2.94% | 31% | 33% | 10%[204] | 27% |
| WBUR/MassINC[176] | August 24–31, 2014 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 29% | 34% | 6%[216] | 31% |
| Boston Globe[74] | August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 33% | 37% | 7%[217] | 22% |
| Boston Globe[76] | August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 32% | 34% | 7%[217] | 26% |
| Boston Globe[77] | August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014 | 606 | ± 4% | 29% | 32% | 8%[197] | 31% |
| Boston Globe[78] | July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 30% | 31% | 8%[197] | 31% |
| MassINC[177] | July 28–August 3, 2014 | 388 | ± ? | 39% | 35% | — | 25% |
| Boston Globe[79] | July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014 | 601 | ± 4% | 29% | 34% | 9%[218] | 28% |
| Boston Globe[80] | July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014 | 625 | ± 3.9% | 27% | 37% | 10%[219] | 26% |
| Boston Globe[179] | July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 19% | 37% | 9%[190] | 25% |
| Boston Globe[82] | June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014 | 604 | ± 4% | 27% | 36% | 9%[218] | 29% |
| Boston Globe[83] | June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014 | 601 | ± 4% | 26% | 34% | 9%[218] | 31% |
| WBUR/MassINC[180] | June 27–29, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 28% | 30% | 11%[220] | 30% |
| Boston Globe[84] | June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014 | 604 | ± 3.9% | 28% | 31% | 9%[218] | 32% |
| Boston Globe[85] | June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014 | 630 | ± 3.9% | 27% | 30% | 8%[199] | 35% |
| Boston Globe[86] | June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 28% | 31% | 8%[199] | 33% |
| Suffolk University[87] | June 4–7, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 24.25% | 26.5% | 4.01%[221] | 45.25% |
| Boston Globe[182] | May 29–June 3, 2014 | 602 | ± 4% | 26% | 32% | 10%[204] | 31% |
| WBUR/MassINC[183] | May 16–18, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 25% | 33% | 8%[222] | 34% |
| WNEU[184] | March 31–April 7, 2014 | 477 | ± 5% | 38% | 29% | 13%[223] | 20% |
| UMass Amherst[185] | March 31–April 6, 2014 | 500 | ± 5.9% | 35% | 29% | — | 36% |
| WBUR/MassINC[90] | March 14–16, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 24% | 32% | 8%[222] | 36% |
| Suffolk University[91] | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 28.33% | 33.33% | 6%[224] | 32.33% |
| Purple Strategies[186] | January 21–23, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 34% | 35% | — | 31% |
| WBUR/MassINC[183] | January 16–19, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 23% | 33% | 8%[225] | 36% |
| WNEU[187] | October 1–7, 2013 | 431 | ± ?% | 43% | 30% | — | 27% |
| Public Policy Polling[92] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 38% | 37% | — | 25% |
| UMass Amherst[212] | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 500 | ± 5.4% | 27% | 26% | — | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 32% | 31% | — | 37% |
| Public Policy Polling[188] | June 22–24, 2012 | 902 | ± 3.3% | 36% | 34% | — | 27% |
| Public Policy Polling[189] | March 16–18, 2012 | 936 | ± 3.2% | 37% | 30% | — | 33% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steven Grossman (D) |
Scott Brown (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst[212] | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 500 | ± 5.4% | 26% | 55% | — | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 34% | 46% | — | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling[209] | January 29–30, 2013 | 763 | ± 3.6% | 37% | 48% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steven Grossman (D) |
Mark Fisher (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBUR/MassINC[180] | June 27–29, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 31% | 15% | 17%[226] | 38% |
| Suffolk University[91] | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 35.33% | 17.17% | 6%[227] | 41.5% |
| Purple Strategies[186] | January 21–23, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 35% | 26% | — | 38% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steven Grossman (D) |
Richard Tisei (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst[212] | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 500 | ± 5.4% | 27% | 26% | — | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 34% | 25% | — | 41% |
| Public Policy Polling[209] | January 29–30, 2013 | 763 | ± 3.6% | 37% | 48% | — | 15% |
With Kayyem
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Juliette Kayyem (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Globe[86] | June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 20% | 36% | 8%[199] | 36% |
| Suffolk University[87] | June 4–7, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 20% | 28% | 4.51%[228] | 47.5% |
| Boston Globe[182] | May 29–June 3, 2014 | 602 | ± 4% | 20% | 36% | 9%[218] | 36% |
| WBUR/MassINC[183] | May 16–18, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 17% | 36% | 9%[229] | 38% |
| UMass Amherst[185] | March 31–April 6, 2014 | 500 | ± 5.9% | 32% | 32% | — | 36% |
| WBUR/MassINC[90] | March 14–16, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 19% | 34% | 8%[222] | 39% |
| Suffolk University[91] | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 19% | 36.83% | 5.67%[224] | 38.5% |
| WBUR/MassINC[183] | January 16–19, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 15% | 37% | 10%[230] | 38% |
| Public Policy Polling[92] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 31% | 38% | — | 31% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Juliette Kayyem (D) |
Mark Fisher (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[91] | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 24.33% | 19.17% | 6.83%[231] | 49.66% |
With Kennedy
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joseph P. Kennedy II (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst[212] | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 500 | ± 5.4% | 48% | 25% | — | 27% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joseph P. Kennedy II (D) |
Scott Brown (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst[212] | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 500 | ± 5.4% | 41% | 42% | — | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joseph P. Kennedy II (D) |
Richard Tisei (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst[212] | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 500 | ± 5.4% | 40% | 33% | — | 27% |
With Murray
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Murray (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[188] | June 22–24, 2012 | 902 | ± 3.3% | 36% | 37% | — | 27% |
| Public Policy Polling[189] | March 16–18, 2012 | 936 | ± 3.2% | 37% | 32% | — | 31% |
With Ortiz
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carmen Ortiz (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 27% | 35% | — | 38% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carmen Ortiz (D) |
Scott Brown (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 31% | 49% | — | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling[189] | January 29–30, 2012 | 763 | ± 3.6% | 32% | 49% | — | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carmen Ortiz (D) |
Richard Tisei (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[93] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 29% | 27% | — | 44% |
With Wolf
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dan Wolf (D) |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[92] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 31% | 37% | — | 31% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Charlie Baker | 1,044,573 | 48.40% | +6.40% | |
| Democratic | Martha Coakley | 1,004,408 | 46.54% | −1.88% | |
| United Independent | Evan Falchuk | 71,814 | 3.33% | N/A | |
| Independent | Scott Lively | 19,378 | 0.90% | N/A | |
| Independent | Jeff McCormick | 16,295 | 0.75% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 1,858 | 0.09% | -0.02% | ||
| Total votes | 2,158,326 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Blank | 28,463 | ||||
| Turnout | 2,186,789 | ||||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
By county
| 2014 United States gubernatorial election in Massachusetts (by county)[233] | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Baker % | Baker # | Coakley % | Coakley # | Others % | Others # | Total # |
| Barnstable | 53.44% | 52,251 | 42.47% | 41,525 | 4.09% | 4,003 | 97,779 |
| Berkshire | 28.31% | 11,201 | 66.23% | 26,207 | 5.46% | 2,151 | 39,559 |
| Bristol | 49.70% | 72,641 | 45.19% | 66,045 | 5.11% | 7,471 | 146,157 |
| Dukes | 34.14% | 2,493 | 61.30% | 4,477 | 4.56% | 333 | 7,303 |
| Essex | 52.97% | 135,365 | 42.95% | 109,776 | 4.08% | 10,429 | 255,570 |
| Franklin | 33.55% | 8,826 | 57.31% | 15,077 | 9.16% | 2,407 | 26,310 |
| Hampden | 48.13% | 64,850 | 40.64% | 54,751 | 11.23% | 15,128 | 134,729 |
| Hampshire | 34.77% | 19,103 | 56.38% | 30,982 | 8.85% | 4,863 | 54,948 |
| Middlesex | 45.42% | 238,750 | 50.28% | 264,319 | 4.29% | 22,602 | 525,671 |
| Nantucket | 46.66% | 1,717 | 49.38% | 1,817 | 3.96% | 146 | 3,680 |
| Norfolk | 52.97% | 133,328 | 42.86% | 107,891 | 4.17% | 10,503 | 251,722 |
| Plymouth | 57.21% | 102,551 | 38.01% | 68,141 | 4.78% | 8,562 | 179,254 |
| Suffolk | 31.81% | 57,754 | 64.22% | 116,610 | 3.97% | 7,219 | 181,583 |
| Worcester | 56.58% | 143,743 | 38.10% | 96,790 | 5.32% | 13,518 | 254,051 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Bristol (largest municipality: New Bedford)
- Hampden (largest municipality: Springfield)
By congressional district
Baker won six of nine congressional districts, which all elected Democrats.[234]
| District | Coakley | Baker | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 46% | 45% | Richard Neal |
| 2nd | 43% | 51% | Jim McGovern |
| 3rd | 43% | 52% | Niki Tsongas |
| 4th | 44% | 52% | Joe Kennedy III |
| 5th | 53% | 43% | Katherine Clark |
| 6th | 41% | 55% | John Tierney |
| Seth Moulton | |||
| 7th | 71% | 25% | Mike Capuano |
| 8th | 44% | 52% | Stephen Lynch |
| 9th | 42% | 53% | Bill Keating |