Next Italian general election
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General elections will occur in Italy no later than 22 December 2027.
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No later than 22 December 2027
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Background
In the 2022 Italian general election, the centre-right coalition led by Giorgia Meloni's Brothers of Italy (FdI) won an absolute majority of seats in the Italian Parliament.[1] On 20 October, a few days following the elections of the presidents of the two houses of Parliament (Ignazio La Russa of FdI on 13 October for the Senate of the Republic and Lorenzo Fontana of the Lega on 14 October for the Chamber of Deputies),[2][3] consultations on the formation of a new cabinet officially began.[4]
The Cabinet was announced on 21 October and was officially sworn in on the next day. It was one of the fastest government formations in the history of the Italian Republic.[5] The first Italian cabinet headed by a female prime minister,[6] it was variously described as a shift to the political right,[7] and as the first far-right-led Italian government since World War II.[8][9]
Electoral system
The Italian electoral law of 2017 until 2026 assigned seats in both houses of the Italian Parliament using mixed-member majoritarian representation. On 8 October 2026, the Italian Parliament approved a new electoral law, allocating 400 seats in the Chamber of Deputies and 200 seats in the Senate through a majority bonus system, in which the political coalition or party that achieved at least 42% of popular vote would automatically achieve a majority bonus majority of 70 seats in the Chamber of Deputies and 35 seats in the Senate, to ensure a majority.[10]
To avoid excessively large majority, there is a cap on the bonus majority so that the winner does not get more than 220 seats in the Chamber and 113 in the Senate.[11] If no coalitions or parties reach the threshold of 42%, the seats are distributed in a purely proportional manner.[12] There is a threshold to enter parliament, set at 10% for coalitions and 3% for parties.[11]
To qualify for the majority bonus, each party or coalition must also indicate its candidate for Prime Minister and its common program at the time of registration.[12] As the President of Italy appoints the Prime Minister, this designation is not legally binding, and the name of candidate for Prime Minister will not appear on the ballot.[12] Opposition parties are expected to challenge the law in court, arguing that the majority bonus distorts voter representation.[13]
Opinion polls
Graphical summary
Party vote aggregations
| Polling | Parties | Coalitions | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polling aggregator | Ref. | Date updated | FdI | PD | M5S | Lega | FI | A | IV | AVS | +E | NM | FN | Others | Lead | CSX | CDX |
| Doppia Cifra | [14] | 8 Oct 2026 | 26.8 | 21.2 | 12.6 | 5.6 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 4.3 |
5.4 | 44.1 | 40.8 |
| Cassandra | [15] | 4 Oct 2026 | 26.7 | 20.8 | 12.5 | 5.7 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 43.5 | 40.5 |
| YouTrend | [16] | 1 Oct 2026 | 26.8 | 20.4 | 12.8 | 5.7 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7.7 | 1.3
1.3 – Liberal Democratic Party |
6.4 | 43.4 | 41.0 |
| PolitPro | [17] | 30 Sep 2026 | 26.7 | 21.0 | 12.6 | 5.7 | 7.4 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 5.7 | 44.0 | 40.9 |
| BiDiMedia | [18] | 29 Sep 2026 | 26.9 | 20.7 | 12.7 | 5.6 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 7.7 | 1.8
0.9 – South calls North |
6.2 | 43.6 | 41.0 |
| Politico Europe | [19] | 24 Sep 2026 | 27.0 | 21.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 6.0
1.0 – South calls North |
6.0 | 44.0 | 39.0 |
| Europe Elects | [20] | 23 Sep 2026 | 27.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | – | – | 9.0 | 7.0
1.0 – Civic Project Italy |
7.0 | 42.0 | 40.0 |
| Atlante elettorale | [21] | 16 Sep 2026 | 26.3 | 21.1 | 12.5 | 5.7 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 6.6 | – | 1.2 | 7.6 | 3.4 | 5.2 | 44.5 | 40.7 |
| 2022 election | [22] | 25 Sep 2022 | 26.0 | 19.1 | 15.4 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 7.8[a] | 3.6 | 2.8 | 0.9 | – | 4.9 | 6.9 | 26.1[b] | 43.8 | |
- The 2022 centre-left coalition was composed by the Democratic Party, Greens and Left Alliance, More Europe, and Civic Commitment.
Government approval ratings
See also
Notes
- The M5S is generally seen as aligned with the centre-left coalition but is formally independent, and does not run joint presidential candidates in some regions.