Opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the lead-up to the 2022 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders. Key polling companies are YouGov, Essential Media Communications, Roy Morgan Research, and Resolve Strategic.

Ipsos polls used to be published in The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age and the Australian Financial Review;[1][2] however following the shock result of the 2019 Australian federal election, when the Coalition won the election against all of the opinion polls' predictions, the Nine Entertainment group decided to discontinue its relationship with that company.[3] The newspapers did not report any Ipsos political polling until 4 Apr 2022,[4] but continued to report the results of other Ipsos polls.[5]

Two party preferred

Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last federal election. Local regression trends for each party, weighted by sample size, are shown as solid lines.

Two-party-preferred vote

Primary vote

Primary vote

Voting intention

Preferred prime minister

Preferred prime minister.
Satisfaction rating for prime minister Scott Morrison
Satisfaction rating for opposition leader Anthony Albanese
Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each rating are shown as solid lines.
Date Firm Interview mode Sample size Preferred Prime Minister Morrison Albanese
Morrison Albanese Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know
13–19 May 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[13] Online 2188 42% 42% 16% 41% 54% 5% 41% 46% 13%
15–18 May 2022[14] Ipsos[14] Telephone/online 1996 39% 42% 19% 34% 51% 15% 33% 37% 30%
12–17 May 2022 Resolve Strategic[15] Telephone/online 2049 40% 36% 24%
10–13 May 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[19] Online 1532 43% 42% 15% 42% 53% 5% 38% 49% 13%
4–7 May 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[22] Telephone/online 1538 44% 42% 14% 41% 55% 4% 41% 47% 12%
4–7 May 2022 Ipsos[23] Telephone/Online 2311 36% 41% 24% 32% 51% 18% 30% 36% 34%
27–30 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[26] Telephone/online 1538 45% 39% 17% 44% 51% 5% 40% 49% 12%
20–23 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[29] Telephone/Online 1538 46% 37% 17% 42% 54% 4% 38% 50% 12%
20–23 Apr 2022 Ipsos[30] Telephone/Online 2302 38% 40% 22% 34% 48% 18% 31% 35% 34%
17–20 Apr 2022 Essential[31] Online 1052 40% 36% 24% 44% 48% 8% 41% 41% 17%
11–16 Apr 2022 Resolve Political Monitor[34] Online 1404 38% 30% 32% 44% 47% 9% 35% 44% 21%
6–9 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[37] Online 1506 44% 39% 17% 42% 54% 4% 42% 45% 13%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022 Resolve Political Monitor Online 1681 36% 37% 15% 39% 53% 8% 38% 42% 20%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022 Newspoll Online 1531 43% 42% 15% 42% 54% 4% 43% 44% 13%
31 Mar–2 Apr 2022 Ipsos Telephone/Online 2563 37% 38% 25% 33% 48% 19% 30% 32% 38%
9–12 Mar 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[46] Online 1520 42% 42% 16% 41% 55% 4% 44% 42% 14%
23–26 Feb 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[49] Online 1525 42% 40% 18% 43% 55% 2% 44% 43% 13%
17–20 Feb 2022 Essential[52] Online 1089 40% 35% 25% 44% 49% 7% 43% 40% 17%
9–12 Feb 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[54] Online 1526 43% 38% 19% 40% 56% 4% 40% 46% 14%
27–30 Jan 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[56] Online 1523 43% 41% 16% 39% 58% 3% 43% 43% 14%
20–23 Jan 2022 Essential[52] Online 1001 42% 35% 23% 46% 46% 8% 39% 39% 22%
11–15 Jan 2022 Resolve Political Monitor[172] Online 1607 38% 31% 31% 41% 50% 9% 34% 41% 28%
1–4 Dec 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[66] Online 45% 36% 19% 44% 52% 4% 39% 45% 16%
10–13 Nov 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[71] Online 46% 38% 16% 44% 52% 4% 37% 48% 15%
20–23 Oct 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[77] Online 48% 34% 18% 46% 50% 4% 37% 46% 17%
29 Sep–2 Oct 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[80] Online 1545 47% 34% 19% 48% 49% 3% 37% 47% 16%
15–18 Sep 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[83] Online 47% 35% 18% 46% 50% 4% 37% 48% 15%
25–28 Aug 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[86] Online 1528 50% 34% 16% 49% 47% 4% 40% 47% 13%
4–7 Aug 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[89] Online 1527 49% 36% 15% 47% 49% 4% 38% 46% 16%
13–17 Jul 2021 Resolve Political Monitor[93] CATI/online 1600 45% 24% 31% 45% 46% 9% 30% 46% 24%
14–17 Jul 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[94] Online 1506 51% 33% 16% 51% 45% 4% 38% 46% 16%
6 Jul 2021 Essential[173] Online 1099 46% 28% 26% 51% 40% 9% 41% 35% 24%
23–26 Jun 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[95] Online 1513 53% 33% 14% 55% 41% 4% 40% 45% 15%
13 Jun 2021 Resolve Political Monitor[98] CATI/online 1600 46% 23% 31% 48% 41% 11% 31% 44% 25%
8 Jun 2021 Essential[174] Online 1104 48% 28% 24% 57% 36% 8% 39% 36% 24%
2–5 Jun 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[100] Online 1516 53% 32% 15% 54% 43% 3% 38% 47% 15%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Political Monitor[101] CATI/online 1622 48% 25% 27%
12–15 May 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[102] Online 1506 55% 30% 15% 58% 38% 4% 39% 46% 15%
21–24 Apr 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[103] Online 1514 56% 30% 14% 59% 37% 4% 40% 43% 17%
16 Apr 2021 Resolve Political Monitor[175] CATI/online 2000 47% 25% 28%
12 Apr 2021 Essential[176] Online 1368 47% 28% 25% 54% 37% 9% 39% 34% 27%
24–27 Mar 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[105] Online 1517 52% 32% 16% 55% 40% 5% 42% 40% 18%
16, 30 Mar 2021 Essential[177][178] Online 1100 52% 26% 22% 57% 35% 8% 41% 32% 27%
10–13 Mar 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[107] Online 1521 56% 30% 14% 62% 34% 4% 42% 41% 17%
17–20 Feb 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[108] Online 1504 61% 26% 13% 64% 32% 4% 38% 45% 17%
27–30 Jan 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[112] Online 1512 57% 29% 14% 63% 33% 4% 41% 43% 16%
15 Dec 2020 Essential[179] Online 1071 50% 24% 26% 62% 28% 10% 43% 29% 28%
25–28 Nov 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[113] Online 1511 60% 28% 12% 66% 30% 4% 44% 41% 15%
4–6 Nov 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[115] Online 1510 58% 29% 13% 64% 31% 5% 43% 39% 18%
8–10 Oct 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[117] Online 1527 57% 28% 15% 65% 31% 4% 39% 43% 18%
16–19 Sep 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[118] Online 2068 59% 27% 14% 65% 31% 4% 39% 40% 21%
26–29 Aug 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[119] Online 1507 58% 29% 13% 64% 32% 4% 43% 41% 16%
6–9 Aug 2020 Essential[180] Online 1010 52% 22% 26% 66% 23% 11% 44% 30% 26%
5–8 Aug 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[121] Online 1509 60% 25% 15% 68% 29% 3% 41% 38% 15%
15–18 Jul 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[124] Online 1850 59% 26% 15% 68% 27% 5% 41% 40% 19%
9–12 Jul 2020 Essential[181] Online 1054 50% 27% 23% 63% 27% 10% 44% 28% 28%
24–27 Jun 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[125] Online 1521 58% 26% 16% 68% 27% 5% 42% 40% 18%
3–6 Jun 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[127] Online 1512 56% 26% 18% 66% 29% 5% 41% 38% 21%
2 Jun 2020 Essential[182] Online 1059 53% 23% 24% 65% 26% 9% 43% 30% 27%
13–16 May 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[128] Online 1504 56% 29% 15% 66% 30% 4% 44% 37% 19%
5 May 2020 Essential[183] Online 1093 50% 25% 25% 64% 27% 9% 42% 27% 31%
22–25 Apr 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[184] Online 1508 56% 28% 16% 68% 28% 4% 45% 34% 21%

Sub-national polling

Some pollsters provided breakdowns of their polls by state, whilst others only poll a specific state. These results are listed by state below.

New South Wales

Date Firm Sample
size
Primary vote 2PP vote
L/NP ALP GRN UAP ONP IND OTH L/NP ALP
12–17 May 2022 Resolve Strategic[15] 39% 28% 14% 3% 6% 8% 2% 52.2% 47.8%
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] 48% 52%
10 May 2022 Roy Morgan[185] 48.5% 51.5%
3 May 2022 Roy Morgan[186] 44% 56%
30 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 30% 41% 12% 3% 6% 4% 3% 41.6% 58.4%
27 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] 45% 55%
20 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] 46.5% 53.5%
16 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 36% 35% 10% 3% 3% 11% 3% 48% 52%
11 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[188] 45% 55%
4 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[189] 45% 55%
3 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 36% 36% 11% 5% 1% 8% 3% 47.2% 52.8%
29 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[190] 47% 53%
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[191] 42.5% 57.5%
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[192] 43.5% 56.5%
20 Feb 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 34% 35% 8% 3% 3% 11% 7% 47.6% 52.4%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] 41% 59%
12 Feb 2022 NSW by-elections in Monaro, Bega, Strathfield & Willoughby[194]
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] 42% 58%
15 Jan 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 38% 36% 10% 2% 0% 11% 4% 47.9% 52.1%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] 44.5% 55.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[70] 44.5% 55.5%
20 Nov 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] 41% 29% 11% 3% 2% 12% 2% 53% 47%
24 Oct 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] 40% 34% 11% 2% 0% 10% 5% 49.6% 50.4%
5 Oct 2021 Gladys Berejiklian resigns as Premier of New South Wales[195]
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] 46.5% 53.5%
19 Sep 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] 43% 31% 10% 3% 2% 6% 5% 46.6% 53.4%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 2057 39% 38% 11% 1% 11% 48% 52%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] 46% 54%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] 47% 53%
22 Aug 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] 40% 31% 14% 3% 9% 3% 50.8% 49.2%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[196] 48% 52%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] 49% 51%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 Resolve Strategic[93] 38% 33% 12% 1% 16% 49.3% 50.7%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 49.5% 50.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 1861 42% 37% 11% 1% 9% 50% 50%
13 Jun 2021 Resolve Strategic[197] 46% 32% 10% 1% 11% 54.3% 45.7%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 49.5% 50.5%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[101] 39% 36% 12% 1% 12% 48.2% 51.8%
16 Apr 2021 Resolve Strategic[175] 41% 29% 12% 7% 11% 53.5% 46.5%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 Newspoll[198] 1779 42% 36% 11% 7% 10% 50% 50%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan[199] 2786 54% 46%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 Newspoll[200] 2304 44% 36% 11% 1% 8% 51% 49%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan[114] 2824 53.5% 46.5%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan[120] 2841 56.5% 43.5%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 Newspoll[201] 457–2034 42% 37% 11% 1% 9% 49% 51%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 2589 52.5% 47.5%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[202] 472–1905 42% 36% 11% 2% 9% 50% 50%
7–8 Dec 2019 Newspoll[203] 930–1472 42% 35% 10% 2% 12% 51% 45%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 42.54% 34.56% 8.71% 3.38% 1.31% 4.62% 4.88% 51.78% 48.22%

Victoria

Date Firm Sample
size
Primary vote 2PP vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH ALP L/NP
12–17 May 2022 Resolve Strategic[15] 35% 32% 14% 3% 4% 6% 6% 52.1% 47.9%
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] 57% 43%
10 May 2022 Roy Morgan[185] 61% 39%
3 May 2022 Roy Morgan[186] 63.5% 36.5%
30 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 30% 35% 16% 5% 7% 4% 3% 56% 44%
27 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] 60% 40%
20 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] 58% 42%
16 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 35% 32% 12% 1% 7% 7% 6% 51.3% 48.7%
11 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[188] 58% 42%
4 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[189] 60.5% 39.5%
3 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 34% 36% 11% 1% 5% 9% 3% 51.8% 48.2%
29 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[190] 60% 40%
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[191] 64% 36%
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[192] 60% 40%
20 Feb 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 31% 31% 11% 0% 7% 13% 6% 52.7% 47.3%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] 57.5% 42.5%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] 59% 41%
15 Jan 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 29% 40% 11% 1% 4% 10% 4% 58.6% 41.4%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] 58.5% 41.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] 58% 42%
20 Nov 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] 37% 35% 12% 0% 5% 8% 5% 52.3% 47.7%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] 55% 45%
24 Oct 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] 36% 33% 13% 1% 4% 12% 5% 52.1% 47.9%
19 Sep 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] 38% 33% 11% 2% 2% 10% 5% 50.6% 49.4%
Jul – Sep 2021 Resolve Strategic[205] 37% 35% 11% 1% 15% 51.9% 48.1%
22 Aug 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] 39% 33% 13% 0% 11% 5% 50.7% 49.3%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] 56% 44%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 1731 35% 42% 12% 0% 11% 58% 42%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] 57% 43%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] 59.5% 40.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[185] 60% 40%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] 59.5% 40.5%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 Resolve Strategic[93] 34% 40% 11% 0% 13% 56.3% 43.7%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 56.5% 43.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 1536 40% 37% 13% 1% 9% 53% 47%
13 Jun 2021 Resolve Strategic[197] 37% 37% 10% 1% 15% 52.6% 47.6%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 53.5% 46.5%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[101] 41% 34% 12% 0% 13% 50% 50%
16 Apr 2021 Resolve Strategic[175] 33% 34% 12% 6% 14% 52% 48%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 Newspoll[206] 1506 40% 39% 10% 1% 10% 53% 47%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan[199] 2786 55% 45%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 Newspoll[200] 2160 39% 39% 14% 0% 8% 55% 45%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan[114] 2824 53.5% 46.5%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan[120] 2841 52% 48%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 Newspoll[201] 457–2034 37% 40% 14% 1% 8% 56% 44%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 2589 53.5% 46.5%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[202] 472–1905 39% 40% 13% 1% 7% 55% 45%
7–8 Dec 2019 Newspoll[203] 930–1472 40% 38% 12% 1% 11% 53% 47%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 38.58% 36.86% 11.89% 0.95% 3.64% 3.90% 4.% 53.14% 46.86%

Queensland

Date Firm Sample
size
Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH L/NP ALP
12–17 May 2022 Resolve Strategic[15] 31% 28% 17% 11% 6% 4% 3% 48.5% 51.5%
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] 53% 47%
10 May 2022 Roy Morgan[185] 53.5% 46.5%
3 May 2022 Roy Morgan[186] 56.5% 43.5%
30 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 41% 27% 18% 5% 6% 2% 2% 52.7% 47.3%
27 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] 54.5% 45.5%
20 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] 48.5% 51.5%
16 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 34% 31% 13% 10% 2% 10% 1% 49% 51%
11 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[188] 49.5% 50.5%
4 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[189] 49.5% 50.5%
3 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 33% 33% 14% 5% 2% 11% 2% 46.4% 53.6%
29 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[190] 51% 49%
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 54.5% 45.5%
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 50% 50%
20 Feb 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 33% 33% 13% 9% 3% 7% 2% 46.4% 53.6%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] 48.5% 51.5%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] 51.5% 48.5%
15 Jan 2022 Resolve Strategic[187] 34% 26% 15% 13% 3% 7% 2% 51.4% 48.6%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] 45.5% 54.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] 48.5% 51.5%
20 Nov 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] 42% 30% 10% 8% 2% 6% 1% 54.2% 45.8%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] 53% 47%
24 Oct 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] 36% 33% 11% 11% 3% 4% 5% 49.9% 50.1%
19 Sep 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] 38% 32% 10% 10% 4% 5% 1% 51.8% 48.2%
Jul – Sep 2021 Resolve Strategic[205] 42% 28% 10% 11% 9% 55.7% 44.3%
22 Aug 2021 Resolve Strategic[187] 45% 26% 12% 7% 8% 3% 57% 43%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] 52.5% 47.5%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 1536 42% 33% 9% 8% 8% 55% 45%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] 54% 46%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] 53.5% 46.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[196] 52% 48%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] 52% 48%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 Resolve Strategic[93] 43% 26% 9% 15% 6% 58.1% 41.9%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 51.5% 48.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 1249 42% 33% 11% 7% 7% 53% 47%
13 Jun 2021 Resolve Strategic[197] 38% 35% 10% 7% 10% 49.6% 50.4%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 53% 47%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[101] 41% 30% 12% 7% 11% 53% 47%
16 Apr 2021 Resolve Strategic[175] 38% 30% 11% 8% 11% 52% 48%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 Newspoll[206] 1276 42% 35% 10% 8% 5% 53% 47%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan[199] 2786 52% 48%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 Newspoll[200] 1879 45% 29% 12% 9% 5% 57% 43%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan[114] 2824 54.5% 48.5%
31 Oct 2020 Annastacia Palaszczuk (Labor) wins the 2020 Queensland state election[207]
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan[120] 2841 60% 40%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 Newspoll[201] 457–2034 46% 27% 10% 11% 6% 59% 41%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 2589 58% 42%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[202] 472–1905 42% 28% 13% 11% 6% 56% 44%
7–8 Dec 2019 Newspoll[203] 930–1472 40% 29% 12% 13% 6% 55% 45%
1 Sep 2019 YouGov Galaxy[citation needed] 40% 29% 12% 13% 6% 55% 45%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 43.70% 26.68% 10.32% 8.86% 3.51% 1.27% 5.66% 58.44% 41.56%

Western Australia

Date Firm Sample
size
Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH L/NP ALP
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] 45.5% 54.5%
10 May 2022 Roy Morgan[185] 42.5% 57.5%
3 May 2022 Roy Morgan[186] 51% 49%
27 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] 54.5% 45.5%
20 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] 51% 49%
11 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[188] 36.5% 63.5%
4 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[189] 41% 59%
29 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[190] 43% 57%
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[191] 41% 59%
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[192] 48% 52%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] 46.5% 53.5%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] 49% 51%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] 49.5% 50.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[70] 46.5% 53.5%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] 46.5% 53.5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] 45.5% 54.5%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 602 37% 42% 10% 5% 6% 46% 54%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] 53% 47%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] 49% 51%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[196] 45.5% 54.5%
24–25, 31 July–1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] 51.5% 48.5%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 Resolve Strategic[93] 33% 39% 21% 2% 6% 40.8% 59.2%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 47.5% 52.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 625 39% 41% 10% 5% 5% 47% 53%
13 Jun 2021 Resolve Strategic[197] 33% 40% 15% 4% 8% 42.5% 57.5%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 51% 49%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[101] 44% 38% 11% 3% 3% 49.9% 50.1%
16 Apr 2021 Resolve Strategic[175] 42% 40% 13% 5% 1% 47.5% 52.5%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 Newspoll[206] 628 40% 42% 10% 4% 4% 47% 53%
Mark McGowan wins the 2021 Western Australian state election in a landslide[208]
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan[199] 2786 49.5% 50.5%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 Newspoll[200] 779 43% 32% 13% 7% 5% 53% 47%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan[114] 2824 51% 49%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan[120] 2841 53.5% 46.5%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 Newspoll[201] 457–2034 45% 31% 13% 8% 3% 54% 46%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 2589 53.5% 46.5%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[202] 472–1905 44% 31% 12% 9% 4% 55% 45%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 43.79% 29.80% 11.62% 5.31% 9.48% 55.55% 44.45%

South Australia

Date Firm Sample
size
Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH ALP L/NP
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] 49% 51%
10 May 2022 Roy Morgan[185] 62.5% 37.5%
3 May 2022 Roy Morgan[186] 62.5% 37.5%
27 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] 61.5% 38.5%
20 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] 58% 42%
11 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[188] 53% 47%
4 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[189] 56% 44%
29 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[190] 63.5% 36.5%
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[191] 60.5% 39.5%
Peter Malinauskas wins the 2022 South Australia State Election[209]
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[192] 59.5% 41.5%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] 59.5% 40.5%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] 60.5% 39.5%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] 64.5% 35.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[70] 55.5% 44.5%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] 57.5% 42.5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] 58.5% 41.5%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 472 40% 38% 11% 1% 10% 53% 47%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] 51.5% 48.5%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] 57.5% 42.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[185] 54.5% 45.5%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] 55.5% 44.5%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 51% 49%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 49.5% 50.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 Newspoll[citation needed] 473 37% 39% 10% 2% 12% 54% 46%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 Newspoll[206] 517 38% 41% 10% 0% 11% 55% 45%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan[199] 2786 49.5% 50.5%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 Newspoll[200] 600 44% 36% 10% 1% 9% 49% 51%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan[114] 2824 52% 48%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan[120] 2841 42.5% 57.5%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 Newspoll[201] 457–2034 43% 36% 10% 0% 11% 50% 50%
11–12, 8–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 2589 47% 53%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[202] 472–1905 40% 37% 12% 0% 11% 53% 47%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 40.57% 35.38% 9.61% 0.84% 13.60% 50.71% 49.29%

Tasmania

Date Firm Sample
size
Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH ALP L/NP
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan[18] 58% 42%
10 May 2022 Roy Morgan[185] 40% 60%
3 May 2022 Roy Morgan[186] 57.5% 42.5%
27 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[28] 64.5% 35.5%
20 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[32] 61% 39%
11 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[188] 69% 31%
4 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan[189] 74% 26%
29 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[190] 53% 47%
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[191] 60% 40%
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[192] 75% 25%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] 65% 35%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] 60.5% 39.5%
27–28 Dec, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] 51.5% 48.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[70] 53% 47%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[72] 57.5% 42.5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] 52% 48%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] 55.5% 44.5%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[85] 63.5% 36.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[185] 57% 43%
24–25, 31 July − 1 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan[90] 54% 46%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan[citation needed] 58% 42%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 [citation needed] 2824 48% 52%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 2589 58% 42%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 34.60% 33.61% 10.12% 2.79% 18.88% 55.96% 44.04%

Government approval rating

Individual polls

Date Firm Right
direction
Wrong
direction
Can't
say
GCR[210] Lead
14-20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan[191] 33.5% 50.5% 16% 83 -17%
14-23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[192] 35% 47% 18% 88 -12%
18 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan[193] 35% 48.5% 16.5% 86.5 -13.5%
4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan[59] 34% 51% 15% 83 -17%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan[65] 38% 46.5% 15.5% 91.5 -8.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan[79] 39.5% 46% 14.5% 93.5 -6.5%
2–3, 9–10 Oct 2021 Roy Morgan[79] 40% 45% 15% 95 -5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[81] 40% 44% 16% 96 -4%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan[84] 40% 45.5% 14.5% 94.5 -5.5%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan 53.5% 30% 16.5% 123.5 +23.5%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 Roy Morgan 48% 34% 18% 114 +14%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 49% 34.5% 16.5% 114.5 +14.5%
13–14, 23–24 Jun 2020 Roy Morgan[123] 53.5% 29.5% 17% 124 +24%
16–17, 23–24 May 2020 Roy Morgan 54.5% 29.5% 16% 125 +25%
18–19, 25–26 Apr 2020 Roy Morgan[129] 51.5% 27.5% 21% 124 +24%
29 Feb – 1 Mar, 7–8 Mar 2020 Roy Morgan[129] 37% 47% 16% 90 –10%
22–23, 29–30 Jun 2019 Roy Morgan[211] 43.5% 39% 17.5% 104.5 +4.5%

National direction polling

Individual polls

Date Firm Right
direction
Wrong
direction
Can't
say
Lead
07 Dec 2021

Morning Consult [212]

53% 47% 0% +6%
05 Nov 2021

Morning Consult [212]

54% 46% 0% +8%
07 Oct 2021

Morning Consult [212]

51% 49% 0% +2%
21 Sep 2021

Morning Consult [212]

53% 47% 0% +6%
01 Sep 2021

Morning Consult [212]

49% 51% 0% -2%
16 Aug 2021

Morning Consult [212]

51% 49% 0% +2%
24 Jul 2021

Morning Consult [212]

52% 48% 0% +4%
01 Jul 2021

Morning Consult [212]

56% 44% 0% +12%
18 Jun 2021

Morning Consult [212]

60% 40% 0% +20%
10 Mar 2021

Morning Consult [212]

63% 37% 0% +26%
18 Feb 2021

Morning Consult [212]

61% 39% 0% +22%
30 Jan 2021

Morning Consult [212]

65% 35% 0% +30%
07 Jan 2021

Morning Consult [212]

61% 39% 0% +22%
08 Dec 2020

Morning Consult [212]

68% 32% 0% +36%
03 Nov 2020

Morning Consult [212]

61% 39% 0% +22%
04 Oct 2020

Morning Consult [212]

59% 41% 0% +18%
05 Sep 2020

Morning Consult [212]

53% 47% 0% +6%
26 Aug 2020

Morning Consult [212]

59% 41% 0% +18%
10 Aug 2020

Morning Consult [212]

51% 49% 0% +2%
12 Jul 2020

Morning Consult [212]

56% 44% 0% +12%
13 Jun 2020

Morning Consult [212]

60% 40% 0% +20%
06 Jun 2020

Morning Consult [212]

57% 42% 1% +15%
31 May 2020

Morning Consult [212]

63% 37% 0% +26%
21 May 2020

Morning Consult [212]

62% 38% 0% +24%
14 May 2020

Morning Consult [212]

60% 40% 0% +20%
5 May 2020

Morning Consult [213]

62% 38% 0% +24%
25 Apr 2020

Morning Consult [213]

57% 42% 1% +15%
18 Apr 2020

Morning Consult [213]

56% 43% 1% +13%
09 Apr 2020

Morning Consult [213]

51% 49% 0% +2%
02 Apr 2020

Morning Consult [213]

46% 54% 0% -8%
27 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

42% 57% 1% -15%
20 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

39% 61% 0% -22%
14 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

38% 62% 0% -24%
07 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

39% 61% 0% -22%
01 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

41% 59% 0% -18%
20 Feb 2020

Morning Consult [213]

39% 61% 0% -22%
13 Feb 2020

Morning Consult [213]

40% 60% 0% -20%
07 Feb 2020

Morning Consult [213]

38% 62% 0% -24%
31 Jan 2020

Morning Consult [213]

40% 60% 0% -20%
22 Jan 2020

Morning Consult [213]

39% 61% 0% -22%
15 Jan 2020

Morning Consult [213]

37% 63% 0% -26%
06 Jan 2020

Morning Consult [213]

37% 63% 0% -26%

See also

Notes

References

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